Skip to main content

Smallholder farmers’ vulnerability to climate extremes in west and southwest Showa zones, Ethiopia

  • Published:
Climatic Change Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

This study assessed smallholder farmers’ vulnerability to climate extremes in west and southwest Showa zones, central Ethiopia. The study used 1981–2020 rainfall and temperature data obtained from the Ethiopian Meteorology Institute and employed RClimDex1 for data quality control and extreme climate indices analysis. The selected ten (10) major components of Livelihood Vulnerability Index (LV I) were used to assess farmers’ vulnerability, categorized into exposure, sensitivity, and adaptive capacity based on the livelihood vulnerability indicator intergovernmental panel for climate change (LVI-IPCC) framework. Primary data gathered through household surveys conducted across 626 selected peasant associations representing different agro ecological zones (lowland, midland, and highland). The primary data analysis performed via statistical package for social sciences (IBM SPSS) Statistics Version 26 and R software. The study finding indicated that lowland agroecology (0.47) is more vulnerable to climate extremes than highlands (0.38) and midlands (0.40) agro-ecologies In terms of smallholder farmers’ sensitivity to extreme climate events, lowland agro-ecology suggested a higher sensitivity index than the other two ecologies. The smallholder farmers’ sensitivity to extreme climate events was 0.70, 0.57, and 0.67 LVI values on lowland, midland, and highland agro-ecosystems, respectively. Midland agroecology has strong adaptive capacity (0.560) and is the least vulnerable. In lowland agroecology, smallholder farmers are more vulnerable to extreme weather because of their limited adaptive capacity and higher exposure. The study’s findings will guide policymakers in addressing the negative effects of climate extreme indices on smallholder farmers. Providing improved seeds, irrigation, credit access, and real-time weather information updates can reduce vulnerability in lowland areas.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Subscribe and save

Springer+ Basic
$34.99 /Month
  • Get 10 units per month
  • Download Article/Chapter or eBook
  • 1 Unit = 1 Article or 1 Chapter
  • Cancel anytime
Subscribe now

Buy Now

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Fig. 1
Fig. 2
Fig. 3
Fig. 4
Fig. 5
Fig. 6
Fig. 7

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  • Abebe Y, Bekele A (2017) Vulnerability of smallholder farmers to climate change in the central rift valley of Ethiopia: a gender disaggregated approach. Ethiop J Agric Sci 27(2):85–97

    Google Scholar 

  • Addis Y, Abirdew S (2021) Smallholder, farmers’ per-ception of climate change and adaptation strategy choices in Central Ethiopia. Int J Clim Change Strateg Manage Emerald Publishing Ltd 13(4/5):463–482. https://doi.org/10.1108/IJCCSM-09-2020-0096

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Adzawla W, Baumüller H (2021) Effects of livelihood diversification on gendered climate vulnerability in northern Ghana. Environ Dev Sustain 23(1):923–946

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Alemu MG, Wubneh MA (2023) Climate extreme indices analysis and spatiotemporal trend variation over Lake Tana subbasin, upper Blue Nile basin, Ethiopia: under future climate change. Arab J Geosci 16(12):660

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Alemayehu ZY, Minale AS, Legesse SA (2023) Vulnerability of local farmers’ livelihood to climate variability across different agro ecology zone in Suha watershed, Upper Blue Nile basin. Ethiopia. Climate and Development 16(1):36–53. https://doi.org/10.1080/17565529.2023.2178253

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Amare A, Simane B (2017) Climate change induced vulnerability of smallholder farmers: agroecology-based analysis in the Muger sub-basin of the upper Blue-Nile basin of Ethiopia. Am J Clim Change 6(4):668–693

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Antwi-Agyei P, Dougill AJ, Stringer LC (2015) Impacts of land tenure arrangements on the adaptive capacity of marginalized groups: the case of Ghana’s Ejura Sekyedumase and Bongo districts. Land Use Policy 49:203–212

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ascandra W, Bachtiar N, Nazer M (2019) An economic analysis of women as employment and divorce. Jurnal Perspektif Pembiayaan Dan Pembangunan Daerah, 6(5):535–544. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.landusepol.2015.08.007

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Asfaw A, Bantider B, Simane A, Hassen (2021) Smallholder farmers’ livelihood vulnerability to climate change-induced hazards: agroecology-based comparative analysis in Northcentral Ethiopia (Woleka Subbasin). Heliyon 7(4):E06231

  • Ayalew D, Tesfaye K, Mamo G, Yitaferu B, Bayu W (2012) Variability of rainfall and its current trend in Amhara region. Ethiopia. African Journal of Agricultural Research 7(10):1475–1486

    Google Scholar 

  • Bedeke W, Vanhove MG, Wordofa K, Natarajan P, Van Damme (2020) Vulnerability to climate change among maize-dependent smallholders in three districts of Ethiopia. Environ Dev Sustain 22:693–718

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Bedilu Dejene (2020) Flood damage analysis for the Teji Area/Illu woreda hydraulic engineering stream. Addis Ababa University Addis Ababa Institute of Technology School of Civil and Environmental Engineering

  • Berhanu AA, Ayele ZB, Dagnew DC, Fenta AB, Kassie KE (2024) Smallholder farmers’ coping strategies to climate change and variability: Evidence from Ethiopia. Climate Services, 35, p.100509.

  • Birkmann J (2006) Measuring vulnerability to remote disaster-resilient societies: conceptual frameworks and definitions. In: Birkmann J (ed) Measuring vulnerability to natural hazards: toward disaster resilient societies. United Nations University, pp 9–54

    Google Scholar 

  • Boutin L, Smit B (2016) Climate change, food security, and livelihoods in sub-saharan Africa. Reg Environ Change 16:385–399 [CrossRef]

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Cardoso Pereira S, Marta Almeida M, Carvalho AC, Rocha A (2019) Int J Climatol 40:1255–1278

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Damtew A, Teferi E, Ongoma V, Mumo R, Esayas B (2022) Spatiotemporal changes in mean and extreme climate: Farmers’ perception and its agricultural implications inAwash river basin, Ethiopia. Climate 10(6)

  • Dechassa C, Simane B, Alamirew B (2017) Farmers’ livelihood vulnerability to climate variability and change in Didesa Basin, southern part of Abay Basin, Ethiopia. Climate Change Adaptation in Africa: Fostering Resilience and Capacity to Adapt, pp.267–284

  • Demem MS (2023) Impact and adaptation of climate variability and change on smallholders and agriculture in Ethiopia: a review. Heliyon 9(E06231):1–8

  • Ejigu NF (2016) Flood risk analysis with regards to crop yield in upper awash river basin, Ethiopia (Case Study of Teji River) (Doctoral Dissertation)

  • Eriksen S, Schipper ELF, Scoville-Simonds M, Vincent K, Adam HN, Brooks N, Harding B, Lenaerts L, Liverman D, Mills-Novoa M, Mosberg M (2021) Adaptation interventions and their effect on vulnerability in developing countries: Help, hindrance or irrelevance? World Dev 141:105383

  • Estrella N, Menzel A (2013) Recent and future climate extremes arising from changes to the bivariate distribution of temperature and precipitation in Bavaria. Ger Int J 4th Climatol 33:1687–1695. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.3542

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Freedman D, Pisani R, Purves R (2007) Statistics. International student. In R. Purves (Ed.), edn. WW Norton & Company.

  • Gebregziabher G, Abera DA, Gebresamuel G, Giordano M, Langan S (2016) An assessment of integrated watershed management in Ethiopia (Vol. 170). International Water Management Institute (IWMI)

  • Gedefaw M, Yan D, Wang H, Qin T, Girma A, Abiyu A, Batsuren D (2018) Innovative trend analysis of annual and seasonal rainfall variability in Amhara Regional State, Ethiopia. Atmosphere 9(9):326. https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos9090326

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Gemeda DO, Korecha D, Garedew W (2023) Climate change perception and vulnerability assessment of the farming communities in the Southwest Parts of Ethiopia. Climate 11

  • Gete Z, Gemedo D (2019) Evaluation of nutritive value of some native forage species in Tikur Incinni district, Oromia, Ethiopia. Forage Res 45(2):103–110

    Google Scholar 

  • Hahn MB, Riederer AM, Foster SO (2009) The livelihood Vulnerability Index: a pragmatic approach to assessing risks from climate variability & change: case study in Mozambique. Global Environ Change 19:74–88. [Google Scholar] Hahn 2009

  • He L, Shen J, Zhang Y (2018) Ecological vulnerability assessment for ecological conservation and environmental management. J Environ Manag 206:1115–1125. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2017. 11.059 highlands-Wollo and Tigray. Ethiop J Sci 23:139–161

  • Hoq MS, Raha SK, Hossain MI (2021) Livelihood vulnerability to food hazard: understanding from the food-prone Haor ecosystem of Bangladesh. Environmental Management 67:532–552

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hunduma Temesgen D, Benti Chalchissa F (2024) Spatial distribution patterns and hotspots of extreme agro-climatic resources in the Horro Guduru Wollega Zone, Northwestern Ethiopia. Environ Monit Assess 196(12):1225

  • IPCC (2014) Climate Change Synthesis Report. Contribution of Working Groups I, II and III to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate

  • Kassie BT, Rotter RP, Hengsdijk H, Asseng S, Vanittersum MK, Kahiluoto H, Kindie T, Jemal S, Mezegebu G, Girma M (2016) Agriculture under a changing.

  • Kogo BK, Kumar L, Koech R (2021) Climate change and variability in Kenya: a review of impacts on agriculture and food security. Environ Dev Sustain 23:23–43

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Lobell DB, Hammer GL, McLean G, Messina C, Roberts MJ, Schlenker W (2013) The critical role of extreme heat for maize production in the United States. Nat Clim Change 3(5):497–501

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Maitre N, Monh G, Saget C (2018) The employment impact of climate change adaptation. International Labor Labor Office, Geneva, Switzerland

  • Marelign A, Addisu S, Mekuriaw A (2019) Farmers’ vulnerability to Climate Change and Variability: the case of Janamora District, Northwestern Ethiopia

  • Maru H, Haileslassie A, Zeleke T, Esayas B (2021) Analysis of smallholders’ livelihood vulnerability to drought across agroecology and farm typology in the upper awash sub-basin, Ethiopia. Sustainability, 13(17):9764

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Mekonnen Z, Woldeamanuel T, Kassa H (2019) Socio-ecological vulnerability to climate change/variability in central rift valley. Ethiopia. Advances in Climate Change Research 10(1):9–20

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Min S, Zhang X, Zwiers F, Hegerl G (2011) Human contribution to more-intense precipitation extremes. Nature 470:378–381

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Muhammed SMK, Reddy MR (2019) Viability and practice of interest-free microfinance in the state of Kerala: an analytical study based on customers’ perceptions. IIMB Manag Rev 31:350–367

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Östlund U, Kidd L, Wengström Y, Rowa-Dewar N (2011) Combining qualitative and quantitative research within mixed method research designs: a methodological review. Int J Nurs Stud. 48(3):369–83. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijnurstu.2010.10.005

  • Savage A, Bambrick H, Gallegos D (2021) Climate extremes constrain agency and long-term health: a qualitative case study in a Pacifc small Island developing state. Weather Clim Extremes 31(100293):1–11

    Google Scholar 

  • Simane B, Zaitchik BF, Foltz JD (2016) Agroecology specific climate vulnerability analysis: application of the livelihood vulnerability index to a tropical highland region. Mitig Adapt Strateg Global Change 21:39–65

  • Tesfaye K, Mamo G, Debela S, Tadesse M, Mekuriaw A, Debele B, Semane B, Gebrekidan B, Lemenih M, Zenebe M, and Gebru G, Alemaw G, Assefa G, Georgis K, Desta S, Mengistu S, Berhanu W, and Zenebe M. (2015) A First Assessment Report on Agriculture and Food Security. Working Group II- Climate Change Impact, Vulnerability, Adaptation and Mitigation. Ethiopian Panel of Climate Change (EPCC), Ethiopian Academy of Sciences (EAS), pp. 230, Addis Ababa.

  • Teshome M (2016) Rural households’ agricultural land vulnerability to climate changes in Dembia Woreda, northwest Ethiopia. Environ Syst Res 5(1). https://doi.org/10.1186/s40068-016-0064-3

  • Tessema I, Simane B (2019) Vulnerability analysis of smallholder farmers to climate variability and change: an agro ecological system-based approach in the Fincha’a subbasin of the upper Blue Nile Basin Page 30/35 of Ethiopia. Ecol Process, Springer. https://doi.org/10.1186/s13717-019-0159-7

  • Tesso M, Emana B, Ketema M (2012) Analysis of vulnerability and resilience to climate change induced shocks in North Showa, Ethiopia. Agric Sci 3(6):871–888

    Google Scholar 

  • Thathsarani US, Gunaratne LHP (2018) Constructing and Index to measure the adaptive capacity to Climate Change in Sri Lanka. Procedia Eng 212:278–285 ([CrossRef})

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Urban D, Roberts MJ, Schlenker W et al (2012) Projected temperature changes indicate significant increase in inter annual variability of U.S. maize yields. Clim Change 112:525–533. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-012-0428-2

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Wiebe KD (2003) Linking land quality, agricultural productivity, and food security, USDA- ERS Agricultural Economic Report, No. 823

  • World Bank Group and Asian Development Bank (2021) Climate risk country profile. World Bank, Sri Lanka

  • World Development Report (2019) The Changing Nature of Work

  • Yamane Y (1967) Mathematical Formulae for Sample Size Determination.Yimam DA, Holvoet N (2023) Assessing climate change vulnerability of smallholder farmers in northwest Ethiopia: application of a household intrinsic vulnerability index. Int J Clim Change Strateg Manag, 15(4):537– 56

  • Zeleke G, Teshome M, Ayele L (2023) Farmers’ livelihood vulnerability to climate- related risks in the North Wello Zone, northern Ethiopia. Environ Sustain Indic 17:p100220

  • Zhang X, Hegerl G, Zwiers F, Kenyon J (2004) Avoiding Inhomogeneity in Percentile-Based Indices of Temperature Extremes. Journal of Climate, 18(11):1641–1651

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Zhang X (2005) Avoiding inhomogeneity in percentile-based indices of temperature extremes. J Clim 18.11 (2005):1641

Download references

Acknowledgements

We acknowledge Jimma University College of Agriculture and Veterinary Medicine (JUCAVM) for providing the necessary educational support for the successful completion of the study. We would like to sincerely thank Wollaga University for their kind support and financial assistance, which allowed us to conduct this study. Also, we thank West and South west shewa Zones agricultural offices to support on gathering important or data for our study information. Availability of data and materials.

The climate extremes datasets analyzed during the current study are available at http://cccma.seos.uvic.ca/ETCCDMI/, the European Copernicus climate data repository. The socioeconomic data was observed from farmers and other stakeholders in the study zones.

Funding

This research was supported by Wollega University non-profit making Organization who support staff member to update their status.

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Contributions

Derartu wodajo Sedata; Conceptualization, data observation, data arrangement and designed the investigation, Executed, Analyzed, interpreted the data and Data analysis, Interpretation and manuscript writing.

Diriba Korecha, Dadi Conceptualization, designing, Data analysis (supervision) and Manuscript review and editing.

Weyessa Garedew Terefe; Conceptualization, data collection (supervision), data analysis, Data interpretation and Manuscript review and editing.

Tedesse Terefe Zeleke; Designing the investigation, Data collection and data analysis (supervision).

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Derartu Wodajo Sedata.

Ethics declarations

Ethics approval

This study, titled Smallholder Farmers’ Vulnerability to Climate Extremes in West and Southwest Showa Zones, Ethiopia, has been conducted following ethical guidelines and principles. We confirm that all procedures performed in our study involving human participants were in accordance with the ethical standards of the Zonal Agricultural Office of the West and South West Shewa. The head of the agricultural office provided a support letter to the weredas agricultural office to reach the peasant associations (PAs) with the support of developing agents (DAs) in all weredas. The research protocol and methodologies employed in this study have been reviewed and approved by the advisors suggested as co-authors.

Consent to participate

Participation in this study was voluntary. Prior to their participation, all participants were informed about the purpose of the research, the nature of their involvement, and the potential risks and benefits associated with their participation. Participants were assured of confidentiality and anonymity, and they were informed that they could withdraw from the study at any time without any consequences. Consent to participate was obtained from all individuals included in the study through verbal means.

Consent for publication

By participating in this study, all individuals provided consent for the publication of research findings. Participants were informed that the data collected during the study, including any direct quotations or identifiable information, may be used for publication purposes. Any identifiable information that could potentially compromise the privacy or confidentiality of participants has been carefully removed or disguised in the final manuscript.

Competing interests

We declare that we have no competing interests related to this research project in terms of financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper.

Additional information

Publisher’s note

Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.

Supplementary Information

Below is the link to the electronic supplementary material.

Supplementary file1 (DOCX 50 KB)

Rights and permissions

Springer Nature or its licensor (e.g. a society or other partner) holds exclusive rights to this article under a publishing agreement with the author(s) or other rightsholder(s); author self-archiving of the accepted manuscript version of this article is solely governed by the terms of such publishing agreement and applicable law.

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Sedata, D.W., Dadi, D.K., Terefe, W.G. et al. Smallholder farmers’ vulnerability to climate extremes in west and southwest Showa zones, Ethiopia. Climatic Change 178, 15 (2025). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-024-03852-w

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-024-03852-w

Keywords

pFad - Phonifier reborn

Pfad - The Proxy pFad of © 2024 Garber Painting. All rights reserved.

Note: This service is not intended for secure transactions such as banking, social media, email, or purchasing. Use at your own risk. We assume no liability whatsoever for broken pages.


Alternative Proxies:

Alternative Proxy

pFad Proxy

pFad v3 Proxy

pFad v4 Proxy