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    Solutions Tutorial 2

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    empor1001
    This document contains solutions to tutorial questions from a statistical and quantitative methods chapter. It addresses questions about estimating probabilities from sample data, defining events, and calculating probabilities of unions, intersections, and other relationships between events. The document also includes optional extra practice questions and explanations of their solutions.

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    Attribution Non-Commercial (BY-NC)
    Download as PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd

    Solutions Tutorial 2

    Uploaded by

    empor1001
    40 views10 pages
    This document contains solutions to tutorial questions from a statistical and quantitative methods chapter. It addresses questions about estimating probabilities from sample data, defining events, and calculating probabilities of unions, intersections, and other relationships between events. The document also includes optional extra practice questions and explanations of their solutions.

    Original Description:

    CHEMISTRY

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    This document contains solutions to tutorial questions from a statistical and quantitative methods chapter. It addresses questions about estimating probabilities from sample data, defining events, and calculating probabilities of unions, intersections, and other relationships between events. The document also includes optional extra practice questions and explanations of their solutions.

    Copyright:

    Attribution Non-Commercial (BY-NC)
    Download as PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Download as pdf or txt
    40 views10 pages

    Solutions Tutorial 2

    Uploaded by

    empor1001
    This document contains solutions to tutorial questions from a statistical and quantitative methods chapter. It addresses questions about estimating probabilities from sample data, defining events, and calculating probabilities of unions, intersections, and other relationships between events. The document also includes optional extra practice questions and explanations of their solutions.

    Copyright:

    Attribution Non-Commercial (BY-NC)
    Download as PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Download as pdf or txt
    of 10

    AB103 – Statistical and Quantitative Methods

    Solutions - Tutorial 2

    Chapter 3 (MBS)

    3.6

    3.12

    a. The 5 sample points are:

    Total population, Agricultural change, Presence of industry, Growth, and Population


    concentration

    b. The probabilities are best estimated with the sample proportions. Thus,
    P (Total population) = .18
    P (Agricultural change) = .05
    P (Presence of industry) = .27
    P (Growth) = .05
    P (Population concentration) = .45

    c. Define the following event:


    A: {Factor specified is population-related}

    P (A) = P (Total population) + P (Growth) + P (Population concentration)

    = .18 + .05 + .45 = .68.


    3.16

    See a clip of Jai Lai here …..

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LfByJcWY4r4&feature=related

    3.20
    3.36

    + P (D) -

    3.44
    3.52

    3.58
    3.62

    c.

    Let A2 be the event that CVSA yields incorrect results for 2 out of 4 suspects
    ⎛ 4⎞
    CVSA can yield incorrect results for 2 suspects out of 4 in 6 {= ⎜⎜ ⎟⎟ }different ways.
    2
    ⎝ ⎠
    P (A2) = 6* (0.98)2 * (0.02)2 = 0.0023

    Since this probability is very low, we would doubt the claimed accuracy rate of the new
    lie detector.
    Optional Exercises

    3.14

    e. Since there were 335,770 carloads that week, the probability of selecting any one
    in particular would be 1 / 335,770 = .00000298. Thus, the probability of selecting
    the carload with the serial number 1003642 is .00000298.
    3.18

    3.26
    c
    a. P(A ) = P(E ) + P(E ) + P(E ) = 0.2 + 0.3 + 0.03 = 0.53
    3 6 8

    c
    b. P(B ) = P(E ) + P(E ) + P(E ) = 0.10 + 0.06 + 0.03 = .19
    1 7 8

    c
    c. P(A ∩ B) = P(E ) + P(E ) = 0.2 + 0.3 = 0.5
    3 6

    d. P(A ∪ B) = P(E ) + P(E ) + P(E ) + P(E ) + P(E ) + P(E ) + P(E )


    1 2 3 4 5 6 7
    = .10 + .05 + .20 + .20 + .06 + .30 + .06 = .97

    e. P(A ∩ B) = P(E ) + P(E ) + P(E ) = .05 + .20 + .06 = .31


    2 4 5

    c c
    f. P(A ∪ B ) = P(E ) + P(E ) + P(E ) + P(E ) + P(E ) = .10 + .06 + .20 + .30 + 0.03 = .69
    1 7 3 6 8

    g. No. A and B are mutually exclusive if P(A ∩ B) = 0. Here, P(A ∩ B) = .31.

    3.32
    3.38
    3.50

    3.54

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