Industry Analysis Philcoffee
Industry Analysis Philcoffee
Industry Analysis Philcoffee
and threats in the coffee industry are faced, the country can never achieve
long-term sustainability and viability of the industry.
In a highly liberalized global environment, innovation and creativity in the
countrys coffee industry are needed for survival and revival. In order for the
Philippines to be globally and locally competitive, the country must exert all
efforts to increase coffee productivity and quality, lower the cost of
processing coffee beans and other coffee products, and develop downstream
high-value products through increased investments in research, technical
assistance, expansion, rehabilitation and rejuvenation of coffee farms,
millers, and roasters, and through marketing and promotions of coffee for
domestic and export markets.
of
the
world
2.5
million
during
tons
2007-11.
followed
by
year
This
is
Vietnam
who
with
Indonesia
percent
(7%)
80.00
60.00
40.00
20.00
0.00
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
similar fashion. Coffee Arabica which constitutes 65% of the world production
takes 6-7 years to fully mature and attain its full potential yield, that is, if the
right growing condition is present.
Coffee is predominantly a smallholders crop grown by millions of resourcelimited farmers averaging 10 hectares land holding, mostly in developing
countries in the tropics according to the Fairtrade Foundation.
During the last ten years (2003-2013), the World Coffee production has
grown to 150.7 M bags in 2013 from 126.9 M of bags in 2003 a 15.80 %
increase. Although growth is seen in 2013, this is below the forecasted
volume for the year by 600 thousand bags. Coffee just like other commercial
crops has also historically been subject to both supply and price volatility,
mostly due to production being disrupted by adverse weather such as frost
or drought.
The
World
Coffee
known
as
the
where
coffee
Coffee
is
countries,
while only 45 countries are responsible for over 97 per cent of world output.
The map shows the distribution of coffee growing areas across the tropics,
with the Latin America being the biggest with 60%, followed by Asias 25.5
%, and Africa with 12.6%.
In 2011, world Coffee exports increased by 7 per cent to a record high of 6.2
million tons, with a value of $23.5 billion up from 5.8 million tons in 2010,
worth $16.7 billion. Brazil led with 2 million tons amounting to 31%, followed
by
Vietnam
Colombia
Indonesia
(17%)
(9%)
(6%)
(1
million),
(464,000)
and
(376,000)
Global coffee consumption has grown 28% or 6.3 M Tons to 8.1 M tons of
coffee during the last decade. Consumption steadily grew by around 2.5% a
Vietnam and Indonesia, and has been only producing less than 1 percent of
the world production.
EXCELS A; 6% LIBERICA; 1%
ARABICA; 21%
Philippine Volume
of production
Coffee
Year
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
Producti
on (MT)
107,557
112,271
107,080
106,388
102,865
105,847
104,093
97,877
97,428
96,433
94,536
88,526
88,943
Production
Philippines produce many coffee varieties but production is focused on four
(4) commercial viable coffees Robusta, Arabica, Liberica, and Excelsa.
During the last 12 years, there is continuous downfall of Philippine coffee
production. From years 2000-2012, production has dropped from 107,557 MT
to 88,943 MT per annum. This is equal to 17.30% decrease in the last 12
years or - 1.44% per year. The largest drop-off in production is very apparent
in Davao region showing a 46% decrease in the last 12 years particularly in
the province of Compostella Valley where farmers are shifting to Banana
farming. However, in 2012 production bounced back by almost 400 tons, as
planted coffees in 2008 starts to bear beans. This is under the self-sufficiency
plan of the Philippine Coffee Board (PCB) which aims in making the country
88,943
80,000
volume MT
60,000
40,000
20,000
0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
Robusta
CALABARZON
WESTERN VISAYAS
CAR
NORTHERN MINDANAO
CARAGA
CENTRAL LUZON
ZAMBOANGA PENINSULA
CAGAYAN VALLEY
BICOL REGION
CENTRAL VISAYAS
MIMAROPA
EASTERN VISAYAS
ILOCOS REGION
NCR
8,568
5,695
5,673
5,225
1,787
1,699
993
813
331
239
194
193
86
0
10%
6%
6%
6%
2%
2%
1%
1%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0
63,825
18,783
18,500
18,000
17,500
1,400
10,000
1,200
1,000
8,000
volume MT
6,000
4,000
800
volume MT
600
400
2,000
200
P
roduction of Liberica and Excelsa is minimal in the country and only reached
598 MT and 5,737 MT in 2012, respectively. Combined, they only constitute
about 7% of the total coffee production in the country. There is also a volume
downfall in the last 12 years. Production of Excelsa decreased as much as
4,000 MT since year 2000 with a 3.4% growth annually. Major Excelsa
producing regions are ARMM and Davao region, together producing 60% of
the total volume. Liberica production is also in a downward trend since 2000.
Annual growth is at 4%. Majority of the production are from CALABARZON,
Western Visayas, and ARMM which comprises 438 MT or 73% of the total
production in 2012.
PHILIPPINE COFFEE AREA
Robusta
REGIONAL AREA
ARMM; 11%
Others; 27%
CALABARZON; 12%
SOCCSKSARGEN; 17%
NORTHERN MINDANAO; 12%
DAVAO REGION; 21%
is
Davao
region
with
19,114
hectares
of
farm
followed
by
Arabica
DAVAO; 19%
CALABARZON with 2,406 Hectares which also comprises 27% of the total
Excelsa production. Other Excelsa producing regions are Davao and ARMM
which constitutes around 42% of the total Excelsa planted area. Liberica
coffee on the other hand, also exhibits negative 2.88 % growth in the last 12
years. From 2082 hectares in 2000, total area planted with Liberica is merely
equal to 1360 hectares in 2012. Largest producing region in terms of land
area is ARMM with 600 hectares Liberica plantation which comprises 44% of
the total Liberica land area. Other producing regions are Western Visayas,
CALABARZON and MIMAROPA which together consist 42.22% the total
production area. Both varieties have minimal production in the remaining
regions.
Senility and
experience.
Premium quality: moderate availability good to very good taste
experience.
2006
2007
1241
1168.8
1168.6
2008
3
1155.9
2009
5
1132.2
2010
2
1049.6
2011
3
1063.7
2012
5
Source: BAS, ICO,
1060
1060
181
108.8
38
32
490
525
1720
-551.37
990
1820
-664.05
1385
2125
-992.78
1550
2175
-1125.37
10
1665
2175
-1111.25
1715
& Indexmundi
There are many forms of coffee exported and imported from and to other
countries: the raw coffee beans, the roasted and ground coffee and
Soluble coffee. The soluble coffee import or instant coffee accounts 95% in
the Philippines. The remaining volume is for raw coffee beans primarily
Philippine
marketed to roasters and roasted and ground coffee
Exportation of
for specialty coffee shops.
Soluble Coffee
(Bags)
Yea
The country used to be exporter of coffees before but
r
Volume
due to the supply deficit and high domestic
200
5 33,636.00
consumption we became net importer. Exportation is
200
very minimal since 1990s with the production limited
6 35,314.00
200
to less than half of the domestic consumption. In
7 32,105.00
2012, only 3000 bag of coffee has been exported.
200
8 4,435.00
Trade data from Indexmundi show that imports of
200
9 6,646.00
coffee beans increased from 682 thousand bags in
201
2000 to 1.71 M bags in 2012. Imports are sourced
0 6,338.00
largely from neighboring Asian countries such as Vietnam, Indonesia and
Malaysia. According to the USDA Foreign Agricultural Services imports of
soluble coffee and coffee concentrates grew more than doubled from 19,293
MT in 2009 to 40,200 MT in 2012.
The import figures cannot be 100% accurate due to the reported robust
informal trade between Indonesia and the southern island of Mindanao,
where the majority of plantations are located and coffee manufacturers are
operating (USDA, 2010). The chances are whether there is a formal or
informal trade; the country still is import dependent.
Market sector
Coffee is generally considered to be a household staple even among the
lower economic classes. Soluble or instant coffee accounts for about 95% of
all the coffee consumed in the country. The country is importing an average
of 1.8M bag of coffee per year from Malaysia according to International Trade
Centre (ITC). Domestic coffee consumption is estimated to increase by 6%
per year due to a predicted increase in overall food and beverage
consumption as population and income continues to rise. The booming BPO
industry which has long and varied operating hours from the normal
Philippine workforce is also expected to contribute to the increase in coffee
consumption (USDAFAS, 2011). Although the per capita is less than 1 kg per
year, the country is still a significant importer. Surprisingly, exporting
countries like Thailand and Indonesia also import coffee from other countries
probably other grades of coffee. Without significant increases in production
and with continued growth in domestic consumption, coffee bean and soluble
coffee
imports
will
likely
remain
high
due
to
increasing
domestic
requirement.
Structure of the retail market
Retail sales of coffee (both roasted and instant) in the country are channeled
through a combination of retail shops like sari-sari stores, coffee shops,
supermarkets and hypermarkets, and wholesalers and food brokers. Sari-sari
stores accounts 70% of the total sales of consumer products including coffee
(Wikipedia.org, 2013). Filipinos frequently buy in these stores because of its
presence in almost every corner making it very convenient. Consumers can
also buy in small quantities usually in small packs.
7-
eleven among others today play a much larger role in the retailing of coffee
than they ever did before and supermarket own brands now account for a
sizeable proportion of retail coffee sales. It can be noted that because of the
changing shopping habits of Filipinos, sari-sari stores retail share for coffee
might be lesser and lesser in the coming years. According to the results of a
survey conducted by international market research firm Nielsen, local buying
habits for grocery items especially coffee - are also changing rapidly
because of the proliferation of supermarket chains which are growing their
branch networks to cover areas previously served only by mom and pop
convenience stores.
More importantly, Filipino shoppers now opt to shop frequently with smaller
baskets brought about by the close proximity of the supermarkets to the
homes. Whereas Filipinos used to secure their day-to-day household item
needs from neighborhood sari-sari stores, many have now begun to move to
supermarket shopping for the supply of their essential items (Nielsen as cited
by Philippine Daily Inquirer, 2013). The figure ____ shows this trend.
Source: Nielsen
Roasted coffee is sold in ground form or as whole bean and is packaged in
various types and sizes of cans and packets. Soluble coffee in other
countries are generally sold in jars, however, in the country sachets are very
popular especially 3-in-1 instant coffee - a pre-mixed coffee with sugar and
a creamer. From being packed in big packs of 500 grams and small jars of 50
grams, coffee now commonly packed in small sachets of 15 grams
Each segment accepts a wide range of products, the quality and taste of
which depend largely upon the coffee growths that make up the blends, the
degree of roast, the type of grind, and so on. Most small roasters tend to
specialize in one segment, while larger and in particular multinational
roasters usually service both. The major part of the retail market is, however,
controlled by a handful of huge multinational roasters and the degree of
concentration is increasing. Although this trend was temporarily halted by
the growth in the specialty trade, it is once again accelerating with the rapid
acquisition of small specialty roasters by the multinationals.
Filipinos prefer quite obviously soluble coffee and the instant coffee of Nestle
is the favorite brand. Instant coffee represents 95% of the coffee sold in the
Philippines and is reflects 90% of the total of its coffee imports. A similar
percentage of coffee percentage of instant coffee can be found in Thailand
(95%), South Korea (95%) and Great Britain (90%). The instant coffee came
onto the country from the American soldiers at the end of the 2 nd world war
(Bethge, 2011).
In the county, a multinational roaster, Nestle Philippines with its brand
Nescafe monopolizes 85% of the countrys coffee market. Other companies
like Commonwealth Foods, General Milling Company, Universal Robina
Company or the Starbucks are only nibbling on the outer edge of the
complete coffee cake market. An Indonesian company PT Torabika Eka
Semesta is also getting strong position in the 3 in 1 instant coffee segment
with its halal certified Kopiko brand.
Coffee Shops
Coffee shops or cafs in the Philippines have been gaining popularity but for
more peaceful reasons. According to Euromonitor International, one of the
worlds leading independent providers of business market and industry
reports, specialty coffee shops outgrew other establishments like bars and
restaurants in 2007, posting a double-digit percentage increase.
This, according to Euromonitor, is partly due to the growing popularity of
coffee and its advertised health benefits, as well as the mushrooming
business process outsourcing industry which has significantly enhanced
coffee product sales. Cafs and specialty coffee shops have also become a
status symbol for younger consumers, while the working elite find these
establishments convenient places to hold casual business meetings.
Filipinos have become more discriminating coffee drinkers moving from
ready-to-drink brands to more complex and traditional varieties. And while
coffee remains to be the top product for these establishments, new drinks
like specialty teas as well as food products have also contributed to the rise
in cafs.
From big foreign brands to local and independent establishments, cafs have
become a communitys watering hole, offering more than just coffee and
food, making coffee-drinking more than just a morning ritual. And from the
looks of it, the countrys brewing caf scene has yet to be fully experienced.
The leading coffee shop in the country is Starbucks operated by the Rustans
groups of companies with 206 stores around the country. Due to its premium
signature coffee strategy and international appeal, Starbucks became more
of a status symbol among domestic consumers. Starbucks performed better
than international counterparts such as the Coffee Bean & Tea Leaf and
Gloria Jeans due to the unique experience it offers consumers. Local players
are also significant players in the specialty coffee shops market. Figaro
known for keeping up with their customers and more recently for their health
conscious market has also been a significant player with 160 stores. They are
able to be at par with other foreign coffee shop franchises and maintain their
name as one of the respected coffee shops in the Philippines. Another coffee
shop, the Bos Coffee Club is catering to the very high end coffee market that
has its services and products tailored to suit the needs of high society coffee
drinker.
According to analysts, specialist coffee shops in the Philippines are expected
to continue growing in the coming years. Specialist coffee shops grew in
terms of number of outlets, transactions and value sales. With international
coffee chains gaining popularity and other specialty coffee shops following
suit, more such outlets are likely to appear. The strong growth is mainly
attributed to excellent consumer demand, as coffee drinking has become a
very popular social activity. Coffee shops have become a status symbol for
younger consumers and Filipinos, in general, have started to be more
discriminating in their preferences for coffee. Recognizing the continued
growth potential for coffee shops, many Filipino companies and even growers
of locally produced coffee beans have opened their own businesses. The
support of the local government and agriculture sector to farmers has also
helped to rejuvenate the Philippine coffee industry.
Factors Influencing Demand
1. Income
or
carbonic
acid.
The
processing
steps
are
vaporization,
Machines
and
Italian-made
Wega
semi-automatic
espresso
machines.
Ready to Drink and Concentrates
Canned, ready-to-drink (RTD) coffee was originally developed by the
Ueshima Coffee Company. In 2010, it accounted for close to 20% of total
consumption in Japan, where it is sold mainly through vending machines.
RTD liquid coffee in plastic bottles and in PET packs is also very popular and
is generally sold in supermarkets. It currently accounts for just fewer than
10% of all coffee consumption in Japan. Canned coffee products are also
finding a good market in many emerging markets in Asia, particularly in
China, although the success of the product depends very much on its
availability in vending machines. In the Philippines, there is a growing coffee
vending machine business. It can be seen in almost every corner and
convenience store usually priced at 5-10 pesos/cup. How much these
developments do for coffee consumption or indeed coffee quality is
debatable the coffee content is usually not very high and the coffee taste is
often masked by flavoring (ITC, 2011). Nevertheless, it is a new and growing
niche market.
Specialty coffee
It is often neither viable nor possible to add value to green coffee by
processing at origin. Many coffees are suitable only for blending or
processing into neutral or anonymous end products, including soluble. For
such coffees it is not possible to add monetary value as prices are
determined solely by market conditions. However, reliable and consistent
grading procedures, strict compliance with contractual obligations and
regular delivery will add value in the sense that the product will be preferred
by primary buyers over those from less consistent origins. Certain growths of
coffee,
on
the
other
hand,
may
be
highly
prized
for
their
flavor
Middle East while the other species Coffea Arabbica from Benguet high-end
market in the United States (PCCARD, 2007). There is indeed a bright coffee
for special coffee varieties for the country. Coffee drinkers around the world
have been drinking more specialty or gourmet coffee in recent years. Export
of soluble coffee to Japan is also anticipated to prosper.
Organic Coffee
Organic products have come a long way since small groups of consumers
started buying organic food directly from farms or from small health food
shops, where quality was secondary as long as the products were organic.
But then in the early 1990s supermarket chains started paying systematic
attention to organic food. Year after year they have taken over market share
from the specialized shops, to the point where they drive most of the growth
in the market share of organic food today (ITC, 2011). In the Philippines,
organic products are marketed to niche markets. However, organic producers
have difficulty in setting their prices since the market do not view organic
products as premium. Although Filipinos are slowly catching up to the organic
trend, big corporations have already introduced organic coffees such Nestle
Organic coffee. Recently, Green Bean Organic Coffee Co. (GBOCC) has just
landed in the Philippine with its signature blend called Eco Blend priced at
only P65. GBOCC only produce 100% organic coffee and does not use refined
sugar (Turistatrail, 2013).
The organic coffee is also a bright spot for the Philippine coffee industry
because of the changing market. The growing Health Considerations,
Demand for specialty coffee, and Environmental concerns are seen
continually grow and sustain this segment.
Support sector
The Philippine government has been very supportive just recently to the
once neglected industry. After watching its neighbors become global coffee
heavyweights, the Philippines is taking tentative steps towards regaining its
status as a formidable grower of the bean.
However, that era is a long way back for the Philippines, among the top five
coffee exporters in the world in the 1880s after Spanish friars brought beans
with them to their colonial outpost. The Philippine Coffee Board, an industry
group spearheading the revival attempt, knows the country cannot compete
with the likes of current regional exporting giants Indonesia and Vietnam in
volume.
So they are aiming for niche markets and targeting the fast-growing number
of young Filipinos who crowd cafes across the country of 93 million people.
The Philippines has a lot of exotic coffee that can capitalize on. Coffee board
co-chairwoman Pacita Juan said the Philippines had long had a thriving
coffee-drinking culture with a populace that favored coffee over tea, and this
was becoming stronger as society modernized. Filipinos are drinking more
coffee with the change in lifestyles. BPO industries as well as Hotels are
growing market opportunities for better coffee not just instant coffee.
Marketing and Credit Support
The PCB is promoting "Kape Isla," which loosely translates to "Island Coffee"
and is a trademark to distinguish specialty coffees grown in the Philippines. It
is also helping entrepreneurs set up small coffee shops across the country
where they can offer their own regional blends. In this way, they can
compete with the global giants such as Starbucks, whose local outlets sell
specialty coffees generally only from Africa and South America.
The gourmet coffee products that the Philippines are starting to offer include
special "premium Arabica" blends and the strong "Barako" bean that is
favored by Filipinos. Special varieties found only in isolated areas are also
being developed, as is production of "civet coffee" -- made from beans eaten
and excreted by civet cats.
This marketing and promotion on specialty coffees are done because the
country cannot surely compete in terms of volume. In contrast, other Asian
countries produce beans on large plantations with advanced processing
technology. In the country the number of coffee processing facility can be
only count by hand. Coffee farmers often complain about the lack of roasting
facilities in their area making them dependent to low prices of their raw
coffees. The PCB has already committed and hoping to regain coffee selfsufficiency in the country.
Another support activity from the government is the allotment of P5 Million
to develop the CVSU-NCRDEC to boost-up Research and Development for
coffee processing.
Moreover, Nestle provides buying stations at strategic locations in the
country and it also offers a guaranteed floor price of P45/kg of green beans.
The Land Bank of the Philippines and the Development Bank of the
Philippines offer production loan assistance to interested coffee farmers. The
government also allotted 3.1 Million pesos for the rehabilitation of coffee
farms in Compostella valley where significant decrease in production is seen.
Senator Kiko Pangilinan in 2011 has also allotted P10 Million pesos for the
Echo demo farms to be set in coffee growing regions and funding 10 for
Coffee demo farm with P 150,000 each.
Technical Support
PCB estimated that leading efforts to revitalize the local coffee sector, to be
worth P40 billion, employing about 70,000 farmers in 22 provinces (Dumlao,
2013). Technical highly trained people from the different universities and the
private sector has been made available for consultation. The PCB and the National
Competitiveness Council are working together to draft a roadmap to increase the competitiveness of the
Philippines in the coffee world, and make the Philippines a net coffee exporter again in about 10 to 15
years. The former Nicomedes P. Eleazar, the chief of bureau of agricultural research (bar) committed to
sustain the Philippine coffee industry. Dr. Ruel M. Mojia, the OIC of NCRDEC also commits to increase
the coffee production and productivity; strengthen coffee processing to improve quality; diversify by
promotion local consumption, and look beyond the traditional market, and trade relations. And
W,
2011.
In
the
Nescafe
Country,
philippines.de/nescafe.htm
http://turistatrails.blogspot.com/p/about-me.html
in
http://www.insights-
TRENDS
The government and the private sector are both making efforts to
increase local coffee production, in order to reduce the reliance on
imports. In 2012, however, local production in the Philippines still did not
meet coffee demand in the country. The country imports the rest of its
coffee requirements from Vietnam, Indonesia and other Asian countries. In
2012, the key player in the coffee industry, Nestl Philippines Inc, opened
a new coffee centre in Batangas City that will increase access to new
coffee farming techniques in a bid to increase the number of coffee
producers and production in the Philippines.
COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE
Nestl Philippines Inc dominates coffee sales with a value share nearly
90%, due to its strong positioning and leadership in the instant coffee
sector. The companys Nescaf brand was one of the first instant coffee
brands in the country and hence was able to establish a large and loyal
consumer base through effective advertising, continuous innovation and
the good quality of its coffee products. Its programmes to help develop the
domestic coffee industry also give the company an competitive edge.
PROSPECTS
The more widespread health and wellness trend in the forecast period
will encourage various brand manufacturers to produce organic and
decaffeinated coffee variants to prevent a decline in the consumer base
and capture a greater share of health-conscious consumers. There might
be more marketing activities that will highlight the benefits of coffee, as
manufacturers attempt to counter any negative perception about the
drink. The positive economic outlook in the forecast period will benefit
both the instant and fresh coffee categories.
Marketing
Domestic Coffee
Consumption (1000
bags)
Calend
Volume
ar Year
2003
1,390
2004
1,300
2005
1,310
2006
1,220
2007
1,285
2008
1,380
2009
1,690
2010
2,220
2011
2,839
2012
3,660
2013
2,600
Source: indexmundi
Hectares
25000
Banana
20000
Coffee
15000
10000
5000
0