MNCAR Annual Market Report 2010
MNCAR Annual Market Report 2010
MNCAR Annual Market Report 2010
2010
Annual Market Report
www.mncar.org
2010 MNCAR
Annual Market Report
“We’re happy to make our MNCAR Annual Market Report available for the fourth
consecutive year. Data was provided by the MNCAR Exchange and reviewed for
accuracy by the industry experts listed below. We hope it provides you with another tool
to better serve your clients and stay informed on the state of the market.”
Special thanks to the following MNCAR Market Experts for volunteering to review market data:
OFFICE
Bryan Beltrand Larissa Champeau Anna Coskran Matt Delisle Brian Helmken John McCarthy Tom Stella
Welsh Companies NorthMarq Nelson, Tietz, Welsh Companies CB Richard Ellis NorthMarq NorthMarq
& Hoye
INDUSTRIAL
RETAIL
Jen Helm Tim Igo Andy McConville Skip Melin Tricia Pitchford Suzie Rettinger
NorthMarq Suntide CB Richard Ellis Cushman & NorthMarq CBC Griffin
Commercial Wakefield
Annual Office Market Report
VACANCY RATES AND ABSORPTION BY SUBMARKET
0 25
(62,367)
(100,000) 24.3
22.4 20.3
20
(202,470) 16.2
(200,000) 16.9 (206,481) (241,304)
Square Feet
% Vacant
(275,952) 15
(300,000) 15.9
10
(400,000)
(448,890)
5
(500,000)
(600,000) 0
Mpls CBD SE SW SP CBD SP W & NW
Suburban
Sale Listings
BUILDING SIZE 0-10,000 SF 10-25,000 SF 25-50,000 SF 50-100,000 SF 100,000+ SF
2008 2009 2008 2009 2008 2009 2008 2009 2008 2009
Minneapolis CBD 2 2 7 9 5 6 0 1 3 4
Southeast 37 36 28 38 5 7 4 4 0 1
Southwest 33 38 16 21 17 20 5 2 1 0
St. Paul CBD 3 4 3 3 0 0 4 2 1 0
St. Paul Suburban 61 68 36 47 13 6 1 4 1 2
West and Northwest 83 92 50 42 15 13 6 9 3 2
TOTALS 219 240 140 160 55 52 20 22 9 9
Lease Listings
CONTIGUOUS SF 0-10,000 SF 10-25,000 SF 25-50,000 SF 50-100,000 SF 100,000+ SF
2008 2009 2008 2009 2008 2009 2008 2009 2008 2009
Minneapolis CBD 182 176 80 80 30 28 14 17 5 8
Southeast 215 224 51 57 27 28 14 13 7 6
Southwest 304 326 87 102 44 43 20 21 9 8
St. Paul CBD 55 55 18 20 10 10 5 6 3 5
St. Paul Suburban 296 290 77 76 29 25 18 17 9 8
West and Northwest 378 374 79 86 40 34 19 24 12 12
TOTALS 1430 1445 392 421 180 168 90 98 45 47
NOTABLE DEVELOPMENTS
30.0
31.3
25.0
25.9
25.7
24.5
23.6
23.4
% Vacant
20.0
21.3
17.9
17.2
16.4
16.4
15.0
15.7
14.8
14.1
13.3
13.2
12.0
10.0
11.6
5.0
0.0
Mpls CBD SE SW SP CBD SP W & NW
Suburban
20
15 16.00 15.60
Rental Rate ($)
12.72 12.35
12.07 11.72
10
0
Class A Class B Class C
2008 2009
Annual Office Market Report
Avg Quoted
Total Universe SF Vacant SF % Vacant Net Absorption SF Rate ($) Avg Op Exp/SF Avg Taxes/SF
MARKET 2009 2008 2009 2008 2009 2008 2009 2008 2009 2008 2009 2008 2009
Mpls CBD
Class A 13,698,284 1,382,379 1,827,433 10.8 13.3 128,704 (190,733) 16.68 15.27 7.46 7.75 4.68 5.15
Class B 8,014,529 1,276,237 1,890,551 16.8 23.6 166,732 (170,726) 13.73 11.22 7.88 7.74 2.50 2.90
Class C 7,105,431 1,313,522 1,163,506 18.4 16.4 (43,955) 158,989 12.28 11.45 6.22 6.51 1.87 2.29
Totals 28,818,244 3,972,138 4,881,490 14.4 16.9 251,481 (202,470) 13.51 12.05 7.15 7.23 2.78 3.16
Southeast
Class A 2,460,689 376,060 770,556 15.5 31.3 61,126 (394,496) 14.76 14.40 6.29 6.84 3.20 3.74
Class B 2,641,895 471,977 618,507 18.1 23.4 (114,671) (146,530) 12.38 16.21 5.83 5.50 2.68 3.07
Class C 1,232,370 239,560 147,424 19.4 12.0 (50,061) 92,136 11.04 10.71 4.98 5.59 1.92 2.47
Totals 6,334,954 1,087,597 1,536,487 17.3 24.3 (103,606) (448,890) 12.77 14.33 5.82 5.93 2.72 3.15
Southwest
Class A 8,387,220 1,340,367 2,156,519 17.7 25.7 38,139 (46,862) 16.00 16.10 7.57 7.53 4.28 4.49
Class B 5,481,703 752,287 899,579 13.8 16.4 (51,444) (117,666) 12.54 11.91 7.32 7.48 2.88 3.22
Class C 1,262,178 309,627 327,000 25.9 25.9 10,911 (41,953) 10.98 10.70 6.56 6.55 2.46 2.50
Totals 15,131,101 2,402,281 3,383,098 16.9 22.4 (2,394) (206,481) 13.34 13.19 7.26 7.36 3.33 3.64
TOTAL MARKET
Class A 33,146,391 3,902,271 5,864,379 12.5 17.7 325,311 (927,567) 16.00 15.60 7.21 7.31 4.07 4.37
Class B 29,686,007 5,067,002 6,184,389 17.6 20.8 (47,403) (767,016) 12.72 12.35 6.87 6.89 2.94 3.12
Class C 13,284,900 2,464,615 2,219,889 18.2 16.7 (259,882) 257,119 12.07 11.72 6.11 6.34 2.15 2.37
TOTALS 76,117,298 11,433,888 14,268,657 15.5 18.7 18,026 (1,437,464) 13.41 13.04 6.80 6.89 3.13 3.36
Annual Office Market Report
GROUND RULES
• This report covers only pure, multi-tenant office buildings in excess of 20,000 square feet. It therefore does not include
medical office buildings, or buildings containing solely government offices.
• Properties that were designed to be multi-tenant are included in this report even if they have been leased entirely to
one tenant. Single tenant leased properties that were developed on a build-to-suit basis, and that would not function
well as multi-tenant properties, are not included in this report. Owner occupied properties are also not included in this
report.
• Rental rates are based on quoted net rates. Actual effective rates will vary.
• Sale listing counts include individual condo units as single listings. For instance, a 50,000 square foot building divided into
five 10,000 square foot condos, each with a separate For Sale listing, would contribute 5 listings to our listing count totals.
DEFINITIONS
• Existing Projects: Building construction completed prior to December 31st, 2009.
• Vacant space: Space that is unoccupied and not under lease.
• Absorption: The positive or negative difference in the amount of space occupied between December 31st, 2008 and
December 31st, 2009.
• Space that is physically occupied by a tenant prior to December 31st, 2009, but marketed for lease is considered
occupied space.
• Sublease space, either physically occupied or vacant, is considered occupied space in the universe until the lease
runs out.
• Space occupied by a tenant on a month-to-month lease that is also marketed for lease to a new, long-term tenant is
considered occupied space.
• The report does not track “shadow” space, or buildings that are leased by tenants who are not using the space but not
trying to sublease it.
• Contiguous space: Having a common boundary; space that is directly adjacent to another space or spaces.
• Average quoted rates were based on single, double, and triple net rates.
Annual Industrial Market Report
VACANCY RATES AND ABSORPTION BY SUBMARKET
0 20
(75,666) 18.1
(200,000) 15.2
(378,390) 15
(400,000) 12.4
11.4
Square Feet
11.3
% Vacant
(516,030)
(600,000) 10
(800,000) (831,513)
5
(1,000,000) (1,102,118)
(1,200,000) 0
East Northeast Northwest Southeast Southwest
Sale Listings
BUILDING SIZE 0-25,000 SF 25-50,000 SF 50-100,000 SF 100-200,000 SF 200,000+ SF
2008 2009 2008 2009 2008 2009 2008 2009 2008 2009
East 30 31 14 14 9 8 1 0 1 1
Northeast 80 109 25 33 17 20 8 7 3 2
Northwest 66 92 37 53 24 27 5 11 1 1
Southeast 18 30 18 26 6 9 7 10 4 5
Southwest 28 38 17 20 13 18 6 8 4 3
TOTALS 222 300 111 146 69 82 27 36 13 12
Lease Listings
CONTIGUOUS SF 0-25,000 SF 25-50,000 SF 50-100,000 SF 100-200,000 SF 200,000+ SF
2008 2009 2008 2009 2008 2009 2008 2009 2008 2009
East 72 77 17 24 13 15 5 8 1 1
Northeast 242 294 60 75 24 33 12 14 4 3
Northwest 218 280 57 103 33 42 12 21 3 5
Southeast 170 190 43 60 29 29 13 12 5 5
Southwest 229 250 59 82 31 47 8 9 5 3
TOTALS 931 1091 236 344 130 166 50 64 18 17
NOTABLE DEVELOPMENTS
25.0
25.7
20.0
% Vacant
17.9
16.4
15.0
15.7
13.7
12.9
12.7
12.5
12.3
11.5
10.0
11.2
11.8
11.1
10.3
5.0 7.8
0.0
East Northeast Northwest Southeast Southwest
9.62 9.81
8.79 8.39
8
7.86
7.75
Rental Rate ($)
5.76
5.41 5.14
4.70 4.77
4 4.34
Warehouse
Warehouse
Warehouse
Warehouse
Warehouse
Warehouse
2
Office
Office
Office
Office
Office
Office
0
Bulk Warehouse Office Showroom Office Warehouse
2008 2009
Annual Industrial Market Report
East
Bulk Warehouse 3,121,526 358,514 367,306 11.2 11.8 (91,958) (8,792) 4.67 6.74 4.28 5.95 1.09 0.68 1.19 1.34
Office Showroom 1,846,672 328,771 226,873 17.8 12.3 12,020 101,898 6.56 10.34 7.05 9.86 2.48 2.41 1.64 1.67
Office Warehouse 2,803,575 118,714 287,486 4.2 10.3 20,246 (168,772) 5.63 8.92 4.83 6.89 1.94 1.53 1.44 1.56
Totals 7,771,773 805,999 881,665 10.3 11.3 (59,692) (75,666) 5.88 9.16 5.70 8.07 2.03 1.73 1.50 1.55
Northeast
Bulk Warehouse 8,620,492 591,342 1,115,263 6.6 12.9 122,916 (523,921) 5.12 8.00 4.35 7.53 1.50 1.08 1.42 1.44
Office Showroom 4,127,723 620,848 462,178 15.0 11.2 (253,628) 158,670 5.45 9.36 5.32 9.03 1.83 1.51 2.09 2.22
Office Warehouse 20,694,388 1,882,567 2,585,179 9.1 12.5 143,937 (736,867) 5.19 8.19 4.72 8.07 1.31 2.29 1.39 1.47
Totals 33,442,603 3,094,757 4,162,620 9.2 12.4 13,225 (1,102,118) 5.25 8.48 4.81 8.23 1.48 1.98 1.58 1.63
Northwest
Bulk Warehouse 10,752,984 795,264 1,234,665 7.5 11.5 167,090 (292,944) 4.95 8.80 4.53 8.37 1.29 1.26 1.52 1.55
Office Showroom 4,848,050 396,834 377,708 7.9 7.8 (108,477) (114,909) 6.15 9.85 5.51 12.45 1.97 11.36 2.27 2.45
Office Warehouse 13,802,464 1,265,470 1,748,599 9.5 12.7 (111,139) (423,660) 4.84 9.02 4.47 8.58 1.72 1.75 1.63 1.83
Totals 29,403,498 2,457,568 3,360,972 8.5 11.4 (52,526) (831,513) 5.20 9.19 4.74 9.47 1.70 4.01 1.80 1.93
Southeast
Bulk Warehouse 7,660,828 1,174,269 1,967,450 17.1 25.7 (278,545) (303,713) 4.18 7.32 4.13 7.79 1.00 4.42 1.19 1.18
Office Showroom 4,090,694 616,815 643,426 15.3 15.7 26,603 52,284 5.70 9.37 4.90 8.54 2.14 2.18 1.83 2.00
Office Warehouse 7,014,744 635,900 780,534 9.3 11.1 (109,317) (126,961) 4.92 8.73 4.65 7.85 1.54 3.48 1.62 1.62
Totals 18,766,266 2,426,984 3,391,410 13.7 18.1 (361,259) (378,390) 5.20 8.85 4.63 8.11 1.78 3.18 1.65 1.66
Southwest
Bulk Warehouse 4,456,284 384,681 799,247 10.0 17.9 30,115 (313,148) 4.15 6.59 4.23 7.12 1.15 1.37 1.20 1.02
Office Showroom 6,408,838 899,934 1,048,202 14.2 16.4 (265,785) (107,063) 5.43 9.62 5.43 9.45 2.24 2.24 2.10 2.03
Office Warehouse 12,840,574 1,534,372 1,758,955 12.0 13.7 (247,303) (95,819) 5.40 9.23 5.20 9.08 1.96 1.74 1.69 1.77
Totals 23,705,696 2,818,987 3,606,404 12.3 15.2 (482,973) (516,030) 5.32 9.17 5.18 9.00 2.00 1.88 1.80 1.79
TOTAL MARKET
Bulk Warehouse 34,612,114 3,304,070 5,483,931 9.9 15.8 (50,382) (1,442,518) 4.70 7.86 4.34 7.75 1.23 2.03 1.36 1.35
Office Showroom 21,321,977 2,863,202 2,758,387 13.4 12.9 (589,267) 90,880 5.76 9.62 5.41 9.81 2.09 4.04 2.03 2.14
Office Warehouse 57,155,745 5,437,023 7,160,753 9.6 12.5 (303,576) (1,552,079) 5.14 8.79 4.77 8.39 1.64 2.18 1.56 1.66
TOTALS 113,089,836 11,604,295 15,403,071 10.4 13.6 (943,225) (2,903,717) 5.29 8.95 4.89 8.71 1.74 2.72 1.70 1.75
Annual Industrial Market Report
GROUND RULES
• Multi-tenant office warehouse, office showroom, and bulk warehouse buildings in excess of 25,000 square feet. Single-
tenant leased properties that were developed on a build-to-suit basis, and that would not function well as multi-tenant
properties, are not included in this report. Owner occupied properties are also not included.
• Rental rates are based on quoted net rates exclusive of transaction costs. Actual effective rates will vary.
DEFINITIONS
• Existing Projects: Building construction completed prior to December 31st, 2009.
• Vacant space: Space that is unoccupied and not under lease.
• Absorption: The positive or negative difference in the amount of space occupied between December 31st, 2008 and
December 31st, 2009.
• Space that is physically occupied by a tenant prior to December 31st, 2009, but marketed for lease is considered
occupied space.
• Sublease space, either physically occupied or vacant, is considered occupied space in the universe until the lease
runs out.
• Space occupied by a tenant on a month-to-month lease that is also marketed for lease to a new, long-term tenant is
considered occupied space.
• The report does not track “shadow” space, or buildings that are leased by tenants who are not using the space but not
trying to sublease it.
• Contiguous space: Having a common boundary; space that is directly adjacent to another space or spaces.
• Average quoted rates were based on single, double, or triple net rates.
1,800,000 30
1,600,000
1,411,148 25
Square Feet
% Vacant
1,400,000 1,298,997
1,200,000 20
1,000,000
15
800,000 10.4
8.2 10
600,000 498,798 6.0
400,000
5
200,000
0 0
CBDs Community Neighborhood Regional
Sale Listings
CENTER TYPE Neighborhood Centers Community Centers Regional Centers Downtown Retail
2008 2009 2008 2009 2008 2009 2008 2009
36 49 12 20 2 3 0 7
Lease Listings
CONTIGUOUS SF 0-10,000 SF 10-25,000 SF 25-50,000 SF 50-100,000 SF 100,000+ SF
2008 2009 2008 2009 2008 2009 2008 2009 2008 2009
Neighborhood Centers 288 308 56 57 17 15 3 0 1 0
Community Centers 69 68 32 23 15 10 8 6 2 2
Regional Centers 15 17 6 7 3 5 0 0 0 0
Downtown Centers 8 45 3 14 0 4 0 1 0 1
These counts include listed properties on the MNCAR Exchange within the seven-county area and uses the Center Types
assigned to properties there. These do not match the center types used for generating vacancy and rate statistics in all cases.
NOTABLE DEVELOPMENTS
10.0 10.26
5.0
4.75
3.37
3.33
0.0
CBDs Community Neighborhood Regional
24.95
Rental Rate ($)
20 21.00
18.33
16.70
10
0
CBDs Community Neighborhood Regional
Annual Retail Market Report
Avg Quoted
Total Universe SF Vacant SF % Vacant Rate ($) Avg Op Exp/SF Avg Taxes/SF
MARKET 2008 2009 2008 2009 2008 2009 2008 2009 2008 2009 2008 2009
CBDs 1,291,746 1,357,746 252,894 498,798 19.6 36.7 23.07 21.00 10.83 10.26 3.74 4.23
Community 18,991,405 17,240,145 1,140,353 1,411,148 6.0 8.2 19.08 18.33 3.14 3.37 4.09 4.24
Neighborhood 21,566,616 22,352,883 1,950,038 2,324,637 9.0 10.4 16.41 16.70 3.34 3.33 3.46 3.73
Regional 20,205,646 21,681,191 1,070,421 1,298,997 5.3 6.0 36.50 24.95 7.00 4.75 7.35 5.09
TOTAL MARKET 62,485,413 62,631,965 4,413,706 5,533,580 7.1 8.8 18.92 17.44 3.82 3.70 3.92 3.91
These figures do not take sublease and “shadow” space into account.
Annual Retail Market Report
GROUND RULES
• Multi-tenant retail properties in the 7-county metro area in excess of 30,000 square feet.
• Rental rates are based on quoted net rates exclusive of transaction costs. Actual effective rates will vary.
DEFINITIONS
• Existing Projects: Building construction completed prior to December 31st, 2009.
• Vacant space: Space that is unoccupied and not under lease.
• Absorption: The positive or negative difference in the amount of space occupied between December 31st, 2009 and
December 31st, 2009.
• Space that is physically occupied by a tenant prior to December 31st, 2009, but marketed for lease is considered
occupied space.
• Sublease space, either physically occupied or vacant, is considered occupied space in the universe until the lease
runs out.
• Space occupied by a tenant on a month-to-month lease that is also marketed for lease to a new, long-term tenant is
considered occupied space.
• The report does not track “shadow” space, or buildings that are leased by tenants who are not using the space but not
trying to sublease it.
• Contiguous space: Having a common boundary; space that is directly adjacent to another space or spaces.
• Average quoted rates were based on single, double, or triple net rates.
IMMEDIATE
PAST PRESIDENT Tony DelDotto NorthMarq
IMMEDIATE
PAST PRESIDENT Jeff LaFavre Integrust Advisory Group