Adjusted Feasibility Study of Kimcs Abuja
Adjusted Feasibility Study of Kimcs Abuja
Adjusted Feasibility Study of Kimcs Abuja
https://www.homeworkping.com/
PRESENTS
TO
PROSPECTIVE INVESTORS AND MEMBERS
Nigeria.
Telephone: +2347098814236, +2347025465604,
CONTENT
01.
EXECUTIVE
SUMMARY
3
02.
INTRODUCTION
9
02.01 Project Background
02.02 Objective of Study
02.03 Methodology
03.
MARKET
ANALYSIS
11
03.01 Overview
03.02 Product Market
03.03 Major Consumers
03.04 Demand Level
03.05 Projected Demand
03.06 Major Suppliers
03.07 Level of Supply
03.08 Projected Supply
03.09 Competition
03.10 Proposed Marketing Strategy
04. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
20
29
32
PROJECTION
37
FINANCIAL
COMMERCIAL
39
PROJECTIONS
AND
APPRAISAL
OF
(KIMCS)
was
VIABILITY
41
CHAPTER ONE
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Kingdom
Multi-purpose
Cooperative
Society
The
cooperative
trains,
manage
and
administer
Total financial advisory services for the class that cannot afford
such
KIMCS 2010
Our main aim is to reverse the ugly stories and sights associated with
cooperative societies and other SMEs establishment administration
and management in both public and private sectors in Nigeria.
We
KIMCS 2010
KIMCS operation coverage will include Lagos, Abuja and the six geopolitical zones in the country, with our zonal offices located in each of
the zones to coordinate the cooperative society activities of the states
and local governments in the zones. As part of our branch network
development, the cooperative will establish unit offices in any state of
the federation where it has secured large number of contributors to
the scheme.
When KIMCS is in full operation, there will be unit offices in all the
states of the federation with representative offices in some big local
government areas to harmonise our service delivery and satisfaction
of members.
The zonal and unit offices will be connected to the head office via
satellite communication to enhance our on-line real-time service
delivery and control.
Our operations would be Information Technology (IT) driven to enable
our contributors and prospective members have access to view the
operational progress of the cooperative society and also print our
membership forms from our web site.
KIMCSs investment philosophy would be anchored mainly on
security of the contributions, grants and investment incomes without
compromising fair returns on investments to our contributors and
members, since we are aware that the object is not profit making but
development of human capital and poverty alleviation.
In order to achieve this business objective, KIMCS intends to employ
a crop of young experienced people who would be given first class
training
and
publicity
tools,
complemented
by
challenging
Based on the financial projections for the first five years of operation,
KIMCS is expected to break-even in the third quarter of the first year.
The original promoter of KIMCS, Mr. Moses Ajayi , who is the General
Coordinator & Chief Executive Officer, had his Bachelor of Arts in
Business Administration degree in 1980, from Andrews University,
Berrien Springs, Michigan, USA. He became an Associate of both the
Chartered Insurance Institute (ACII) London and Insurance Institute
of Nigeria (ACIIN) in 1991.
Mr. Ajayis work experience has seen him through Insurance
Brokerage,
Insurance
Agency,
Underwriting,
Management
and
demand not met by both the Government and private companies and
the ever increasing population and the demand for protein, the
poultry farming business development necessitates a paradigm shift,
if we must only meet the high demand for it, but also make it a
commodity for both the rich and poor.
The present global economic meltdown has no doubt affected the rate
of Agriculture development in the country owing to the following
factors:
Government apathy
Monitoring Problem
KIMCS 2010
KIMCS 2010
upgrade
all
vehicle
depots
and
technological
equipments
To implement contracts
To
take
advantage
of
our
agricultural
sector
for
the
CHAPTER TWO
INTRODUCTION
Project Background
The livestock sub-sector is an important component of the Nigerian
Agricultural Economy. Its importance derives from the fact that it is
KIMCS 2010
10
For example,
199
199
199
199
199
200
200
200
Product
Poultry
4
63
5
73
6
74
7
76
4
8
77
9
82
0
88
1
95
487
2
107
514
Eggs
Goat meat
Lamb/Mutton
Beef
Pork
377
80
85
183
25
399
88
94
192
31
422
92
96
197
39
35
95
101
200
43
436
96
102
202
45
9
450
101
107
208
47
100
465
107
113
215
50
101
114
117
228
55
103
129
126
239
62
104
Milk
951 961 972 989 91
0
2
8
6
Source: CBN Annual Report and Statement of Accounts (19982000)
However, it is noteworthy that the livestock sector has not provided
sufficient volumes and the capacity to meet the demand of teeming
Nigerians for protein. The annual growth rate has been low for most
of the products, particularly for poultry and eggs sub-group, whereas,
the sub-group, if properly managed, could impact greatly on the
income and quality of life of the citizenry.
KIMCS 2010
3.
4.
This feasibility report will, thus provide the necessary guide, to not
only the project promoters in evaluating and carrying out their
KIMCS 2010
12
to enable them
CHAPTER THREE
MARKET ANALYSIS
Overview
Nigeria,
with
population
of
about
130
million
is
grossly
13
pigeon, guinea and gamebirds. They are easy to produce, and have a
high meat to carcass ratio. Hence, they are excellent products for
meeting the protein needs of the populace.
Chicken constitutes about 90% of the poultry population in Nigeria.
Consequently, poultry farming is generically used to refer to chicken
farming in the country.
Poultry Products
The main products of the proposed project include eggs, day-old
chicks and poultry meat, which will be generated from, culled birds
(i.e. layers and breeders), and broilers. Poultry by-products such as
poultry droppings, poultry offal and hatchery wastes will also provide
additional income to the project.
(b)
Main Products
Day-Old Chicks
Farm Eggs
Poultry Meat
-
Broilers
By-products
KIMCS 2010
14
Poultry droppings
PROPOSED CAPACITY
5000 Birds per production cycle are the minimum economic size to
commence a poultry farm, as the operational and fixed costs are
justifiable.
KIMCS 2010
15
3,000 - 6,000
Birds
Broilers, 30%
Layers, 70%
(b)
Hatchery Section
Layers, 40%
Broilers, 60%
16
Egg, in its own case, has a wide variety of utilisation. Thus, it is used
in the preparation of products such as chicken burger, scotch
eggs,salad,
and
egg
soup
among
others.
Apart
from
home
Such
Nigerias
17
2.
3.
Cee-Jay Farms
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.
11.
12.
Zartech Limited
13.
LEVEL OF SUPPLY
In the course of our survey, we observed that production figures for
poultry are not properly maintained by government agencies that are
charged with the responsibility. Hence, we came across varieties of
production figures from different sources. However, we are able to
come out with an estimated supply level by conducting a mini survey,
and aligning the results with data from reliable sources such as the
Federal Office of Statistics (FOS), Central Bank of Nigerian (CBN) and
Food and Agriculture Organisation (FAO)
KIMCS 2010
18
200
200
200
200
2008
Chicke
3
50
4
52.5
5
56.1
6
57.8
7
60.7
63..8
n
Eggs
60
63
3
66.1
8
69.4
8
72.9
1
76.5
Day-
60
63
5
66.1
6
69.4
3
72.9
8
76.5
old
Chicks
chickens per annum which include the ones consumed during the
major festive periods such as Christmas, New Year and Easter for
Christian; Idel Malud, Idel Kabir for Muslims and during the birthday
celebration of members of the household or during any special
KIMCS 2010
19
2005
2006
2007
2006
500
510
520.2
530.60
541.5
COMPETITION
Competition is not so keen in Nigerias poultry markets. The
reasons for this are obvious:
1.
2.
3.
KIMCS 2010
20
21
Butchers
Restaurants
Boarding hotels
Hawkers
Individual consumers,
Hotels
Wholesalers
Franchise stores
Exporters (Occasionally)
KIMCS 2010
Grade 1
Grade 2
Under grade
22
TO
MAJOR
HOTELS,
RESTAURANTS
AND
CATERING OUTLETS
There are many tourist initiatives and developments in the cities that
need to be catered for. Unfortunately, at the moment, they are under
serviced and still depend on the traditional distribution channels. The
proposed farm will aim at meeting the needs of the outlets, initially in
Lagos, and subsequently other parts of the country.
2. SUPPLY TO HAWKERS
Live chickens or egg will be sold registered to hawkers on a regular
basis. As most retailers have transport problems, the farm could
entice them by delivering the chickens or eggs at their outlets
CONTRACTING
The farm may enter into a contract with medium or large-scale broiler
users to supply stipulated number of chickens or eggs at specified
periods. This will, hopefully, provide a steady market for the farm
SUPPLY TO TOWNSHIP COLD STORAGE DISTRIBUTORS
Some cold storage outlets have positioned themselves very well in the
town to sell frozen food and meat products. The farm will endeavor to
supply these distribution centers.
CHAPTER FOUR
KIMCS 2010
23
4.1
Hatchery Unit,
Fertile Eggs
Fumigations of Eggs
Day-Old Chicks
(DOC)
Hatchers
Incubator
Setter
Incubator
Candling
Room
KIMCS 2010
24
are
some
essential
requirements
for
growing
broilers
Adequate housing
Feeding equipment
Miscellaneous equipments
KIMCS 2010
25
The basic requirements for a typical breeder grow out facility are
similar to that of broiler grow out facility.
4.14
This involves the rearing of birds to sexual maturity, and then keeping
them in lay for a year. The eggs produced are infertile and are called
table eggs.
process by raising the day old pullets, while other buy point of lay
pullets (e.g. 20 to 22 week old pullets) that are ready to begin
production.
The proposed project would depend on its day-old pullets for egg
production.
Since an average layer produces 2 eggs every 3 days, the table egg
production capacity of the farm will depend on the number of layers
deployed in the farm.
4.3 EQUIPMENT/MACHINERY REQUIREMENT
The proposed integrated farm is expected to be fully automated with
modern poultry equipment and machinery. The equipment/machinery
requirements will include.
a).
Hatchery Unit
KIMCS 2010
Setter Incubator
Hatchers Incubator
Fumigation Equipment
26
b)
Candling Lamb
Brooding Equipment
Feeding Equipment
Watering Equipment
Thermometer
De-beaking scissors
Setter Incubator
The setter incubator would have a minimum capacity of 40,000 Eggs.
The dimension of a typical one, Chick Master 102 is
22length,12.6 Width and 8.7Height
Hatchery
The Hatchery that will be utilized will have a minimum of 30,000 Day
-old Chicks per hatching cycle
Drinking systems
An automatic water trough or drinking nipple system placed inside or
preferably outside the shed will save labour and provide a constant
supply of fresh water. It is important to provide shade in the hot
season to keep the water cool.
A low-pressure drinking system is ideal for adult birds. The water
flows through the nipples only when they are touched or pecked.
KIMCS 2010
27
Poultry quickly learn how to operate the system. Drinking nipples are
more hygienic and use less water than open troughs.
Feeders
In deciding which feeder should be used, it important to put into
consideration the type and the class of chicken that is being
reared.
Basically, there should be
One hanging tube feeder with a pan 400 mm in diameter will provide
about 1200 mm of feeding space, enough for 15 hens.
Bulks feed storage are also a necessary part of the feeding equipment.
The bins (Silos) are located outside the house.
Egg Lifter
Debeakers
Thermometer
KIMCS 2010
28
4.4
HOUSING
feeding,
29
A well ventilated
housing accommodation will suit the growers with enough floor space
for the number of growers involved. The recommended floor space
for a flock of 250 birds is 125 square meters.
Deep Litter House
The birds are transferred to the deep litter house after 20 weeks in
the growers house.
birds will domiciled until they reach the market weight of about 1.6kg
in 3 -4 months.
Cage
This is the final destination of layers and breeders.
No litter is
required. Cages are normally put under the roofed house. The usual
number of birds required in a cell is 3 pullets or 2
layers.
KIMCS 2010
30
the
entire
growing
cycle,
regardless
of
the
outside
KIMCS 2010
31
Water Supply
Clean water supply is a sine qua non of poultry business. Hence, there
should be provision for an alternative source of water since constant
and clean water supply can only be ensured through provision of an
internal borehole and, a minimum of, one overhead water tank of
5000 litres capacity.
Electricity Supply
Since public power supply is not reliable, provision will be made for a
250 KVA generating set to supplement National Electric Power
Authority supply, and ensure uninterrupted supply of electricity.
Feeds
Drugs
Vaccines
Feeds
The types of food birds feed on varies as they grow, and these include:
Chicksmash, which is used for feeding chicks from a day old to
8 weeks old; Growermash , which is used for feeding chicks from 8
weeks to 20 weeks old; Layermash , which is used from 20 weeks
upwards .
Broiler Startermash is used for feeding day old broiler chicks, while
Broiler Finishermash is used from week 4 upwards.
KIMCS 2010
32
The bulk of this feed will be sourced locally from bulk importers and
local manufacturers of livestock feed. The cooperative will also
manufacture its own feed mill.
Drugs
Some poultry drugs commonly used in the poultry farms are:
Amprol Solube Powder, Tylan, Vitadol, Vibravet, Soluvita Stress,
Teramycin eggs formular, Malathion insecticide, Vetox 85
insecticide.
Vaccines
Some
popular
vaccines
include:
Newcastle
disease
vaccine,
KIMCS 2010
33
CHAPTER FIVE
MANPOWER
REQUIREMENT,
MANAGEMENT
AND
ORGANISATION
MANAGEMENT
For the successful operation of the integrated farm, the management
should have adequate and appropriate knowledge in specific features
of poultry farming. These important areas include:
Diseases control,
Feeding,
Genetic improvement,
Marketing,
KIMCS 2010
34
KIMCS 2010
35
N
N
N
N
N
600,000.00--------Year
660,000.00--------Year
726,000.00--------Year
798,600.00--------Year
878,460.00--------Year
1
2
3
4
5
ORGANISATION STRUCTURE
Initially, the farm will maintain a lean structure in the first five years
of its operation, during which it would enjoy full automation and the
services of six staff. However, as the farm expands, in the nearest
future, it will be imperative to put in place, a very good structure.
Hence, the following structure is recommended.
The farm will be structured into four broad departments. The heads of
these departments will report to the General Manager, who will serve
as the overall Farm Manager of the integrated farm. He will report to
the Chairman / Managing Director.
Hatchery Manager, who will supervise the hatchery operations of
the farm, will head the Hatchery unit.
The Finance and Administration Department will be headed by
Finance
&
Administration
Manager
and
will
supervise
all
36
Chairman/CEO
General
Manager
Livestock Manager
Feed man
KIMCS 2010
Veterinary Assistant
Hatchery Manager
Hatchery Assistants
Business
Development
Manager
Account Clerks
Admin Clerks
Business
Development
Executives
37
CHAPTER 6
INVESTMENT COST ANALYSIS
The costs of the project are estimated under two main headings, viz:
Capital/initial cost and operating/maintenance costs.
1.0
Capital/initial Cost
5,000,000
Broiler/grower shed
1,000,000
Hatchery shed
1,000,000
Layer Shed
1,000,000
Store room
850,000
Fencing
Borehole construction
Feed mill
2,000,000
1,000,000
1,000,000
Sub-Total
12,850,000
1.2. Machines/Equipment:
Automated Watering System
6,500,000
12,000,000
2,750,000
38
2,500,000
1.3
42,750,000
Delivery Vehicles:
a)
2,900,000
b)
2,750,000
Sub-Total
1.4
5,650,000
b)
1,200,000
150,000
Telephone Installation
85,000
Sub-Total
1.5
Pre-Operating Expenses:
a)
b)
Feasibility Study
450,000
h)
Travel Expenses
150,000
I)
j)
k)
Staff Recruitment
650,000
I)
Sundry Expenses
250,000
Sub-Total
1.6
1,435,000
500,000
500,000
500,000
3,000,000
KIMCS 2010
39
a)
(1,500 no) -
165, 000
b)
(3,500 no) -
385,000
c)
Feed stock
d)
Sub-Total
10,000,000
-
150,000
10,400,000
The transfer price of day old chicks is put at N110 per DOC.
1.7
Working Capital:
Fuel Expenses
b)
2.2
KIMCS 2010
We note that due to the automation of the Poultry, staff head count
should be kept at a Minimum until the mature birds are due for
sale/processing. The estimated cost of staff emoluments in the first
year of operation is N5million, and an annual increase of 10% per
annum is expected for the next five years.
Detailed breakdown of manpower expenses can be seen at the section
on manpower requirements and organization chart.
b.
i.
100,000.00
ii.
Electricity
iii.
Water
300,000.00
iv.
300,000.00
200,000.00
41
of the Poultry facility. It has been pegged at N300, 000.00 per annum
and increases at the rate of 5% per annum.
2.3
General Overhead:
Travel expenses
ii)
Printing/Stationery
100,000
iv)
Staff Uniform
100,000
v)
Sundry Expenses
250,000
2.4
N 200,000
Depreciation
DEPRECIATION SCHEDULE
PLTRY.EQ ENERGY
O/EQUIP
VEHICL
FURN./F
MT/
ES
IT
0.540
0.540
0.540
0.540
0.540
2.700
0.300
3.000
1.27125
1.27125
1.27125
1.27125
0.000
5.085
0.565
5.650
0.322875
0.322875
0.322875
0.322875
0.000
1.2915
0.1435
1.435
YEAR
BUILDIN
G
4.721
4.721
7.161
7.161
7.161
58.185
5.819
75.135
KIMCS 2010
0.450
0.450
0.450
0.450
0.450
2.250
0.250
2.500
1
2
3
4
5
TOTAL
Salvage
COST
42
KIMCS 2010
43
CHAPTER 7
REVENUE PROJECTION
The main sources of revenue of the Poultry facility are:
i) Sale of mature birds
ii) Sale of eggs
iii) Sale of bird litters/manure
iv) Sale of day-old chicks
i)
annually.
ii)
The total
44
annual basis.
annum.
iii)
iv)
N18.612million
and
N24.816million
KIMCS 2010
Year 1
N26.185 million
Year 2
Year 3
Year 4
Year 5
N79.902 million
45
CHAPTER 8
FINANCING PLAN
Traditionally, any projects that have been found to be commercially
viable are financed through equity contribution of sponsors and loans
term loans and bank overdrafts. Our various discussions with the
promoter show that the financing structure and pattern should follow
above path.
i)
Equity Contribution
15.027
20.00
ii)
Investor members
50.000
66.55
iii)
Start-up funding
15.108
13.45
Total
N80.135
100.00
i.
It is our view that the project will not have difficulties in securing
term loans that can be achieved through Loan syndication with one of
the leading commercial banks as a lead banker. United Bank for Africa
(UBA), Union Bank of Nigeria (UBN), First Bank of Nigeria (FBN),
Afribank and Wema Bank. The other buoyant commercial/merchant
banks should be willing to participate. This project is expected to be
backed up by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN)
KIMCS 2010
46
KIMCS 2010
47
CHAPTER 9
FINANCIAL PROJECTIONS AND APPRAISAL OF COMMERCIAL
VIABILITY
This chapter undertakes the financial projection of the project by
relating the projected streams of costs and revenue for the first five
years of its operations.
Thereafter, standard appraisal techniques are used to evaluate the
feasibility or commercial profitability of the project.
1.
The high
KIMCS 2010
This
KIMCS 2010
49
14,296,
796
Prepaid
Expenses
10,274,
500
Inventory and
WIP
17,442,2 23,912,4
55
71
24,976,5
42
27,218,
884
14,997,0 19,944,5
00
00
29,164,5
00
39,284,
500
18,421,
499
20,724,1 32,478,4
87
85
36,538,2
95
56,211,
057
Other Accounts
Receivable
652,90
9
1,822,11 1,154,17
0
5
1,298,44
7
1,997,5
50
Total current
assets
Gross property,
plant &
equipment
Less
accumulated
depreciation
Net property,
plant &
equipment
43,645,
705
54,985,5 77,489,6
51
30
91,977,7
84
124,711
,991
58,185,
000
58,185,0 58,185,0
00
00
58,185,0
00
58,185,
000
(6,854,
625)
(13,709,
250)
(23,003,
895)
(32,298,
540)
(41,593,
185)
51,330,
375
44,475,7 35,181,1
50
05
25,886,4
60
16,591,
815
Total assets
94,976,
080
99,461,3 112,670,
01
735
117,864,
244
141,303
,806
Accounts
payable
513,72
5
749,850
1,003,11
8
1,459,76
8
1,967,5
40
Taxes Payable
2,098,2
00
1,172,12 3,513,65
0
0
1,996,27
2
6,886,0
89
Dividends
Payable
465,797
1,606,7
54
9,892,7
05
10,931,4 12,079,2
39
40
13,347,5
61
14,749,
054
Current Portion
of LTD
Other Accruals
KIMCS 2010
819,852
50
1,548,6
51
2,950,14 4,218,46
5
5
5,366,26
6
6,405,0
00
Total current
liabilities
14,053,
281
15,803,5 21,634,3
54
24
22,635,6
63
31,614,
438
Long-term debt
61,000,
000
61,000,0 61,000,0
00
00
61,000,0
00
61,000,
000
Common Stock
- Paid up
15,027,
000
15,027,0 15,027,0
00
00
15,027,0
00
15,027,
000
Net Income
4,895,7
99
2,734,94 7,378,66
8
4
4,192,17
1
14,460,
787
Shareholders
equity
19,922,
799
22,657,7 30,036,4
47
11
34,228,5
82
48,689,
369
Total long-term
debt and equity
80,922,
799
83,657,7 91,036,4
47
11
95,228,5
82
109,689
,369
Total Liabilities
94,976,
080
99,461,3 112,670,
01
735
117,864,
245
141,303
,806
3.11
3.48
3.58
4.06
3.94
3.83
3.92
3.01
3.07
2.24
Current Ratio
Total
Liabilities/Equi
ty
rate
Less COGS
Growth
rate
(%)
Gross profit
Growth
rate
(%)
Less
SG&A
KIMCS 2010
12.50%
56.72%
12.50%
53.84%
(10,274
(14,997,
(19,944
(29,164
(39,28
,500)
000)
,500)
,500)
4,500)
-
31.49%
24.81%
31.61%
25.76%
15,911,
14,461,
26,222,
22,773,
40,617
000
688
500
375
,500
(513
-10.02%
44.85%
-15.15% 43.93%
(749,
(997,
(1,458
(1,96
51
expenses
Growth
rate
(%)
Earnings
before Interest,
Tax & Deprec.
Less
depreciation
Earnings after
depr.
b/4
Interest & Tax
,725)
225)
,225)
4,225)
31.49%
24.81%
31.61%
25.76%
15,397,
13,711,
25,225,
21,315,
38,653
275
838
275
150
,275
(6,854
(6,854,
(9,294
(9,294
(9,29
,625)
625)
,645)
,645)
4,645)
8,542,
6,857,
15,930,
12,020,
29,358
650
213
630
505
,630
-
Less
repayment
accrual
850)
int.
Pre-tax income
Cumulative
pre-tax income
(NOL)
Taxes
Pre-tax income
Less taxes
Less Proposed
Dividend
Net income
Growth
rate
(%)
Return
Investment
Return
Sales
Return
Equity
CASH FLOW
PERIOD
(1,548
(2,950,
(4,218
(5,366
(6,40
,651)
145)
,465)
,266)
5,000)
6,993,
3,907,
11,712,
6,654,
22,953
999
068
165
239
,630
6,993,
999
2,098,
200
6,993,
999
(2,098
,200)
10,901,
067
1,172,
120
3,907,
068
(1,172,
120)
22,613,
232
(3,513
,650)
11,712,
165
(3,513
,650)
(819,
852)
29,267,
471
(1,996
,272)
6,654,
239
(1,996
,272)
(465
,797)
52,221
,101
(6,88
6,089)
22,953
,630
(6,88
6,089)
(1,60
6,754)
4,895,
2,734,
7,378,
4,192,
14,460
799
948
664
171
,787
-79.01%
62.93%
-76.01%
71.01%
7.19%
4.01%
10.83%
6.15%
21.22%
18.70%
9.28%
15.98%
8.07%
18.10%
19.48%
10.88%
29.36%
16.68%
57.53%
on
on
on
STATEMENT
FOR
THE
5-YEAR
PLANNING
STATEMENTS
OF
CASH
FLOWS
All figures are in
KIMCS 2010
52
Millions of Naira
Year
4,895,
Net income
Plus
depreciation
Less increase in
inventory
Plus Interest on
Investments
Less increase in
accounts
receivable
Plus increase in
accounts
payable
Cash flow from
operations
Less investment
Cash flow from
operations
and
invests
Plus
net
new
equity
capital
raised
Current
year
Interest
Less
dividends
paid
Inc. (Decr.) in
long-term debt
Inc.
(Decr.)
Other
borrowings
Cash flow from
ops, invests, and
fin
Beginning cash
balance
Ending
cash
balance
KIMCS 2010
2,73
7,378,
4,192,
14,460
799
4,948
664
171
,787
6,854,
6,85
9,294,
9,294,
9,294
625
4,625
645
645
,645
10,171,
(7
6,761,
(262,
3,928
755
,499)
186
481)
,450
-
(130,
928)
2,94
(46,
4,934,
(3,85
5,869
167)
098
9,267)
2,054,
4,49
199,
2,085,
1,178
900
9,100
445
262
,535
23,846,
17,02
23,587,
20,243
25,003
152
7,043
773
,695
,150
(75,135,
000)
(51,288,
17,02
23,587,
20,243
25,003
848)
7,043
773
,695
,150
15,027,
000
(1,548,
(2,95
(4,218
(5,366,
651)
0,145)
,465)
266)
(819,
(465,
852)
797)
51,107,
(10,93
(12,079 (13,347
295
1,439)
,240)
,561)
-
(6,40
5,000)
(1,60
6,754)
(14,74
9,054)
-
13,296,
3,14
6,470,
1,064,
2,242
796
5,459
216
072
,342
1,000,
14,29
17,442,
23,912
24,976
000
6,796
255
,471
,542
14,296,
17,44
23,912,
24,976
27,218
796
2,255
471
,542
,884
53
WHAT
IF
ANALYSIS
FOR
THE
FIRST
YEAR
OF
OPERATION
"WHAT IF" ANALYSIS
Manure/Litters
YEAR 1 SCENARIO
Pessimi Planne
stic
d
70%
100%
4,725
6,7
,000
50,000
4,828
6,8
,950
98,500
8,685
12,40
,600
8,000
90,
1
300
29,000
Net Sales
18,329,8
50
26,185,5 31,422,6
00
00
2.000
20,549,0
00
1.000
0.500
10,274,5 5,137,25
00
0
0
20,549,0
00
0
0
10,274,5 5,137,25
00
0
1.100
1.000
Sales
Mature birds
Eggs
Day old Chicks
Optimis
tic
120%
8,1
00,000
8,2
78,200
14,8
89,600
1
54,800
0.900
0
0
10,274,5 5,137,25
00
0
Gross Profit
% of Total Sales
2,219,1
50
-12.11%
15,911,
000
60.76%
26,285,
350
83.65%
Operating Costs
Sales & Marketing
1.200
308,235
1.000
256,863
0.900
231,176
308,235
256,863
231,176
6,854,62
5
6,854,62 6,854,62
5
5
G
&
A
Depreciation)
Depreciation
KIMCS 2010
(without
54
0
0
7,368,35 7,316,97
0
8
8,542,6
50
18,968,
373
1,548,65
1
17,419,
722
1,548,65
1
2,098,20
0
11,238,
896
4,895,7
99
274,500
10,
14
19,9
29,
39
,997,000
44,500
164,500
,284,500
Commissions
Total
Costs
Variable
1
3
10 4,997,00
19,
29 9,284,50
,274,500
0
944,500 ,164,500 0
0.392
0.509
0.432
0.562
0.492
0.000%
0.000%
0.000%
0.000%
0.000%
2.500%
2.500%
2.500%
2.500%
2.500%
2.500%
5.000%
2.500%
5.000%
2.500%
5.000%
2.500%
5.000%
2.500%
5.000%
55
(calc as % of sales)
Fixed Costs (fixed
amounts)
Fixed Cost of Goods &
Services
Sales
&
Marketing
(w/o Commissions)
256,863
G
&
A
(without
Depreciation)
256,863
374,925
98,613
854,625
729,113
982,113
4
374,925
98,613
6,
Depreciation
4
729,113
9,2
Total
Fixed
Costs
7 7,604,47
(fixed amounts)
,368,350
5
9,294,645
1
10,
10 1,258,87
291,870 ,752,870 0
Income
Operations
2
15,
12 9,358,63
930,630 ,020,505 0
from
6,854,625 94,645
982,113
9,
8 6,857,21
,542,650
3
294,645
(
Interest
Income
(1, 2,950,145
(4,2
(5,
(Expense) - "Fixed"
548,651)
)
18,465)
366,266)
(
Income
Taxes
(2, 1,172,120
(3,5
(1,
"Variable"
098,200)
)
13,650)
996,272)
(
6,405,000
)
(
6,886,089
)
Net Income
Taxes
1
6,067,54
1
After
4 2,734,94
,895,799
8
Analysis
Income
from
Operations
Contribution Margin 0.608
8, 4,657,96
198,516 7
0.491
0.568
0.438
0.508
12,
15
18,1
24,
22
Break-Even Sales
126,449
,490,437
19,735
523,428
,148,242
Sales Volume
14,
13
28,0
27,
57
Above Break-Even
059,051
,968,251
47,265
414,447
,753,758
SUMMARY OF ASSUMPTIONS
The accompanying financial projections are based on a number of
assumptions made in the process of forecasting future events and
KIMCS 2010
56
will
not
materialize,
and
unexpected
events
and
KIMCS 2010
57
the cost structure of the Poultry and egg industry in Nigeria at the
time of this report.
4. The focus on revenue from sales of mature birds and eggs is
expected to increase such that a significant portion of the total
revenue should be generated from these sources. The projection is
that up to 80% of revenue should be from the sale of mature birds
and eggs, leaving the balance of 20% to be from sales of day old
chicks and manure/litters.
5. During the same period, spending on start-up costs such as
marketing, advertising and promotion, general administration and
consulting activities is expected to peak in order to launch the
Poultry facility on a sound footing.
OPERATIONS - 2011 -- 2015
1. A major capital expenditure of N50.0million is expected to be
incurred in order to complete work on the construction phase of
the Poultry facility and to purchase critical automated poultry and
hatchery equipment.
KIMCS 2010
58
hires to be minimal.
5. Annual
salaries
(except
sales
staff)
increase
10%
annually
beginning 2011.
6. Interest expense for investing members funds are provided at 20%
per annum and interest income on deposits is earned at 2%.
7. Depreciation is calculated using the straight-line method over 5
years.
8. Federal income taxes are provided at 30%
Plant
Furniture
Motors
Building
Initial
KIMCS 2010
5%
Machinery
20%
Fittings
15%
Vehicles
25%
59
Annual
10%
12.5%
10%
20%
FINANCING - 2011 -- 2015
1. An overall ratio of about 37:63 is maintained between equity and
debt, such that dilution of ownership and control is deeply affected.
In 2011 the cooperative raises N50million from investing members
and N15.057million of equity to fund investing and financing cash
flow requirements. In year 2014, additional equity of N10million is
introduced to finance growth in number of birds.
2. There are no provisions for bank loans, accounts receivable
financing or additional loans from stockholders after the first
operating cycle, beginning in 2012.
ASSUMPTIONS
BEHIND
PROJECTIONS
AND
CALCULATIONS
S/
1
2
3
4
6
KIMCS 2010
PARTICULARS
Number of Birds in lay
Rearing Period (weeks)
Brooding
cum
growing
Laying period (weeks)
Number of batches or cycle
Space requirement per bird
Brooder cum grower period
Layer period
Hatchery Period
Cost
of
Construction
Broiler cum grower shed
Layer shed
Hatchery shed
Store room and admin office
Mortality rate (%)
Broiler cum grower stage
SIZE/COST/%
5,000 20,000
72 90
18 20
52
1-3
1
0.8
0.35
1000.00
1000.00
1000.00
650.00
6% - 10%
60
7
8
9
10
11
12
KIMCS 2010
Laying stage
Day old chicks (DOCs)
Total mortality loss (birds)
Total number of birds laying
Rate of egg laying
Egg price (N/egg)
Egg Production capacity per
Average body weight of
Feed requirement (kg/bird)
Brooding cum growing stage
Laying stage
Hatchery/Day old chicks
3% - 5%
4% - 6%
500
3500 12,600
2 eggs every
9.00
766,500 eggs
1kg 2.5kg
61
REVENUE ASSUMPTIONS:
Sale of mature Birds:
No.
of 5,000 20,000
[a] Broilers
Broilers/Layers
10%
[b] Layers
4,500
N450.00
2-3 times/year
Frequency
Hatchery Capacity
10,000 DOCs
[a] Broilers
6%
[b] Layers
9,400
N110.00
Frequency
3-4 times/year
3,500 14,000
10%
Sale of Eggs:
Effective
Sale
of
Litters
Manure
no.
eggs
52 weeks
Laying Period
2eggs
Rate of lay
days
766,500 eggs
Egg Price/dozen
N108.00
Selling price/flock
N5000.00
every
and
Feed
bags
price
selling N15.00
Twice/year
Frequency
KIMCS 2010
62
EXPENSE ASSUMPTIONS:
PARTICULARS
ASSUMPTI
ON
12.5%
N110.00
50kg
Feed Cost/Bag
N850.00
Rearing
Period
Feed
use/bird/yr 0.95kg
(Kg)
N1,400.00
1.5kg
N5.00
period
Cost
of N1,500.00
Feed/bird/year
N1,350.00
6.5%
KIMCS 2010
63
KIMCS 2010
64