Short Weather Update
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Collapse ▲Short Weather Update Mar 13
In collaboration with AWIS Weather Services
*** Warmth Lingers Into This Weekend, Rapid Crop Development Continues
*** Rain, With Severe Storm Outbreak Possible This Weekend, Storms Southern Areas Today
*** Changing Weather Much Of Next Week/Next Weekend, Up/Down Temperatures, Including Frost Risks
This week’s much warmer temperatures has opened the door for advanced crop development in all regions. Depending on location, bloom development has begun or will likely begin soon, with a few more days of warm weather ahead. With the warmer temperatures, and potential wet weather ahead at times, brings increased concerns over disease pressure and proper treatments. Added to this will be the increased need to protect crop blooms for potential frost/freeze events ahead.
We will keep you updated of potential future frost/freeze events.
The current extended warmth, and for most part dry weather pattern will swap to a more dynamic, changing weather pattern starting this weekend through next week.
The main reason will be an active West to East jet stream, with multiple disturbances moving across the country. There will be some showers and storms Southern areas through tonight with a weaker disturbance, most rain totals 1/2 inch, locally more.
Stronger, more significant disturbances, currently affecting the Southern Pacific Coast, will move East then NE and develop strong low pressure over the Central Rockies and Central Plains moving NE to the Western Great Lakes this weekend.
A secondary surface low is expected to develop further South over the Mid Mississippi/TN Valley regions moving E/NE to the Eastern Ohio Valley and Mid Atlantic by late weekend.
This is a very dynamic set up with strong wind profiles, cold air aloft, and ample Gulf moisture moving northward ahead of a cold front, ingredients for strong to severe storms outbreak this weekend.
Be prepared for some breezy conditions early this weekend, then periods of showers and locally strong to severe storms later this weekend, followed by some potential frost chances early next week, mainly over Western/Northern areas. Rain totals of 1-2 inches are likely, except lesser totals Western areas.
While a widespread freeze event is not expected behind the rain and storms, pending on your bloom status, it may be cold enough for scattered frost and perhaps a light ground freeze to cause damage if not protected.
At this time frost risks are mostly likely next Tuesday morning, could be Monday morning for more Western areas.
Additional rain events, with warming ahead and cooling behind can be expected later next week, causing more tough management decisions to be made, pending location. Please stay alert to the latest daily weather information for anticipated changes in timing and local impacts in the days ahead, and keep advised with your respected consultant for critical advice on usage of crop covers and other operational decisions.