Abstract
Subtropical western boundary currents are warm, fast-flowing currents that form on the western side of ocean basins. They carry warm tropical water to the mid-latitudes and vent large amounts of heat and moisture to the atmosphere along their paths, affecting atmospheric jet streams and mid-latitude storms, as well as ocean carbon uptake1,2,3,4. The possibility that these highly energetic currents might change under greenhouse-gas forcing has raised significant concerns5,6,7, but detecting such changes is challenging owing to limited observations. Here, using reconstructed sea surface temperature datasets and century-long ocean and atmosphere reanalysis products, we find that the post-1900 surface ocean warming rate over the path of these currents is two to three times faster than the global mean surface ocean warming rate. The accelerated warming is associated with a synchronous poleward shift and/or intensification of global subtropical western boundary currents in conjunction with a systematic change in winds over both hemispheres. This enhanced warming may reduce the ability of the oceans to absorb anthropogenic carbon dioxide over these regions. However, uncertainties in detection and attribution of these warming trends remain, pointing to a need for a long-term monitoring network of the global western boundary currents and their extensions.
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Acknowledgements
This work is supported by China National Key Basic Research Project (2007CB411800) and National Natural Science Foundation Projects (40788002, 40930844, 40921004). W.C. is supported by the Australian Climate Change Science program and the Southeast Australia Climate Initiative. H.N. is supported in part by the Japanese Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and Technology through Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research on Innovative Areas #2205 and by the Japanese Ministry of Environment through Global Environment Research Fund (S-5). M.J.M. is supported by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s Climate Program Office. PMEL Publication no. 3774.
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L.W. and W.C. contributed the central idea and wrote the initial draft of the paper. L.Z. performed data analyses. The remaining authors contributed to refining the ideas and to writing this paper.
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Wu, L., Cai, W., Zhang, L. et al. Enhanced warming over the global subtropical western boundary currents. Nature Clim Change 2, 161–166 (2012). https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate1353
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate1353
