Macro Economics AND Business Environmnet
Macro Economics AND Business Environmnet
Macro Economics AND Business Environmnet
AND
BUSINESS ENVIRONMNET
PROJECT REPORT
ON
Submitted to
Dr. Ritika Gugnani
Submitted by
(GROUP 5)
Khushboo vishnani
Pavan kr. Gautam
Kunal Madan
Komal Bakshi
Ravi Balyan
Rohit Mohan
INDEX
CONTENTS
Food Security Introduction
Government Acts
Evolution of Food security bill
Scope of Bill
Features of Bill
Role of PDS
Investments and Expenditure Required
Challenges
International Concerns
Limitations
Solutions
Analysis and Findings
Conclusion
Bibliography
PAGE NO.
3.
4
5
6
7
8
9-10
11-13
13
14
14-15
16-17
18
19
FOOD SECURITY
Food security is one of the most fundamental needs of security. Food security focuses on the
availability of the food and its adequate use to access the nutritious & balanced diet.
The other side of coin is food insecurity which is something broader in scope. Food insecurity
includes hunger, malnutrition. Poverty and health are also inter-related with food security.
People with poor health are not productive and unemployed people are not able to purchase
food. Therefore food, poverty, health are tied with single thread and forms nexus of foodnutrition-livelihood.
With the passage of time measuring food security is becoming quite challenging, because of
continuous growth in population. A study shows that global population has doubled to 7.2
billion since 1950, but the number of hungry people are same, which means there is decline
in percentage terms to a number of hunger people. At present 1/8 percentage of people are
hungry as when compared to 1/3 in 1950. This is because latest updated technology being
used in production, increase in foreign trade among countries.
Our country calculates undernourishment on the basis of minimum daily intake of total
calories by men, women, children. Majority of hungry people resides in labour intensive food
production. They need additional calorie for proper growth and development therefore,
continuous efforts are made by experts to calculate more reliable and effective data by
exploring new information and latest technology. Country like India have majority population
which resides in rural areas and they are peasants, poor class, or labour workforce. These
people might not have food because of low productivity ,low income ,which restricts them
from purchasing food, sometimes the food produced, harvested are spoiled by pest or by
change in climate. Change in climate includes flood, draught rise in temperature. Climate
change is worst in sub-saharan, Africa, South Asian countries and therefore there is insecurity
of food. According to, world bank report there will be decrease of 15 to 18% in crop yield in
coming years in these regions.
WHO defines three crucial facets of Food Security :
Availability of food
Access to food
Consumption of food.
According to Commission on Agricultural costs and Prices (CACP) bill is the biggest ever
experiment in the world for distributing highly subsidized food by any government through a
right based approach. The Act further says that functioning of the bill will be by PDS , to
cover the two-third population i.e. about 820 million people. As per the Act Lok Sabha
Standing Committee on Food estimated that total requirement of foodgrain in order to
achieve the target will be approximately 61.55 million (metric) tonne in 2012-13. According
to, CACAP total requirement of food in May 2013 on an average through PDS is calculated
as 2.3 mt for wheat (27.6 metric tonne annually) and 2.8 metric tonne for rice (33.6 mt
anually). CACP estimated rice and wheat required is about 61.2 million metric tonne.
Standing Committee estimated value of additional food subsidies during 2012-13 works out
to be Rs. 2409 crore, or about $446 million at the current exchange rate for a total
expenditure of 1.22 trillion rupees. CACP reported current economic cost of FCI for
acquiring, storing, distributing foodgrains is about 40% more than the procurement price. The
expected expenditure of 1,20,000 crore for NFSB is merely a drop in an ocean.
There is a requirement of additional expenditure for scaling of operations, enhancement of
production, investments for storage, movements, processing and market infrastructure etc.
For implementation of bill there is requirement of expenditure of about 1,25,000 to 1,50,000
crore. Minister of Consumer Affairs, Food and Public Distribution K.V. Thomas in an
interview stated that it is not just the responsibility of Central government but State
government is also equally responsible. India will be known in the world for eradication of
hunger, malnutrition and poverty. Bill will focus on providing food security to 75% of rural
population fulfilling nutritional needs of children, pregnant and lactating women. The
government estimated cost on food security will come nearly 11.10% of total receipts.
CACPs estimated cost of food security comes at 21.5% of total receipt. Economists Bhalls
estimated cost of food security comes at around 28% of total receipt, once the cost of food
security is calculated as percentage of total receipt of government from current financial year
we can see how huge the cost of food security is actually.CACP warned that enactmented of
bill will create severe imbalance in production of oilseeds and pulses and will create demand
pressures which will inevitably spillover the market prices foodgrains. The higher food
subsidy will raise fiscal deficit of government. The commission further said that bill would
restrict private initiative in agriculture, reduce competition in market place due to government
domination of grain market, shift money from investments in agricultures to subsidies and
continue focus on cereals production when shifts in consumer demand patterns indicate a
need to focus more on protein, fruits & vegetables.
National Food Security Act has put the Public Distribution System at the core of the national
mission to feed the hungry. The value of PDS is demonstrated well in many states.
Chhatisgarh, and Tamil Nadu being leading examples have improved the functioning of the
PDS beyond all recognition. In Chhattisgarh the system has turned out to be very successful
affair because of the importance and attention paid by state government to it. GPS trackers
were installed in ration shop trucks to keep tabs on them and SMSs to individual ration shop
consumers on the grain being dispatched with details of when it will arrive at shops, & so on.
But functioning of PDS in many states are leaky. There are many adequacies of PDS they
are:1)
2)
3)
4)
Thus PDS mechanism suffers from wastages, leakages, diversion, underutilisation, exclusion
errors. Steps are required to make it corruption free, efficient and accountable through
provision of better infrastructure, fixing accountability on key functionaries and introducing
systematic reforms to ensure financial and institutional issues with regard to effective
implementation of PDS.
PDS can be revamped and redesigned by:1) Opening new outlets with providing services in morning and evening hours so that
people can fetched grains.
2) Computerization of records
3) Stringent enforcement and establishment of grievances redressal mechanism
4) Decentralization procurement and distribution system
5) Making availability of locally demanded foodgrains
6) Inclusion of millets and other items under PDS
7) Allowances in lieu of loss of wage
A well-functioning PDS liberates people from constants fear that might be difficult to make
ends meet if crops fails, or someone falls ill, or if there is no work.
REQUIRED
FOR
The quantum of food subsidy in Indias GDP has been less than 1%, which clearly needs to
be scaled up if food security has to be expanded further. This share was 0.8% in 2004-05,
which declined marginally to 0.89% in 2009-10, and dropped to 0.74% in the current budget
(2012-13 BE). Similarly, the share of food subsidy in the total budget has been flyng
somewhere around 5% since 2004-05. The present provision of food subsidy in the union
budgets is based on allocation of foodgrains to different sections of the population, i e,
Antyodaya Anna Yojana (AAY), BPL and APL. CIP of per quintal of wheat for AAY, BPL
and APL is Rs 200, Rs 415 and Rs 610, respectively. Similarly, CIP of per quintal of rice for
AAY, BPL and APL is pegged at Rs 300, Rs 565 and Rs 830 (for Grade A), respectively.
Further, the present provision of food subsidy has been made on the basis of the economic
costs (EC) of per quintal of wheat and rice, i e, Rs 1,580.6 and Rs 2,068.9, respectively. To
put in place the universal PDS for the provisioning of rice and/or wheat and millets, certain
following assumptions are taken to arrive at an estimation of food subsidy in the union
budgets.
Total number of households at present is 24 crore (approximate)
Provision of distribution of rice or wheat under PDS to all households at 35 kg per month
per household;
Provision of distribution of millets under PDS to all households at 5 kg per month per
household economic cost of wheat and rice will not increase from their present levels of Rs
1,580.6
and Rs 2,068.9 per quintal of wheat and rice, respectively; further we assume price of millets
as Rs 1,500 per quintal;
Distribution of rice and wheat is in the ratio of 2:1.Based on these above assumptions, the
total amount of cereals needed for distribution through PDS would be around 115.2 million
tonnes (i e, 67.2, 33.6 and 14.4 million tonnes, respectively for rice, wheat and millets), and
the total amount of subsidy per annum would be Rs 1,85,418 crore (at current prices). The
food subsidy bill stood at Rs 75,000 crore as per 2012-13 BE and thus an additional outlay of
Rs 1,10,418 crore would be needed. The above estimate suggests that an additional amount of
Rs 1,10,418 crore is required over of the above the existing food subsidy bill of the union
government to universalise the distribution of rice, wheat and millets.
The government estimates suggest that food security will cost Rs 1,24,723 crore per year. But
that is just one estimate but, the cost at around $25 billion. Commission for Agricultural
Costs and Prices(CACP) of the Ministry of Agriculture in a research paper puts the cost of the
food security scheme over a three year period at Rs 6,82,163 crore. During the first year the
cost to the government has been estimated at Rs 2,41,263 crore . Economist Surjit Bhalla put
the cost of the bill at Rs 3,14,000 crore or around 3% of the gross domestic product (GDP).
The trouble here is that by calculating the cost of food security in terms of percentage of
GDP, we are unable to understand the seriousness of the situation that we are getting into. In
order to properly understand the situation we need to express the cost of food security as a
percentage of the total receipts(less borrowings) of the government.
The receipts of the government for the year 2013-2014 are projected at Rs 11,22,799 crore.
The government's estimated cost of food security comes at 11.10%(Rs 1,24,723 expressed as
a % of Rs 11,22,799 crore) of the total receipts. The CACP's estimated cost of food security
comes at 21.5%(Rs 2,41,623 crore expressed as a % of Rs 11,22,799 crore) of the total
receipts. Bhalla's cost of food security comes at around 28% of the total receipts (Rs 3,14,000
crore expressed as a % of Rs 11,22,799 crore).
Once we express the cost of food security as a percentage of the total estimated receipts of
the government, during the current financial year, we see how huge the cost of food security
really is. This is something that doesn't come out when the cost of food security is expressed
as a percentage of GDP. In this case the estimated cost is in the range of 1-3% of GDP. But
the government does not have the entire GDP to spend. It can only spend what it earns.
The cost of food security is expressed as a percentage of total receipts of the government is
likely to be even higher. This is primarily because the government's collection of taxes has
been slower than expected this year.For the first three months of the financial year (i.e. the
period between April 1, 2013 and June 30, 2013) only 11.1% of the total expected revenue
receipts (the total tax and non tax revenue) for the year have been collected. When it comes to
capital receipts(which does not include government borrowings) only 3.3% of the total
expected
amount
for
the
year
have
been
collected.
What this means is that the government during the first three months of the financial year has
not been able to collect as much money as it had expected to. This means that the cost of food
security will form a higher proportion of the total government receipts than the numbers
currently tell us. And that is just one problem.
It is also worth remembering that the government estimate of the cost of food security at Rs
1,24,723 crore is very optimistic. The CACP points out that this estimate does not take into
account "additional expenditure (that) is needed for the envisaged administrative set up,
scaling up of operations, enhancement of production, investments for storage, movement,
processing and market infrastructure etc.
in their ability to access resources like high quality seeds & fertilizers. Reasons for this
differences includes cultural norms, unequal land rights and womens domestic labour.
schools through twenty locations across nine states in India need to be encouraged, scaled
and institutionalized.
9. DISPARITIES IN THE DISTRIBUTION OF PDS BENEFITS
Offtake per BPL cardholder is high in WB, Kerala, Himachal Pradesh, and Tamil Nadu as
compared to that in Bihar, Madhya Pradesh, Uttar Pradesh and Rajasthan which account for
largest amount of poverty in India.
10. FINANCIAL BURDEN
The immense financial burden of the NFSA will translate to mean rising food subsidy. From
Rs 17,494 crores in 2001-02 the food subsidy has shot up to Rs 72,823 crores in 2011-12.The
projected subsidy bill of Rs1,25,000 crores may be underestimated as it fails to account for
the large procurement, storage and distribution costs, rising minimum support price which
State has to offer to farmers as an incentive to increase production and to cover rising cost.
11. FORCE GOVERNMENT TO IMPORT
A poor harvest may force Government to import. When India enters the world market with
such huge demand the world prices will rise. This would increase our import bill and
Minimum Support Price will have to be increased to compensate for rising world prices.
This will lead to raise in the ballooning subsidy bill and inflation pressures.
argued providing Food Security was the Sovereign Right of the country and it can not be
comprised. India was supported by the G-33 countries including China. As a result a
consensus emerged on this issue in the form of Peace Clause was signed which means no
dispute can be raised or complaint can be filled before WTO for four years against any
countries for adopting trade distorting measures on account of food security of WTO limits of
10%.
Corporate governance
Restrictions on lawyers of subsidiaries
A sea change in auditing profession : appointment of auditors including mandatory
firm rotation.
Eligibility , qualification and disqualification of auditors, limits on the number of
audits.
Clauses on independent directors and the manner of their selection
Power to comprise or make arrangements with creditors and members
Merger and amalgamation of companies
Valuation of register valuers
ANALYSIS
Poverty Ratio and Poverty Line
The root cause for providing food subsidy through NFSA is poverty prevailing in country. In
order to identify the poor class living in the society, poverty line is the benchmark. According
to the report of Tendulkar committee the national poverty line for rural areas for the year
2011-12 is estimated to be Rs.816 per capita per month and Rs.1,000/- per capita per month
in urban areas. Therfore, for a family of five, all India Poverty Line in terms of consumption
expenditure would amount to about Rs.4,080/- per month in rural areas and Rs.5,000/- per
month in urban areas.
Per Capita Poverty Line (Rs)
Per Capita Poverty Line
Per Month
Individual
Family of 5 person
Rural
816
4080
Urban
1,000
5,000
Rural
27.20
136
Urban
33.33
166.67
Based on the poverty line, Government of India declares the poverty ratio.
Poverty Ratio & Number of People
Year
1993-94
Poverty Ratio %
Rural Urban Total
50.10 31.80
45.30
2004-05
2011-12
41.80 25.70
25.70 13.70
37.20
21.90
0
326.30 80.80
216.50 52.80
407.10
269.30
Poverty ratio in the year 2011-12 was 21.9 percentages and number of poor according to this
ratio comes to 269.3 million. Here, we can see that the numbers of poor in the year 1993-94
were 403.70 million which were reduced to 269.30 million by the year 2011-12, & this the
reduction of more than 33%. And as a result the poverty ratio was also reduced by more than
50% during 1993-94 to 2011-12.
Poverty and Ration Card
As per the latest available data of Ration cards, 45.89% who are either poor or poorest of
poor and 54.11% are from Above Poverty Line category.
BPL
870.85
AAY
247.633
APL
1318.78
Total
2437.26
Now as per the above table total numbers of ration cards issued by the year 2013 were
2437.26 Lacks. So, if number of ration cards are multiplied with average household size of 5,
then the number of people benefited from the government welfare schemes through ration
cards will be 121.86 Crore . This shows that still total number of people who are not having
the ration cards are around 3 Crore.
As per planning commission 22% Indian population is poor, whereas ration card data states
that there are almost 46% who are coming either in BPL category or in AAY category. This
clearly indicates that either the poverty line is not properly defined or the ration card holders
are taking undue advantage of the scheme. This clearly reveals that around 24% (46%-22%)
of the beneficiaries are doubtful. This shows that amount of food subsidy is going in wrong
pockets which is the result of corruption or leakage in the public distribution system.
Fertilisers
2012-13
65974.1
Food
85000
90000
124747
Petroleum
96879.87
65000
65000
Interest
7415.88
8061.34
8061.34
Others
2384.58
2050.68
2050.68
Total Subsidies
257654.43
231083.52
265830.52
Findings
Government will cover 67% of population under this act but the poverty ratio in India
is 26% as per international poverty line and 22% as per national poverty line,
therefore unnecessary coverage of 41% of the population will increase the cost of
subsidy.
.
The State Government will prepare guidelines and identify priority households. This
means that the Central Government does not have any exact data of actual
beneficiaries of NFSA, yet it claims to cover two third of the population.
Government has proposed to implement this act through PDS. As per the finding there
are 3crore people who do not have ration cards but Government has not mentioned
any clear guidelines for including these people under NFSA
If the government would have resolved the issue of leakage in PDS, then Rs. 30000
crore could have been saved .
The government has proposed to implement cash transfer facility in case of nonsupply of food grains but only 10% of the poor avail banking facility in India.
Providing banking facility to 90% of the poor is a big challenge for the government.
Computerization of fair price shops and door step delivery are also among the
proposed reforms by government. But looking to the current scenario it seems a
challenging task.
CONCLUSION
The success of Act depends on efficient grievance redressal, tackling corruption and
stakeholders active involvement. Subsidised food will reduce the food spending of the poor
and place some surplus money in their hands. This surplus money which would then be spent
in India will stimulate domestic consumer demand. Unless the Act is effectively
implemented, hunger and poverty will continue to affect our country.
The Act has potential to bring rich dividends especially in rural areas as it will increase their
productivity, labour efficiency, reduced expenditure on health and reduced migration to cities.
India with population of more than 1.2 billion if wants to become a global super power then
she has to eliminate hunger and malnutrition which is affecting more than one third of the
population.
An African quote is apt to mention in this context.
Anybodys
Hunger is Everybodys Shame.
BIBLIOGRAPHY
Books
1. Introduction to Economics S.K. Aggarwal
2. Indian Economy- Singh
Websites
1.
2.
3.
4.
www.wikipedia.com/foodsecurity
www.thehindu.com
www.forbes.com/indias-food-security-bill
indiacode.nic.in