BALTIC FORESTRY
! 22 22
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9 D;9:424;90 ;C 49D<=/0498 B;;: D;906EF24;9 /9: :=E/9: 49 2?= B;<7: 2?= /4E ;C 2?= E/O;<421 ;C 9/24;9/7
=D;9;E4=0 40 2; 492=904C1 7;D/7 <=0;6<D= F<;:6D24;9* 6= 2; 2?= C/D2 2?/2 F;F7/< <;2/24;9 40 ;9= ;C 2?= 0?;<2=02 49
C;<=02<1 /9: /0 F<;:6D24;9 ;C F;F7/< B;;: <=U64<=0 </24;9/7 /9: B=77&F7/99=: E/9/8=E=92 2?= F;2=924/70 ;C 042=0 /9:
0F=D4=0 E602 @= E/N4E/771 624740=:* /5;6</@7= C49/9D4/7 =CC=D20 ;C 06D? / F<;:6D24;9 0?;67: @= <=/74I=:*
?= D;EE=<D4/7 F<;C42/@47421 ;C F;F7/< D67245/24;9 B/0 /9/710=: 49 /9 /<24C4D4/7 F;F7/< F7/92/24;9 49 =<@4/* ?=
/4E ;C 2?= 026:1 B/0 2; 5/74:/2= 2?= 495=02=: C49/9D4/7 E=/90 49 /<24C4D4/7 F;F7/< F7/92/24;90 @/0=: ;9 2?= /9/71040 ;C
D;020 /9: <=D=4F20 49 :4CC=<=92 <;2/24;9 $%&)$ 1=/<0 ;9 :4CC=<=92 C76540;70 /77654/7 0=E487=1 ?6E4C76540;7 ?6E;87=1
/9:
87=1 /2 :4CC=<=92 :40D;692 </2=0 )&$R* =2?;:0 ;C /9/71040 ;C D;EE=<D4/7 F<;C42/@47421 =0F=D4/771 0;E=
E=2?;:0 ;C :19/E4D 495=02E=92 D/7D67/24;9 9=2 F<=0=92 5/76= . 492=<9/7 </2= ;C <=26<9 . @=9=C42&D;02 E=2?;:
. /9: F/1 @/D> F=<4;: . B=<= 60=:* ?= 495=0248/2=: F7/92/24;90 B=<= =02/@740?=: C<;E )+)$ N )"-'"%"
D7* 9#2( B42? F7/92498 0F/D498 + N + E* ?4<2==9 026:1 F7;20 . E/9/8=E=92 69420 %% 02/9:0 B42? / 2;2/7 /<=/ ;C
((*% ?/ B=<= 495=0248/2=: 49 2?= F=<4;: $$&$*
;< / :40D;692 </2= < W $R /77 2=02=: /<=/0 ?/: / 9=8/245= ;C 2; $( ++ x?/ & <=8/<:7=00 ;C /8= /9:
042= U6/7421* ?= :40D;692 </2= ;C +R D/9 @= /DD=F2=: @1 0?;<2=< F<;:6D24;9 D1D7=0 49 1;698=< 02/9:0 2; 2?= /8= ;C $
1=/<0 ;9 @=22=< 042=0 /77654/7 0=E487=1* $ 5/<4=: 49 2?= </98= )*($&+*)R /5=</8= %*+(R /2 / :40D;692 </2= ;C
$R* 92=<9/7 </2=0 B=<= 7/<8=< C;< F7/92/24;90 ;9 8;;: U6/7421 0;47 21F=0 /9: C;< 0?;<2=< <;2/24;90 /9: 54D= 5=<0/* ?=
/9/71040 0?;B=: 2?/2 40 F</D24D/771 69/DD=F2/@7= C;< 2?= 495=02;< 69:=< 2?= :40D;692 </2= ;C +R* ?= E;02 C/5;6</@7=
0426/24;9 40 2?= :40D;692 </2= ;C $R 49 1;698=< F7/92/24;90* ?= /5=</8= /E;692 ;C B/0 *(+ C;< /77 026:4=: F7;20*
# @ A ?1@<4: F;F7/< F7/92/24;90 495=02E=92 C49/9D4/7 /FF</40/7 D;EE=<D4/7 F<;C42/@47421 D;020 <=5=96=0
:19/E4D E=2?;:0
Introduction
;F7/<B;;:?/0/7;2;CD;EF/</245=@=9=C42/9:
B4:=71/FF74=:*;:/14240<=D;894I=:49:4CC=<=92B/10
49 2?= B;;: F<;D=00498 49:602<1 /0 / 5=<1 4EF;<2/92
06@024262=C;<B;;:;C;2?=< E;<=5/76/@7= 2<==0F=&
D4=0B42?7;98=<<;2/24;9F=<4;:0*<;:6D24;9F<;D=00&
=0 49 C;<=02<1 7/02 7;98=< 2?/9 04E47/< F<;D=00=0 49
;2?=< 49:602<4=0* ?= F<;D=00 ;C 495=02498 49 F;F7/<
D67245/24;9 49D76:=0 C49/9D4/7 495=02E=920 49 2?=
F<=0=92F=<4;:/4E=:/2<=/740/24;9;C=D;9;E4D@=9=&
C420;<=CC=D2049/C626<=F=<4;: ;C/0=/0;9/7D?/</D&
2=<=e//9:/O4$*?404EF74=0/04894C4D/92
F<;@7=E492?=F<;D=00;CF<=:4D2498/9::=2=<E49498
495=02E=92049C4N=:/00=20 =98/8=E=92;C?6E/9/9:
E/D?49=<=0;6<D=0 =2D*?=E/49D?/</D2=<4024D0;C2?=
F<;D=:6<= ;C 495=02E=92 49 F;F7/< D67245/24;9 40 2?=
C/D22?/22?=D;9:424;90C;<2?=@=8499498;CF<;:6D&
24;9/9:2?=4<=NF7;42/24;9/<=9;2D<=/2=:04E672/9=&
;6071* ?= /:5/92/8= ;C F7/92/24;90 ;5=< D7/004D/7
C;<=02<1402?/22?=F<;:6D24;90D;F=/9:02<6D26<=D/9
@=<=7/245=71U64D>71/:/F2=:2;E/<>=2<=U64<=E=920*
268
;F7/< F7/92/24;90 /<= / D/2=8;<1 ;C C4N=: /00=20
49C;<=02<1 4*=*/00=20B42?/@4;7;84D/7D?/</D2=<*?=1
/<=042=<=7/2=: /<=D67245/2=:C;</<=7/245=717;9824E=
/9:2?=1?/5=/<=7/245=717;98624740/24;9D1D7= B42?
2?= 14=7: :=5=7;FE=92 :=2=<E49=: @1 2?= F7/92/24;9
8<;B2?/9:/8=*7/92/24;902</90C=<2?=4<5/76=8</:6&
/771 2; 2?= ;@2/49=: F<;:6D20 :6<498 2?= ?/<5=02498
F=<4;:*?=E=/90495=02=:492?=F7/92/24;9/<=<=F<;&
:6D=:/C2=<F<;:6D2<=/74I/24;9*?=495=02E=92F=<4;:
49F;F7/<8<;B2?D/9@=<=7/245=717;98*?=<=C;<= 4240
4EF;<2/922;:=2=<E49=2?=24E=9==:=:C;<2?=<=26<9
;C2?=D/F42/7495=02=:492?=0=/9:04E47/<F7/92/24;90*
?= /4E ;C 2?40 <=0=/<D? B/0 2; /00=00 2?= D;02&
=CC=D245=9=00;CC69:0495=02=:49B;;:F<;:6D24;949
F;F7/<F7/92/24;90 @/0=:;92?=/9/71040;CD;020/9:
<=D=4F20 49 :4CC=<=92 F=<4;:0 ;C F7/92/24;9 /8= 60498'
2?= 9=2 F<=0=92 5/76= E=2?;: 492=<9/7 </2= ;C
<=26<9 F/1@/D> /9:@=9=C42&D;02E=2?;:
*?=D/7D67/2=02?=D6<<=925/76=;C/77D/0?
C7;B/00;D4/2=:B42?/9495=02E=92'2?=49424/7495=02&
E=92;62C7;B/9:2?=C626<=D/0?C7;B<=26<90* 72=<&
9/245=71 1;6D/9B;<>;622?=:40D;692</2=2?/2B;67:
BALTIC FORESTRY
! 22 22
2
845=/9495=02E=92/9;CI=<;*?4040D/77=:2?=
*?=>=1/:5/92/8=;C/9: 402?/22?=1
2/>= 492; /DD;692 2?= 24E= 5/76= ;C E;9=1 . 2?= C/D2
2?/2 E;9=1 1;6 =NF=D2 0;;9=< 40 B;<2? E;<= 2; 1;6
2?/9E;9=11;6=NF=D2C6<2?=<492?=C626<=*/1@/D>
F=<4;: 40 / 04EF7= 2=D?94U6= C;< /00=00498 /9 495=02&
E=92 @1 2?= 7=982? ;C 24E= 42 B;67: 2/>= 2; <=F/1 42*
;02& =9=C42 9/71040
=024E/2=0/9:2;2/706F2?=
=U645/7=92E;9=15/76=;C2?=@=9=C420/9:D;0202;2?=
D;EE69421 ;C F<;O=D20 2; =02/@740? B?=2?=< 2?=1 /<=
B;<2?B?47=*;B=5=< 2?=<=0=/<D?8;/7B/02;5/74:/2=
2?=O6024C4D/24;9;CC69:0495=02=:49B;;:F<;:6D24;9
49F;F7/<F7/92/24;90 @/0=:;9<=5=96=0/9:D;02/9/7&
1040 /2 :4CC=<=92 F7/92/24;9 /8=0 60498 2?= E=2?&
;:*?=;@O=D245=;C2?=026:1B/0/70;2;=5/76/2=2?=
F;004@7= F/1 @/D> F=<4;: ;C 495=02=: D/F42/7 49 B;;:
F<;:6D24;949F;F7/<F7/92/24;90*
=<@4/400426/2=:490;62?=/026<;F=492?=D=9&
2</7F/<2;C2?= /7>/9=949067/*B4982;2?=8<=/2
F<;:6D24;9F;2=924/7;C?1@<4:F;F7/<0/9:2?=4<=/01
5=8=2/245=/9:8=9=</245=<=F<;:6D24;9 @/9>0;C<45&
=<0 /96@= /5/ 40/ ?/5= @==9 60=: C;< 2?= =0&
2/@740?E=92 ;C F7/92/24;90 ;C E/91 :4CC=<=92 F;F7/<
D7;9=0 =0F=D4/771 D7;9= 9#2 /8=771 /9: =C=5<=
%;90;E=;C2?=@=02042=0C;<F;F7/<=02/@740?&
E=92496<;F==<F>/+*?=2;2/7/<=/;C2?=0=
F;F7/<F7/92/24;9040/@;62) ?/ B?4D?40/@;62
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)+)$N)"-'"%";:=6494=<D7* 9#2:;E&
49/2=0/@7=*;F7/<C;<=020/<=/70;/04894C4D/92
=7=E=92;C<4F/<4/902/@47421 F/<24D67/<71;CE/O;<<45&
=<0*?=1/<=D;EF;0=:;C0F=D4=02?/22;7=</2==N2<=E=
/9:C<=U6=92C7;;:498* @;62(+*?/;CF;F7/<F7/9&
2/24;90/<=0426/2=:49;O5;:49/ 2?=;<2?=<9<;5&
49D=;C=<@4//@7=*
95=0248/24;9;C2?=495=02E=92/FF</40/749F;F&
7/<F7/92/24;90?/0@==9:;9=:6=2;0=5=</7<=/0;90*
4<02;C/77 F;F7/<0/<=5=<104894C4D/92C;<C;<=02<149
=<@4/ /9:F/<24D67/<71;O5;:49/*=D;9: F;F7/<F<;&
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40/24;9/9:=D;9;E4DC/D2;<0*?=4</FF=/</9D=;<49&
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5/9D= 9=42?=< D/9 2?=4< =CC=D2 @= F<=D40=71 U6/9242/&
245=71 4:=924C4=:* ;6<2? 2?=0= 495=02E=920 E;0271
<=F<=0=92/D;EF7=N7;982=<E495=02E=92B42?/7;98
F=<4;: C;< 495=02E=92 D;902<6D24;9 /0 B=77 /0 / F<;&
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!4=7: D7/00=0 49 ?1@<4: F;F7/< F7/92/24;90 4 N
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=D;9;E4D D;02&=CC=D245=9=00 ;C F;F7/< F7/92/24;90 40
:=@/2/@7= :6= 2; 2?= ?48? D;020 =9D;692=<=: /2 2?=
02/8= ;C F7/92/24;9 =02/@740?E=92 D?4FF498 ;C 2<==
026EF0 F7;68?498 F7/92498 F<;2=D24;9 =2D* /@7=
$*?=9=/<9;9&=N402=9D=;C49D;E=692472?==9:;C
2?=B?;7=D1D7= =ND=F2C;</0E/77F<;C42C<;E2?49&
9498/C2=<+&1=/<040/70;5=<1:40F62/@7=*?=7/<8&
=02 F;F7/< F7/92/24;9 /<=/0 /<= 492=9:=: C;< 2?= F<;&
:6D24;9 ;C 5=9==< F==7498 /9: D622498 7;80 /77 ;C
B?4D? /@;62(% E(<;69:B;;:1=/< & 40F<;D&
=00=:49=<@4/*?=1?/5=@==960=:492?=F<;:6D&
24;9 ;C' F/D>/8498 5=9==< F/77=20 5/<4;60 21F=0 ;C
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42169:=<2/>49840606/771@/0=:;92?=?1F;2?=0402?/2
2?= =D;9;E4D/771 E;02 0642/@7= 495=02E=92 40 4EF7=&
E=92=: ;9=2?/2D/9D;92<4@62=2;2?=8<=/2=02=N2=92
2;2?=F<;C42/@4742149D<=/0=;C/9=92=<F<40=;<0;E=
;2?=<F<;:6D24;906@O=D2/9802=<(*92?=;2?&
=< ?/9: 2?= =D;9;E4D =CC=D245=9=00 ;C 06D? 495=02&
E=92049F;F7/<F7/92/24;90E/1@=/CC=D2=:@1/7/<8=
96E@=<;C:4CC=<=92C/D2;<0@4;7;84D/7 D74E/24D 2=D?&
94D/7&2=D?9;7;84D/7/9:E/9/8=E=926:/<$ <=&
:;O=54/9:=74e>;54$$ ;7;F/49=9=2/7*$
=e/$T/ @$*
?=06@O=D2;C2?40<=0=/<D??/0@==9F;F7/<F7/9&
2/24;90;CD7;9= 9#2/8=:$%&)$1=/<0495/<4;60C76&
540;70/77654/70=E487=1 ?6E4C76540;7 ?6E;87=1/9:
87=1*6<?1F;2?=040402?/22?=C49/9D4/7<=&
06720 C;< 0?;<2 <;2/24;90 /9: @=22=< ?/@42/20 B477 @=
@=22=< 2?/9 2?;0= C;< 7;98 <;2/24;90 /9: F;;<=< ?/@4&
2/20*?=E/498;/7;C2?=B;<><=F;<2=:492?40F/F=<
B/02;=N/E49=2?=C49/9D4/7=CC=D20;C:4CC=<=92:40&
D;692 </2=0 ;9 2?= D;02&=CC4D4=9D1 5/76=0 ;C F;F7/<
F7/92/24;90 @/0=: ;9 /9 /9/71040 ;C 2?= F<=0=92 5/7&
6= ;C D;020 /9: <=5=96=0 ;5=< / 02/2=: 24E= F=<4;:
60498:4CC=<=92E=2?;:0;C495=02E=92/FF</40/7* D&
269
BALTIC FORESTRY
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0#? 996/7D;020;C/F;F7/<F7/9&
2/24;9 C;< 2?= <;2/24;9 F=<4;: ;C $+
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:6D24;949F;F7/<F7/92/24;90*
Material and methods
;:=<9 E=2?;:0 ;C 495=02E=92 5/76/24;90 /9:
D;90=U6=9271 2?=4< F</D24D/7 /FF74D/24;90 49 C;<=02<1
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2<==0+N+E*?=026:1B/0D/<<4=:;6249F7/92/&
24;90;CF;F7/<2<==0492?=9;<2?&B=02=<9F/<2;C=<&
@4/ 492?=/<=/;C2?=<45=</5/ 492?=F=<4;:$$.
270
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495=0248/2=:*/2/B=<=D;77=D2=:C<;E:4CC=<=9221F=0
;C0;47@=7;984982;042=D7/00=0 ./@7=(*
?=:/2/60=:492?40026:1B=<=D;77=D2=:492B;
E/49F?/0=0*/2/F=<2/494982;D;020:6<4981=/<0&
%0;47F<=F/</24;9 F7/92498 D/<=/9:F<;2=D24;9 =2D*
B=<= ;@2/49=: C<;E 2?= /<D?45=0 ;C 2?= C;<=02 =92=<&
F<40=B?4D?E/9/8=:2?=026:4=:F7/92/24;90&6@74D
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F7/92/24;9 /8= /@7= $* /@7= $ 0?;B0 2?= /996/7
D;020 ;C / F7/92/24;9 49 =<@4/ ;5=< 2?= F=<4;: ;C $+
1=/<0 ;9 ?/ C;< 0/EF7= F7;2 9;*$ F7/92498 :=90421
+N+E C;<=0221F=F;F7/<;9C;0047?1:<;E;<F?4D@7/D>
0;47?6E;0=E487=1;97;=00&/776546E* /0?;62C7;B
40 F<=0=92 49 2?= C4<02 % 1=/<0 /9: D/0? 49C7;B C<;E
BALTIC FORESTRY
! 22 22
0# B F/24/7 :402<4@624;9 U6/742/245= /9: U6/9242/&
245= 02<6D26<= ;C 2?= 026:4=: F7/92/24;90
%
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1 tal
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<%
C*=2I
= 2
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%
+ C
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C"
#
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81/19
77/23
70/30
86/14
86/14
87/13
83/17
82/18
75/25
88/12
87/13
86/14
'
+0,
88/12
0D?=E/24D 2?499498 49 1=/< + /9: /2 2?= =9: ;C <;2/&
24;9492?40D/0=/22?=/8=;C$+*
9 2?= 0=D;9: F?/0= :/2/ B=<= D;77=D2=: C<;E
E/9/8=E=92 /9: E/2=<4/70 @;;>0 ;C 2?= C;<=02 =92=<&
F<40=* 92?=04N2?1=/< 0=7=D245=2?499498B/0F=<C;<E=:
49/77F7;20* 7749D;E=2?=5/76=;C .5=9==</9:.
F==74987;80 24E@=<B;;:D7/00 /9: /9:F67FB;;:
/9:D;0202;2/706<5=1 7;88498/9:F<;D=00498 :</8&
8498 D;EF=90/24;9C;<2?=C=77=:2<==0F/4:@12?=C;<&
=02 =92=<F<40= 2; 2?= 49402<1 ;C 8<4D6726<= </:=
;<=02<1 /9: /2=< /9/8=E=92 <=7/2=: 2; 2?= C49/7
D622498B=<=D;77=D2=::4<=D271492?=C4=7:/9:D;92<;7&
7=:492?=;CC4D4/7:;D6E=92/24;9;C2?=C;<=02=92=<F<40=
=e/$T@* ;020/<==NF<=00=:F=<6942/<=/?/
/22?=F<4D=049C;<D=49#/96/<1$ D;95=<2=:492;
=6<;*49D= /77026:4=:02/9:0/<=02/2=&;B9=:/9:
E/9/8=:@12?=6@74D ;<=0292=<F<40=f;O5;:49/b6&
E=g 2?=5/76=D;02;C2?=7/9:7/9:<=92:4:9;2=92=<
492;2?=D/7D67/24;90=e/$*
/91 C;<=02 495=02E=92 /FF</40/7 026:4=0 ?/5=
@==9 :;9= ;5=< 2?= F/02 1=/<0 49 C;<=02<1 /77 /<;69:
2?=B;<7: /99 <=8=<0=9=2/7*% <=8=<0=9
+ =98=9 /72?;68? <48;<;60 U6/9242/245=
026:4=0 /5=9:40?$ $$ /EF@=77=2/7*$$
40?=<$$/<=;971<=D=92/9:5=<1</<= 98=70=9
/9:69:=<$(*
95=02E=92 FF</40/7/70;>9;B9/0 /F42/7 6:8&
=24986E@1 P?<4D?$ P2I==2/7*$40
60=: 2; /00=0 B?=2?=< D/F42/7 =NF=9:426<= ;9 F/<24D6&
7/<F;F7/<F7/92/24;90B477@=@=9=C4D4/7C;<2?==92421
;<9;2*?=0=2=D?94U6=0D/9@=60=:2;=5/76/2=F<;&
O=D20@;2?492?=F<45/2=/9:F6@74D0=D2;<49C;<=02<1*
;02D;EE;97160=:2=D?94U6=049D76:='=2<=0=92
/76= 92=<9/7 /2= ;C =26<9 /1@/D>
=<4;: =9=C42& ;02=2?;:;86=$*
00=00E=92 ;C 2?= D;02&=CC=D245=9=00 ;C F<;:6D&
24;949?1@<4:F;F7/<F7/92/24;90B/0D/<<4=:;62;92?=
2
2
@/040;C9=2F<=0=925/76=KM(B?4D?4060=:/0;9=
;C2?=49:4D/2;<0C;<F<;O=D2=5/76/24;9422498=<$
6;984;<9;=2/7*% E42?&/94=70=2/7*$*?=
E=2?;: D/7D67/2=0 2?= F<=0=92 5/76=0 C;< /77 C6&
26<=D/0?C7;B06E@1 P?<4D?$ P2I==2/7*
$*<;O=D20/<=D;02&=CC=D245=B?=92?= *
t
⎛
⎜
NPV = ∑ ( Rt − Ct ) ⋅ ⎜ 1
r
t =1
⎜ 1+
⎝
100
⎞
⎟
⎟
⎟
⎠
n
B?=<=' 40D/0?49C7;B491=/< 40D/0?;62C7;B
49 1=/< 40 2?= :40D;692 </2= /9: %40 2?= F7/92/&
24;9/8=*
?=5/76=;C$RB/0D?;0=9C;<2?=@/0=:40D;692
</2= B?4D? 40 /@;62 2?= /5=</8= ;C 2?= </98= &%R
<=D;EE=9:=: $%C;<2?==5/76/24;9;C=D;9;E4D
495=02E=92049:=5=7;F498T2</90424;9D;692<4=0=6&
E/99/9:[4EE=<E/99$*<;C42/@47421B/0/70;2=02&
=:C;<2?=:40D;692</2=0;CR +R/9:)R*
; :=2=<E49= 2?= 5/76= ;C 2?= :40D;692 </2= /2
B?4D?/495=02E=9240I=<;KW.2?=49&
2=<9/7</2=;C<=26<9K M(2?=C;77;B498C;<E67/B/0
0;75=:C;<'
⎛
⎜ 1
(Rt − Ct ) ⋅ ⎜
0= ∑
t =0
⎜1 + r
⎝ 100
n
t
⎞
⎟
⎟
⎟
⎠
$
D/7D67/2=02?=</2=/2B?4D?2?=;C/F<;O=D2
=U6/70 I=<;* DD;<:498 2; 2?40 E=2?;: 4C 2?= D;02 ;C
D/F42/7;C/D;EF/9140E;<=2?/92?= 2?=F<;O=D2
B477@=<=O=D2=:/9:4C42407;B=<2?/92?=D;02;CD/F&
42/7424074>=712;@=/DD=F2=:* /9:D;9D=F20
/<=D;<<=7/2=:;B=2*/7* 7=EF=<=<$(*
/1@/D> F=<4;: D/7D67/2=0 2?= 24E= 2/>=9 @1 /
F<;O=D2 2; <=D;6F 2?= 49424/7 495=02E=92* D;EF/91
=5/76/2498 F<;O=D20 @1 2?40 2=D?94U6= B;67: F<=C=<
F<;O=D20B42?/0?;<2F/1@/D>F=<4;:</2?=<2?/92?;0=
B42?7;98=<F/1@/D>F=<4;:0* 24004EF7=2;D/7D67/2=
/9:=/012;69:=<02/9:67/ ;86=$* F&
F74D/24;9;C2?=F/1@/D>F=<4;:D/7D67/24;9D/9
/CC=D28<=/2712?=<=74/@47421;CF<=:4D24982?=:=8<==
;C=D;9;E4D=CC=D245=9=00;C495=02E=920 /9:/70;2?=
F;2=924/7 <40>0 C;< 2?= 495=02;< 49 ?40 :=D404;90* ?=
F/1@/D>402?=24E=<=U64<=:C;<2?=D/0?49C7;B0C<;E
/ D/F42/7 495=02E=92 F<;O=D2 2; =U6/7 2?= 49424/7 D/0?
;62C7;B0* /1@/D> 40 ;C2=9 60=: /0 / fC4<02 0D<==9&
498 E=2?;:g* 1 2?40 B= E=/9 2?/2 B?=9 / D/F42/7
495=02E=92F<;O=D240@=49806@O=D2=:2;C49/9D4/7/F&
F</40/7 2?=C4<02U6=024;92;/0>40'V;B7;98B47742
2/>=2;F/1@/D>420D;02`-?=;<8/940/24;9E48?2?/5=
/2/<8=2F/1@/D>;0>490/9:6E=1 4>=%
=C7=1+ /9:0;42B;67:<=O=D2/D/F42/7F<;O=D2
697=00 420 F/1@/D> F=<4;: B/0 7=00 2?/9 2?/2 2/<8=2
271
BALTIC FORESTRY
! 22 22
F/1@/D> F=<4;:* FF74D/24;9 ;C 2?= F/1 @/D> F=<4;:
E=2?;::=2=<E49=02?=F/1@/D>F=<4;:;C495=02E=920
C;< =N/EF7= 4:=924C4=0 2?= F=<4;: ;C /E;<240/24;9 ;C
495=02E=920 @/0=: ;9 2?= :19/E4D E;:=7 ;C 495=02&
E=92D/7D67/24;9*?40F=<4;:D/9/70;@=:=C49=:/0/
F/<2;C2?=F7/99=:F=<4;:;C2?=/00=2=NF7;42/24;9;C
B;;:49/F;F7/<F7/92/24;9 49B?4D?4240F;004@7=2;
<=26<92?=495=02=:D/F42/7/9:2?=/FF<;F<4/2=492=<&
=02 69:=< 2?= 845=9 492=<=02 </2=*
Ip
PBP =
Acf
(
B?=<='.d2?=F/1@/D>F=<4;: .2?=D;02;C2?=
F<;O=D2;<49424/7F/1E=92 '.2?=/996/7D/0?C7;B*
=9=C42.D;02</24;40/949:4D/2;< 60=:492?=
C;<E/7:40D4F749=;CD;02&@=9=C42/9/710402?/2/22=EF20
2;06EE/<4I=2?=;5=</775/76=C;<E;9=1;C/F<;O=D2;<
F<;F;0/7* 40 2?= </24; ;C 2?= @=9=C420 ;C / F<;O=D2 ;<
F<;F;0/7 =NF<=00=: 49 E;9=2/<1 2=<E0 <=7/245= 2; 420
D;020 /70;=NF<=00=:49E;9=2/<12=<E0;<2?D;22$
=92=2/7*$$ $% =<</</$* 77@=9=C420/9:D;020
0?;67: @= =NF<=00=: 49 :40D;692=: F<=0=92 5/76=0*
R=
∑R
∑C
r
)
r
B?=<=' . 2?= @=9=C42& D;02 </24; . 2?= F<=0=92
5/76=0 ;C D;020 . 2?= F<=0=92 5/76= ;C @=9=C420*
Cshouflow
% "
"
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.
11.
12.
13.
D '
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
24
g
26
g
26
g
26
g
26
g
30
g
29
g
29
g
29
g
32
g
37
g
42
g
42
g
%
2
2
'
%'
?=0= C;6< E=2?;:0 /<= 9;B/:/10 60=: 49 /77
D;692<4=0;5=<2?=B;<7:492?=/FF</40/7;C495=02E=92
=D;9;E4D0=CC=D245=9=00*?=:19/E4DE=2?;:002/<2
B42?2?=/006EF24;92?/2E;9=1?/042024E=5/76= 4:
=02/D=<2/49/E;692;CE;9=1:;=09;2?/5=2?=0/E=
5/76= 2;:/1 /9: 49 / D=<2/49 C626<= E;E=92 ;C 24E=
B?4D?405=<1492=<=02498F/<24D67/<7149C;<=02<1B?=<=
<;2/24;90 /<= 5=<1 7;98* ; 42 40 9=D=00/<1 2; =5/76&
/2= C626<= D;020 /9: @=9=C420 2; @= :=:6D=: /2 2?=
F<=0=92E;E=92;C24E=422498=<$ P?<4D?$
P2I==2/7*$*
Results
?=E=/95/76=;CF7;2=02/@740?E=92/9:E/9/8=&
E=92 D;020 @=2B==9 /9: + 1=/<0 40 ( $%* ?/&# *
?=49D;E=C<;E2?499498B/0+$?/&* 22?==9:;C
<;2/24;9F<;:6D24;9D1D7= ,$@=2B==9$)&)$1=/<0
<=5=96=0B=<= $(++/9:+?/&#C;<$)
(/9:)$1=/<0 <=0F=D245=71*?=5/76=0C;</2/
:40D;692 </2= ;C W$R B=<= 9=8/245= 49 /77 026:4=:
F7;20 /9: </98=: C<;E . %%*) 2; .$ +*f ?/&
/@7=(* 22?=/996/77=5=7 $49:4D/2=:/04E47/<
2<=9:;C:=D749=B42?49D<=/0498/8=/@7=)*
?=C49/9D4/7=CC=D20C;<2?=F7/92/24;90B=<=/70;
=024E/2=: 60498 :40D;692 </2=0 ;C R +R /9: )R
69:=< 2?= D;9:424;9 2?/2 2?= D;020 /9: <=5=96=0 /<=
's
%rs
2040.48
2227.48
2392.88
2472.35
2533.93
2588.92
2812.96
3012.70
3015.57
2983.14
2977.74
2942.77
2889.45
2884.00
2885.74
2925.69
2865.10
2896.20
2844.90
2817.25
0
0
0
0
0
0
539.16
1269.68
1176.97
1282.74
1391.90
1196.56
1076.35
1011.22
1008.39
1134.29
924.44
896.63
682.91
682.45
g%rJg
r=/")
)0
2040.48
209.44
207.48
111.65
96.90
96.90
442.22
3031.75
3857.77
3688.25
3585.44
2919,61
2996.38
2529.66
2576.24
3644.95
2843.47
5513.48
3727,64
3246.93
0
0
0
0
0
0
1064.20
11088.30
12144.08
14157.86
16236.34
12516.98
16094.21
12627.73
12551.97
15919.76
14479.44
23676.36
16779.22
16725.84
2040.48
187.00
165.40
79.47
61.58
54.98
224.04
199.74
3012.70
202.61
3015.57
193.71
2983.14
188.31
2977.74
153.34
2942.77
100.01
2889.45
94.57
2884.00
96,31
2885.74
136.26
2925.69
75.66
2865.10
83.25
2896,20
31.94
2844.90
27.82
2817.25
(9B )
0
0
0
0
0
0
539.16
730.52
1269.68
637.82
1176.97
743.58
1282.74
852.75
1391.90
657.40
1196.56
537.19
1076.35
472.07
1011.22
469.23
1008.39
595.13
1134.29
385.28
924.44
357.48
896,63
143.75
682.91
143.29
682.45
J2040.48
J2227.48
J2392.88
J2472.35
J2533.93
J2588.92
J2273.80
J1743.02
J1838.60
J1700.41
-1585.84
J1746.22
J1813.10
J1872.78
J1877.35
J1791.41
J1940.66
J1999.57
-2161.99
J2134.80
0# " =5=96=0 /9: D;020
9=2F<=0=925/76=/9:2?=
/5=</8=9=2F<=0=925/76=$
/2/:40D;692</2=V$RC;<2?=
( 026:4=: F;F7/< F7/92/24;90
. D;020H . <=5=96=0 . :40D;692=: D;02 . :40D;692=: <=5=96= $ . /5=</8= <=7/&
245= D;02 :454:=: @1 /8= ;C F7/92/24;9 $ . /5=</8= <=7/245= <=5=96= . 9=2 F<=0=92
5/76= $ . /5=</8= 9=2 F<=0=92 5/76= :454:=: @1 /8= ;C F7/92/24;9
272
BALTIC FORESTRY
! 22 22
=U6/7KV M/@7=%* ;</:40D;692</2=;CR
5/76=0B=<=9=8/245=C;</77F7/92/24;90*;04245=
5/76=0C;<W+RB=<=;@0=<5=:;971C;<2?=@=02
042=D7/00=0C;</<;2/24;9;C$+1=/<0 B42?/E/N4E6E
;C%f?/ &/@7=%* 2/:40D;692</2=;C)R
;C/77026:1F7;20?/:/F;04245=5/76= /9:</98=:C<;E
(2;$(?/ &*
0# W =904245421 ;C Kf g 6"# D;EF/<=: 2; <=7/245=
D?/98=0;C /9: :40D;692 </2= W )&$R
udy
lono.
olTy
1.
GI
2.
.
4.
A G
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
FI
10.
11.
A G
12.
1. g/g ggl y
Ag
24
26
26
26
26
28
29
29
29
1
7
42
42
: 12%
%
1.74
1.84
1.70
1.59
1.75
1.81
1.87
1.88
1.79
1.94
2.00
2.16
2.1
1.74
1.84
1.70
1.59
1.75
1.81
1.87
1.88
1.79
1.94
2.00
2.16
2.1
: 8%
: 6%
%
%
9B10
0.98 0.98 0.24 0.24
1.1 1.1 0.41 0.41
0.81 0.81 0.10 0.10
0.51 0.51 0.58 0.58
0.92 0.92 0.09 0.09
0.92 0.92 0.08 0.08
1.14 1.14 0.4 0.4
1.15 1.15 0.6 0.6
0.90 0.90 0.06 0.06
1.2 1.2 0.40 0.40
1.19 1.19 0.12 0.12
1.7 1.7 1.10 1.10
1.69 1.69 1.0 1.0
: 4%
%
0.94
0.78
1.60
2.9
1.29
1.86
1.06
1.02
1.76
1.14
2.05
0.1
0.42
0.94
0.78
1.60
2.9
1.29
1.86
1.06
1.02
1.76
1.14
2.05
0.1
0.42
. 6E;87=1 . 7654/7 0=E487=1 . 6E;C7654&
0;47
87=1
=904245421/9/71040;CB/0/70;D/<<4=:;62
C;<D?/98=049D;020/9:14=7:0B42?492?=492=<5/7.
(R /<;69: 2?= @/0= 5/76=0* ?=0= D?/98=0 E48?2
@=D/60=:@169B/92=:49C76=9D=006D?/0/@4;24D/9:
@4;24D C/D2;<0 B49: 09;B 490=D20 =2D* C;< W ) .
$R* 2 V$R 2?= $ ;@2/49=: 0?;B=: 2?/2 2?=
F<;O=D240E;<=0=904245=2;D?/98=049D;020&+f 4
?/ &# 2; .$ )f 4 ?/ & 2?/9 2; D?/98=0 49 49D;E= &$
f 4 ?/&2;&%%f 4 ?/& 486<=*?60 420==E0
@=22=< 2; C;D60 =CC;<20 ;9 <=:6D498 F<;:6D24;9 D;020
</2?=<2?/9;949D<=/04982?=49D;E=*
1/9/7104982?=0=904245421;C49<=7/24;92;
<=7/245= D?/98=0 ;C /9: /2 V )&$R C;< /77
• · 10-3
0
495=0248/2=:F7/92/24;90 42B/0C;69:2?/2C;<V$R
2?= F<;O=D2 B/0 F<;C42/@7= ;971 4C 42 40 F;004@7= 2;
/D?4=5=49D<=/0=:<=5=96=0@1/E6724F7=;C$*$R
;<4CD;020/<=<=:6D=:@1/@;62+%R* ;<VR 42
40 9=D=00/<1 2; <=:6D= =02/@740?E=92 D;020 ;< 2; 4E&
F<;5=F7/92/24;9E/9/8=E=92@1/@;62(%R* ;<=N&
402498D;9:424;90/9/72=<9/245=402;49D<=/0=2?=<=5&
=96=@1/@;62%R* ;<V+R B42?2?==N402498D;020
/9:8<;B2?</2=0/9:49D;E= 42409=D=00/<12;<=:6D=
=NF=90=0@1/@;62R<=/740498$R;C=NF=9:426<=0
E/:=C;<495=02E=92D;0202;@=54/@7=* 240F;004@7=
2;/D?4=5=2?=0/E=C49/9D4/7=CC=D2 C;<2?==N402498
D;9:424;90/9:D;020 @149D<=/0498<=5=96=0@1R*
;< V )R 42 40 F;004@7= 2; D;5=< 495=02E=92 D;020
C<;E49D;E==5=94CD;020/<=49D<=/0=:@1/@;62(R*
42?D;02049D6<<=:2?=69:=<=N402498D;9:424;90 @1
<=:6D498<=5=96=@1$(RR;C/D26/7 4240F;004&
@7=2;/D?4=5=2?=0/E=C49/9D4/7=CC=D2=e/$T/*
?=492=<9/7</2=;C<=26<9K MC;<2?=(026:&
4=:F7;20B/0C;69:2;@=492?=</98=)*($2;+*)R
/@7=+*?=?48?=025/76=0B=<=;@2/49=:C;<026:&
4=0;9/77654/70=E487=1 /9:2?=B;<02;9?6E4C7654&
0;7 /9:
87=1* ?= 492=<9/7 </2=0 /<= 7/<8=< C;<
F7/92/24;90 ;9 8;;: U6/7421 0;47 21F=0 0642/@7= C;<
F;F7/< F7/92/24;9 /7654/7 0=E487=14D 0;47 /9: C;<
0?;<2=< <;2/24;90 /9: 54D= 5=<0/* 5/76=0 ?48?=<
2?/9$RB=<=9;2C;69:492?=<=0=/<D?=:D;02&<=5&
=96= </2=0*
0# V /7& St (pt
6=0 ;C 2?= 9&
2=<9/7 /2= ;C
=26<9 .
/2W$R C;<
026:4=: F7;20
Sitpe
H+L
:S+
H-L
:S+
0e
:e
;" <
;;D<
. 6E;87=1 . 7654/7 0=E487=1
. 6E;C76540;47
87=1
70%
-0.98
-1
130%
-1.55
NPV
Cr
-2
Rr
-2.18
70%
-3
2
2
130%
-2.74
,! #> ?/98=0499=2F<=0=925/76=049<=7/24;92;
<=7/245=D?/98=049D;02 /9:<=5=96=0 /22?=:40D;692
</2= W$R
?= <=06720 D7=/<71 0?;B /9 495=<0= F<;F;<24;9
@=2B==9 2?= :40D;692 </2= /9: F7/92/24;9 /8= /9:
/70;/:4<=D2F<;F;<24;9B42?2?=0;4721F=4*=*:40D;692
</2=0/<=?48?=<C;<F7/92/24;908<;B9;902/9:00642&
/@7=C;<F;F7/<F<;:6D24;9/77654/70=E487=1/9:C;<
0?;<2=< <;2/24;90 /9: ' $"4 2/9:0 B42? ?48?=<
?/5=495=02E=92F<4;<421* 92?=<=0=/<D?2?=1/<=
2?=1;698=<F7/92/24;90 <=C=<<498495=02;<049F;F7/<
F<;:6D24;92;495=024902/9:0B42?0?;<2=<<;2/24;90*
?= 49/77/9/710=:0/EF7=F7;20/<=7=002?/92?=
D/7D67/2=::40D;692</2=;C$R/9:/F;04245=C49/9&
D4/7 =CC=D2 D;67: @= <=/740=: @1 :=D<=/0498 D;020 ;<
273
BALTIC FORESTRY
! 22 22
49D<=/0498<=D=4F20*2/9:0B42??48?=< /9:0?;<2&
=<<;2/24;90?/5=495=02E=92F<4;<421*
/0=:;9/FF74D/24;9;C2?=060D=F24@47421/9/71&
040 42B/0D;9D76:=:2?/22?=E;0269C/5;6</@7=042&
6/24;94049026:1F7;2( B?=9 /E;6920?48?=<
2?/9 $R /<= 9;2 D;904:=<=: 49 2?= ;@0=<5=: D?/98&
=0;CD;020/9:<=D=4F20 /9:2?=1/<=<=/740=:;92?=
7=5=7@=7;BR;CD;020;</@;5=(R;C<=/740=:
<=D=4F20* 240/9;5=<&E/26<=:02/9: ;9/969C/5;6<&
/@7=0;4721F=C;<F;F7/<F<;:6D24;9*92?=;2?=<?/9:
2?=E;02C/5;6</@7=0426/24;94049026:1F7;2)B?=<=
2?=<=/<=9;2D;904:=<=:/E;6920;C ?48?=<2?/9
$R 49 ;@0=<5=: D?/98=0 ;C D;020 /9: <=D=4F20 /9:
2?=1/<=<=/740=:;92?=7=5=7@=7;BR;CD;020;<
/@;5=(R;C<=/740=:<=D=4F20*60D=F24@47421/9/71&
0407=/:02;2?=D;9D7604;92?/22?=F<;O=D240060D=F&
24@7= 2; D?/98=0 49 D;020 /9: <=D=4F20* 9 2?= D/0= ;C
/E;6920?48?=<2?/9$R2?=1B=<=9;2;@0=<5=:*
?=1/D?4=5=:@=7;BRC<;E<=/740=:D;020(%*R
;< ?48?=< 2?/9 (R C<;E /DD;EF740?=: <=D=4F20
$*+R 486<=$*
%
9
8
70%
7.65
7.10
130%
7
6
IRR
5
4
Cr
Rr
4.05
130%
3.48
70%
3
2
2
,! # ? ?/98=0 49 2?= 492=<9/7 </2= ;C <=26<9 49
<=7/24;92;<=7/245=D?/98=049D;02 /9:<=5=96=0 /2
2?= :40D;692 </2=W$R
491;698=<F7/92/24;90 C;<W)R*?40C/D206FF;<202?=
D;9D7604;9 2?/2 2?= F<;:6D24;9 D1D7= F=<4;: 49 F;F7/<
F7/92/24;90 0?;67: @= 0?;<2=9=:* 9 1;698=< 02/9:0
2?=0426/24;940E;<=C/5;6</@7= 0;69:=<0F=D4/7D;9&
:424;902?=F;2=924/77;/9D/9@=<=F/4:*
0# [/1 @/D> F=<4;: C;< 026:4=: F7;20 :40D;692
</2=0W+R )R /9: $R
udy lono.
(%)
6
4
2
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10 11 12 13
y r
29 29 25 22 26 29 36 36 33 40 41 80 75
19 19 17 15 18 19 21 21 21 23 22 38 36
14 13 13 12 13 13 15 15 15 15 14 20 19
?=F/1@/D>F=<4;:C;<2?=:40D;692</2=;C+R
</98=0 @=2B==9 $$& 1=/<0 B?4D? 40 69/DD=F2/@7=
C<;E2?==D;9;E4D02/9:F;492* ;<W$R2?40</98=40
C/4<71 0?;<2=< C<;E $ 2; 1=/<0 :=F=9:498 ;9 2?=
0;47 21F= /9: /8= ;C 02/9:0*
?=060D=F24@47421;C492?40D/0=B/0/9/&
710=:@15/<14982?=D;020B42?49&R /9:2?=
<=D=4F20@=2B==9&%%R* /0=:;92?=/9/71040;C
060D=F24@47421C;<2?=F/1@/D>F=<4;:E=2?;: 42D/9
@= D;9D76:=: 2?/2 2?= D?/98= 49 <=D=4F20 /9: D;020
49 %R 02=F0 D/9 @= <=F<=0=92=: @1 /9 =NF;9=924/7
C69D24;9/9:2?/240@=2B==9*(&)*+1=/<0* ;<
W$R 2?40 </24; 40 2?= E;02 C/5;6</@7= @;2? 49 2?=
D/0= ;C D?/98=0 49 <=D=4F20 /9: D?/98=0 49 D;020
=e/$*
5/<4=:492?=</98=*)+.*$)/5=</8=*(+R
/2 / :40D;692 </2= ;C $R 2/@7= * ?/2 F</D24D/771
E=/902?/22?=D;020/<=$*24E=0?48?=<2?/9<=D=4F20
C;<W$R*?=<=C;<=42D/9@=D7/4E=:2?/24240=D;&
9;E4D/771 69/DD=F2/@7= 2; 495=02 49 06D? 02/9:0 @62
O602B?=9W$R*
=904245421/9/71040;CB/0/70;D/<<4=:;62C;<
V .$R 49 2?= </98= ;C D?/98=0 ;C D;020 /9: <=&
D=4F207;B=<2?/9* ;<V).+R2?=<=/<=D/0=0B?=<=
2?40 </24; 40 /@;5= * ?60 42 0==E0 @=22=< 2; C;D60
0# j /76=0 ;C ;02& =9=C42 /9/71040 C;<
026:4=: F7;20 /2 2?= :40D;692 </2= V$R
FF74D/24;9;C2?=F/1@/D>F=<4;:D/7D67/&
24;9D/9/CC=D28<=/2712?=<=74/@47421;CF<=:4D24982?=
:=8<==;C=D;9;E4D=CC=D245=9=00;C495=02E=920 /9:
/70;2?=F;2=924/7<40>0C;<2?=495=02;<49?40:=D404;90
;9495=02E=92049F;F7/<D67245/24;9* 92?40F<;D=:6<=
B=?/5=9;2/FF74=:2?=<=D;894I=:D/7D67/24;9</2=;C
$R B?4D?40606/771/FF74=:B;<7:B4:= @62</2=0;C
+R )R/9:$R*?=/9/710400?;B02?/240F</D&
24D/77169/DD=F2/@7=C;<2?=495=02;<69:=<2?=:40D;692
</2=;C+R* 9/77026:4=:F7;20 C;<W+R42/E;69202;
$$&1=/<0*?=E;02C/5;6</@7=0426/24;9402?=:40&
D;692</2=;C$R B?=<=2?=F=<4;:</98=0@=2B==9$&
$ 1=/<0* C 2?= <=06720 C;< /<= F<=0=92=: D;77=D&
245=71C;</770/EF7=F7;20/@7= 42D/9@=D;9D76:&
=:2?/22?=E;02C/5;6</@7=0426/24;940C;<W$R/9:
, ! 2
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!#&
BALTIC FORESTRY
! 22 22
2
=CC;<20 ;9 <=:6D498 2?= :40D;692 </2= <=0F=D245=71
486<=(*
4
70%
3.61
3.5
3
2.5
Cr
2
R
1.5
1
130%
0.5
130%
0
Rr
70%
0.46
0.28
0.04
,! # B ?/98=0 49 2?= @=9=C42&D;02 49:=N 49 <=7/24;9
2;<=7/245=D?/98=049D;02 /9:<=5=96=0 /22?=:40&
D;692 </2= W$R
?=97;B=<:40D;692</2=0/<=/FF74=:<=/D?=0
* ;< WR W* C;< W+RW*)* ?=9 V)R
F;F7/< F7/92/24;90 /<= F<;C42/@7= /9: C;< 495=02=:
=6<; ;9=D/9=/<9*$$*
?/98=0 ;C :=F=9:498 ;9 D;020 C;77;B /9 =N&
F;9=924/7 C69D24;9 /9: ;9 2?= ;2?=< ?/9: D?/98=0 ;C
:=F=9:498 ;9 D?/98=0 ;C <=D=4F20 C;77;B / 749=/<
C69D24;9 486<=)*
,! # " ?/98=0 49 2?= @=9=C42&D;02 49:=N 49 <=7/24;9
2;<=7/245=D?/98=049D;02 /9:<=5=96=0 /22?=:40&
D;692 </2= W$R C;< 2?= 026:4=: F7;2 ;* )
Discussion
72?;68?F;F7/<F7/92/24;90?/5=/?48?F<;:6D&
245421/9: 492=<E0;CC;<=02<1 0?;<2<;2/24;90&$%
1=/<0 2?=4<=D;9;E4DF<;C42/@4742140C/<7=002?/92?/2
C;69:4949:602<1/9:/8<4D6726<=/02;9=2/7*$$
422498=< $ :6= 2; ?48? 495=02E=920 9=D=00/<1
2
:6<498 2?=4< =02/@740?E=92 7/29=< =2* /74 $ 0=&
@</9:0$*
=<@4/F<;:6D=0/<;69:(% E (;CF;F7/<B;;:
B?4D?40E6D?7=002?/92?=B;<7:8<=/2=02F<;:6D=<0
74>= ?49/ </9D= 9:4/ 2/71/9:6<>=12?/2F<;&
:6D=E;<=2?/9E4774;9E(C<;E0F=D4/740=:F7/92/&
24;90F499=74/9:/8/89;224$*<;:6D245421;C
F7/92/24;90;9@=02042=0</98=0@=2B==9(%&%%E(
491=/<$ B42?/9/996/749D<=E=92@=2B==9%/9:
$%E( B?4D?D/9@=D;EF/<=:B42?2?=E;02F<;:6D&
245=042=049 2/71F499=74=2/7*$*;02F7/92/&
24;90 /<= =02/@740?=: B42? 2?= /4E ;C F<;:6D24;9 ;C
?48?5/76=5=9==<7;802?/2D/9F/<24D4F/2=6F2;+%R
;CB;;:5;76E=O*=e/ 69F6@740?=:*6D?/?48?
0?/<= <=06720 49 7=982? ;C <;2/24;9 $%&(% B?4D? 40
E6D? 7;98=< 2?/9 49 ;2?=< D;692<4=0 06D? /0 2/71
</9D=/9: 9:4/F499=74=2/7*$ ?477;9=2/7*
$*;98F<;:6D24;9D1D7=0 F<;54:=7;B5/76=0C;<
=5=9C;<2?=:40D;692</2=;CW)R* /0=:;92?=
/@;5= 42 40 D7=/< 2?/2 49 F</D24D= 42 40 9=D=00/<1 2;
4EF<;5=2?=F;0424;9;CF<;:6D24;9498=224982?=:=&
C4D4=92C49/9D4/7E=/90C;<495=02E=92049F;F7/<D67&
245/24;9 49;<:=<2;024E67/2==02/@740?E=92;C/<24C4&
D4/7F;F7/<F7/92/24;90 =0F=D4/771492?=F<45/2=0=D&
2;<;9F<45/2=7/9:0 B?4D?/<=69/22</D245=C;</8<4&
D6726</7F<;:6D24;9 <;B9$ #/E=0/9:=769&
8; $%* ?= D;020 ;C 7;88498 /9: /00;<2E=92 F<;&
:6D24;9E/>=/04894C4D/92=NF=90=42=E 0;42409=D&
=00/<1 2; <=:6D= D;020 49 2?= C=77498 /9: F<=F/</24;9
;C/00;<2E=920/9:492?=C4<02F?/0=;C2</90F;<2 <=&
E=<=2*/7*$ <4>00;9=2*/7*$$ [?6=2/7**
95=02E=920D/9@=:4<=D2=:49D;02<=:6D24;9C;<'
0;47 F<=F/</24;9 026EF D?4FF498 :==F F7;68?498
=2D* 4EF<;5=E=92;C492=<&<;B2477498 @=22=<F7/92F<;&
2=D24;9 /8/4902 490=D2 F=020 /9: F?12;&F/2?;8=94D
C6984=e/$*9042=0690642/@7=C;<F;F7/<F7/92&
498 4240<=D;EE=9:=:2;/FF71C=<24740=<0 @</9D?F<69&
4982;?=48?20/0?48?/0+2;-* 772?=/@;5=2=D?&
94D/7/9:2=D?9;7;84D/7E=/06<=0 /72?;68?D7/004C4=:
/0:4<=D2D;020 D;92<4@62=2;4EF<;5=E=92;CF<;O=D2
=CC4D4=9D1 @=D/60=2?=1:4<=D271<=C7=D2;92?=U6/74&
21 ;C /00;<2E=920 /9: 2?=4< 5/76= /2 2?= =9: ;C 2?=
F<;:6D24;9D1D7=*=:6D24;9;CD;020 492?=C626<= D/9
@= /70; ;@2/49=: @1 E=D?/94I/24;9 4902=/: ;C 60= ;C
E/96/7 F<;:6D24;9 ;C /00;<2E=920 B42? / D?/49 0/B
F49=774=2/7*$*;<7:=D;9;E4DD<4040/70;E/>=0
7/@;6< 5=<1 D?=/F 49 =<@4/ @62 ;9 2?= ;2?=< ?/9:
2?=<=40/D;902/927/@;6<0?;<2/8=B?4D?D/9@=;5=<&
D;E=B42?2?=60=;C?/<5=02=<0F49=774=2/7*$*
::424;9/7 49D;E= /9: D;02 <=:6D24;9 D/9 @=
;@2/49=:@160498<=E/49498F;F7/<B;;:C;<@4;E/00
F49=774=2/7*$% B?4D?4049749=B42?2?= ;EE;9
8<4D6726</7;74D1;C2?=6<;F=/994;9/9:=9:=/5&
;6<0;C2?=;5=<9E=92;C2?==F6@74D;C=<@4/2;
275
BALTIC FORESTRY
! 22 22
:=5=7;F2?=@4;=9=<810=D2;<* 7;2;C:/2/0?;B2?=
F;2=924/7 C;< D;95=<04;9 ;C 2<== 2;F0 @</9D?=0 /9:
026EF0 492; D?4FF=: @4;E/00 F<;:6D20 F49=774 /9:
/8/89;224$*
?= /9/710=0/9:2?=D/7D67/2=:5/76=0D/9
@=864:=749=0C;<2?=:402<4@624;9;CD;020/9:<=D=4F20H
?;B=5=< 2?=1/<=9;206CC4D4=92C;<=024E/24;9;CF;F7/<
F7/92/24;9 D;02&=CC=D245=9=00* ;< 2?40 <=/0;9 42 40
9=D=00/<12;/9/710=2?=492=<9/7</2=;C<=26<9 2=<E0
;C<=26<9 /9:2?=@=9=C42&D;02</24;*
;B=5=< 4240D7=/<2?/22?=<=06720?/5=F</D24&
D/7/FF74D/24;9 /02?=10?;B49B?4D?492=<5/7F;F7/<
F7/92/24;90 /<= F<;C42/@7=* 7;@/7 D<4040 E/:= 7/9:
=0F=D4/7717/9:060D=F24@7=2;C7;;:498 5=<1D?==F/9:
<=:6D=: <=920 2; 7=00 2?/9 $ ?/ & 1=/< & 0; 49&
5;75=E=92;C2?/2C/D2;<B;67:9-2D?/98=E6D?C49/7
D/7D67/24;90;CC49/9D4/7F/</E=2=<0* 92?=C626<= 2?40
0426/24;9 D/9 D?/98= /9: 495;75=E=92 ;C 2?40 C/D2;<
E/1D?/98=2?=D/7D67/2=:49:4D/2;<5/76=0* ;EE=<&
D4/7@/9>049=<@4/ 845=7;/90B42?/9492=<=02</2=
;C%R*<45/2=;B9=<0D/9@=/:540=:2;495=024906D?
/F<;:6D24;9;CF;F7/<B;;:*92?=;2?=<?/9: 2?=
02/2=?/0/9492=<=02<=8/<:498F;F7/<F7/92/24;90*7/9&
2/24;90/<=5=<1=CC4D4=9249D;906E498 $ /00?=7&
2=<@=720 C7;;: D;92<;7 =2D* ?=<=C;<= 2?= 02/2= D/9
024E67/2=C626<=495=02E=920;CC;<=02;B9=<049F;F&
7/< F<;:6D24;9 ;9 <45=<@/9>0* 7/92/24;90 8<;B9 ;9
@=22=<U6/74210;4721F=006D?/0/77654/70=E487=1/<=
E;<=F<;C42/@7=*
=8/<:498 2?=<=06720D7=/<710?;B/9495=<0=
F<;F;<24;9@=2B==92?=:40D;692</2=/9:F7/92/24;9/8=
/9:/:4<=D2F<;F;<24;9B42?2?=0;4721F=* ;<=N/EF7=
:40D;692 </2=0 /<= ?48?=< C;< F7/92/24;90 B?4D? /<=
8<;B9 ;9 02/9:0 0642/@7= C;< F;F7/< F<;:6D24;9 /776&
54/70=E487=1/9:C;<0?;<2=<<;2/24;90/9: ' $"4
2/9:0B42??48?=< ?/5=495=02E=92F<4;<421* 92?=
<=0=/<D? 2?=1 /<= 2?= 1;698=< F7/92/24;90 <=C=<<498
495=02;<049F;F7/<F<;:6D24;92;495=024902/9:0B42?
0?;<2=< <;2/24;90* =<C;<E=: 060D=F24@47421 /9/71040
7=/:0 2; 2?= D;9D7604;9 2?/2 2?= F<;O=D2 40 060D=F24@7=
2;D?/98=049D;02/9:<=D=4F20*?=C49/9D4/7F=<C;<E&
/9D= E=/06<=0 60=: 9=2 F<=0=92 5/76= /9: 49&
2=<9/7</2=;C<=26<9 B=<=C;69:2;D;EF7=E=92
=/D? ;2?=<* 2 40 /70; 5=<1 4EF;<2/92 2; E=924;9 2?/2
F;F7/<F7/92/24;90D/99;2@=F<;C42/@7=/2:40D;692</2=0
49 2?= </98= &%R /0 60=: 49 /00=00498 C69:498
;FF;<269424=0492?==D;9;E4=0;C:=5=7;F498/9:2</9&
0424;9D;692<4=0 $%*?=5/76=0;C 492?=
B;<>;C5/<4;60/62?;<0</98=C<;E)*(R 9:=<0;9/9:
6D>=<2$+2?<;68?+&R/9>=<07=1$+6F2;
$&%R/@@60?/9: =/2;9 #/49/9:4989$
C;<F;F7/<F7/92/24;90*
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/8<4D6726<=409;25=<1<=/0;9/@7=* ;<=N/EF7=
276
2
2
49/8<4D6726<=F7/92/24;90;C/FF7= B/7962/<=%&
1=/<0 ?;B=5=< C;< / D;EF7=2= /FF</40/7 42 40 9=D=0&
0/<12;?/5=49E49:2?=F7/92/24;9=NF7;42/24;9F=<4&
;:/0B=77/047O=54*4CC=<=92/62?;<0/9/710=
:4CC=<=92C;<F;F7/<F7/92/24;90:=F=9:498;92?=
0;4721F= /8=;C02/9: F7/92:=90421/9:D74E/2=* 9
9:4/?477;9=2*/7*E=924;9;C1=/<0 ?/9:</
/@;621=/<0 ?/9:</+ D=99=1492?=</98=
&$$ 1=/<0 D=99=1 =2*/7* $ /9: /24C =2*/7*
E=924;90%1=/<0C;<F;F7/<F7/92/24;9049/7/104/*
602E=924;902?/249 7/9:<4/2?=F;F7/<
F7/92/24;90/5=</8= @=9=C42&D;02f5/76=40492?=</98=
*)&$* 496<>=1*%&$*<>/9$$ 4<7=<+
/9:49/>402/94240*%+&*$$4::4U64=2*/7**
971/FF74D/24;9;C/77C;6<E=2?;:0845=00;76&
24;90 2; 495=02E=92 4006=0 49 F;F7/< F7/92/24;90 49
8=9=</7*?=;@0=<5=:D?/</D2=<4024D0 06D?/00;4721F=
/9: /8= /<= 2?= :4<=D24;90 C;< 2?= =02/@740?E=92 ;C
492=9045=F;F7/<F7/92/24;90492?=C626<= B?4D?B477
@= D;02&=CC=D245= =5=9 69:=< /9 492=<=02 </2= B?4D?
402?=6FF=<74E42;CD;02&=CC=D245=9=00;C495=02E=920
49F;F7/<D67245/24;9/@;62+R*
?40 F/F=< 0?;B0 2?/2 ?1@<4: F;F7/< F7/92/24;90
D/9@=F<;C42/@7=4CC49/9D=:/2492=<=02</2=0492?=</98=
)&R* 9;<:=<2?=0=?48?71F<;:6D245=F7/92/24;90E48?2
@=D;02&=CC=D245=42409=D=00/<12;</40=2?=E;9/:=&
U6/2=042=0T?/@42/20 76540;7/9:0=E487=1/9:2?/22?=
<;2/24;9 :=F=9:498;92?=F6<F;0=;CF7/92/24;90/9:
E/<>=2D;9:424;90 E602@=0?;<2=9=: 2;%&$1=/<0*
?=D6<<=92F<=0D<4@=:F=<4;:40$%1=/<0*
Conclusions
/0=:;9;C2?=/9/71040F=<C;<E=:604982?=
E=2?;: 42D/9@=D;9D76:=:2?/22?=F<;O=D2C;<2?=F=<4;:
;C $)&)$ 1=/<0 B/0 69F<;C42/@7= @=D/60= 2?= 7;00 B/0
/@;62 %+&$ +$x?/. * ;<2?=F<;O=D22;@=/DD=F2/&
@7= @12?= 495=02;<0 2?40</24;E602@=F;04245=/9:49
2?=0=D/0=042409=8/245=*?=<=D=4F20B=<=492?=</98=
$*))2;$(*++x?/.C;<2?=;@0=<5=:02/9:0/22?==9:
;C <;2/24;9* 95=02E=920 49 2?= F7/92/24;90 ;C 2?=0= <;&
2/24;90 /<= /DD=F2/@7= ;971 4C 2?= :40D;692 </2= 40 )R*
?= @=02 </24; 40 49 2?= 1;698=02 02/9:0* ?= :40D;692
</2=;C+RD/9@=/DD=F2=:490?;<2=<<;2/24;90491;698&
=< 02/9:0* 95=02E=92 69:=< 2?= D/7D67/24;9 </2= ;C )R
40C49/9D4/771O6024C4=:49/77026:1D/0=0* 20?;67:@==E&
F?/040=: 2?/2 F<;:6D24;9 ;9 /77654/7 0=E487=1 40 E;02
F<;C42/@7=/22?=/8=;C$+1=/<0$ (x?/. /9:4240
7=/02F<;C42/@7=;92?=0/E=0;47/22?=/8=;C)$1=/<0
(x?/ .* /0=:;9/FF74D/24;9;C2?=060D=F24@47421
/9/71040 42B/0D;9D76:=:2?/2F;04245=C49/9D4/7=CC=D20
D/9 @= <=/74I=: @1 :=D<=/0498 D;020 ;< @1 49D<=/0498
<=D=4F20*6D?F<;O=D20/<=E;<=0=904245=2;D?/98=049
<=D=4F20 /9: <=D;EE=9:/24;90 /<= :4<=D2=: 2;' =9D;6<&
BALTIC FORESTRY
! 22 22
2
/8=B;<>D;92<;749C;<=020 D<=/2==CC4D4=9249D;E=049
/77 F<;:6D24;9 F?/0=0 /9: :=D<=/0= 2?= D;020 ;C 0;47
F<=F/</24;9 B?47= F<;:6D24;9 ;C 0==:74980 0?;67: @=
:4<=D2=:2;F<;:6D24;9@1D74=920*
?=<=0=/<D?0?;B=:2?/22?= C;<(0/EF7=
F7;205/<4=:492?=492=<5/7)*($&+*)RB42?/9/5=<&
/8=</2=;C%*+(R*?=492=<9/7</2=0/<=7/<8=<C;<F7/9&
2/24;90;98;;:U6/74210;4721F=0 0642/@7=C;<F;F7/<
F7/92/24;9 /7654/7 0=E487=14D 0;47 /9: C;< 0?;<2=<
<;2/24;90/9:54D=5=<0/* 5/76=0?48?=<2?/9$R
B=<=9;2C;69:492?=<=0=/<D?=:D;02&<=5=96=0</2=0*
?=0=904245421/9/71040F<;5=:2?/22?=F<;O=D2405=<1
=/0471 /CC=D2=: @1 D;02&<=5=96=0 D?/98=0*
?=/9/710400?;B02?/240F</D24D/77169/D&
D=F2/@7=C;<2?=495=02;<69:=<2?=:40D;692</2=;C+R*
9/770/EF7=F7;20 C;<W+R42/E;69202;$$&1=/<0*
?= E;02 C/5;6</@7= 0426/24;9 40 2?= :40D;692 </2= ;C
$R B?=<=2?=F=<4;:</98=0@=2B==9$&$1=/<0* 2D/9
@=D;9D76:=:2?/22?=E;02C/5;6</@7=0426/24;940C;<
W$R/9: 491;698=<F7/92/24;90 C;<W)R*
5/<4=:492?=</98=*)+.*$)/5=</8=*(+R
/2/:40D;692</2=;C$R 2?=<=C;<=42D/9@=D7/4E=:
2?/24240=D;9;E4D/77169/DD=F2/@7=2;495=024906D?
02/9:0* 2 0==E0 @=22=< 2; C;D60 =CC;<20 ;9 <=:6D498
2?= :40D;692 </2= <=0F=D245=71*
/0=:;9;C2?=/9/71040:;9=;9F;F7/<F7/92/&
24;9F<;:6D24;9/9:=D;9;E4D495=02E=92E;:=70 B=
?/5=2=02=:/006EF24;90/9:D;902</4920;C2?==02/@&
740?=:F;F7/<495=02E=92/FF</40/7E;:=7*;004@47424=0
?/5=@==9=N/E49=:/9:D;9D7604;90E/:=;92?=/:&
=U6/D1 ;C 2?= 0=7=D2=: E=2?;:0 C;< 495=02E=92 =D;&
9;E4D=CC=D245=9=00/FF</40/749F;F7/<F7/92/24;90*
Acknowledgement
6$$"'6!"$$),:&*"%$-6
%$& ,)'"% "%, '%' 6 ):+'
:"4?!)+,+<6"%<='$ 7811C
"%, 7#12#*
References
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2;9 * * F*$*
# 7# $+* /9 ?1@<4: F;F7/<
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9/9D4/7 /9/71040 /9: F;74D1 D;904:=</24;90* =02=<9 ;<&
=02 D;9;E402 ==2498 <=8;9 (+ FF*
!## H# $(* NF7;<498 2?= C;<=02.
F;5=<21 749>' =1 D;9D=F20 4006=0 /9: <=0=/<D? 4EF74D/&
24;90*
DD/04;9/7 /F=< ;* )* ;8;< 9:;9=&
04/ =92<= C;< 92=<9/24;9/7 ;<=02<1 =0=/<D?
*
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6 "')+& $& F* &( 49 =<@4/9 B42?
98740? 06EE/<1*
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7/9: 60= ;F24;90' E/96/7 C;< <=0=/<D?=<0* 22/B/ /9&
/:/ 92=<9/24;9/7 =5=7;FE=92 =0=/<D? =92<=*
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677E/9 $$ FF*
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"%"+ $$4 $ '%' (' )%&))*
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' "#2 H $* EF4<4D/7 <=867/<424=0 49 2?= F;5=<21.
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C<;E [4E@/@B=* ?+, +-% $' .$*
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6,,% 6" $3 "+)"% -6,$ !,+"%, "%,
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; ; ;## * $$* 4;=9=<&
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277
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! 22 22
2
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;627=:8=
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06@E422=: 2; 954<;9E=92 /9: =5=7;FE=92 D;9;E4D0
945=<0421 ;C !;<> *
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<=00 /724E;<= & ;9:;9
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FF</40/7 =2?;:0 /9: ;:=70 F<498=<&=<7/8 =<749
F* ((*
= #!# # ; +* D;9;E4D0 C;< =954<;9E=92/7 /9:
9/26</7 <=0;6<D=0 E/9/8=E=92* =D26<= 9;2=0 C;<
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;# & +* 06<5=1 ;9 :=5=7;FE=92 /9: F;004@47424=0
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