Mobile Phone Use and Risk of Tumors: A Meta-Analysis: Ournal of Linical Ncology
Mobile Phone Use and Risk of Tumors: A Meta-Analysis: Ournal of Linical Ncology
Mobile Phone Use and Risk of Tumors: A Meta-Analysis: Ournal of Linical Ncology
O R I G I N A L
R E P O R T
Purpose
Case-control studies have reported inconsistent findings regarding the association between
mobile phone use and tumor risk. We investigated these associations using a meta-analysis.
Methods
We searched MEDLINE (PubMed), EMBASE, and the Cochrane Library in August 2008. Two
evaluators independently reviewed and selected articles based on predetermined selection criteria.
Results
Of 465 articles meeting our initial criteria, 23 case-control studies, which involved 37,916
participants (12,344 patient cases and 25,572 controls), were included in the final analyses.
Compared with never or rarely having used a mobile phone, the odds ratio for overall use was 0.98
for malignant and benign tumors (95% CI, 0.89 to 1.07) in a random-effects meta-analysis of all 23
studies. However, a significant positive association (harmful effect) was observed in a randomeffects meta-analysis of eight studies using blinding, whereas a significant negative association
(protective effect) was observed in a fixed-effects meta-analysis of 15 studies not using blinding.
Mobile phone use of 10 years or longer was associated with a risk of tumors in 13 studies
reporting this association (odds ratio 1.18; 95% CI, 1.04 to 1.34). Further, these findings were
also observed in the subgroup analyses by methodologic quality of study. Blinding and methodologic quality of study were strongly associated with the research group.
Conclusion
The current study found that there is possible evidence linking mobile phone use to an increased
risk of tumors from a meta-analysis of low-biased case-control studies. Prospective cohort studies
providing a higher level of evidence are needed.
J Clin Oncol 27:5565-5572. 2009 by American Society of Clinical Oncology
INTRODUCTION
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5565
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METHODS
Literature Search
We searched MEDLINE (PubMed; 1968 to August 2008), EMBASE
(1977 to August 2008), and the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials
(CENTRAL) in the Cochrane Library (1953 to August 2008) using common
keywords related to mobile phones and tumor or cancer. The keywords were
as follows: mobile phones, cellular phones, or cordless phones and
tumors or cancer. We also reviewed the bibliographies of relevant
articles to locate additional publications. The language of publication was
not restricted.
Selection Criteria
We included epidemiologic studies that met all of the following criteria:
case-control study (to date, no randomized controlled trials and only one
retrospective cohort study published in four different articles have been reported; therefore, we included only case-control studies in this study); investigated the associations between the use of mobile phones, cellular phones, or
cordless phones and malignant or benign tumors; reported outcome measures
with adjusted odds ratios and 95% CIs, crude odds ratios and 95% CIs, or
values in cells of a 2 2 table (from which odds ratios could be calculated). If
data were duplicated or shared in more than one study, the first published or
more comprehensive study was included in the analysis.
Selection of Relevant Studies
Two of the authors (S.-K.M. and W.J.) independently evaluated eligibility of all studies retrieved from the databases based on the predetermined
selection criteria. Disagreements between evaluators were resolved by discussion or in consultation with a third author (D.D.M.).
Assessment of Methodologic Quality
We assessed the methodologic quality of included studies based on the
Newcastle-Ottawa Scale (NOS) for quality of case-control studies in metaanalyses.34 A star system of the NOS (range, 0 to 9 stars) has been developed for
the assessment. In the current study, we considered a study awarded 7 or more
stars as a high-quality study because standard criteria have not been established. The mean value for the 23 studies assessed was 6.3 stars.
Main and Subgroup Analyses
We investigated the association between the use of mobile phones (use v
never or rarely use, if possible) and the overall risk of all tumors by using
adjusted data as a main analysis. We also performed subgroup analyses by
whether the status of patient cases and controls was blinded at interview
(blinded or not blinded/no description), research group (adjusted or crude
data), methodologic quality (high or low quality), type of tumor, malignancy
of tumor (malignant or benign), type of mobile phone (analog or digital),
laterality of tumor (ipsilateral or contralateral), and type of case-control study
(hospital based or population based). Furthermore, we investigated the association between long-term mobile phone use ( 10 years) and the risk of
tumors, including subgroup analyses by the factors listed earlier.
Statistical Analyses
To compute a pooled odds ratio with 95% CI, we used the adjusted odds
ratio and 95% CIs reported in each article whenever possible. We examined
heterogeneity in results across studies using Higgins I2, which measures the
percentage of total variation across studies.35 We considered an I2 value of
greater than 50% as indicative of substantial heterogeneity.
When substantial heterogeneity was not observed, the pooled estimate
calculated based on the fixed-effects model was reported using the Woolfs
(inverse variance) method. When substantial heterogeneity was observed, the
pooled estimate calculated based on the random-effects model was reported
using the DerSimonian and Laird method.36
We evaluated publication bias of the studies included in the final analysis
using Beggs funnel plot and Eggers test. If publication bias exists, Beggs
funnel plot is asymmetric or the P value is less than .05 by Eggers test. Also, a
meta-regression analysis was performed to assess the effect of subgroups and
study characteristics, such as research group, year of publication, type of
tumor, and study design, on the study results. Blinding and methodologic
5566
RESULTS
Fig 1. Flow diagram for identification of relevant case-control studies. (*) One
article (Auvinen et al11) was divided into two studies because it involved two
different types of tumors.
JOURNAL OF CLINICAL ONCOLOGY
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Study
OR (95% CI)
Weight (%)
3.74
0.72
7.04
4.42
6.03
4.40
3.65
6.07
36.08
3.87
5.66
3.87
0.52
0.62
5.66
4.36
3.28
6.18
2.26
4.42
7.07
6.88
5.19
4.07
63.92
100.00
.2
.5
log OR
-1
-2
0
.2
.4
.6
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5567
Myung et al
Table 1. Methodologic Quality of Studies Included in the Final Analysis Based on the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale for Assessing the Quality of Case-Control Studies
Study
Hardell et al7
Muscat et al8
Inskip et al9
Stang et al10 (hospital based)
Stang et al10 (population
based)
Auvinen et al11 (1)
Auvinen et al11 (2)
Hardell et al12
Warren et al13
Hardell et al14
Hardell et al15
Hardell et al16
Schoemaker et al17
Hardell et al18
Linet et al19
Lnn et al20
Schz et al21
Takebayashi et al22
Hardell et al23
Hours et al24
Lahkola et al25
Lahkola et al26
Sadetzki et al27
Takebayashi et al28
Selection (score)
Comparability
(score)
Adequate
Definition
of Patient Representativeness Selection
Definition
Cases
of Patient Cases
of Controls of Controls
Control for
Important
Factor or
Additional
Factor
Exposure (score)
Same Method
of
Ascertainment Ascertainment
of Exposure
for
Nonresponse Total
Score
(blinding)
Participants
Rate
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
2
2
2
1
0
0
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
7
5
5
6
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
1
2
1
1
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
2
1
0
0
1
0
1
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
7
6
6
7
5
7
8
7
7
8
7
6
6
6
8
6
6
5
5
6
When there was no significant difference in the response rate between both groups by using a 2 test (P .05), one point was awarded.
Total score could range from 0 to 9 points.
meta-analysis of the seven blinded studies showed a positive association, whereas a fixed-effects meta-analysis of the six unblinded
studies showed no significant association.
In the subgroup meta-analyses by methodologic quality, a significant positive association was found in the eight high-quality studies
but not in the seven low-quality studies. With regard to tumor malignancy, mobile phone use of 10 years or longer was significantly positively associated with the risk of benign tumors but not with the risk of
malignant tumors.
The use of analog phones for 10 years or longer was positively
associated with the risk of tumors. However, further subgroup analyses by research group showed a significant association only in the
studies by Hardell et al.7,12,14-16,18,23 Regarding the laterality of tumors
and mobile phone use of 10 years or longer, a significantly increased
odds ratio was identified for ipsilateral use but not for contralateral use.
Overall Mobile Phone Use and the Risk of
Brain Tumors
As shown in Appendix Table A3 (online only), no significant
association was observed in a meta-analysis of 15 studies involving
brain tumors. For meningiomas, a preventive effect was observed,
and this effect was largely a result of a decreased odds ratio in
INTERPHONE-related studies.
5568
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Table 2. Mobile Phone Use (v never or rarely use) and the Risk of Tumors in Subgroup Meta-Analyses
Factor
No. of Studies
Summary OR
95% CI of OR
Heterogeneity, I2 (%)
Model Used
All
Research group
Hardell et al
INTERPHONE
Other groups
Research group (crude data)
Hardell et al
INTERPHONE
Other groups
Methodologic quality
High (low bias: 7 points)
Hardell et al
INTERPHONE
Other group
Low (high bias: 7 points)
INTERPHONE
Other groups
Malignancy of tumor
Malignant
Hardell et al
INTERPHONE
Other groups
Benign
Hardell et al
INTERPHONE
Other groups
Type of mobile phone
Analog
Hardell et al
INTERPHONE
Other groups
Digital
Hardell et al
INTERPHONE
Other groups
Laterality of tumor
Ipsilateral
Hardell et al
INTERPHONE
Contralateral
Hardell et al
INTERPHONE
Type of case-control study
Hospital based (all other groups)
Population based
Hardell et al
INTERPHONE
Other groups
23
0.98
0.89 to 1.07
59.7
Random effects
7
9
7
23
7
9
7
1.15
0.83
0.99
0.97
1.14
0.88
0.90
1.01 to 1.32
0.77 to 0.89
0.86 to 1.14
0.87 to 1.08
0.96 to 1.35
0.75 to 1.03
0.79 to 1.03
52.1
0
30.6
73.6
71.0
79.8
22.6
Random effects
Fixed effects
Fixed effects
Random effects
Random effects
Random effects
Fixed effects
10
7
1
2
14
8
6
1.09
1.15
0.90
1.02
0.85
0.82
0.97
1.01 to 1.18
1.00 to 1.32
0.70 to 1.10
0.75 to 1.38
0.79 to 0.91
0.76 to 0.88
0.83 to 1.14
46.3
52.1
NA
0
5.7
0
24.2
Fixed effects
Random effects
NA
Fixed effects
Fixed effects
Fixed effects
Fixed effects
15
6
4
5
15
4
8
3
1.00
1.11
0.78
0.97
0.87
1.17
0.81
0.82
0.89 to 1.13
0.96 to 1.29
0.67 to 0.91
0.80 to 1.18
0.80 to 0.95
0.97 to 1.42
0.73 to 0.90
0.61 to 1.11
52.0
50.5
0
19.6
20.7
3.8
0
0
Random effects
Random effects
Fixed effects
Fixed effects
Fixed effects
Fixed effects
Fixed effects
Fixed effects
12
7
3
2
14
7
5
2
0.96
1.04
0.84
1.55
0.95
1.10
0.78
0.93
0.87 to 1.07
0.89 to 1.22
0.72 to 0.96
1.08 to 2.2
0.84 to 1.08
0.97 to 1.24
0.71 to 0.85
0.55 to 1.59
49.9
34.5
0
0
55.8
12.7
0
0
Fixed effects
Fixed effects
Fixed effects
Fixed effects
Random effects
Fixed effects
Fixed effects
Fixed effects
12
4
8
11
3
8
1.22
1.80
1.00
0.94
1.31
0.81
0.99 to 1.51
1.24 to 2.62
0.91 to 1.10
0.77 to 1.15
0.74 to 2.31
0.74 to 0.89
85.9
84.9
37.0
82.3
93.0
48.2
Random effects
Random effects
Fixed effects
Random effects
Random effects
Fixed effects
4
20
7
9
4
0.89
0.99
1.15
0.83
1.14
0.74 to 1.07
0.89 to 1.09
1.01 to 1.32
0.77 to 0.89
0.91 to 1.43
0.0
61.8
52.1
0
0
Fixed effects
Random effects
Random effects
Fixed effects
Fixed effects
DISCUSSION
We found that the use of mobile phones was associated with a mild
increased risk of tumors, when compared with never or rare use of
mobile phones, in the meta-analyses of case-control studies that used
blinding or had a high methodologic quality, whereas no significant
association was observed in a meta-analysis of all included studies.
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Study
OR (95% CI)
Weight (%)
2.77
6.72
2.07
14.10
13.53
16.10
1.96
57.25
7.29
1.55
3.55
17.03
10.33
3.00
42.75
100.00
.2
.5
These findings were strongly related to the fact that all of the
studies by Hardell et al used blinding to the status of patient cases or
controls at the interview and were categorized as having a high methodologic quality when assessed based on the NOS, whereas most of the
INTERPHONE-related studies and studies by other groups did not
use blinding and were thus categorized as having low methodologic
quality. The blinding item is one of the eight items in the NOS.
Nevertheless, we also used the blinding item independently as well as
the NOS as a kind of indicator of the quality assessment for the studies
because the NOS has not been fully validated and the blinding item
was considered an important factor that affects the findings of
each study.
Also, similar findings concerning the research group were observed in subgroup analyses by malignancy of tumor, type of laterality,
type of case-control study, and type of tumor. Regarding type of brain
tumor, a negative association was observed for meningiomas but not
for gliomas and acoustic neuromas, and this negative association
was largely a result of a decreased odds ratio in INTERPHONErelated studies.
Besides blinding and methodologic quality of studies, we should
consider two potential biases regarding the differences we found by
research groupsrecall bias and selection bias, both of which have
been described in detail elsewhere.57 In a validation study of shortterm recall for mobile phone use, Vrijheid et al58 reported that substantial random errors could reduce the power of the INTERPHONE
study to detect an increased risk of brain and parotid gland tumors.
Furthermore, they found that random errors and selection bias could
lead to finding a decreased risk of brain cancer through Monte-Carlo
simulation using the INTERPHONE data.57 These findings may explain why a significant decreased risk for tumor was observed among
mobile phone users in the INTERPHONE-related studies.
To reduce recall and selection biases, a prospective cohort
study is needed. A large nationwide Danish retrospective cohort
study,29,30,59,60 which is the only cohort study published so far, re5570
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so on. Most of the INTERPHONE-related studies were mainly supported by the Quality of Life and Management of Living Resources
program of the European Union and the International Union Against
Cancer; the International Union Against Cancer received funds for
those studies from the Mobile Manufacturers Forum and the Global
System for Mobile Communication Association.
The association between mobile phone use and tumor risk also
remains unresolved in experimental studies using in vivo animal
models or in vitro cancer cell lines. Although it has been established
that low-frequency EMF (microwave) exposure induces biologic
change of cytoplasmic membranes, nuclear levels, and specific gene
levels,6,61-63 the effect of high-frequency EMF exposure on health is
still controversial.64-70
Our study has several limitations. First, it does not provide the
highest level of evidence because only case-control studies were involved. As mentioned previously, recall bias and selection bias might
reduce the quality of mobile phone exposure data and, therefore, cause
a spurious association. Second, we did not explore potential confounding factors in the studies by Hardell et al7,12,14-16,18,23 that reported positive results not found by other study groups. Those issues
need to be explored in future studies.
In sum, in our meta-analyses of case-control studies, we found
evidence linking mobile phone use to an increased risk of tumors,
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www.jco.org
AUTHOR CONTRIBUTIONS
Conception and design: Seung-Kwon Myung, Woong Ju
Administrative support: Seung-Kwon Myung, Woong Ju
Provision of study materials or patients: Seung-Kwon Myung
Collection and assembly of data: Seung-Kwon Myung, Woong Ju,
Diana D. McDonnell, Yeon Ji Lee, Gene Kazinets, Chih-Tao Cheng
Data analysis and interpretation: Seung-Kwon Myung, Woong Ju,
Diana D. McDonnell, Yeon Ji Lee, Gene Kazinets, Chih-Tao Cheng,
Joel M. Moskowitz
Manuscript writing: Seung-Kwon Myung, Diana D. McDonnell,
Joel M. Moskowitz
Final approval of manuscript: Seung-Kwon Myung
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5572
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