Sector Report - Nutraceutical Industry
Sector Report - Nutraceutical Industry
Sector Report - Nutraceutical Industry
Nutraceuticals Industry
April 2013
Discussion Outline
Market Overview
Market Comps
10
Trading Comps
Select Transaction Profiles
M&A Activity
16
Industry Outlook
19
In Summary
22
Firm Overview
24
Nutraceutical Tearsheet
Market Dynamics(1)
6% 2% 1%
Europe
16%
Asia/Pacific
75%
Industry Outlook(1)
Latin America
Africa/Middle East
50
45
40
35
30
30
31
31
31
1H10
2H10
1H11
2H11
34
25
25
20
17
15
10
5
0
Source:
(1) Transparency Market Research: Nutraceuticals Product Market: Global Size, Segment and Country
Analysis & Forecasts (2007-2017), February 2012
(2) Bourne Partners Proprietary Research, CapitalIQ, January 2013
1H09
2H09
1H12
2H12
Market Overview
The nutraceutical market is comprised of foods, beverages, ingredients, and dietary supplements that have or are
intended to have a health benefit to consumers.
Global market reached $142.1 billion in 2011 and is expected to eclipse $250 billion by 2018
Global population of individuals over 60 years of age expected to reach 1 billion by 2020, 70% of which will be
living in developed nations driving Anti-aging and age-defying products to higher product visibility
Increases in global heathcare costs led more individuals to focus on preventative care, self diagnosis, and self
medication.
The nutraceutical market is being utilized to augment an increasingly robust OTC market, and growing competition
among market participants has led to industry consolidation and a frothy M&A environment
High growth rates and attractive margins have fueled interest from Big Pharma/Food companies, eager to enter
the market through strategic acquisition
Source: Nutraceuticals: A Global Strategic Business Report, Global Industry Analysts, July 2012
International growth across the industry expected to continue as developing countries increase nutraceutical consumption
Domestic growth expected to continue as novel products and new target segments are leveraged by domestic producers,
including high growth specialty foods focused on probiotics and heart health
Continued concerns over naturalness, increased global regulation, and concerns about safety due to overseas manufacturing
could stifle growth
Aging global population and rising healthcare costs have shifted consumer focus to healthier living, preventative care, and
secondary source diagnosis/medication
Probiotics
Heart Health
Source: Nutraceuticals: A Global Strategic Business Report, Global Industry Analysts, July 2012
Major global food companies leading the charge, but some new
products are purely innovations in marketing and not necessarily
product development
5.0%
5
2050
2040
2030
2020
2010
2000
1990
1980
1970
1960
1950
1940
1930
1920
1910
1900
0.0%
0
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Source: March 2013 Enigma Report, Academy of Market Intelligence
Source: U.S. State Department and United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs
Asia/Pacific Region
Latin America
Asia/Pacific(1)
Currently the Asia/Pacific regions market share is only surpassed by the U.S. dominated North America region
Regional market share as a whole is expected to surpass North Americas market share by 2017
China
Expected to be the largest consumer of nutraceutical ingredients by 2020
Growth in China expected to be fueled by the rapidly growing middle class and its disposable income
Japan
Currently the second largest individual consumer of nutraceuticals (behind the U.S.)
As its middle class continues to expand, China should eclipse Japanese consumption within the next few years
India and Indian Subcontinent
Unlike its regional neighbors, Indias market share growth is not expected to come from dietary supplements
However, functional beverages are expected to drive growth throughout the subcontinent
Market Comps
NutraceuticalTrading Comps
USD in millions, except for per-share amounts
LTM
4/1/2013
Shares
Out
Equity
Value
CYE
Company
Ticker
Share
Price
Net Debt
(Cash)
Enterprise
Value
Sales
EBITDA
EBIT
EPS
Sales
EBITDA
CYE
EPS
CYE+1
EPS
Book
Value
TSX:ATB
$12.14
31.3
$380.5
$269.9
$650.4
$437.5
$87.4
$77.5
$1.33
$461.1
$91.0
$1.65
$1.79
$14.2
KLSE:KSENG
1.66
360.2
598.3
(244.2)
354.1
345.2
33.4
24.6
0.06
0.0
0.0
0.00
0.00
1.7
Herbalife Ltd.
NYSE:HLF
37.35
103.1
3,850.3
156.1
4,006.4
4,072.3
735.8
661.4
3.62
4,617.2
792.7
4.68
5.44
3.9
Lifevantage Corporation
NasdaqCM:LFVN
2.33
113.7
264.9
(28.5)
236.4
187.1
22.1
21.1
0.09
0.0
0.0
0.00
0.00
0.3
Medifast Inc.
NYSE:MED
22.95
13.8
316.0
(55.7)
260.3
356.7
41.4
30.2
1.39
390.1
47.8
1.77
2.11
6.6
NasdaqCM:NATR
15.18
15.8
240.0
(75.7)
164.4
367.5
38.1
34.0
1.42
0.0
0.0
0.00
0.00
7.3
NasdaqGS:NUTR
16.98
9.7
165.4
35.3
200.6
203.5
35.8
26.7
1.58
206.1
0.0
1.71
1.81
12.7
NYSE:USNA
48.88
13.5
659.9
(70.8)
589.0
648.7
107.0
98.2
4.23
712.2
119.0
5.18
5.58
13.4
Margin Anlysis
FYE
Gross
Profit
EBITDA
EBIT
Sales
LTM
CYE
CYE+1
Price to
Book
1.4 x
9.2 x
7.4 x
6.8 x
0.9 x
NM
28.8 x
NM
NM
1.0 x
6.1 x
0.9 x
10.3 x
8.0 x
6.9 x
9.5 x
10.7 x
11.2 x
NM
26.1 x
NM
NM
7.6 x
0.7 x
6.3 x
8.6 x
0.7 x
16.5 x
13.0 x
10.9 x
3.5 x
9.3%
0.4 x
4.3 x
4.8 x
NM
10.7 x
NM
NM
2.1 x
17.6%
13.1%
1.0 x
5.6 x
7.5 x
1.0 x
10.8 x
10.0 x
9.4 x
1.3 x
16.5%
15.1%
0.9 x
5.5 x
6.0 x
0.8 x
11.6 x
9.4 x
8.8 x
3.6 x
Company
Ticker
TSX:ATB
31-Dec
1-Apr-13
51.2%
20.0%
17.7%
1.5 x
KLSE:KSENG
31-Dec
1-Apr-13
15.7%
9.7%
7.1%
1.0 x
Herbalife Ltd.
NYSE:HLF
31-Dec
1-Apr-13
47.2%
18.1%
16.2%
1.0 x
Lifevantage Corporation
NasdaqCM:LFVN
30-Jun
1-Apr-13
81.9%
11.8%
11.3%
Medifast Inc.
NYSE:MED
31-Dec
1-Apr-13
75.1%
11.6%
NasdaqCM:NATR
31-Dec
1-Apr-13
74.6%
NasdaqGS:NUTR
30-Sep
1-Apr-13
NYSE:USNA
29-Dec
1-Apr-13
P/E
Enterprise Value/
Data
as of
EBITDA
EBIT
Sales CYE
7.4 x
8.4 x
10.6 x
14.4 x
5.4 x
1.3 x
8.5%
10.4%
49.6%
82.1%
Median
62.9%
14.2%
12.2%
1.0 x
5.9 x
8.0 x
0.9 x
11.2 x
9.4 x
8.8 x
2.8 x
Mean
59.7%
14.4%
12.3%
1.0 x
7.0 x
8.4 x
0.9 x
15.5 x
9.5 x
8.5 x
3.7 x
Min
15.7%
9.7%
7.1%
0.4 x
4.3 x
4.8 x
0.7 x
9.2 x
7.4 x
6.8 x
0.9 x
Max
82.1%
20.0%
17.7%
1.5 x
10.7 x
14.4 x
1.4 x
28.8 x
13.0 x
10.9 x
9.5 x
The nutraceutical industry is extremely attractive given the relatively high gross profit margins and EBITDA margins
The average enterprise value of the selected nutraceutical stocks indicates that the segment generally trades at 1x revenue
11
Nutraceuticals Index
130.00%
110.00%
90.00%
70.00%
50.00%
30.00%
10.00%
-10.00%
-30.00%
-50.00%
Nutraceuticals Index*
Over the last three years, publicly traded nutraceutical companies have outpaced both the S&P 500 and the S&P Healthcare
Sector as a whole, most notably during the 2011 and early 2012
The drastic plunge in the Nutraceuticals Index coincides with a dramatic plunge in the value of Herbalife stock following
earning call questions made by David Einhorn regarding the companies distributors
*Nutraceuticals Index is comprised of the companies in the trading multiple basket from slide 11; Bourne Partners Internal Research, CapitalIQ, April 2013
12
Buyer
Geographic
Location
United
States
United
States
United
States
United
States
Enterprise
Value
LTM
Revenue
LTM
EBITDA
EV / LTM EV / LTM
Revenue EBITDA
$46.0
$25.0
NA
1.8x
NA
634.0
270.0
70.0
2.3x
9.1x
1,433.0
285.8
43.0
5.0x
33.3x
723.3
198.5
48.6
3.6x
14.9x
Poland
20.9
13.7
NA
1.5x
NA
Mar-13
Innophos Holdings
Dec-13
Fortitech, Inc.
Nov-12
Aug-12
Aug-12
Jul-12
Colombia
562.0
200.0
NA
2.8x
NA
Jul-12
FIT-Bioceuticals Limited
Australia
40.9
40.0
NA
1.0x
NA
May-12
Canada
20.6
21.2
NA
1.0x
NA
May-12
Airborne, Inc.
122.9
69.2
13.2
1.8x
9.3x
Apr-12
11,850.0
2,418.4
598.5
4.9x
19.8x
Feb-12
Brazil
86.3
42.9
NA
2.0x
NA
Jun-11
Myprotein, Inc.
United
Kingdom
95.3
25.0
NA
3.8x
NA
Jun-11
Canada
111.1
40.0
NA
2.8x
NA
Dec-10
1,024.1
450.0
123.2
2.3x
8.3x
Jul-10
NBTY, Inc.
3,784.6
2,826.3
480.6
1.3x
7.9x
122.9
1,370.3
11,850.0
20.6
69.2
461.7
2,826.3
13.7
70.0
196.7
598.5
13.2
2.3x
2.5x
5.0x
1.0x
9.3x
14.7x
33.3x
7.9x
United
States
United
States
United
States
United
States
Median
Mean
High
Low
NA - Not Available
NM - Not Meaningful
13
Region: Global
Target Description
Target Description
Target Description
Transaction Overview:
Strategic Rationale:
Transaction Overview:
Strategic Rationale:
14
Transaction Overview:
Strategic Rationale:
Timeline
15
M&A Activity
M&A has become both a viable and very popular exit strategy for capital or resource constrained
private companies
Many of the larger companies are able to leverage their balance sheets in order to enter new
markets as opposed to investing time and capital into research and development
A growing number of acquisitions have been forecast to be nearly immediately acccretive, leading
to rising share prices not only for the acquiree but also for the acquirer
On a geographic basis there appears to be an increasing focus on emerging markets by U.S. and
European companies seeking to enter these markets for production, sourcing, and sales
17
200
180
160
140
80
120
60
100
80
40
60
40
20
20
0
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2006
2009
2007 2008
2010
2009
2011
2010
2012
2011
2013 YTD
18
16
17
14
11
13
14
22
10
26
26
30
40
36
67
107
98
99
72
95
81
83
12
14
17
20
20
35
16
44
75
74
51
11
42
39
40
58
51
105
143
150
129
127
183
169
156
33
Drastic increases in the mid-to-late 2000s gave way to a decline during the recession. However, increases in IPOs have
fueled M&A growth and we expect transaction volume to exceed pre-recession levels in 2013
Note: 2013 YTD through March 16, 2013; Bourne Partners Internal Research
18
Industry Outlook
Tailwinds
Asia/Pacific Growth:
Developing markets showing rapidly
increasing consumption of functional foods
and beverages
Increase in disposable income
Domestic Growth:
Dramatic expansion of product offerings and
ingredient delivery methods
New dietary supplement categories helping
to stem declining growth in the overall
segment
Source:
(1) Nutraceuticals:
20
Domestic Outlook
Functional Food and Beverage(1)
Dietary Supplements(2)
Slowdown in sales of dietary supplements that skyrocketed in the 90s has been augmented by:
Non-herbal supplements
Sports related and performance enhancing supplements
Weight loss and management supplements
Currently largest segment of nutraceuticals in the U.S., but other segments rapid growth outpacing dietary supplements
Ingredients(3)
Source:
(1) 10 Key Trends in Food, Nutrition, and Health 2013, New Nutrition Business
(2) Nutraceuticals: A Global Strategic Business Report, Global Industry Analysts, July 2012
(3) World Nutraceutical Ingredient Industry, Freedonia, November 2011
21
In Summary
As developing markets continue to expand, nutraceutical products will become a larger portion of disposal income spend
(especially in the Asia/Pacific region).
An aging world population and rising healthcare costs will continue to drive consumers to healthier and less costly alternatives
to their current dietary habits and promote better health
Larger players within both pharmaceuticals and food production will continue to snatch up unique companies in an effort to
either enter new markets or augment current product offerings
Market Attractiveness
Revenue multiples and EBITDA multiples continue to fluctuate due to the breadth of deal size and economic downturns
during the observation period. This is especially true in the past few years, which include very large outlier transactions.
Median Enterprise Value to Revenue Multiple
2.1x
1.9x
15.0x
1.7x
13.0x
1.5x
1.3x
11.0x
1.1x
9.0x
0.9x
7.0x
0.7x
0.5x
5.0x
2012
2011
2010
2009
2008
2007
2006
2005
2004
2003
23
2002
2001
2012
2011
2010
2009
2008
2007
2006
2005
2004
2003
2002
2001
Firm Overview
Geographic Coverage
Segmentation
Healthcare services
Specialty pharmaceuticals
Consumer Heath
Medical technology (devices)
Distribution
Dots represent the countries where the
Bourne Partners team has transaction experience
Advisory Services
Capital Raising
Mature spaces of healthcare (OTC, Specialty Pharmaceuticals, Generics, Medical Devices, Services)
$10 - 250 million raises
Debt and equity
Active calling effort on 75+ healthcare focused private equity and venture capital groups
25
Ventures
26
Financial
Advisory
Direct
Investment
Mergers &
Acquisitions
Seller Representation
Acquisitions
Divestitures
Asset Spinouts
Capital Sourcing/
Private Placements
Recapitalizations
Management Buyouts
Growth Capital
Business
Development
Services
Advisory
In/Out-licensing
Strategic Studies
Strategic Consulting
Controlling
Active
Investments
BurnsAdler Pharmaceuticals
Theramed Corporation
Tanner Pharmaceuticals
Private Equity
Funds
Minority/
Co-Invest
27
King Pharmaceuticals
Covis Pharma
Warner Chilcott (IPO)
Plainfield Energy
CommScope
Senior Team
Bourne Partners is comprised of experienced investment professionals, healthcare executives, and operating partners
Banks Bourne
Chief Executive Officer
Minor Hinson
Chief Investment Officer
Jeremy Johnson
Managing Director
Bill Taylor
Director of Legal Affairs
Molly Bourne
Director
Over 50 years of combined pharmaceutical, medical device, biotechnology, and life sciences healthcare experience
Over 60 years of combined investment banking and private equity transaction experience
Distribution Agreements
Strategy Consulting
Licensing Agreements
Corporate Spin-offs
Fund Management
Product Divestitures
Capital Raising
Direct Investing
Office Information
Contact Details
Jeremy Johnson
Managing Director
www.bourne-partners.com
704-714-8351
Tel: 704-552-8407
jjohnson@bourne-partners.com
Fax: 704-714-8363
28