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The Equity Premium in Retrospect

Rajnish Mehra and Edward Prescott

No 9525, NBER Working Papers from National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc

Abstract: This article takes a critical look at the literature on equity premium puzzle - the inability of standard intertemporal economic models to rationalize the statistics that have characterized U.S. financial markets over the past century. A summary of historical returns for the United States and other industrialized countries and an overview of the economic construct itself are provided. The intuition behind the discrepancy between model prediction and empirical data is explained and the research efforts to enhance the model's ability to replicate the empirical data are summarized.

JEL-codes: D91 E2 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2003-03
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-dge, nep-his and nep-rmg
Note: AP
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (198)

Published as Mehra, Rajnish & Prescott, Edward C., 2003. "The equity premium in retrospect," Handbook of the Economics of Finance, in: G.M. Constantinides & M. Harris & R. M. Stulz (ed.), Handbook of the Economics of Finance, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 14, pages 889-938 Elsevier.

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