Assignment 1 (2016W)

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CONCORDIA UNIVERSITY

Department of Economics
ECON 222/4 SECTIONS A, B and BB
STATISTICAL METHODS II
WINTER 2016 ASSIGNMENT 1
Due: Monday, February 15, before 3:00 pm
1. (4 marks) Simplify the following expressions.
1

a. Find

2x

dx

b. Find

dy
a+bX
, where y = Ae( )
dx

2. (4 marks) The population mean and variance of the random variable X are and 2 , respectively.
Prove that, for a sufficiently large sample size n, the sample mean x =
a. E ( x ) =

1
b. var ( x ) = 2
n

1 n
xi
n i=1

3. (6 marks) Let X be a random variable with a probability density function (PDF) given by

2
cx , if x 1
f ( x) =
0, otherwise
a. Solve for c.

b. Calculate E ( X ) .

c. Calculate var ( X ) .

4. (2 marks) A random sample of n voters is selected to estimate the proportion of voters who plan to
vote for Candidate A in an election, . How large does n need to be so that we can obtain a 90
percent confidence interval with a margin of error of 0.03 .

5. (10 marks) Let X and Y be two continuous variables with a joint PDF given by

6xy, 0 x 1; 0 y x
f ( x, y) =
0, otherwise

a. Calculate the marginal PDF of X.

b. Calculate the marginal PDF of Y.

c. Briefly explain if X and Y are independent.

d. Calculate E ( X Y ) .

e. Calculate var ( X Y ) .

6. (10 marks) The data file assignment.xlsx contains the grades for 33 students on assignment 1 ( X1 )
and assignment 2 ( X 2 ) . Let di = X1i X 2i be normally and independently distributed with a mean
and variance of and 2 , respectively.
a. Calculate E ( d ) .

b. Calculate var ( d ) .

c. State the appropriate null and alternative hypotheses to test whether the performance on the
assignments does not differ.

d. Briefly explain whether a t- or Z-test is more appropriate.

e. Perform the appropriate test at the 5-percent level of significance and briefly explain your
conclusion.

7. (10 marks) The data file fultonfish.dat shows the daily sales of fish (in pounds) for a period of time.

a. Test H 0 : 10, 000 against H 0 : < 10, 000 at the 5-percent level of significance. Briefly
explain your result using a diagram showing the estimated value of the test statistic and the
critical value.

b. Calculate the p-value of the test statistic and briefly explain how it can be used to perform the
hypothesis test. Show the p-value in the diagram.

Let total weekly sales be given by W = Xi , where Xi ~ iid N (, 2 ) represents sales on weekday i.
i=1

c. Calculate E (W ) .

d. Calculate var (W ) .

e. Derive the probability distribution of = X1 + X 2 + X3 + X 4 + X 5 and calculate a 95-percent


confidence interval estimate for .

8. (6 marks) A police chief claims that the standard deviation in the length of response times is less
than 3.7 minutes. A random sample of 9 response times from a normal population has a standard
deviation of 3.0 minutes.

a.

State the appropriate null and alternative hypotheses.

b.

Briefly explain whether a t- or 2 -statistic is more appropriate.

c.

Perform the appropriate test for = 0.05 and briefly explain your conclusion.

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