Evolution and Rebirth of Ecommerce in India
Evolution and Rebirth of Ecommerce in India
Evolution and Rebirth of Ecommerce in India
Since the e Commerce industry is fast rising, changes can be seen over a year. The sector in India
has grown by 34% (CAGR) since 2009 to touch 16.4 billion USD in 2014. The sector is
expected to be in the range of 22 billion USD in 2015. Currently, eTravel comprises 70% of the
total eCommerce market. eTailing, which comprises of online retail and online marketplaces, has
become the fastest-growing segment in the larger market having grown at a CAGR of around
56% over 2009-2014. The size of the eTail market is pegged at 6 billion USD in 2015. Books,
apparel and accessories and electronics are the largest selling products through eTailing,
constituting around 80% of product distribution. The increasing use of smartphones, tablets and
internet broadband and 3G has led to developing a strong consumer base likely to increase
further. This, combined with a larger number of homegrown eTail companies with their
innovative business models has led to a robust eTail market in India rearing to expand at high
speed
up-stream infrastructure will then need to be built as a layer over this last-mile
network with strategic location choices of fulfillment centers proximal to delivery
modes. The operations will need to be tightly controlled in such a way that the
inventory stocks are converted to parcels and pushed down the chain efficiently, as
well as that the fulfillment centers are replenished. The balance between inventory
and supply chain costs is therefore a dynamic decision to be taken, considering both
cost and service level considerations. While the conventional logistics models have
evolved in a way to expand reach for businesses at the lowest cost in a push
model, e-commerce businesses will feel the need for greater agility in their supply
chain that will be more responsive to customer demands that are variable and less
predictable. The sheer variety of the product and destination choices and fulfillment
modes will mean that the provider cannot afford to stock the entire supply chain
with sufficient inventory to fulfill customer needs. The customer order point will
need to be pushed further upstream, from where pull from the customer is
recognised, tracked and met through rapid fulfillment methods.
The implications of product choices on infrastructure networks
The network design and the agility of the supply chain will also be influenced by the
products carried. E-retailers have been able to attract significant customers to
online buying but these are still limited to very exclusive categories such as
consumer electronics, apparels and lifestyle, books, music and video. In the future,
other categories such as food and beverages, departmental store, home
furnishings, autoparts, healthcare and office equipment will also see increased ecommerce activity.
It is important to note that each product category will have its own customised
logistics requirements which can alter the balance between inventory and supply
chain costs. Within the apparel and lifestyle category, for example, localised
suppliers or warehouses can be used to good effect in tune with the buying patterns
and ensuring seasonal inventory replenishment. For books, music and video, a large
centralised inventory for a large region may be better suited. For consumer
electronics and durables, which have lesser SKU proliferation, higher product value
and higher security and handling needs, a JIT and direct fulfillment model may need
to be put in place. For hot and cold merchandising, localised sourcing and
continuous availability of temperature controlled infrastructure throughout the
supply chain becomes the critical need. The challenge is to ensure that the supply
chain needs of the specific product segments are married with customer
propositions that offer better customer value than traditional retail models.
Logistics infrastructure to be the weakest link in the Indian e-commerce story
Logistics in developing economies such as India may act as the biggest barrier to
the growth of the e-commerce industry. Till date, logistics models developed in India
target the metropolitan and the Tier-1 cities where there is a mix of affluent and
middle classes and the internet penetration is adequate. In India, about 90% of the
goods being ordered online are moved by air, which increases the delivery costs for
the e-retailers. Most e-retailers were initially dependent on third party delivery
firms. However as the market evolves and customer expectations increase, city or
geography centric service levels are becoming the need of the hour. Moreover,
issues specific to e-retailing such as the problems associated with fake addresses,
cash-on-delivery and higher expected return rates have made e-retailers consider
setting up their captive capital intensive logistic businesses. For instance, Flipkart
has set up several regional warehouses and is constantly increasing the supplier
base across the country to achieve low transportation cost by ensuring delivery
from the nearest supplier or regional warehouse. Flipkart is growing its logistics arm
E-Kart whereas Amazon India is building capacities with its logistic arm Amazon
Logistics. While establishing the captive logistics infrastructure was a consequence
of need for better service delivery by actively controlling the logistics chain, it has
pushed up the delivery costs. According to industry benchmarks, the delivery cost in
the captive logistics models are 10 to 2% expensive than the 3PLs whose expertise
lies in quick delivery at an affordable cost. Further, the logistics set-up and
requirements in developing countries are also dependent on the purchasing
behaviour of the customers
Business Model
E-commerce market in India has started to become
crowded and complex with several players fighting
for a fair share of customers mind and wallet. As
the competition in the e-commerce heats up, the
companies are using multiple business models in order
to get customer attention including:
Inventory model e.g. Shopper Stop, Croma
Social networks e.g. TripAdvisor
Aggregator Model e.g. Ola Cabs
e-Marketplace e.g. Flipkart, Snapdeal
Transaction broker e.g. IRCTC
Click and Collect service e.g. Amazon
To survive and sustain operations in the competitive
market, companies are also taking advantage of one or
multiple revenue models including:
Advertising revenue model e,g. Yahoo.com
Subscription revenue model e.g. Flintobox
Transaction fee model e.g. eBay
Sales revenue model e.g. Amazon
Affiliate revenue model e.g. CouponDunia
Enabling Technologies
Trends
Time for stronger Mergers & Acquisitions: The year
2014 saw some high profile mergers and acquisition
in the Indian digital commerce sector. The biggest one
being the Flipkart and Myntra merger, which was ` 20
billion deal helping reduce completion in the market.
The Ibibo Group, a subsidiary of the South African mass
media company Naspers, acquired Pilani Soft Labs,
which runs bus ticketing website redBus.in for about
$135 million. Ola Cabs acquired the rival TaxiForSure for
$200 million to eliminate competition. These deals have
further bolstered investor confidence in the sector. M&A
trends are expected to follow in the coming years as
the industry consolidates backed by high valuations and
scaling up operations.
Living on valuations: The staggering growth of
digital commerce is attracting investors from within
and outside the country. The homegrown players
Flipkart and Snapdeal are taking every necessary step
to stay ahead in the race. Online players remain optimistic
of the profitability of their ventures in the long
term and continue to invest heavily to build capabilities
and gain bigger share of the market.
As per analysts, the ` 200 billion investments in e-commerce
in 2014 were driven by sky-high valuations. 11
The valuation of Flipkart sharply increased from $1.9
billion at the start of 2014 to reach $11 billion by the
end of the year. 12 It raised $1.9 billion in three rounds
of fund raising despite incurring losses of around ` 4
billion. Similarly, Snapdeal saw its valuation increase
from $350 million to $3 billion after raising funds of
$850 million. 13 Snapdeal also posted losses of ` 2.64
billion in FY14. 14 The valuation can play a major role
for an e-commerce player irrespective of the profitability
of the company.
Vertical specific e-tailers on the rise: Vertical specific
e-tailers find it motivating to focus on a niche product
or service as they can differentiate their services from
mainstream e-commerce players. The value proposition
size of players.
From a transport app service provider Uber in the west
to Ola Cabs in India, the aggregator model has already
written its success story. Aggregators could be market
creators (e.g. eBay, Zomato, Portea Medical) providing a
digital environment where buyers and sellers can meet
and transact or transaction brokers (e.g. MakeMyTrip,
BookMyShow) to process online transactions for
consumers. Their revenue model is generally based on
transaction fees for enabling or executing the transaction
and value proposition is convenience, on-demand
and cost effectiveness for the consumer. Although
the backend of these marketplaces involves extremely
complex integration to create sharing economy, but
the success of these ventures depends on the simplified
experience they can provide to buyers, sellers, and even
the employees. Hence, simplicity is the core to these
types of ventures providing the user desired products
and services at the click of a button. For example,
Ola Cabs punchline Book a taxi with one touch! The
customer, on the other side, not only appreciates the
WOW experience but is also ready to pay for the value
he or she receives.
These companies are poised to disrupt the incumbents
in several sectors such as transport, travel, hospitality,
pharmaceutical among others. This is influencing the
growth of vertical e-commerce in India with startups
such as Portea Medical, Foodpanda, RedBus, Housing.
com building on the customer loyalty and lifetime value
by offering a compelling buying experience so that the
customer moves from brick and mortar stores to online
platforms.
Retailers exploring omni-channel presence
Omni-channel retailing is a relatively new concept that
refers to the development of a seamless approach to
the consumer experience through all available shopping
channels, such as brick-and-mortar stores, smartphones,
tablet computers, personal computers, direct mail, television,
radio, catalog, and the likes.
With e-tailer disrupting the traditional shopping, every
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