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Local Deficits and Local Jobs: Can U.S. States Stabilize Their Own Economies?. (2013). Carlino, Gerald ; Inman, Robert P..
In: NBER Working Papers.
RePEc:nbr:nberwo:18930.

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  1. Partisanship and Fiscal Policy in Economic Unions: Evidence from US States. (2023). Zarra, Nicholas ; Inman, Robert ; Drautzburg, Thorsten ; Carlino, Gerald.
    In: American Economic Review.
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  2. Coping with extreme events: On solving decentralized budgetary crises.. (2022). Goodspeed, Timothy J.
    In: Working Papers. Collection A: Public economics, governance and decentralization.
    RePEc:gov:wpaper:2210.

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  3. Partisanship and Fiscal Policy in Economic Unions: Evidence from U.S. States. (2021). Drautzburg, Thorsten ; Carlino, Gerald ; Zarra, Nicholas ; Inman, Robert P.
    In: NBER Working Papers.
    RePEc:nbr:nberwo:28425.

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  4. The African Growth and Opportunity Act and growth in sub?Saharan Africa: A local projection approach. (2021). Cook, Nathaniel ; Jones, Jason C.
    In: The World Economy.
    RePEc:bla:worlde:v:44:y:2021:i:1:p:234-261.

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  5. Partisanship and Fiscal Policy in Federal Unions: Evidence from US States. (2020). Carlino, Gerald ; Zarra, Nicholas ; Inman, Robert ; Drautzburg, Thorsten.
    In: VfS Annual Conference 2020 (Virtual Conference): Gender Economics.
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  6. Partisanship and Fiscal Policy in Economic Unions: Evidence from U.S. States. (2020). Drautzburg, Thorsten ; Carlino, Gerald ; Zarra, Nicholas ; Inman, Robert P.
    In: Working Papers.
    RePEc:fip:fedpwp:88106.

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  7. Fiscal Policy in Monetary Unions: State Partisanship and its Macroeconomic Effects. (2019). Carlino, Gerald ; Drautzburg, Thorsten ; Inman, Robert ; Zarra, Nicholas.
    In: 2019 Meeting Papers.
    RePEc:red:sed019:434.

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  8. Regional Data in Macroeconomics: Some Advice for Practitioners. (2019). Chodorow-Reich, Gabriel.
    In: NBER Working Papers.
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  9. The quantitative effects of tax foresight: Not all states are equal. (2019). Herrera, Ana María ; Rangaraju, Sandeep Kumar.
    In: Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control.
    RePEc:eee:dyncon:v:107:y:2019:i:c:6.

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  10. Not All Regions Are Alike: Evaluating the Effect of Oil Price Shocks on Local and Aggregate Economies. (2018). Roberts, Michael ; Brucal, Arlan.
    In: Working Papers.
    RePEc:hai:wpaper:201807.

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  11. Not All Regions Are Alike: Evaluating the Effect of Oil Price Shocks on Local and Aggregate Economies. (2018). Roberts, Michael ; Brucal, Arlan.
    In: Working Papers.
    RePEc:hae:wpaper:2018-4.

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  12. The role of spatial GDP spillovers in state-level Okun’s law. (2017). Montero Kuscevic, Casto ; Basistha, Arabinda.
    In: Letters in Spatial and Resource Sciences.
    RePEc:spr:lsprsc:v:10:y:2017:i:3:d:10.1007_s12076-017-0189-7.

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  13. Fiscal Stimulus in Economic Unions: What Role for States?. (2016). Carlino, Gerald ; Inman, Robert P.
    In: Tax Policy and the Economy.
    RePEc:ucp:tpolec:doi:10.1086/685592.

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  14. DO BALANCED-BUDGET RULES INCREASE GROWTH?. (2016). Stone, Joe.
    In: Bulletin of Economic Research.
    RePEc:bla:buecrs:v:68:y:2016:i:1:p:79-89.

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  15. Prudent debt targets and fiscal frameworks. (2015). Hoeller, Peter ; Fournier, Jean-Marc ; Fall, Falilou ; Bloch, Debra.
    In: OECD Economic Policy Papers.
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  16. Fiscal Stimulus in Economic Unions: What Role for States?. (2015). Carlino, Gerald ; Inman, Robert P.
    In: NBER Working Papers.
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  17. Okun’s law, asymmetries and regional spillovers: evidence from Virginia metropolitan statistical areas and the District of Columbia. (2014). Pereira, Rui.
    In: The Annals of Regional Science.
    RePEc:spr:anresc:v:52:y:2014:i:2:p:583-595.

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  18. Fiscal Federalism in Four Federal Countries. (2014). Virkola, Tuomo .
    In: ETLA Reports.
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  19. Do balanced-budget rules increase growth?. (2014). Stone, Joe.
    In: MPRA Paper.
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  20. Fiscal Stimulus in Economic Unions: What Role for States?. (2014). Inman, Robert P ; Carlino, Gerald .
    In: NBER Chapters.
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  21. State Fiscal Policies and Regional Economic Activity. (2014). Uhl, Matthias.
    In: MAGKS Papers on Economics.
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  22. Macro fiscal policy in economic unions: states as agents. (2014). Carlino, Gerald ; Inman, Robert P..
    In: Working Papers.
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  23. Countercyclical policy and the speed of recovery after recessions. (2014). Owyang, Michael ; Jackson Young, Laura ; Francis, Neville.
    In: Working Papers.
    RePEc:fip:fedlwp:2013-032.

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  24. Okuns Law, Asymmetries and Regional Spillovers: Evidence from Virginia Metropolitan Statistical Areas and the District of Columbia. (2014). Pereira, Rui.
    In: Working Papers.
    RePEc:cwm:wpaper:140.

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References

References cited by this document

  1. Arellano, M. and S. Bond (1991), “Some Tests of Specification for Panel Data: Monte Carlo Evidence and an Application to Employment Equations,” The Review of Economic Studies, Vol. 58, pp. 277-297.

  2. Auerbach, Alan and Yuriy Gorodnichenko (2012), “Output Spillovers from Fiscal Policy,” Working Paper 18578, NBER.

  3. Beetsma, Roel and Massimo Giuliodori (2011), “The Effects of Government Purchase Shocks: Review and Estimates for the EU,” Economic Journal, Vol. 121, pp. F4-F32.

  4. Bowsher, Clive (2002), “On Testing Overidentifying Restrictions in Dynamic Panel Data Models,” Economic Letters, Vol. 77, pp. 211-220.

  5. Bronars, Stephen and Dennis Jansen (1987), “The Geographic Distribution of Unemployment Rates in the United States: A Spatial-Time Series Analysis,” Journal of Econometrics, Vol. 36, pp. 252-279.

  6. Caselli, Francesco, Gerardo Esquivel, and Fernando Lefort (1996), “Reopening the Convergence Debate: A New Look at Cross-Country Growth Empirics,” Journal of Economic Growth, Vol. 1, pp. 363-389.

  7. Craig, Steven and Robert Inman (1982), “Federal Aid and Public Education: An Empirical Look at the New Fiscal Federalism,” Review of Economics and Statistics, Vol. 64, pp. 541-552.

  8. Crone, Theodore (2004), “An Alternative Definition of Economic Regions in the United States Based on Similarities in State Business Cycles,” Review of Economics and Statistics, Vol. 87, pp. 617-626.
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  9. Economic Regions are defined as in Crone (2004). Crone’s Economic Regions differ from the BEA definitions by moving West Virginia into the Great Lakes Region and Louisiana into the “Energy Belt” Region, both from BEA’s Southeast Region. Minnesota is added to the Great Lakes Region from the BEA’s Plains Region. South Dakota and North Dakota are moved to a new Mountain/Northern Plains Region from BEA’s Plains Region. Wyoming. Utah, and Colorado are moved to the “Energy Belt” Region from BEA’s Rocky Mountain States Region. Finally, Arizona is moved to the Far West Region from the BEA’s Southwest Region. The BEA’s Southwest Region is now omitted. TABLE 2: Own State Deficits and State Rate of Job Growth† ( : Mean = .018 ; S.D. = .024)  N  N (OLS) (1)  N (GMM) (2)  N (GMM) (3)  N (GMM) (4)  N (GMM) (5)  N (GMM) (6) OwnD(-1) (Mean = 276; S.D. = 500) -.000002 (.0000008)* .00004 (.00002)** .00004 (.00002)** .00003 (.00001)** .000005 (.000002)** -
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  10. GovServices(-1) (Mean = 2001; S.D. = 742) - - - - - -.000007 (.000009) -IOSpillovers (Mean = .0017; S.D. = .003) - - -2.004 (.937)** - - - -REGSpillovers (Mean = .0041; S.D. = .0067) .345 (.050)** - - .272 (.104)** .231 (.122)* .258 (.092)** .415 (.074)** Year Fixed YES YES YES YES NO YES YES IV F-Test for OwnD(-1) - 9.05 9.05 9.05 9.05 - 7.02 IV F-Test for OwnNetRev(-1) - - - - - 16.83 -IV F-Test for GovServices(-1) - - - - - 188.89 -Arellano-Bond Test: AR(2) - .240 .206 .348 .703 .995 .936 Hansen Exclusion Test - .366 .624 .518 .376 .510 .404 Difference-in-Hansen Test - .365 .458 .371 .282 .510 .280 †
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  11. Hamilton, James D. (2003), “What Is an Oil Shock?” Journal of Econometrics, Vol. 113, pp. 363-398.

  12. Haughwout, Andrew and Robert Inman (2001), “Fiscal Policies in Open Cities with Firms and Households,” Regional Science and Urban Economics, Vol. 31, pp. 147-180.

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  17. Pauly, Mark (1970), “Optimality, ‘Public’ Goods, and Local Governments: A General Theoretical Analysis,” Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 78, pp.572-585.

  18. R-1 Holtz-Eakin, Douglas (1994), “Public Sector Capital and the Productivity Puzzle,” The Review of Economics and Statistics, Vol. 76, pp. 12-21.

  19. Ramey, Valerie (2011), “Can Government Purchases Stimulate the Economy?,” Journal of Economic Literature, Vol. 49, pp. 673-685.

  20. Romer, Christina and David Romer (2010), “The Macroeconomic Effects of Tax Changes: Estimates Based on a New Measure of Fiscal Shocks,” American Economic Review, Vol. 110, pp. 763-801.

  21. Roodman, David (2008), “A Note on the Theme of Too Many Instruments,” Working Paper 125, Center for Global Development.
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  22. Simulations are for an increase in OwnD(-1) in each region, both on own states and on neighbors based upon estimates from Table 2, col. 4. The simulations are for a deficit increase equal to one S.D. of OwnD(-1) for the decade, 2000-2007: $390/person. Simulations are for a deficit increase in FY2008 impacting jobs in calendar 2009. Only impact effects, one year following the increase in state deficits, are reported here. a) Deficits Per Capita
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  23. Stock, James, Jonathan Wright, and Motohiro Yogo (2002), “A Survey of Weak Instruments and Weak Identification in Generalized Methods of Moments,” Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, Vol. 20, pp. 518-529.

  24. Wildasin, David (2000), “Factor Mobility and Fiscal Policy in the EU: Policy Issues and Analytical Approaches,” Economic Policy, Vol. 15, pp. 339-378.

  25. Wilson,Daniel(2012).“FiscalSpendingJobsMultipliers:Evidencefromthe2009American Recovery and Reinvestment Act.” American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, Vol. 4, pp. 251282.

  26. Windmeijer, Frank (2005), “A Finite Sample Correction for the Variance of Linear Efficient Two-step GMM Estimators,” Journal of Econometrics, Vol. 126, pp. 25-51. R-2 TABLE 1: Economic Regions[ ECONOMIC REGIONS MEMBER STATES New England Maine, New Hampshire, Vermont, Massachusetts, Rhode Island, Connecticut Mideast New York, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Delaware, Maryland Southeast Virginia, North Carolina, South Carolina, Georgia, Florida, Kentucky, Tennessee, Alabama, Mississippi, Arkansas Great Lakes West Virginia, Michigan, Ohio, Indiana, Illinois, Wisconsin, Minnesota Plains Missouri, Kansas, Nebraska, Iowa Mountain/Northern Plains South Dakota, North Dakota, Montana, Idaho Energy Belt Louisiana, Wyoming, Utah, Colorado, Texas, Oklahoma, New Mexico Far West Arizona, California, Nevada, Oregon, Washington [

  27. ZAID(-1) (Mean = 476; S.D. = 253) .000006 (.000002)** -.00006 (.00004) -.00005 (.00004) -.00004 (.00002)* .00002 (.00005) -.00006 (.00003)* OwnNetRev(-1) (Mean = 2537; S.D. = 915) - - - - - -.00004 (.00002)** GovServices(-1) (Mean = 2001; S.D. = 742) - - - - - .00003 (.00003) IOSpillovers (Mean = .0067; S.D. = .014) - - .093 (.078) - - -REGSpillovers (Mean = .017; S.D. = .023) .634 (.033)** - - .685 (.091)** .887 (.050)** .676 (.609) Year Fixed YES YES YES YES NO YES IV F-Test for OwnD(-1) - 10.06 10.06 10.06 10.06 -IV F-Test for OwnNetRev(-1) - - - - - 13.58 IV F-Test for GovServices(-1) - - - - - 164.29 Arellano-Bond Test: AR(2) - .479 .389 .330 .312 .359 Hansen Exclusion Test - .732 .651 .785 .733 .515 Difference-in-Hansen Test - .765 .714 .745 .635 .514 †
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  49. Production Functions: The Search for Identification. (1995). MAIRESSE, Jacques ; Griliches, Zvi.
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