Working Paper 171 - Youth Unemployment and Political Instability in Selected Developing Countries

Therese F. Azeng and Thierry Yogo ()

Working Paper Series from African Development Bank

Abstract: It has been suggested that large rate of youth unemployment makes countries more unstable in general, and thus more prone to armed conflict. The goal of this paper is to empirically determine the effects of youth unemployment on political instability. Using fixed-effects regression with instrumental variables on a sample covering 24 developing countries over the period 1980-2010, we find that youth unemployment is significantly associated with an increase of the risk of political instability. We suggest that exceptionally large youth unemployment rate, associated with socioeconomic inequalities and corruption, make countries more susceptible to political instability and national insecurity.

Date: 2013-06-14
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