HSE Manual: Overview Hazards and Effects Management Process
HSE Manual: Overview Hazards and Effects Management Process
HSE Manual: Overview Hazards and Effects Management Process
Overview Hazards
and Effects
Management
Process
EP 95-0300
HSE
MANUAL
Contents
EP 95-0300
Section Title:
Rev
Chapter
Nos.
Description to amendment
Date
dd/mm/yy
Amended by
All
16/10/95
EPO/61
No.
0
* In this publication, some of the figures have been colour enhanced. This was done after the issue of the CD ROM.
The next issue of the CD ROM will include these enhancements. There is no difference in content.
Contents
Contents
1
Introduction
1.1
1.2
1.2.1
Selection of tools
1.2.2
2.1
2.2
2.3
2.4
Risk
2.5
2.6
3.1
11
3.2
Implementation of HEMP
12
3.3
3.2.1
3.2.2
13
14
3.3.1
Experience/judgement
14
3.3.2
Checklists
14
3.3.3
15
3.3.4
Structured review
techniques
15
Contents
4
4.1
4.2
Structured Review
Techniques
17
17
Evaluate Risks
20
4.2.1
Scenario development
(causes)
20
4.2.2
Probability
20
4.2.3
Consequence analysis
20
4.2.4
Determination of risk
22
4.2.5
Quantitative Risk
Assessment (QRA)
23
Screening criteria:
limits/standards
26
4.2.6
4.3
4.4
26
4.3.1
Records
26
4.3.2
4.3.3
Manual of Permitted
Operations (MOPO)
27
27
4.5.1
General
27
4.5.2
4.5.3
Recovery preparedness
measures
28
31
33
36
79
81
Glossary
83
References
85
27
4.5
Contents
1 Introduction
INTRODUCTION
Volume 3 of the EP HSE manual is concerned with the tools and techniques which are available to
achieve the management of HSE issues. It is a first reference for all those involved in EP business
activities particularly those who are responsible for the management of hazards and their effects.
The objectives of Volume 3 are to:
provide a general overview of the Hazards and Effects Management Process
describe the tools and techniques most commonly used in Shell EP
assist in the selection of the appropriate tools and techniques
provide guidance on the integrated application of the tools and techniques and outline how the
results are to be incorporated within the HSE Management System.
This document, EP 95-0300, provides an overview of Volume 3 and describes:
the need, within the context of an HSE Management System, to define both the techniques and
tools commonly in use together with the competencies required for their effective application
the more common terminology and concepts used in the analysis of hazards and effects and the
determination of risk
the stages of the Hazards and Effects Management Process and its role within the HSE
Management System. The role of experience, codes and standards, checklists and structured
techniques are discussed
in summary the various structured review techniques available in Shell to support the process.
1.1
The HSE Management System contains the following elements which are described fully in
Volume 1.
Leadership and Commitment
Policy and Strategic Objectives
Organisation, Responsibilities, Resources, Standards and Documents
Hazards and Effects Management Process (HEMP)
Planning and Procedures
Implementation and Monitoring
Audit
Review
The Hazards and Effects Management Process (HEMP) is central to the effective implementation of
the HSE Management System. The process ensures that hazards and potential effects are fully
evaluated. To do this they must first be identified then assessed and then mitigation and recovery
preparedness measures put in place to reduce the consequences of any remaining risk. To achieve this
a number of tools and techniques are used. These are described in this Volume.
(Specific guidance on when to use the techniques within various business activities is given in
the relevant sections of Volume 2, e.g. EP 95-0230 Design, EP 95-0220 Appraisal and
Development, etc.)
EP 95-0300 Revision 0: 16 October 1995
1.2
1.2.1
Selection of tools
The objectives set out in the HSE Management Systems (HSE MS) and subsequently the HSE Case
effectively become the acceptance criteria for the risk determined in the hazards and effects
management process. There are many publications and documents available describing tools and
techniques for hazards and effects management some of which are marketed commercially. These
techniques are often developed in isolation and may be inappropriate for use within EP. They may
also be unnecessarily time consuming, not cost effective or may overlap.
This document is designed to identify, specify and aid the effective selection of an integrated suite of
tools and techniques. Most of these have been in use for some time. The various tools and techniques
have been collated for ease of reference, to demonstrate their relationship to each other and to
describe their input to the HSE MS and HSE Case. As stated above this document does not specify
when to use the tools, this is done in the documents describing the business activities. A very broad
framework of tools, techniques and guidelines used in hazards and effects identification and
assessment during the life cycle is provided in Appendices I and II.
Codes, standards, checklists, as well as individual experience and judgement are in no way replaced
by any of these techniques and continue to play a vital role.
1.2.2
Successful application of a technique is largely dependent on the experience of the personnel using it.
For this reason, familiarity, competence and training are important factors to be taken into
consideration when planning and resourcing projects and drafting contract specifications. The
competence levels required to operate these techniques effectively may then be identified and the
relevant resources secured.
The application of tools in the hazards and effects management process such as Environmental
Assessment, Health Risk Assessment and QRA will continue to involve specialists but their output
can now be brought together with other studies in a common HSE Management System. Specialist
assistance when using other tools and techniques may also be necessary. However the successful
application of any tool and technique will always be dependent on the participation of the staff
involved in the activities under study. Most of the tools described require a multi-disciplinary
approach.
Health, Safety and Environmental Management is no different from any other aspect of EP business
and remains a line responsibility. HSE therefore falls under the same management and management
system. H, S and E have been considered together in this document although external reasons may
exist for presenting certain studies separately. For example, when two separate authorities deal with
safety and environmental
This chapter provides an overview of the more common terminology and concepts used in the
analysis of hazards and effects and the determination of risk.
A comprehensive list of terms and their definitions is provided in the glossary of this document.
2.1
2.2
A threat in the context of this document is something that could potentially cause the release of a
hazard and result in an incident. Examples of these causes or threats are corrosion, fatigue damage,
poor visibility, overpressure, lack of knowledge/competence, etc.
To prevent a threat or combination of threats ultimately resulting in the release of a hazard, some kind
of countermeasures are necessary. These measures are called barriers. In the case of corrosion as a
threat, for example, appropriate barriers could be a corrosion-resistant coating, inspection
programmes or corrosion allowances. For overpressure one barrier would be a pressure relief system.
Environmental barriers could include operational controls, e.g. traffic restrictions for noise, or
hardware controls, e.g. provision of water treatment equipment. Health barriers include, for example
local exhaust ventilation (LEV) and PPE.
Barriers may be physical (shields, isolation, separation, protective devices) or non-physical
(procedures, alarm systems, training, drills).
2.3
Should the barriers fail to prevent or avoid the release of a hazard then some kind of counter measures
are required to limit the consequences of the hazardous event or effect. The purpose of these
countermeasures is the mitigation of consequences and to aid in reinstatement. One example of
mitigation is a fixed fire protection system, another would be the evacuation of personnel from the
area. Those measures aimed at reinstating or returning the situation to a normal operating condition
are also called recovery preparedness measures. All such measures ranging from the first steps in
mitigation through to reinstatement of the operation are termed recovery preparedness measures.
Figure 2.1
THREATS
ESCALATION
Hazard :
Hydrocarbon gas
under pressure
Examples:
Corrosion
Erosion
Impact
Fire
Pressure Vessel
Hazardous
Event
Leak !
Fire
Corrosion
Allowance
Detection
Process
Shutdown
Detection
ESD
Plant
Detection
Separation
and
Deluge
Threat Barriers
CAUSATION
CONSEQUENCE
Figure 2.2
THREATS
ESCALATION
Ecological damage
Water supply contamination
Irrigation contamination
Liabilities
Reputation
Hazard :
Effluent
Treatment system
Examples:
Input Changes
Maloperation
Malfunction
Pollution
Discharge
Hazardous
Event
Discharge
ppm Limit Exceeded !
Pollution
ppm
ppm
Limit
Procedures
Sampling
Alarm System
Shutdown
Divert to
Holding
Tanks
Plant
Shutdown
Clean-up
Plan
Threat Barriers
CAUSATION
CONSEQUENCE
Figure 2.3
THREATS
ESCALATION
Increased risk :
Leukaemia
Liabilities
Loss of reputation
Hazard:
Toxic vapour
Examples:
Corrosion
Maloperation
Leaking flanges
Release of benzene
Increased
risk of
leukaemia
Exposure to benzene
exceeding OEL* !
ppm
ppm
Limit
Vapour Return
System
Procedures
Local
Exhaust
Ventilation
PPE
Biological Epidemiology
Monitoring
Threat Barriers
CAUSATION
CONSEQUENCE
Figure 2.4
FAULT TREE
(Causes)
e.g.maloperation
e.g. overpressure
H
A
Z
A
R
D
e.g.ESD
bypassed
Loss of
gas
containment
e.g.detector failure
Hazardous Event
(release of hazard)
E
S
C
A
L
A
T
I
O
N
e.g.deluge failure
e.g. explosion
2.4
Risk
Risk is the product of the probability that a specified undesired event will occur and the severity of
the consequences of the event. To determine the risk of a specific hazardous event taking place
therefore requires information on the likelihood of the event taking place and the severity of the
adverse consequences that could be expected to follow from it. Risk is a term which combines the
chance that a specified undesired event will occur and the severity of the consequences of the event.
To determine the risk associated with a specific 'hazardous event', information is therefore required on
the chance of the event taking place and the severity of the consequences that might be expected to
follow from it. Risk is sometimes also defined as the product of probability and the severity of
consequences.
The terms 'probability', 'likelihood', 'frequency' and 'chance' are often used interchangeably however
in the HEMP terminology, the following apply and should be consistently used:
llikelihood and chance both indicate the possibility of something happening
frequency is a rate, e.g. number of incidents per hour
probability is a ratio
It indicates the number of chances of something happening to the total number of chances.
2.5
A common way of understanding the possible threats or causes that could lead to the unplanned
release of a hazard is to present them diagrammatically using a fault tree. In a similar way after the
release of a hazard an event tree may be used to determine and display the potential outcomes or
consequences.
Fault Tree Analysis is used to show the sequence of possible threats or causes that could lead to the
release of a hazard. The fault tree leads to a single point where the undesired event has taken place or
where the hazard has been released. This is known in risk assessment terms as the Top Event and
represents the transition from the Fault Tree (threats/causes) to the Event Tree (consequence).
The Event Tree is made up of nodes which correspond to the different stages in an escalating incident
sequence. The lines which lead out of each node correspond to the paths of success or failure in
mitigation of the incident.
The whole sequence showing the progression from any cause, (Fault Tree) through the Top Event to
the full range of consequences (Event Tree), for a single hazard can be represented in a single
diagram (often called a 'bow tie') as shown in Figure 2.4. In a quantitative assessment such as QRA, a
number of hazards will be considered together, however in qualitative assessment it is normal to
consider one hazard or one bow tie.
For qualitative and quantitative risk assessment the same process is used (i.e. bow tie) but in QRA,
risks are quantified initially per Top Event then summated for a number of scenarios and hazards.
2.6
The Likelihood of a Top Event occurring may be determined by quantitative evaluation of the
possible threats or from historical data bases.
Lack of good data may limit the development of a fault tree however in some circumstances the
historical frequency of the top event may provide an adequate timate.
Consequence analysis can be applied to assess HSE aspects for a range of scenarios and typically
involves the use of predictive models. Examples include the use of:
physical effects models for predicting the behaviour and loading from potential hydrocarbon
releases (dispersion, fire, radiation, explosion and smoke) in terms of flammable limits, heat
radiation, explosion overpressure, etc
physical consequence models for predicting the consequence of the effects of hydrocarbon release
events (structural damage, vessel integrity loss, etc)
air and water dispersion models for predicting the behaviour of discharges to the atmosphere or
water bodies respectively
The tools and techniques used for both likelihood and consequence analysis are described in
Chapter 4.
10
3.1
The Hazards and Effects Management Process (HEMP) was originally developed to provide a
structured approach to the analysis of safety hazards throughout the life cycle of an installation. The
environmental and health risk assessment processes fulfil a comparable function with respect to
environmental and health hazards at all stages of the life cycle. These assessments are based on the
same concept and have been brought together as HEMP. The process is applicable to all business
processes in the life cycle of an operation from inception to abandonment. The tools and techniques
available are applied in a logical and rigorous way, setting acceptance criteria and screening against
them as the process proceeds. The arrangements identified as necessary to manage assessed threats
and potential consequences and effects are then incorporated in the design phase or for existing
operations it is necessary to verify that what is in place is suitable and sufficient. If not, then remedial
action is taken and all necessary procedures are incorporated into the HSE Management System.
The principles of 'identify', 'assess', 'control' and 'recover' are the basis of HEMP, with the individual
stages summarised in the following steps:
1.
2.
Evaluate Risks
3.
4.
5.
11
3.2
Implementation of HEMP
The Hazards and Effects Management Process can be implemented at any point in the life cycle of a
facility or operation. When planning the development of new facilities, reviewing existing facilities,
or planning for the abandonment and decommissioning of existing facilities the focus is on the
identification and assessment of hazards and effects that may be avoided, reduced or eliminated. In
the operational and maintenance phase, the focus is on control of hazards and effects by procedures
and the development and implementation of effective recovery preparedness measures. In the
abandonment and decommissioning stages the focus is directed towards safe clean up and
rehabilitation.
People involved in operational activities however should always be alert to identify new hazards
particularly in non routine operations.
3.2.1
In a new development the HEMP will normally be iterative, beginning on a wide basis with little
detail and then progressing through the development cycle as more detail becomes available. In the
review of an existing development a similar iterative approach may be adopted starting with a wide
approach on general issues then converging on areas of specific concern and more detailed
assessments. This management process is applied to all hazards and potential effects. Those engaged
in design and planning activities who utilise tools, such as HAZOP, Health Risk Assessment or
Environmental Assessment are already familiar with this approach.
Appendices I and II give an indication of when the tools and techniques are used during the life cycle
of a development and in the development of an HSE Case for an asset. Full guidance is provided in
the respective business activity guidelines such as EP 95-0230 Design and Engineering and EP 950220 Concept Development.
The output from the various tools and techniques used in the HEMP in the planning and review stages
of a new development is used primarily to refine the design by identifying the hazards and threats,
removing them if possible and making the design as inherently safe to operate as practicable. The
output therefore primarily concerns the hardware although the design planning phase can profoundly
affect all subsequent stages of the development. Information from this work is included in the HSE
Case for an asset for use in the operational phase.
12
3.2.2
This relates to the preparation for practical physical activities involved in the implementation of
plans. In EP these activities include survey, drilling construction, operation, decommissioning, and
abandonment. This preparation should involve those carrying out or supervising the activity. The
techniques for the identification and assessment of hazards used in the planning and review stages are
also applicable but in the operational phase tend to be more focused on procedural aspects rather than
hardware design.
In the implementation or operations phase, planning activities such as the systematic preparation of
Permits to Work and Job Hazard Analysis address all the steps of the HEMP. EP 95-0315 describes
the basic Permit-to-Work System and EP 95-0311 describes Job Hazard Analysis which can be used
for a team review of the procedure for a repeated activity or as a one-off review of a new activity. The
computerised system THESIS (see EP 95-0323) can also be used to assess hazards and effects and
identify the necessary controls. EP 95-0270 General Workplace Practices contains activity
specification sheets and hazard register sheets for typical HSE activities and hazards encountered in
the workplace. The Manual of Permitted Operation (MOPO) describes conditions where specific
activities cannot be carried out at the same time and is described in EP 95-0310 Implementing and
Documenting an HSE MS and HSE Case. Waste management procedures, described in EP 95-0390
Waste Management Guidelines, provide information for the inclusion of waste management activities.
At the time of writing this Guide, work is proceeding on the preparation of Generic HSE Cases for
activities such as drilling, seismic and transport. These are aimed at providing a basic 'starter kit'
HSE case containing all the common activities, procedures and controls which can be subsequently
made 'site-specific' for local application.
The output from the various tools and techniques in the HEMP for operational-type activities will be
used in the development and review of working procedures and form part of the HSE Case for the
operation of the facility. For a significant or new activity, such as a major construction project, a
seismic or drilling campaign or abandonment, the output from the various tools will be included in an
HSE Case.
For a smaller work scope usually confined to one contract the HSE Case is sometimes called an HSE
Plan or where the work or operational task is one of many to be undertaken, terms like 'Work
Procedure' or 'Work Statement' are sometimes used. All these descriptions only reflect the scale of the
operation. The most important point is that in their preparation the steps of the Hazards and Effects
Management Process must be followed. That is hazards and potential effects must be identified and
assessed and Control and Recovery Preparedness measures must be developed and in place ahead of
time.
3.3
Hazards can be identified and assessed in a number of ways. The hazard identification and assessment
process is based on the following:
experience/judgement
checklists
codes and standards
structural review techniques
13
Figure 3.1
Structured
Review
Techniques
Codes / Standards
Checklists
Experience /
Judgement
IDENTIFY
ASSESS
HEMP
RECOVER
3.3.1
CONTROL
Experience/judgement
The knowledge of experienced staff provides a sound basis for hazard identification and assessment.
One can draw on experience gained from different aspects of the EP business in different locations.
Practical staff experience gained in the field and feedback from incidents, accidents and near misses
is invaluable.
3.3.2
Checklists
These are a useful way of ensuring that known hazards and threats have all been identified and
assessed. The use of checklists, however, must not be allowed to limit the scope of review. They are
normally drawn up from standards and operational experience and focus on areas where the potential
for mistakes is high or where problems have occurred in the past. Hazard Registers taken from the life
cycle of previous developments are particularly useful as a basis for checklists. They should be
maintained throughout the life of the development and include both the operational and abandonment
phases (Ref. 1).
Table VI.1 is a checklist called the Hazard Hierarchy which includes health, safety and environmental
hazards previously identified by Opcos. The checklist approach is used in several techniques such as
HAZID, HAZOP and FIREPRAN for example.
3.3.3
These reflect collective knowledge and experience, accumulated on the basis of national or
international operations. They generally focus on hazard assessment and control, since the hazard is
inherent and recognisable. Codes and standards usually contain information on hazards applicable to
a particular type of operation. The designer of a pressure vessel relief system, for example, can use a
DEP or ISO Standard to find detailed guidance on the relief cases that should be considered. In some
cases compliance with prescriptive standards alone will reduce risk to 'as low as reasonably
practicable'. Similarly, the acceptability or otherwise of emissions or discharges to the environment or
release of agents harmful to health can be assessed by reference to environmental quality standards
EP 95-0300 Revision 0: 16 October 1995
14
3.3.4
The following chapters of this document describe the Structured Review Techniques and Procedures
in current use. Some of these techniques were initially developed for use in safety management others
have been specifically developed for environmental and occupational health management often using
similar principles as for safety management. One example is HAZID (Hazard Identification) and
another is HAZOP (Hazard and Operability Study). With interpretation, these techniques are also
capable of addressing emissions, discharges, waste generation and occupational exposure to
hazardous substances, etc. Many of the techniques described in this Volume also contain screening
and acceptance criteria for Controls.
15
16
Structured review techniques are available for all phases of the 'identify, assess, control and recover'
process. The recommended techniques are presented in this chapter under the same headings as used
in Chapter 3, i.e.:
Identify Hazards and Potential Effects
Evaluate Risks
Record Hazards and Effects
Compare with Objectives and Performance Criteria
Establish Risk Reduction Measures.
4.1
The selection of the appropriate techniques depends upon the information available and the phase of
the project or maturity of the operation. The development of a project is described further in Volume 2
of this manual.
For EP facilities, a generic Hazards and Effects Hierarchy has been generated and is included in
Appendix III. This provides a structured listing of hazards and effects and attributes which can be
used as a completeness check during hazard identification. The hierarchy provides the basis for a
computerised approach to the systematic identification and assessment of hazards and their effects.
Table 4.1
Technique
Reference
EP 95-0312
SHSEC Guide
(Ref. 2)
HMSO publication
(Ref. 3)
17
Table 4.1
Technique
Reference
Human Factors
EP 95-0324
EP 95-0370
EP 95-0385
EP 95-0386
EP 95-0387
FIREPRAN
EP 95-0350
18
Technique
Reference
DEP (under
preparation)
(Ref. 5)
Refer to SIPM
There are few if any tools and techniques which are limited solely to the identification of Hazards and
Potential Effects. Most include assessment as well as identification. Indeed techniques, such as Health
Risk Assessment and Environmental Assessment include all four elements, identify, assess, control
and recover.
Inherent in some techniques, such as HAZOP, is a qualitative assessment of risk based on judgement
of threats, such as hardware failure, control system failure, human error, corrosion, extreme
conditions, etc.
Table 4.2
Technique
Reference
EP 95-0311
Tripod-BETA
EP 95-0321
Tripod-DELTA
EP 95-0320
4.2
Evaluate Risks
Once hazards and threats have been identified, their causes, consequences and probability can be
estimated and the risk determined. Risk assessment may be on a qualitative or quantitative basis both
involving the same steps. Qualitative methods may be adequate for risk assessments of simple
facilities or operations where the exposure of the workforce, public, environment or the asset is low.
Inherent in many of the techniques mentioned in 4.1 is a subjective evaluation of risk. HAZOP and
FIREPRAN, for example require the team to select the critical items for further study. To do this there
must be a risk assessment which is based primarily on experience or judgement. The qualitative or
banded assessment of probability and consequence from such an analysis can be plotted on the Risk
Matrix described in EP 95-0100 HSE Management System and repeated in 4.2.4. In FIREPRAN,
HAZOP and Health Risk Assessment, this Risk Matrix is used to assist in decisions regarding risk. In
the context of this manual evaluate and assess have the same meaning. The THESIS software can also
EP 95-0300 Revision 0: 16 October 1995
19
be used to assist in the hazard/risk evaluation and also uses the Risk Matrix. Guidance on when to use
quantitative risk assessment is provided in the following paragraphs.
4.2.1
The first step in the risk evaluation is to examine the ways in which events may take place to cause a
hazardous event. Causation scenarios may be developed in simple narrative or use multiple branch
fault trees or utilise complex computerised modelling techniques. The method is entirely dependent
on the area being assessed. For further details on scenario development refer to EP 95-0352 QRA.
4.2.2
Probability
The probability of a hazardous event occurring may be determined by evaluation of the associated
possible threats and circumstances or from historical data bases. Once established, the probability of
occurrence of each event can be included in a fault tree.
Historical records such as those described in EP 92-1020 (Ref. 6) provide failure data for various
types of event in the fault tree and event tree including the Top Event. Alternatively, probability can
be generated in a qualitative way by the relative classification of probability into those shown on the
Risk Matrix in 4.2.4.
It is planned to replace EP 92-1020 (Ref. 6) with a data base prepared on an industry wide basis. This
development is underway with the E&P Forum.
4.2.3
Consequence analysis
Consequence analysis can be applied to assess HSE aspects for a range of consequence scenarios and
involves the use of predictive models. Consequence scenarios may be developed in simple narrative
or use multiple branch event trees or utilise complex computerised modelling techniques.
Examples include the use of physical effects models for assessing the integrity of structures, for
predicting the behaviour of emissions to the atmosphere and discharge to water and predicting heat
loading and explosion overpressure. Models should only be used when they are validated in a
particular application and their predictive capability is generally accepted. Successful application
requires that they be used by personnel with adequate training and experience. The results from
Physical Effects Modelling usually provide input to other HSE analyses such as ESSA, FEA and
Layout Studies.
In performing consequence analyses it should be recognised that the majority of models provide only
a good approximation of what might happen. It is a mistake to base design calculations wholly on
model results. The designed system should be capable of withstanding the range of possible
anticipated loadings.
Table 4.3
Technique
Reference
Layout Methodology
EP 95-0314
EP 91-1600/1601
(Refs. 7 and 8)
EP 90-2500
(Ref. 9)
20
DEP to be prepared
(Ref. 10)
FEA
No reference
ESSA
EXPRO Docs
(Ref. 11)
TR/EERA
DEP 37.17.10.11
(Ref. 12)
Environmental Dispersion
Models
Monitoring air
quality
EP 95-0376
Monitoring water
quality
EP 95-0381
Table 4.3
Technique
Reference
A range of models
available. For
advice on selection
and use refer to
SIEP
Env. quality
standards for soil
and groundwater:
EP 95-0385
Setting Priorities
for contaminated
soil and
groundwater:
EP 95-0387
21
Groundwater Models
A range of models
available. For
advice on selection
and use refer to
SIPM
4.2.4
Determination of risk
Having determined the probability of the different scenarios occurring to cause a 'hazardous event'
and having determined the consequences arising from that event, it is possible to represent the risk
graphically using the Risk Matrix described in
EP 95-0100 HSE Management System and repeated below:
Table 4.4
Risk Matrix
CONSEQUENCE
Severity
People
No
injury
1
2
3
4
5
Assets
Environment
INCREASING PROBABILITY
Reputation
No
damage
No
effect
Slight
Slight
Slight
Slight
injury
Minor
injury
Major
injury
damage
Minor
damage
Localised
damage
effect
Minor
effect
Localised
effect
impact
Limited
impact
Considerable
impact
Never
Has
Incident
Happens
Happens
heard of
occurred
has
several
several
in EP
in EP
occurred
times per
times per
industry
industry
in Opco
year in
year in
Opco
location
No
impact
Single
Major
Major
National
fatality
damage
effect
impact
Multiple
fatalities
Extensive
damage
Massive
effect
International
impact
Incorporate risk
reduction measures
Intolerable
The matrix need not remain as a static display of risk and measures to be taken. Over the years
tolerance to risk will change therefore the shading in the diagram will change.
The above matrix gives an indication of risk tolerability but this should relate to the operation under
consideration . An example of how the matrix can be further defined for a particular operation is
included in Appendix V.
4.2.5
22
Technique
ASPIN
RISER
Reference
Pipeline failure risk analysis technique and
data base.
An easy to use quantitative failure risk
assessment tool to compare different
options and conditions during pipeline
design and operation and to assist in
optimising and planning inspection and
maintenance efforts.
Simplified version.
EP 94-0101
(Ref. 13)
EP 94-0102
(Ref. 14)
EP 90-1045
(Ref. 16)
EP 94-0195
(Ref. 15)
These quantitative risk assessments should only be used by personnel with adequate training and
experience. It is most important that those familiar with the operation, the facility or the design are
involved in the study particularly with respect to the input, assumptions and conclusions drawn to
ensure that the model reflects reality.
Assumptions must reflect actual practice including inspection and maintenance frequencies and
techniques, frequency of drills and operating procedures, etc.
QRA provides a structured approach to assessing risk and expresses this numerically. The main
function of QRA is to identify high risk areas and assist in the comparison of design options and the
selection of operations philosophies with a view to establishing effective and efficient risk
management.
QRA assists in the determination of 'how safe is safe enough' by helping to analyse options to
establish whether or not ALARP (As Low As Reasonably Practicable) has been achieved.
Engineers and decision makers sometimes like to use quantitative risk assessment to make a decision
for them. For this purpose they would like to see well defined acceptance criteria for risk and a
calculation resulting in one number to tell them whether their design is 'right' or 'wrong'. However,
risk figures which are based on probabilities should be used with caution and comparison against
absolute numerical risk criteria avoided where possible. This is important for a number of reasons.
First, the accuracy of QRA studies means that the comparison of calculated numbers with specified
numerical criteria must be used with considerable caution. The inaccuracies are less important in
comparisons between various options analysed in a consistent manner. Nevertheless absolute risk
figures may be required to fulfil legislative requirements and to ascertain whether ALARP risk levels
have been reached.
Secondly, the risk of EP operations calculated in a QRA is often in the 'Too High' area and nowhere
near the Negligible area. This means that regardless of acceptance criteria set by authorities or
others, there is a need to identify further improvements and to implement them if the cost, time and
effort can be justified.
23
Thirdly, there is always the temptation to use comparison with absolute risk criteria as a means to
justify not carrying out risk reduction measures, with data being manipulated solely to meet the
criteria. Playing the 'numbers game' in this way could lead to QRA being used to justify risk levels
that could realistically still be reduced.
Fourthly, using statistical likelihood values carries with them a set of inherent assumptions which
may or may not be appropriate for the operation being studied.
Expressions like 'acceptably safe' or 'an acceptable risk' should be avoided when discussing risk.
Risks are never acceptable when the benefits of an activity are perceived to be smaller than the risks.
Further, a risk is never considered acceptable while there are effective alternatives to lower it. If there
are no effective alternatives or the cost of further reduction is disproportionate then it may be
necessary to live with or 'tolerate' the risk.
QRA can be used to assess risk to the company's workforce, assets and environment as well as risk to
the public. At present, QRA or environmental QRA is confined to 'incidental' or 'acute' hazardous
events. In EP operations, the facilities are in many cases sufficiently remote that considerations of this
type of risk to the public do not dominate. In downstream activities, risk to the public is often the
main concern.
The application of QRA is not necessarily limited to large, complex and expensive studies. It is a
technique which can be used relatively quickly and cheaply to help to structure the solution to
problems for which the solution is not intuitively obvious. Without the quantification of risk in some
situations, there may a danger of allocating scarce resources for little benefit. Risk is often defined as
a function of the chance that a specified undesired event will occur and the severity of the
consequences of the event. For QRA purposes, chance can be expressed as frequency or probability
of an occurrence. If no attempt is made to estimate the chance, we may be driven by the consequence
into investing heavily on risk reduction measures which are ineffective. This is illustrated in
Figure 4.1. The risk curve (shaded) indicates the area in which effective risk reduction measures can
be taken.
Figure 4.1
Determination of risk
24
4.2.6
EP 95-0100 HSE Management Systems Chapter 4 describes the concept of screening risk against
criteria set in a qualitative and quantitative manner together with the use of the ALARP principle,
which sets the risk level as low as reasonably practicable.
Guidelines which provide environmental limits and standards include:
EP 95-0375
EP 95-0380
EP 95-0385
References to occupational exposure limits and standards are listed in Health Risk Assessment
(Ref. 2) and Ionising Radiation Safety Guide (Ref. 17).
4.3
4.3.1
Records
The documentation relating to the hazards and effects analysis and the management of hazards and
effects is included in Parts 3 and 5 of the HSE MS and HSE Case described in EP 95-0310.
In a major project or facility the studies carried out as part of the HEMP are recorded formally usually
via the first draft of the Hazards and Effects Register. The level of detail addressed increases as
familiarity with the project or facility improves. Different techniques are then applied to identify and
assess hazards. The hazards and control measures identified during the design phase are recorded for
later transfer to the operator of the facility who will be responsible for the HSE Case. A PC based tool
developed to do this is THESIS described in EP 95-0323.
4.3.2
The hazards and effects information gained from the application of HEMP tools and techniques is
incorporated in the HSE Case in what is called a Hazards and Effects Register.
The HSE Case has to demonstrate that:
all hazards, effects and threats have been identified
the likelihood and consequences of a hazardous event have been assessed
that controls to manage potential causes (threat barriers) are in place
that recovery preparedness measures to mitigate potential consequences have been taken.
Assembly of the Hazards and Effects Register, which forms part of the HSE Case, begins at the
design and development stage of a project when hazards and effects from this phase are incorporated.
Hazards applicable during the construction and commissioning phase may be included or listed
25
separately. Later, hazards encountered in the operations and maintenance phase are included. The
Hazards and Effects Register is a live document and is passed from phase to phase of a development
through to abandonment. When the design phase is complete, the Hazards and Effects Register is
handed over to and subsequently maintained by, the operations management of a facility. The Hazards
and Effects Register will subsequently be used in the planning of abandonment and held on record for
a period thereafter.
4.3.3
Once the Hazards and Effects Register is completed it is possible to complete a Manual of Permitted
Operations which defines:
the level and number of barriers installed initially and the recovery preparedness measures to be in
place
the limit of safe operation if the barriers and/or recovery preparedness measures (sometimes
referred to as the 'Integrity Envelope') are reduced, removed or purposely defeated
the limit of safe operation permitted during periods of escalated risk, in either likelihood or
consequence. This includes external factors like extreme weather conditions
which activities may or may not be carried out concurrently, e.g. simultaneous welding and crude
sampling.
Further details on the preparation of a MOPO are given in EP 95-0310 Implementing and
Documenting on HSE MS and HSE Case.
4.4
The objectives and performance criteria adopted at all levels in the process should comply with those
stated in the Corporate HSE Policy, HSE MS and HSE Case, respectively (see EP 95-0100 HSE
Management Systems Chapter 4).
4.5
4.5.1
General
Risk reduction measures include preventative measures (likelihood reducing) and mitigatory
measures (consequence reducing). As described in EP 95-0100, the point at which measures may be
classified as prevention, mitigation or recovery can sometimes become unclear depending on the
perspective of what constitutes the hazardous event. Fortunately, in practice, this makes little or no
difference to the process of risk reduction.
Control and recovery aspects form a significant part of design standards. These are not listed
separately in this document.
A number of reference documents describing the controls are frequently used in applying the HEMP.
These are summarised below together with references for full descriptions.
4.5.2
EP 95-0381
26
EP 95-0390
EP 95-0391
Classifying Waste
EP 95-0270
EP 95-0315
EP 95-0317
DEPs
4.5.3
Recovery from the consequences of the release of a hazard requires careful planning. Even with a
comprehensive range of controls in place to prevent the release of hazards or effects things can still
go wrong. It is important that all personnel involved are fully briefed and drilled as to the response
measures planned which may include evacuation and restoration procedures.
Recovery Preparedness Measures include active, passive and operational (contingency plans)
response arrangements.
In a crude oil separation module a loss of containment will probably be controlled by ESD,
depressurisation and containment/fire protection devices. These control and recovery measures have
been installed to achieve the HSE objectives that have been set. They might reduce a worst case
occurrence to a single major injury or fatality as compared with the possible catastrophe that could
have occurred with no controls at all in place.
From an environmental perspective recovery includes site clean up and rehabilitation. An example in
occupational health would be the redeployment of a radiographer who has exceeded his radiation
exposure or a cargo handler who has a back injury.
Documents which will assist in the development of recovery procedures include amongst others:
EP 95-0316
Emergency Response
DEP 37.17.10.11-Gen
EP 95-0397
EP 95-0387
EP 95-0351
SHSEC 1994
27
E&P Forum
DEPs
28
29
APPENDIX I
ACTIVITIES: PLANNING AND REVIEW
HEMP TOOLS AND TECHNIQUES
In the EP Business Model (EPBM) Version 3 (Ref. 23) the activity grouping (ACT) 'Managing
Activities' applies equally to all activities including those shown below against the life cycle.
In the 'Establishment of Business Controls' (ACT-01-06), the controls to manage HSE risk are
addressed in an HSE Case. The broad HSE objectives to be met in the activities: establishment of
business controls (ACT-01-06), 'planning' (ACT-01-08) and 'monitoring/control during execution'
(ACT-03-02) are bulletised on the left of the table below. Some of the tools and techniques available
are listed on the right.
explore
appraise
produce and
maintain
develop
abandon
Execute Surveys
Drilling
Drilling
Appraisal and
Development
Design
Construction
Commissioning
Production and
Maintenance
Decommissioning
Logistics
objectives
eg Prepare HSE Case for specific activities such as: survey, drilling, operations, logistics
HAZID
demonstrate that risks
Generic HSE Cases (under development)
associated with the activity
Health Risk Assessment
are managed
Environmental Assessment
Job Hazard Analysis
Permit-to-Work
H2 S
Fire Control and Recovery
Safe Handling of Chemicals (SDS)
Human Factors
Emergency Response (including oil spill plans),
Oil Spill Dispersants
Contaminated Soil and Groundwater
Classification of Waste
Waste Management
30
APPENDIX II
ASSETS: PLANNING AND REVIEW
HEMP TOOLS AND TECHNIQUES
The activities (Ref. 23) described in this appendix encompass the life cycle of an asset. The HSE Case
which is prepared during the execution of these activities becomes the HSE Case for the asset and
forms part of the Asset Reference Plan.
The broad HSE objectives are bulletised on the left of the table. Some of the tools and techniques
available are listed on the right.
ACQUIRE OR DIVEST ASSET (A16)
objectives
obtain assurance of
manageability
HAZOP (coarse)
Coarse Layout Methodology
Human Factors
HAZOP (detailed)
Instrumented Protection Function (IPF) classification
Detailed Layout Methodology, Fire and Explosion Analysis
Emergency System Survivability Analysis
FIREPRAN
Escape, Evacuation and Rescue Analysis (use judgement
for less complex plant)
QRA (as necessary)
HAZID
Health Risk Assessment, Human Factors,
Environmental Assessment
31
objectives
QRA
HAZOP
Instrumented Protection Function (IPF) classification
see ACT-01-06
32
APPENDIX III
HAZARDS AND EFFECTS HIERARCHY
The Hazards and Effects Hierarchy is a structured list of HSE-related hazards and effects that may
occur in the EP business. It can provide a starting point in hazard identification (the first step of the
Hazards and Effects Management Process, HEMP). Use of the Hazards and Effects Hierarchy as a
checklist gives greater assurance that all hazards and effects have been addressed and identification
and initial assessment is complete.
The Hazards and Effects Hierarchy is a structured checklist incorporated in the PC-based tool
THESIS (EP 95-0323). It is continually being improved with use in different operations and
environments. The hierarchy in the attached Table III.1 is therefore only included as an example or
'snapshot'. For the most up-to-date version, refer to the latest version of THESIS software.
In THESIS each hazard and effect has been assigned a number which has been consistently carried
through to the Hazards and Effects Register. The same numbering system is used here.
The Hazards and Effects Hierarchy, Table III.1, consists of main hazard groups such as H-01
Hydrocarbons. Under these are sub-groupings, such as H-01.06 Hydrocarbon Gas. Some examples
are given of typical sources of these hazards or locations where they will be found.
Under the three columns 'Safety', 'Health' and 'Environment' an arbitrary coding has been given which
has been found useful in grouping hazards. The reason for the Health grouping is explained below.
Any other coding or tagging can be used.
No attempt has been made to link the listing of hazards with, for example business activities or types
of facilities, since any one hazard can invariably be present in many situations. The Hazards and
Effects Hierarchy nevertheless lends itself to use as part of a systematised approach to hazard
management.
III.1
Health hazards encountered in the work place and by the public are usually divided into the following
five broad groups:
chemical hazards
physical hazards such as noise, vibration, ionising radiation
biological hazards such as micro-organisms
ergonomic hazards such as manual handling
psychological hazards such as stress
life style such as substance abuse
living environment such as malaria and environmental pollution
The Hazards and Effects Hierarchy as presented in this appendix can be sorted to cover all significant
health hazards and effects in this order or any other order that is required.
III.2
Effects on the environment may be due to unintentional incidents (e.g. a fire or chemical spill) or due
to intended often continuous, routine or chronic releases as part of the operation.
33
The Hazards and Effects Hierarchy listing, Table III.1, is valid for both incidental releases and
routine releases. As described in 2.1, a hazardous event in the case of the routine or chronic release
is when defined limits have been exceeded. A hazardous event in the case of an acute or incidental
release is an occurrence or incident.
Limits should be defined for routine releases which have an adverse effect on the environment.
Reviewers often find it easier to think in terms of sources of environmental effects. To assist in this
identification Table III.1 is a checklist of sources, of environmental hazards and of potential effects.
This table can assist in the identification of hazards and effects when reviewing a proposed
development or operation (i.e. in the Environmental Assessment process) or when reviewing effects
from the existing operation and preparing reduction plans.
The list is not complete and any further additions to the checklist should be forwarded to SIEP.
Currently, three types of environmental hazards have been identified:
hazards associated with discharges or emissions
hazards/effects from use of natural resources
hazards causing effects from presence.
It is not always possible to pinpoint a genuine hazard causing the effect, e.g. resource use can result
from a number of activities.
Key to Hazards
Table III.1
Safety Hazards
Health Hazards
Environmental Hazards
F = Flammable
B = Biological Agent
D= Discharge Hazards
MH = Major Hazard
C = Chemical Agent
Se = Security Hazard
E = Ergonomic Agent
Pr = Presence
WP = Work Practice
P = Physical Agent
LS = Life Style Agent
Psy = Psychological Agent
M = Medical Issue
Hazard
Number
Hazard Description
Safety
Health
Enviro
Sources
H-01
Hydrocarbons
H-01.01
MH
H-01.02
Hydrocarbons in formation
MH
34
H-01.03
MH
H-01.04
LNGs
MH
H-01.05
Condensate, NGL
MH
H-01.06
Hydrocarbon gas
MH
H-01.07
MH
H-01.08
Wax
H-01.09
Coal
H-02
Refined Hydrocarbons
H-02.01
H-02.02
Hydraulic oil
H-02
H-02.03
Diesel fuel
H-02.04
Petroleum spirit/gasoline
H-03
H-03.01
Cellulosic materials
H-03.02
Pyrophoric materials
Hazard
Number
Hazard Description
Safety
Health
Enviro
Sources
H-04
Explosives
H-04.01
Detonators
WP
H-04.02
Conventional explosive
material
MH
H-04.03
MH
H-05
Pressure Hazards
H-05.01
WP
Seismic Operations,
pipeline construction
Pr
Seismic Operations,
pipeline construction
35
H-05.02
WP
H-05.03
MH
H-05.04
WP
H-05.05
Hyperbaric Operations
(diving)
WP
Undersea operations
H-05.06
Decompression (diving)
WP
Undersea operations
H-06
H-06.01
H-06
H-06.02
WP
Slippery/uneven surfaces,
climbing/descending stairs,
obstructions, loose grating
H-06.03
Overhead equipment
MH
Hazard
Number
Hazard Description
Safety
H-06.04
MH
H-06.05
WP
H-07
H-07.01
WP
H-07.02
WP
H-08
H-08.01
WP
MH
Health
Enviro
Sources
36
H-08.02
WP
H-08.03
MH
H-08.04
H-08.05
H-08
H-08.06
WP
H-08.07
WP
H-08.08
Hazard
Number
Hazard Description
H-09
Environmental Hazards
H-09.01
Weather
WP
H-09.02
MH
H-09.03
Tectonic
MH
H-10
Hot surfaces
H-10.01
H-10.02
H-10.03
WP
H-10.04
Steam piping
WP
WP
Safety
Health
Enviro
Sources
37
H-11
Hot fluids
H-11.01
WP
H-11.02
H-12
Cold surfaces
H-12.01
MH
H-12.02
MH
H-13
Cold fluids
H-13.01
Hazard
Number
Hazard Description
H-14
Open flame
H-14.01
Safety
Health
Enviro
Sources
H-14.02
H-14.03
Flares
H-15
Electricity
H-15.01
MH
H-15.02
WP
H-15.03
Voltage >440 V
MH
H-15.04
Lightning discharge
WP
38
H-15.05
Electrostatic energy
WP
H-16
Electromagnetic radiation
H-16.01
Ultraviolet radiation
H-16
H-16.02
Infra-red radiation
Flares
H-16.03
Microwaves
Galley
H-16.04
Lasers
Instrumentation, surveying
H-16.05
Hazard
Number
Hazard Description
H-17
H-17.01
Health
Enviro
Sources
H-17.02
H-17.03
Well logging
H-17.04
H-18
H-18.01
H-18.02
H-18.03
Well logging
H-19
Asphyxiates
H-19.01
Insufficient oxygen
atmospheres
H-19.02
Excessive CO2
H-19.03
Drowning
H-19.04
Excessive N2
N2 purged vessels
Safety
39
H-19.05
Halon
H-19.06
Smoke
Welding/burning operations,
fires
H-20
Toxic gas
H-20.01
Hazard
Number
Hazard Description
Health
Enviro
Sources
H-20
H-20.02
Exhaust fumes
H-20.03
SO2
H-20.04
Benzene
H-20.05
Chlorine
H-20.06
Welding fumes
H-20.07
Tobacco smoke
LS
Accommodation, office
buildings, inside cars, boats,
helicopters, aeroplanes
H-20.08
CFCs
H-21
Toxic liquid
H-21.01
Mercury
H-21.02
Safety
MH
PCBs
H-21.03
Biocide (gluteraldehyde)
H-21.04
Methanol
H-21.05
Brines
H-21.06
Glycols
H-21.07
Degreasers (terpenes)
Maintenance shops
40
H-21.08
Isocyanates
H-21.09
Sulphanol
Gas sweetening
H-21.10
Amines
Gas sweetening
H-21.11
Corrosion inhibitors
H-21.12
Scale inhibitors
H-21.13
H-21.14
Odorant additives
(mercaptans)
Hazard
Number
Hazard Description
Health
Enviro
Sources
H-21.15
Alcohol-containing beverages WP
LS
H-21.16
Recreational drugs
LS
H-21.17
H-21.18
Carbon tetrachloride
H-21.19
H-22
Toxic solid
H-22.01
Asbestos
H-22.02
H-22.03
Cement dust
H-22.04
Sodium hypochlorite
H-22.05
H-22.06
Sulphur dust
H-22.07
Pig trash
H-22.08
Oil-based muds
H-22.09
Pseudo-oil-based muds
H-22.10
Water-based muds
H-22.11
Cement slurries
Safety
WP
Plant laboratory
Septic systems, camps,
detergents
41
H-22.12
Dusts
H-22.13
H-22.14
H-23
Corrosive substances
H-23.01
Hydrofluoric acid
WP
Well stimulation
H-23.02
Hydrochloric acid
WP
Well stimulation
42
Hazard
Number
Hazard Description
Safety
Health
Enviro
Sources
H-23
H-23.03
Sulphuric acid
WP
H-23.04
H-24
Biological hazards
H-24.01
Natural environment
H-24.02
Natural environment
H-24.03
Natural environment
H-24.04
Contaminated food
H-24.05
H-24.06
H-24.07
Natural environment
H-24.08
Other people
H-24.09
H-24.10
Other Communicable
Diseases
Other people
H-25
Ergonomic hazards
H-25.01
H-25.02
Damaging noise
H-25.03
H-25.04
Pr
Pr
WP
43
Hazard
Number
Hazard Description
H-25
H-25.05
H-25.06
High humidity
H-25.07
Vibration
H-25.08
Workstations
H-25.09
Lighting
H-25.10
H-25.11
Awkward location of
workplaces and machinery
H-25.12
H-25.13
H-25.14
Safety
Health
Enviro
Pr
Sources
Hand-tool vibration,
maintenance and construction
worker, boating
Poorly designed office furniture
and poorly laid out workstations
Pr
44
Hazard
Number
Hazard Description
H-25
H-25.15
H-25.16
H-25.17
H-26
Psychological hazards
H-26.01
Psy
H-26.02
Psy
H-26.03
Psy
H-27
H-27.01
Piracy
Se
H-27.02
Assault
Se
H-27.03
Sabotage
Se
H-27.04
Se
H-27.05
Theft, pilferage
Se
Safety
Health
Enviro
Sources
45
Hazard
Number
Hazard Description
H-28
H-28.01
Enviro
Sources
Land
H-28.02
Water
Cooling water
H-28.03
Air
H-28.04
Trees, vegetation
H-28.05
Gravel
H-29
Medical
H-29.01
Medical unfitness
H-29.02
Motion sickness
Safety
Health
46
Table III.2
Source*
Flare
ROUTINE HAZARDS
POTENTIAL EFFECTS
CH4
SOx
NOx
N2 O
CO2
CO
health damage
noise
nuisance/health damage
light
nuisance/health effects
H2 S
odorous compounds
nuisance/odour
particulates
radiation
health damage/ecological
heat
trace toxics
metals
- PAH
nuisance/ecological damage
-
ecological/health damage
Energy generating
equipment
CH4
turbines
SOx
boilers/heaters
furnaces
NOx
transport (diesel,
gasoline)
N2 O
drilling, etc
CO2
CO
health damage
noise
light
odorous compounds
nuisance/odour
particulates/dust
radiation
ecological/health damage
PAH
ecological/health damage
H2 S
heat
PCB
Venting
CH4
tanker loading
VOC/CxHx
production
Specific Chemicals
CFC
halons
CH4
VOC/CxHx/specific
chemicals
ROUTINE HAZARDS
pressure relief
glycol venting
Refrigeration
Fire extinguishers
Fugitives
valves, pumps, etc
Source*
47
Water
water based mud
oil based mud
aqueous effluents
site drains
storm water run off
produced water
cooling water
tank bottom water
oil
soluble organics/dissolved
HC/BTEX
heavy metals
salts
barite (mud), drilling fluids,
drilling cuttings
nutrients
odour
chemicals/corrosion
inhibitors/biocides/
fungicides
volume of water to land
fresh water discharge
suspended solids
soil/ erosion sediments
PAH
Grease
salts/brine
acids/caustics
temperature change
detergents
pathogens
anoxia (deoxygenation)
nutrients
specific chemicals
eutrophication
nuisance
damage to aquatic organisms
biological damage
eutrophication
damage to aquatic organisms water unfit for drinking,
recreation, irrigation, livestock
nuisance odour/smell
damage to aquatic organisms, water unfit for drinking,
recreation, irrigation, livestock
Sacrificial anodes
odorous compounds
heavy metals
Detonators
noise/pressure waves
Chemicals
paints
solvents
cleaners
oil/hydrocarbons
oil sludges
heavy metals
soil contamination
chemicals
specific chemicals
soil sediments
Soil
ROUTINE HAZARDS
POTENTIAL EFFECTS
Solid/liquid wastes,
medical waste,
spent catalyst
hazardous wastes
toxic substances
Household,
food/kitchen and
office waste
48
oil/hydrocarbons
heavy metals
chemical additives
Heavy vehicles
soil compaction
Vibrating equipment
vibrations
nuisance/animal repellent
Human resources
presence of workforce
with different
socio/cultural
background
during construction
and operation;
community intrusion
- seismic
- drilling
removal of vegetation
- access routes
change in accessibility
- camps, offices,
warehouses
- pipelines
visual impact
energy take
heaters/boilers
power generation
steam generation
vehicles/transport
cooling
Need for water
water take
damage to wetlands
cooling
process
drinking water
waste waters
irrigation
recharge/pressure
maintenance
Need for gravel/sand
gravel/sand take
damage to habitat/vegetation/crops
drill pads
access roads
camp base/levelling
facility construction
recovery and
replacement
Need for consumables
* any indented (-) are covered by all aspects in the adjacent columns.
49
50
APPENDIX IV
STRUCTURED REVIEW TECHNIQUES
SUMMARY DESCRIPTION SHEETS
Title
Assets*
ASPIN
Emergency Systems Survivability Analysis (ESSA)
Environmental Assessment (EA)
Explosion Protection Review (EPR)
Fire and Explosion Analysis (FEA)
FIREPRAN
HAZID
HAZOP
Health Risk Assessment (HRA)
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
Activities*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
Used primarily in planning, design, longer term review and preparation of HSE Cases for assets.
Used primarily for developing and reviewing operational-type procedures, systems and preparing
activity HSE Cases, plans or method statements, e.g. seismic drilling, construction and
commissioning, and production and maintenance.
51
ASPIN
Objective
To provide an easy-to-use quantitative failure risk assessment tool to compare different options and
conditions during pipeline design and operation and to assist in optimising and planning inspection and
maintenance efforts.
It is a tool that is situated between a full Quantitative Risk Assessment (QRA) and simple risk
ranking/scoring methods, less complicated and expensive than the former and more quantitative (and
therefore more accurate) than the latter. It is intended as a decision support tool and does not specify
acceptance criteria for risk levels. It can, for example, identify the effect of use of inspection pigging and a
leak detection system on risk levels.
Method
The methodology is based on the generally applied risk analysis technique whereby the probability of a
failure, expressed in terms of expected failure frequency, is multiplied by the consequence of such a failure
to arrive at risk. Failure risk is determined cumulatively over a given longer period of time as well as on a
yearly basis.
The method is structured in four main parts:
1.
Identify the possible failure causes and derive potential failure frequencies
2.
3.
4.
pipeline fluids (those covered are: crude oil, natural gas, sour natural gas, NGL, fuel gas, gas
oil/diesel, kerosene/naphtha/gasoline, LPG, ethylene, propylene and two-phase oil/gas fluids)
impact failure statistics and failure frequencies
construction/material defect failure statistics and failure frequencies
corrosion statistics or estimated possible mechanisms/expected time to first failure (wall
thickness, critical defect depth, inspection surveys, actual corrosion data), annual corrosion
failure frequencies
Deliverables (Output)
Safety, environmental and economic risk comparison assessments that can be used in support of pipeline
design and operation decisions. ASPIN can be used in the development of HSE Cases as part of the HSE MS
including input into Hazards and Effects Register. ASPIN identifies and assesses all potential major hazards,
evaluates the risks and the effectiveness of the various measures to reduce the risks to the lowest practicable
level.
Further Information
EP 94-0101 - ASPIN Version 1.1 Pipeline Failure Risk Assessment (Ref. 13)
EP 94-0102 - ASPIN Version 1.1 Pipeline Failure Risk Assessment (Ref. 14)
EP 94-0195 - Simplified Method for Pipeline Risk Ranking, Version 2.0 (Ref. 15)
DEP 31.40.60.11 - Gen Pipeline Leak Detection (Ref. 24).
52
53
54
55
FIREPRAN
Objective
A structured review technique for the review and assessment of:
1.
2.
the fire and explosion control and recovery preparedness measures in place.
3.
the capability to meet the performance standards set and satisfy the objectives and criteria set for the
management of fire and explosion hazards.
To identify deficiencies and opportunities for improvement in order to meet objectives with respect to fire
and explosion management. FIREPRAN is not suited to complex, compact integrated facilities.
Method
A multi-disciplined team uses a structured HEMP compatible approach to identify hazards related to
hydrocarbon releases and explosions and develops a hazards and effects hierarchy. The hazard control
measures and related hazardous events mitigation and recovery measures are recorded in a hazards and
effects register. Potential fire and explosion scenarios are developed enabling review of the resources needed
to respond effectively to these incidents. Resources needed to respond effectively to fire and explosion
hazardous event scenarios are compared with those already in place. Results are presented with
opportunities for improved risk reduction measures as appropriate to plant criticality.
Information Required
Process flow schemes, plot plans, plant layouts and hazardous area drawings
Fire system and fire water piping drawings, fire areas, equipment layout, fire and blast walls and passive
fire protection drawings
Operating and maintenance philosophies
Deliverables
This technique permits the identification of hazards as well as potential, related fire and explosion scenarios.
It assists line management in the process of developing realistic, cost effective, control and recovery
measures which can be justified in terms of reducing risks to personnel, environment, assets and production,
to tolerable levels. Deliverables take the form of a hazards and effects register, fire and explosion scenario
development sheets and a set of recommendations for actions needed to achieve tolerable risk levels.
Overlap
HAZOP, QRA (for complex studies).
Further Information
EP HSE Manual, FIREPRAN, EP 95-0350.
56
57
HAZOP (continued)
Deliverables (Output)
Coarse HAZOP - Recommendations for adjustment to design options, QRA studies and other supporting
investigations. A risk ranking may be given to assist in prioritising the actions. This list may be
incorporated into the Hazards and Effects register for the project.
Main HAZOP - Recommendations to amend the design to remove or reduce hazards and operability
problems. Categorisation of the recommendations into approximate risk groups to assist in prioritising
the actions. This list should be used to update the Hazard register for the project.
Procedural HAZOP - Recommendations to amend the procedures to remove or reduce hazards and
operating problems. This will allow Safety Critical Procedures/Operations to be identified.
Overlap
HAZOP is a stand alone process hazard and operability problem identification and assessment (qualitative)
tool.
Further Information
EP HSE Manual, HAZOP, EP 95-0313.
58
Step 2
Define structure for implementation (identify assessment units; assessment team; job types; tasks;
hazardous agents)
Step 3
For each job type gather information on agents and their harmful effects; nature and degree of
exposure; screening and performance criteria
Step 4
Evaluate the risk to health (assign severity rating and exposure rating)
Step 5
Step 6
Step 7
Information Required
Detailed information on hazards and effects (e.g. toxic properties of chemicals); exposures (e.g. exposure
levels to toxic chemicals); performance of existing controls; information from health surveillance records,
etc.
Deliverables
HRA, as a tool for use as party of a company's HEMP, assists to identify, evaluate and control health risks
related to the company's operations to a level 'as low as reasonably practicable'. The recommendations
emerging from the HRA provide the input into the HSE Management System to ensure ongoing control of
health risks and continual improvement in health performance.
Further Information
SHSEC Guide (Ref. 2) and references contained within that document.
59
60
61
62
63
RISER
Objective
Assessment of risks of pipeline riser on or near platforms with comparative risk analysis to assess the
benefits of subsea valve installation on pipelines.
Method
The method is based on the following steps (using the information required described below):
definition of release cases using clear selection rules
failure frequency estimation (using a standard historical data set modified where needed to allow for
local factors)
consequence modelling (from release rate calculations using models for dispersion, jet fires, explosions,
etc)
impact assessment (determination of fatalities/damage and probabilities followed by event tree analysis)
risk calculation (determination of total risk for the riser system).
Information Required
Platform and pipeline engineering data, personnel numbers and distribution, environmental data and
evacuation systems.
Deliverables
Data on the comparative risk expressed as Potential Loss of Life (PLL)
Overlap
Input data from hazard identification techniques such as FIREPRAN, Quantitative Risk Assessment (QRA)
and Hazard and Operability Studies (HAZOP).
Output data are used in Quantitative Risk Assessment (QRA), FIREPRAN, Plant Layout Methodology
(PLM) and Fire and Explosion Analysis (FEA).
Further Information
EP 90-1045 RISER Riser Safety Evaluation Routine (Ref.16).
64
65
Note:
There are several practical and theoretical problems with the methodology in EN/066. The model is
written in Supercalc 5 which is not a Shell-supported package and there may be considerable
difficulty in running the software. Expro are planning to revise EN/066 to provide guidance on
smoke, heat, CO and low oxygen impairment of the TR. This work is planned to also overcome the
technical limitations of the current methodology and to incorporate results of relevant research in
these areas.
66
67
68
69
Tripod-BETA
Objective
To facilitate accident or incident investigation and analysis by providing the means to assemble and
manipulate investigation information into a logical structure consistent with the Tripod accident causation
model and the hazards and effects model of SMS (HSE MS).
Method
A PC tool which provides the means to record information from the investigation, linking related
information on events, people, damage, locations, etc.
Information is transferred to a screen where it can be manipulated and linked as nodes in a BETA tree.
Nodes are classified, the connecting logic tested and anomalies flagged for amendment. Nodes are assigned
General Failure Type (GFT) classifications.
Information Required
Accident or incident investigation data.
Deliverables
A draft report for final editing, presenting salient details of the events, actual and potential damage,
failures and identified causes
A BETA tree diagram
GFT profile for the accident/incident.
Overlap
Tripod-BETA is a stand-alone technique.
Further Information
EP HSE Manual, Tripod-BETA, EP 95-0321
Tripod-DELTA
Objective
The proactive identification of potential latent failures that could lead to hazardous situations and the
development of remedial actions to be taken to reduce or eliminate such hazards.
Used where there are few incidents providing information on causation therefore tries to avoid 'requiring
incidents to improve'.
Method
Development of indicator question database. These are used in the form of yes/no answer questions to
reveal the presence of General Failure Types (GFT) in the operation or organisation
Tripod-DELTA Profiling-derivation of checklists based on the indicator questions, answering of indicator
questions, analysis of answers. Results are presented as a Failure State Profile. The analysis identifies
those areas where remedial action is required.
Information Required
Access to personnel with detailed working knowledge of the operation or organisation being analysed.
Deliverables
The Failure State Profile indicates the extent to which each of the 11 GFTs is present in the system under
study. This allows remedial actions to be prioritised.
Overlap
Tripod-DELTA is a stand alone technique.
Further Information
EP HSE Manual, Tripod-DELTA, EP 95-0320
70
71
72
APPENDIX V
EXAMPLE OF FURTHER DEFINITION OF CONSEQUENCE SEVERITY RATING FOR RISK MATRIX
Table V.1
Severit
y
People
Potential
Impact
No injury
Injury
Definition
No injury or damage to health
Slight
injury
Minor
injury
Potential
Impact
No injury
Assets*, Equipment
Health
Definition
No injury or damage to health
Slight injury
Minor
injury/
illness
Major
injury
Major
injury/
illness
Single
fatality
Permanent
total
disability or
fatality
(small
exposed
population)
Potential
Impact
No
damage
Slight
damage
Minor
damage
Localised
damage
Definition
No damage to
equipment
No disruption to
the process,
minimum cost of
repair (below
$10,000)
Possible brief
disruption of the
process;
isolation of
equipment for
repair (estimated
cost below
$100,000)
Plant partly
down; process
can (possibly) be
restarted.
(estimated cost
of repair below
$1,000,000)
Partial loss of
plant; plant shut
down (for at
most two weeks
and/or estimated
repair costs
below
$10,000,000)
5
Multiple
May include four fatalities in
Multiple
-Agents with potential to cause
Extensive
Total loss of the
fatalities
close succession due to the
fatalities
multiple fatalities, e.g. chemicals
damage
plant; extensive
incident, or multiple fatalities
with acute toxic effects (e.g.
damage
(four or more) each at different
hydrogen sulphide, carbon
(estimated cost
points and/or with different
monoxide), known human
of repair exceeds
activities
carcinogens
$10,000,000)
* Assets are understood as referring to: the oil and gas reservoirs, production facilities, pipelines, money, capital, and other Opco and third party
property
Major
damage
73
Table V.1
Severity
Environment
Potential
Impact
Definition
Reputation
Oil Contamination
per incident
(litres)
Sensitive
areas
No environmental risk, no
financial consequences
Potential
Impact
Definition
No impact
No public awareness
Offshore
No effect
Several
Slight effect
Negligible financial
consequences, local
environmental risk within the
fence and within systems
<10
0-100
Slight impact
Minor effect
Contamination, damage
sufficiently large to affect the
environment, single
exceedance of statutory or
prescribed criteria, single
complaint, no permanent effect
on the environment
<100
100 1,000
Limited
impact
Localised
effect
100
-1,000
1,00010,000
Considerable
impact
Major effect
Severe environmental
damage, the Opco is required
to take extensive measures to
restore the contaminated
environment to its original
state. Extended exceedance of
statutory or prescribed limit
1000 10,000
10,000 100,000
National
impact
Massive
effect
Persistent severe
environmental damage or
severe nuisance extending
over a large area. In terms of
commercial or recreational use
or nature conservancy, a major
economic loss for the Opco.
Constant high exceedance of
statutory or prescribed limit
>10,000
>100,000
International
impact
The above table is an example for crude oil contamination. For other chemical discharge criteria, environmental experts should be consulted.
Incidents relating to air, noise, small, light and soil vibrations should be addressed on the basis of expert judgement and, in the case of
uncertainty, local expertise may be called in.
* 'Incident' as used in Severity level 1 must be seen as the source of the concern for all severity levels. It is defined in the glossary but recognise
it includes an environmental problem, an event or chain of events which has caused or could have caused spills, leaks, complaints, public
concern, issue debates, failing to follow commitments and so forth.
'Public' must be seen as encompassing a wide range including 'opinion formers', e.g. environmental scientists; groups; politicians; authorities (of
various types); media (scientific general).
74
APPENDIX VI
WHEN TO USE QRA
Quantified Risk Assessment (QRA) is used to:
VI.1
VI.1.1
All projects onshore or offshore for which several options have been identified which are considered
to have significantly different risks. A risk assessment should be undertaken early in a project
development (in some cases this may be during the prospect stage, if for instance, novel technology is
used). A comparison of risks associated with, for example, onshore versus offshore processing,
manned versus unmanned facilities, platform versus subsea installation, location and operating
strategy of onshore installations, etc may be effectively studied using QRA.
VI.1.2
During the definition phase, a more detailed risk assessment may be required to:
(i)
(ii) provide a basis for further design optimisation during completion of conceptual engineering and
detailed engineering and (ultimately) to reach risk levels regarded as As Low As Reasonably
Practicable (ALARP)
(iii) confirm to senior management, shareholders and the Regulator that risk criteria will be achieved.
At the end of detailed engineering, i.e. when all optimisation has been completed, the risk assessment
is issued in the form of a final report for input to the HSE Case. This is intended to demonstrate that
the risk criteria have been achieved and this risk is as low as reasonably practicable.
The above is particularly applicable to:
75
This is the case unless the layout is so well spaced-out that the workforce is for the majority of the
time outside the maximum effect area of the high pressure hydrocarbon production/process
facilities and the risk of escalation is considered to be negligible.
onshore plants
This is where the public is within the maximum effect radius and/or where the plant is complex
and the hydrocarbon processing equipment cannot be spaced to minimise the risk of escalation.
studies to compare transport and manning philosophy options
If the option under development has significantly different operating philosophies to those
considered during the comparative QRA in the project identification phase.
VI.1.3
Operations Phase
Existing facilities
Any facility or operation which is considered to be safety critical and for which there are doubts as to
whether or not the risks have been reduced to as low as reasonably practicable. A QRA study would
assist in the identification of high-risk areas and the ranking of risk reduction measures, identify the
need for modifying the operating philosophy (e.g. MOPO), and increase the awareness of the
workforce of the risks they are exposed to and have influence over.
Upgrades to existing facilities
Plant modifications which will result in significant risks during construction and/ or which are
expected to increase significantly the risk level during operations. The need for an additional or
revalidated risk assessment at the time of proposed upgrades or refurbishments has to be considered.
In cases where the proposals are viewed as having a minimal impact on safety or asset integrity, no
additional work will be necessary. However, for some modifications the earlier risk assessment will
require reviewing and additional risk assessment may be required.
VI.2
QRA would not usually be used for Not Normally Manned offshore installations and onshore
facilities, except in connection with the determination of the operating philosophy unless:
the equipment spacing allows escalation
the facility has a high strategic or asset value
there are environmental concerns
the public is in permanently occupied areas within the maximum effect radius
it is a legal requirement
several expensive risk reduction measures have been identified whose relative effectiveness is not
obvious.
In other cases, physical effects modelling combined with other non-quantitative methodologies may
be sufficient to manage the hazards.
76
Glossary
GLOSSARY
The general glossary for the EP HSE Manual is now in a separate Section EP95-0010 Glossary.
77
78
References
REFERENCES
1
MF 92-0130 Issue 4, Technical HSE Reviews and Fire Safety Reviews: Checklists Planning and
Execution, Shell Manufacturing Division, March 1995.
ISBN 0 11 430020, Understanding Stress - Part Two Line Managers' Guide, HMSO, June 1992.
Chemical Hazards: Health Risk Assessment and Exposure Evaluation, SHSEC, 1995.
EP 91-1600, Layout Considerations for Offshore Topsides Facilities, Volume II, Step by Step
Procedure and Template, SIPM, 1991.
EP 91-1601, Layout Considerations for Offshore Topsides Facilities, Volume III, 'Ariadne'
Demonstrator, SIPM, 1991.
10
11
12
13
EP 94-0101, ASPIN Version 1.1 Pipeline Failure Risk Assessment, User Manual, Worked
examples, December 1993.
14
EP 94-0102, ASPIN Version 1.1 Pipeline Failure Risk Assessment, Reference Manual,
December 1993.
15
EP 94-0195, Simplified Method for Pipeline Risk Ranking, Version 2.0, January 1994.
16
17
18
19
20
HSE 94023, Medical Emergency Guidelines for Health Care Professionals and First Aiders,
January 1995
21
22
79
References
23
EP 95-7000 EP Business Model (Version 3.0) Flowcharts and Description of Process Activities,
SIEP, 1995.
24
25
26
27
EA/032, Escape, Refuge, Evacuation and Rescue - Offshore Installations, Shell Expro.
28
29
30
ISBN 0 11 8859889 Successful Health and Safety Management UK Health and Safety
Executive, HMSO, 1991.
31
32
Incident Investigation and Analysis Guide (Revision of Accident Investigation), SHSEC, August
1993.
81