Figure 2.
Behavioral data (single subject analysis). Trial-by-trial behavioral model fit of our fictitious update model for an example subject. The top row shows actual choices of the different decision options (sticks) and the model-predicted expected value for each option (lines). The colored bar on top show win trials in green and loss trials in red. We converted these choice probabilities into probabilities of switching and staying and plotted in the second row the actual switches (black stick) and the model-predicted switch probabilities (red lines). An independent logistic regression model was fitted to these switch data (small graphs to the right) to confirm that the switch probabilities of our fictitious update model significantly explained the actual switch data. The logistic fit is plotted in red, the data in blue circles with bigger diameters for overlaying data points.