FACTOR DE FRECUENCIA K = Z FACTOR DE FRECUENCIA K

DISTRIBUCION NORMAL DISTRIBUCION TIPO I - GUMBEL

gumbel esta solamente al periodo de retorno. Distribucion de valor
periodo de retorno probabilidad extremo

T P W K T P K
años años

1 1.00000 infinito infinito 1 1.00000 infinito

2 0.50000 1.1774 0.0000 2 0.50000 -0.1643
3 0.33333 1.4823 0.4303 3 0.33333 0.2538
4 0.25000 1.6651 0.6742 4 0.25000 0.5214
5 0.20000 1.7941 0.8415 5 0.20000 0.7195
6 0.16667 1.8930 0.9674 6 0.16667 0.8770
8 0.12500 2.0393 1.1504 8 0.12500 1.1198
10 0.10000 2.1460 1.2817 10 0.10000 1.3046
15 0.06667 2.3273 1.5014 15 0.06667 1.6347
20 0.05000 2.4477 1.6452 20 0.05000 1.8658
25 0.04000 2.5373 1.7511 25 0.04000 2.0438
30 0.03333 2.6081 1.8343 30 0.03333 2.1887
35 0.02857 2.6666 1.9026 35 0.02857 2.3108
40 0.02500 2.7162 1.9604 40 0.02500 2.4163
45 0.02222 2.7592 2.0103 45 0.02222 2.5093
50 0.02000 2.7971 2.0542 50 0.02000 2.5923
55 0.01818 2.8310 2.0933 55 0.01818 2.6673
60 0.01667 2.8616 2.1285 60 0.01667 2.7358
65 0.01538 2.8894 2.1605 65 0.01538 2.7987
70 0.01429 2.9150 2.1898 70 0.01429 2.8569
75 0.01333 2.9385 2.2168 75 0.01333 2.9111
80 0.01250 2.9604 2.2418 80 0.01250 2.9617
85 0.01176 2.9808 2.2652 85 0.01176 3.0093
90 0.01111 2.9999 2.2870 90 0.01111 3.0541
95 0.01053 3.0179 2.3075 95 0.01053 3.0965
100 0.01000 3.0349 2.3268 100 0.01000 3.1367
125 0.00800 3.1075 2.4093 125 0.00800 3.3115
150 0.00667 3.1656 2.4752 150 0.00667 3.4541
175 0.00571 3.2140 2.5297 175 0.00571 3.5747
200 0.00500 3.2552 2.5762 200 0.00500 3.6791
250 0.00400 3.3231 2.6525 250 0.00400 3.8535
300 0.00333 3.3775 2.7134 300 0.00333 3.9959
350 0.00286 3.4228 2.7641 350 0.00286 4.1163
400 0.00250 3.4616 2.8074 400 0.00250 4.2205
450 0.00222 3.4955 2.8451 450 0.00222 4.3125
500 0.00200 3.5255 2.8785 500 0.00200 4.3947
550 0.00182 3.5524 2.9084 550 0.00182 4.4691
600 0.00167 3.5769 2.9355 600 0.00167 4.5370
650 0.00154 3.5992 2.9603 650 0.00154 4.5994
700 0.00143 3.6197 2.9830 700 0.00143 4.6573
750 0.00133 3.6387 3.0041 750 0.00133 4.7111
800 0.00125 3.6564 3.0236 800 0.00125 4.7614
850 0.00118 3.6729 3.0419 850 0.00118 4.8087
900 0.00111 3.6885 3.0591 900 0.00111 4.8533
950 0.00105 3.7031 3.0753 950 0.00105 4.8955
1000 0.00100 3.7169 3.0905 1000 0.00100 4.9355
1500 0.00067 3.8245 3.2090 1500 0.00067 5.2518
2000 0.00050 3.8989 3.2908 2000 0.00050 5.4762
2500 0.00040 3.9558 3.3530 2500 0.00040 5.6502
3000 0.00033 4.0016 3.4031 3000 0.00033 5.7924
3500 0.00029 4.0399 3.4450 3500 0.00029 5.9126
4000 0.00025 4.0728 3.4809 4000 0.00025 6.0167
4500 0.00022 4.1017 3.5124 4500 0.00022 6.1086
5000 0.00020 4.1273 3.5402 5000 0.00020 6.1907
7500 0.00013 4.2244 3.6458 7500 0.00013 6.5069
8000 0.00013 4.2396 3.6624 8000 0.00013 6.5572
10000 0.00010 4.2919 3.7191 10000 0.00010 6.7312
97 0.01031 3.0248 2.3153 925 0.00108 4.8747
 FACTOR DE FRECUENCIA K PARA LA DISTRIBUCION DE PEARSON - TIPO III

Coeficiente PERIODO DE RETORNO (AÑOS)

de 2 5 10 25 50 75 100 200 500
Asimetría PPROBABILIDAD DE EXCEDENCIA
(c) 0.500 0.200 0.100 0.040 0.020 0.013 0.010 0.005 0.002

-2.6 0.3469 0.6901 0.7460 0.7589 0.7594 0.7616 0.7648 0.7807 0.8224
-2.5 0.3401 0.7055 0.7716 0.7909 0.7916 0.7924 0.7940 0.8037 0.8331
-2.4 0.3326 0.7202 0.7973 0.8242 0.8265 0.8266 0.8271 0.8323 0.8517
-2.3 0.3242 0.7342 0.8229 0.8588 0.8638 0.8640 0.8641 0.8662 0.8777
-2.2 0.3152 0.7476 0.8484 0.8945 0.9034 0.9045 0.9047 0.9051 0.9109
-2.1 0.3054 0.7602 0.8737 0.9312 0.9451 0.9479 0.9486 0.9489 0.9510
-2.0 0.2949 0.7721 0.8989 0.9688 0.9887 0.9939 0.9958 0.9972 0.9976
-1.9 0.2839 0.7832 0.9237 1.0072 1.0342 1.0424 1.0460 1.0499 1.0505
-1.8 0.2722 0.7936 0.9483 1.0462 1.0813 1.0932 1.0989 1.1066 1.1094
-1.7 0.2600 0.8032 0.9724 1.0858 1.1299 1.1461 1.1545 1.1672 1.1739
-1.6 0.2473 0.8120 0.9962 1.1259 1.1799 1.2009 1.2124 1.2314 1.2439
-1.5 0.2340 0.8201 1.0194 1.1663 1.2311 1.2576 1.2726 1.2990 1.3189
-1.4 0.2204 0.8273 1.0421 1.2069 1.2833 1.3159 1.3349 1.3697 1.3988
-1.3 0.2063 0.8338 1.0643 1.2477 1.3365 1.3756 1.3990 1.4434 1.4832
-1.2 0.1919 0.8394 1.0858 1.2886 1.3904 1.4366 1.4647 1.5198 1.5719
-1.1 0.1771 0.8442 1.1066 1.3293 1.4450 1.4988 1.5320 1.5987 1.6646
-1.0 0.1620 0.8481 1.1268 1.3700 1.5002 1.5619 1.6007 1.6800 1.7610
-0.9 0.1466 0.8513 1.1462 1.4104 1.5557 1.6259 1.6705 1.7633 1.8610
-0.8 0.1309 0.8536 1.1648 1.4506 1.6115 1.6906 1.7414 1.8485 1.9642
-0.7 0.1151 0.8550 1.1826 1.4903 1.6675 1.7558 1.8131 1.9355 2.0704
-0.6 0.0990 0.8556 1.1996 1.5296 1.7235 1.8215 1.8855 2.0239 2.1794
-0.5 0.0828 0.8553 1.2157 1.5683 1.7794 1.8874 1.9585 2.1137 2.2909
-0.4 0.0664 0.8543 1.2308 1.6064 1.8351 1.9535 2.0319 2.2046 2.4047
-0.3 0.0499 0.8523 1.2450 1.6438 1.8906 2.0196 2.1055 2.2965 2.5206
-0.2 0.0333 0.8495 1.2583 1.6804 1.9456 2.0856 2.1793 2.3892 2.6384
-0.1 0.0167 0.8459 1.2705 1.7162 2.0002 2.1514 2.2531 2.4825 2.7577
0.0 0.0000 0.8415 1.2817 1.7511 2.0542 2.2168 2.3268 2.5762 2.8785
0.1 -0.0167 0.8362 1.2919 1.7850 2.1075 2.2818 2.4002 2.6703 3.0005
0.2 -0.0333 0.8301 1.3011 1.8180 2.1600 2.3462 2.4733 2.7645 3.1235
0.3 -0.0499 0.8232 1.3091 1.8499 2.2117 2.4100 2.5458 2.8588 3.2474
0.4 -0.0664 0.8155 1.3161 1.8806 2.2625 2.4731 2.6178 2.9528 3.3719
0.5 -0.0828 0.8070 1.3221 1.9103 2.3123 2.5353 2.6890 3.0466 3.4968
0.6 -0.0990 0.7978 1.3269 1.9387 2.3610 2.5965 2.7595 3.1400 3.6220
0.7 -0.1151 0.7878 1.3306 1.9659 2.4085 2.6567 2.8290 3.2329 3.7473
0.8 -0.1309 0.7771 1.3332 1.9918 2.4548 2.7159 2.8975 3.3250 3.8726
0.9 -0.1466 0.7657 1.3348 2.0164 2.4999 2.7738 2.9650 3.4164 3.9976
1.0 -0.1620 0.7536 1.3352 2.0397 2.5437 2.8305 3.0312 3.5069 4.1223
1.1 -0.1771 0.7409 1.3346 2.0617 2.5860 2.8859 3.0962 3.5963 4.2464
1.2 -0.1919 0.7275 1.3328 2.0822 2.6270 2.9399 3.1599 3.6846 4.3698
1.3 -0.2063 0.7135 1.3301 2.1014 2.6665 2.9925 3.2222 3.7718 4.4925
1.4 -0.2204 0.6990 1.3262 2.1191 2.7045 3.0435 3.2830 3.8576 4.6141
1.5 -0.2340 0.6839 1.3214 2.1355 2.7410 3.0930 3.3423 3.9420 4.7348
1.6 -0.2473 0.6683 1.3155 2.1504 2.7759 3.1410 3.4000 4.0249 4.8542
1.7 -0.2600 0.6523 1.3087 2.1639 2.8092 3.1873 3.4561 4.1063 4.9723
1.8 -0.2722 0.6358 1.3009 2.1760 2.8409 3.2319 3.5105 4.1860 5.0890
1.9 -0.2839 0.6190 1.2922 2.1867 2.8710 3.2749 3.5632 4.2641 5.2043
2.0 -0.2949 0.6018 1.2826 2.1960 2.8995 3.3162 3.6142 4.3404 5.3179
2.1 -0.3054 0.5843 1.2721 2.2039 2.9263 3.3557 3.6634 4.4149 5.4298
2.2 -0.3152 0.5667 1.2608 2.2105 2.9515 3.3935 3.7108 4.4876 5.5399
2.3 -0.3242 0.5488 1.2488 2.2157 2.9750 3.4295 3.7564 4.5583 5.6482
2.4 -0.3326 0.5308 1.2361 2.2196 2.9970 3.4638 3.8001 4.6272 5.7546
2.5 -0.3401 0.5128 1.2227 2.2222 3.0173 3.4963 3.8420 4.6940 5.8589
2.6 -0.3469 0.4947 1.2087 2.2236 3.0360 3.5271 3.8821 4.7589 5.9613
2.7 -0.3527 0.4768 1.1942 2.2238 3.0532 3.5561 3.9204 4.8218 6.0615
2.8 -0.3577 0.4589 1.1791 2.2228 3.0688 3.5834 3.9568 4.8826 6.1596
2.9 -0.3616 0.4413 1.1637 2.2208 3.0829 3.6091 3.9914 4.9415 6.2556
2 5 10 25 50 75 100 200 500
PEARSON - TIPO III

1000

0.001

0.8716
0.8702
0.8783
0.8958
0.9221
0.9570
1.0001
1.0510
1.1095
1.1752
1.2477
1.3267
1.4120
1.5031
1.5998
1.7019
1.8089
1.9205
2.0366
2.1568
2.2808
2.4084
2.5393
2.6732
2.8099
2.9491
3.0905
3.2340
3.3793
3.5262
3.6744
3.8237
3.9740
4.1250
4.2765
4.4283
4.5802
4.7321
4.8838
5.0350
5.1858
5.3358
5.4850
5.6331
5.7801
5.9259
6.0703
6.2131
6.3544
6.4939
6.6317
6.7675
6.9013
7.0331
7.1628
7.2902
1000
 CALCULAR LAS MÁXIMAS AVENIDAS DEL RIO HUANCANÉ , CONSIDERANDO LA SER
DISTRIBUCIÓN NORMAL, LOGNORMAL 2 PARAMETRO , GUMBEL, LOG GU

MAESTRIA:INGENIERIA DE RECURSOS HIDRICOS

ALUMNO:MAMANI AYMA ALEX ARTURO

DIRECCIÓN REGIONAL
CONTROL DES
DESCARGA MAXIM

ESTACIÓN: 210101 HLG-PUENTE RAMIS LATITUD:

CUENCA: RAMIS LONGITUD

AÑO SET OCT NOV DIC ENE

1969/70 6.019 10.793 13.092 24.870 161.598
1970/71 13.560 9.294 7.435 176.995 313.978
1971/72 9.336 8.951 16.099 65.023 272.377
1972/73 12.853 11.510 16.158 77.651 325.213
1973/74 16.840 27.235 25.601 84.069 316.585
1974/75 26.165 17.310 15.350 49.625 224.506
1975/76 25.019 20.990 14.947 112.140 338.115
1976/77 19.699 18.392 9.522 21.873 112.440
1977/78 8.737 10.262 61.478 59.649 361.928
1978/79 5.969 12.586 63.530 314.617 346.108
1979/80 3.634 10.298 18.662 176.145 225.416
1980/81 1.408 40.860 53.602 42.589 334.444
1981/82 4.231 4.524 20.493 91.548 416.842
1982/83 10.466 29.908 169.044 159.090 96.037
1983/84 5.230 6.315 4.636 15.788 443.559
1984/85 1.932 6.089 113.411 273.021 343.855
1985/86 13.906 14.178 273.872 110.048 414.153
1986/87 11.527 17.896 15.745 15.589 239.157
1987/88 13.625 15.519 49.284 93.822 116.942
1988/89 17.717 15.359 14.814 13.503 168.695
1989/90 15.170 28.653 19.345 74.504 117.076
1990/91 34.784 22.596 110.768 66.594 123.106
1991/92 10.268 8.496 10.166 42.410 197.094
1992/93 8.793 7.879 28.210 35.826 188.050
1993/94 7.441 15.362 142.372 251.021 303.665
1994/95 9.921 9.962 24.305 100.547 194.428
1995/96 8.362 7.916 19.520 29.501 229.484
1996/97 8.062 7.103 23.765 58.927 313.034
1997/98 13.839 15.191 91.731 133.066 155.395
1998/99 8.480 23.787 37.654 71.225 142.000
1999/0 10.060 21.695 14.757 44.529 191.447
2000/01 12.183 30.081 29.596 70.725 354.192
2001/02 10.487 15.010 25.656 56.509 156.509
2002/03 14.640 62.173 142.989 188.908 484.234
2003/04 21.229 18.079 15.496 66.313 495.450
2004/05 10.966 7.985 17.671 56.471 88.129
2005/06 9.724 21.441 25.695 37.504 369.357
2006/07 9.147 15.308 40.292 105.949 267.135
2007/08 12.726 10.409 21.252 29.587 246.725
2008/09 13.681 14.799 12.362 62.270 209.864
2009/10 0.000 0.000 0.000 57.931 331.230
2010/11 7.460 6.003 5.699 44.904 94.474
2011/12 11.358 32.248 15.863 82.448 267.050

Información de Descargas Máximas para 28 años de registro

Año Q Q Posición P >= Q (%) T (años)

m3/s m3/s m m/(N+1) (N+1)/m
1 2 3 4 5 6
1969 122.1 49.7 1 3.45 29.00
1970 112.4 59.8 2 6.90 14.50
1971 108.1 61.0 2 6.90 14.50
1972 161.3 68.7 3 10.34 9.67
1973 141.9 75.0 3 10.34 9.67
1974 139.1 76.4 4 13.79 7.25
1975 110.6 77.6 4 13.79 7.25
1976 122.7 78.2 5 17.24 5.80
1977 126.6 81.8 5 17.24 5.80
1978 139.8 85.4 6 20.69 4.83
1979 116.5 89.4 6 20.69 4.83
1980 128.3 90.9 7 24.14 4.14
1981 114.9 95.3 7 24.14 4.14
1982 68.7 97.3 8 27.59 3.63
1983 126.8 99.8 8 27.59 3.63
1984 162.7 104.2 9 31.03 3.22
1985 166.1 108.1 9 31.03 3.22
1986 59.8 110.2 10 34.48 2.90
1987 118.3 110.6 10 34.48 2.90
1988 89.4 112.4 11 37.93 2.64
1989 49.7 114.9 11 37.93 2.64
1990 76.4 116.5 12 41.38 2.42
1991 61.0 118.3 12 41.38 2.42
1992 90.9 119.3 13 44.83 2.23
1993 146.2 121.2 13 44.83 2.23
1994 85.4 122.1 14 48.28 2.07
1995 77.6 122.7 14 48.28 2.07
1996 127.8 124.5 15 51.72 1.93
1997 97.3 126.6 15 51.72 1.93
1998 110.2 126.8 16 55.17 1.81
1999 104.2 127.8 16 55.17 1.81
2000 139.3 128.3 17 58.62 1.71
2001 124.5 131.4 17 58.62 1.71
2002 179.4 139.1 18 62.07 1.61
2003 121.2 139.3 18 62.07 1.61
2004 95.3 139.8 19 65.52 1.53
2005 99.8 141.9 19 65.52 1.53
2006 131.4 144.5 20 68.97 1.45
2007 78.2 146.2 20 68.97 1.45
2008 75.0 161.3 21 72.41 1.38
2009 81.8 162.7 21 72.41 1.38
2010 119.3 166.1 22 75.86 1.32
2011 144.5 179.4 22 75.86 1.32
Media 112.847 112.8 Media
Desv. Est. 30.499 30.4991721 Des. Est.
Cof. Asim. -0.040 -0.0395692 Cof. Asim.
N 43.000 N
 Distribucion Log normal 2 parametros

Periodo Probabilid. Factor Y Caudal Q

Retorno: T P frecuencia Estimado- (m3/s)
años K=Z Yt=yprom+
2 0.50000 0.0000 Kt*Sy2.04 108.46
5 0.20000 0.8415 2.14 138.96
10 0.10000 1.2817 2.20 158.20
25 0.04000 1.7511 2.26 181.64
40 0.02500 1.9604 2.29 193.19
75 0.01333 2.2168 2.32 208.34
100 0.01000 2.3268 2.33 215.20
200 0.00500 2.5762 2.36 231.60
L RIO HUANCANÉ , CONSIDERANDO LA SERIE HISTÓRICA DE 1969/70 AL 52011/12, MEDIANTE USO DE FACTORES DE FRECU
NORMAL 2 PARAMETRO , GUMBEL, LOG GUMBEL, PEARSN TIPO III, PARA PERIODOS DE RETORNO DE 2,5,10,25,40,75,100,2

DIRECCIÓN REGIONAL SENAMHI - PUNO

CONTROL DESCARGAS
DESCARGA MAXIMA MENSUAL

15°15' S ALTITUD: 3850 msnm PROVINCIA: Huancané

69°52' W DISTRITO: Huancane VERTIENTE: Lago Titicaca

FEB MAR ABR MAY JUN JUL

377.978 404.874 315.602 100.560 26.388 12.193
473.613 68.884 35.602 13.610
333.263 268.112 206.099 66.657 23.775 15.656
474.129 445.690 384.650 110.743 37.846 21.360
491.976 392.488 203.611 70.157 30.911 24.885
373.753 398.547 189.891 57.624
305.159 297.331 123.896 39.126 20.536 17.946
375.020 454.477 258.106 53.299 16.594 10.078
389.899 306.227 183.662 88.031 24.893 15.450
277.215 287.494 203.967 92.347 44.923 18.875
238.269 283.798 347.245 51.356 19.416 14.205
272.046 433.218 260.697 66.232 18.308 10.501
202.513 287.579 237.196 76.119 19.644 11.331
119.823 127.921 21.084 9.210 6.515
464.218 302.638 190.632 58.447 16.822 8.128
243.772 411.896 366.369 116.980 62.258 9.526
394.192 440.604 234.325 39.251 30.998 12.460
171.248 95.508 63.821 46.098 11.837 14.303
200.110 394.244 391.369 73.561 34.211 25.455
254.613 239.354 158.191 85.713 55.060 35.525
89.045 98.383 88.999 18.373 21.839 14.145
203.021 148.858 106.766 49.444 24.249 12.891
166.652 219.320 42.195 12.436 4.442 8.021
335.933 255.568 127.051 63.417 18.473 11.227
416.645 227.663 181.655 146.438 28.674 18.714
173.414 249.865 184.720 37.602 18.196 11.703
306.121 125.020 127.470 40.303 17.115 11.402
 391.589 366.710 227.219 75.408 29.359 17.243
297.305 219.297 173.957 31.724 14.901 11.176
243.881 350.056 243.854 137.369 33.782 17.776
353.230 417.976 109.218 39.083 20.220 15.007
403.101 414.100 221.739 70.005 36.887 18.353
375.711 413.019 205.852 139.033 53.038 25.223
337.181 415.049 334.676 71.413 41.098 32.154
471.752 125.601 101.848 79.274 26.938 18.151
426.953 193.562 205.769 74.912 32.800 15.614
283.876 159.412 190.265 54.803 19.344 14.520
156.206 441.853 333.226 130.248 41.613 20.760
238.913 243.509 58.538 30.637 15.887 15.877
163.791 215.216 132.691 48.255 26.528 0.000
214.170 193.622 122.109 30.375 14.770 9.313
365.168 372.961 308.471 159.990 32.310 21.645
476.418 453.471 258.268 99.346 38.121 0.000

Distribucion Gum
mas para 28 años de registro
T P
Y=Log Q años
2 0.50000
7 5 0.20000
1.6965 10 0.10000
1.7766 25 0.04000
1.7853 40 0.02500
1.8369 75 0.01333
1.8748 100 0.01000
1.8829 200 0.00500
1.8896
1.8935
1.9129
1.9315
1.9513
1.9585
1.9790
1.9882 Distribucion L
1.9991
2.0179 Periodo Probabilid.
2.0340 Retorno: T P
2.0422 años
2.0438 2 0.50000
2.0509 5 0.20000
2.0602 10 0.10000
2.0662 25 0.04000
2.0729 40 0.02500
2.0765 75 0.01333
2.0834 100 0.01000
2.0866 200 0.00500
2.0888
2.0953
2.1026
2.1032
2.1064
2.1081
2.1188
2.1433
2.1441
2.1456
2.1519
2.1600
2.1648
2.2078
2.2115
2.2203
2.2537
2.0353
0.1279
-0.6913
43.000

Distribucion Log-P

Caudal Q
(m3/s)

112.85
138.51
151.94
166.25
 172.64
180.46
183.81
191.42

Distribucion Normal

Periodo Probabilid. Factor

Retorno: T P frecuencia
años K
2 0.50000 0.0000
5 0.20000 0.8415
10 0.10000 1.2817
25 0.04000 1.7511
40 0.02500 1.9604
75 0.01333 2.2168
100 0.01000 2.3268
200 0.00500 2.5762
MEDIANTE USO DE FACTORES DE FRECUENCIA DE LA
S DE RETORNO DE 2,5,10,25,40,75,100,200.

Lago Titicaca

AGO Q(Usado)
10.783 122.063
11.462 112.443
12.237 108.132
18.318 161.343
18.242 141.883
38.016 139.079
12.161 110.614
122.682
9.429 126.637
10.330 139.830
9.104 116.462
5.244 128.262
6.319 114.862
6.469 68.688
5.551 126.830
3.759 162.739
15.016 166.084
14.683 59.784
11.273 118.285
14.245 89.399
11.052 49.715
13.261 76.362
10.436 60.995
10.293 90.893
14.168 146.152
10.271 85.411
8.420 77.553
 14.682 127.758
10.135 97.310
12.727 110.216
13.163 104.199
11.194 139.346
18.281 124.527
27.840 179.363
13.997 121.177
12.614 95.287
11.665 99.801
15.629 131.447
14.892 78.246
0.000 74.955
8.308 81.819
11.965 119.254
0.000 144.549

Distribucion Gumbel Comparaci

K Q (m3/s) T
años
-0.1643 107.84 2
0.7195 134.79 5
1.3046 152.64 10
2.0438 175.18 25
2.4163 186.54 40
2.9111 201.63 75
3.1367 208.51 100
3.6791 225.06 200

Distribucion Log Gumbel 400.00

Factor Y Estimado Caudal Q

frecuencia (m3/s)
K=Z
350.00
-0.1643 2.01 103.34
0.7195 2.13 134.06
1.3046 2.20 159.26

300.00
 400.00

350.00

2.0438 2.30 198.00

2.4163 2.34 220.95 300.00
2.9111 2.41 255.60
3.1367 2.44 273.16
3.6791 2.51 320.46
250.00

200.00

150.00

100.00

50.00

0.00
0

Distribucion Log-Pearson Tipo III

T P K
años
2 0.50000 0.0167
5 0.20000 0.8459
10 0.10000 0.2705
25 0.04000 0.7162
40 0.02500 2.0002
 75 0.01333 2.1514
100 0.01000 2.2531
200 0.00500 2.3678

Y Q (m3/s)
estimado antilog(Y)
2.0374 109.00
2.1435 139.14
2.0699 117.46
2.1269 133.93
2.2911 195.47
2.3104 204.37
2.3234 210.58
2.3381 217.81
 Comparación de los Valores de Caudales Máximos Obtenidos

Q (m3/s) Q (m3/s) Q (m3/s) Q (m3/s) Q (m3/s) Q (m3/s)

Normal Log-Normal Gumbel Log Gumbel Pearson III Log-Pearson
167.25 163.82 161.52 158.31 163.80 164.39
196.61 195.17 192.35 190.28 195.07 195.35
211.97 213.90 212.77 214.92 213.55 173.30
228.35 235.85 238.56 250.66 234.89 190.15
238.92 251.20 257.70 280.97 249.63 248.40
244.60 259.85 268.82 300.25 257.84 256.34
248.43 265.87 276.69 314.68 263.53 261.82
253.61 274.21 287.77 336.17 270.17 268.15

400.00

350.00

300.00
400.00

350.00

300.00

250.00
NORMAL
LOG NORMAL 2P
GUMBEL
200.00
LOG GUMBEL
PEARSON TIPO III
LOG PEARSON TIPO
150.00 III

100.00

50.00

0.00
0 50 100 150 200 250
 Distribucion Pearson Tipo III

T P K Q (m3/s)
años
2 0.50000 -0.09899677 109.83
5 0.20000 0.7974 137.17
10 0.10000 1.3269 153.32
25 0.04000 1.9387 171.98
40 0.02500 2.3610 184.86
75 0.01333 2.5965 192.04
100 0.01000 2.7595 197.01
200 0.00500 2.9225 201.98

0.1630
PROMEDIO

163.18
194.14
206.73
229.74
254.47
264.62
271.84
281.68
 NORMAL
LOG NORMAL 2P
GUMBEL
LOG GUMBEL
PEARSON TIPO III
LOG PEARSON TIPO
III

250
 SERIE DE CAUDALES MAXIMOS PERIODO 1956-1998

AÑO HUANCANE RAMIS COATA ILAVE

1956 111.8 246.6 16.9 183.5 1
1957 133.0 267.7 20.6 139.6 2
1958 117.9 440.0 282.2 321.2 3
1959 155.3 445.2 365.0 345.6 4
1960 156.4 478.0 292.2 278.0 5
1961 96.4 390.0 469.5 167.7 6
1962 191.0 452.0 441.6 512.0 7
1963 183.4 351.0 453.8 779.0 8
1964 150.0 365.0 138.2 187.6 9
1965 147.0 448.8 117.5 69.0 10
1966 147.7 361.1 135.0 58.8 11
1967 93.0 255.0 326.5 413.8 12
1968 77.4 299.6 238.4 295.0 13
1969 82.3 200.0 151.0 298.0 14
1970 155.0 408.0 462.0 341.0 15
1971 364.0 553.0 432.0 475.0 16
1972 93.4 328.0 348.0 328.0 17
1973 145.4 438.0 556.0 493.6 18
1974 210.5 558.2 403.5 732.6 19
1975 163.0 396.4 431.4 692.4 20
1976 111.2 379.6 305.5 627.0 21
1977 132.1 471.9 326.4 325.1 22
1978 130.4 426.1 552.1 441.9 23
1979 243.9 352.3 233.5 227.7 24
1980 89.6 359.6 244.7 130.1 25
1981 170.1 456.1 362.7 662.9 26
1982 159.1 406.6 408.5 551.8 27
1983 64.0 125.3 226.8 116.7 28
1984 179.2 446.6 405.5 735.6 29
1985 149.0 412.6 395.4 387.9 30
1986 212.0 390.7 287.9 907.0 31
1987 141.6 249.1 371.3 571.0 32
1988 155.0 560.0 356.6 355.1 33
1989 82.0 254.6 233.2 187.1 34
1990 38.3 135.4 87.2 50.5 35
1991 67.7 203.6 121.7 161.9 36
1992 56.4 219.3 40.5 69.1 37
1993 118.8 335.9 97.6 90.9 38
1994 119.5 416.6 260.4 367.1 39
1995 91.2 249.9 96.0 87.1 40
1996 83.3 306.1 277.3 125.6 41
1997 240.8 391.6 501.4 316.0 42
1998 63.6 297.3 107.5 42.5 43
Ejemplo de Cálculo de Máximas Avenidas Mediante uso de Factor de frecuencia

Información de Descargas Máximas para 25 años de registro

Año Q Ramis Q Posición P >= Q (%) T (años) Y=Log Q

m3/s m3/s m m/(N+1) (N+1)/m
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1956 246.6 560.0 1 0.02 44.00 2.7482
1957 267.7 558.2 2 0.05 22.00 2.7468
1958 440.0 553.0 3 0.07 14.67 2.7427
1959 445.2 478.0 4 0.09 11.00 2.6794
1960 478.0 471.9 5 0.11 8.80 2.6738
1961 390.0 456.1 6 0.14 7.33 2.6590
1962 452.0 452.0 7 0.16 6.29 2.6551
1963 351.0 448.8 8 0.18 5.50 2.6521
1964 365.0 446.6 9 0.20 4.89 2.6499
1965 448.8 445.2 10 0.23 4.40 2.6486
1966 361.1 440.0 11 0.25 4.00 2.6435
1967 255.0 438.0 12 0.27 3.67 2.6415
1968 299.6 426.1 13 0.30 3.38 2.6295
1969 200.0 416.6 14 0.32 3.14 2.6197
1970 408.0 412.6 15 0.34 2.93 2.6155
1971 553.0 408.0 16 0.36 2.75 2.6107
1972 328.0 406.6 17 0.39 2.59 2.6092
1973 438.0 396.4 18 0.41 2.44 2.5981
1974 558.2 391.6 19 0.43 2.32 2.5928
1975 396.4 390.7 20 0.45 2.20 2.5918
1976 379.6 390.0 21 0.48 2.10 2.5911
1977 471.9 379.6 22 0.50 2.00 2.5793
1978 426.1 365.0 23 0.52 1.91 2.5623
1979 352.3 361.1 24 0.55 1.83 2.5576
1980 359.6 359.6 25 0.57 1.76 2.5558
1981 456.1 352.3 26 0.59 1.69 2.5469
1982 406.6 351.0 27 0.61 1.63 2.5453
1983 125.3 335.9 28 0.64 1.57 2.5262
1984 446.6 328.0 29 0.66 1.52 2.5159
1985 412.6 306.1 30 0.68 1.47 2.4859
1986 390.7 299.6 31 0.70 1.42 2.4765
1987 249.1 297.3 32 0.73 1.38 2.4732
1988 560.0 267.7 33 0.75 1.33 2.4276
1989 254.6 255.0 34 0.77 1.29 2.4065
1990 135.4 254.6 35 0.80 1.26 2.4059
1991 203.6 249.9 36 0.82 1.22 2.3978
1992 219.3 249.1 37 0.84 1.19 2.3964
1993 335.9 246.6 38 0.86 1.16 2.3920
1994 416.6 219.3 39 0.89 1.13 2.3410
1995 249.9 203.6 40 0.91 1.10 2.3088
1996 306.1 200.0 41 0.93 1.07 2.3010
1997 391.6 135.4 42 0.95 1.05 2.1316
1998 297.3 125.3 43 0.98 1.02 2.0980
Media 361.12 Media 2.5356
Desv. Est. 105.86 Des. Est. 0.1487
Cof. Asim. -0.2712 Cof. Asim. -1.1278

CUADRO N° 4.15: CAUDALES MAXIMOS ESTIMADOS CON LA CUADRO N° 19:

DISTRIBUCION LOG NORMAL 2 PARAMETROS - RIO CAUDALES MAXIMOS
HUANCANE ESTIMADOS CON LA
Probabilid. Y Estimado Caudal Q DISTRIBUCION LOG
Periodo Factor Periodo
P (m3/s) NORMAL 3
Retorno: T frecuencia Retorno: T
PARAMETROS - RIO
años K=Z años
HUANCANE
2 0.50000 0.0000 2.0960 124.74 2
5 0.20000 0.8415 2.2567 180.60 5
10 0.10000 1.2817 2.3408 219.18 10
25 0.04000 1.7511 2.4305 269.44 25
50 0.02000 2.0542 2.4884 307.86 50
75 0.01333 2.2168 2.5194 330.68 75
100 0.01000 2.3268 2.5404 347.07 100
150 0.00667 2.4752 2.5688 370.47 150
200 0.00500 2.5762 2.5881 387.31 200
300 0.00333 2.7134 2.6143 411.40 300
400 0.00250 2.8074 2.6322 428.76 400
500 0.00200 2.8785 2.6458 442.38 500
1000 0.00100 3.0905 2.6863 485.61 1000
Análisis de Máximas Avenidas - Normal

T P K Q (m3/s)
años
5 0.20000 0.8415 450.21
10 0.10000 1.2817 496.81
25 0.04000 1.7511 546.50
50 0.02000 2.0542 578.58
75 0.01333 2.2168 595.80
100 0.01000 2.3268 607.44
200 0.00500 2.5762 633.84
500 0.00200 2.8785 665.85
 CUADRO N° 19:
CAUDALES MAXIMOS
ESTIMADOS CON LA
DISTRIBUCION LOG
Probabilid.
NORMAL 3 P
PARAMETROS - RIO
HUANCANE
0.50000
0.20000
0.10000
0.04000
0.02000
0.01333
0.01000
0.00667
0.00500
0.00333
0.00250
0.00200
0.00100