防災インフラセミナー(2014年10月31日)配布資料9
防災インフラセミナー(2014年10月31日)配布資料9
防災インフラセミナー(2014年10月31日)配布資料9
20122015
31/10/2014
31/10/2014
($2,173.4 mn)
Energy= $2.18 bn
31/10/2014
31/10/2014
31/10/2014
31/10/2014
Number of Customers
31/10/2014
31/10/2014
Electrification Rate
31/10/2014
System Losses
31/10/2014
31/10/2014
31/10/2014
31/10/2014
31/10/2014
490 TWh
329 TWh
194 TWh
Low case
Growth Rate
2006-2010
High case
Base case
14.0%
Base case
High case
2011-2015
2016-2020
2021-2025
2026-2030
16.0%
11.6%
9.2%
8.4%
14.1%
11.3%
8.2%
7.4%
Source: PDP7
31/10/2014
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
100,900
194,300
329,400
489,600
695,100
16,048
30,803
52,040
77,084
110,215
19,937
43,547
70,560
101,195
146,395
7,726
38.8%
14,351
33.0%
17,455
24.7%
19,925
19.7%
21,125
14.4%
7,703
38.6%
10,582
24.3%
13,625
17.3%
17,465
17.3%
17,465
11.9%
3,231
16.2%
15,365
35.3%
32,385
45.9%
45,040
44.5%
77,160
52.7%
Import (MW/%)
750
3.8%
1,073
2.5%
1,839
2.6%
4,609
4.6%
6,359
4.3%
Renewable Energy
(MW/%)
527
2.6%
2,176
5.0%
4,256
6.0%
8,156
8.1%
13,586
9.3%
1,000
1.4%
6,000
5.9%
10,700
7.3%
Of which:
31/10/2014
Source: PDP7
31/10/2014
2016-2020
2021-2025 2026-2030
17,100
26,750
24,400
20,400
35,863
39,063
42,775
53,250
3,833
4,539
2,234
2,724
10,637
5,305
5,552
5,020
Source: PDP7
31/10/2014
2021-2030
Per year
2011-2030
Per year
Per year
Whole
system
48.8
4.9
75.0
7.5
123.8
6.2
Generation
32.5
3.3
49.1
4.9
81.6
4.1
Grid
16.3
1.6
25.9
2.6
42.2
2.1
31/10/2014
Source: PDP7
31/10/2014
(2008)
T&D
Distr Rehab
OCR $196 mn
(Ongoing)
(Cancelled in 2013)
PSHPP?
C&S Distr
(Ongoing)
(2007)
Wind Farm?
(Ongoing)
(Ongoing)
MFF Trans T1
MFF Trans T2
HNPC&HCMPC
MFF Trans T3
MFF Trans T4
OCR (2016)
RE/EE
(Ongoing)
Rural Electrification?
EE ?
Small hydros
Program Loan
Program Loan
31/10/2014
2005
2007
2009
2011
2013
2015
2017
2019
Improving Reg
Framework
Market
Design
Power Company
Commercializatn
Resident Advisor
VWCM for PCs
Energy Sector
Profile Study
WB lead
Power Sector
Roadmap
Capacity
Development
Fin Recovery
Trans Charges
Energy
Planning
Ongoing
Environment
NPT
Fin &
Account Sys.
Ongoing
Distribution
Training
O Mon 2
Hydrocarbon
Sector
Generation
Clean Coal
Strategy?
w/ AFD?
Benefit sharing
Safeguards/CC/
Environment
SB4 RP
Son La RP
Son La EMP
Hydro SEA
RE Development
RE/EE
31/10/2014
Natl EE Prog
1994
1997
2000
2003
2006
2009
2012
2015
2018
31/10/2014
ADB Projects
Pumped-Storage Hydropower
(concept)
31/10/2014
Thank you!
For inquiries:
tkadono@adb.org