Synopsis of The Thesis On Portfolio Optimization Improved Risk Adjusted Return
Synopsis of The Thesis On Portfolio Optimization Improved Risk Adjusted Return
Synopsis of The Thesis On Portfolio Optimization Improved Risk Adjusted Return
PORTFOLIO OPTIMIZATION
IMPROVED RISK ADJUSTED
RETURN
SUBMITTED BY:
ROHIT KUMAR VERMA
MBA SEMESTER IV (2009-11)
SUBMITTED TO:
MR. MOHAMMAD MURTUJA
FACULTY SUPERVISOR (IUJ)
INTRODUCTION:
In this thesis, portfolio optimization is used to evaluate if a specific sample of portfolios have
a higher risk level or lower expected return, compared to what may be obtained through
Optimization. It also compares the return of optimized portfolios with the return of the original
Portfolios. The risk analysis software Aegis Portfolio Manager developed by Barra is used for
the optimizations. With the expected return and risk level used in this thesis, all portfolios can
obtain a higher expected return and a lower risk. Over a six-month period, the optimized
portfolios do not consistently outperform the original portfolios and therefore it seems as
though the optimization do not improve the return of the portfolios. This might be due to the
THERE ARE DIFFERENT ISSUES TO CONSIDER WHEN INVESTORS CONSTRUCT A STOCK PORTFOLIO . THROUGH
MAGAZINES , FRIENDS AND FINANCIAL ADVISORS THEY OBSERVE INTERESTING COMPANIES TO INVEST IN AND
THE STOCK EXCHANGE . I F THE COMPANY IS UNDERVALUED ACCORDING TO THIS METHOD , THE INVESTOR WILL
BUY SHARES AND ASSUME THAT THE MARKETS VIEW OF THE COMPANY WILL CHANGE SO THAT THE STOCK
PRICE WILL INCREASE . WHEN THE STOCK PRICE HAS RISEN SO THAT THE COMPANY IS OVERVALUED OR IF THE
STOCK PRICE DOES NOT DEVELOP AS PREDICTED , THE INVESTOR WILL SELL THE STOCK.
ANOTHER POSSIBILITY IS TECHNICAL ANALYSIS WHERE THE INVESTORS USE DIFFERENT METHODS TO FIND
INTERESTING STOCKS FOR THEIR PORTFOLIOS . ONE WAY IS TO FIND STOCKS WHERE THE STOCK PRICE FOLLOWS
AN UPWARD TREND SINCE THEY BELIEVE THAT THIS TREND WILL CONTINUE . T HESE INVESTORS ALSO SEARCH
FOR PATTERNS IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF THE STOCK PRICE. T HEY BELIEVE THAT THE MARKET WILL ACT IN THE
SAME WAY IN SIMILAR SITUATIONS AND THEREFORE ASSUME THAT THE STOCK PRICE WILL DEVELOP AS THEY
PREDICT . THEIR PRIMARY BELIEF IS THAT BY ANALYSING STOCK CHARTS , IT IS POSSIBLE TO CAPTURE THE
WHEN THE INVESTORS HAVE CONSTRUCTED A PORTFOLIO OF SEVERAL STOCKS ONE POSSIBILITY IS TO TRY TO
IMPROVE THE PERFORMANCE OF THE PORTFOLIO WITH MEAN-VARIANCE OPTIMISATION . GIVEN THE
EXPECTED MEAN , VARIANCE AND COVARIANCE OF THE STOCKS IN A PORTFOLIO , THE OPTIMISATION TRIES TO
FIND THE OPTIMAL COMBINATIONS OF THE STOCKS . T HEREBY THE VARIANCE OF THE PORTFOLIO IS
MINIMISED AND THE EXPECTED RETURN IS MAXIMISED ACCORDING TO THE INVESTOR ’ S PREFERENCES . T HIS
METHOD IS NOT WIDELY USED , WHICH MIGHT BE DUE TO THE FACT THAT THE VARIANCE AND THE COVARIANCE
MEASURES OF STOCKS AND PORTFOLIOS ARE NOT AS EXTENSIVELY AVAILABLE AS THEIR PRICE SERIES .
measures of stocks and portfolios are not as extensively available as their
price series.