000 AXHW70 PHFO 091921 DGTHFO HIC001-003-007-009-102200- DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 920 AM HST THU AUG 9 2012 ...AGRICULTURAL DROUGHT WORSENING ON KAUAI... SYNOPSIS... DRY JULY WEATHER WORSENED EXISTING DROUGHT CONDITIONS OVER THE LOWER ELEVATIONS OF EAST AND SOUTHEAST KAUAI. AS A RESULT...MODERATE DROUGHT...OR THE D1 CATEGORY IN THE U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR MAP...WAS DOWNGRADED TO SEVERE DROUGHT...OR THE D2 CATEGORY...FROM KEALIA TO KOLOA. ADDITIONAL AREAS OF SEVERE DROUGHT ACROSS THE STATE INCLUDE THE LOWER ELEVATIONS OF SOUTHWEST KAU AND PORTIONS OF THE HUMUULA SADDLE ON THE BIG ISLAND...ALL OF LANAI...THE LOWER LEEWARD SLOPES OF THE WEST MAUI MOUNTAINS AND THE LEEWARD SLOPES OF HALEAKALA FROM KULA TO KAUPO. THE AREA OF EXTREME DROUGHT...OR THE D3 CATEGORY...REMAINS UNCHANGED OVER LEEWARD AREAS OF MAUI COUNTY AND THE BIG ISLAND. IN MAUI COUNTY...THESE AREAS INCLUDE WESTERN MOLOKAI AND SOUTHWEST MAUI FROM KIHEI TO MAKENA. BIG ISLAND EXTREME DROUGHT COVERS MOST OF THE SOUTH KOHALA DISTRICT...THE POHAKULOA REGION OF THE HAMAKUA DISTRICT AND THE NORTH-FACING SLOPES OF HUALALAI IN THE NORTH KONA DISTRICT. MODERATE DROUGHT REMAINS UNCHANGED IN LEEWARD OAHU. SUMMARY OF IMPACTS... KAUAI. OVER THE PAST MONTH...MORE PASTURES DEGRADED TO THE POINT WHERE RANCHERS HAVE HAD TO REDUCE HERD SIZES. PASTURES NEAR KOLOA AND MAHAULEPU REMAIN IN POOR CONDITION. MORE RECENT REPORTS INDICATED IMPACTS TO PASTURES NEAR KEALIA AND KALEPA. OAHU. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES SINCE THE JULY 13 UPDATE. LEEWARD PASTURES REMAIN IN POOR CONDITION DUE TO DRIER THAN NORMAL CONDITIONS. REPORTS FROM EARLIER IN THE SUMMER INDICATED THAT SOME RANCHERS DESTOCKED PASTURES IN THE WAIALUA...MAKAKILO AND PALEHUA AREAS OF THE ISLAND. THE WATER SUPPLY IN THE WAIMANALO RESERVOIR REMAINS ABOVE PRE-DROUGHT LEVELS. A VOLUNTARY 10 PERCENT REDUCTION IN WATER USE REMAINS IN PLACE AS A PRECAUTION FOR THE DRY SEASON. MOLOKAI. PASTURES AND GENERAL VEGETATION CONDITIONS REMAIN VERY POOR WEST OF KAUNAKAKAI. THE DRY CONDITIONS HAVE RESULTED IN AN INCREASE IN AXIS DEER ENCROACHMENTS AND CROP DAMAGE AS THEY SEEK FOOD AND WATER. THE WATER LEVEL IN THE KUALAPUU RESERVOIR REMAINS VERY LOW. THUS...THE STATE OF HAWAII DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE HAS CONTINUED A MANDATORY 30 PERCENT REDUCTION IN IRRIGATION WATER CONSUMPTION. LANAI. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES SINCE THE JULY 13 UPDATE. PASTURES AND GENERAL VEGETATION CONDITIONS HAVE BEEN VERY POOR. MAUI. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES SINCE THE JULY 13 UPDATE. PASTURES AND GENERAL VEGETATION IN LEEWARD MAUI REMAIN EXTREMELY DRY. PASTURES WERE DESTOCKED SEVERAL MONTHS AGO. THE MAUI COUNTY DEPARTMENT OF WATER SUPPLY HAS CONTINUED TO CALL FOR A 5 PERCENT REDUCTION IN WATER USE FOR UPCOUNTRY RESIDENTS. THE REQUEST FOR A 10 PERCENT REDUCTION IN WATER USE BY CENTRAL AND SOUTH MAUI ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT. BIG ISLAND. RANCHERS OPERATING NEAR SOUTH POINT REPORTED THAT PASTURES HAVE DRIED OUT AND THEY HAVE BEEN SUPPLEMENTING FEED. ON THE NORTH SIDE OF THE ISLAND...A RANCHER NEAR WAIMEA REPORTED INSUFFICIENT FORAGE FOR HIS CATTLE AND HE HAS BEEN HAULING 5000 GALLONS OF WATER EACH WEEK. PASTURES AND GENERAL VEGETATION OVER MOST OF THE SOUTH KOHALA DISTRICT AND PORTIONS OF THE NORTH KONA DISTRICT ALONG THE NORTH-FACING SLOPES OF HUALALAI HAVE BEEN VERY DRY. CLIMATE SUMMARY... ACCORDING TO THE NOAA CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER...ENSO-NEUTRAL CONDITIONS ARE IN PLACE. AN EL NINO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...WHICH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR EL NINO TO DEVELOP WITHIN THE NEXT 6 MONTHS. PRECIPITATION/TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK... THE LONG-LEAD HAWAIIAN ISLANDS OUTLOOK ISSUED ON JULY 19 BY THE NOAA CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER INDICATED THAT PROBABILITIES FAVOR BELOW NORMAL PRECIPITATION THROUGH SUMMER AND FALL 2012. THE NEXT LONG-LEAD OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER ON AUGUST 16. HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY AND OUTLOOK... U.S. GEOLOGICAL SURVEY INDICATED THAT MONITORED STREAMS FROM OAHU TO THE BIG ISLAND HAD FLOW AVERAGES FOR JULY IN THE NORMAL TO ABOVE NORMAL RANGE WHILE STREAMS ON KAUAI WERE MOSTLY IN THE BELOW NORMAL RANGE. NOTE THAT THERE ARE NO MONITORED STREAMS ON THE BIG ISLAND AND MAUI COUNTY IN THE SIGNIFICANT DROUGHT AREAS. AVERAGE STREAM FLOW LEVELS WILL REMAIN LOW IN THE LEEWARD AREAS THROUGH THE REST OF THE DRY SEASON AND POSSIBLY THE START OF THE NEXT WET SEASON BASED ON THE LATEST PRECIPITATION OUTLOOK. NEXT ISSUANCE DATE... THE NEXT DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED ON SEPTEMBER 6 2012 OR SOONER IF NECESSARY IN RESPONSE TO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES IN CONDITIONS. && RELATED WEB SITES... ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON CURRENT DROUGHT CONDITIONS MAY BE FOUND AT THE FOLLOWING WEB ADDRESSES /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/ U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR...WWW.DROUGHT.UNL.EDU/DM/MONITOR.HTML HAWAII DROUGHT MONITOR...WWW.HAWAIIDROUGHT.COM USGS HAWAII - RECENT CONDITIONS...HI.WATER.USGS.GOV/RECENT/INDEX.HTML CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER LONG-LEAD HAWAII OUTLOOK... WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/PRODUCTS/PREDICTIONS/90DAY/FXHW40.HTML ACKNOWLEDGMENTS... INFORMATION FOR THIS PRODUCT WAS COMPILED FROM A NUMBER OF SOURCES INCLUDING THE COUNTY BOARDS AND DEPARTMENTS OF WATER SUPPLY...U.S. AND STATE OF HAWAII AGRICULTURE AGENCIES...THE U.S. GEOLOGICAL SURVEY AND THE MEDIA. QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS... IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS ABOUT THIS DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT...PLEASE CONTACT... KEVIN KODAMA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE 2525 CORREA RD. SUITE 250 HONOLULU HI 96822 PHONE...808-973-5276 KEVIN.KODAMA@NOAA.GOV $$ pFad - Phonifier reborn

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