Do Globalisation and Geopolitical Risks Matter for Stock Market Performance in Nigeria?

Elias Udeaja, Peter Offum, Kera Ifejimalu and Samson Okafor
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Elias Udeaja: Research Department, Central Bank, Abuja, Nigeria
Peter Offum: Research Department, Central Bank, Abuja, Nigeria
Kera Ifejimalu: Research Department, Central Bank, Abuja, Nigeria
Samson Okafor: Research Department, Central Bank, Abuja, Nigeria

Financial Economics Letters, 2024, vol. 3, issue 3, 36-51

Abstract: The integration of countries into the global economy comes with exposure to risks that can be assessed through empirical investigation to uncover their impact on the domestic economy. Thus, this study attempts to answer the question of whether globalisation and geopolitical risk matter for stock market performance in Nigeria, given the growing interaction with the rest of the world. In doing so, the paper employs the dynamic ordinary least squares (DOLS) technique to analyse annual time series data on relevant variables from 1985 to 2021. The main finding indicates that globalisation and geopolitical risks significantly dampen the performance of the Nigerian stock market, whether it is measured by market capitalisation or by an all-share index. Accordingly, the study recommends the implementation of policies aimed at mitigating the risks associated with the globalisation and geopolitics to enhance the performance of the financial market.

Keywords: Globalisation; Geopolitical risks; stock markets; Dynamic Ordinary Least Squares (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024
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