LNG 20150116
LNG 20150116
LNG 20150116
LNG DAILY
www.platts.com
JKM TM
NWS
Tepco,
CFE
News headlines
9.000 NA
Jan 16
Change
9.000
9.100
9.100
8.900
8.600
7.350 0.000
7.250 -0.100
7.150
NA NA
8.400
8.400
8.400
8.400
NA
-0.150
-0.150
-0.300
NA
NA
NA
NA
-0.100
-0.100
NA
NA
NA
7.140
7.240
7.240
7.040
NA
-0.140
-0.140
NA
NA
NA
Taiwan
6.780
6.880
6.880
6.680
NA
-0.140
-0.140
NA
NA
NA
Malaysias
8.800
NA
NA
Shell,
Cheniere
Woodside
March
Mexicos
Indonesia
Feb
Cold
64,000
60,000
25
JKM
Price
News.
Henry Hub
15
Commentary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2
Comparisons . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3
Recent
NBP
20
Contents
Market
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4
Shipping
Prices. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6
10
5
0
Jan-14
Source: Platts
Mar-14
May-14
Jul-14
Sep-14
Nov-14
Jan-15
LNG Daily
Market Commentary
The rationale applies to the following market data codes: AAOVQ00, AAPSU00,
AAPSV00, AAPSW00, AAPXA00
The Platts JKM price assessments and assessment rationale are published at
market-on-close (MOC) and reflect market values prevailing at the close of the Asian
markets, defined as 16:30 Singapore time. The table on page 2 of LNG Daily may
include trades and/or bids and offers collected after the close of the Asian trading day.
Seller
Loading
Buyer
Notes
Best Bids/Offers
Jan
Jan
Jan
Jan
16
16
16
16
Northwest Europe
Southwest Europe
Northwest Europe
Southwest Europe
FOB
FOB
FOB
FOB
February
February
February
February
low 8 offer
mid 8 offer
low 8 offer
mid 8 offer
Price
No trades reported.
Buyer
Destination Seller
Source
Best Bids/Offers
Jan
Jan
Jan
Jan
Jan
Jan
Jan
Jan
Jan
16
End
16
End
16
16
16
16
End
16
16
End
16
user N Asia
user N Asia
N Asia
Trader
N Asia
Trader
N Asia
user N Asia
N Asia
user N Asia
N Asia
DES
DES
DES
DES
DES
DES
DES
DES
DES
Bid/Offer
March
March
March
March
March
March
March
March
March
Last 5 trades
early Jan
late Dec
mid Dec
mid Dec
early Dec
End
End
End
End
End
user
user
user
user
user
North Asia
Trader
Japan
Trader
Japan
Portfolio
China
Japan
DES
DES
DES
DES
DES
Price
February
early February
mid February
H2 Jan - H1 Feb
H2 January
below 9 bid
mid 8 bid
mid 9 offer
low 9 offer
high 8 offer
mid 8 bid
high 8 offer
low 8 bid
high 8 offer
mid to high 9s
high 9s
low 10s
around 10
high 9s
Notes
LNG Daily
9.000
8.15
5.949
2.085
0.852
1.860
2.220
8.400
8.142
5.280
1.475
0.258
1.260
-0.600
2.270
9.000
0.81
8.19
15.94 Final
16.40 Estimated
100.74 Final
90.82 Estimated
6.85
3.61
7.688
9.153
NOTES: Japan JCC value shows latest available CIF price published by the Ministry of Finance,
converted to US dollars per MMBtu. All other values reflect Platts most recent one-month forward assessments for each product in each region, converted to US dollars per MMBtu. JKM
Marker, SWE LNG and NWE LNG average the assessments of the two half-months comprising
the first full month of forward delivery. Asian LNG assessments assessed at Singapore market
close 0830 GMT, European LNG assessment assessed at London market close 1630 UK time.
NYMEX Henry Hub futures and ICE NBP futures values taken at Singapore market close and
London market close. ICE NBP futures converted from Pence/Therm to $/MMBtu. Asian Dated
Brent crude oil assessed at Asian market close 0830 GMT and converted from $/barrel to $/
MMBtu. Detailed assessment methodology is found on www.platts.com.
6.13
2.24
6.12
6.49
(Feb)
(Feb)
(Feb)
(Feb)
(Feb)
3.087
7.097
3.120
6.925
3.127
(Mar)
(Mar)
(Mar)
(Mar)
(Mar)
3.051
6.915
3.070
6.774
3.087
25
20
20
15
15
10
10
0
Jan-14
6.780
8.142
3.710
0.007
-1.362
-0.360
-2.220
100.10
25
7.140
8.142
4.070
0.367
-1.002
0.360
-1.860
Mar-14
May-14
Jul-14
Sep-14
Nov-14
Jan-15
Source: Platts
0
Jan-14
Mar-14
Source: Platts
May-14
Jul-14
Sep-14
Nov-14
Jan-15
LNG Daily
Cargo
Origination/
Vessels
Notes
January 16
Tender H1 and H2 Mar
2 cargoes
Sakhalin Energy
Sakhalin
19-Jan
either DES
or FOB
Vitol, Tepco,
GDF Chubu
12-Dec 9-Jan
Contracts must be
executed before Jan 22.
1 cargo/month for Jan-July
and Oct-Nov. 3 cargoes/
month for Aug-Sep
Tender April-
5+ either
NWS
Unknown
26-Jan
DES or FOB
Sold in 2 tranches. 1
tranche of 2 slots, one
tranche of 4
Tender Feb
1 DES
Posco Gwangyang Unknown
7-Jan
Awarded to a trader.
Issued by Posco and
and
Seller unknown,
other downstream buyers
Komipo
price heard at mid-
$9.00/MMBtu
Tender Feb-Mar
3+ either NWS
DES or FOB
NWS
Unknown
16-Jan 12-Jan
Tender 17 - 19 Jan
1 FOB
Nigeria
12-Jan 9-Jan
Tender Jan 15 -
Jan 17
86 slots
Egypt
Unknown
90 days 30-Oct
NLNG
Egas
News
LNG Daily
Feb-15
JKM
UK ICE NBP futures
JKM-NBP spread
US NYMEX HH futures
JKM-HH spread
Qinhuangdao coal
180 CST fuel oil
Feb-14
9.911 18.808
7.728
11.315
2.147
7.480
3.166
4.378
6.734
14.464
3.665
4.473
7.761
15.844
Jan-15
Year-on-year change %
10.062
8.802
1.204
4.019
5.998
3.608
10.573
Month-on-month change %
-47.3
-31.7
-71.3
-27.7
-53.4
-18.1
-51.0
-1.5
-12.2
78.3
-21.2
12.3
1.6
-26.6
Note: UK and US front month futures roll at the end of each calendar month. JKM rolls on the 16th of each calendar month.
Source: Platts data
LNG DAILY
Houston
Michael Rieke; J. Robinson
Phone: +1-713-655-2215
Singapore
Stephanie Wilson, Max Gostelow
Phone: +65-6530-6551
Tokyo
Eriko Amaha
Phone: +81 3 4550 8842
London
Desmond Wong, Luke Stobbart,
Alex Froley
Phone: + 44-0-20-7176-6119
Email: lng@platts.com
Platts President
Larry Neal
LNG Daily is published every business day in New York and Houston by Platts, a
division of McGraw Hill Financial, registered office: Two Penn Plaza, 25th Floor, New
York, N.Y. 10121-2298.
Platts Japan Korea MarkerTM is a trademark of McGraw Hill Financial. All references
to Japan Korea Marker and JKM refer to Platts Japan Korea MarkerTM.
Officers of the Corporation: Harold McGraw III, Chairman; Doug Peterson, President
and Chief Executive Officer; Lucy Fato, Executive Vice President and General
Counsel; Jack F. Callahan Jr., Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer;
Elizabeth OMelia, Senior Vice President, Treasury Operations.
Platts makes no warranties, express or implied, as to the accuracy, adequacy or
completeness of the data and other information set forth in this publication (data)
or as to the merchantability or fitness for a particular use of the data. Platts
assumes no liability in connection with any partys use of the data. Corporate policy
prohibits editorial personnel from holding any financial interest in companies they
cover and from disclosing information prior to the publication date of an issue.
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LNG Daily
Shipping Prices
Shipping rates: Jan 16
Asia Pacific day rate ($/day)
Atlantic day rate ($/day)
PLF1 Middle East Japan/Korea ($/MMBtu)
PLF2 Middle East NWE ($/MMBtu)
PLF3 Trinidad NWE ($/MMBtu)
64,000
60,000
1.21
1.41
0.72
Atlantic
85
75
65
55
Jan-14
Mar-14
May-14
Jul-14
Sep-14
Nov-14
Jan-15
Source: Platts
Australia-
Middle EastJapan/Korea India
66,000
8
64,000
0.35
0.29
458.50
0.17
0.81
66,000
3
64,000
0.15
0.22
279.50
0.04
0.41
Argentina
Brazil
1.51
1.69
0.85
0.83
1.02
1.12
0.76
1.96
1.02
1.62
1.11
1.29
0.45
0.43
0.62
0.72
1.16
1.56
0.62
1.22
1.21
0.81
2.63
1.87
1.97
2.21
1.64
0.42
1.97
2.71
1.07
0.73
2.48
1.66
1.83
2.00
1.84
0.55
1.83
2.50
0.41
0.87
1.87
1.28
1.26
1.43
2.05
1.23
1.26
1.93
South West
Europe
1.24
1.93
0.73
0.71
0.24
0.35
1.68
2.20
--
0.85
North West
Europe
North East US
1.41
2.13
0.72
0.76
0.41
--
1.72
2.31
0.41
0.50
2.01
2.51
0.58
1.10
0.83
0.76
1.95
3.01
0.83
1.26
All values calculated based on prevailing spot market values during the day for LNG, bunker fuel and ship chartering. No route cost is calculated for Zeebrugge to
NW Europe, or Spain to SW Europe. Other routes appear blank on days when a public holiday in one or another location means underlying values are not published.
Detailed assessment methodology, including assumed route times and underlying values, is found on www.platts.com
LNG Daily
however, was still well below that seen in February 2014, when
the spread was $7.480/MMBtu, resulting in more opportunities
to move cargoes from the Atlantic to Asia.
Front-month NYMEX Henry Hub gas futures averaged
$3.166/MMBtu over the assessment period, down 21.2% on the
month and 27.7% year on year.
The Platts FOB Qinhuangdao coal price averaged $3.665/
MMBtu December 16-January 15, falling 18.1% year on year,
but gaining 1.6% month on month. Platts FOB Singapore 180
CST fuel oil averaged $7.761/MMBtu over the period, down
26.6% month on month and 51.0% year on year.
Max Gostelow
Dec 2014
Dec 2013
% change
5,368,311
851,847
1,043,772
5,265,915
993,123
1,303,996
1.9
-14.2
-20.0
Dec 2014
Dec 2013
% change
5,657,548
841,334
926,017
5,420,123
1,058,865
1,200,902
4.4
-20.5
-22.9
Feb-015
Mar-015
Apr-015
May-015
Jun-015
Jul-015
Aug-015
Sep-015
Oct-015
Nov-015
Dec-015
Jan-016
3/strip
6/strip
9/strip
12/strip
2.795
2.795
2.788
2.808
2.860
2.913
2.924
2.907
2.932
3.036
3.231
3.376
2.793
2.827
2.858
2.947
2.943
2.932
2.898
2.916
2.964
3.014
3.023
3.009
3.032
3.125
3.304
3.440
2.924
2.945
2.970
3.050
3.233
3.208
3.115
3.120
3.156
3.199
3.207
3.194
3.215
3.298
3.457
3.579
3.185
3.172
3.183
3.248
3.158
3.121
3.036
3.043
3.075
3.121
3.128
3.112
3.136
3.225
3.394
3.521
3.105
3.092
3.103
3.173
3.5
3.127
3.087
3.016
3.024
3.056
3.102
3.108
3.089
3.114
3.211
3.396
3.531
3.077
3.069
3.080
3.155
($/MMBtu)
3-month
12-month
Prompt month
3.4
3.3
3.2
3.1
3.0
2.9
2.8
2.7
19-Dec
25-Dec
31-Dec
06-Jan
12-Jan
16-Jan
LNG Daily
Vol (mt)
Cost ($/mt)
% vol chg
Y-o-y
% cost chg
M-o-m
% vol chg
Qatar
381,498 575.89 0.5 -5.8
Malaysia
233,071 805.38 -23.1 -9.2
Indonesia
183,930 828.83
0.0 -13.0
Papua New Guinea
139,081
811.59
NA
NA
Brunei
64,508 809.85
NA NA
Trinidad
59,278 573.16
NA NA
Nigeria 58,663 857.59 -14.4 -6.1
Total
1,120,029 722.53 12.2 -9.2
% cost chg
-24.6 5.3
99.5 -8.0
-25.8 1.5
-28.4
11.4
-0.3 -5.2
NA NA
NA
NA
-0.9 4.9
Nov-14
Value
Jan-Nov 2014
Value
Japan
1,450,025 3,921 28,356,910 38,141
China
235,626 329 2,600,886
3,317
Taiwan
177,206 491 2,697,977
7,390
South Korea 176,407 469 3,133,722
8,331
Kuwait
0 0 138,676 264
India
0 0 68,168 145
UAE
0 0 64,980 111
Total
2,039,264 5,210 22,882,864 57,700
Nov-14 Value
Jan-Nov 2014 Value
Norway
Yemen
Algeria
Nigeria
Australia
Spain
Qatar
Total
60,674 162
0
0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
60,674 162
60,674 162
374,951 1,043
315,589 850
241,223 640
63,395 169
62,266 175
60,372 165
1,178,469 3,204
Briefs
Cold snap to boost Spanish gas demand
for 10 days: Enagas
BarcelonaSpanish gas grid operator Enagas issued a cold
weather warning for at least 10 days starting January 17, putting
gas and LNG shippers on alert to increase supply.
Enagas forecast that gas demand would rise 230 GWh
beginning January 17, compared with a daily average of around
1.1 TWh so far in January, the Spanish grid operator said Friday.
It expects temperatures to get even colder beginning January 21,
based on official forecaster Aemets 10 day forecast.
In Spain, a cold snap is announced when the temperatures
remain 5-7 degrees Celsius (10.26 degrees Fahrenheit) below
normal. In such a situation, suppliers on interruptible contracts,
CCGTs and gas shippers may receive less gas while gas exports are
also halted.
Occasionally, LNG shipments are also rerouted to help meet
regional demand, while some power generation units can be put on
standby to meet peak demand. Gianluca Baratti
LNG Daily
LNG Daily
The Barrel
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18-19
Floating LNG
London, England
http://www.smi-online.co.uk/energy/uk/conference/flng
June
1-5
World Gas Conference
Paris, France
http://www.wgc2015.org/
2-4
World LNG Fuels
Houston, Texas
http://www.worldlngfuels.com/
24-25
LNG Shipping 2015
London, England
http://www.informamaritimeevents.com/event/LNG-ShippingConference
26-27
Platts 14th Annual LNG Conference
Houston, Texas
http://www.platts.com/events/2015/pc515/index
March
2-5
LNG Supplies for Asian Markets 2015
Singapore
http://www.lng-conference.com/
2-5
FLNG 2015
London, England
http://www.icbi-events.com/event/flng-conference
October
14-16
LNG in BC
Vancouver, British Columbia
http://engage.gov.bc.ca/lnginbc/lng-conference/
27-30
Gastech
Singapore
http://www.gastechsingapore.com/apaclng/
10
14th Annual
Liquefied
Natural Gas
Philip Olivier,
GdF Suez
Kazuhiro Yokoi,
Chubu Electric
Betsy Spomer,
Jordan Cove
Sig Cornelius,
Freeport LNG
Bill Davis,
Golden Pass
Mikhael Antonov,
Gazprom M&T
Paul Kim,
KOGAS
Gerry Peereboom,
Noble Energy
Supporting Organizations: