Niti Brief # 1: National Institution For Transforming India (NITI) Project Appraisal and Management Division
Niti Brief # 1: National Institution For Transforming India (NITI) Project Appraisal and Management Division
Niti Brief # 1: National Institution For Transforming India (NITI) Project Appraisal and Management Division
NITI BRIEF # 1
Overview: National Development Agenda, Fourteenth Finance
Commission and the Union Budget 2015-16
The first meeting of the Governing Council of NITI was held on 8th
February 2015. The meeting endorsed the outline of a National
Development Agenda and agreed to function as an organic Team India.
Later in the month, the recommendations made by the Fourteenth Finance
Commission (FFC) in its report submitted to the President on December
15, 2014 has been presented to Parliament; the Economic Survey 2014-15
and the Budget 2015-2016 have also been presented. In the following, we
present an overview of the implications of the FFC recommendations and
the Union Budget 2015-16 for the national development agenda.
Alongside, we also bring out the key elements of the outlook presented in
the Economic Survey 2014-15.
2.
II.
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FAQs.
Page 1
I.
1.2
1.3
1.4
1.5
1.6
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1.7
Table 2
Basic Grant
(Rs. in cr)
Gram
Panchayats
Municipalities
1,80,263
Performance
Grant (Rs. in
cr)
20,029
69,715
17,428
1.8
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Unit
%
201112
-
201213
5.1
201314
6.9
% of GDP
% of GDP
%
33.9
38.2
2.9
31.8
36.6
1.1
30.6
32.3
-0.1
201415
7.4
(AE)
na
na
2.1b
%
%
%
8.9
8.4
-4.2
7.4
10.4
-4.7
6.0
9.7
-1.7
3.4b
6.2b
-1.9c
%of GDP
%of GDP
%of GDP
5.7
4.4
2.7
4.8
3.6
1.8
4.5d
3.2d
1.2d
4.1e
2.9e
0.8e
Note:
b: April-December 2014; c: April- September 2014; d: Fiscal indicates for
2013-14 are based on the provisional actual; e: Budget Estimates
2.3 It may be seen from Table 3 that the GDP growth rate is showing an
increasing trend. Declining rates of savings and capital formation are a
matter of concern. WPI inflation has declined from an average of 8.9 in
2011-12 to 3.4 in 2014-15. CPI has also exhibited a declining trend from
2012-13 onwards. The current account deficit has contracted from 4.7
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4.
3.2
3.3
4.2
4.3
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5.
5.1 The Union Budget 2015-16 was presented on 28th Feb 2015. The
headline numbers for Plan Expenditure are as under:
Table 4: Plan Expenditure (Rs. Crore)
2013-14
(Actuals)
201415
(BE)
201415
(RE)
201516
(BE)
453327
Over
2014-15
(RE)
-0.6%
340479
37.3%
10.1%
A2)
Central 112849 338408 278168 204784
Assistance to
States/
UT
plans
263095 247941 237045 317889
B) IEBR*
C)
Central 603573 484532 426811 578382
Plan
outlay
(A1+B)
*Internal Generation and Extr-budgetary Resources
-26.4%
-39.5%
34.1%
35.5%
28.2%
19.4%
A)
Central
Plan
Expenditure, of
which
A1) Budgetary
support
for
Central Plan
Over
2014-15
(BE)
-19.1%
The Central Plan 2015-16 stands at Rs 5.78 lakh cr, exceeding the
B.E. 2014-15 by Rs 93,849 cr. The Central Plan includes Gross
Budgetary Suppoer (GBS) of Rs 260493 cr and Internal Extra
Budgetary Resources (IEBR) [of PSUs] of Rs 317889 cr
5.3
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5.5
5.6
5.7
The Block grant component has been reduced from Rs.78,126 crore
in 2014-15 (BE) to Rs.27,233 crore in 2015-16 (BE). The allocation
for Block grants given by the erstwhile Planning Commission to
States/ UTs in terms of Normal/ Additional Central Assistance/
Special Plan Assistance, etc. has been discontinued in 2015-16.
Table 5 below summarizes the provisions under Central Assistance
to State Plan 2015-16.
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Table 5
Central Assistance to State Plans (CASP)
Category
1
A Schemes to be
fully supported
by Union
Government
B Schemes to be
run with the
Changed
Sharing Pattern
C Schemes
delinked from
Union Support
D Other Schemes
No. of
Program
mes
RE
2014-15
BE
2015-16
Variati
on (54)
34
20
105761.3 118512.2
118537.7
4
1
138524.2 103021.6 78229.8
5
5
12750.
87
24791.
85
-25.49
60294.
45
5928.99
4585.64
31
67773.14 58355.05
4584.6
4
58355.
05
74980.
67
5927.9
9
67773.
14
134021
.1
Variati
on (53)
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II
2.1
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3.2
3.3
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3.4
3.5
3.6
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4.2
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4.5
4.6
V.
FAQs:
1) How do FFC and Union Budget 2015-16 impact categories like
Plan and Non Plan expenditure?
The FFC has taken a holistic view of Revenue Expenditure of
States, without making any distinction between Plan and Non-Plan
expenditure (para 7.28 of 14th FFC Report refers). While assessing
expenditure of the State Governments, the contribution from Centre
towards Centrally Sponsored Scheme Grants has been excluded but
share of States in Centrally Sponsored Schemes has been included.
Based on this approach, devolution of 42% has been recommended
by FFC, which has translated in to an additional transfer of Rs 1.78
lakh crores to States.
However, in the Union Budget for 2015-16, the Central
Government has continued to reflect public expenditure under Plan
and Non-Plan categorisation. This distinction is expected to continue
for the present at least till the end of 12th Plan. In the Union
Budget, Central Assistance to State Plan to States is kept at Rs
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2.04 lakh cr. This is over and above additional transfer of Rs.
1.78 lakh crore under 14th FFC award.
2) What does Plan expenditure in the Union Budget comprise?
Plan expenditure had two components:
a)
Central Plan; and
b)
Central Assistance to State Plans of which Centrally
Sponsored Schemes (CSS) are implemented by the States out of
scheme based allocations made by Central Ministries. In the past,
this component also included Block Grants comprising, inter-alia,
Normal Central Assistance (NCA) to all States; Additional Central
Assistance to General Category; Special Central Assistance and
Special Plan Assistance (SPA) to Special Category States; One Time
ACA and Other ACA; and Externally Assisted Projects (EAPs)
where Central Government in addition to providing sovereign
guarantee to loans form World Bank and Asian Development Bank
also contributed 90% share of the loans given to Special Category
States by these International Agencies. Following the FFC, these
items have been subsumed in the larger 42% devolution of the
divisble pool to States and no longer appear in the plan expenditures.
3) What is the devolution formula in 13th and 14th Finance
Commission?
Table 1
Variable
Population (1971)
Demographic Change (population 2011)
Fiscal Capacity/ Income Distance
Area
Forest Cover
Fiscal discipline
Weights accorded
TFC
FFC
25
17.5
0
10
47.5
50
10
15
0
7.5
17.5
0
100
100
Where:
a) Population is the population of the State as per the 1971 census;
b) Demographic Change are changes in population since 1971;
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The Divisible pool is the portion of gross tax revenue which is distributed
between the Centre and States. The divisible pool consists of all taxes,
except surcharge (for example, for education) and cess (for example on
coal) levied for specific purpose, net of collection charges.
5) What does Increase in Fiscal Space for States mean?
a)
The Government has accepted FFC award of 42% of the
divisible pool to States as against the previous share of 32%. Based
on B.E. of net
Tax Receipts for 2015-16, States share is Rs 5.26
1
lakh crores . This is about Rs. 1.78 lakh crores more than in
2014-15. This represents increase in untied
funds available to the State
Governments (though not necessarily in gross funds).
b)
In addition, 11 States have been identified for revenue deficit
grant of Rs.
1,94,821 crore over five years beginning with
2015-16. In 2015-16, the amount is likely to be Rs 48, 906 cr2
c)
In addition the Commission has worked out the total grant to
local bodies as Rs 2.87 lakh cr for five years. In 2015-16, Grant
for Local Bodies is expected to
be Rs 37,333 cr3
Table 2 Grants to Local Bodies
in Rs. Crore
Gram
Panchayats
Municipalities
Basic
Performance
Grant
Grant
1,80,263
20,029
69,715
17,428
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GadgilMukherjee
Formula
60%
25%
(5)
7.5 %
7.5 %
100
Page 19
201415
(RE)
201516
(BE)
1) Central
338408 278168 204784
Assistance to
States/ UT
plans
236592 189766 260493
37.3%
2) Budgetary
support for
Central Plan
-0.6%
Total Central Plan 575000 467934 465277
Expenditure (1+2)
a) While increase in transfer of funds to States as per 14 th FFC
award is (Rs 1.78 lakh cr, the Central Assistance to State Plan
has been reduced by Rs 1,33,624 cr.)
b) This includes a new categorization of nearly 20 Programmes that
are listed as Schemes where funding pattern will undergo a
change. Some of these include multiple Schemes. A change in
funding pattern could imply that State Governments may have to
expend more amounts out of their available 14th FFC devolutions.
However, this is also in line with their expressed demand for
more untied funds and freedom to design schemes as per State
specific requirements.
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9) How will the 12th Five Year Plan (2012-17) continue for the
remaining two years (2015-16 and 2016-17)?
The 12th Five Year Plan is in the third year of implementation and the
Mid-Term Appraisal (MTA) is being done. The M.T.A will indicate the
Road Map for a transition over 1-2 years (remaining 2 years of the 12th
Plan) during which programs and policies need to become more strategic
and long term for which NITI will work closely with the Central and State
Governments. A milestone would be 2022 (75th year of independence)
which has been termed as the A Amrut Mahotsav by the Finance
Minister in his Budget Speech on 28th Feb 2015.
10) What is the change in the Procedure for Annual Plan discussions
w.e.f. 2015-16?
(i) In the erstwhile Planning Commission every year Annual Plans of
States were decided on the basis of
Letter from the Secretary, Planning Commission between Oct-Dec.
each year to Chief Secretaries requesting for intimating their Draft
Annual Plans.
Resource discussions between Adviser (FR), Planning Commission
and State Finance Secretaries by way of letters/Video Conferences/
Meetings to decide the quantum of Plan resources comprising Own
Resources of the States, Borrowings and Additional Resource
Mobilization (ARM) measures.
Thereafter, Chief Ministers and the then Deputy Chairman and
Members of the Planning Commission had Annual Plan discussions
preceded by discussions at the official levels.
At these discussions the Plan size of every State was decided on the
basis of review of resources, progress of schemes and new
proposals.
The Plan size for larger States comprised States Own Resources
including Borrowings, Central Assistance to State Plans. Formula
based Normal Central Assistance and One Time Additional Central
Assistance as Block Grants plus some Centrally Sponsored
Schemes.
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For the 8 North-Eastern States and J&K, H.P, and Uttrakhand the
Plan size had, in addition to the above, Untied Block Grants (Special
Central Assistance) and Tied Block Grants (Special Plan Assistance)
Assistance to these States under Centrally Sponsored Schemes was
being given to the extent of 90% Central Government share and 10%
of their own contribution.
(ii) Since 2014-15, the Annual Plan process has been simplified by
communicating Block grants to State Governments through letters. CSS
amounts are disbursed by Ministries.
(iii) The interaction between State Government and NITI will shift
in favour of interaction between the States and Centre on program
implementation after the FFC recommendations as each State will
now have more space for determining its priorities and higher degree
of predictability of resources available.
*****
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