Q: Why and How Was Libor Manipulated?: FDRM Assignment

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FDRM Assignment

Submitted by :
Raina Guha

36B

Rohit Roy

40B

Sonali Porwal 50B

Q: Why and how was Libor


manipulated?
Introduction
Two years ago, a major scandal rocked the world after it was revealed that big
international banks had long been manipulating the Libor interest rates to
fraudulently boost their profits. As outrageous as the Libor rate-fixing scandal was,
it pales in comparison to another Libor scandal that is occurring at this very
moment, but has received virtually none of the attention that it rightfully deserves.
The ultimate fallout of this much larger, little-known Libor scandal will be nothing
less than an international financial crisis.

Definition
Libor is an acronym that stands for London Interbank Offered Rate, which is a
benchmark interest rate that is derived from the rates that major banks charge each
other for loans in the London interbank market. It is a benchmark interest rate
based on the rates at which banks lend unsecured funds to each other on the
London interbank market. Published daily, the rate was previously administered by
the British Bankers' Association (BBA). But in the aftermath of the scandal, Britains
primary financial regulator, the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA), shifted
supervision of Libor to a new entity, the ICE Benchmark Administration (IBA), an
independent subsidiary of the private exchange operator Intercontinental Exchange,
or ICE.
In order to calculate the Libor rate, a representative panel of global banks submit an
estimate of their borrowing costs to the Thomson Reuters data collection service
each morning at 11:00 a.m. The calculation agent throws out the highest and lowest
25 percent of submissions and then averages the remaining rates to determine
Libor. Calculated for five different currencies-the U.S. dollar, the euro, the British

pound sterling, the Japanese yen, and the Swiss franc-at seven different maturity
lengths from overnight to one year, Libor is the most relied upon global benchmark
for short-term interest rates. The rate for each currency is set by panels of between
eleven and eighteen banks.

Libor Scandal and its impact


Many banks worldwide use Libor as a base rate for setting interest rates on
consumer and corporate loans. Indeed, hundreds of trillions of dollars in securities
and loans are linked to Libor-government and corporate debt, as well as auto,
student, and home loans, including over half of America's flexible-rate mortgages.
When Libor rises, rates and payments on loans often increase; likewise, they fall
when Libor goes down. Libor is also used to provide private-sector economists and
central bankers with insights into market expectations of economic performance
and interest rate developments.

Why and how has been Libor manipulated?


Barclays and fifteen other global financial institutions came under investigation by a
handful of regulatory authoritiesincluding those of the United States, Canada,
Japan, Switzerland, and the UKfor colluding to manipulate the Libor rate beginning
in 2003. Barclays reportedly first manipulated Libor during the global economic
upswing of 20052007 so that its traders could make profits on derivatives pegged
to the base rate.
During that period, "swaps traders often asked the Barclays employees who
submitted the rates to provide figures that would benefit the traders, instead of
submitting the rates the bank would actually pay to borrow money," the New York
Times reported. Moreover, "certain traders at Barclays coordinated with other banks

to alter their rates as well." During this period, Libor was maneuvered both upward
and downward based "entirely on a trader's position," explains the London School of
Economics' Ronald Anderson.
Hundreds of trillions of dollars in securities and loans are linked to Libor
government and corporate debt, as well as auto, student, and home loans, including
over half of Americas flexible-rate mortgages.
Following the onset of the global financial crisis of 20072008,
Barclays
manipulated Libor downward by telling Libor calculators that it could borrow money
at relatively inexpensive rates to make the bank appear less risky and insulate
itself. The investigation into UBS focused on trader Thomas Hayes, whose alleged
rigging led him to post profits in the hundreds of millions for the bank over his
three-year stint. After Hayes was arrested in December 2012, UBS executives took
the blame for creating a system in which traders were rewarded with large bonuses
if they agreed to take part in the scheme. At the same time, collusion allegedly
occurred between Hayes and traders at RBS, which is majority owned by British
taxpayers, in order to affect submissions across multiple institutions.

What really went behind it?


Amid all of the attention that the Libor rate-fixing scandal has received, the world is
completely overlooking a far worse Libor scandal that has been occurring right

under our noses this entire time. Though the Libor rate-fixing scandal is certainly no
trivial matter, the losses caused by it amount to a few tens of billions of dollars,
which is ultimately a drop in the bucket compared to the size of the global economy
and financial system. In addition, as dramatic as the term rate-fixing sounds, the
Libor manipulations only moved the Libor rate by a few basis points (basis points
are .01 percentage points) for just a few brief moments at a time. The Libor
manipulations did not move the rate by significant magnitudes such as from 5
percent to 2 percent, for example.
The vastly worse Libor scandal that I am referring to is the fact that the Libor has
stayed at record low levels for the past half-decade, which is helping to fuel a
massive economic bubble around the entire world that will end in a devastating
financial crisis that will be even worse than the Global Financial Crisis. Instead of
causing a few tens of billions of dollars worth of losses like the Libor rate-fixing
scandal, the Libor Bubble will gut the global economy by trillions of dollars.
The chart below shows the U.S. dollar Libor rates for four common maturities:

Significance of the Libor Scandal


Many experts say that the Libor scandal has eroded public trust in the marketplace.
As the Wall Street, Libor manipulation meant "trillions of dollars of financial
instruments were priced at the wrong ratea fact that could do wonders for
plaintiffs' lawyers while undermining investors' confidence in financial markets."
Indeed, securities broker and investment bank Keefe, Bruyette & Woods estimated
that the banks being investigated for Libor manipulation could end up paying $35
billion in private legal settlementsseparate from any fines to regulators.
These sums could pose new challenges for financial institutions that are increasingly
required to maintain higher reserves to guard against another systemic crisis.
"Relative to the size of the sixteen banks at risk of lawsuits in the Libor scandal, $35
billion is chump change.

Charges and Penalties


A wave of Libor-related prosecutions, led by a range of U.S. and European regulatory
bodies, has led to several major settlements. All told, global banks have paid over
$9 billion in fines, as of May 2015. More than one hundred traders or brokers have
been fired or suspended, twenty-one have been charged, and several executives,
including former Barclays CEO Bob Diamond and Rabobank CEO Piet Moerland,
have been forced out.
The UKs Barclays settled its case with authorities for $435 million in July 2012. In
December 2012, Swiss banking giant UBS was slapped with the biggest Liborrelated fine up to that point, paying global regulators a combined $1.5 billion in
penalties. The complaint, led by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission
(CFTC), cited over 2,000 instances of wrongdoing committed by dozens of UBS
employees. Later in 2013, Dutch Rabobank settled charges against it for over $1
billion.
In December 2013, EU regulatory authorities settled their investigation into
Barclays, Deutsche Bank, RBS, and Socit Gnrale, fining the latter three banks a
combined total of 1.7 billion euros, or over $2 billion. They were all found guilty of
colluding to manipulate market rates between 2005 and 2008. In exchange for
revealing the cartel to regulators, Barclays was not fined. U.S.-based JP Morgan
Chase and Citigroup also became the first American institutions fined, with
much smaller penalties.
In April 2015, Germanys Deutsche Bank agreed to the largest single settlement in
the Libor saga, paying $2.5 billion to U.S. and European regulators and entering a
guilty plea for its London-based branch. In addition, the bank was obligated to fire
seven employees. It brings the total amount of fines paid by Deutsche Bank to $3.5
billion, more than twice that of any other institution.

So should we trust the banks now?


By prosecuting Tom Hayes, the person who was seen to be the ringleader of the
crime has been convicted. But have we regained trust in the banking system as a
whole? I put forward the case that we havent and that it will take a lot more than
just prosecuting individuals for the general public to regain their trust in the system
as a whole.
When it comes to trust there are at least two levels to take into account. We might
have things fixed at the individual level by removing wrongdoers from the system
and setting up criminal sanctions to do so. But the system as a whole and its
reputation still need repairing.

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