Campus Maverick - US Telco LTD
Campus Maverick - US Telco LTD
Campus Maverick - US Telco LTD
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Table of contents
CompanyBackground
Questions
01
CompanyBackground
US Telco Limited is a holding company that operates as a real estate
investment trust (REIT) which owns, operates, and develops multitenant
communications real estate. US Telcos major presence is in the United States
with some presence in Canada and EU through its fully owned subsidiaries. Its
primary business is property operations, which includes the leasing of space on
communications sites to wireless service providers, radio and television
broadcast companies, wireless data providers, government agencies and
municipalities, and tenants in various other industries. Its US property segment
includes operations in the United States, and its services segment offers towerrelated services in the United States.
In addition to leasing space on towers to wireless communications companies,
US Telco plans to expand its services segment in other regions and provide
customized colocation solutions through in-building systems, distributed
antenna systems and other right-of-way options, managed rooftops, and
services that increase the speed of network deployment.
The company has a strong asset base that can cater to new tenants and new
equipment for existing tenants on its sites. The company's communications real
estate portfolio consisted of 85,000 communications sites, including 35,000
domestic communications towers and 50,000 international communications
towers. The company has a well-established domestic and international tenant
base. Around 65% of domestic revenues come from five clients and 45% of
international revenues come from four established global clients in India (two
clients with 25% of international revenue) and Nigeria (two government
agencies with 20% of international revenue).
As part of its growth strategy, the company is currently looking at various
organic and inorganic opportunities that will facilitate strong growth and
increased presence in both the national and international market. US Telco has
also identified four preliminary targets in case it decides to grow inorganically.
In order to achieve the above-mentioned goals, the management has
approached Deloitte to provide its expert opinion on various growth options.
Industry Trends
The global wireless network infrastructure market stood at $52 billion
in 2014
Global Long-Term Evolution (LTE) revenue is up 9 percent year-over-year,
totaling $6.1 billion
Significant economic incentive exists for carriers to choose a colocation
model over building their own site
Approximately 63% of sites in the US are on owned land or have a ground
lease with at least 20 years until renewal
02
Geographic Benchmarks
Country-wise benchmarks (2015)
GDP Growth
Rate (%)
Telecom
Penetration
(%)
US
2.2%
80%
Argentina
2.9%
83%
Namibia
5.1%
110%
Czech Republic
-0.7%
75%
Competitive
Intensity
Regulatory
Environment
03
Legal Protection
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
383
425
480
525
567
595
11%
13%
9%
8%
5%
Revenue Growth
Operating Expenses
287
319
360
394
425
446
As a % of revenue
75%
75%
75%
75%
75%
75%
EBITDA
115
128
144
157
170
179
EBITDA Margin
30%
30%
30%
30%
30%
30%
(73.0)
(93.7)
(96.5)
(30.8)
(33.4)
(32.8)
(0.9)
(0.8)
(1.1)
(0.9)
(0.8)
(0.6)
Capital Expenditures
Change in Working Capital
WACC: 10; Tax Rate: 30%
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2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
297
336
366
391
407
419
13%
9%
7%
4%
3%
Revenue Growth
Operating Expenses
202
228
249
266
277
285
As a % of revenue
68%
68%
68%
68%
68%
68%
EBITDA
104
117
128
137
142
147
EBITDA Margin
35%
35%
35%
35%
35%
35%
(20.8)
(23.5)
(25.6)
(27.4)
(28.5)
(29.4)
(0.8)
(0.5)
(0.4)
(0.4)
(0.2)
(0.2)
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
12
16
23
36
51
82
30%
47%
58%
42%
60%
16
22
29
40
50
80
134%
140%
126%
111%
98%
97%
(3)
(2)
(3)
(1)
10
19
EBITDA Margin
-23%
-11%
-14%
-3%
19%
23%
Capital Expenditures
(4.1)
(3.9)
(8.3)
(11.6)
(8.7)
(9.9)
(1.2)
(0.1)
(0.3)
(0.5)
(0.6)
(1.2)
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
79
97
125
164
207
242
23%
29%
31%
26%
17%
65
85
99
133
176
194
82%
87%
79%
81%
85%
80%
36
42
45
66
87
109
46%
43%
36%
40%
42%
45%
(19.0)
(17.5)
(20.1)
(27.9)
(26.9)
(21.8)
(1.5)
(0.6)
(0.8)
(0.9)
(1.0)
(0.8)
Capital Expenditures
Change in Working Capital
05
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
421
459
491
511
526
542
9%
7%
4%
3%
3%
Revenue Growth
Operating Expenses
278
303
324
337
347
358
As a % of revenue
66%
66%
66%
66%
66%
66%
EBITDA
177
193
206
214
221
228
EBITDA Margin
42%
42%
42%
42%
42%
42%
Capital Expenditures
(8.4)
(9.2)
(9.8)
(10.2)
(10.5)
(10.8)
(0.5)
(0.2)
(0.2)
(0.1)
(0.1)
(0.1)
EBITDA Multiple
EV Multiple
NPV Multiple
Deal 1
10.20x
0.90x
4.20x
Deal 2
10.30x
1.20x
3.80x
Deal 3
11.50x
1.60x
4.80x
Deal 4
20.50x
0.90x
5.70x
Deal 5
12.00x
1.50x
9.60x
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Data Sheet
Additional Information
From 2011 to 2016, industry revenue declined at an annualized rate of 4.6% to
$25 billion. In 2016, revenue is expected to grow by 3.9%.
Demand from the Wireless Telecommunications Carriers industry is expected to
steadily rise, while demand from the Radio Broadcasting industry and Television
Broadcasting industry is also anticipated to somewhat increase over the next
five years. From 2016 to 2021, industry revenue is expected to recover at an
average annual rate of 1.6% to $2 7.1 billion.
The mobile phone market in the US has reached nearly saturation levels.
Smartphone penetration in the country is about 77.1%. Accordingly, mobile
phone subscription growth will be negatively impacted. As the wireless industry
continues to mature, future wireless growth will increasingly depend on the
carriers' ability to offer innovative data services to customers, which in turn,
will depend on the availability of additional spectrum.
The telecom sector in the United States is witnessing significant spectrum and
capacity constraints on the wireless network in certain markets. Such
constraints will limit the carriers' ability to increase and expand to additional
markets in the coming years. The impending saturation and unavailability of
spectrum will impact wireless growth prospects in the United States.
Customer demand for communication real estate could be adversely affected by
the emergence and growth of new technologies, which could make it possible
for wireless carriers to increase the capacity and efficiency of their existing
networks. The increased use of spectrally efficient technologies could
potentially reduce the demand for tower-based antenna space.
Additionally, certain complementary network technologies, such as femtocells
and wireless fidelity (Wi-Fi), could reduce the dependency on tower-based
networks and also reduce the need for carriers to add more equipment at
certain communications sites. In addition, any increase in the use of network
sharing, roaming, or resale arrangements by wireless service providers could
adversely affect customer demand for tower space.
Consolidation among wireless carriers could impact customer demand for the
communications sites, because the existing networks of wireless carriers often
overlap. In addition, if wireless carriers share their sites or permit equipment
location swapping on their sites with other carriers to a significant degree, it
could reduce demand for communications sites.
Consumers demand for broadband technologies and the speed at which they
shift to 4G technologies will influence capital expenditure on wireless
infrastructure beyond 2016. To effectively compete in a market for products
07
08
Questions
Question 1: Given the current business/industry situation, what are the some
of the growth avenues that US Telco should look at and why?
Question 2: From the list of preliminary targets identified by US Telco, what
are the two most attractive targets and why?
Question 3: For the two targets identified, what buying price would you
recommend to US Telco?
Question 4a: What would be the key integration risks and considerations
that US Telco will have to consider to integrate successfully with your
chosen target?
Question 4b: Please provide recommendations that US Telco will have to
execute in the short term (30 days) and long term (180 days)
Note: Please state any assumptions you make very clearly
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About Deloitte
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Copyright 2016 Deloitte Development LLC. All rights reserved.
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