Water Quality Modelling
Water Quality Modelling
Water Quality Modelling
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5.7.
5.8.
5.9.
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The most fundamental human needs for water are for drinking, cooking and
personal hygiene. To meet these needs, the quality of the water used must pose no
risk to human health. The quality of the water in nature also affects the condition
of ecosystems that all living organisms depend on. At the same time, humans use
water bodies as convenient sinks for the disposal of domestic, industrial and
agricultural wastewaters. This of course degrades the quality of those water
bodies. Water resources management involves the monitoring and management of
water quality as much as the monitoring and management of water quantity.
Various models have been developed to assist in predicting the water quality
impacts of alternative land and water management policies and practices. This
chapter introduces some of the main principles of water quality modelling.
1. Introduction
Water quality management is a critical component of
overall integrated water resources management. Most
users of water depend on adequate levels of water quality.
When these levels are not met, these water users must
either pay an additional cost for water treatment or incur
at least increased risks of damage or loss. As populations
and economies grow, more pollutants are generated. Many
of these are waterborne, and hence can end up in surface
and groundwater bodies. Increasingly, the major efforts
and costs involved in water management are devoted to
water quality protection and management. Conflicts
among various users of water are increasingly over issues
involving water quality as well as water quantity.
Natural water bodies are able to serve many uses,
including the transport and assimilation of waterborne
wastes. But as natural water bodies assimilate these
wastes, their quality changes. If the quality drops to
the extent that other beneficial uses are adversely affected,
the assimilative capacities of those water bodies have been
exceeded with respect to those affected uses. Water
quality management measures are actions taken to ensure
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4
pollutant load from each source
2
ambient pollutant concentration in waterbody
3
human health and biological condition
land use,
hydrological,
and
ecological
characteristics
of waterbody
E020730a
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(12.1)
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E020730b
382
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nutrients
stimulate
the growth
of algae
b
algae die
and accumulate
on the bottom and
are consumed by bacteria
c
e
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chlorophyll
violations
nutrient
inputs
river
flow
algal
density
harmfull
algal
blooms
carbon
production
sediment
oxygen
demand
duration
of
stratification
frequency
of
hupoxia
shellfish
abundance
fish
health
E020730c
number
of
fishkills
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models include terms for dispersive and/or advective transport depending on the hydrological and hydrodynamic
characteristics of the water body, and terms for the biological, chemical and physical reactions among constituents.
Advective transport dominates in flowing rivers. Dispersion
is the predominant transport phenomenon in estuaries
subject to tidal action. Lake-water quality prediction is
complicated by the influence of random wind directions
and velocities that often affect surface mixing, currents and
stratification. For this and other reasons, obtaining reliable
quality predictions for lakes is often more difficult than for
streams, rivers and estuaries. In coastal waters and oceans,
large-scale flow patterns and tide are the most important
transport mechanisms.
The development and application of water quality
models is both a science and an art. Each model reflects
the creativity of its developer, the particular water quality
management problems and issues being addressed, the
available data for model parameter calibration and
verification, the time available for modelling and associated uncertainty, and other considerations. The fact that
most, if not all, water quality models cannot accurately
predict what actually happens does not detract from their
value. Even relatively simple models can help managers
understand the real world prototype and estimate at least
the relative, if not actual, change in water quality associated with given changes in the inputs resulting from
management policies or practices.
t Tr
t P
t S
(12.2)
The mass balance has the following components:
the mass in computational cell i at the beginning of a
time step t: M ti
the mass in computational cell i at the end of a time
step t: M ti t
changes in computational cell i
M i
by transport:
t Tr
changes in computational cell i by physical,
M i
(bio)chemical or biological processes:
t P
changes in computational cell i by sources
M i
(e.g. wasteloads, river discharges):
t S
Changes by transport include both advective and dispersive transport. Advective transport is transport by flowing
water. Dispersive transport results from concentration
differences. Dispersion in the vertical direction is important if the water column is stratified, and dispersion in the
horizontal direction can be in one or two dimensions.
Dispersion, as defined here, differs from the physical
concept of molecular diffusion as it stands for all
transport that is not advective.
Changes by processes include physical processes such
as re-aeration and settling, (bio)chemical processes
such as adsorption, transformation and denitrification,
and biological processes such as primary production and
predation on phytoplankton. Water quality processes
convert one substance to another.
Changes by sources include the addition of mass by
wasteloads and the extraction of mass by intakes. Mass
entering over the model boundaries can be considered
a source as well. The water flowing into or flowing out
of the modelled segment or volume element (the computational cell) is derived from a water quantity (possibly
hydrodynamic) model.
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(12.5)
M ti t M ti t v x0 C x0 v x0 x C x0 x
C
C
D x0 x
D x0
A
x x 0
x x0 x
(12.6)
M tit M ti t
C
Q x0 C x0 Q x0 x C x0 x D x0 A x0
x
D x0 x A x0 x
(12.3)
TxD0 D x0 A
C x0.5x
C
C
lim x0.5x
x x x0
x
or equivalently:
TxA0
TxA0
385
(12.4)
xx0
C
x
x0 x
x0
(12.7)
D x 0 x
C
x
x 0 x
Dx0
C
x
x
v x 0 C x 0 v x 0 xC x 0 x
x
x0
(12.8)
C
C
D (vC )
t
x x x
(12.9)
The finite volume method for transport is a computational method of solving the advectiondiffusion
equation. The accuracy of the method will be related to
the size of x, A (A yz) and t.
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2C
C
vz
S fR (C
C, t)
2
z
z
(12.10)
(12.11)
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waste load Wc
X<0
(12.14)
C( X )
(W /Q ) exp[ kX/v]
C
X 0
X 0
(12.16)
X 0
] X 0
(WC / 2 A( kD )1 / 2 ) exp[ X ( k / D )1 / 2 ]
(W / 2 A(kD)
C
1/ 2
X>0
distance X
advection only
dispersion only
) exp[ X ( k / D )
1/ 2
(12.17)
Here, dispersion is much more important than advective
transport and the concentration profile approaches a
symmetric distribution, as shown in Figure 12.4, about
the point of discharge at X 0.
E020730d
(12.15)
X=0
concentration C(X)
C(0) WC /Qm
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W1
W3
2
6
minimize i Costi(R i)
subject to:
mass balances:
C1 = W 1(1-R 1)/(Qm)1 + C2 TB 1
7
E020730e
Ci Cimax i ; R i R imax i
(12.18)
(12.19)
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E020730g
daily flow
E020730f
Pr
(q < actual annual minimum 7-day average flow)
1.0
minimum
7-day flow period
days
0.1
0.0
7Q10 flow
minimum 7-days average annual flows q
E020730h
constituent concentration
maximum
allowable concentration
along the river (quality standard)
flow:
higher
lower
distance downstream X
4.4. Temperature
Temperature affects almost all water quality processes
taking place in water bodies. For this reason, it may
be important to model temperature when it may vary
substantially over the period of interest, or when the
discharge of heat into water bodies is to be managed.
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(12.20)
(12.21)
(12.22)
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constituent
rate constant k
units
1.0-5.5
-a
1/day
0.14-0.21
-a
1/day
0.7-3.0
-a
1/day
37-110
-a
1/day
0.3-0.4
-a
1/day
0.05-0.1
-a
1/day
carbofuran
0.03
-b
1/day
DDT
0.0-0.10
-b
1/day
PCB
0.0-0.007
-b
1/day
pentachlorophenol
0.0-33.6
-b
1/day
constituent
1.07
-b
1.10
-b
BOD
1.04
-a
---
b - Schnoor (1996)
E020913a
391
E020730 j
units
oxygen
atmosphere
CBOD
NBOD
dissolved oxygen
waterbody
bottom sediment
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(12.23b)
(12.23c)
E020730k
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saturation DO (mg/l )
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14
12
10
8
6
4
data
adjusted curve
2
0
(12.23a)
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
o
temperature ( C )
units
E020913b
Elmore and Hayes (1960) derived an analytical expression for the DO saturation concentration, DOsat (mg/l), as
a function of temperature (T, C):
= { 0.065 (wind velocity) 2 + 3.86 [(water velocity) / (water depth)] 0.5 } / (water depth)
(van Pagee 1978, Delvigne 1980)
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(12.24)
(T20)
CBOD
dCBOD/dt kCBODCBOD
(12.25)
(T20)
dNBOD/dt kNBOD NBOD
NBOD
(12.26)
393
(12.27)
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parameter
value
0.1-0.4
-a
1/day
k r , typical conditions
0.4-1.5
-a
1/day
1.5-4.0
-a
1/day
4.0-10.0
-a
1/day
0.35
(0.20-0.50)
-b
1/day
0.20
(0.10-0.30)
-b
1/day
0.075 (0.05-0.10)
-b
1/day
CBOD
1.04
-a
1.047
-a
-c
1.024 (1.005-1.030) - c
---
value
(2-10)
-cd
g O2 / m2 / day
1.5
(1-2)
-cd
g O 2 / m 2 / day
sandy bottom
0.5
(0.2-1.0)
-cd
g O2 / m2 / day
mineral soils
0.07
(0.05-0.1)
-cd
g O 2 / m 2 / day
0.1-10.0
-a
g O2 / m2 / day
5-10
-a
g O2 / m2 / day
1.04
units
(1.02-1.09)
E020913c
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units
a - Schnoor (1996)
b - Chapra (1997)
For nitrate-nitrogen:
[Nn/(Nn KN)]aP A
(12.29)
(12.30)
For ammonia-nitrogen:
(12.32)
(1.5 fd 2e)A(T20)A
(12.31)
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E020730n
oxygen
atmosphere
CBOD
CBOD
phytoplankton
nitrate-N
detritus
waterbody
dissolved oxygen
phosphate-P
CBOD
ammonia
bottom sediment
potential
production zone
actual
production
zone
0.5
E020730o
10
12
14
16
18
20
22
24
effictive
daylight hours (EDH)
E020730p
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parameter
value
k N half saturation
10-20
-a
g N/l
50-200
-c
g NO3 /l
-b
g N/l
1-5
-a
g P/l
20-70
-c
g P/l
10
-b
g P/l
a P stoichoimetric ratio
0.012-0.015
-c
mg P/mg A
stoichoimetric ratio
0.08-0.09
-c
mg NO3 /mg A
1.5
-b
1/day
0.2-8
-c
1/day
-b
1/day
10
k P half saturation
0.1
units
(1-20)
(1.0-2.0)
(0.05-0.025)
E020913e
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(12.34)
Denitrification is the process occurring during the breakdown (oxidation) of organic matter by which nitrate is
transformed to nitrogen gas, which is then usually lost
from the water system. Denitrification occurs in anaerobic
conditions:
NO
3 N2
(12.35)
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adsorbed
adsorption
desorption
dissolved
decay
397
E020730w
waterbody
concentration in
solid phase mg/kg
(dry weight)
E020730v
settling / resuspension
concentration in water phase mg/l
adsorbed
adsorption
desorption
dissolved
decay
bottom sediment
E020913f
(12.36)
Kp parameter
value
arsenic
10 4
l/kg
10 4-10 6
l/kg
benzo(a)pyrene
10 4-10 5
l/kg
lead
10 5-10 6
l/kg
units
PCB
10 -10
l/kg
plutonium-239
10 4-10 5
l/kg
methoxychlor
10 4
l/kg
napthalene
10 3
l/kg
(12.37)
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(12.38)
(12.39)
ACw fawCw
(12.40)
(12.41)
(12.42)
Similarly, in the bottom sediments, the dissolved concentration DCs (mg/l) and adsorbed concentration ACs (mg/l)
are fractions, fds and fas, of the total concentration Cs (mg/l);
DCs fdsCs
(12.43)
ACs fasCs
(12.44)
(12.45)
(12.46)
(12.47)
(12.48)
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(12.49)
399
(12.50)
(12.51)
(12.52)
(12.53)
(12.54)
Partitioning can be simulated based on the above equilibrium approach or according to slow sorption kinetics. For
the latter, the rate, dCp/dt, of adsorption or desorption
(mg/m3/day) depends on a first order kinetic constant
ksorp (day1) for adsorption and desorption times
the difference between equilibrium particulate concentration Cpe of a micro-pollutant (mg/m3 bulk) and the
actual particulate concentration Cp (mg/m3 bulk) of a
micro-pollutant.
dCp/dt ksorp(Cpe Cp)
(12.55)
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(12.56)
(12.57)
(12.58)
where
Ac activity of the radionuclide (Bq/m3/s)
NA Avogadros number (6.02 * 1023 mole)
Mw molecular weight of the radionuclide (g/mole).
4.10. Sediments
As discussed in the previous section, sediments play
an important role in the transport and fate of chemical
pollutants in water. Natural waters can contain a mixture
of particles ranging from gravel (2 mm to 20 mm) or
sand (0.07 mm to 2 mm) down to very small particles
classified as silt or clay (smaller than 0.07 mm). The very
fine fractions can be carried as colloidal suspension, for
which electrochemical forces play a predominant role.
Considering its large adsorbing capacities, the fine
fraction is characterized as cohesive sediment. Cohesive
sediment can include silt and clay particles as well as
particulate organic matter such as detritus and other
forms of organic carbon, diatoms and other algae. Since
flocculation and adsorbing capacities are of minor
importance for larger particles, they are classified as
non-cohesive sediment.
The behaviour of this fine-grained suspended matter
affects water quality in several ways. First, turbidity and
its effect on the underwater light climate is an important
environmental condition for algae growth. The presence
of suspended sediment increases the attenuation of
light in the water column, which leads to an inhibition
of photosynthetic activity, and hence a reduction in
primary production. Second, the fate of contaminants in
waters is closely related to suspended solids due to
their large adsorbing capacities. Like dissolved matter,
sediment is transported by advection and by turbulent
motion. In addition, the fate of the suspended cohesive
sediment is determined by settling and deposition, as well
as by bed processes of consolidation, bioturbation and
resuspension.
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4.10.2. Sedimentation
A characteristic feature of cohesive sediments is their
ability to form aggregates of flocs that settle to the bottom,
in a process called sedimentation. Whether a particle will
settle to the bottom depends on its size and density, and
the chemical conditions of the surrounding water system.
Various laboratory and field measurements show that the
suspended matter concentration strongly influences the
aggregation process and thereby the settling velocities of
the aggregates (Krone, 1962). Strong flocs are denser and
have larger settling velocities.
Sediment floc aggregation depends on the chemical
and physical properties of the sediment, and on salinity
and turbulence. At high sediment concentrations (several
g/l) the particles hinder each other, decreasing their
settling velocity. Turbulence affects the flocculation and
therefore the settling velocity in two opposing ways.
Increased turbulence will increase the collisions between
401
(12.60)
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(12.62)
(12.63)
4.10.4. Burial
Burial is a term used to convey that bed sediment is
no longer available for resuspension because it has
been covered by much newer sediment, i.e. it has been
sed
dC bur
C sed
j /dt kBC j
j hj
sed
j hj
j hj
/j C sed
D max
C h
sed
j
j
(12.64)
(12.65)
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Cz (H) /n
(12.68)
1/6
(12.69)
(12.70)
(12.71)
(12.72)
If A 1.47 then
fw exp{5.977 5.123H0.194}
(12.73)
Otherwise
fw 0.32
(12.74)
length
crest
crest
height
still-water line
trough
E020801a
Cz 18 log10(12 H/Rough)
403
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E020809a
riverine zone
transitional zone
lacustrine zone
relatively clear
nutrient supply by
advection
light availability at
depth
nutrient supply by
internal recycling
light-limited primary
productivity
primary productivity
relatively high
nutrient-limited primary
productivity
intermediate
more eutrophic
intermediate
more oligotrophic
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405
E020730y
thermocline
anoxic layer
B
C
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(12.75)
(12.76)
(12.78)
(12.79)
(12.77)
(12.80)
In this case, one can solve for the time t required for the
constituent to reach a fraction (1 ) of the initial concentration C(0) (that is, C(t)/C(0) (1 )). The result is
Equation 12.78.
Equation 12.76 can be used to form an optimization
model for determining the wasteload inputs to this wellmixed lake that meet water quality standards. Assuming
that the total of all natural wasteloads WC(t), inflows and
outflows Q(t), and the maximum allowable constituent
concentrations in the lake, C(t)max, may vary among
different within-year periods t, the minimum fraction, X,
of total waste removal required can be found by solving
the following linear optimization model:
Minimize X
(12.81)
Subject to the following mass-balance and constituent
concentration constraints for each period t:
C(t) [WC(t)(1X)/(Q(t) kCV)]
[1 exp{t((Q(t)/V) kC)}]
C(t1) exp{t((Q(t)/V) kC)}
(12.82)
C(t) C(t)max
(12.83)
If each period t is a within-year period, and if the wasteloadings and flows in each year are the same, then no
initial concentrations need be assumed and a steady state
solution can be found. This solution will indicate, for the
loadings WC(t), the fraction X of waste removal that meet
the quality standards, C(t)max , throughout the year.
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summer stratification
407
winter circulation
mass input
Wc (t)
mass output
C(t)Q out (t)
E020730z
settling
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(12.86)
(12.87)
(12.88)
Ch(t) C(t)
(12.89)
(12.90)
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(12.91)
nitrogen in
organic waste
dC/dt RRCCB/H
(12.92)
N2 gas
mineralization
denitrification
autolysis
sedimentation
nitrogen in
algae
primary
production
mortality
nitrification
NO 3
mineralization
sedimentation
nitrogen in
bottom
mineralization
73
0q
resuspension
NH 4
primary
production
nitrogen in
detritus
409
20
E0
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NH
4 2O2 NO3 H2O 2H
(12.93)
(T20)
Again, kNH4 NH
is the temperature corrected rate
4
constant (1/day), and NH4 is the concentration of
nitrogen in ammonium (gN/m3).
Bacterial activities decrease as temperatures decrease.
Bacterial activities also require oxygen. The nitrification
process stops if the dissolved oxygen level drops below
about 2 mg/l or if the temperature T is less than approximately 5 C.
For each gram of nitrogen in ammonium-nitrogen
NH4-N reduced by nitrification, a gram of nitrate-nitrogen
NO3-N is produced, consuming 2 moles (64 grams)
oxygen per mole (14 grams) of nitrogen (64/14 4.57
grams of oxygen per gram of nitrogen). Nitrification
occurs only in the water column.
In surface waters with a low dissolved-oxygen content,
nitrate can be transformed to free nitrogen by bacterial
activity as part of the process of mineralizing organic
material. This denitrification process can be written as:
(12.94)
(12.95)
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phosphorus in
organic matter
sedimentation
primary
production
PO 4
adsorption
desorption
particulate
inorganic
phosphorus
mortality
phosphorus
in detritus
resuspension
mineralization
autolysis
phosphorus
in algae
411
mineralization
sedimentation
mineralization
sedimentation
73
0
phosphorus
in bottom
20
E0
silica
in diatoms
autolysis
primary
production
inorganic
dissolved silica
mortality
resuspension
mineralization
sedimentation
silica
in the bottom
mineralization
0s
silica
in detritus
73
E0
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inorganic carbon
NH 4 and NO 3
nitrogen detritus
phosphate
phosphorus
detritus
silica
silica detritus
net production
mortality
mineralization
inorganic carbon
carbon detritus
other
algae
E020730u
carbon detritus
diatoms
E020730t
wrm_ch12.qxd
NH 4 and NO 3
nitrogen detritus
phosphate
phosphorus
detritus
net production
mortality
mineralization
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PnkBk
(12.96)
413
(nik Bk) di wi Ci
(12.97)
(12.98)
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(KkBk)
(12.99)
(12.100)
(12.101)
(12.102)
KL KD KW Kkmax KM (1 Zk)
(12.103)
KL KD KW
(12.104)
Kkmin (Zk)
Bk BMZk
(12.105)
(12.106)
(12.107)
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k of species j
Bkmin
Bk
k of species j
Bkmax
species j
k of species j
(12.108)
As mortality is computed according to a negative
exponential function, the minimum biomass level is
always positive; in other words, a species can never
disappear completely. For computational purposes, the
minimum biomass of a species is set to zero if it drops
below some small threshold base level. It is conceivable
that the amount of biomass, which should minimally be
maintained according to Equation 12.108 exceeds the
amount permitted according to the available amount of
light energy (12.100). If this happens, Condition (12.100)
is dropped.
5.9.6. Oxygen-Related Processes
The oxygen concentration in the water column depends
in part on the biochemical and physical processes that
either produce or consume oxygen. For the algae
the model includes the production of oxygen (primary
production), and its consumption through respiration.
Oxygen is also consumed by the mineralization of
detritus and other organic material (in the water column
and bottom sediment), nitrification of ammonia to nitrate,
and exchange of oxygen with the atmosphere (e.g.
re-aeration).
The mineralization of carbon detritus in the water
column and bottom consumes oxygen at a molar ratio of
1:1, equivalent to a ratio of 32/12 g O2 to 1 g C. The net
growth of algae produces oxygen at a molar ratio of 1:1,
equivalent to a ratio of 32/12 g O2 to 1 g C. The mineralization of organic carbon in waste and carbon detritus
in the water column and bottom consumes oxygen
at a molar ratio of 1:1, equivalent to a ratio of 32/12 g
O2 to 1 g C. The nitrification reaction consumes oxygen
at a molar ratio of 2:1, equivalent to a ratio of 64/14 g
O2 to 1 g N. For all algae, oxygen is produced during
photosynthesis. The net growth of algae produces
oxygen at a molar ratio of 1:1, equivalent to a ratio of
32/12 g O2 to 1 g C.
415
Bottom Oxygen
The mineralization of organic material in the bottom
sediment consumes oxygen, which must be supplied
from the water column. The process consumes oxygen at
a molar ratio (oxygen to carbon) of 1:1, equivalent to a
ratio of 32/12 g O2 to 1 g C.
Daily Oxygen Cycle
Because oxygen is produced by the photosynthesis of
algae during the daylight hours, there is a natural variation of oxygen concentrations over the twenty-four-hour
daynight cycle. Typically, oxygen concentrations are
lowest in the early morning as oxygen is consumed
during the night through the processes of algae respiration and organic material mineralization. During the
daylight hours, oxygen is produced, and the highest
values (often supersaturated) are typically found in the
late afternoon. When biomasses are high, these variations
may be large enough to cause low oxygen conditions
during the night or in the early morning.
In the traditional BLOOM calculation, the water
quality processes are all calculated for a daily averaged
situation. This is reflected by the choice of the input
parameters for the light model: the daily averaged solar
radiation and the day length. Reducing the time step would
be the most straightforward way to include diurnal
variations. The drawback, however, is a considerable
increase in computation time. Thus an alternative approach
has been adopted in the model. The total daily rate of
primary production is computed first. Next, this production is distributed over the day. The model takes into
account the day length, and oxygen production begins in
the first daylight hour. Oxygen production increases during
the morning, levels off at a (user-defined) maximum value
for a period in the middle of the day, and decreases during
the afternoon. There is no oxygen production during the
night-time. The hourly oxygen production is combined
with the daily averaged oxygen consumption processes
and the re-aeration to produce an hourly value of oxygen
concentration in the water.
Maintenance Respiration
Respiration in algae is a process in which organic carbon
is oxidized, using oxygen to produce energy. The process
occurs throughout the day and results in oxygen
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(12.109)
6. Simulation Methods
Most of those who will be using water quality models will
be using simulation models that are commonly available
from governmental agencies (e.g. USEPA), universities, or
private consulting and research institutions such as
the Danish Hydraulics Institute, Wallingford software or
WL | Delft Hydraulics (Ambrose et al., 1996; Brown and
Barnwell, 1987; Cerco and Cole, 1995; DeMarchi et al.,
1999; Ivanov et al., 1996; Reichert, 1994; USEPA, 2001;
WL | Delft Hydraulics, 2003).
These simulation models are typically based on
numerical methods that incorporate a combination of
plug flow and continuously stirred reactor approaches
to pollutant transport. Users must divide streams, rivers,
and lakes and reservoirs into a series of well-mixed
segments or volume elements. A hydrological or hydrodynamic model calculates the flow of water between all
of these. In each simulation time step, plug flow enters
these segments or volume elements from upstream
segments or elements. Flow also exits from them to
downstream segments or elements. During this time
the constituents can decay or grow, as appropriate,
depending on the conditions in those segments or
volume elements. At the end of each time-step, the
volumes and their constituents within each segment or
element are fully mixed. The length of each segment
or the volume in each element reflects the extent of
dispersion in the system.
(12.110)
(12.111)
or
C(t t) C(t)(1 kt)
(12.112)
(12.113)
(12.114)
(12.115)
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C (t)
C (t+t)
1.0
0.5
0.0
0.1
0.3
0.5
0.9
1.1
kt
- 0.5
E020801b
0.7
- 1.0
(12.116)
417
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E020801d
418
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concentration C in
t
i
segment i having volume V i
at beginning of time period t
concentration in segment i
after mixing at end of time period t
i-1
Wi
t+1
= {( C Q
+W ) t +
i
i-1 i-1, i
i
t
t+1
t )} exp (-k t ) / V
C it ( V - Qt
i
i, i+1
i
i+1
concentration in segment i
at end of time period t before mixing
t
+W ] t exp (-k t )
Q
i
i-1 t i-1 , ti
downstream: C [ V - Q
t ] exp (-k t )
i
i, i-1
i
upstream: [ C
t
t Ti
(12.117)
i, t}
(12.118)
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E020801g
419
t
1
C ,V
1
t
2
t
2
C ,V
incremental waste
load mass
t
t
C ,V
5
segment i
C
t t
C ,V
3 3
t t
C ,V
4 4
t+1
t
= C exp{ -k (Tij-20) t }
ij j
ij
j
j = 1,2,3,4,5
after mixing:
C
t+1
t+1 t t+1
= C
V /V
i
j ij
j i
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(12.119)
The decay rate constant kj, temperature correction coefficient j and water temperature T are all temporally and
spatially varied variables. Their values depend on the
particular river reaches and storage volume sites through
which the water travels during the period t from sites j to
segment i.
Integrating Equation 12.119 yields:
Cjt1 Cjt exp{ kjj(T20)t}
(12.120)
(12.121)
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7. Conclusions: Implementing a
Water Quality Management Policy
This chapter has provided only a brief introduction to
some of the relationships contained in water quality
models. As can be said for the other chapters as well, it
summarizes a subject on which entire texts, and very
good ones, have been written (see, for example, Chapra,
1997; McCutcheon, 1989; Orlob, 1983; Schnoor, 1996;
Thomann and Mueller, 1987). Water quality modelling
and management demand skill and data. Skill comes with
experience. Sufficient expertise will not be gained by
working just with the material introduced in this chapter.
It serves only as an introduction to surface water quality
models, their assumptions and their limitations.
If accompanied by field data and uncertainty analysis,
many existing models can be used to assist those responsible for developing water quality management plans in
an adaptive implementation or management framework.
Adaptive implementation or management will allow
for both model and data improvements over time. Such
approaches strive toward achieving water quality standards while relying on monitoring and experimentation
to reduce uncertainty. This is often the only way one can
proceed, given the complexity of the real world compared
to the predictive models and the data and time usually
available at the time a water quality analysis is needed.
Starting with simple analyses and iteratively expanding
data collection and modelling as the need arises is a
reasonable approach.
An adaptive management process begins with initial
actions that have reasonable chances of succeeding.
Future actions must be based on continued monitoring
of the water body to determine how it responds to the
actions taken. Plans for future regulation and public
spending should be subject to revision as stakeholders
learn more about how the system responds to actions
taken. Monitoring is an essential aspect of adaptive water
quality management and modelling (see Appendix B).
Regardless of what immediate actions are taken, there
may not be an immediate measurable response. For
example, there may be significant lags between the time
when actions are taken to reduce nutrient loads and
the resulting changes in nutrient concentrations. This is
especially likely if nutrients from past activities are tightly
421
bound to sediments or if nutrient-contaminated groundwater has a long residence time before its release to
surface water. For many reasons, lags between actions
taken and responses must be expected. Water bodies
should be monitored to establish whether the trajectories
of the measured water quality criteria point toward
attainment of the designated use.
Wasteload allocations will inevitably be required if
quality standards are not being met. These involve costs.
Different allocations will have different total costs and
different distributions of those costs; hence they will have
different perceived levels of fairness. A minimum-cost
policy may result in a cost distribution that places most of
the burden on just some of the stakeholders. But until
such a policy is identified, one will not know this. An
alternative may be to reduce loads from all sources by the
same proportion. Such a policy has prevailed in the
United States over the past several decades. Even though
not very cost-effective from the point of view of water
quality management, the ease of administration and the
fulfilment of other objectives must have made such a
policy politically acceptable, even though expensive.
However, these types of wasteload allocations policies will
not in themselves be sufficient for many of the ecosystem
restoration efforts that are increasingly being made.
Restoration activities are motivated in part by the services
ecosystems provide for water quality management.
Our abilities to include ecosystem components within
water quantity and quality management models are at a
fairly elementary level. Given the uncertainty, especially
with respect to the prediction of how ecosystems will
respond to water management actions, together with the
need to take actions now, long before we can improve
these capabilities, the popular call is for adaptive management. The trial and error aspects of adaptive management
based on monitoring and imperfect models may not satisfy
those who seek more definitive direction from water quality analysts and their predictive models. Stakeholders and
responsible agencies seeking assurances that the actions
taken will always work as predicted may be disappointed.
Even the best predictive capabilities of science cannot
ensure that an action that will lead to the attainment of
designated uses will be initially identified. Adaptive
management is the only reasonable option in most cases
for allowing water quality management programmes to
move forward in the face of considerable uncertainties.
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8. References
AMBROSE, R.B.; BARNWELL, T.O.; MCCUTCHEON,
S.C. and WILLIAMS, J.R. 1996. Computer models for
water quality analysis. In: L.W. Mays (ed.), Water
Resources Handbook. New York, McGraw-Hill. Chapter 14.
BORSUK, M.E.; STOW, C.A. and RECKHOW, K.H.
2004. A Bayesian network of eutrophication models for
synthesis, prediction, and uncertainty analysis. Ecological
Modelling, Vol. 173, pp. 21939.
BROWN, L.C. and BARNWELL, T.O. Jr. 1987. The
enhanced stream water-quality models QUAL2E and QUAL2EUNCAS: documentation and user manual. EPA-600/3-87/007.
Athens, Ga., EPA Environmental Research Laboratory.
CERCO, C.F. and COLE, T. 1995. Users guide to the
CE-QUAL-ICM three-dimensional eutrophication model,
release version 1.0. Technical Report EL-95-15. Vicksburg,
Miss., USACE Waterways Experiment Station.
CHAPRA, S. 1997. Surface water quality modelling.
New York, McGraw-Hill.
DEMARCHI, C.; IVANOV, P.; JOLMA, A.; MASLIEV, I.;
SMITH, M. and SOMLYDY, L. 1999. Innovative tools for
water quality management and policy analysis: DESERT
and STREAMPLAN. Water Science and Technology, Vol. 40,
No. 10, pp. 10310.
ELMORE, H.L. and HAYES, T.W. 1960. Solubility of
atmospheric oxygen in water. Journal of the Environmental
Engineering Division, ASCE, Vol. 86, No. SA4, pp. 4153.
ENGELUND, F. and HANSEN, E. 1967. A monograph
on sediment transport in alluvial streams. Copenhagen,
Teknisk forlag.
IVANOV, P.; MASLIEV, I.; DE MARCHI, C. and
SOMLYDY, L. 1996. DESERT: decision support system
for evaluating river basin strategies; users manual.
International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis.
Laxenburg, Austria, IISA.
KARR, J.R. 1990. Bioassessment and non-point source
pollution: an overview. In: Second National Symposium on
Water Quality Assessment. Washington, D.C., EPA Office
of Water; pp. 418.
KRONE, R.B. 1962. Flume studies of the transport of
sediment in estuarial shoaling processes. Berkeley, Calif.,
University of California, Hydraulic and sanitary engineering laboratory.
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ASCE. 1999. National stormwater best management practices (BMP) data-base: version 1.0. Users Guide and CD.
Washington, D.C. Prepared by Urban Water Resources
Research Council of ASCE, and Wright Water Engineers,
Inc., Urban Drainage and Flood Control District, and URS
Greiner Woodward Clyde, in cooperation with EPA
Office of Water.
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