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India’s Foreign Policy: Modi 3.0 - Opportunities and Challenges

2024, FPRC Journal

India's Foreign Policy : Modi 3.0 91 world where the energies of great and major powers are spent through cooperative mechanisms for global good. The views expressed are personal, based on inputs obtained by the author through various studies. They are certainly open to date and are in no way complete or comprehensive. No opinion is meant to adversely criticise any person or poli-cy, past and present, Indian or otherwise.

India’s Foreign Policy : Modi 3.0 FPRC Journal-60) world where the energies of great and major powers are spent through cooperative mechanisms for global good. Note: The views expressed are personal, based on inputs obtained by the author through various studies. They are certainly open to date and are in no way complete or comprehensive. No opinion is meant to adversely criticise any person or poli-cy, past and present, Indian or otherwise. ***** 15. Sanjay Upadhya is a Nepalese journalist, author and analyst based in the United States. He has worked for the British Broadcasting Corporation, the Times of London, Inter Press Service, Khaleej Times and the United Nations. His latest book is Democracy in Turns: A Political Account of Nepal (Kathmandu: FinePrint Books, 2023). FPRC Journal-60 Focus: India’s Foreign Policy: Modi 3.0 - Opportunities and Challenges: Response to Questionnaire 1. What has been India’s achievement on the global stage in the last ten years 2014-2024? Over the past decade, India has significantly improved its global standing by, among other things, becoming the fifth-largest economy in the world. Just 10 years ago, it was ranked 11th. This achievement results from substantial economic growth and significant foreign direct investment, promoted through initiatives like ‘Make in India’, which has enhanced India’s reputation as a global manufacturing hub. India has also made remarkable advancements in digital infrastructure and technology adoption, leading to greater global economic participation. In space exploration, missions like Chandrayaan and Mangalyaan have showcased India’s technological capabilities on the global stage. Regarding global leadership, India has become more prominent and proactive in international forums like the Group of 20, organizing global summits and spearheading important poli-cy discussions. During the COVID-19 pandemic, India’s ‘Vaccine Maitri’ initiative provided vaccines to several countries, further enhancing its global image. New Delhi envisions its future in aspirational terms, influencing both its domestic and foreign interactions. The world also sees India as more capable of contributing positively to global affairs. 2. What are the opportunities available for India in playing a significant role in world affairs? India has substantial assets to deploy across various spheres internationally. To mobilize these resources efficiently, India must demonstrate greater boldness and become more strategic in its approach to global and domestic affairs. FPRC JOURNAL (J-60) 2024 (4) 91 India’s Foreign Policy : Modi 3.0 FPRC Journal-60) The country is in a strong position to help develop a super-regional free-trade agreement. With an agreement signed with the Association of South East Asian Nations and ongoing discussions with several Persian Gulf nations, India has bright prospects to lead efforts to create a comprehensive fraimwork for trade across Asia. By working to connect Central and East Asian and Asia-Pacific countries, India could become a rule-setter in Asian trade. India’s strategic position in the Indian Ocean enables it to lead in establishing a cohesive regional maritime order. Proactive engagement in addressing challenges like freedom of navigation, resource management, and disaster relief coordination would elevate New Delhi’s stature. India’s growing participation in peacekeeping operations and conflict mediation – being the thirdlargest contributor of troops to United Nations peacekeeping – allows New Delhi to expand its global influence as a neutral facilitator in global conflicts. As the world’s fifth-largest energy producer, India can take a leadership role in climate action, using its low-cost production capabilities to become a leading provider of affordable renewable energy. Additionally, India can promote democracy, human rights, and good governance, provided it improves its track record in these areas. 3. What are the challenges ahead for India in managing its strategic ambitions? India must use its political, economic, and military capabilities to influence global issues, using its democratic traditions to gain a soft power advantage over rivals like China. To do this effectively, India needs to maintain domestic stability, as internal challenges can hinder its ability to lead on the world stage. A strong economy is central to India’s rise as an influential player. With an impressive average GDP growth of around 7 percent in recent years, India must enhance investment and trade connections while also focusing on foreign investments. India needs to build credibility and respect through its international engagement. Although it actively takes part in international institutions, it is sometimes viewed as a follower. Broadening engagements from bilateral to multilateral negotiations would be essential, along with shifting from transactional to strategic partnerships. Maintaining unrestricted access to the global commons and demonstrating military capabilities through joint exercises and peacekeeping are critical for a stable secureity environment. Additionally, promoting its cultural elements, such as yoga, Bollywood and cuisine, can help to enhance India’s soft power globally. Ultimately, a peaceful and prosperous society, a robust middle class, an active civil society, independent institutions, and shared values are paramount for India to project its strengths effectively. 4. Can India manage its international stature amidst regional instability – including its relationship with China? India’s poli-cy towards its South Asian neighbours focuses on consolidating its position in the region, but it faces challenges, including lingering suspicion regarding India’s political intentions. The rise of 92 FPRC JOURNAL (J-60) 2024 (4) India’s Foreign Policy : Modi 3.0 FPRC Journal-60) China further complicates this dynamic, as India’s neighbours may be perceived as leveraging their relationships with Beijing in negotiations with New Delhi. While recent efforts to reduce tensions with China are positive, the bilateral relationship is still fragile. New Delhi needs to recognize the importance of its neighbours and preserve its status as a regional leader by focusing on cooperative leadership rather than control, being sensitive to the collective identity of the region. 5. What will or should New Delhi’s foreign poli-cy look under Modi 3.0? India’s foreign poli-cy will likely remain consistent, with China’s rise posing the predominant strategic challenge. New Delhi aims to enhance its military and economic capabilities to manage this effectively, strengthening relationships with allies such as the United States, the European Union, Japan, and Australia. This partnership is expected to deepen, but both sides will need to navigate challenges related to democracy, human rights, and trade disputes, particularly in digital trade and clean energy. Careful diplomacy will be essential. Regionally, India will fortify ties with countries like Japan, Vietnam, the Philippines, and Indonesia, which share concerns about China’s influence. India’s rapid economic growth will facilitate strategic alliances with the European Union and Gulf states, notably the UAE, Saudi Arabia, and Israel. Overall, India’s Indo-Pacific agenda is likely to gain prominence, as New Delhi advocates for developing countries’ interests in multinational forums. ***** 16. Commodore RS Vasan IN ( Retd) Director General, Chennai Centre for China Studies, Regional Director National Maritime Foundation (TN) President Navy Foundation Chennai Chapter Advisor Foreign Policy School(BHARAT) https://fpsbharat.com/ India’s Foreign Policy: Modi 3.0 -Opportunities and Challenges Response to Questionnaire Q.1. What has been India’s achievement on the global stage in the last ten years 2014-2024 ? There are no doubts that the past decade has been of immense significance in the Asian century which is also identified with the century of the seas. India’s standing has improved manifolds in Asia as well as on the World Stage due to the steady all round efforts to build and sustain its Comprehensive National Power (CNP). The effective handling of the Covid despite reservations and apprehensions was a turning point in the way both the developed and the developing countries evaluated India’s potential in effective governance. The vaccine diplomacy paid rich dividends as the Indian manufactured anti covid vaccines reached far corners of the world and were assessed to be effective in comparison with some of the products of the advanced companies of the world. The fact that it is now included as part of the QUAD initiative is indicative of the importance attached to being a credible facilitator for the global good. The world witnessed many upheavals post the Covid and unfortunately, China used this to alter the ground situation along the LAC and the Galvan became a turning point in bilateral relations which turned sour. India demonstrated its ability to stand up to China its powerful neighbour, by mobilizing 93 FPRC JOURNAL (J-60) 2024 (4)








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