ABCs of ABCP, 2009
ABCs of ABCP, 2009
ABCs of ABCP, 2009
Sam Pilcer
Managing Director
Calyon Securities Inc.
212-261-3548
sam.pilcer@us.calyon.com
February 2009
Page 1
Table of Contents
Page 2
1.1.
What
WhatisisABCP?
ABCP?
2.2.
Background
Background/ /History
HistoryofofABCP
ABCP
3.3.
Types
TypesofofABCP
ABCPPrograms
Programs
4.4.
ABCP
ABCPConduits:
Conduits:Characteristics
Characteristics
5.5.
ABCP
ABCPMarket
MarketTrends
Trends
6.6.
ABCP
ABCPMarket
MarketToday
Today
One
What is ABCP?
Page 3
What is ABCP?
Page 4
What is ABCP?
Page 5
Two
Background / History of ABCP
Page 6
Background/History of ABCP
ABCP first appeared in the 1980s as a means for large commercial banks to finance their
commercial customers trade receivables in a capital-efficient manner and at competitive rates.
9 1986 Basle Accord (Basel 1) created strong incentive for Off Balance Sheet funding options for
banks.
Evolution of industry from short term accounts receivables collateral to auto loans, credit card assets
Further evolution into longer tenor securities purchases (arbitrage), mortgage collateral for
warehousing, term assets, etc.
Page 7
Background/History of ABCP
Alternative Funding
9 Additional source of highly liquid funding
9 Asset specific funding program separate from sponsors direct liabilities such as holding
company CP or CDs
9 Utilize alternative funding baskets of money market investors (secured bank risk vs.
unsecured)
Page 8
Three
Types of ABCP Programs
Page 9
Page 10
A Multi-Seller ABCP Conduit is a limited purpose, bankruptcy-remote SPV that provides financing for
receivables pools generated by multiple, unaffiliated originators/sellers
Multi-seller programs are most commonly established and sponsored by large commercial banks and
typically provide financing to that banks corporate clients
These banks typically serve as Program Administrator or Administrative Agent for the Conduit, and
commonly provide liquidity and credit support as well
ABCP issued from a large multi-seller vehicle is typically perceived as low risk for investors due to
9
9
9
9
Page 11
Originator diversification
Asset diversification and Deal-Specific Credit Enhancement
Program-Wide Credit Enhancement and 100% Bank Liquidity Support
Bank Sponsorship
Multi-Seller Schematic
Receivables Generated
Obligors
Obligors
Obligors
Obligors
Obligors
Seller 1
Seller 2
Seller 3
Seller 4
Seller n
Seller
Receivables
advances against
new receivables
True Sale
SPV
Transferor
Receivables
collections
First Priority
Perfected Security
Interest
credit support
payments
Credit
Enhancement
Providers
liquidity advances
ABCP Conduit
fees
Liquidity
Providers
fees
dividends
fees
payments on
maturing ABCP
purchase price
of new ABCP
Conduit
Owner
ABCP Conduit
Administrator
purchase price
of new ABCP
ABCP Investors
(generally money market funds)
Page 12
First Loss /
Equity holder
Page 13
Securities Arbitrage Vehicles these vehicles were set up to efficiently fund the purchase of various types
of securities; the two basic types are Structured Investment Vehicles and Credit Arbitrage Vehicles.
9 Structured Investment Vehicle (SIV): SIVs are market value programs that purchase highly-rated
securities (ABS, corporate debt) and seek to benefit from spread differentials between longer
maturity assets and short term funding.
An SIV would typically fund itself by issuing both CP and MTNs as well as equity-like capital
notes.
SIV-Lites - these structures are hybrids between CDOs and traditional SIVs. In their quest to
gain additional yield particularly in a tightened spread environment, they are more levered than
a typical SIV and often invest in subprime mortgages due to their higher spread.
This combination of higher leverage and exposure to more risky collateral put SIV-Lites
at greater risk when the market started to experience liquidity problems in mid-2007
9 Credit Arbitrage Vehicles expose investors to credit risk, like a cash flow CDO but not market risk
(as with an SIV). They are more passive than a typical SIV and their risk profile tends to follow that of
their sponsors securities portfolio.
Page 14
Loan-Backed similar to a CLO, these are designed to fund a portfolio of bank loans, often to unrated
companies
CDOs: ABCP has also been issued out of CDOs, typically being the most senior class in the capital
structure. CDO-issued ABCP usually benefited from 100% liquidity support
Hybrids: ABCP programs encompassing some characteristics of more than one of the above types of
programs
Page 15
Four
ABCP Conduits: Characteristics
Page 16
Page 17
Page 18
Credit Enhancement
9 Transaction Level used to cover losses on a specific transaction
This is the first level of protection against deterioration of the collateral
Available only to a specific transaction, not to cover losses on other transactions
Forms: Overcollateralization, subordination, excess spread, reserve account, guarantee, or
liquidity facility providing credit protection or partial seller recourse
9 Program-wide used to cover losses across most receivables in the conduit
Page 19
Liquidity Facilities
9 Required to ensure that sources of funds are available to repay maturing CP on a timely basis.
9 Often structured as 364-day renewable facilities (364-day maturity driven by regulatory capital
guidelines)
9 Typically sized at 102% of the transaction limit; the extra 2% for partially hedging interest rate risk.
9 Provided by highly rated financial institutions
9 May be transaction-specific or program-wide
Liquidity Loan Agreement (LLA ) commitment to lend to a conduit when requested
Liquidity Asset Purchase Agreement (LAPA) commitment to purchase an asset when
requested
Page 20
Conduit Ratings
9 The majority of ABCP programs carry the highest short term ratings (P-1, A-1/A-1+, F1/F1+, R-1)
(1), which is the rough equivalent to long-term rating categories in the Aaa to A2 range / AAA to A
range.
Service Providers
9 Aside from credit and liquidity support, Conduits typically have numerous Service Providers,
including some or all of the following:
(1) Moodys, S&P, Fitch, DBRS respectively. DBRS further delineates short term ratings into high, middle
and low
Page 21
Issuance Tests
9 Must be satisfied before ABCP can be issued
9 Non-bankruptcy, positive tangible net worth, sufficient liquidity, asset quality
Page 22
Extendible CP: ABCP programs are structured similar to normal ABCP programs, but the sponsor has
the option to extend the notes to a legal final maturity out to 397 days if new CP cannot be issued to
repay maturing CP on the expected maturity date.
9 Upon extension, investors receive higher spread until the CP is paid down, typically L+25.
9 Extendible programs are market value programs, that is they typically do not have external
liquidity support and rely on the inherent liquidity of the assets through whole loan sales or
securitizations to pay off extendible notes
9 Extendible programs have been used for various types of assets including credit cards, trade
receivables, mortgages, floorplan and student loans
9 Market value swaps are often used in extendible programs to hedge price risk, interest rate
risk or for reasons of liquidity/credit enhancement
9 Some extendible ABCP programs are referred to as Secured Liquidity Notes
Medium Term Notes (MTN): MTNs are not commercial paper but are used by some ABCP vehicles as
an incremental funding source
9 MTNs have maturities ranging from 180 days up to 30yrs and bear long term ratings, often
triple-A and generally issued on a floating rate, interest bearing basis
9 MTNs can be issued to reduce the need for additional backup liquidity as well as diversify
funding sources and locking in longer term funding to complement short term ABCP
9 Opportunistic issuance is also a key advantage of MTNs as the ability to come to market
quickly when favorable conditions prevail could mean the difference between operating in the
red and a profitable trade
Page 23
Five
ABCP Market Trends
Page 24
1980s and early 1990s: ABCP outstanding volume enjoyed strong growth since the markets inception in
the 1980s fueled by tremendous growth in consumer assets such as credit cards and autos plus
regulatory capital pressures on bank balance sheets
9 ABCP evolved from its roots financing trade receivables into an important tool for the financing of
several other asset types
9 Loan-backed programs emerged in the early 1990s
Mid 1990s: Credit arbitrage programs were introduced into the marketplace
Late 1990s: Hybrid programs, Single-Seller programs and Extendible note programs were introduced
Early 2000s: SIVs presence expanded (and experienced rapid growth up until mid 2007)
9 The reduced volume of ABCP in 2002-2004 impacted the corporate CP market more dramaticallyespecially in the non-financial sector and was due to several factors:
9 Given the then-slowed economy, funding needs were generally down
9 A flat yield curve and persistent low rate environment made longer term financing more attractive
9 Increased credit concerns during a period of economic stress evidenced by many corporate
downgrades
9 Uncertainty over pending Regulatory/Accounting changes:
An event which threatened to radically alter the state of the ABCP market was the introduction
of FASB's FIN46/FIN46R in 2003 which required ABCP sponsors to either consolidate conduit
assets on-balance sheet or restructure their programs to transfer the first loss position a third
party.
Page 25
2007: Outstanding U.S. ABCP volume reached a record high in July 2007, hitting nearly $1.2 trillion.
August 2007 generally conceded to be the beginning of the Crash - U.S. ABCP outstandings fell 30%
by year end 2007
2004-2007 Volume Growth was fueled by Market Value Programs - which rely on the liquidity and
viability of Term ABS markets for refinancing and for asset valuation, specifically:
9 Extendible ABCP programs (particularly Mortgage Backed), and
9 SIVs
As the crash in the subprime mortgage market came during the summer of 2007, Market Value
Programs were hit hard by shattered investor confidence and the lack of available liquidity
9 Most Extendible Note Programs were unable to roll paper and were subsequently forced to extend
ABCP with existing noteholders. Most of these programs have shut down.
9 SIVs were impacted on both the asset side (declining values due to marks on collateral) and the
liability side (lack of liquidity drove higher funding costs). As asset values declined and liquidity
dried up, all SIVs have either ended up on the balance sheets of bank sponsors or defaulted.
Page 26
Six
ABCP Market Today
Page 27
Liquidity Crunch subsided for most of 2008 until September, after which it was extreme until US
government liquidity support moves stabilized the market again (late October).
Flight to Quality: Liquidity challenges in 2007 and 2008 eliminated most alternative ABCP programs. For
the foreseeable future the programs that will be favored will be those bank-sponsored, multi-seller
programs covered by traditional liquidity facilities backed by well-diversified portfolios managed by
strong, experienced Sponsors
Market Tiering: Similar to what has occurred in the term ABS market, recent market volatility has also
resulted in tiering among ABCP issuers with the strongest, most experienced sponsors as well as
higher and more stable bank counterparty ratings, getting the best pricing
Death of substantially all Market Value Programs: Market value programs (mainly SIVs) are not likely to
recover soon if at all, as the market value model on which these programs have relied no longer
appears viable
Page 28
Death of most arbitrage programs These were set up to fund Aaa/AAA structured finance securities.
Lack of stability of Aaa/AAA ratings had undermined these
Spread Widening noted throughout 2008 and extreme levels in September has subsided
Credit issues with counterparties and the sudden Lehman bankruptcy created obvious issues several
MMFs Broke the Buck.
The various US federal sponsored programs CPFF and AMLF mainly, are the critical presence in the
market supporting liquidity and smooth trading of all CP, and more particularly ABCP
Page 29
1,400
Corporate CP ( + )
April 1995
$ 588
November 2000
$ 986
September 2003
$ 605
February 2008
$1,036
October 2008
$ 871
(billions)
1,200
Outstandings ($ Billions)
1,000
800
+
600
ABCP ( * )
April 1995
December 2002
September 2004
July 2007
October 2008
(billions)
400
200
*
0
Mar-95
Mar-96
Mar-97
Mar-98
Mar-99
Mar-00
Mar-01
Mar-02
Mar-03
Mar-04
Mar-05
Mar-06
$ 68
$ 695
$ 649
$1,186
$ 712
Mar-07
Mar-08
Page 30
2400
US CP Outstanding ( * )
April 1995
$ 657
December 2000
$1,606
December 2003
$1,289
July 2007
$2,161
October 2008
$1,584
2100
Outstanding $ Billions
1800
1500
*
1200
900
600
300
*
+
0
Mar-95 Mar-96 Mar-97 Mar-98 Mar-99 Mar-00 Mar-01 Mar-02 Mar-03 Mar-04 Mar-05 Mar-06 Mar-07 Mar-08
Source: Moodys Investors Service 3Q08
Page 31
The Crash
July 2007, rating agencies made unexpected rating cuts to several hundred Subprime RMBS.
Downgrade actions made pricing of whole loan mortgage collateral unreliable, leading to margin calls
under repos.
August 2007
9 American Home (a Subprime and Alt-A mortgage REIT) files, Broadhollow (a single-seller
extendible ABCP conduit) extends
9 Extendible ABCP market collapses
9 SIVs, CDOs can no longer fund
March 2008
9 Bear Stearns acquired by JPMorgan
September 2008
9 Lehman files for bankruptcy
9 Reserve Fund breaks the buck, Putnam liquidates
Page 32
7.0
5.0
ABCP 5.55%
4.0
3.0
Financial CP 3.20%
2.0
1.0
LIBOR
ABCP
Financial CP
Non-Financial CP
Jun. 07
5.32
5.28
5.24
5.24
Aug. 07
5.90
6.23
5.30
5.19
Sep. 08
5.30
5.55
3.20
1.99
Non-Financial CP 2.29%
Nov. 08
3.55
2.58
2.52
1.19
Jan-98
May-99
Sep-00
Feb-02
Jun-03
Nov-04
Mar-06
Aug-07
Dec-08
Page 33
7.0
5.0
4.0
3.0
2.0
October 31, 2008
ABCP 1.68%
Fed Funds 0.82%
1.0
6-Dec-99
19-Apr-01
1-Sep-02
14-Jan-04
28-May-05
10-Oct-06
22-Feb-08
6-Jul-09
Page 34
1,400,000,000
Institutional
1,000,000,000
800,000,000
Sept. 16
Sept. 23
Sept. 30
$1.078 trillion
$ 827 billion
$ 768 billion
Nov. 4
$ 778 billion
600,000,000
Retail
400,000,000
200,000,000
0
1-Jan-07
11-Apr-07
20-Jul-07
28-Oct-07
5-Feb-08
15-May-08
23-Aug-08
1-Dec-08
Page 35
1,400,000,000
Prime Funds
1,000,000,000
800,000,000
600,000,000
Government Funds
400,000,000
Prime Funds
Sep. 9
Nov. 4
200,000,000
Change
Gov't Funds
$1,192
779
$ 617
1,004
-413
+387
($ billions)
0
1-Jan-07
11-Apr-07
20-Jul-07
28-Oct-07
5-Feb-08
15-May-08
23-Aug-08
1-Dec-08
Page 36
Government Response
FEDERAL RESERVE
OTHER
Temporary Liquidity Guaranty Program expands FDIC deposit guaranty provides guaranty for newly
issued debt
Page 37
AMLF
CPFF
MMIFF
Announced
Oct. 7, 2008
Operational
Type of Facility
Loan
Purchase
Purchase
CP, ABCP
Financial CP
Counterparty
Banks
Issuers
2a-7 Funds
Cost
OIS + 200/300
Size
None stated
Max Jan-Aug 08
$600 billion
Terminates
Outstanding
$85.1 billion
$243.3 billion
Page 38
Bank of England
9 Special Liquidity Scheme and Discount Window Facility
ECB
9 accepts ABCP as eligible collateral in order to facilitate short-term lending to banks
Page 39
Program Name
Sheffield Receivables Corporation
Gemini Securitization Corp LLC
CAFCO, LLC
CIESCO, LLC
CHARTA, LLC
FCAR Owner Trust
Ranger Funding Company LLC
Barton Capital LLC
Old Line Funding LLC
Falcon Asset Securitization LLC
Yorktown Capital LLC
Variable Funding Capital Corporation
Atlantic Asset Securitization LLC
Galleon Capital LLC
Park Avenue Receivables Company LLC
Clipper Receivables LLC
Jupiter Securitization Company LLC
CRC Funding LLC
Windmill Funding Corporation
DAKOTA CP Notes Program
Administrator
Barclays Bank PLC
Deutsche Bank AG
Citibank, N.A.
Citibank, N.A.
Citibank, N.A.
Ford Motor Credit Company
Bank of America, N.A.
Socit Gnrale
Royal Bank of Canada
JPMorgan Chase Bank
Bank of America, N.A.
Wachovia Bank, N.A.
Calyon
State Street Global Markets LLC
JPMorgan Chase Bank
State Street Global Markets LLC
JPMorgan Chase Bank
Citibank, N.A.
ABN AMRO Bank N.V.
Citibank, N.A.
Outstandings ($000)
20,481
18,606
16,895
15,153
14,575
13,618
13,508
13,080
12,620
11,911
11,769
11,754
11,662
11,511
11,121
10,250
10,097
9,625
9,552
9,000
Page 40
Administrator
Citibank, N.A.
Bank of America, N.A.
JPMorgan Chase Bank
Barclays Bank PLC
Deutsche Bank AG
State Street Global Markets LLC
Royal Bank of Canada
ABN AMRO Bank N.V.
Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi UFJ
Ford Motor Credit Company
Socit Gnrale
Wachovia Bank, N.A.
Calyon
Hudson Castle Group Inc.
WestLB AG
Credit Suisse
BNP Paribas
Bank of Nova Scotia
General Motors Acceptance Corp.
Outstandings ($000)
82,030
49,313
33,183
26,799
25,070
21,761
19,422
17,670
14,572
13,618
13,080
11,754
11,662
10,827
10,688
8,982
8,054
7,719
7,100
Source: Moodys Investors Service 3Q08
Page 41
Asset Type
Oct-08
Aug-07
Change
Floorplan Finance
14,303
9,834
45.40%
Consumer Auto
67,268
66,642
0.90%
Credit Cards
59,143
61,456
-3.80%
Commercial Loans
43,942
44,470
-1.20%
Trade Receivables
42,180
43,914
-3.90%
6,095
9,959
-38.80%
Student Loans
43,637
41,584
4.90%
14,815
32,865
-54.90%
Residential Mortgages
13,484
39,353
-65.70%
Total
304,868
350,077
-12.90%
Total Outstandings
374,668
455,361
-17.70%
81.40%
76.90%
Page 42