Skip Navigation Links www.nws.noaa.gov 
NOAA logo - Click to go to the NOAA home page National Weather Service   NWS logo - Click to go to the NWS home page
Climate Prediction Center

 
HOME > Climate & Weather Linkage > Madden-Julian Oscillation > Constructed Analogue MJO Forecast Verification
 

Recent verification information for the Constructed Analogue MJO index forecast. Historical verification is also provided using the available data record.

Verification for the previous 7 days
7-Day verification of the MJO index from the CA

Phase diagram illustrating the recent verification of the CA MJO index forecast. The thick line is the CA model forecast and the thin line is the corresponding observations during the period. Only the forecast points out to seven days are shown.

 
Verification for the previous 15 days
15-Day verification of the MJO index from the CA

Phase diagram illustrating the recent verification of the CA MJO index forecast. The thick line is the CA model forecast and the thin line is the the corresponding observations during the period.

 
90-Day Correlation
90 day verification of the MJO index from the CA

Anomaly correlation for RMM1 and RMM2 during the last 90 days for the Constructed Analogue MJO index forecast for leads from 1 to 15 days.

 
Historical Correlation
Historical verification of the CA MJO index forecast

Historical verification of the Constructed Analogue MJO index forecast via anomaly correlation for leads from 1 to 15 days for both RMM1 and RMM2. The validation period shown here is from January 2005-present. These curves will be extended and updated in realtime shortly.

 
Comparison with GFS Forecasts
Most recent 90 day anomaly correlation between the CA and the GFS forecasts of the MJO index

Comparison of anomaly correlation between the constructed analogue method (CAM) and both the operational and ensemble mean GFS MJO index forecasts. Plots show the correlation of RMM1 and RMM2 for the last 90 days for leads from 1 to 15 days for all three methods.


NOAA/ National Weather Service
NOAA Center for Weather and Climate Prediction
Climate Prediction Center
5830 University Research Court
College Park, Maryland 20740
Page Author: Climate Prediction Center Internet Team
Page last modified: December 19, 2005
Disclaimer
Information Quality
Credits
Glossary
Privacy Policy
Freedom of Information Act (FOIA)
About Us
Career Opportunities
pFad - Phonifier reborn

Pfad - The Proxy pFad of © 2024 Garber Painting. All rights reserved.

Note: This service is not intended for secure transactions such as banking, social media, email, or purchasing. Use at your own risk. We assume no liability whatsoever for broken pages.


Alternative Proxies:

Alternative Proxy

pFad Proxy

pFad v3 Proxy

pFad v4 Proxy