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NSF NCAR project will use AI models to predict storm evolution | NCAR & UCAR News

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NSF NCAR project will use AI models to predict storm evolution

Project among 25 chosen for NSF funding through CAIG program

Aug 30, 2024 - by Staff

A project co-led by the U.S. National Science Foundation National Center for Atmospheric Research (NSF NCAR) that will use artificial intelligence models to predict storm evolution has received funding through NSF's Collaborations in Artificial Intelligence and Geosciences (CAIG) program. The work could fundamentally improve our understanding of what factors cause a storm to form in a particular place at a particular time, something that is incredibly difficult for current weather models to accurately predict. 

In total, 25 projects, totaling over $20 million, were chosen for funding through the CAIG program. This investment aims to advance the development and implementation of innovative AI techniques in geosciences while increasing technical capacity and expanding access to education and training opportunities for using AI approaches in geosciences research.

"The CAIG program presents an exciting opportunity to address big questions in geosciences research while fostering collaborations between geoscientists and AI experts," said Wendy Graham, the director of the NSF Division of Research, Innovation, Synergies, and Education. "All 25 of the CAIG projects will foster transdisciplinary partnerships that lead to innovation in both AI and geosciences. These projects will provide cross-training for AI and geoscience knowledge, significantly building our capacity to study and analyze extreme weather, solar activity and earthquake hazards, among many topics."

The program promotes transdisciplinary collaborations among geoscientists, computer scientists, mathematicians and others to drive transformative discoveries, innovations and solutions. Research teams will adopt various AI techniques — such as generative AI, surrogate models, causal AI and other AI approaches — to advance understanding of complex Earth systems. Topics include increasing efficiency and enhancing utility and equity of geoscience models; improving forecasting, preparation and mitigation for natural hazards; enhancing understanding of earthquake dynamics; improving natural resource management and decision-making in response to climate change; and elucidating the drivers of physical and biological processes of oceans.

The CAIG projects support key technology areas, including AI, cyberinfrastructure (CI) and advanced computing, highlighted in the "CHIPS and Science Act of 2022." Many projects align with the interagency National AI Research Resource Pilot by making AI resources more accessible and providing education and training for geoscientists at all career stages. Several projects will also contribute to the NSF National Discovery Cloud for Climate initiative, a pilot effort to build an integrated national-scale CI capable of supporting end-to-end climate research and education.

See a full list of funded projects on the NSF website

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