A Welfare Criterion for Models with Distorted Beliefs
Wei Xiong,
Alp Simsek and
Markus Brunnermeier
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Wei Xiong: Department of Economics and Bendheim Cen
Alp Simsek: MIT
No 1418, 2014 Meeting Papers from Society for Economic Dynamics
Abstract:
This paper proposes a welfare criterion for economies in which agents have heterogeneously distorted beliefs. Instead of taking a stand on whose belief is correct, our criterion asserts an allocation to be belief-neutral efficient (inefficient) if it is efficient (inefficient) under any convex combination of agents' beliefs. While this criterion gives an incomplete ranking of social allocations, it can identify positive- and negative-sum speculation driven by conflicting beliefs in a broad range of economic environments.
Date: 2014
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Journal Article: A Welfare Criterion For Models With Distorted Beliefs (2014) 
Working Paper: A Welfare Criterion for Models with Distorted Beliefs (2014) 
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