Quantitative Techniques
Quantitative Techniques
Quantitative Techniques
Barhate Mangesh
Roll No- PG/509/MBA (I)/2009J
QUANTITATIVE TECHNIQUES
Page 1
Quantitative Techniques
Barhate Mangesh
Roll No- PG/509/MBA (I)/2009J
INDEX
- Preamble
- Methodology of Quantitative Techniques
- Set Theory
- Logarithms
- Linear Programming
- Matrix
- Data Analysis
- Mean
- Median
- Mode
- Dispertipn
- Skuewness
- Deviation
- Measures of Center and Location
- Measures of Variation
- Methods of Time Series
- Wrapping Up
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Quantitative Techniques
Barhate Mangesh
Roll No- PG/509/MBA (I)/2009J
Preamble
Page 3
Quantitative Techniques
Barhate Mangesh
Roll No- PG/509/MBA (I)/2009J
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Quantitative Techniques
Barhate Mangesh
Roll No- PG/509/MBA (I)/2009J
The scope and areas of application of scientific management are very wide in engineering and
management studies. Today, there are a number at quantitative software packages available to
solve the problems using computers. This helps the analysts and researchers to take accurate and
timely decisions. This book is brought out with computer based problem solving. A few specific
areas are mentioned below.
1. Finance and Accounting: Cash flow analysis, Capital budgeting, Dividend and Portfolio
management, Financial planning.
2. Marketing Management: Selection of product mix, Sales resources allocation and
Assignments.
3. Production Management: Facilities planning, Manufacturing, Aggregate planning,
Inventory control, Quality control, Work scheduling, Job sequencing, Maintenance and
Project planning and scheduling.
4. Personnel Management: Manpower planning, Resource allocation, Staffing, Scheduling
of training programmers.
5. General Management: Decision Support System and Management of Information
Systems, MIS, Organizational design and control, Software Process Management and
Knowledge Management.
From the various definitions of Quantitative Technique it is clear that scientific management hen
got wide scope. In general, whenever there is any problem simple or complicated the scientific
management technique can be applied to find the best solutions. In this head we shall try to find
the scope of M.S. by seeing its application in various fields of everyday lift this include define
operation too.
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Quantitative Techniques
Barhate Mangesh
Roll No- PG/509/MBA (I)/2009J
Set Theory
Set Theory is the mathematical science of the infinite. It studies properties of sets, abstract
objects that pervade the whole of modern mathematics. The language of set theory, in its
simplicity, is sufficiently universal to formalize all mathematical concepts and thus set theory,
along with Predicate Calculus, constitutes the true Foundations of Mathematics. As a
mathematical theory, Set Theory possesses a rich internal structure, and its methods serve as a
powerful tool for applications in many other fields of Mathematics. Set Theory, with its
emphasis on consistency and independence proofs, provides a gauge for measuring the
consistency strength of various mathematical statements. There are four main directions of
current research in set theory, all intertwined and all aiming at the ultimate goal of the theory: to
describe the structure of the mathematical universe. They are: inner models, independence
proofs, large cardinals, and descriptive set theory.
The following basic facts are excerpted from “Introduction to Set Theory,” Third Edition, by
Karel Hrbacek and Thomas Jech, published by Marcel Dekker, Inc., New York 1999.
1. Ordered Pairs
2. Relations
3. Functions
4. Natural Numbers
5. Cardinalities of Sets
6. Finite Sets
7. Countable Sets
8. Real Numbers
9. Uncountable Sets
Applications
Nearly all mathematical concepts are now defined formally in terms of sets and set theoretic
concepts. For example, mathematical structures as diverse as graphs, manifolds, rings, and vector
spaces are all defined as sets having various (axiomatic) properties. Equivalence and order
relations are ubiquitous in mathematics, and the theory of relations is entirely grounded in set
theory.
Set theory is also a promising foundational system for much of mathematics. Since the
publication of the first volume of Principia Mathematica, it has been claimed that most or even
all mathematical theorems can be derived using an aptly designed set of axioms for set theory,
augmented with many definitions, using first or second order logic. For example, properties of
the natural and real numbers can be derived within set theory, as each number system can be
identified with a set of equivalence classes under a suitable equivalence relation whose field is
some infinite set.
Set theory as a foundation for mathematical analysis, topology, abstract algebra, and discrete
mathematics is likewise uncontroversial; mathematicians accept that (in principle) theorems in
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Quantitative Techniques
Barhate Mangesh
Roll No- PG/509/MBA (I)/2009J
these areas can be derived from the relevant definitions and the axioms of set theory. Few full
derivations of complex mathematical theorems from set theory have been formally verified,
however, because such formal derivations are often much longer than the natural language proofs
mathematicians commonly present. One verification project, Metamath, includes derivations of
more than 10,000 theorems starting from the ZFC axioms and using first order logic.
Logarithms
The logarithm is perhaps the single, most useful arithmetic concept in all the sciences; and an
understanding of them is essential to an understanding of many scientific ideas. Logarithms may
be defined and introduced in several different ways. But for our purposes, let's adopt a simple
approach. This approach originally arose out of a desire to simplify multiplication and division to
the level of addition and subtraction. Of course, in this era of the cheap hand calculator, this is
not necessary anymore but it still serves as a useful way to introduce logarithms.
Example:
(i) 103 = 1000 => log10 1000 = 3
Properties of Logarithms:
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Quantitative Techniques
Barhate Mangesh
Roll No- PG/509/MBA (I)/2009J
3.logx x=1
4. loga 1 = 0
5.loga(xp)=p(logax) 1
6. logax =1/logx a
7. logax = logb x/logb a=log x/log a.
Example:
348.25 2 0.6173 1
46.583 1 0.03125 2
9.2193 0 0.00125 3
Mantissa: The decimal part of the logarithm of a number is known is its mantissa. For mantissa,
we look through log table.
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Quantitative Techniques
Barhate Mangesh
Roll No- PG/509/MBA (I)/2009J
Linear Programming
For a given problem situation, there are certain essential conditions that need to be
solved by using linear programming.
1. Limited resources : limited number of labour, material equipment and finance
2. Objective : refers to the aim to optimize (maximize the profits or minimize the costs).
3. Linearity : increase in labour input will have a proportionate increase in output.
4. Homogeneity : the products, workers' efficiency, and machines are assumed to be identical.
5. Divisibility : it is assumed that resources and products can be divided into fractions. (in case
the fractions are not possible, like production of one-third of a computer, a modification of
linear programming called integer programming can be used).
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Quantitative Techniques
Barhate Mangesh
Roll No- PG/509/MBA (I)/2009J
Objective function
The objective of the problem is identified and converted into a suitable objective function. The
objective function represents the aim or goal of the system (i.e., decision variables) which has to
be determined from the problem. Generally, the objective in most cases will be either to
maximize resources or profits or, to minimize the cost or time. For example, assume that a
furniture manufacturer produces tables and chairs. If the manufacturer wants to maximize his
profits, he has to determine the optimal quantity of
tables and chairs to be produced.
Let
x1 = Optimal production of tables
p1 = Profit from each table sold
x2 = Optimal production of chairs
p2 = Profit from each chair sold.
Hence,
Maximize Z or Zmax = p1 x1 + p2 x2
Constraints
When the availability of resources are in surplus, there will be no problem in making decisions.
But in real life, organizations normally have scarce resources within which the job has to be
performed in the most effective way. Therefore, problem situations are within confined limits in
which the optimal solution to the problem must be found. Considering the previous example of
furniture manufacturer, let w be the amount of wood available to produce tables and chairs. Each
unit of table consumes w1 unit of
wood and each unit of chair consumes w2 units of wood. For the constraint of raw material
availability, the mathematical expression is, w1 x1 + w2 x2 £ w
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Quantitative Techniques
Barhate Mangesh
Roll No- PG/509/MBA (I)/2009J
In addition to raw material, if other resources such as labour, machinery and time are also
considered as constraint equations.
Non-negativity constraint
Negative values of physical quantities are impossible, like producing negative number of chairs,
tables, etc., so it is necessary to include the element of non-negativity as a constraint i.e., x1, x2 ³
0
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Quantitative Techniques
Barhate Mangesh
Roll No- PG/509/MBA (I)/2009J
Matrix
A matrix is an ordered set of numbers listed rectangular form.
Example. Let A denote the matrix
[2 5 7 8]
[5 6 8 9]
[3 9 0 1]
This matrix A has three rows and four columns. We say it is a 3 x 4 matrix.
We denote the element on the second row and fourth column with a2,4.
Properties of Addition
The basic properties of addition for real numbers also hold true for matrices.
1. A + B = B + A commutative
2. A + (B + C) = (A + B) + C associative
Unlike matrix addition, the properties of multiplication of real numbers do not all generalize to
matrices. Matrices rarely commute even if AB and BA are both defined. There often is no
multiplicative inverse of a matrix, even if the matrix is a square matrix. There are a few
properties of multiplication of real numbers that generalize to matrices. We state them now.
Let A, B and C be matrices of dimensions such that the following are defined. Then
2. A(B + C) = AB + AC distributive
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Quantitative Techniques
Barhate Mangesh
Roll No- PG/509/MBA (I)/2009J
3. (A + B)C = AC + BC distributive
Im A = A In = A multiplicative identity
When solving linear systems, we first transform the system into an augmented matrix. At that
point our goal is to transform the matrix into an "easier" matrix whose corresponding linear
system has the same solution set. We now defined what it means for a matrix to be "easier".
Definition
2. The first nonzero entry of each row is a one. This one is called the leading one or the
corner.
4. The columns containing a leading one have zeros in all other entries.
If only 1, 2, and 3 are satisfied, then the matrix is in row echelon form.
Example
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Quantitative Techniques
Barhate Mangesh
Roll No- PG/509/MBA (I)/2009J
The main purpose of putting a matrix in rref is that this form makes the solution of the linear
system easy to identify. For example A corresponds to the system
x1 = 4 x2 = 2 x3 = x3
x1 = 4 x2 = 2 x3 = t
x1 + 3x3 = 5 x2 - x3 = 0 x3 = x3
x1 = 5 - 3t x2 = t x3 = t
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Quantitative Techniques
Barhate Mangesh
Roll No- PG/509/MBA (I)/2009J
Data Analysis
Data and Statistical data:
Statistics is a branch of applied mathematics concerned with the collection and interpretation of
quantitative data and the use of probability theory to estimate population parametersStatistical
methods can be used to summarize or describe a collection of data; this is called descriptive
statistics.
Types of Data
Qualitative data are nonnumeric.
1. {Poor, Fair, Good, Better, Best}, colors (ignoring any physical causes), and types of
material {straw, sticks, bricks} are examples of qualitative data.
2. Qualitative data are often termed categorical data. Some books use the terms individual
and variable to reference the objects and characteristics described by a set of data. They
also stress the importance of exact definitions of these variables, including what units
they are recorded in. The reason the data were collected is also important.
When data represent counts, they are discrete. An example might be how many
students were absent on a given day. Counts are usually considered exact and integer.
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Quantitative Techniques
Barhate Mangesh
Roll No- PG/509/MBA (I)/2009J
Continuous data have infinite possibilities: 1.4, 1.41, 1.414, 1.4142, 1.141421...
Data analysis is a process of gathering, modeling, and transforming data with the goal of
highlighting useful information, suggesting conclusions, and supporting decision making. Data
analysis has multiple facets and approaches, encompassing diverse techniques under a variety of
names, in different business, science, and social science domains.
Frequency Distribution:
The distribution of empirical data is called a frequency distribution and consists of a count of the
number of occurrences of each value. If the data are continuous, then a grouped frequency
distribution
Histogram:
A histogram is a graphical display of tabulated frequencies. A histogram is the graphical version
of a table that shows what proportion of cases fall into each of several or many specified
categories.
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Quantitative Techniques
Barhate Mangesh
Roll No- PG/509/MBA (I)/2009J
Advantages
• Visually strong
• Can compare to normal curve
• Usually vertical axis is a frequency count of items falling into each category
Disadvantages
Frequency Polygons:
Frequency polygons are a graphical device for understanding the shapes of distributions. They
serve the same purpose as histograms, but are especially helpful in comparing sets of data.
Frequency polygons are also a good choice for displaying cumulative frequency distributions.
To create a frequency polygon, start just as for histograms, by choosing a class interval. Then
draw an X-axis representing the values of the scores in your data. Mark the middle of each class
interval with a tick mark, and label it with the middle value represented by the class. Draw the Y-
axis to indicate the frequency of each class. Place a point in the middle of each class interval at
the height corresponding to its frequency. Finally, connect the points. You should include one
class interval below the lowest value in your data and one above the highest value. The graph
will then touch the X-axis on both sides.
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Quantitative Techniques
Barhate Mangesh
Roll No- PG/509/MBA (I)/2009J
Advantages
• Visually appealing
• Can compare to normal curve
• Can compare two data sets
Disadvantages
Frequency Curve:
A smooth curve which corresponds to the limiting case of a histogram computed for a frequency distribution of a co
the number of data points becomes very large.
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Quantitative Techniques
Barhate Mangesh
Roll No- PG/509/MBA (I)/2009J
Advantages
• Visually appealing
Disadvantages
Describing Data
Numerically
Interquartile
Weighted Range
Mean
Coefficient
of Variation
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Quantitative Techniques
Barhate Mangesh
Roll No- PG/509/MBA (I)/2009J
∑w x
n
∑x i
XW =
i i
x=
∑w
i=1
n i
∑x
N
i µW =
∑ wx i i
µ= i=1
N
Mean (Arithmetic Average)
∑w i
Sample mean
n = Sample Size
n
∑ x i
x + x + L + x
x = i= 1
= 1 2 n
n n
N = Population Size
N
∑ i= 1
x i
x + x + L + x
µ = = 1 2 N
N N
Population mean
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Quantitative Techniques
Barhate Mangesh
Roll No- PG/509/MBA (I)/2009J
Median
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Median = 3 Median = 3
Mode
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Mode = 5 No Mode
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Mean = 3 Mean = 4
1 + 2 + 3 + 4 + 5 15 1 + 2 + 3 + 4 + 10 20
= =4
= =3 5 5
5 5
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Quantitative Techniques
Barhate Mangesh
Roll No- PG/509/MBA (I)/2009J
Weighted Mean
Example: Sample of
26 Repair Projects
Weighted Mean Days
Days to Frequency to Complete:
Complete
5 4 XW =
∑w x
i i
=
(4× 5) + (12× 6) + (8× 7) + (2× 8)
6 12 ∑w i 4 + 12 + 8 + 2
7 8 164
= = 6.31 days
8 2 26
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Quantitative Techniques
Barhate Mangesh
Roll No- PG/509/MBA (I)/2009J
Shape of a Distribution
Mean < Median < Mode Mean = Median = Mode Mode < Median < Mean
(Longer tail extends to left) (Longer tail extends to right)
Other Measures
of Location
Percentiles Quartiles
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Quantitative Techniques
Barhate Mangesh
Roll No- PG/509/MBA (I)/2009J
Quartiles
The Box and central line are centered between the endpoints if data is symmetric around the median
A Box and Whisker plot can be shown in either vertical or horizontal format
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q1 Q2 Q3
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Quantitative Techniques
Barhate Mangesh
Roll No- PG/509/MBA (I)/2009J
Measures of Variation
Variation
Sample Sample
Variance Standard
Deviation
Variation
Measures of variation give information on the spread or variability of the data values.
Range
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Quantitative Techniques
Barhate Mangesh
Roll No- PG/509/MBA (I)/2009J
Example:
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Range = 14 - 1 = 13
Interquartile Range
Example:
Median X
X Q1 Q3 maximum
minimum (Q2)
25% 25% 25% 25%
12 30 45 57 70
Interquartile range
= 57 – 30 = 27
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Quantitative Techniques
Barhate Mangesh
Roll No- PG/509/MBA (I)/2009J
Variance
Sample variance:
∑ (x i − x ) 2
s 2
= i= 1
n - 1
∑ (x i − µ) 2
σ 2
= i= 1
N
Population variance:
∑ (x i − x ) 2
s = i= 1
n - 1
∑ (x i − µ) 2
σ = i= 1
N
Standard Deviation
∑
i =
(x i − x ) 2
s = 1
n - 1
∑ (x i − µ) 2
σ = i = 1
N
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Quantitative Techniques
Barhate Mangesh
Roll No- PG/509/MBA (I)/2009J
Data A
Mean = 15.5
11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 s = 3.338
Data B
Mean = 15.5
11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 s = .9258
Data C
Mean = 15.5
11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 s = 4.57
Coefficient of Variation
Population Sample
σ s
CV = ⋅ 100% CV = ⋅100%
µ x
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Quantitative Techniques
Barhate Mangesh
Roll No- PG/509/MBA (I)/2009J
68%
µ
µ ± 1σ
µ ± 2σ contains about 95% of the values in the population or the sample
µ ± 3σcontains about 99.7% of the values in the population or the sample
95% 99.7%
Tchebysheff’s Theorem
µ ± 2σ µ ± 3σ
Regardless of how the data are distributed, at least (1 - 1/k2) of the values will fall within k
standard deviations of the mean
Examples:
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Quantitative Techniques
Barhate Mangesh
Roll No- PG/509/MBA (I)/2009J
Time series is set of data collected and arranged in accordance of time. According to
Croxton and Cowdon,”A Time series consists of data arranged chronologically.” Such data
may be series of temperature of patients, series showing number of suicides in different months
of year etc. The analysis of time series means separating out different components which
influences values of series. The variations in the time series can be divided into two parts: long
term variations and short term variations. Long term variations can be divided into two parts:
Trend or Secular Trend and Cyclical variations. Short term variations can be divided into two
parts: Seasonal variations and Irregular Variations.
VARIATIONS IN
TIME SERIES
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Quantitative Techniques
Barhate Mangesh
Roll No- PG/509/MBA (I)/2009J
Wrapping Up
Quantitative Technique is the scientific way to managerial decision-making, while emotion and
guess work are not part of the scientific management approach. This approach starts with data.
Like raw material for a factory, this data is manipulated or processed into information that is
valuable to people making decision. This processing and manipulating of raw data into
meaningful information is the heart of scientific management analysis.
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