SPC AC 221716

   Day 2 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1116 AM CST Sun Dec 22 2024

   Valid 231200Z - 241200Z

   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Monday.

   A midlevel shortwave trough will amplify from the central Rockies to
   the south-central High Plains on Monday. A weak surface low will
   likely develop across Texas into southern Oklahoma, with a modest
   increase in low-level moisture across central/east Texas into
   southern Oklahoma in advance of a cold front moving southeastward
   across the southern High Plains. Increasing forcing for ascent and
   elevated moisture transport should lead to increasing elevated
   convection Monday night across north/northeast Texas into southeast
   Oklahoma and the ArkLaTex. While a mid-level capping inversion may
   tend to persist, updrafts should increasingly reach a sufficient
   depth/temperature late Monday night into early Tuesday for at least
   isolated thunderstorms. Severe thunderstorms are not currently
   expected given access to only weak elevated buoyancy.

   Isolated thunderstorms will also be possible late Monday night
   across the coastal Pacific Northwest and northern California as
   temperatures aloft cool with the approaching mid-level trough.

   ..Bentley.. 12/22/2024

   CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0700Z