Determining The Sample Size (Discrete Data)
Determining The Sample Size (Discrete Data)
Before you can calculate a sample size, you need to determine a few things about
the target population and the sample you need:
1. Population Size how many total people fit your demographic? For
instance, if you want to know about mothers living in the US, your population
size would be the total number of mothers living in the US. Dont worry if you
are unsure about this number. It is common for the population to be unknown
or approximated.
2. Margin of Error (Confidence Interval) No sample will be perfect, so you
need to decide how much error to allow. The confidence interval determines
how much higher or lower than the population mean you are willing to let
your sample mean fall. If youve ever seen a political poll on the news, youve
seen a confidence interval. It will look something like this: 68% of voters said
yes to Proposition Z, with a margin of error of +/- 5%.
3. Confidence Level How confident do you want to be that the actual mean
falls within your confidence interval? The most common confidence intervals
are 90% confident, 95% confident, and 99% confident.
4. Proportion What is your current estimate of the proportion of the
population
Z is the value from the standard normal distribution reflecting the confidence level
that will be used (e.g., Z = 1.96 for 95%)
In order to ensure that the 95% confidence interval estimate of the proportion of
freshmen who smoke is within 5% of the true proportion, a sample of size 385 is
needed.
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Example 3: In the Al Haouz project in Morocco, it has been estimated that roughly 30% (0.3) of the
children in the project area suffer from chronic malnutrition. This figure has been taken from
national statistics on malnutrition in rural areas. Use of the standard values listed above provides
the following calculation.
Answer
n=
1.96 x .3(1-.3)
.05
n = 3.8416 x .21
.0025
n = .8068
.0025
n = 322.72 ~ 323