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Revision as of 03:50, 19 March 2023

2023 Finnish parliamentary election
← 2019 2 April 2023
All 200 seats in Parliament
101 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
 
Leader Sanna Marin Riikka Purra Petteri Orpo
Party SDP Finns National Coalition
Leader since 23 August 2020 14 August 2021 11 June 2016
Leader's seat Pirkanmaa Uusimaa Finland Proper
Last election 40 seats, 17.7% 39 seats, 17.5% 38 seats, 17.0%
 
Leader Annika Saarikko Maria Ohisalo Li Andersson
Party Centre Green Left Alliance
Leader since 5 September 2020 15 June 2019 6 June 2016
Leader's seat Finland Proper Helsinki Finland Proper
Last election 31 seats, 13.8% 20 seats, 11.5% 16 seats, 8.2%
 
Leader Anna-Maja Henriksson Sari Essayah Harry Harkimo
Party RKP KD Liik
Leader since 12 June 2016 29 August 2015 21 April 2018
Leader's seat Vaasa Savonia-Karelia Uusimaa
Last election 9 seats, 4.5% 5 seats, 3.9% 1 seat, 2.3%
Incumbent Prime Minister

Sanna Marin
Social Democratic



Parliamentary elections will be held in Finland on 2 April 2023 to members of parliament for the 2023–2027 term.

Background

The former prime minister, Antti Rinne, resigned from his post due to a scandal regarding the Finnish postal service (Posti).[1] Rinne's Social Democratic Party of Finland elected Sanna Marin to replace him. Marin took office on 10 December 2019.

COVID-19 effect

During the COVID-19 pandemic in Finland, the Social Democratic Party of Prime Minister Sanna Marin initially saw a sharp rise in popularity, and the Finns Party, which had been leading polls before the pandemic, saw a dip in support.[2] However, by April 2021 the Finns Party had overtaken the Social Democrats in opinion polls and were placed first in all representative polls conducted between January and July 2021.[a] After the National Coalition Party performed surprisingly strongly in the June 2021 municipal elections and the Finns Party performing worse than pre-election polling indicated, the latter saw another decline in their popularity, falling behind the National Coalition and the Social Democrats.

However, by late 2022 the Finns party had returned to polling at the same level as the previous elections (17%). During late 2022 the Centre Party was polling at its lowest-ever level, with less than 10% support.[8][9]

Electoral system

The 200 members of the Parliament of Finland (Eduskunta) were elected using open list proportional representation in 13 multi-member constituencies, with seats allocated according to the D'Hondt method. The number of elected representatives is proportional to the population in the district six months prior to the elections. Åland has a single member electoral district and its own party system.[10]

Contesting parties

Party Ideology Candidates by electoral district
Helsinki Uusimaa Varsinais-Suomi Satakunta Åland Häme Pirkanmaa South-East Finland Savo-Karelia Vaasa Central Finland Oulu Lapland Total
293 485 214 124 15 144 239 158 156 161 146 177 112 2424
Pirate Party
Piraattipuolue
Piratpartiet 		Pirate politics 20 5 — 1 — 1 5 — 4 — 1 — — 37
Liberal Party – Freedom to Choose
Liberaalipuolue - Vapaus valita
Liberalpartiet - Frihet att välja 		Classical liberalism
Market liberalism 		23 21 11 — — 5 12 4 5 4 — 6 2 93
The Open Party
Avoin Puolue
Öppna Partiet 		Market liberalism
E-democracy
Direct democracy 		8 — — — — — — — — — — — 1 9
Power Belongs to the People
Valta kuuluu kansalle
Makten tillhör folket 		National conservatism
Christian right
Right-wing populism Russophilia 		10 25 11 2 — 7 4 9 8 5 14 8 4 107
Left Alliance
Vasemmistoliitto
Vänsterförbundet 		Democratic socialism
Eco-socialism 		23 37 17 14 — 14 20 15 15 16 14 18 14 217
Swedish People's Party of Finland
Svenska folkpartiet i Finland
Suomen ruotsalainen kansanpuolue 		Swedish minority interests
Liberalism 		23 37 17 3 — 5 1[b] 1[b] 2 16 1 4 1 111
Movement Now
Liike Nyt
Rörelse Nu 		Liberalism
Economic liberalism 		23 37 17 10 — 14 20 15 13 10 5 11 2 177
National Coalition Party
Kansallinen Kokoomus
Samlingspartiet 		Liberal conservatism 23 37 17 14 — 14 19[b] 14[b] 15 16 14 18 11[c] 212
Communist Party of Finland
Suomen Kommunistinen Puolue
Finlands Kommunistiska Parti 		Communism 14 13 2 — — 1 9 6 5 1 4 4 6 65
Social Democratic Party of Finland
Suomen Sosialidemokraattinen Puolue
Finlands Socialdemokratiska Parti 		Social democracy 23 37 17 14 — 14 20 15 15 16 14 18 14 217
Finns Party
Perussuomalaiset
Sannfinländarna 		National conservatism
Right-wing populism 		23 37 17 14 — 14 20 15 15 16 14 18 14 217
Green League
Vihreä liitto
Gröna förbundet 		Green politics
Green liberalism 		23 37 17 14 — 14 20 15 15 — 14 18 14 201
Finnish People First
Suomen Kansa Ensin
Finska Folket Först 		Finnish nationalism
Anti-immigration
Anti-Islamization 		2[d] 1[d] — 1[d] — 3[d] 1[d] — — 16 — 2[d] — 26
Freedom Alliance
Vapauden liitto 		National conservatism
Economic nationalism
Right-wing populism 		16[d] 32[d] 15[d] 9[d] — 7[d] 11[d] 10[d] 10[d] 10[d] 8[d] 11[d] 4 143
Crystal Party
Kristallipuolue
Kristall Parti 		Spirituality
Vaccine hesitancy
Hard Euroscepticism 		5[d] 3[d] 1[d] — — 2[d] 3[d] 4[d] 2[d] 2[d] 1[d] 5[d] — 28
Feminist Party
Feministinen puolue
Feministiska partiet 		Feminism
Anti-racism 		6[e] 4[e] — — — — 3[e] — — — — — — 13
Animal Justice Party of Finland
Eläinoikeuspuolue
Djurrättspartiet 		Animal rights
Animal welfare 		4[e] 4[e] 3 14 — 1 7[e] — 1 — — — — 34
Centre Party
Suomen Keskusta
Centern i Finland 		Agrarianism
Liberalism 		11[f] 37 17 14 — 14 20 15 15 16 14 18 14 205
Christian Democrats
Suomen Kristillisdemokraatit
Kristdemokraterna i Finland 		Christian democracy
Social conservatism 		8[f] 37 17 14 — 14 20 15 15 16 14 15[g] 3[c] 188
Finnish Reform Movement
Korjausliike 		Economic liberalism
National conservatism
Soft Euroscepticism 		4[f] 4 — — — — — 5 — — — 3[g] — 16
Blue-and-Black Movement
Sinimusta Liike 		Neo-fascism
Finnish nationalism
Traditionalist conservatism 		— 37 17 — — — 20 — — — 14 — — 88
Citizens' Union
Kansalaisliitto 		Euroscepticism
Direct democracy
Economic democracy 		— 1 — — — — 1 — — 1 — — — 3
Sustainable Initiative
Hållbart Initiativ 		Green politics — — — — 4 — — — — — — — — 4
For Åland
För Åland 		Regionalism — — — — 3 — — — — — — — — 3
Non-aligned Coalition
Obunden Samling 		Conservatism
Souverainism
Euroscepticism 		— — — — 4 — — — — — — — — 4
Welfare and Equality
Välfärd och jämlikhe 		Social democracy — — — — 4 — — — — — — — — 4
Lapland's Non-Aligned Joint List
Lapin Sitoutumattomat -yhteislista 		Regionalism — — — — — — — — — — — — 8 8
Non-list candidates – 1 2 1 — — — 3 — 1 — — — — 8

Opinion polls

Main article: Opinion polling for the next Finnish parliamentary election

5 poll average of finnish opinion polls from April 2019 to the election 2023. Each line corresponds to a political party.

Notes

  1. ^ Polls published between 1 January 2021 and 26 April 2021 (fieldwork in brackets):
    • Taloustutkimus (2 Dec 2020–5 Jan 2021)[3]
    • Kantar TNS (21 Dec 2020–15 Jan 2021)[4]
    • Kantar TNS (18 Jan–12 Feb 2021)[5]
    • Kantar TNS (15 Feb–12 Mar 2021)[6]
    • Kantar TNS (15 Mar–9 Apr 2021)[7]
  2. ^ a b c d National Coalition Party-Swedish People's Party of Finland electoral alliance
  3. ^ a b National Coalition Party-Christian Democrats electoral alliance
  4. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa Finnish People First-Freedom Alliance-Crystal Party electoral alliance
  5. ^ a b c d e f Feminist Party-Animal Justice Party of Finland electoral alliance
  6. ^ a b c Centre Party-Christian Democrats-Finnish Reform Movement electoral alliance
  7. ^ a b Christian Democrats-Finnish Reform Movement electoral alliance

References

  1. ^ "Antti Rinne Posti-kohun keskiössä". Archived from the original on 4 November 2022. Retrieved 11 July 2020.
  2. ^ "HS-gallup: SDP:n kannatus nousi yli 22 prosentin" (in Finnish). Yleisradio. 20 May 2020. Archived from the original on 14 July 2020. Retrieved 11 July 2020.
  3. ^ Toivonen, Terhi (8 January 2021). "Ylen mittaus: Perussuomalaisilla taas kannatushyppäys, eläkeputken poisto syö SDP:n, mutta ei vasemmistoliiton suosiota". Yle Uutiset (in Finnish). Archived from the original on 8 January 2021. Retrieved 8 January 2021.
  4. ^ Kervinen, Elina (20 January 2021). "Perussuomalaiset kipusi suosituimmaksi puolueeksi niukasti Sdp:n ohi, vihreiden kannatus palautui". Helsingin Sanomat. Archived from the original on 20 January 2021. Retrieved 20 January 2021.
  5. ^ Liiten, Marjukka (19 February 2021). "Perussuomalaiset ja Sdp jatkavat kisaamista suosituimman puolueen paikasta, vihreiden kannatus laski alle 10 prosentin". Helsingin Sanomat. Archived from the original on 19 February 2021. Retrieved 19 February 2021.
  6. ^ Nalbantoglu, Minna (18 March 2021). "Perussuomalaiset kasvatti kaulaa Sdp:hen: Puolueella on "historiansa paras lähtökohta kuntavaaleihin", sanoo tutkija". Helsingin Sanomat. Archived from the original on 18 March 2021. Retrieved 18 March 2021.
  7. ^ Kervinen, Elina (16 April 2021). "Perussuomalaiset kasvatti kaulaansa Sdp:hen – pääministeripuolueen kannatus heikkeni alle 20 prosenttiin ensimmäisen kerran korona-aikana". Helsingin Sanomat. Archived from the original on 15 April 2021. Retrieved 16 April 2021.
  8. ^ "Archived copy". Archived from the original on 9 December 2022. Retrieved 9 December 2022.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
  9. ^ "Archived copy". Archived from the original on 6 January 2023. Retrieved 9 December 2022.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
  10. ^ Electoral Districts Archived 3 June 2015 at the Wayback Machine, Vaalit.fi, accessed 3 June 2015.
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