Risk Mitigation Planning
Risk Mitigation Planning
Risk Mitigation Planning
Background
Risk mitigation planning, implementation, and progress monitoring are depicted in Figure 1. As
part of an iterative process, the risk tracking tool is used to record the results of risk prioritization
analysis (step 3) that provides input to both risk mitigation (step 4) and risk impact assessment
(step 2).
Figure 1. Risk
Management: Fundamental Steps [3]
The risk mitigation step involves development of mitigation plans designed to manage,
eliminate, or reduce risk to an acceptable level. Once a plan is implemented, it is continually
monitored to assess its efficacy with the intent of revising the course-of-action if needed.
Avoid: Adjust program requirements or constraints to eliminate or reduce the risk. This
adjustment could be accommodated by a change in funding, schedule, or technical
requirements.
Watch/Monitor: Monitor the environment for changes that affect the nature and/or the
impact of the risk.
Each of these options requires developing a plan that is implemented and monitored for
effectiveness. More information on handling options is discussed under best practices and
lessons learned below.
From a systems engineering perspective, common methods of risk reduction or mitigation with
identified program risks include the following, listed in order of increasing seriousness of the
risk [4]:
1. Intensified technical and management reviews of the engineering process
2. Special oversight of designated component engineering
3. Special analysis and testing of critical design items
4. Rapid prototyping and test feedback
5. Consideration of relieving critical design requirements
6. Initiation of fallback parallel developments
When determining the method for risk mitigation, the MITRE SE can help the customer assess
the performance, schedule, and cost impacts of one mitigation strategy over another. For
something like "parallel" development mitigation, MITRE SEs could help the government
determine whether the cost could more than double, while time might not be extended by much
(e.g., double the cost for parallel effort, but also added cost for additional program office and
user engagement). For conducting rapid prototyping or changing operational requirements,
MITRE SEs can use knowledge in creating prototypes and using prototyping and experimenting
(see SE Guide article on Special Considerations for Conditions of Uncertainty: Prototyping and
Experimentation and the Requirements Engineering topic) for projecting the cost and time to
conduct a prototype to help mitigate particular risks (e.g., requirements). Implementing more
engineering reviews and special oversight and testing may require changes to contractual
agreements. MITRE systems engineers can help the government assess these (schedule and cost)
by helping determine the basis of estimates for additional contractor efforts and providing a
reality check for these estimates. MITRE's CASA [Center for Acquisition and Systems Analysis]
and the CCG [Center for Connected Government] Investment Management practice department
have experience and a knowledge base in many development activities across a wide spectrum of
methods and can help with realistic assessments of mitigation alternatives.
For related information, refer to the other articles in this Risk Management topic area of the SE
Guide.
Handling Options
o Assume/Accept. Collaborate with the operational users to create a collective
understanding of risks and their implications. Risks can be characterized as
impacting traditional cost, schedule, and performance parameters. Risks should
also be characterized as impact to mission performance resulting from reduced
technical performance or capability. Develop an understanding of all these
impacts. Bringing users into the mission impact characterization is particularly
important to selecting which "assume/accept" option is ultimately chosen. Users
will decide whether accepting the consequences of a risk is acceptable. Provide
the users with the vulnerabilities affecting a risk, countermeasures that can be
performed, and residual risk that may occur. Help the users understand the costs
in terms of time and money.
o Avoid. Again, work with users to achieve a collective understanding of the
implications of risks. Provide users with projections of schedule adjustments
needed to reduce risk associated with technology maturity or additional
development to improve performance. Identify capabilities that will be delayed
and any impacts resulting from dependencies on other efforts. This information
better enables users to interpret the operational implications of an "avoid" option.
o Control. Help control risks by performing analyses of various mitigation options.
For example, one option is to use a commercially available capability instead of a
contractor developed one. In developing options for controlling risk in your
program, seek out potential solutions from similar risk situations of other MITRE
customers, industry, and academia. When considering a solution from another
organization, take special care in assessing any architectural changes needed and
their implications.
o Transfer. Reassigning accountability, responsibility, or authority for a risk area to
another organization can be a double-edged sword. It may make sense when the
risk involves a narrow specialized area of expertise not normally found in
program offices. But, transferring a risk to another organization can result in
dependencies and loss of control that may have their own complications. Position
yourself and your customer to consider a transfer option by acquiring and
maintaining awareness of organizations within your customer space that focus on
specialized needs and their solutions. Acquire this awareness as early in the
program acquisition cycle as possible, when transfer options are more easily
implemented.
o Watch/Monitor. Once a risk has been identified and a plan put in place to manage
it, there can be a tendency to adopt a "heads down" attitude, particularly if the
execution of the mitigation appears to be operating on "cruise control." Resist that
inclination. Periodically revisit the basic assumptions and premises of the risk.
Scan the environment to see whether the situation has changed in a way that
affects the nature or impact of the risk. The risk may have changed sufficiently so
that the current mitigation is ineffective and needs to be scrapped in favor of a
different one. On the other hand, the risk may have diminished in a way that
allows resources devoted to it to be redirected.
What resources are required? Consider, for example, additional funding or collaboration.
Develop a contingency plan ("fall back, plan B") for any high risk.
o Are cues and triggers identified to activate contingency plans and risk reviews?
o Include decision point dates to move to fallback plans. The date to move must
allow time to
execute the contingency plan.
Evaluate the status of each action. Determine when each action is expected to be
completed successfully.
Integrate plans into IMS and program management baselines. Risk plans are integral to
the program, not something apart from it.
Monitoring Risk
o Include risk monitoring as part of the program review and manage continuously.
Monitoring risks should be a standard part of program reviews. At the same time,
risks should be managed continuously rather than just before a program review.
Routinely review plans in management meetings.
o Review and track risk mitigation actions for progress. Determine when each
action is expected to be completed successfully.
o Refine and redefine strategies and action steps as needed.
o Revisit risk analysis as plans and actions are successfully completed. Are the risks
burning down? Evaluate impact to program critical path.
o Routinely reassess the program's risk exposure. Evaluate the current environment
for new risks or modification to existing risks.