Macro Business Environment IN India: Project Submitted By
Macro Business Environment IN India: Project Submitted By
Macro Business Environment IN India: Project Submitted By
Project submitted by:RISHABH ANAND Roll No. 22 Semester 1, MBA(FINANCE) Batch 2011-2013 Department of Commerce
University of Calcutta
TABLE OF CONTENTS
Introduction 2. Overview of Indian Economy 3. Political Environment 4. Economic Environment 5. Key Economic Indicators 6. Socio-Cultural Environment 7. Technological Environment 8. Ecological Environment 9. Opportunities In India 10. Conclusion 11. Bibliography
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1 2 3-4 4-5 5-9 9-12 12-13 13-15 16-17 18 19
Acknowledgement
I, Rishabh Anand,wish to express my sincere gratitude to Prof. B. Roy Choudhury, to give me an opportunity to do my project work on this topic. This project bears on imprint of many people. I also wish to express my gratitude to the officials and other staff members who rendered their help during the period of my project work. Last but not least I wish to avail myself of this opportunity, express a sense of gratitude and love to my friends and my beloved parents for their manual support, strength, help and for everything.
Introduction
Business environment refers to all those factors which have a bearing upon the operations of the business firms.Those key environments include political,economic, sociocultural, technological and ecological environment. Analysis of these influential environments has been used to identify business opportunities and threats in the country along with the three industries which have been performing well. Selection of industries has been done on the basis of its current performance, its viability with respect to environmental analysis and its potential to contribute more to the Indian economy through its comparative advantage in South Asia.E n v i r o n m e n t a l a n a l ys i s s t a r t s w i t h t h e a n a l ys i s o f p o l i t i c a l e n v i r o n m e n t w h e r e t h e Legislature, the Executive, the Judiciary, the States, Election Commission, Political Influence in Business and Indian Corporate Governance practices has been analyzed.A n a l ys i s o f e c o n o m i c e n v i r o n m e n t i n c l u d e t h e a n a l ys i s o f b u s i n e s s i d e o l o g y b e i n g i n f l u e n c e d b y p o l i t i c a l i d e o l o g y, G D P t r e n d s , per capita Income and Consumption,Market Size, Growth Rate, Foreign D i r e c t I n v e s t m e n t ( F D I ) a n d r e a s o n s f o r F D I attraction in India. It also analyzes the economy with respect to the models of command a n d m a r k e t e c o n o m y . Demography, Caste System, Women Empowerment and Consumption Pattern are important analysis that forms the socio-cultural environment a n a l y s i s . W h i l e analyzing the technological e n v i r o n m e n t , t r a n s p o r t a t i o n a n d communication sector have been considered. India as an emerging market for value-added services and telecom equipment manufacturing has been studied in the process.F i n a l l y , environmental analysis has been concluded with the analysis of e c o l o g i c a l environment (Geography, Rural Environment, Biological & Agricultural Diversity and Domestic Resources).
2. Political Environment
Inspired by Mahatma Gandhi and his Satyagraha, a unique non-violent campaign, India threw off the yoke of British rule on August 15, 1947. Free Indias first Prime Minister,Pandit Jawaharlal Nehru, described the moment as a tryst with destiny.I n l e s s t h a n t h r e e ye a r s o f a t t a i n i n g f r e e d o m , I n d i a h a d f r a m e d a C o n s t i t u t i o n
a n d declared itself a Republic on January 26, 1950. The Constitution was given shape by some of the finest minds of the country who ensured the trinity of justice, liberty and equality, for the citizens of India. The Constitution was made flexible enough to adjust to the demands of social and economic changes within a democratic framework. Adopting the path of democracy, the country held its first general elections in 1952. Elections to the Lower House of Parliament, Lok Sabha, have been held regularly every five years.India is a Union of 28 States and seven centrally administered Union Territories. The country attained freedom on 15 August 1947. The Constitution of the Republic came into effect on 26 January 1950.
support in the Lok Sabha is appointed Prime Minister by the President. The President then appoints other ministers on the advice of the Prime M i n i s t e r . The Prime Minister can remain in office only as long as he or she e n j o y s majority support in the Parliament
3. Economic Environment
Political ideology has had an influence in Indian economy. Political ideology basically shaped the economic policy and model which impacted market performance.
up of India. India in 1947 presented the picture of an economically underdeveloped nation with hunger, poverty; low national income etc. Indian agricultures received maximum care under the east India Company. This was primarily because the main sources of state income were lands revenue. Moreover it was the sole aim of the British government was to establish India as agricultural base. Thus t h e a g r i c u l t u r a l p r o d u c e s i n I n d i a c o u l d p r o v i d e c h e a p r a w m a t e r i a l s t o i n d u s t r i a l England. The Company tried various experiments to maximize the land revenue by resort to the method of oppression and repression to the peasants. The system of farming of land revenue became obsolete. Cornwallis introduced Permanent Settlement or a system of Land Revenue in Bengal, Bihar and Orissa in the year 1793. Subsequent administrators introduced the Ryotwari system in the Bombay Presidency and most of the parts of the Madras Presidency. The Mahalwari system proved extremely devastating in the part of Uttar Pradesh. The Zamindary system encouraged absentee landlordism. It eventually created a host of intermediaries between the state and the cultivator. This complicated system of land revenue created a group of moneylender, who otherwise oppressed the poor peasants by lending them at high interests. The poor cultivators could not repay those high interests and ultimately submitted to those moneylenders. As a result famine was the regular feature of the time. The sole mission of the European in India was the economic exploitation. The burden of the Europeans was carried on through the economic exploitation in India. The British rulers created new economic structure belonged to the colonial institutions. The British e s t a b l i s h e d a c o l o n i a l e c o n o m y, c o l o n i a l s o c i e t y a n d e v e n colonial ideology. The institution of landlordism, casteism infested w i t h n a r r o w p o l i t i c a l c o n s i d e r a t i o n , communalism, regionalism etc were the immediate results of the British economic policy.Moreover" distorted modernization" created new problems. In 1947, when the British left, India represented a ruined economy, a sick society and the present danger of the evileffects of neo-colonialism.
p e r c e n t i n 2 0 0 6 - 0 7 t o 4 . 6 p e r c e n t i n 2 0 0 8 - 0 9 , while the per capita consumption growth declined from 6.9 per cent in 2007-08 to 1.4 per cent in 2008-09.
Figure 3: Growth in per capita GDP and Consumption (Source: Economic Survey 2008-09) (Note: The top line is per cap GDP and the bottom line is per cap Consumption)
Indias per capita income (nominal) is $1,030, while its p e r c a p i t a ( P P P ) i s US$2,940. Previously a closed economy, Indias trade
has grown fast. India currently accounts for 1.5% of World trade as of 2007 according to the WTO. According to the World Trade Statistics of the WTO in 2006, Indias total merchandise trade (counting e x p o r t s a n d i m p o r t s ) w a s valued at $294 billion in 2006 and Indias services trade i n c l u s i v e o f export and import was $143 billion. Thus, Indias global e c o n o m i c engagement in 2006 covering both merchandise and services trade was of the order of $437 billion, up by a record 72% from a level of $253 billion in 2004. This presents a huge opportunity for business.
4. Socio-Cultural Environment
Social section enables understanding of customer demographics through income d i s t r i b u t i o n , r u r a l - u r b a n s e g m e n t a t i o n a n d c e n t e r s o f a f f l u e n c e , h e a l t h c a r e a n d educational scenario. Changes in social trends can impact on the demand for a firms products and the availability and willingness of individuals to work.
Scientific study of human population, their size, their structure, their development is regarded as Demography. According to Van Mayer, sociologist, Demography can be d e f i n e d a s t h e n u m e r i c a l a n a l ys i s o f t h e s t a t e a n d movement of human population inclusive of census enumeration and r e g i s t r a t i o n o f v i t a l p r o c e s s e s a n d o f w h a t e v e r quantitative statistical analysis can be made of the state and movement of population on t h e f u n d a m e n t a l c e n s u s a n d r e g i s t r a t i o n d a t a . C e n s u s i s t h e p r o c e s s o f c o l l e c t i n g , compiling, evaluating analyzing and publishing demographic, social and economic data pertaining to specific point of time to all persons in a country. This process was first of all started by British in 1871, since then it is conducted every 10 years. The last census in India was conducted in 2001
4.2 Population
India, whose land occupies 2.4% of total area of world, has the second largest nation in terms of population size. India has population of 1.1 billion, which is 16% of total world population. With current rate of population growth (2.11% approx.), India will soon r e p l a c e C h i n a a s a m o s t p o p u l o u s n a t i o n o f t h e w o r l d . A c c o r d i n g t o t h e C e n s u s conducted in 2001, India had total population of 1,028,610,328 out of which population of males was 532,156,772 as against 496,453,556 number of females with overall sex ratio of 933 i.e. 933 females per 1000 males.
4.3 Religion
India is a secular democracy; almost all the religions of world find representation in this country. If on one hand majority of its population (approx. 80%) is Hindu, then on the other it also boasts of having the third largest Muslim population in the world. As per the l a s t c e n s u s c o n d u c t e d , o u t o f t h e t o t a l p o p u l a t i o n o f 1 0 2 8 , 6 1 0 , 3 2 8 8 , 2 7 5 , 8 7 9 a r e Hindus; 138,188 (13%) Muslims; 24,080 (2.34%) Christians; 19,216 (1.8%) Sikhs; 7,955(0.7%) Buddhist; 4,225(0.4%) Jains; and 6,640 (0.6%) others.
4.4 Language
India is home to approximately 1,652 languages among them 350 are major ones. There are 22 officially recognized languages. It includes Assamese, Bengali, Bodo, Dogri,Gujarati, Hindi, Kannad, Kashmiri, Konkani, Maithili, Malayalam, Manipuri, Marathi,Oriya, Punjabi, Santhali, Sanskrit, Sindhi, Telugu, Tamil, Nepali and
Urdu. Hindi is the most widely spoken language closely followed by English, which is the second official language of the nation.
shopping has changed from it being a regular chore to one that provides an enriching experience.The Indian consumer market is set to undergo a major transformation. By 2025, India is estimated to climb from its current position as the worlds 12th largest consumer market to become the worlds 5th largest consumer market. More than 291 million people are expected to move out of abject poverty to a more sustainable lifestyle and the size of the middle class is expected to swell by over ten times from its current size of 50 million to583 million people. Moreover, more than 23 million Indians will get added to the group of the countrys wealthiest citizens by 2025. This well-being is expected to spread across the rural areas as well, with annual real rural income growth per household expected to a c c e l e r a t e f r o m 2 . 8 p e r c e n t ( s i n c e t h e p a s t 2 d e c a d e s ) t o 3 . 6 p e r c e n t o v e r t h e n e x t 2 decades. As the incomes in India continue to grow on the back of strong overall economic growth,income dynamics in India are expected to set in.
5. Technological Environment
Technological environment in India is favorable to quality improvement, cost reduction,& introduction to new products in market. It will lead to Industrial development with g l o b a l c o m p e t i t i v e n e s s . I n I n d i a , t h e g o v e r n m e n t h a s s e t u p l a r g e n u m b e r o f R & D Activities, space research centers etc. for introduction of new technology in different a r e a s . T h e e x p a n s i o n o f i n f r a s t r u c t u r e f a c i l i t i e s i n r e g a r d t o t r a n s p o r t , communication, electricity etc also encourages the application of modern technology to industries.
5.1.1 Railways
Indian Railways is one of the largest railways under single management. It carries some17 million passengers and 2 million tones of freight a day in year 2007 and is one of the worlds largest employers. The railways play a leading role in carrying passengers and cargo across India's vast territory. However, most of its major corridors have capacity constraint requiring capacity enhancement plans.
5.1.2 Roads
Roads are the dominant mode of transportation in India today. They carry almost 90 percent of the countrys passenger traffic and 65 percent of its freight. The
density of I n d i a s h i g h w a y n e t w o r k a t 0 . 6 6 k m o f h i g h w a y p e r s q u a r e k i l o m e t e r o f l a n d i s similar to that of the United States (0.65) and much greater than Chinas (0.16) or Brazil's(0.20). However, most highways in India are narrow and congested with poor surface equality, and 40 percent of Indias villages do not have access to all-weather roads.
5.1.3 Ports
India has 12 major and 187 minor and intermediate ports along its more than 7500 km l o n g c o a s t l i n e . T h e s e p o r t s s e r v e t h e c o u n t r y s g r o w i n g f o r e i g n t r a d e i n p e t r o l e u m products, iron ore, and coal, as well as the increasing movement of containers. Inland water transportation remains largely undeveloped despite India's 14,000 kilometers of navigable rivers and canals.
5.1.4 Aviation
India has 125 airports, including 11 international airports. Indian airports handled 96m i l l i o n p a s s e n g e r s a n d 1 . 5 m i l l i o n t o n e s o f c a r g o i n ye a r 2006-2007, an increase of 31.4% for passenger and 10.6% for cargo t r a f f i c o v e r p r e v i o u s y e a r . T h e d r a m a t i c increase in air traffic for both passengers and cargo in recent years has placed a heavy strain on the countrys major airports. Passenger traffic is projected to cross 100 million and cargo to cross 3.3 million tones by year 2010.
5.2 Communication
The Communication Industry in India is one of the rapidly emerging sectors in India and is estimated to surface as the second biggest international telecom market. As per the r e p o r t c a r r i e d o u t b y T e l e c o m R e g u l a t o r y A u t h o r i t y o f I n d i a ( T R A I ) , I n d i a n communication industry has registered a 3.5% increase in its total telecom subscribers in December 2009. The sector touched 562.21 million in its total number of subscribers within a month, against 543.20 million in November 2009.T h e g r o w t h i n c o m m u n i c a t i o n i n d u s t r y w a s t r i g g e r e d b y a n i n c r e a s e i n t h e r e v e n u e s generated from both landline and mobile facilities. On December 31, 2009 the sector earned the revenue of USD 8.56 billion. As per the Business Monitor International report,the nation is all set to include 8 to 10 million cellular phone subscribers on monthly basis.At this pace the communication industry is expected to encompass more than half of India's population i.e. 612 million cellular phone subscribers by mid 2012.The manufacturing of Cellular phone in India is predicted to expand at an annual rate of 28.3% till the FY 2011 which can be translated as a production of 107 million mobile handsets by 2010. The production would automatically generate profits and is predicted to increase at an annual rate of 26.6% till 2011, reaching the target of USD13.7 billion.
5.3 Power
The growth in electricity generation by power utilities during 2008-09 at 2.7 per cent fellmuch short of the targeted 9.1 per cent. Despite the sharp decline in hydro and
nuclear generation in 2008-09, the growth in total electricity generation was positive due to the 5 per cent plus growth in thermal generation.
6. Ecological Environment
About 76% of Indias population lives in about 5,76,000 villages. In developing countries like India, the rural sector with high population density and high level of poverty poses a serious threat to the environment and the impacts of human activities o n t h e I n d i a n ecology is evident from its degrading environment. Biological diversity in general and agricultural diversity in particular is being depleted at an unprecedented rate in the past few decades. Moreover, the growth and economic development are also contributing to the environmental degradation because of the uncontrolled growth of urbanization and industrialization, expansion and massive intensification of agriculture, and the destruction of forests.One of the primary causes of environmental degradation in a country could be attributed t o r a p i d g r o w t h o f population, which adversely affects the natural resources and environment. The uprising population and the environmental d e t e r i o r a t i o n f a c e t h e challenge of sustainable development. The existence or the absence of favorable natural resources can facilitate or retard the process of socio-economic development. The three b a s i c d e m o g r a p h i c f a c t o r s o f b i r t h s , d e a t h s a n d m i g r a t i o n a n d i m m i g r a t i o n p r o d u c e changes in population size, composition, distribution and these changes raise a number of important questions of cause and effect.
6.1 Pollution
Indian cities are polluted by vehicles and industry emissions. Road dust and vehicles are contributing up to 33% of air pollution. In cities like Bangalore, around 50% of children suffer from asthma.One of the biggest causes of air pollution in India is f r o m t h e transport system. The major problem areas are in the big cities where there are huge concentrations of these vehicles.On the positive side, the government appears to have noticed this massive problem and the associated health risks for its people and is slowly but surely taking steps. The first of which was in 2001 when it ruled that its entire public transport system, excluding the trains, be converted from diesel to compressed gas (CPG).Another major cause of air pollution is due to cremations in India. In India, 78% of the p o p u l a t i o n c o n s i g n s t h e d e a d b o d i e s t o f i r e f o r c r e m a t i o n a s a r i t u a l i n o p e n a i r . Just as the low temperature creates pollution,higher temperature is also found to create pollution with emissions dangerously harmful for the environment.
demand for energy. The final outcomes of this are air pollution,global warming, climate change, water scarcity and water pollution.
7. Opportunities in India
With reference to the analysis of macro business environment identified in the previous section, we have identified the following opportunities and threats to business in India.They are discussed under each macro environmental headings.
Indias middle class is growing with the growth in economy. GNI per capita is growing every year signally the increment in purchasing power of people. This has fueled he demand for various good and services. Base for low-cost production India is increasingly being recognized as a place for low-cost production. China succeeded with that factor and India is heading in the same direction. Due to the stiff competition in global arena, the need for cost-reduction h a s b e c o m e significant. The growth in IT sector in India is the result of focus towards cost reduction. FDI The continuing inflow of foreign direct investment reinforces the positive view that the Indian market has the capacity to absorb investment and generate a return b a s e d o n productive growth. At the same time, a balance needs to be struck between the immediate priorities for the Indian economy and the l o n g - t e r m concerns that include environmental and security concerns.
CONCLUSION
Our previous discussion shows that there are some important components of macro business environment in India.We can now indicate some of the basic features of this macro business environment which has gradually changed during the plans period,particularly during the post liberalization period.
SCOPE OF BUSINESS ACTIVITIES WITHIN A FRAMEWORK OF MIXED ECONOMY. INCREASING PURCHASING POWER OF THE PEOPLE. GRADUAL IMPROVEMENT IN THE BANKING AND INSURANCE FACILITIES. LIBERALISATION IN GOVERNMENT POLICIES IN FAVOUR OF THE PRIVATE SECTOR. GRADUAL IMPROVEMENT IN THE INFRASTRUCTURAL FACILITY GROWING URBANISATION,CONSUMERISM AND DEMONSTRATION EFFECT EXPANDED DOMESTIC MARKET FAVOURABLE TECHNOLOGICAL ENVIRONMENT
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India Economic Survey Report, 2008-09
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