Global Finance
Global Finance
Risk Reduce
GLOBAL FINANCE:
Introduction
Increase Profit
Financing
(Chs. 11-14)
Investment
(Chs. 15-19)
Reporting &
Controlling
(Chs. 20)
OF
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MULTINATIONALCOMPANIES AND
THEIR PERFORMANCE
AGENCY THEORY
1. MNC's value is subject to larger agency
cost.
2. Agency theory is a theory that deals with
the conflict of interest between
managers and stockholders.
a)
b)
c)
d)
Incentives
Monitoring
Agency costs
Agency costs are then compared
CORPORATE GOVERNANCE
1. Shareholder activism
2. Recent changes in the US corporate
governance
3. US corporate governance
CHAPTER 2
MOTIVES FOR WORLD
TRADE AND
FOREIGN INVESTMENT
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TRADE THEORIES
Countries gain from trade by producing products
they have a comparative advantage.
Countries gain from specializing in the production
and export of any good that uses larger amounts of
their own abundant factors.
Explain trade patterns on the basis of stages in a
product's life.
INVESTMENT THEORIES
TRADE THEORIES
u. Comparative Advantage
v. Factor Endowment
w. Product Life Cycle
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Eclectic Theory
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ECLECTIC THEORY
INVESTMENT THEORIES
Explain changes in the location of production on the
basis of states in a product's life.
Improve its risk-return performance by holding an
internationally diversified portfolio of assets.
Invest abroad to exploit their quasi-monopoly
advantages.
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PROTECTIONISM
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ECONOMIC INTEGRATION
ECONOMIC INTEGRATION
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ECONOMIC INTEGRATION
Regional economic agreements:
CHAPTER 3
THE BALANCE OF
PAYMENTS
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ACCOUNTING TREATMENT
Numerical Example
Debits (Outflows)
Example
3-1a
3-1b
3-1c
3-1d
3-1e
Reserves
Total
Credits (Inflows)
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DEFICIT OR SURPLUS
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Goods
Services
Income
Current transfers.
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a) Capital transfers
b) Acquisition or disposal of nonproduced,
nonfinancial assets.
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a.
b.
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CHAPTER 4
b.
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2.
3.
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Disadvantages:
a.
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MARKET EQUILIBRIUM
MARKET EQUILIBRIUM
a.
b.
c.
d.
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MARKET EQUILIBRIUM
3. The supply curve for a foreign currency could be
shifted to the right because of:
a.
b.
c.
d.
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1.
2.
3.
4.
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CHAPTER 5
FOREIGN EXCHANGE MARKET
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2. Purpose of Participation:
a.
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3. Cross rate is an exchange rate between two nonhome currencies, such as Mex$6.40 per for a US
resident.
4. Measuring a percentage change in spot rates:
a. Direct quote:
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5. Bid-Ask Rates:
a. Bid price is the price at which the bank is ready to
buy a foreign currency.
b. Ask price is the price at which the bank is ready to
sell a foreign currency.
c. Bid-ask spread is the difference between bid and
ask rates.
d. Spread in direct quote = (ask price - bid
price)/ask price.
a. Quote in points:
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Premium or discount
360
n
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a.
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4. Interest parity:
The forward rate for the currency of a country
with a higher interest rate than its trading
partner will fall, thereby resulting in a
forward discount.
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a.
b.
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CURRENCY FUTURES
1. A currency futures contract is a contract to buy or sell a
specified amount of a foreign currency for delivery at some
future date.
2.
CHAPTER 6
a.
Margin is some sort of deposit to ensure that each party fulfills its
commitment.
b. Initial Margin is the amount market participants must deposit at the
time of a futures contract.
c. Maintenance margin is a fixed minimum margin customers must
maintain in their account all the time, and it is about 70-80% of the
initial margin.
d. Margin calls are requests for additional deposits.
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CURRENCY FUTURES
CURRENCY FUTURES
3. Positions
forwards:
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CURRENCY OPTIONS
CURRENCY OPTIONS
CURRENCY OPTIONS
1. Currency option is the right to buy
(call) or sell
(put) a specified amount of a foreign currency at
some future date.
2. Premium or purchase price = intrinsic value + time
value.
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CURRENCY OPTIONS
CURRENCY OPTIONS
NUMERICAL EXAMPLE
5. Value of Volatility
a. Volatility affects both time value and intrinsic value.
b. Volatile currency options have higher premiums.
c. Options premiums are always higher than the intrinsic
value, because of the time value and value of volatility.
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CURRENCY OPTIONS
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CURRENCY OPTIONS
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CHAPTER 7
FINANCIAL SWAPS
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three sets
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MOTIVATIONS
MOTIVATIONS
2. Commercial needs:
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MOTIVATIONS
3. Comparative Advantage:
a. GM borrows dollars at a lower rate and transfers the
funds to a British firm.
b. British firm borrows pounds at a lower rate and
transfer the funds to GM.
c. This swap is possible because of market imperfections or
different risks.
CHAPTER 8
EXCHANGE RATE
FORECASTING
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2. Consequences:
a. Spot rates reflect all current information and
will change in response to "random news.
b. Impossible for any market analyst to
consistently beat the market.
c. All currencies are fairly priced.
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1. Fundamental analysis:
a. Fundamental analysis depends on fundamental
economic conditions, such as inflation rate,
interest rate, and the rate of growth in money
supply.
b. Examples of this techniques are PPP and
multiple regression analysis.
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2. Technical analysis:
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a.
b.
c.
d.
International reserves
The balance of trade
Inflation rates
Money supply.
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CHAPTER 9
MANAGING TRANSACTION
EXPOSURE AND ECONOMIC
EXPOSURE
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2.
1.
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TYPES OF EXPOSURES
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TYPES OF EXPOSURES
3. Economic exposure is the effect of an exchange
rate change on the net present value of
expected net cash flows from direct investment
projects.
4. Translation exposure does not involve actual
cash flows, but transaction exposure involves
actual cash outflows, and economic exposure
involves potential cash flows.
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EXAMPLE 9-7
(1).
(2).
(3).
Direct Loan
Credit Swap_____
200,000y + (1,000,000y - 4,000,000) = 200,000y + 400,000
y = 4.4
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EXAMPLE 9-7
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EXAMPLE 9-7
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ECONOMIC EXPOSURE
MANAGEMENT
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ECONOMIC EXPOSURE
MANAGEMENT
3. Hedging Techniques
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3.
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CHAPTER 10
MANAGING TRANSLATION
EXPOSURE
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TRANSLATION RULES
TRANSLATION RULES
1. Translation exposure measures the effect of
an exchange rate change on published
financial statements of a firm.
2. Differences between current rate, temporal,
monetary/nonmonetary, and current /
noncurrent methods.
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_______________________________________________________________
Current
Monetary/
Current/
Item
Rate
Temporal
Nonmonetary Noncurrent
Inventory at price exposed
exposed
not exposed
exposed
Inventory at cost exposed
not exposed not exposed
exposed
Net fixed assets exposed
not exposed not exposed
not exposed
Long-term debt
exposed
exposed
exposed
not exposed
*Those items that are translated at historical rates are not exposed.
Those items that are translated at current rates are exposed.
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a.
b.
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EUROCURRENCY (EURODOLLAR)
MARKETS
1. Eurocurrency (Eurodollar) market consists of
banks that accept deposits and make loans in
foreign countries outside the country of issue.
2. Definitions of Eurodollars.
CHAPTER 11
INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL
MARKETS
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EUROCURRENCY (EURODOLLAR)
MARKETS
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1.
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a.
b.
c.
d.
e.
a.
Straight bonds
Floating-rate bonds
Convertible bonds
Bonds with warrants
Zero-coupon bonds.
b.
c.
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Privatization
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CHAPTER 12
INTERNATIONAL BANKING
ISSUES AND COUNTRY
RISK ANALYSIS
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1.
a.
b.
c.
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4. Brady Bonds
3. Solutions:
a. Lenders, borrowers, and international organizations
worked together; they used rescheduling, refinancing,
additional loans, forgiveness, and restrictive economic
policies.
b. Lenders increased equity-capital base, increased loanloss reserves, reduced new loans, and sold exposed
assets.
c. Borrowers depended on increased exports, reduced
imports, more foreign investment, restrictive economic
policies, and debt-equity swaps.
d. Partial debt relief was provided by creditors and world
financial institutions.
a. The above four measures were not sufficient to solve the debt
crisis completely.
b. In 1989, US Treasury Secretary Brady offered to convert the
creditors' loans into new guaranteed loans with a reduced
interest rate of 6.5 percent. This plan has come to be called
"Brady bonds."
c. In 1992, 20 debtor countries had converted $100 billion in
bank debt into Brady bonds.
d. These Brady bonds are largely credited with solving the debt
crisis of the 1980s
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SYNDICATED LOANS
A syndicated loan is a credit in which a group of
banks makes funds available on common terms and
conditions to a particular borrower.
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SYNDICATED LOANS
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COUNTRY RISK
1. Country risk is the possibility of default on foreign loans.
a.
b.
c.
d.
e.
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COUNTRY RISK
b.
CHAPTER 13
FINANCING FOREIGN
TRADE
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TYPES OF DOCUMENTS
OBJECTIVES OF DOCUMENTATION
1. Remove non-completion risk such as no or
delayed delivery and no or delayed payments.
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TYPES OF DOCUMENTS
TYPES OF DOCUMENTS
2.
4.
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COUNTERTRADE
COUNTERTRADE
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COUNTERTRADE
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collateral
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exports.
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by
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CHAPTER 14
FINANCING FOREIGN
INVESTMENT
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Overdrafts
Unsecured short-term loans
Bridge loans
Currency swaps
Link financing.
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d. Functions are:
International banking, which includes deposits, loans,
letters of credits, and other normal banking operations.
a.
b.
c.
d.
e.
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4. Strategic alliances:
5. Project finance
a. Project finance refers to an arrangement where a project
sponsor finances a long-term capital project
(i.e., Alaska oil pipeline or Euro Disney) on a basis.
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a.
b.
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CHAPTER 15
INTERNATIONAL
WORKING CAPITAL
MANAGEMENT
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2.
a. The ability to adjust fund flows among
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countries is one of the biggest advantages to
MNCs.
b. Many fund transfer techniques are questionable
and there are many conflicts of interest.
c. Positioning of funds involves the choice
of
location and the choice of currency
denomination.
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4.
5.
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7.
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CASH MANAGEMENT
1.
CASH MANAGEMENT
Objectives are :
2.
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CASH MANAGEMENT
1. Portfolio management:
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a. Diversification
b. Marketability
c. Maturity
d. Safety
e. Daily review.
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Credit policy:
a. Credit standards are used to determine the acceptability of
loan applications and credit limits. Credit standards depend
on five C's of credit factors: character, capital, collateral,
capacity, and economic condition.
b.Credit terms have to do with cash discount and credit
period, such as 2/10, net 30: the opportunity cost of
terms 2/10, net 30 = 2/(100 - 2) x 360/20 = 37%.
c. Collection policy has to do with overdue accounts.
To collect overdue accounts, MNCs use letters (fax and
cables), phone calls, personal visits, and last resorts
(forgiveness, legal action, and use of collection
agency).
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INVENTORY MANAGEMENT
1. The basic purpose is to minimize the investment
on inventory.
CHAPTER 16
INTERNATIONAL PORTFOLIO
INVESTMENT
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TERMINOLOGIES
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TERMINOLOGIES
Type of Risk
Systematic
Domestic
Common to all firms:
Ex.--a country's tax laws,
recessions, inflation
Unsystematic To a particular firm:
Ex--a firm's wildcat strike,
new competitor
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International______
Common to all countries:
Ex.--worldwide wars, energy
situations, recessions
To a particular country:
Ex.--a country's recessions,
currency control, inflation
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TERMINOLOGIES
2. Market portfolio is a fully diversified group of risky
securities such as Dow Jones Industrial Averages,
Standard & Poor's 500 stocks, or the Nikkei Index
of Japan.
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Figure
may
Figure
Figure
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EFFICIENT FRONTIER
1. Efficient portfolio is a portfolio that gives the highest
return for a given level of risk (see point W in Figure
16-3) or the smallest risk for a given level of return
(see point A in Figure 16-3).
2. Efficient frontier is a locus of all efficient portfolios
(see curve AW in Figure 16-3).
3. Optimal portfolio is the tangency point between the
security market line and the efficient frontier (see
point M in Figure 16-4).
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METHODS OF INTERNATIONAL
DIVERSIFICATION FOR US INVESTORS
METHODS OF INTERNATIONAL
DIVERSIFICATION FOR US INVESTORS
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CHAPTER 17
CORPORATE STRATEGY AND
FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT
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1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
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a.
b.
b.
c.
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1.
a. Internal growth is natural and economical, but it
a.
is too slow.
b. External growth--mergers and acquisitions--is an
alternative to internal growth.
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c.
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CHAPTER 18
INTERNATIONAL CAPITAL
BUDGETING DECISIONS
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Salvage value:
a. Salvage value is the expected value of an asset at the
end of its life.
b. Salvage value depends on the project's success and the
government's attitude.
8.
Some governments impose restrictions on
earnings transfer from subsidiaries to the parent.
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ECONOMIC EVALUATION
ECONOMIC EVALUATION
a.
b.
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ECONOMIC EVALUATION
ECONOMIC EVALUATION
4.
b.
Numerical example:
Project
A
B
C
D
IRR
25%
20
14
8
Investment
$1,000
1,000
1,000
1,000
a.
b.
c.
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RISK ANALYSIS
1. Risk Assessment Techniques
Standard deviation
Coefficient of variation
Range
RISK ANALYSIS
2. Each of pairs 1, 2, and 3 in the following table consist of two
mutually exclusive projects:
Pair
1
2
3
Project
NPV
A
$1,000
B
1,000
C
900
D
600
E
500
F
300
Standard Deviation
$400
700
400
400
300
210________
237
RISK ANALYSIS
238
RISK ANALYSIS
3. Utility Theory
a. Assumptions: diminishing marginal utility; many non-intersecting curves; and
higher expected utility for each higher curve.
b. The role of utility theory is to bridge the gap between risk assessment
techniques and risk adjustment techniques.
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c. Graph illustration: Graph I-K is called the least acceptable project so project 5
is unprofitable and projects 1 through 4 are profitable.
1) Under accept-reject decision criterion, projects 1, 2, 3, and 4
are
accepted.
2) Under mutually exclusive choice criterion, project 1 is
accepted.
3) Under capital rationing constraints, accept projects in the order
of 1,
2, 3, and 4 until capital budget has exhausted).
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PORTFOLIO THEORY
RISK ANALYSIS
1.
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PORTFOLIO THEORY
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a. Concession agreements
b. Planned divestment
c. Adaptation to host country goals
a. Delphi technique
b. Grand tour
c. Old hand
d. Quantitative analysis
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CHAPTER 19
248
1. a. size of firm
b. access to international capital markets
c. international diversification
d. taxes
e. exchange rate risks
f. country risks.
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1.
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Capital
Debt
Preferred
Common
Total
$ 60 million
20
120
$200 million
0.3 x 0.045
0.1 x 0.080
0.6 x 0.120
1.0
= 0.0135
= 0.0080
= 0.0720
0.0935
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CHAPTER 20
CORPORATE PERFORMANCE OF
FOREIGN OPERATIONS
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4. Organizational structure
c.
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b.
c.
INTERNATIONAL TAXATION
1. Types of taxes:
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INTERNATIONAL TAXATION
INTERNATIONAL TAXATION
a. Tax morality
b. Tax burdens
c. Tax neutrality
d. Tax treaties
e. Tax credits
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