Old age or dependence. Which social insurance?
Yukihiro Nishimura and
Pierre Pestieau
No 3195, LIDAM Reprints CORE from Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE)
Abstract:
In recent decades, there has been an increase in life expectancy and a rapid increase of the very senior dependency ratio in developed countries. In this context, we examine the optimal levels of public pensions and public long-term care (LTC) insurance. According to the most reasonable estimates of correlations among individual incomes, risks of mortality and dependency, we show that it is always desirable for a utilitarian social planner to have a balanced budget increase in LTC benefits at the expense of public pension benefits, until the cost of LTC is fully covered. This is true with or without liquidity constraints. For a Rawlsian planner, the balance between the two schemes depends on a comparison of the ratio of the survival probability to the dependence risk of the poor with its population average.
Keywords: Long-term care; pension; dependency risk; mortality risk; optimal taxation; liquidity constraints (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: H21 H51 H55 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 18
Date: 2022-01-06
Note: In: Journal of Public Economic Theory, 2022
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Journal Article: Old age or dependence: Which social insurance? (2022) 
Working Paper: Old age or dependence. Which social insurance? (2020) 
Working Paper: Old age or dependence. Which social insurance? (2019) 
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