Management. Inventing and Delivering Its Future
Management. Inventing and Delivering Its Future
Management. Inventing and Delivering Its Future
Management
Edited by
Thomas A. Kochan and
Richard L. Schmalensee
All rights reserved. No part of this book may be reproduced in any form by any elec-
tronic or mechanical means (including photocopying, recording, or information storage
and retrieval) without permission in writing from the publisher.
This book was set in Palatino by SNP Best-set Typesetter Ltd., Hong Kong.
Management : inventing and delivering its future / edited by Thomas A. Kochan and
Richard L. Schmalensee.
p. com.
MIT Sloan School of Management: 50th anniversary.
Includes bibliographical references and index.
ISBN 0-262-11282-5 (hc. : alk. paper)
1. Management. 2. Organizational change. 3. Corporate governance.
4. Personnel management. 5. Human capital. 6. Technological innovations
Management. I. Kochan, Thomas A. II. Schmalensee, Richard. III. Sloan
School of Management.
HD31.M2928 2003
658dc21 2003044503
Contents
Foreword ix
Charles M. Vest
Preface xi
Alex dArbeloff
Acknowledgments xiii
1 Introduction 1
Richard L. Schmalensee and Thomas A. Kochan
3 Globalization 37
3.1 The Promise and Perils of Globalization:
The Case of Nike 39
Richard M. Locke
5 Marketing 121
5.1 Innovation and the Constancy of Change 123
Rick Wagoner
6 Governance 165
6.1 Corporate Governance 167
Stewart C. Myers
7 Technology 257
7.1 The Next Technological Revolution: Predicting the
Technical Future and Its Impact on Firms, Organizations,
and Ourselves 259
Ellen Brockley, Amber Cai, Rebecca Henderson,
Emanuele Picciola, and Jimmy Zhang
We are all proud of the Sloan Schools rich heritage, but we will be
even prouder if, years from now, we can see in this anniversary cele-
bration an event that signaled a turning point in the journey to a world
of business practice and education that recognizes the role of trust as
the cornerstone of our whole economic system. Our collective respon-
sibility is to take Alan Greenspans macro-vision and apply it to every
company and every situation we touch. The ideas expressed at the con-
vocation and presented in this volume are an excellent starting point.
Alex dArbeloff
Chair, The MIT Corporation
Acknowledgments
At MIT, Alfred Sloan had a vision of a different kind of business school, one that pro-
moted a closer association between science, engineering, and industry. Sloan imagined
a school that did more than just teach best practiceshe foresaw a school that helped
define them.
Richard Wagoner, Chief Executive Officer, General Motors
In the early 1950s, the Carnegie Corporation and the Ford Foundation
commissioned reports that called on universities to build a new man-
agement profession based on rigorous academic research, particularly
in economics and behavioral science. About the same time, Alfred P.
Sloan, the architect of both the modern day General Motors and the
dominant corporate form of the twentieth century, proposed that MIT
create a School of Management that would leverage the Institutes rich
scientific and technical strengths and build on the strong tradition of
management education at MIT extending back to the previous century.
So began an experiment in inventing the modern management profes-
sion and professional education programs at MIT and in other univer-
sities in America and, later, in other parts of the world.
As the above quote from GMs current CEO Richard Wagoner sug-
gests, Alfred Sloan, the Ford Foundation, and the Carnegie Corpora-
tion would be proud of what has been accomplished. In the ensuing
years:
The tools of modern corporate finance and capital market analysis
1970s, Robert Merton, Fisher Black, and Myron Scholes developed the
mathematical theory of option pricing, which both reshaped financial
markets and was recognized by a Nobel Prize.
Theories and practices guiding management-employee relations
moved from methods developed largely for military organizations to
principles based on economics and behavioral science for motivating
and empowering employees, building high performance work systems
based on teamwork, and better negotiating organizational change and
resolving conflicts. In 1957, MITs Douglas McGregor introduced his
famous Theory Y and challenged managers to reexamine their assump-
tions about employees. Following in this tradition, over the next three
decades Sloan faculty would call for a transformation of labor man-
agement policy and practice, be among the first to study and propose
how to better integrate work and family life, and develop an entirely
new field for managing the process of technological innovation.
The advances in computing power led to creation of another new
field, the study of Management Information Systems. Sloan School
faculty pioneered in the development of decision support systems,
which demonstrated the power of information technology to inform
management decisions, not just to automate payroll and billing. Sloan
research demonstrated the importance of organizational factors in
determining the value of information technology, a lesson being
learned anew in the Internet age.
Management science was born out of the fields of operations research
and statistics, computer modeling became the dominant tool guiding
research and teaching in this area, and the field of operations manage-
ment (or production) was transformed. At MIT and Sloan, the field of
system dynamics was born, and generations of students were trained
to use this and other modeling tools to understand complex situations
and solve complex problems.
The list could go on. A few other management schools could cite com-
parably important breakthroughs and contributions by their faculty.
But no profession can afford to sit still, especially when the world
around it continues to change. So flash forward fifty years to the
present. Is it once again time to ask basic questions about what princi-
ples should guide the second fifty years of management practice and
education?
On the weekend of October 1012, 2002, alumni, faculty, and
students of the MIT Sloan School of Management took up these basic
Introduction 3
the United States and it is easy to see why many believe that this is a
critical moment for the business community and the management
professionand perhaps for the global economy.
There is obviously much to be concerned about today. But if the
energy and creativity expressed at the Sloan convocation and reflected
in the pages that follow are any indication, there are good reasons to
be optimistic about our ability to meet these challenges and to prepare
for the future. To do so, however, we will once again need to return to
first principles and use the power of our advancing knowledge
creatively and responsibly to improve the practice of management.
Broad Themes
Managers must build and maintain the trust of a broad set of stakeholders
through openness, transparency, and accountability
a firm. Yet most of the alumni who discussed this case view an exclu-
sive focus on shareholder value as leading to decisions that are both
myopic and socially unacceptable. They too want to hold corporations
to a higher standard of corporate citizenship. But, as the Nike case
makes clear, it is far from simple to translate these aspirations into effec-
tive policies.
In chapter 4, the legacy of Douglas McGregor serves as a launching
pad for a rich discussion of the features of the complex and evolving
organization of the future and its implications for management prac-
tice and education. The paper prepared with Sloan students and
alumni by Thomas Kochan, Wanda Orlikowski, and Joel Cutcher-
Gershenfeld suggests that realizing McGregors vision will require
questioning and challenging some of the very basic assumptions
regarding the role of people, work, technology, leadership, and orga-
nizational goals that dominated twentieth century organizations. The
sustainable organization of the twenty-first century, according to this
view, will be one that leverages the full potential of its human capital
to add value to the firm and returns fair value to its workforce and their
families. Because modern organizations depend so much on intangible
assetslike intellectual property, loyalty, trust, and firm-specific
knowledgetraditional financial measures may provide misleading
indicators of performance and viability.
The panel discussion that accompanies this paper reinforced the
points that Carly Fiorina made about the need for openness and trans-
parency, not just to investors but to employees as well. Panelist Meg
OLeary, a senior manager at PriceWaterhouseCoopers, noted that the
culture of openness, trust, and flexibility present in her organization
made it possible for her to work at home and to integrate her work and
family life. James Goodnight, CEO of SAS Institute, stated succinctly
the importance of the workforce in the twenty-first-century organiza-
tion and the personal responsibility of the modern CEO to gain and
maintain its trust and commitment: 95 percent of a companys assets
drive out the front gate every night; the CEO must see to it that they
return the following day.
Peter Senge, a founder and president of the Society of Organizational
Learning, reinforced a point made in the earlier discussions of globa-
lization, namely, that transparency, openness, and engagement no
longer stop at an organizations boundary. He argued that a truly sus-
tainable networked organization of the future will need to engage and
address the interests and needs of a broader set of groups and organi-
Introduction 9
Perhaps the most visible reason why managers roles have become
more complex in recent decades is that the pace of technological change
has accelerated across a broad front. Organizations that do not harness
the potential of new technologies and solve the problems they pose do
not survive long in most markets. Successful companies with able
CEOs are regularly pushed aside by technologies that were unknown
when those CEOs were in school.
The paper presented in chapter 7 by Rebecca Henderson and her
students, and the panel discussion that follows it with leading MIT
scientists and engineers, provide a glimpse of some of the powerful
new technologies that will shape the business world of the near future.
As our colleagues from the Schools of Science and Engineering pointed
out, these technologies have the potential to do enormous good as well
as harm; every innovation is both an opportunity and a challenge.
Professor Susan Linquist, for example, described work underway on
how adding vitamin A to rice production could reduce the number of
malnourished children who go blind by the time they enter school. She
also described an innovative but simple technology developed at MIT
for purifying drinking water that if made widely available to families
in developing countries would have major payoffs to world health. On
the other hand, convocation participants were amused and at the same
time appalled at the demonstration of a prototype person finder that
might join us in our homes, keep track of our whereabouts so pre-
sumably others (like our bosses?) can locate us and reach us anytime,
anywhere, and under any circumstance. And while we delighted in the
sight of a personal robot that we might have doing household chores,
preparing our meals, and helping us to monitor our children from work
or other remote locations, we were less enamored with the idea that
others might likewise tune in and observe all aspects of our family and
personal lives.
In his remarks summarized in chapter 7, MIT provost Robert
Brown notes that most of the really big scientific innovations come not
from established disciplines or departments at MIT but out of the
10 Chapter 1
laboratories and research centers that bring together scholars from two
or more disciplines. This is equally true in management organizations
and processes today. Translating scientific discoveries and technical
breakthroughs into actual products and services requires building,
leading, and coordinating multi-disciplinary and multi-functional
teams. This is the heart of the innovation process in organizations.
In remarks summarized in chapter 4, Boeings CEO Phillip Condit
captured the changes in management and organizational designs that
are needed to manage the innovation process efficiently and seam-
lessly. He, like others, sees the organization of the future as a network
more than a hierarchy. To be successful, the networked organization
needs to draw on and return fair value to its workforce, suppliers, cus-
tomers, and communities. Condits remarks provide a good introduc-
tion to the discussion of the broader range of features needed in
twenty-first-century organizations presented in chapter 4.
It is important to note that many of the organizational changes dis-
cussed in chapter 4 are driven by changes in information technology,
just as the emergence of trust-based marketing rests importantly on the
power of the Internet. Technology, particularly information technology,
has hadand will continue to haveprofound implications for how
businesses are managed, as well as changing the goods and services
they produce.
What are the implications of this discourse for the future of manage-
ment education? What should the Sloan School do to lead the way in
realizing this vision? The key lesson we take away from the convoca-
tion is that management education should endeavor to develop prin-
cipled leaders who earn trust, who are able to address a broader set of
problems and stakeholders, and who are able to identify and exploit
opportunities to innovate, many of which will be provided by advances
in science and technology.
In practical terms, what does this imply? First, it clearly requires us
to pay more attention to the ethical dimensions of being a professional
manager, to the sort of leadership that is required to earn stakeholders
trust. Management schools cannot change their students characters by
preaching at them, but students can learn what sort of behavior is
expected of them as professionals, and they can learn to be more effec-
tive leaders and more sensitive to ethical issues. We believe that this is
Introduction 11
Kofi Annan
trust was the main issue on the table. Developing countries have heard
a lot of talk about free and fair trade, but seen far too little of it. They
want to know that their products will have an equal chance to compete
in the global market. That chance is currently denied them because of
tariffs on their goods, and because of subsidies given to their competi-
tors in rich countriessubsidies that also perpetuate unsustainable
practices in farming, transport, and energy use.
The new round of negotiations agreed to at Doha offers the prospect
that markets will be openedbut it is too soon to say that trust in the
trading system has been achieved or will be achieved.
The Monterrey Conference on Financing for Development last March
was also an exercise in recognizing shared responsibilities. The Con-
ference generated substantial new pledges of official development
assistance, reversing a decade-long decline, and made good progress
on issues such as debt relief, investment, and corruption. Just as impor-
tant, developed and developing countries reached a common under-
standing on their respective responsibilities in the pursuit of balanced,
equitable development.
Finally, in September 2002, at the World Summit on Sustainable
Development in Johannesburg, global citizenship took center stage. All
leaders committed themselves to a path of development and economic
growth that safeguards resources and ecosystems for succeeding
generations. Rich-country leaders in particular agreed to reduce their
nations ecological footprint on the planet.
Taken together, these summits and conferences give us a blueprint
that puts peoplenot states, and not GDP statisticsat the center of
policy-making. The over-riding challenge now is implementation. And
for that we shall need people from different sectorspublic, private,
and civil societyto forge more and better partnerships.
One of the most welcome developments at the United Nations
in recent years has been the steadily growing engagement of the
business communityboth in policy forums and in projects on the
ground.
Although the relationship is not without its difficulties, there is
growing recognition that we must move beyond the politics of con-
frontation, and that solutions to poverty, environmental degradation,
and other challenges can only be found if the private sector is involved.
More and more businesses are themselves recognizing how much they
depend on international norms and standards for the conduct of
20 Chapter 2
Discussion
this. And quite a few of your professors are already working on it.
These are important ways of spreading the word.
Another thing we can do is to promote the learning forums that we
have introduced. These forums are places where companies can come
together to discuss what their responsibilities are, what their posture
should be if they find themselves in areas of conflict. What is expected
of corporations and to whom should they turn for advice and how can
they work together? All this will be extremely helpful.
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2.2 Restoring Trust: Corporate
Responsibility and the
CEO
Carly Fiorina
In this day and age, we are not just corporate citizenswe are global
citizens. With global reach must come global responsibility. We live in
a world today where there is more prosperity than ever beforebut
its also a world where two billion people are living on less than two
dollars a day; where 130 million children will never go to school; where
one in five people has never had a clean glass of water. If we learned
anything on September 11th, we learned that a global economy that is
creating prosperity for millions will not be sustainable if billions of
people feel they have no stake in it.
There has never been a time when corporations have had the reach,
the resources, the knowledge, and the expertise to make a difference
that we do today. Now, more than ever, corporate leaders have an
opportunity to redefine the role of the corporation on a world stage
to leverage our ability to improve the lives of people, communities, and
nations.
On one hand, it means being good global citizens, maintaining high
standards and setting a good example in areas like the environment,
ethics, labor, and human rights. On the other, it means being part of
the communities in which we do business.
Too often, corporations look at disparities in the developing world
and ask two fundamental questions: first, how do we use our money
to provide people with the resources they need to make a difference?
or second, how do we use our talents to make sure citizens in the devel-
oping world have the training to use the technology or equipment we
provide once theyve got it?
Thats what traditional philanthropy has been aboutbut if we have
learned anything in this new global economy, we have learned that tra-
ditional philanthropy is no longer enough. In asking those two ques-
tions, we rarely take a leap to a fundamental third question, which is:
How do we engage their talents? How do we engage local citizens in
local communities in the developing world to learn whats important
to them, and what goals they hope to achieve?
I think we in the multinational community rarely ask local citizens
what they think and what they needeither because the market share
hasnt been there, or the profit motive hasnt been there. But if we never
make the leap to that third question, corporations leave off the table
those very assetsour ability to invent locally relevant products, our
project management skills, and our ability to set goals and meet them
that make us most relevant. The truth is, financial capital alone is not
the greatest wealth multinationals can bring to the developing world
Challenges and Responsibilities 33
done to us. It is not something being foisted upon us. The values we are
being asked to live by today are the same values we used to build the
greatest economy on earth.
The values we are being asked to live by are the same fundamental
values we know we must act upon every day to build effective teams
and companies.
As the regulations and investigations mount, as our lawyers and
auditors focus on our compliance, lets focus on these fundamentals.
Because there simply is no substitute.
Discussion
Q. The general public doesnt see a difference between corporate fraud and
excessive executive compensation. Where do you draw the line between these
two issues?
A. I understand why the public doesnt see a distinction. If it is diffi-
cult to justify CEO compensation based on the value that they provide,
then they are taking money out of the shareholders pockets. That is
why consistency, equity, and alignment are so important. Employees
must be able to understand why they get paid what they do compared
to what the CEO gets paid. That is why at HP we have the concept of
total rewards. This includes base pay, benefits, bonuses, and long-term
equity. We have the same structure from the CEO right down to the
first-level employee. Everyone has to be able to see this and understand
it so they can draw this line for themselves.
Q. Contemporary CEOs are expected to forecast quarterly earnings without
sacrificing long-term profitability and growth. In the current environment, a
CEO who manages quarterly earnings risks the accusation of being deceptive
and one who fails to manage long-term growth is labeled incompetent. How
does the CEO set and meet targets without managing earnings?
A. There is some conflict and it is also true that Wall Street is talking
out of both sides of its mouth. It is virtually impossible in turbulent
times like these to always land a plane on a dime. So companies will
sometimes miss a target. Thats a fact. And it is also a fact that there
are temptations, there are choices that can be made every quarter to
manage the numbers and those choices simply have to be walked away
from. No amount of regulation can substitute for integrity.
Let me give you a personal example. I can remember missing the
target in the fourth quarter of 2000. The truth is, we could have made
Challenges and Responsibilities 35
that quarter but it was the wrong thing to do. The pressures that arose
when we missed that quarter were intense, including calls for my
resignation. But the truth is, we are responsible for managing the
company, not the media, not the analysts, not even the shareholders.
That is why it is important to remember that the CEOs job is not to
safeguard a quarter but to safeguard the company to provide sustain-
able value for decades to come, not just for quarters.
Q. How do you measure the long-term success of the company?
A. You have to measure it in a variety of ways. Just as financial indi-
cators are a lagging measure of success, there are some leading indica-
tors. One of the leading indicators we use is total customer experience.
We believe this is a leading indicator of whether customers will con-
tinue to purchase things from us in the future. And that is a predictor
of future success.
In a technology company, it also means deciding how much R&D
spending to invest in projects that will only pay off a few years down
the road. Shareholders who are interested in the underlying value
of the assets they own, not those who just are interested in the change
in the value of the currency, expect managers to do their job. Im not
talking about those shareholders only interested in the value of the
currency. Those who value the assets know that it is managements job
to balance the short and long term. When I go and talk to those share-
holders, I find that they ask as many questions about the long term as
the short term.
Q. Are analysts a positive or negative factor?
A. Some help and others do not. One of the curious things about all
the current debate is frankly a lack of accountability among the media
and financial community for failing to also take responsibility for
creating the dot.com bubble. I think it would be a good idea if some
in the financial community and in the financial media also raised their
hand and said, yes, we were also pushing the stock prices up by
saying to the people ignore the fact that there wont be any profits for
the next five years.
Q. What is your view of the division of the respective responsibilities of the
board and management?
A. I have talked about the need for boards to operate on the principle
of open access and dialogue. Some people ask, wont this lead to the
board taking over the job of management? I honestly dont think so. It
36 Chapter 2
Richard M. Locke
Table 3.1.1
Alternative models of corporate citizenship
Motivation
Instrumental Moral/ethical
1. See Elizabeth Murphy, Best corporate citizens have better financial performance,
Strategic Finance, January 2002.
42 Chapter 3
Globalization
2. Geoffrey Garrett, Partisan Politics in the Global Economy (Cambridge University Press,
1998), p. 51.
Globalization 43
3. World Bank, Globalization, Growth, and Poverty (The World Bank, 2002), p. 5.
4. However, this same study shows that not all developing countries have benefited from
increased globalization. In fact, much of the developing world trades less today than it
did 20 years ago. This explains, in part, the growing poverty and income inequality man-
ifest in much of the developing world.
5. Garrett, Partisan Politics in the Global Economy, p. 54.
6. Richard Herring and Robert Litan, Financial Regulation in the Global Economy (The
Brookings Institution, 1995), pp. 2627.
44 Chapter 3
7. Miguel Korzeniewicz, Commodity Chains and Marketing Strategies: Nike and the
Global Athletic Footwear Industry, in Commodity Chains and Global Capitalism, ed. Gary
Gereffi and Miguel Korzeniewicz (Greenwood Press, 1994), p. 248.
8. National Sporting Goods Association, 2002; www.sbrnet.com
Globalization 45
Table 3.1.2
Market share
Athletic footwear
market share 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999
Nike 22.5 25.4 24.4 22.7 27.1 32.1 35.3 N/A 30.4
Reebok 18.8 20.0 18.9 18.3 17.4 14.7 14.5 N/A 11.2
Adidas 13.6 10.0 9.3 10.3 9.9 10.2 10.3 N/A 15.5
Fila 0.9 2.1 2.7 3.0 4.1 6.0 5.7 N/A 3.9
Converse 3.4 3.5 4.0 4.2 3.3 2.7 3.2 N/A 2.2
New Balance 1.8 1.8 2.1 2.2 2.5 2.9 3.1 N/A 3.8
ASICS 4.7 5.4 5.2 4.7 4.2 3.5 3.0 N/A 2.5
Puma 4.6 3.8 4.3 3.1 2.4 2.4 2.1 N/A 2.1
Keds/Prokeds 3.0 3.9 3.9 3.0 2.4 1.9 1.5 N/A 0.0
Airwalk 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.1 1.2 1.4 1.1 N/A 0.0
Top 10 73.3 75.9 75.2 72.6 74.5 77.8 79.8 0.0 71.6
Others 26.7 24.1 24.8 27.4 25.5 22.2 20.2 28.4
Totals 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 0.0 100.0
Sources: HBS Case #9-299-084 Nike, Inc.: Entering the Millennium, March 31, 1999,
and Footwear News, December 27, 1999
40
35
30
Nike
25 Reebok
Adidas
20
Fila
15 Converse
New Balance
10
0
1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997
Figure 3.1.1
Global athletic footwear market sharetop 6.
46 Chapter 3
Over time, as South Korea and Taiwan also began to develop, costs
began to rise in these sources as well. As a result, Nike began to urge
its suppliers to relocate their operations to other, lower-cost countries.
The company worked with its lead suppliers to open up manufactur-
ing plants in Indonesia, China, and Vietnam. By guaranteeing a signi-
ficant number of orders and by placing Nike employees at these new
factories to help monitor product quality and production processes,
Nike was able to help its lead vendors establish an extensive network
of footwear factories throughout Southeast Asia.13
Today, Nikes products are manufactured in more than 700 factories,
employing over 500,000 workers in 51 countries (see table 3.1.3). Nike
has only 22,658 direct employees, the vast majority of them working in
the United States.14 Over the years, Nike has broadened its product
range. Whereas in 1980, Nike sold 175 different styles of shoes,15 it
offered 772 different styles in its spring 1990 collection and almost 1,200
different styles in its spring 2000 collection.16 Nike has also moved into
other sectors (apparel and sports equipment) and expanded its sales
beyond the United States into Europe, Latin America, and Asia. (See
appendix A.) In 2001, the company made about $9.5 billion in revenues,
of which 59 percent came from footwear sales and 29 percent from
apparel.
Important differences exist among the sectors in which Nike com-
petes. Although still primarily known as a footwear company, only 6817
out of its 736 suppliers are producing shoes. Most of these suppliers
are located in Asia. (See appendix B.) In contrast, Nike apparel prod-
ucts are manufactured in 579 factories distributed throughout the
world. These differences are due both to the rules governing interna-
tional trade in the two industries and to the underlying nature of these
industries (footwear factories are usually large, capital-intensive facil-
ities, whereas garment factories are usually smaller, easy to set up, and
extremely labor-intensive operations). Whereas footwear quotas were
13. For more on the evolution of Nikes strategy, see Nike (A), HBS Case #9-385-025;
International Sourcing in Athletic Footwear: Nike and Reebok, HBS Case #9-394-189;
and J. B. Strasser and Laurie Becklund, Swoosh: The Unauthorized Story of Nike and the Men
Who Played There (Harper Business 1991).
14. Nike, Corporate Responsibility Report, FY 2001, p. 1.
15. This includes different color combinations of shoes.
16. These figures come from various Nike catalogs. We thank Jody McFarland for
helping us obtain these data.
17. Twenty of these footwear suppliers manufacture shoes for Cole Hann, a Nike sub-
sidiary. Thus, only about 50 suppliers are manufacturing Nike brand shoes.
Table 3.1.3
Regional and product distribution of suppliers
Albania 1 1 0 0 200
Belarus 1 1 0 0 70
Argentina 4 3 0 1 436
Australia 11 9 2 0 400
Bangladesh 4 3 1 0 14,120
Brazil 9 3 1 5 5,488
Bulgaria 4 4 0 0 881
Cambodia 2 2 0 0 2,021
Canada 21 20 1 0 2,300
Chile 1 1 0 0 100
China 74 35 22 17 175,960
Dominican Rep 5 4 1 0 3,995
Ecuador 1 1 0 0 353
Egypt 3 3 0 0 600
El Salvador 8 8 0 0 4,044
Germany 2 2 0 0 30
Greece 19 19 0 0 5,300
Guatemala 2 2 0 0 816
Holland 3 3 0 0 81
Honduras 5 5 0 0 2,438
Hungary 1 1 0 0 1,650
India 23 19 1 3 16,071
Indonesia 30 16 3 11 104,514
Israel 3 1 2 0 2,157
Italy 12 8 2 2 5,000
Japan 6 2 4 0 1,500
Korea 49 31 10 8 4,000
Laos 2 2 0 0 2,452
Lithuania 1 1 0 0 45
Macau 3 3 0 0 500
Macedonia 1 1 0 0 215
Malaysia 42 41 1 0 8,044
Micronesia 2 2 0 0 672
Mexico 41 39 0 2 12,258
Morocco 2 2 0 0 1,274
New Zealand 1 1 0 0 50
Pakistan 3 2 1 0 9,880
Peru 4 4 0 0 5,286
Phillippines 22 18 4 0 9,400
Portugal 23 23 0 0 1,872
Romania 3 3 0 0 2,900
Singapore 2 2 0 0 300
South Africa 2 2 0 0 660
Sri Lanka 16 16 0 0 10,286
Taiwan 35 24 7 4 15,600
Thailand 62 42 11 9 47,962
Turkey 16 15 1 0 7,944
UK 5 5 0 0 814
USA 131 117 14 0 13,369
Vietnam 12 7 0 5 43,414
Zimbabwe 1 0 0 1 7,000
Total 736 579 89 68 556,722
18. For a fascinating discussion of the impact of quotas on the international apparel
industry, see David Birnbaum, Birnbaums Global Guide to Winning the Great Garment War
(Hong Kong: Third Horizon Press, 2000).
50 Chapter 3
19. Quoted in Hitting the Wall: Nike and International Labor Practices, HBS Case
#9-700-047.
20. This section relies heavily on International Sourcing in Athletic Footwear: Nike and
Reebok, HBS Case #9-394-189, Hitting the Wall: Nike and International Labor Prac-
tices, HBS Case #9-700-047, and Nike: Whats It All About? electronic memo, Global
Exchange, 1999.
Globalization 51
24. This section draws heavily on Dara ORourke, Smoke from a Hired Gun: A Critique
of Nikes Labor and Environmental Auditing in Vietnam as performed by Ernst and
Young, CorpWatch, November 10, 1997.
25. The Young Report on Nikes suppliers has been severely criticized as limited and
biased by an array of different NGOs.
54 Chapter 3
These three events, combined with the numerous others that were
reported in the press, created a major public relations problem for Nike.
(Appendix C traces the number of negative articles about Nike that
appeared in major publications.) Increasingly, labor and environmen-
tal problems at Nikes suppliers factories were becoming a major
problem for Nike itself. These events made Nike a target for the
antiglobalization and antisweatshop movements. Several NGOs
decided to focus most of their attention on Nike and the various prob-
lems found among its suppliers. Web sites focusing solely on Nike and
its alleged abuses appeared on the world wide web and were used by
NGOs and various activist groups to share information, coordinate
protests, and further embarrass the company.26
Consumer and labor groups organized boycotts of Nike goods and
pickets at Nike shops. Under pressure from several student groups,
some universities cancelled their orders with Nike to produce colle-
giate athletic products. As a result of these various activities, the
companys hard-earned image began to tarnish.
26. See, for example, Oxfams NikeWatch Campaign, the Clean Clothes Campaigns
Nike Case, Press for Changes nikewages.org, and the Global Exchanges Nike:
Whats It All About? All can be found on the various web sites of these organizations.
B. J. Bullert, an anti-Nike activist, has written a fascinating paper on the anti-Nike cam-
paign by various NGOs. See B. J. Bullert, Strategic Public Relations, Sweatshops and
the Making of a Global Movement, Working paper #2000-14, Shorenstein, Center on the
Press, Politics and Public Policy.
27. This section is based on interviews with several Nike managers in July 2002. See
appendix D for a list of interviewees.
Globalization 55
28. Interview with Dara ORourke, formerly of CorpWatch and now an assistant pro-
fessor of Planning at MIT.
29. On the Organic Cotton Initiative, see Nikes Corporate Responsibility Report, FY
2001. For an example of improved working conditions and relations with unions among
Nike suppliers, see Verites Comprehensive Factory Evaluation Report of the Kukdong Inter-
national Mexico plant in Puebla, Mexico, March 2001. This report can be found on Nikes
web site, www.nikebiz.com
58 Chapter 3
As this paper has illustrated, there is significant debate over the respon-
sibilities of corporations. Should companies behave solely to enhance
shareholder wealth, or should they act to benefit other groups (both
within and outside the firm) as well? Should corporate decision-
making be driven solely by economic considerations, or are other
(social) factors equally important? How does one measure and account
for these other considerations? Are corporations responsible only to
their own employees and shareholders, or are they also responsible for
the employees of their suppliers and subcontractors? What are the
boundaries or limits of any individual companys responsibilities?
Given that there are no universal standards and that not all companies
are promoting labor and environmental standards as rigorously as
Nike is, how does one promote greater coordination and collective
action among major producers? If some companies promote and
monitor for higher standards and others do not, does this erode the
competitive edge of the good corporate citizens? These questions
will shape the future of business in the years to come, and they need
to be integrated into the core curriculum of business schools today.
Rather than treat discussions of corporate responsibility as a side (and
often soft) issue, to be discussed in a special seminar (often not part
of the core curriculum) or as an afterthought (special session) in already
established courses, this topic needs to be moved to the fore of most
management courses and used as a lens through which other business
issues are discussed. In this way, our students, the worlds future man-
agers, will instinctively benchmark their other decisions and actions
against whatever standards for corporate citizenship they embrace.
The point is not to impose a particular view of corporate citizenship on
our students, but rather to encourage them to engage this issue and
make it part of their everyday decision-making process.
Globalization and the controversial issues it raises will also absorb
management in the foreseeable future. Should multinational com-
panies abide by so-called international labor and environmental
standards, or is this simply regulatory imperialism and de facto
protectionism in another guise? Will the imposition of these standards
on developing countries diminish their competitive advantage and
thus damage their economic development? Or will improved labor and
environmental standards lead these local producers to upgrade their
Globalization 59
Acknowledgments
This case was prepared with the active involvement and research assis-
tance of the following Sloan MBA students: Vanessa Chammah, Brian
Curtis, Elizabeth Fosnight, Archana Kalegaonkar, and Adnan Qadir. I
would also like to thank Miguel Alexander, Maria Eitel, Dusty Kidd,
Joseph Tomasselli, and Dara ORourke for their helpful comments and
assistance during this project. In addition, many of the thoughts on the
context of global citizenship were developed collectively with Profes-
sor Zairo Cheibub, of the Federal University Fluminense, Niteroi,
Brazil, in a joint paper we wrote on the topic.
Appendix A: Nike Sales and Revenue
Table 3.1.4
Sales and net income
Sales (million US$) 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001
US footwear 69 144 245 399 581 666 640 567 650 510 758 1,058 1,369 1,680 1,744 1,969 1,869 2,309 2,772 3,754 3,499 3,245 3,351 3,209
US apparel 1 2 8 33 70 107 122 160 165 131 143 208 266 327 369 361 339 424 831 1,407 1,556 1,293 1,154 1,260
US athletic equipment 2 3 1
NonUS footwear 652 868 1,049 998 1,244 1,682 2,391 2,460 1,973.8 2,210 2,414.8
Non US footwear and 1 4 17 26 43 94 158 217 252 235 303 348 479
NonUS apparel
NonUS apparel 210 268 353 359 473 651 1,087 1,436 1,383.7 1,392.6 1,503.3
Other 96 121 135 157 199 223 312 534 548 602 881 886.6 1,101.5
Total revenue 71 150 270 458 694 867 920 946 1,070 877 1,204 1,710 2,235 3,004 3,406 3,931 3,788 4,762 6,470 9,187 9,553 8,777 8,995 9,489
Net income 4 10 13 26 49 57 41 10 59 36 102 167 243 287 329 365 299 400 555 796 400 451 579 590
(Million US$)
Sources: a) 197897: HBS Case #9-299-084 Nike, Inc.: Entering the Millennium, March 31, 1999; b) 19982001: Company financial information.
Globalization 61
10000
9000
8000
7000
Million US$
6000
5000
4000
3000
2000
1000
0
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
Total Revenue Net Income (Million US$)
Figure 3.1.2
Total revenuenet income, 19782001. Sources: a) 197897: HBS Case #9-299-084 Nike,
Inc.: Entering the Millennium, March 31, 1999; b) 19982001: company financial
information.
Equipment: 89
Footwear: 68
Apparel: 579
Figure 3.1.3
Factories per product. Total = 736. Source: Nike, Corporate Responsibility Report, FY
2001.
62 Chapter 3
USA: 13,369
Americas: 37,514
Asia: 467,146
Figure 3.1.4
Number of contract workers by region (2001). Total = 556,722. Source: Nike, Corporate
Responsibility Report, FY 2001.
USA: 131
Europe, Middle
East, and Africa: 102
Figure 3.1.5
Factories per region. Total = 736. Source: Nike, Corporate Responsibility Report, FY 2001.
Asia: 57
Americas: 8
Europe, Middle
East, and Africa: 3
Figure 3.1.6
Footwear factories by region. Total = 68. Source: Nike, Corporate Responsibility Report,
FY 2001.
Globalization 63
USA: 117
Asia: 277
Americas: 102
Figure 3.1.7
Apparel factories per region. Total = 579. Source: Nike, Corporate Responsibility Report,
FY 2001.
USA: 14
Americas: 3
Europe, Middle
East, and Africa: 5
Asia: 67
Figure 3.1.8
Equipment factories per region. Total = 89. Source: Nike, Corporate Responsibility
Report, FY 2001.
64 Chapter 3
180
160 159
140
120
# of mentions
103 91
100 96
80
60 65
46
40
28
20
1 1 7
3
0
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
Figure 3.1.9
Media mentions with sweatshop. Search words: Nike and Sweatshop. Time frame:
previous ten years. Number of documents containing both words: 600.
90
80 79
70
60
# of mentions
53
50
50
40
32 32
30
20
21
12
10
1 6
3
0
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
Figure 3.1.10
Media mentions with child labor. Search words: Nike and Child Labor. Time frame:
previous ten years. Number of documents containing both words: 289.
Globalization 65
70
59
60
50
# of mentions
43
40
33
30
26
24
20
20
10
4 7 4 9
3
0
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
Figure 3.1.11
Media mentions with exploitation. Search words: Exploitation Time frame: previous
ten years. Number of documents containing both words: 232.
180
160
140
120
# of mentions
100
80
60
40
20
0
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
Figure 3.1.12
Unfavorable media mentions. Combination of three searches. Note: Articles may be
repeated and some may contain all three search words.
Major Newspapers
U.S. newspapers must be listed in the top 50 in circulation in Editor &
Publisher Year Book. Newspapers published outside the United States
must be in English language and listed as a national newspaper in
Benns World Media Directory or one of the top 5 percent in circulation
for the country.
66 Chapter 3
Plain Dealer
San Diego Union-Tribune
San Francisco Chronicle
Scotsman & Scotland on Sunday
Seattle Times
South China Morning Post
Southland Times (New Zealand)
St. Louis Post-Dispatch
St. Petersburg Times
Star Tribune (Minneapolis, MN)
Straits Times (Singapore)
Tampa Tribune
Times and Sunday Times (London)
Times-Picayune
Toronto Star
Toronto Sun
USA Today
Washington Post
Appendix D
Contractors must recognize the dignity of each employee, and the right
to a workplace free of harassment, abuse or corporal punishment. Deci-
sions on hiring, salary, benefits, advancement, termination or retire-
ment must be based solely on the employees ability to do the
job. There shall be no discrimination based on race, creed, gender,
marital or maternity status, religious or political beliefs, age or sexual
orientation.
Wherever NIKE operates around the globe we are guided by this
Code of Conduct and we bind our contractors to these principles.
Contractors must post this Code in all major workspaces, translated
into the language of the employee, and must train employees on their
rights and obligations as defined by this Code and applicable local
laws.
While these principles establish the spirit of our partnerships, we
also bind our partners to specific standards of conduct. The core
standards are set forth below.
Globalization 69
1. Forced Labor. The contractor does not use forced labor in any form
prison, indentured, bonded or otherwise.
2. Child Labor. The contractor does not employ any person below the
age of 18 to produce footwear. The contractor does not employ
any person below the age of 16 to produce apparel, accessories or
equipment. If at the time Nike production begins, the contractor
employs people of the legal working age who are at least 15, that
employment may continue, but the contractor will not hire any person
going forward who is younger than the Nike or legal age limit,
whichever is higher. To further ensure these age standards are com-
plied with, the contractor does not use any form of home work for Nike
production.
3. Compensation. The contractor provides each employee at least the
minimum wage, or the prevailing industry wage, whichever is higher;
provides each employee a clear, written accounting for every pay
period; and does not deduct from employee pay for disciplinary
infractions.
4. Benefits. The contractor provides each employee all legally man-
dated benefits.
5. Hours of Work/Overtime. The contractor complies with legally
mandated work hours; uses overtime only when each employee is
fully compensated according to local law; informs each employee
at the time of hiring if mandatory overtime is a condition of employ-
ment; and on a regularly scheduled basis provides one day off in
seven, and requires no more than 60 hours of work per week on
a regularly scheduled basis, or complies with local limits if they are
lower.
6. Environment, Safety and Health (ES&H). From suppliers to factories
to distributors and to retailers, Nike considers every member of our
supply chain as partners in our business.
As such, weve worked with our Asian partners to achieve
specific environmental, health and safety goals, beginning with a
program called MESH (Management of Environment, Safety and
Health).
7. Documentation and Inspection. The contractor maintains on file all
documentation needed to demonstrate compliance with this Code of
Conduct and required laws; agrees to make these documents available
70 Chapter 3
Source: http://www.nike.com
References
Cheibub, Zairo, and Richard Locke. 2000. Valoures ou Intresses? Reflexoes sobre a
responsabilidade social des empresas. Unpublished ms, Federal University Fluminense,
Niteroi, Brazil.
Cone Inc. 1999. Cone/Roper Cause-Related Trends Report: Evolution of Cause Brand-
ing. Boston: Cone Inc.
Friedman, Milton. 1970. The Social Responsibility of Business is to Increase its Profits.
New York Times Magazine, September 13, pp. 3233.
Frooman, Jeff. 1997. Socially Irresponsible and Illegal Behavior and Shareholder
Wealth. Business and Society 36, no. 3: 221249.
Paine, Lynn Sharpe. 1996. Corporate Purpose and Responsibility. Boston: Harvard
Business School. Case # 9-396-201.
Waddock, Sandra, and Samuel B. Graves. 1997. The Corporate Social Performance
Financial Performance Link. Strategic Management Journal 18, no. 4: 303319.
Weiser, John, and Simon Zadek. 2000. Conversation with Disbelievers: Persuading
Companies to Address Social Challenges. Report written through grant from Ford
Foundation.
Zadek, Simon. 2001. The Civil Corporation: The New Economy of Corporate Citizenship.
London: Earthscan.
www.bsr.org
http://europa.eu.int/comm/employment_social/soc-dial/csr/csr_whatiscsr.htm
www.mori.com/polls/1999/millpoll.shtml
www.wbcsd.org
3.2 Discussion
Sloan faculty members discussed the Nike case with alumni in small
groups as they would teach it in the classroom. What follows is a sam-
pling of the responses the alumni offered to the questions posed by the
faculty.
Q. Whats the problem in this case? Or, to put it more directly, what do you
think keeps Phil Knight awake at night?
A. An alumnus started the discussion by expressing the view that
perhaps what Nike was facing was a power of the press problem.
That is, Nike had not considered the media to be as large and power-
ful a constituency as it proved to be. Taking this view further, the ques-
tion arose, was Nikes problem actually a big problem or not? As
another alumnus pointed out: We know from the data in the case that
Nike took a hit in 1998 at the peak of the criticism, but it wasnt a big
hit. Do consumers care? Is it really a problem for Nike? Data from the
case show that Nike earnings kept growing. An alumna from the
United States voiced the view that the Nike case broadens the defini-
tion of the corporation: Were talking about Nikes suppliers, and con-
sidering them as part of the corporation. Did Nike know what its
suppliers were doing? They were incompetent if they did not, and it
was bad business if they did. In either case, the question broadens the
definition of the corporation.
Q. So, if corporations are to be held accountable for meeting some basic
standards, whose standards should guide them? Those of the local country?
U.S. standards? Some global standards? Internal standards set by each
corporation?
A. This point was hotly debated. Some argued that the company
should uphold U.S. standards and pay high wages.
72 Chapter 3
this firm have the capacity to take care of these issues or not? If not,
they simply wont get our funds.
Phil Condit
morning for assignments. Even a legion of 3,000 to 6,000 was too big
for that.
But you could get your top ten people into the tent, and give direc-
tions and orders on the plan to march on a city, or to feed the troops.
Those top 10 people, in turn, could get their top ten people together to
communicate the plan and hand out orders. The pyramid provided the
logistics and communications structures. This same basic logistics and
communications structure exists today in industry and institutions.
Alfred P. Sloan, Jr., studied the military structure and applied it to his
companyGeneral Motors. Its the reason why business has divi-
sions and general managers today.
We are moving into a network-centric world, where organizational
structures will look radically different and direct communications will
allow for better decision-making. Today e-mail, a graphic-rich envi-
ronment, videoteleconferencing, and networks are part of a world that
allows us to share data and connect, to make better decisions, to
improve efficiency and effectiveness. In the future, we will get infor-
mation directly to the person who needs it to do a job, who needs it to
make decisions on the spot. We will routinely communicate messages
directly to large masses of people, without going through a hierarchi-
cal structure. We have started to do some of that at Boeing, but we are
in the very early stages of network-centric communications. I can send
an electronic broadcast message over our network and communicate
anytime, anywhere, to thousands of employees.
But this is only the beginning. I believe a networkcentric world
offers a great opportunity to radically change and improve decision-
making. It will be able to collect data, process data into information,
and structure it to allow people at all levels to make decisions quickly.
It will allow leaders to move information to people who need to have
it, who can turn it into knowledge, who use that knowledge to effi-
ciently make the best decisions.
One simple example is library research. When I was at Sloan in
197475, I used the card catalog, the Dewey Decimal system. Created
by Melvil Dewey at Amherst 130 years ago, the Dewey System has its
own brand of well-developed, structured hierarchy, which was
divided into ten main classes, which together cover the entire world
of knowledge.
My searches were often slow and tedious. Today, there are powerful
search engines and online links. Todays students have tremendous
access to almost limitless sources of material, from MIT libraries and
Human Capital and Twenty-First Century Organizations 79
ment? How do we provide the social structure that is part of the fabric
of everyday business?
If we have a network-centric organization where everyone has access
to information at the same time, how do roles shift when the old axiom
Knowledge is power applies to all? How do we get the right data
easily to the right people in the right way? Will there be less middle
management and more individual contributors? What does a world
look like that allows us to achieve the massing of information versus
the massing of people? Will these changes be phenomenally rapid or
happen slowly? What education and training are required when we
expect each person to act logically, with common sense, and make the
best decisions?
All of these questions reflect my belief that a network-centric world
will be about superior decision-making by those closest to the action.
What will be very difficult for many people is that they will have to
perform in a totally new and unfamiliar environment. It will not allow
participants to sit on the sidelines and complain about those who lead.
I dont have all the answers. But I do know all of this is going to take
a phenomenal amount of leadership. We must consider the implica-
tions for our industries and universities, for our government and mil-
itary, for our managers, students, and employees of a network-centric
environment. In business, we will need leaders who understand their
roles in business, how they can move the company forward, and be
willing to think about the future so their company will exist 20 or 30
years from now. My bet is that many companies arent going to survive
because they wont be able to make the huge transition.
It will take working against huge cultural and institutional biases
that have been in place for thousands of years. But it is a journey with
huge rewards, and thus one worth taking.
Discussion
platforms but the integrator of systems. There will be lots of jobs, but
they will be ones that will change at a rate faster than in the past. When
my father went to school, he said I can do this job for the rest of my
career. That is no longer the case. Thats why continuing education
will be so critical.
We have a tuition reimbursement program, and people can go to any
school they want and take courses on anything they want. When we
put this in place, some people worried that people would take courses
on issues not related to our business. And sure some have done some
of this. One person got a degree in mortuary sciencebut this was
offset by two people who got degrees in divinity. But the point is, every-
one is learning and they are developing, and we are playing a
constructive role.
Q. What is the view of Boeing on sustainable development?
A. One of the fascinating parts of the global corporation today is the
understanding of the social responsibility that goes with it. Toffler
pointed out that corporations can move faster than government insti-
tutions. That puts a responsibility on corporations to address issues like
sustainable development. All corporate leaders I talk to think about
this. We have to look at our role and how we are doing it since that
will determine whether we will be here in twenty years.
Q. What kind of managers and leaders are required in the world you describe?
How does Boeing create these leaders? Who will be running the future cor-
porations and how?
A. We have a leadership center outside of St. Louis that has graduated
11,000 leaders. I am there about eighteen times a year. Thats where we
talk about these issues. What will it take to be a good leader, a good
coach? How do you employ those skills? Having a place and oppor-
tunity to discuss these issues is absolutely critical for leadership devel-
opment. It also serves other purposes. We are a company that comes
from McDonald Douglas, Rockwell, Hughes, Boeing, and others. This
is where we mix people together and build their common skills. The
most common e-mail I get is one that says our people are amazed at
the range of experiences we have in this company.
Q. What are the differences between being an American company operating
globally and a global company?
A. We have traditionally been an American company doing business
globally. So when we first said we want to be a global company, some
Human Capital and Twenty-First Century Organizations 83
said we are already. We sell to 145 countries and have operations in 132
countries. But most have been there to support the products we have
sold. I believe we have a responsibility to have our voice heard. To do
this we must be present. We cant stand outside and yellwe have to
be in the room. The diversity of experience that is brought by people
from different countries is amazingly powerful, so we have to be on
the ground in a lot of different countries. We have about 3,000 people
on the ground in Australia. This allows us to do things we couldnt do
otherwise. We run their secure radio network. We couldnt do this as
an American company selling globally. I can sit down with the prime
minister and express my view on where technology is going because
we are there. To be a truly global company, you have to be on the
ground and have a truly global management; and your leadership must
reflect the diversity of that breadth.
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4.2 Beyond McGregors
Theory Y: Human Capital
and Knowledge-Based
Work in the Twenty-First-
Century Organization
Thomas A. Kochan,
Wanda Orlikowski, and
Joel Cutcher-Gershenfeld
Nearly fifty years ago, at the Sloan Schools 5th Anniversary Convoca-
tion, Douglas McGregor launched a debate over how to manage The
Human Side of the Enterprise.1 By comparing what he called Theory
X and Theory Y perspectives, he challenged the management profes-
sion to reexamine its assumptions about the motivations employees
bring to their jobs. The question was: Could employees be trusted and
empowered to do good work, or did they have to be closely directed,
monitored, and controlled to act in the interests of the firm? While
McGregors Theory Y sparked important innovations in human
resource practices, it did not challenge fundamental assumptions
underpinning the twentieth century organizational model. If, as is
widely recognized, human capital and knowledge are the most impor-
tant sources of value for the twenty-first-century organization, then
fundamental assumptions about the relationship between work and
organizations will also need to be challenged.
The approach that dominated organizational theory, teaching, and
practice for most of the twentieth century looked at organizations
from the top down, starting with a view of the CEO as the leader
who shapes the organizations strategy, structure, culture, and per-
formance potential. The nature of work and the role of the work-
force enter the analysis much later, after considerations of technology
and organization design have been considered. However, if the key
source of value in the twenty-first-century organization is to be derived
from the workforce itself, an inversion of the dominant approach will
be needed. The new perspective will start not at the top of the organi-
zation but at the front lines, with people and the work itselfwhich
1. Presentation to the Sloan Schools 5th Anniversary on The Human Side of the Enter-
prise by Douglas McGregor and later expanded into a book: Douglas McGregor, The
Human Side of the Enterprise (New York: McGraw Hill, 1960).
86 Chapter 4
Figure 4.2.1
Selected Sloan faculty research reexaming assumptions about people, work, and
organizations.
2. MIT 21st Century Manifesto Working Group, Sloan School of Management, What
Do We Really Want? A Manifesto for the Organizations of the 21st Century, November
1999.
Human Capital and Twenty-First Century Organizations 87
Figure 4.2.2
Methods and process in developing this paper.
Figure 4.2.3
Contrasting assumptions in twentieth- and twenty-first century organizations.
leadership, and goals) that contrast with the model that may come to
dominate the next century.
Like McGregor, we are counterposing two alternative models, each
of which involves competing assumptions. Reality, of course, may
involve a spectrum of choices between these extremes, but it is helpful
to understand the way alternative choices will pull organizations in one
direction or the other. In the balance of this section, we will examine
the implications of each of these assumptions.
3. Haruo Shimada and John Paul McDuffie, Industrial Relations and Humanware,
Sloan School of Management Working Paper, 1987.
Human Capital and Twenty-First Century Organizations 91
doing so shape the culture and values of the enterprise. The search
process for CEOs therefore focuses on identifying individuals in top
positions in apparently successful organizations who appear to have
these personal attributes. Wall Street analysts, the business press, and
business school case studies often attribute organizational success (or
failure) to the quality of the CEOs leadership, thereby perpetuating
this image of what leadership is and where it resides in organizations.
A human capital, knowledge-based view of the enterprise envisions
leadership as a distributed capability that involves multiple people and
groups at all levels of the organization. To be sure, the CEO and other
executives are critical players in leading a process which generates a
clear and compelling shared vision for the organization. However, such
action by senior executives is not sufficient unless and until it engages
the aspirations and energies of all organizational participants. Leader-
ship is thus more than a set of individual traits or abilities; it is a set of
capabilities that extends throughout the organization and over time. In
this view, a CEO would be seen to be effective if she/he creates the con-
ditions that enable people at all levels in the organization to exercise
leadership in their everyday activities. Performance in the twenty-first-
century organization is a function of the quality of leadership capabil-
ities in action throughout the organization.
interests and values. Other stakeholders can make similar claims. Sup-
pliers, for example, are increasingly responsible for critical aspects of
product design, inventory management, and other tasks that require
long-term partnership agreements. Communities have legitimate
claims to the social and environmental impacts generated by the prod-
ucts and processes of organizations. Governments today are more
interested in longterm, publicprivate partnerships (government as
enabler rather than enforcer). Even regulatory agencies are explor-
ing more interactive relationships with the regulated community. Thus,
processes of stakeholdernot just shareholdergovernance assume
strategic significance in the twenty-first-century organization. Viewed
one way, these many embedded stakeholder relationships represent
complex constraints on organizational flexibility and innovation.
Viewed another way, these same stakeholder relationships constitute
an extended enterprise capable of delivering value to the organization
and to these many stakeholders in unprecedented ways.4
Today, organizations are connected to these many stakeholders in
complex networks including strategic alliances, public-private part-
nerships, and other collaborative initiatives. In all cases, there are both
common interests that bring these parties together and conflicting
interests that threaten the viability of the cooperative venture. In many
cases, individual organizations may come and go, but others will take
their place in these emerging institutional arrangements. Therefore,
organizations are called upon to take a longer viewensuring todays
actions do not make it more difficult for future generations of citizens
and communities to realize their aspirations and objectives. Manage-
ment and management education needs to take a longer-term, sus-
tainability perspective and a broader, networked view of organizations.
More emphasis is needed on developing professional standards, ethics,
and norms that hold individuals and organizations accountable for
their effects on multiple stakeholders, both today and in the future.
Box 4.2.1
A More Diverse Pool of Future Leaders
Box 4.2.2
Learning Across Cultures
As the number of Japanese sales staff was reduced, the local staff built
good connections with Japanese OEMs and delivered the same quality
services without the assistance of Japanese expatriates. To do this,
the local sales staff needed to learn skills and know-how to build the
relationships with Japanese OEMs. . . . This change did not happen
naturally.
Contribution to Sloan Student/Alum Dialogue in Course on Transforming
Work, Organizations, and Society (Spring 2002)
Table 4.2.1
What attracts employees by age
Source: Towers Perrin Talent Report 2001: New Realities in Todays Workforce
Key: Core rewards that rank at the top for all groups
13 Top differentiators in rank order
Towers Perrin indicated (see table 4.2.1), jobs have to be tailored to the
priorities of different groups. Young workers place highest priority on
possibilities for learning and developing their skills; midcareer and
midlife workers value the opportunity to integrate work and family
life; and older workers assign highest priority to long-term employ-
ment and income security. Most workers, young and old alike, appear
to have learned the lesson of the past decades breakdown in the
prospect of long-term jobs. Over 40 percent of those employed actively
look at alternative job opportunities on a regular basis and few see it
as their responsibility to stay with a given employer for any particular
length of time.5
Clearly, the actions of organizations in the last decade have shaped
the expectations of the current workforce. Few are ready to commit
their loyalty and put their trust in any single firm to provide lifetime
jobs and careers. This does not, however, mean that they all want to
be free agents. As these data and others show, employees still expect
firms to manage in ways that offer learning and career development
opportunities. Also, with age comes the heightened priority of and
expectation for long-term security. Fairness in employment decisions
layoffs, compensation, and promotion opportunitiesare just as much
an expectation today as in the past.
Workfamily integration serves as todays frontier workforce issue.
Of all the issues we examined, it generated the most interest among
5. Towers Perrin, Talent Report 2001: New Realities in Todays Workforce (New York: Towers
Perrin, 2002).
96 Chapter 4
6. Lotte Bailyn, Breaking the Mold (New York: Maxwell Macmillan, 1993).
Human Capital and Twenty-First Century Organizations 97
Box 4.2.3
Gap Between Policy and Practice
Box 4.2.4
Reflections from the Spouse of a Medical Resident
In addition, in spite of the fact that she was putting in all this effort, the
head of the program, coming from a time when surgeons were men, with
wives at home taking care of everything, could not understand how this
lifestyle was not maintainable for her. There were no support programs
or other alternatives available. Surgeons were supposed to do their job,
not complain, and stick it out.
Contribution to Sloan Student/Alum Dialogue in Course on Transforming
Work, Organizations, and Society (Spring 2002)
parents. After all, they will have observed the breakdown in the social
contract experienced by their parents and experienced the increased
number of hours their parents have been devoting to the paid work-
force. There is some anecdotal evidence to suggest that this generation
is deeply committed to building individual skills and capabilities, but
highly distrustful of organizations and other workplace institutions.
There are even some indications of an unwillingness to work long
hours of overtime at the expense of personal and family matters. If
these are indeed defining characteristics of this cohortshaped by their
experiences growing up during the eras of rightsizing, downsizing,
reengineering, and outsourcingthen there will be significant human
capital challenges for organizations and industries in the future. These
challenges appear to be particularly acute in such fields as autos, aero-
space, and NASA, all of which are facing a demographic shock with as
many as one-third of the employees eligible to retire in the next five
years.
Box 4.2.5
Stress and Shortage for Technical Professionals
but for all those discussed in this paper. Young lawyers aspire to
succeed in their profession just as much as their counterparts of an
earlier generation. But they also want to attend to their family and per-
sonal lives and to rearrange work processes and caseloads to better
meet their dual agendas. They recognize they cannot do this unless
others in their profession and in leading companies work together to
change the culture and norms of their profession. The same movement
is underway among residents in the medical profession. They are ready
to transform the way they do their work, and, in the process, gradu-
ally change the culture of their professions and organizations. Will
those in power in organizations support or frustrate these efforts? The
answer to this question will influence the way this transformation
process plays out in the years ahead.
Knowledge-Based Work
The last quarter century has witnessed the gradual diffusion of what
are called knowledge-based work systems among front-line manufac-
turing and service workers. The general consensus derived from a
broad range of studies and the experience of our industry participants
is that these produce higher levels of organizational performance and
100 Chapter 4
8. Casey Ichniowski, Thomas Kochan, David Levine, Craig Olson, and George Strauss,
What Works at Work? Industrial Relations, 1996, 299333.
9. Paul Osterman, Work Organization in an Era of Restructuring: Trends in Diffusion
and Impacts on Employee Welfare, Industrial and Labor Relations Review 53 (2000):
17996.
Human Capital and Twenty-First Century Organizations 101
10. John Krafcik, Triumph of Lean Production, Sloan Management Review 30 (1988):
4152.
102 Chapter 4
Box 4.2.6
Mixed Results with Contracting
11. John Paul MacDuffie and John Krafcik, Integrating Technology and Human
Resources for High-Performance Manufacturing: Evidence from the International Auto
Industry, in Transforming Organizations, ed. Thomas A. Kochan and Michael Useem
(New York: Oxford University Press, 1992), 20927; John Paul MacDuffie, Human
Resource Bundles and Manufacturing Performance: Organizational Logic and Flexible
Production Systems in the World Auto Industry, Industrial and Labor Relations Review 48
(1995): 197221.
12. Timothy F. Bresnahan, Erik Brynjolfsson, and Lorin M. Hitt, Information Technol-
ogy, Workplace Innovation, and the Demand for Skilled Labor: Firm Level Evidence, in
The New Relationship, ed. Margaret M. Blair and Thomas A. Kochan (Washington, D.C.,
The Brookings Institution, 1999), 145184.
13. Wanda J. Orlikowski, Learning from Notes: Organizational Issues in Groupware
Implementation, Information Society Journal 9 (1993): 237250.
104 Chapter 4
Box 4.2.7
The Dilemma of What Knowledge to Capture
Most business school cases are written and discussed from the vantage
point of the CEO or others positioned at the top of their functional areas
or departments. This sends the signal that it is the brilliance or indi-
vidual leadership of those at the top who solve critical organizational
problems and which accounts for the success or failure of organiza-
Human Capital and Twenty-First Century Organizations 105
Box 4.2.8
Information Technology and Knowledge Creation
14. Rakesh Khurana, Searching for a Corporate Savior: The Irrational Quest for Charismatic
CEOs (Princeton, N.J.: Princeton University Press, 2002).
15. Deborah G. Ancona, Thomas W. Malone, Wanda J. Orlikowski, and Peter Senge,
Distributed Leadership, Sloan School of Management Workshops, Cambridge, Mass.,
2001/2002.
106 Chapter 4
Box 4.2.9
Linking Diversity Training and Leadership Skills
16. Peter Senge and Gren Carstedt, Innovating Our Way to the Next Industrial Revo-
lution, Sloan Management Review, JanuaryFebruary, 2001.
17. Clare Mendelsohn and Anirudha Pangarkar, Case Studies of How BP and Shell are
Approaching Sustainable Development. Masters Thesis, Sloan School of Management,
Cambridge, Mass., May 2002.
108 Chapter 4
Box 4.2.10
Social and Environmental Sustainability: the Athabasca Oil Sands Project
The objective of the Athabasca Oil Sands Project (a joint venture effort
led by Shell Canada) is to mine the estimated 100-yr supply of oil. While
this oil field had been discovered as early as 1956, two prior attempts to
mine the oil had failed on technical and environmental grounds. A big
concern was the large environmental footprint associated with the mine
and the 300 miles of pipeline. It was only on the third attempt, begun in
1996, that a breakthrough was reached, and oil was successfully pro-
duced. This third attempt was uniquely steered by social and environ-
mental sensitivities and community need for involvement. Shell
Canadas success came from being able to demonstrate to all the critical
stakeholders that the project could provide economic, social, and envi-
ronmental benefits. Through a participatory, collective approach
including and engaging local communities, experts, and NGOsShell
Canada was able to realize numerous advantages for the community of
Athabasca:
1,000 permanent jobs were established within the local community
with as many as 12,000 employed during the construction peak.
The community benefits from substantial tax revenues.
The project helped to build and augment the skills of the local people.
Process water was recycled, thereby reducing demand on local rivers.
on oil imports.
No chemicals were utilized in the oil separation process, and mine
lands will eventually be restored to a natural condition.
A groundbreaking climate change program was developed to address
international concerns and to identify ways to reduce CO2 emissions.
An independent panel of experts continues to identify other means for
18. Lynne Dovey, Achieving Better Social Outcomes in New Zealand Through Collab-
oration: Perspectives from the United States. Masters Thesis, Sloan School of Manage-
ment, Cambridge, Mass., May 2002.
110 Chapter 4
19. Warren Bennis and Robert J. Thomas, Geeks and Geezers (Boston: Harvard Business
School Press, 2002).
112 Chapter 4
Conclusion
20. Robert Kaplan, Strategy Focused Organizations: How Balanced Scorecard Companies
Thrive in the New Business Environment (Boston: Harvard Business School Press, 2001).
21. Murman et al., Lean Enterprise Value.
Human Capital and Twenty-First Century Organizations 113
Acknowledgments
employers that employees will complete their work and exceed expec-
tations on client service.
Thus, the employer-employee relationship is very different at PWC,
going beyond McGregors Theory Y. The company is based more on
trust than on command-and-control. Workers are judged on their
ability to fulfill the commitments that they make to each other. Col-
leagues and the company measure people by the quality of their results
rather than the quantity of their hours on the clock. Complex,
unscripted project workin contrast to routinized piecework
requires a flexible work environment.
SAS Institute, the worlds largest privately held software company,
exemplifies a corporate culture based on trust and flexibility. The
example of SAS illustrates how a $1.2 billion company can do well
financially by doing right for its 9,000 employees. SAS CEO Dr. James
Goodnight noted that when 95 percent of a companys assets drive
out the front gate every night, the CEO must see to it that they return
the following day. A trust-based environment, onsite healthcare,
recreation facilities, and good equitable pay structures help get people
to return.
For these efforts, SAS is ranked third on Fortune magazines Best
Places to Work in America rankings. With 3 percent employee
turnovercompared to the 20 percent figure common to the software
industrySAS saves an estimated $75 million per year by not having
to acquire replacement workers. We would rather pay our employees
than pay headhunters, Goodnight said. Such practices mean that new
employees want to join SAS. The company enjoys first pick among the
very best workers, getting some 200 applicants for each job posting.
Finally, he stressed that strong employee loyalty drives higher cus-
tomer loyalty. Workers that stay with the company form lasting rela-
tionships with the companys customers; retaining employees helps
retain customers.
The low turnover ratio at SAS prompted an audience member to ask
whether low turnover impeded innovation, thereby creating an inbred
corporate culture. Goodnight answered that SAS uses internal mobil-
ity to create a strong flow of ideas, rather than using a revolving door
of entering and departing employees. Workers at SAS work on a project
basis, and they can move freely about the company. Unlike a traditional
hierarchical manufacturing company, SAS lets workers move in and
out of linear career development paths. Moreover, the company is still
growinggetting fresh new workers as it expands. With its commit-
118 Chapter 4
ment to the long-term, SAS is even hiring during the economic down-
turn in the software and technology sector. The company is foregoing
short-term profits to hire very skilled workers who were laid off in the
crash of the technology sector.
Dr. Peter Senge suggested that people should question their
assumptions about corporate and government practice and about the
developed worlds entire way of life. Assumptions are embedded in
the language that we use. Under McGregors transition from Theory X
to Theory Y, people shifted from being a labor cost to being a cor-
porate asset. Yet, Senge questioned even the language of calling
people assets or resources. He noted that the definition of a
resource is something standing ready, waiting to be used. Kofi Annan
spoke of the need to move from talking about balance sheets (with their
lists of categorized assets) to a more people-focused perspective. In
moving beyond McGregors Theory Y, leaders need new ways of think-
ing about the unique relationship and mutual responsibilities between
employers and employees. This new model would move away from
the assumption that employees are assets that can be bought, depreci-
ated, and disposed.
Dr. Senge also suggested that, because of sustainability, the entire
industrial revolution is a giant bubble, not unlike the dot-com bubble.
We dont see it yet because the industrial revolutions bubble has not
yet popped. People do not see the bubble-like nature of current prac-
tice because of the most insidious feature of bubblesthey look so
good to those inside them, until they pop. Those inside see nothing
but growth and good times. Those outside see how the bubble has
overstepped rational bounds and is bound to pop. Just as the dot-com
bubble was not sustainable, the rapacious resource consumption pat-
terns of the industrial revolution are not sustainable. Senge noted that
the average American needs, literally, a ton of resources per week to
support their lifestyle. Few believe that everyone in the world can rea-
sonably attain the resource consumption patterns of the developed
world. Thus, he echoed Kofi Annans concern about those outside the
affluent circle (or bubble) of the major industrial nations15 percent
of the people having 95 percent of the goodies is not sustainable.
All three panelists commented on the need for education reforms,
especially at the lower educational levels. For Jim Goodnight, the issue
was that the old model of education presumed that the student was
destined for the manufacturing world. He noted that it is clear that the
U.S. will, and must, leave behind its manufacturing past and embrace
Human Capital and Twenty-First Century Organizations 119
Rick Wagoner
So, how do we deal with the constant changes that we find ourselves
confronting every day? Let me offer a little story.
Last year, the city of Detroit marked its 300th anniversary, and one
of the things the city did to celebrate was open a time capsule that
had been sealed in 1900. In the time capsule were some 55 letters
from prominent business and community leaders at that time, and its
interesting to note that not one of those letters represented the auto
business.
In 1900, the auto companies were, in many ways, the dot.coms of
their day. In fact, for most people in 1900, cars were little more than an
expensive novelty. As Sloan put it, many bright automotive ideas
ended with a horse and a towline.
Consider the case of Billy Durant, founder of GM, whose single best
decision may have been to bring Alfred Sloan into the company. From
1914 to 1920, when GM was just one of a number of speculative auto
companies, investment capital poured into the auto industry. During
that period, GM stock soared more than 5,500 percent.
In the early 1920s, however, the overcrowded automobile industry
failed to deliver on expectations, and auto stocks plunged. In six
months, GM lost two-thirds of its market value. In a panic, Durant
began to borrow huge amounts of money and buy back shares, in a
futile attempt to prop up the companys stock price.
To make a long story shortafter a wild ride, GM eventually recov-
ered. The upshot is that as uncertain and challenging as the auto indus-
try is today, in some ways, its really not so different from our industry
of 100 years ago. History shows usand the dot.com debacle is just
the latest examplethat one of the few constants in our world is
change, and unless you keep up with it, youll be history yourself.
At GM, we think the answer to keeping up with this changeor
better, staying ahead of itlies in innovation. GM built its reputation,
and its position at the top of the global auto industry, primarily because
of its commitment to innovationproduct innovation and business
innovation.
In fact, you could argue that Alfred Sloans greatest contribution to
society was his invention of modern business management. Under
his leadership, GM was a pioneer in market research, retail and dealer
franchising, cost accounting, the annual model change, vertical inte-
gration, and much more.
But, Sloans GM built a great track record of product innovation, as
wellfrom the self starter and electric headlights, to safety glass and
Marketing 125
Although the Internet has not revolutionized the way consumers shop,
it has brought more subtle yet equally important management impli-
cations. Among these implications is the marketing influence which
consumers and suppliers have as a result of the Internet.
On the consumer side, customers have greater bargaining power
through increased access to timely and accurate information about
their product of interest. On the supply side, marketing automation
technology allows targeted promotion and differential pricing. The two
forces are generally opposing. Marketing automation supports push
marketing and price discrimination, while customer power prevents
manufacturers from practicing push marketing.
This paper explores three industries in depthtravel, new automo-
biles, and health care. For each industry, we examined the pre- and post-
Internet industry structures, looked for changes in customer power,
and analyzed the strategic responses by firms. From this, we infer
which strategies companies should use to balance the forces between
increased customer power and increased automation. On the one
extreme is pure trust, or advocacy marketing, which entails full, honest
information exchange with customers who are regarded as a commun-
ity. On the other extreme is pure push marketing, which aims to isolate
customers and extract the maximum surplus from each customer.
To understand the historical context of the shift in consumer power
and its implications for the science of marketing, we look to Douglas
McGregor and his impact on the science of management. As noted in
chapter 4, in 1957 McGregor posed a new view of what motivates
employees. The traditional view, Theory X, held that employees dislike
work, avoid responsibility, and prefer to be told what to do. In contrast,
McGregor proposed Theory Y, that employees are creative, willing to
128 Chapter 5
More Options: Does the Internet create new purchase and distribution
channels, or is it merely a resource for additional information? Indus-
tries that have accommodated the Internet as another option to pur-
chase the product typically provide consumers with a greater degree
of power.
More Information: How quickly and easily can consumers obtain timely
and valuable information regarding the price, availability, and specifi-
Marketing 129
Industry Structure
Five years ago, 7580 percent of all travel was booked through agen-
cies. Today, billions of dollars of travel are booked online, which has
changed the structure of the industry enormously. The Internet has
created a vast repository of information as well as extensive marketing
and service opportunities. This has led to the birth of large companies
like Orbitz.com, which are now considered by airlines to belong to the
same category as American Express.
Jeff Katz, CEO of Orbitz.com, believes that travel is one of the few
industries that has truly succeeded in taking advantage of the Inter-
nets resources, and in this particular case, the Internet has increased
consumers power by 100 percent.
NFO Plog Researchs The 2001 American Traveler Survey documents
the tremendous effect the Internet has had on the trip planning and
booking practices of the overall population of travelers between 1999
and 2001. According to the survey, fewer leisure travelers now use
travel agents when planning their vacations: 28 percent, down from 33
percent two years ago. During the same period, usage of the Internet
has grown by half. Today, 36 percent of leisure travelers use the Inter-
net to gather travel information, up from 24 percent in 1999. Among
heavy leisure air travelers (those taking three or more trips a year), 63
percent report using the Internet for research.
Among online air travelersdefined as air travelers who have an e-
mail addressthe switch is even more dramatic. Ninety-three percent
of the online leisure travelers use the Internet as an information source,
Table 5.2.1
132
Industry Summary Table
Travel >35% of leisure travelers use Consumers can research and Airlines discontinued Travel agents are trying to
the Net for research. Over purchase their travel commissions to agents. reposition themselves as
50% of all airline tickets without an agent, Over 2,000 brick and mortar personalized service
are sold via the Internet. diminishing the role of travel agents have gone providers.
travel agents. out of business.
Auto >60% of new car buyers use Prominent emergence of Online purchase transactions Dealers purchase customer
the Net for research; 6% third-party information using an Internet buying leads generated by Internet
use Internet buying and selling services. Dealer service save an average of buying services. Many
services. network still intact. $450 per vehicle over the dealers offer sophisticated
traditional buying processes Internet buying tools
a savings of about 1.2% directly.
Health Care >50% of adults online Comprehensive research Customers select HMOs, Pharmaceutical
conduct research via the sites on the Net empower research illnesses online, manufacturers market
Internet. consumers to research ask doctors for specific directly to consumers,
their health needs. products. encouraging them to ask
their physicians about
specific products.
Chapter 5
Marketing 133
up from 57 percent just two years ago. The portion of online business
air travelers who consult travel agents has dropped 17 percent since
1999, when 59 percent relied on agents as an information source.
Perhaps the more important question is how the Internet has
changed travelers booking practices. According to the survey, agents
continue to see an erosion of market share. Currently, 23 percent of
business travelers surveyed typically book through agents, down from
33 percent a year ago. One in ten business travelers now typically book
through the Internet, up from 7 percent a year ago. On the other hand,
12 percent of leisure travelers say they typically purchase travel online,
up from 9 percent a year ago. The percentage of leisure travelers
booking their vacation through an agent dropped from 22 percent a
year ago to 18 percent.
Although 87 percent of travel is still booked through traditional
travel agents and direct-to-supplier venues, the Internet has enabled
a new way of travel planning and has increased the leverage that
consumers hold over the traditional travel industry players. As a result,
over 2,000 independent travel agents have gone out of business in the
past few years.
Evidence of Power
KE
More Information:
T
MA
TS
Online price quotes
INFOR
TRUCTURE
Online aggregation of flight details for
multiple airlines CUSTOMER
POWER
Free online reviews of airlines, hotels,
and other travel amenities
Simpler Transactions:
TR
One-stop shopping for flight, hotel, rental A N S A C TI O N
car
24-hour convenience for planning/booking
Instant reservation confirmation Simpler transactions
Figure 5.2.1
Forces affecting power in the travel industry.
corporations
Orbitz.com, financed by American Airlines, Continental Airlines,
Delta Airlines, Northwest Airlines, and United Airlines, targets the
general leisure segment
Priceline.com lures the price-conscious travelers
Site59.com attracts those looking for last-minute deals
MYOBtravel.com helps small companies take complete control of
their business travel
Commissions
for Travel Agents
Airline Options
Limited
Information
Loyalty Programs
Push Trust
Marketing Marketing
Figure 5.2.2
Balance between push and trust marketing before the Internet.
Whereas the United States has led the way in moving travel booking
onto the Internet, an increasing number of non-U.S. industry players
have entered the market as consumer advocates.
138 Chapter 5
No More Travel
Sites/Agents Highlight Agent Commissions
Certain Airlines
Ease of Transactions
Loyalty Programs
Information Availability
More Options
Push Trust
Marketing Marketing
Figure 5.2.3
Balance between push and trust marketing after the Internet.
Europe
According to Jupiter mmxi, the European online travel market gen-
erated euro 4.3 billion in 2001. Unlike in the United States, where
major online agencies outrank most airline websites in terms of sales,
budget supplier websites dominate the online travel market in Europe.
However, the same trust-based online strategy seems to be working in
both markets.
Since its launch in 2000, ryanair.com has quickly become the largest
travel website in Europe. Ninety-one percent of seat sales are sold via
the Ryan Air website, while the rest is booked through call centers. The
formula for success seems to be its special homepage promotions and
its guaranteed lowest Internet fares. Ryanair.com guarantees all Inter-
net users that the air fares purchased at www.ryanair.com are the
lowest available on the Internet.
To stay in the Internet game, nine European airlines launched a web-
based travel agency in December 2001. The website, Opodo, targets
leisure customers who surf websites looking for bargain fares. Besides
airline websites, travel aggregation sites such as Expedia, Travelocity,
lastminute.com, and ebookers.com are among the top travel sites in
Europe.
Asia
For the most part, Asian consumers use the Internet to gather infor-
mation, rather than to make purchases. Unlike the United States, where
most airlines are fairly homogeneous and most travel is done within
the country, travel in Asia is usually outside the country of origin,
entailing visa and passport issues that require an agents personal
service. Many are betting, however, that simpler online transactions
Marketing 139
and price comparisons will encourage more Asians to buy more travel
over the Internet. U.S. companies, such as Priceline, are forming joint
ventures with Asian conglomerates in order to offer travel in Asia. Also,
similar to the U.S.-based Orbitz, Japan Airlines, All Nippon Airways
Co., Japan Air System Co., and major U.S. and Asian airlines have
launched a Japanese one-stop online travel Web site called Tabini. Sim-
ilarly, 11 Asian airlines have established agreements to launch Zuji.com
for the Asia-Pacific market.
Travel agencies, both big and small, are here to stay. Online and offline
boundaries will disappear. Empowered customers will push airlines to
simplify their pricing structures.
Delta, American, and Continental airlines have eliminated commis-
sions for most travel agencies in 2002. Following the lead of the airline
industry, Hertz Corp. announced elimination of commissions to travel
agents handling negotiated corporate and government accounts in the
United States and Canada. We believe that travel aggregators will con-
tinue to play the important role of consumer advocate, via the Internet
or other future technology platforms. Nonetheless, not all agencies will
survive. The small online-only agencies will likely face major consoli-
dation. Large agencies will survive because of their negotiation power.
For example, travel agencies like Travelocity and Expedia have sealed
marketing partnerships with most major airlines to replace the eli-
minated transactional commission fees. Furthermore, major online
players are becoming wholesalersbuying discounted seats and
rooms from airlines and hotels, and making money by marking up and
bundling extras such as theatre tickets or dinner reservations. Cur-
rently, only one-quarter to one-third of Expedias revenue comes from
airline commissions, and Priceline does not rely on commissions at all.
Large corporate travel agencies redesigned their businesses to rely on
customers to pay transaction fees, rather than relying on commissions
from suppliers. According to American Expresss 2001 Annual Report,
70 percent of AmExs travel revenues came from customer fees and
only 30 percent came from suppliers.
We predict that small, independent agencies will form a super
agency to negotiate for incentive commissions. The survivors will be
niche and specialized agencies that work closely with popular vaca-
tion destinations, such as the Caribbean and Jamaica. These agencies
140 Chapter 5
Industry Structure
Table 5.2.2
Increases in Internet use in vehicle purchase process
Percentage of customers who use the Internet for 25% 40% 54% 62%
research purposes in the new-vehicle shopping
process
Percentage of new vehicles that are sold through 1.1% 2.7% 4.7% 6.0%
an Internet channel
of every twenty new vehicle purchases, more than 60 percent of all new
vehicle buyers research their vehicle online before purchase.2 Those
who use the Internet visit 6.8 websites on average and focus on two
types of websitesoriginal equipment manufacturer (OEM) sites and
the third-party independent sites. Seventy-eight percent say they visit
at least one OEM site. Table 5.2.2 shows the increase in Internet use in
the vehicle purchase process.
The majority of Internet shoppers first visit a third-party site to
compare vehicle specifications, narrow their consideration set to a few
models, and then review detailed information for each model at the
manufacturers site. Next, the consumer returns to a third-party site
and/or an Internet Buying Service (IBS) to perform detailed compar-
isons of pricing and financing. At this point, it appears that a majority
choose to purchase offline, although inadequate responses from dealers
to online inquiries may contribute to this decision. Interviews with
dealers confirmed that they perceive Internet consumers to be more
informed about features and pricing than non-Internet shoppers. These
customers usually have more realistic views of fair pricing, which
shortens the time spent selling a vehicle and negotiating a price. One
dealer reported that it was not uncommon for a customer to bargain
with a computer printout of a competitors price or some assessment
of fair market value.
For those who attempt to buy through an Internet buying service,
the Internet has a mixed impact on consumer power. On the one hand,
only 12 percent of new-vehicle leads sent to dealers through an online
buying service actually result in a sale. Most leads are either not
adequately served or are not serious leads.3 A customer submits
the order of several hundred dollars per customer) allow great poten-
tial for improvement through Internet lead generation. The consumer
also benefits, because many of these services offer a combination of no-
haggle pricing and convenience.
Another segment of third-party information providers is aggregators
such as Automotive Information Center (AIC), which is part of
Autobytel Inc., and Autofusion. These companies are more shielded
from the publics attention, and their main role is to aggregate vehicle
detail content and sell access to other website providers.
Not to be left out of the Internet action, manufacturers and dealerships
have made varied levels of effort in their online presence. Most manufac-
turers have introduced websites that are aimed at providing and collect-
ing information, much like an interactive brochure. FordDirect.com and
GM BuyPower connect consumers to their dealer networks with access
to inventory, vehicle configuration tools, and current incentives.
Dealer websites vary widely, from being basic online advertisements
to having many advanced capabilities such as a virtual showroom,
updated inventory status, and online vehicle service scheduling. Incon-
sistent response by dealers to sales inquiry e-mails from customers
demonstrates this variation among dealer websites. One study found
that only 42 percent of such inquiries received responses, and less than
half of the responses received included all the information requested.4
In contrast, two dealers we interviewed who are focused on develop-
ing online sales have succeeded in attaining significantly larger market
share through online sales.
Evidence of Power
More Options:
Traditional Dealers
Online Dealers
Internet Buying Services
More Information:
Free Access to Specification and Pricing Information
Online Buying Guides
Interactive Comparison Tools
Simpler Transactions:
Online Dealer and IBS Quote Requests
Online Fixed-price Quotes
Figure 5.2.4
Forces affecting power in the auto industry.
vehicle purchase online, the IBS and Manufacturer Referral Sites (MRS)
have nevertheless increased customers geographic access to dealers.
Recent evidence shows that buyers who use the Internet for price
quotes typically drive 10 miles farther to purchase a vehicle than those
who do not.5
The Internet has provided broader and lower-cost access to high
levels of information, and usage statistics show that greater numbers
of customers are accessing this information. In particular, studies
cited that access to detailed information on dealer invoice pricing,
online buying guides, extensive comparison tools, and dealer invento-
ries is improving the convenience and quality of information for a
great number of consumers. The consensus among the dealers we
interviewed is that customers are more informed about what they
want, what they are willing to pay, and what their purchasing options
are.
The obvious manner in which the Internet has helped simplify the
purchase process for customers is the no-haggle, fixed-price offerings
by the IBS. Once a customer selects a vehicle, these online services
provide a convenient means to complete most of the transaction by
computer. Less apparent is the effect of the increased access to data.
Many websites provide tools to help manage all the datafrom basic
vehicle comparison tools to sophisticated interactive decision advisors.
Anecdotally, the evidence points toward a shorter purchase process at
the dealership for customers who have researched online. That is,
dealers report that the transaction process was shorter with well-
federal franchise laws that require all new vehicle sales be made
through an authorized dealership, thus reducing the perceived threat
from the Internet entrants who cannot sell directly to consumers.
The Internet has presented dealers with an opportunity to redefine
their relationship with the consumer. The task is not easy, though,
because the industry suffers from a long history of strong distrust
between consumers and dealership sales representatives. The most
progressive dealers have responded by establishing a customized sales
process to cater to Internet-savvy consumers. Since many consumers
now walk into a dealership with full knowledge of invoice pricing and
vehicle availability, there is higher potential for a trust-based sales
process, with more emphasis on matching a customer with their
desired vehicle, and less effort on trying to manipulate the customers
opinion.
In terms of the push versus trust scale, dealers find they have ele-
ments on all three areas of the scale. The fact that there are a substantial
number of buyers that focus exclusively on the bottom-line price means
that dealers should not abandon the push process with these customers,
as there is little chance to make a sale with a full-trust, upfront price dis-
closure sales approach. Early recognition by sales representatives of
which buyers are in this deal-prone segment is important in being able
to effectively employ the push strategy without alienating the rest of the
customer base that might be more receptive to a trust strategy.
As more customers rely on the Internet for research in the shopping
process, the scale clearly tips toward the trust side. The customer
armed with Internet information is able to quickly verify dealer claims
about invoice pricing, options content, and even regional availability.
Thus, the Internet presents a breakthrough opportunity for dealers to
change the mindset of many customers in how they perceive the trust-
worthiness of the dealership. As the role of the Internet continues to
expand in the automotive sales industry, the effectiveness of trust-
based strategies is expected to increase. Although dealers are caught in
the middle between push and trust today, the industry appears to be
steadily progressing towards the full-trust model in the long term.
Internet companies, which positioned themselves between consumer
and dealer, are beginning to find themselves squeezed from all direc-
tions. The Internet space is crowded. Advertising revenue models have
proved unsustainable, so many of these online companies are forced to
find alternate sources of revenue. This struggle has prompted the
beginning of Super Sites, which aim to provide full-service capabil-
Marketing 147
ity from one source. These services range from information, ratings,
recommendations, buying services, financing referrals, and even insur-
ance referrals. The best evidence of this trend is seen in Autobytel
Inc., which in 2001 acquired a host of smaller companies such as
Autoweb.com, Carsmart.com, Autosite.com, and AIC.
Third-party information providers find they have an advantage over
dealers and manufacturers in that consumers trust these independent
sites the most, as confirmed in many surveys. However, there is no
evidence that consumers are willing to pay for information, especially
since they are accustomed to accessing it for free. In order to stay in
business, many of these companies rely on sales-lead generation and
sale to dealerships. In this regard, these companies face an enormous
challenge. They must maintain consumer trust when providing accu-
rate information, convenience, or efficiency in the shopping process. At
the same time, they must generate high-quality leads that can be sold
to dealerships in order to secure a source of revenue.
Therefore, the Internet companies must expand their services to con-
tinue luring customers without compromising the perception of trust.
For example, Edmunds.com provides consumers with a TMV (True
Market Value) for any major make and model, new or used vehicle.
Since most consumers view Edmunds as an unbiased and trustworthy
source of information, it is no surprise that Edmundss website com-
monly ranks as one of the most useful sites in consumer surveys. A
strong brand name, impartial position, and leading-edge features are
critical to staying in the Internet domain as a third-party service pro-
vider. Ultimately, there are only a small number of companies with
these resources, and so the wave of proliferation in websites that
occurred in the 1990s is expected to quickly reverse through a period
of consolidation, alliances, and failure.
The unflattering stereotype of the pushy car salesman is one that is
familiar to anyone who has purchased a vehicle from a dealership.
Unfortunately for consumers, it exists for good reason. Before the
Internet, dealer sales representatives could be pushy because it paid to
do so. Consumers generally had little knowledge of invoice pricing and
were unfamiliar with what inventory they could expect the dealer to
have. Furthermore, finding out what inventory other dealers had
typically meant visiting those dealershipsan inconvenient, time-
consuming process. Consumers found themselves relying on the
dealership for almost all of the vehicle information, a scenario that
rewarded pushy sales tactics (figures 5.2.56).
148 Chapter 5
Reliance on
Local Dealers
After-sales Service
Limited Price
Information
Few Third-Party
Consumer Advocates
Push Trust
Marketing Marketing
Figure 5.2.5
Balance between push and trust marketing before the Internet.
Internet Buying
Non-Internet Users ServicesFixed Price
Often Uninformed
Vehicle Inventories
Trade-in Vehicles Are Online
Are Easy Targets Invoice Pricing Is
Easily Available
Push Trust
Marketing Marketing
Figure 5.2.6
Balance between push and trust marketing after the Internet.
to the United States. European markets have also seen the emergence
of rapidly growing automotive websites that provide research tools for
pricing, specifications, options, and availability.6 This market is experi-
encing a lag of about one year compared to the United States in terms
of percentage of new car shoppers that use the Internet in their search
process. This effect is due primarily to the overall lag of Internet adop-
tion in Europe compared to the United States.
One major impact of the Internet in the European market has been
on unofficial imports across national borders. Owing in large part to
highly variable tax structures in different countries, the prices of auto-
mobiles can vary by 30 to 50 percent from one country to another.
Britain, the most expensive new-car market in Europe,7 has seen a surge
in vehicles that are imported into the country by individuals purchas-
ing in lower-cost countries such as the Netherlands. More than 5
percent of new car registrations in Britain are now from unofficial
import purchases. Figures for Germany, Austria, and France are also
on the rise.
The Internet is a major enabler to this import process, giving broad
access to pricing and availability in other countries. In fact, importing
intermediaries, which operate primarily through a website, are pro-
viding shoppers with nearly all the vehicle information as well as
transaction logistic details needed to make a purchase. In contrast,
dealers in low-price countries are taking a cautious approach to selling
cars for export. They have avoided overt promotions of this business,
citing contractual arrangements with the manufacturers. However, by
law, any EU citizen can freely purchase a car in any EU country.
Empowered by pricing and logistical information, British customers
are finding it easier to import cars and can even schedule a Car
Cruise journey for the round-trip journey to select their vehicle.8
6. Clare Saliba, European Auto Sites Enjoy Traffic Surge, E-Commerce Times, April 25,
2001.
7. Marjorie Miller, Los Angeles Times, July 23, 1999.
8. Brandon Mitchener, Tax Arbitrage: For a Good Deal on a British Car, Youll Need a
Boat, Wall Street Journal, July 19, 1999.
150 Chapter 5
Industry Structure
Table 5.2.3
Internet auto industry players
Information aggregators
Kelly Blue Book car reviews, car and provides a choice of
(KBB.com) option pricing, buying clickthrough to IBS,
advice, interactive MRS, local dealer if
decision guide available
Cars.com car reviews, car and provides a choice of
option pricing, buying local dealers for
advice requesting price quote
Internet buying services (IBS)
AutoVantage.com/ car reviews, car and Provides quote
AutoNation option pricing, buying request form for
advice AutoNation
etailNetwork
Carpoint.com car reviews, car and forwards quote
option pricing, buying request to network
advice, interactive dealer
decision guide
CarsDirect.com car reviews, car and provides fixed online
option pricing, buying quotes
advice
Manufacturer referral sites (MRS)
Ford.com/ car and option pricing, provides access to
FordDirect.com interactive decision dealer inventories and
guide forwards quote
requests to dealers
GMBuyPower.com third-party comparison provides access to
reviews, car and option dealer inventories and
pricing forwards quote
requests to dealers
Dealer sites
DriversSeat.com car reviews, car and provides choice of
(NADA) option pricing, links to local dealers to
manufacturers request price quote,
some access to
inventory
Autonation.com car reviews, car and access to inventory
option pricing and quote request
Evidence of Power
9. Interview with Dr. Arnold Epsteinsame point of view was provided by Melanie
Kittrell and Melissa Moncavage.
10. The Coming Battle for the Hearts and Minds of the Cyberchondriacs, Harris
Interactive, February 19, 2001.
154 Chapter 5
More Options:
More Treatment Options (different drugs, different options)
Increased Rivalry of Generics
Tiered Co-pays Offered by Insurers
More Information:
Increase in Direct-to-Consumer Marketing
Emergence of Online Information
FDA Regulations Require More Disclosure
Figure 5.2.7
Forces affecting power in the healthcare industry.
Low Education of
Before
the Consumer
High Importance
Regulation for Consumer
Figure 5.2.8
Balance between push and trust marketing before the Internet.
After
Easier to Share
Information
Higher Education of
Regulation the Consumer
High Importance for
Untrusted Third-Party Consumer
Advocacy
Introduction of Generics
HMOs and MCOs
Figure 5.2.9
Balance between push and trust marketing after the Internet.
Conclusion
Acknowledgments
The marketing panel began with each panelist sharing his or her view
of consumer power and how their company is responding to this
power.
For example, GM is embarking on trust-based marketing with its
new Auto Choice Advisor. Mr. Vince Barabba, General Manager, Cor-
porate Strategy and Knowledge Development at General Motors,
explained how the Auto Choice Advisor (ACA) works. The ACA is an
online trust-based advisor. It is designed for people who are shopping
for a new car but who are not sure which makes and models might suit
their needs. At the ACA website, potential car buyers answer a few
questions, such as how they plan to use the car, what features they
want, and how much they are willing to spend. Based on their answers,
GM shows them which five car models match their needs best (out of
150 makes and models available from all manufacturers). What is
unusual is that GM cars do not show up on the recommended list
unless they meet the consumers criteria.
For GM to offer such an unbiased recommendation service (using
impartial data from JD Powers) is surprising to many companies.
Isnt GM possibly sending potential customers to the competition?
But offering unbiased information is the heart of trust-based market-
ing. In addition, by providing trustworthy information, GM hopes to
establish a dialogue with customers. Personal communication with
customers is an important part of trust, Mr. Barabba said. The ACA
establishes a dialogue with customers, a dialogue that complements the
market research data which GM gathers.
For example, in the dialogue with consumers, GM learns consumers
true preferences. If GM does not already have cars that meet those
preferences, then GM learns about that gap immediately with ACA.
Finding out early gives GM the ability to respond to that need. It also
162 Chapter 5
Stewart C. Myers
Giovanni Carriere,
Andrew Cowen,
Jos Antonio Marco,
Donald Monson,
Federica Pievani, and
Tienko Rasker
This paper focuses on the evolving landscape of European corporate
governance. Effective governance supports the stability and efficiency
of the corporate sector. Countries with clear, accurate, formal, and
widely accepted business practices are more successful in attracting
global capital flows and creating economic prosperity. Companies with
greater transparency have better access to capital, and thereby obtain
a competitive advantage.
There is an ongoing debate on governance in the major industrial-
ized countries. This paper describes where the countries of continental
Europe stand in this debate and identifies possible future develop-
ments. We do not judge any particular countrys governance practices,
nor do we advocate changes. We review recent developments, high-
lighting key issues for the future.
First, we look at the sources and flows of capital that fund compa-
nies. We examine three areas: stock markets, debt financing, and venture
capital. We begin with a look at the London stock market, which is more
liquid and provides better access to capital than its continental com-
petitors. This does not mean, however, that Anglo-Saxon governance
practices willor shouldprevail on the continent. Next, we look at
debt financing, which plays a crucial role in capital allocation in
Europe. European banks often lend on the basis of long-standing
relationships and government influence. Banking reform measures are
under discussion, but progress on banking reform may be slow. Finally,
we examine venture capital. European entrepreneurs face a shortage of
seed funding. Relatively few high net-worth individuals in Europe
invest in start-ups, preferring safer investments. This is an important
issue for Europe, since innovation and growth are often fueled by
start-up companies.
172 Chapter 6
Stock Markets
1. This situation might change in the U.K., however, with the establishment of the
Financial Services Agency (FSA) in September 2001. The FSA is the result of the combina-
tion of all of the governmental agencies with securities industry oversight. It is still too
early to gauge the FSAs effectiveness, but increased governmental vigilance in enforc-
ing securities laws may result.
2. London Stock Exchange Historical Statistics.
174 Chapter 6
London is also the worlds largest center of equity assets under man-
agement. As of 2000, almost $2.5 trillion was managed from London.
New York was second with just under $2.4 trillion. Paris ranked as the
largest European center with less than $500 billion.3
These developments were catalysts for the change of European
corporate governance. First, companies who list their shares in
London must comply with the U.K. reporting and accounting stan-
dards, regardless of the requirements in their home countries. This
means quarterly reporting of operating income, balance sheets, and
statements of cash flow. Second, dual-listed companies can expect to
be plied for data and pushed in new ways by the English and Ameri-
can investment community. Many management teams got their first
taste of Anglo-Saxon investment community requirements when they
listed in London.
Addressing these requirements was the price of admission for access
to the U.S. and U.K. capital pools, access which European companies
looking to grow quickly wanted. Continental Europe was almost
devoid of large equity pools until very recently. Governments on the
continent controlled most of the largest companies and thus the largest
pension funds. These pension funds usually invested a minority of
their assets in equities. In Italy, for example, the pension laws almost
entirely precluded pension investment in equities.
The London Stock Exchange still leads in overall trading, with over
$4.5 trillion of annual volume compared to the Deutsche Brses $2.1
trillion.4 In order to retain volume and compete against larger
exchanges, the smaller and regional exchanges have either consoli-
dated or gone public to raise their profile. For example, Paris, Belgium,
and Amsterdam merged to form Euronext in the spring of 2000.
Euronext had $1 trillion of annual volume in 2001.5
The euros introduction has had major implications for reporting and
capital markets. Total European securitization has surged from just
under 40 billion euros in 1996 to almost 154 billion euros in 2001.
Although the U.K. has historically accounted for the bulk of these
issues, the market for new asset-backed and mortgage-backed
Accounting Standards
Summary
Less than ten years ago, access to capital markets in Europe was
restricted to well-established companies with real assets and reliable
cash flows. The advent of new markets, formed in the image of
NASDAQ across Europe, shifted the balance of power and fueled the
technology boom of the late 1990s. In Germany, over 300 companies
went public on the Neuer Markt between 1997 and 2000, compared to
a mere 49 public offerings in the previous three years. The STET devel-
oped a platform for young, innovative companies to reach the public
market, and many investors quickly realized extraordinary returns on
the Neuer Markt during the Internet era.
The new market renaissance that started with AIM in London
(1995) and Nouveau Marche (1996) in Paris quickly spread across
Europe to include, by the end of 1999, the Nuovo Mercato in Milan,
Nuevo Mercado in Madrid, SWX New Market in Zurich, NMAX in
The NASDAQ has developed into the paragon for growth markets, and
its regulatory oversight body, the SEC, deserves much of the credit.
The SEC, a U.S. federal agency, serves NASDAQ at all levelsrule
formation, monitoring, and enforcement. Thus, the SEC ensures the
transparency and credibility of the exchange. One investment banker
we interviewed contended that, given the Neuer Markts youth in com-
parison with NASDAQ, it regularly explores new territory not wholly
contained in its guidelines. Such was the case with early violations of
insider trading and loopholes in lock-up period trading. The multiple
institution involvement makes Germanys regulatory regime com-
paratively less responsive and often unprepared to handle emergent
violations and ensure market efficiency.
The legal and regulatory framework of the Neuer Markt, like other
European growth markets, was subject to a complex market surveil-
lance regime that spanned private and public institutions. In contrast
to the regulatory sovereignty of the SEC in the United States, the
involvement of multiple institutions in rule formation, monitoring, and
enforcement hindered the development of the Neuer Markt as a wholly
transparent marketplace for international capital.
Germany has a three-tier supervisory system for monitoring German
securities markets. The first layer for regulation is the Deutsche Brse
AG, a private organization, which manages the Frankfurt Stock
Exchange (FWB). The Deutsche Brse oversaw regulatory adherence
on the Neuer Markt, where it set listing requirements, monitored
trading regulation compliance, and imposed fines for rule violations.
Much of the regulation was established in accordance with private law,
legally equivalent to a private contract between a listed company and
the Deutsche Brse.
The second layer of supervision came at a state level from public
quasi-regulatory bodies, including the FWB, which monitored the
Governance 179
various Deutsche Brse market segments, and from the stock trading
authority of the Economics Ministry of the state of Hessen, which
assumed further responsibility for legal and market supervision.
The third layer, the Federal Supervisory Office for Securities (BAWe),9
conducted overall surveillance of the German markets with a specific
focus on public information disclosure and insider trading violations.
Because the Neuer Markt regulation was largely a matter of private
law, the role of the BAWe in the case of the Neuer Markt remained
opaque.
Market transparency and liquidity are two crucial criteria that
determine the success of a stock exchange. The Neuer Markt had
ostensibly taken great measures to ensure transparency with stringent
regulatory guidelines (RWNM)10 created in accordance with private
law that are augmented with exchange laws and orders (BrsG and
BrsO)11 established by the FWB as well as securities law (WpHG)12 set
at a federal level.
Debt Financing
The Banks
13. Secretariat of the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision, The New Basel Capital
Accord: an Explanatory Note, Bank for International Settlements, 2001.
14. The Good Tailors of Basel, Economist, February 21, 2002.
Governance 183
The Markets
Conclusion
Venture Capital
It is often said that the hardest round of funding to get for a new
company is the very first seed capital injection, which allows the busi-
ness to grow from an idea into a proper business proposal. Would-be
Governance 185
15. P. Reynolds, S. Camp, W. Bygrave, E. Autio, and M. Hay (2001), Global Entre-
peneurship Monitor2001 Executive Report, available at www.gemconsortium.org
16. Merrill Lynch/Cap Gemini Ernst & Young (2001), World Wealth Report 2001,
www.cgey.com, www.ml.com
186 Chapter 6
angel investors in 2000, just over 6 percent of all adults, whereas the
highest European country came in at less than 4 percent.
Recognizing the problem, European governments have sought to
intervene through creative funding schemes. The U.K. government, for
instance, created the University Challenge Fund, which allowed uni-
versities to compete for money to set up university seed funds. The ini-
tiative proved popular with the universities, and there are now dozens
of university seed funds. However, the funds are rather small. In total,
about 60 million was made available in the first round, with minor
top-ups in later rounds. Total informal investment in the U.K. comes
to many billions of pounds. Furthermore, the university funds can only
invest up to 250,000 per deal, a very small amount for someone
wanting to set up a laboratory. Therefore the initiative, though useful,
can scarcely be considered a full solution to the problem.
Another very interesting attempt was made in the Netherlands. The
Netherlands government created a government-backed incubator,
Twinning, which aims to make funds available to entrepreneurs in the
information and communications technology sector. Twinning not only
offers seed funding, but it also makes available office facilities, provides
counseling, and even participates in the first round of venture capital
investment, though not as the lead investor. As part of its service,
Twinning maintains intimate relationships with local venture
capitalists, and Twinning also maintains a presence in Silicon Valley to
allow their ventures to make the leap to the U.S. market. There has
been serious concern that the Twinning is going the same way as the
plethora of commercial incubators that rose with the Internet bubble
and have now mostly disappeared. Recently, Twinning had to close one
of its offices because they were simply unable to generate enough
quality deals. Attempts by the Dutch government to privatize the unit
have not been successful. In the current market, the model does not
appear to be sustainable without continued government support.
Perhaps a more promising way in which governments are trying
to stimulate seed investment is through tax relief. In the U.K., the
Enterprise Investment Scheme gives HNWIs an attractive package of
tax breaks if they invest directly in unquoted companies. Notably,
the scheme gives the investor an exemption from the capital gains tax.
However, the scheme can only be used for small investments, up to
150,000. Furthermore, the company has to trade in the U.K. This
makes it difficult to use the scheme to finance technology companies,
which want to trade internationally.
Governance 187
17. KPMG, Manchester Business School (2002), Insight into Portfolio Management
Private Equity Research Programme, www.kpmg.co.uk
Governance 189
Conclusions
Boards of Directors
cozy with each other. . . . There is the tendency for top managers to sit
on each others boards. Mr. Messier [CEO Vivendi] sits on Mr. Arnaults
[chairman LVMH], and Mr. Arnault sits on Mr. Messiers. The Vivendi
boss sits on Alcatels board, while Mr. Tchuruk [CEO Alcatel] is a
director of Vivendi and three other big firms. Given these cross-
relationships, there are strong possibilities that personal relationships
could win out over the best interests of shareholders.
Germany provides another example. Each company has two boards:
supervisory and management. An important quota of the seats
(between 33 and 50 percent) on the supervisory board is reserved for
workers.19 The supervisory board can appoint and fire the members of
the management board. There is no formal need to have a CEO: the
chairman of the management board can be a strong leader. Often,
however, the chairman is a mere spokesman. Value creation is, in the
words of the chairman of a German company we interviewed in
January 2002, an academic goal in such a complex environment.
Shareholders who want to protect their interests cannot rely on
independent board members to focus on value creation. Instead, they
have to hold significant stakes. The phenomenon of block sharehold-
ing is much more common in Germany than in the Anglo-American
economies.20
More cases can be found in Italy and Spain. In Spain, recent research
revealed that 50 percent of all listed banks of Ibex-30 do not comply
with some or all of the provisions of the code of Good Corporate
Governance (Codigo Olivencia) relating to boards compensation.
Banks do not frequently disclose the compensation of their directors,
and they often fail to highlight the link between pay and perfor-
mance. In the first months of 2002, a group of directors of BBVA (Spains
second largest bank) were found guilty of holding secret personal
accounts in tax havens. The accounts were used to embezzle company
funds.
19. In companies with more than 500 employees. This practice is called
codetermination.
20. Gary Gorton and Frank Schmid, Universal Banking and the Performance of German
Firms, Journal of Financial Economics, 2000, 86114.
Governance 191
ing management and ensuring they do not fall into the temptations
generated by the principal-agent problem.
There are many studies that prove that boards matter to public share-
holders.21 At an academic level, it has been proven that investors are
willing to pay a premium to own shares of companies run according
to sound corporate governance principles. Having a good board is one
of these sound governance principles. Furthermore, common sense
tells us that the small investor giving his money to the managers of a
corporation will sleep better at night if the managers have supervisors
who make sure the money is put to good use. For this reason, it is
worthwhile to worry about the effectiveness of the boards in Europe
and their potential for improvement.
In our research, we performed a review of the economic literature to
identify principles of practical relevance to identify what constitutes a
good board. Boards have been the object of extensive analysis in both
the economic literature and the managerial literature. Although many
questions remain unresolved, the studies point to some generally
accepted principles with which boards should comply:
Smaller boards will be more effective and create more value than
boards with a large number of board members.
Boards must be independent and members should be adequately
compensated to create value.
Practices of electing directors from lists prepared by the management
have to be restrained.
Boards have to include younger, active people, with time to spend in
understanding the companies and their industries. Effective boards
must be truly independent.
The results of our research show that true independence goes beyond
what is usually required in most European governance codes.
21. Edward E. Lawler III, David Finegold, George Benson, and Jay Conger, Adding
Value in the Boardroom, MIT Sloan Management Review, Winter 2001, 1523.
192 Chapter 6
1. European CEOs are acquiring more power in their boards. There seems
to be a shift to a more American style and status. Individuals are
making an international name for themselves by rejecting the stuffiness
of old-style business, prioritizing value creation, and speaking openly
about it in and outside board meetings. CEOs like Jean Marie Messier,
Francois Pinault (CEO Pinault Printemps-Redoute), Josef Ackerman
(CEO Deutsche bank), and many more are reshaping the landscape of
European boards and European capitalism in general.
2. Boards are becoming more independent. Among the most notable exam-
ples: In Germany, the private sector adopted two codes on Corporate
Governance in 2001. One of the codes, adopted by a panel led by a
former influential managing director of DSW (the asset management
unit of Deutsche Bank), recommends that each board have a sufficient
number of independent directors on the supervisory boards22 and that
boards have at least six board committees. In France, the National
Assembly and the Senate are rumored to be close to approving a bill
that would separate the solitary post of prsident directeur gnral
22. In Germany, retired members of the management boards usually move up to the
supervisory board.
Governance 193
(equivalent to the chairman and CEO position) into two posts, unless
shareholders explicitly vote for a different solution. In the U.K. in
March 2000, the Department of Trade and Industry issued a Report on
Company Law Reform with many recommendations aimed at strength-
ening the independence of the board and the chairman. In Italy, a new
segment of the stock market, called Star, was created. Companies that
want to be listed in Star must comply with a set of guidelines, most of
which relate to matters of board independence.
3. Boards are becoming more accountable. The rise of an equity culture
across continental Europe has led to an increase in shareholder
activism. Shareholders, both individuals and institutions, are becom-
ing able to bypass boards and voice their own interest. Board members
are being called on more often to give reasons why they approved
transactions that negatively affect minority shareholders. In 2001,
minority shareholders: blocked the takeover of Legrand by Schneider
Electric because it did not respect some preference rights attached to
their shares; sued Deutsche Telekom because it wrote off some assets,
implying that some of its acquisitions had been grossly overpaid; and
blocked the board and management of Telecom Italia from converting
all saving shares into ordinary shares at an unfair price.
Institutional owners cannot sell their shares without depressing
market prices; and they prefer to increase their returns by fighting with
management and replacing board members with their representatives.
Financiers like the Swiss Martin Ebner and the American Wyser-Pratte
spend their time looking for underpriced companies, buying minority
stakes, vying for board seats, and fighting current board members and
management. Board members can no longer sleep through presenta-
tions and cash their attendance check at the end. They are being called
on for involvement.
Corporate Takeovers
23. M. Salter, A Note on Governance and Corporate Control, Harvard Business School
Working Paper no. 01-090, 2001.
Governance 195
flows to pay pensions, banks also consider the credit business they
maintain with companies. CEOs consider institutional investors to be
the most important investor class because institutional investors can
significantly influence the market value of the firm.
3. The winner-takes-all economy. Hyper-mobile pools of capital search for
firms with best practice in governance rules and super-normal returns.
Todays winner-takes-all capital market signals a new era. Across
sectors, a few players are creating most of the new shareholder value.
A McKinsey study24 highlights that 5 to 10 per cent of companies in a
given industry create all of the shareholder value in that industry.
Given these facts, investors are trading in and out of firms in continu-
ous search of super-normal returns. In fact, McKinsey and Institutional
Investor research25 show that institutional investors would be willing
to pay an 18 percent premium for the shares of a well-governed
company26 in the United States or the United Kingdom and a 20 percent
and 22 percent premium for the shares of well-governed companies in
Germany and Italy, respectively.
One of the takeovers that greatly influenced the market for corporate
control in Europe is the Telecom Italia (TI) takeover. Olivetti, with
revenues one-seventh of TIs $30 billion and a market capitalization
one-quarter of its target, created a turning point in the European way
of business.
Legal reform in Italy made this takeover possible. The Draghi law,
first proposed by and named after the former general director of the
24. D. Campbell and R. Hulme, The Winner Takes All Economy, McKinsey Quarterly,
November 2001.
25. P. Combes and M. Watson, Three Surveys on Corporate Governance, McKinsey
Quarterly, November 2001.
26. A well-governed company was defined as one that has a majority of outside direc-
tors with no management ties on its board, undertakes formal evaluation of directors,
and is responsive to requests from investors for information on governance issues.
196 Chapter 6
For all of the progress from an investor perspective, there are still
some barriers to mergers and to enhancing the majority of sharehold-
ers interests. One high-profile case was the failed merger between the
Spanish telecom operator, Telefonica, and the Dutch telecom operator,
KPN. The discussions were not strictly focused on the shareholder
value creation but on the degree of liberalization of the economy
of both countries. On the one hand, Telefonica had already been
privatized and the only right that the government had on it was a
golden-share option. KPN was not privatized and its privatization
process, according to the Spanish Finance Minister, was not starting
immediately and did not have concrete milestones. Telefonicas
boarddirectly influenced by the Spanish governmentopposed the
deal because Telefonica would have a state-owned partner, the Dutch
government, while the Spanish government was actively liberalizing
its economy.
Investors had hoped that the directive would harmonize the rules on
the conduct of takeovers across Europe. However,
The directive aimed at setting the minimum standards and did not
attempt to harmonize European takeover law except in limited areas.
Each state had the legal power to implement this directive within a
chosen timeframe.
Very little detail was given in the directive. For instance, no
principles were defined for determining the equitable price that must
be paid if there is a mandatory bid.
Although it did not impose strict rules, the directive was not approved.
The main opposition was to its defense provisions, the so-called frus-
trating actions provision in article 9. The directive, as a minimum
requirement, required that after the announcement of the bid and until
the bid has been made public, the board of the offeree should not take
any action which may result in the frustration of the offer. The offeree
could take some defensive actions if the shareholders in a general
meeting authorized them.
Those who rejected the directive probably thought that undervalued
companies in their country would receive hostile takeover bids by
foreign companies. However, the directive left room for some flexibil-
ity on defensive actions. For instance, the board of the offeree company
could increase its share capital during the period of the acceptance of
the bid if prior authorization had been received at a general meeting
of shareholders no earlier than 18 months before the beginning of the
period of acceptance.
Finance practitioners reacted to the opposition of Germany to the
new European directive and the new German takeover law. The new
German law will probably not promote a focus on shareholder value.
As a partner of the German law firm CMS Hasche Sigle put it, The
management board and the supervisory board of a company together
can take whatever frustrating action they want as long as it falls under
the normal running of the company. Furthermore, penalties from
international capital markets to German companies owing to their poor
governance would increase. One German investment banker said,
capital markets will punish Germany and we will learn the lesson.
Germany will find it difficult to attract institutional investors.
The process and time that it took to reach a political agreement,
more than 12 years, highlights the cultural obstacles that lie in the way
200 Chapter 6
Conclusion
Institutional Investors
27. E. Philip Davis, Institutional Investors and Corporate Governance (West London: Brunel
University), 1995.
28. Ibid.
202 Chapter 6
29. Axel Boersch-Supan and Joachim Winter, Population Aging, Savings Behavior and
Capital Markets, Working Paper 8561 (October 2001).
30. Chand and Jaeger, IMF Occasional Papers 147, Aging Populations and Public
Pension Schemes.
31. Boersch-Supan and Winter, Population Aging.
Governance 203
32. Deutsche Bank Research, Special Study: Europe on the Road to Pension Funds? June
15, 2001.
204 Chapter 6
1. Follow the Wall Street Rule (vote with their feet) by selling
shares.
2. Take an active role in the corporate decision-making process through
shareholder proposals and proxy fights.
3. Negotiate directly with management and, when a compromise cant
be reached, sell shares with a public explanation of the reasons
underlying the selling decision.
34. S. Wahal, Pension Fund Activism and Firm Performance, Journal of Financial and
Quantitative Analysis 31, no. 1 (1996) 123.
35. M. Smith, Shareholder Activism by Institutional Investors: Evidence from
CalPERS, Journal of Finance 51, no. 1 (1996): 227252.
36. Diane Brady, The Education of Jeff Immelt, BusinessWeek, April 29, 2002.
206 Chapter 6
1. What is the optimal internal structure that new European pension funds
should adopt? The extent to which a plan is of defined-benefit or defined-
contribution may affect the pension funds investment horizon, thereby
affecting the fund managers interest in active corporate governance.
Most of the U.K. pension funds are run according to defined-benefit
plans, where individuals dont bear the investment risk. In Germany,
even under the new law, full defined-contribution schemes are not
permitted, and pension funds are obligated to be members of the
insolvency insurance association.
Quantitative investment restrictions could have a direct impact on
the extent to which pension funds can play a role in corporate gover-
nance. In Italy, the holding of shares of closed-end funds is limited to
25 percent of the closed-end funds assets. In Germany, pension funds
cannot invest more than 35 percent of their assets in equities. Even
under the new law, the government is authorized to issue detailed
quantitative investment rules on pension funds. The European Com-
mission has calculated that funds placing emphasis on quality man-
agement generated higher returns from the mid-1980s to the mid-1990s
than those operating under quantitative rules.41
2. What is the relationship between fiduciary responsibility and institutional
responsibility? Should European institutional investors have a duty to
exercise their voting rights diligently as part of their fiduciary respon-
sibility? Or should institutional shareholders exert greatest influence
through the market? In each of the two cases, what should the gov-
ernments role be in promoting institutional activism? After starting to
exert their voting rights at shareholders meetings and making some
public actions, will European institutional investors start to gain a
powerful bargaining power in negotiating directly with a companys
management?
(Italy).
By simplifying the way of voting at annual meetings (Italy, Spain).
By reforming the system of cumulative voting in order to ensure that
the director designated with the vote of the institutional shareholders
cannot be removed by the decision of the majority (Spain).
Acknowledgments
The third section examines issues arising from listing SOEs on Chinas
stock exchanges and diluting state ownership. The questions we
address here are: Does listing of SOEs really improve corporate
governance? Are initial public offerings of SOEs sufficient, or should
the state significantly dilute its ownership in SOEs to improve corpo-
rate governance? Finally, does better financial performance follow from
listing?
In the last section, we examine the connection between nonper-
forming loans (NPLs), banking sector reform, and corporate gover-
nance. Specifically, how successfully will Chinese banks deal with
NPLs? How fast can the Chinese government further deregulate the
banking industry?
ties to economic forces. In 1990 and 1991, the government set up the
Shenzhen and Shanghai securities exchanges, respectively, as an exper-
iment in installing a capital market apparatus in China.
The securities market has enjoyed much growth over the past ten
years. Since 1995, equity market capitalization has risen to RMB5 tril-
lion, or 400 percent (CSRC, 2000). Over 1,000 companies have listed
between the two stock exchanges, with coverage expanding from a
mainly local base to an extended national base.
While the exchanges enjoyed relatively high levels of autonomy in
the first few years of operation, the combination of the extended
coverage and the Asian financial crisis led the central government
to tighten its control. The China Securities Regulatory Commission
(CSRC) was created and became a governing body that answered only
to the State Council. Regulatory enforcement thus became more
centralized and local governments played a much less active role in
formulating regulations and policy about the further development of
the capital market.
Box 6.3.1
Example of Bundling
each other until just before going public (Neoh, 2002). An example of
bundling companies is given in box 6.3.1.
The ownership structure of listed companies is distinctively Chinese.
Shares of the listed companies are classified into three categories: state
shares, legal-person shares, and tradable shares.1
State shares are held by central and local governments or by state-
designated institutions (including SOEs). These shares cannot be pub-
licly traded without the explicit approval of the state. While the exact
definition is not clear, the state includes the local financial bureaus,
state asset management companies, or investment companies. Some-
times the parent of the listed company, itself an SOE, can be counted
as state. Usually, the state comprises the controlling shareholders in
publicly traded companies.
Legal-person shares are held by domestic institutions, including indus-
trial enterprises, securities companies, real estate development compa-
nies, foundations, research institutes, and any other economic entities
with legal-person status. A legal person is defined as a nonindivid-
ual legal entity or institution, but in effect they are just a nominal dis-
tinction from state entities. The only distinguishing difference for legal
persons may be the hierarchical differentiation between central and
local governments. Most important, the legal-person shares are not
publicly tradable, and they are subject to the same restrictions as state
shares. Last, the legal-person shares are categorized by their ownership
structure into SOEs, SONPO (State-Owned Non-Profit Organizations),
collective enterprises, private companies, joint-stock companies, and
foreign-funded companies.
Tradable shares are offered toand are freely tradable inthe securi-
ties market. These shares are mainly held by individuals, and they
provide the real liquidity in the securities market (where state shares
represent 37 percent, legal-person shares 28 percent, and tradable
shares 35 percent). The individual shares are also known as A-shares,
held solely by Chinese citizens in domestic currency. There are also B-
shares, which are domestically listed, foreign-held shares available only
to foreigners. While the government tried to maintain a strict partition
between the two markets,2 recent trends suggest that there will be
further integration of the different classes of shares in the Chinese
market.
While many believed that Chinas entry into the World Trade Organi-
zation (WTO) signified the end of its reform agenda, it has, on the con-
trary, just begun. Laura Cha, vice chairman of the CSRC, comments:
For all levels of the Chinese government, the work has just begun,
and in fact, entry to the WTO has galvanized reform efforts.
Under the current agreement, foreign securities firms can establish
joint ventureswith foreign ownership less than one-thirdto engage
in underwriting A-shares, and in underwriting and trading B- and H-
shares,3 as well as government and corporate debt without a Chinese
intermediary within three years of accession to the WTO. Furthermore,
foreign insurance companies will also be allowed to operate in China,
creating the foundation for institutional investors.
Commercial banking reform will also be accelerated under WTO.
Currently, foreign banks lack the distribution network of domestic
2. This is mostly due to the fear that the state could possibly lose control over foreign
exchange.
3. H-shares are shares of Chinese enterprises that are listed on the Hong Kong Stock
Exchange.
218 Chapter 6
Because bank loans are still the most dominant source of financing for
domestic companies, the banking industry plays a key role in shaping
economic development in China. With the various deregulations in the
banking industry, more shareholding and private banks have entered
into the picture, offering more products and services. After the found-
ing of the Peoples Republic of China in 1949, three commercial banks
merged into the central bank, which dominated all of Chinas banking
services. Driven by the need to reform the SOEs, the banking sector
started undergoing reforms in 1978. The most important reorganiza-
tions have been to separate policy banks and commercial banks from
the central bank. By 1999, there were four state commercial banks, five
national commercial banks, 12 regional commercial banks, and two
housing savings banks. In addition, there were 274 foreign bank rep-
resentative offices, 163 foreign bank branches, six foreign banks, and
seven joint-venture banks, engaging mainly in trade-related finance
and non-RMB business. Figure 6.3.1 depicts the current players
in Mainland Chinas banking industry and outlines its historical
development.
Inefficiencies in the state-run banking system led to the creation of a
significant nonperforming loan (NPL) problem for the country. The size
of the NPL problem is in the range of half a trillion RMB (US$518
billion), or more than 40 percent of total loans outstandingalmost half
of Chinas GDP. To deal with the NPL problem, China established Asset
Management Companies (AMCs) in an effort to deal with selling assets
of debtor companies, recovering amounts owed, or writing off un-
collectible debts.
State-Owned National Banks Regional Banks City Banks Foreign Banks Joint Ventures
1. Industrial and 1. Bank of 1. Guangdong 1. Bank of 1. Intl Bank 1. Xiamen
Commercial Communications Development Shanghai of Ningbo Intl Bank
Bank 2. CITIC Industrial Bank 2. TM Intl Bank 2. Intl Bank of
2. Agricultural Bank 2. ShenZhen 3. Nantong Paris and
Bank of China 3. China Everbright Development Bank Ltd Shanghai
3. Bank of China Bank Bank 4. Xiamen 3. Chinese
4. Construction 4. Hua Xia Bank 3. China Merchant Commercial Mercantile
Bank of China 5. China Minsheng Bank Bank Bank
Bank 4. Fujian 5. Concord Bank 4. Fujian Asia
Development 6. Rabo Bank Bank Ltd
Bank China Ltd 5. Zhenan
5. Yantai House Commercial
Savings Bank Bank
6. Bangbu House 6. China Intl
Savings Bank Capital Corp
7. Qingdao Intl
Bank
Figure 6.3.1
Banking structure in China.
220 Chapter 6
believe that the inherent problems that are identified in the securities
market reflect more systemic deficiencies within the Chinese financial
infrastructure. In this section, we will delve into some of the more
pertinent problems that we feel are key to a successful financial market
transition.
Listing Process
Box 6.3.2
Examples of Corruption
Listing-Related Corruption
Since a public listing is a limited commodity and the listing itself implied
free money from individual investors, enterprises go through all venues
to try to guarantee their positioning for the next listing. The types of cor-
ruption extend from falsification of company financial information to the
blind support of high government officials on all levelsfrom munici-
palities to city, provincial, and state levels. A typical example of this
nature is the case of Kangsai Group, formerly known as the Huangshi
Garment Factory in Hubei province, where the extent of the bribery
system proved to be staggering.
From 1993 to 1996, prior to the companys listing, Kangsais manage-
ment offered discounted internal shares to more than 100 officials who
were deemed useful during the listing process. The shares were offered
to the officials at RMB1.00 per share, about one-sixth of the pre-listing
value. When the group gained listing rights, the value went as high as
RMB30.00 per share, a comparable return to the Internet start-ups during
1998. Among those who accepted these bribes were the vice minister of
SETC (State Economics and Trade Commission) and the minister of MTI
(Ministry of Textile). These two ministers are instrumental in making the
listing of Kangsai a success, but it is also a sobering demonstration of the
lack of integrity that is exemplary of an incomplete capital market.
Investing-Related Corruption
In 1992, the Shenzhen stock exchange experienced the first public protest
of unequal opportunity given to individual investors. Since the stock
exchange was still a new experiment, investors who were interested in
getting in on the IPO investment had to first acquire an IPO application
form, of which 10% would be awarded the right to subscribe. Following
the announcement of the news, more than one million people waited in
line to get their opportunity. Unfortunately, the distribution of the appli-
cation was over before it hardly began, leaving the investors behind with
the realization that these applications have already been allocated to the
friends and family who got in through the back door.
222 Chapter 6
In 1997, with the Asian financial crisis as the backdrop, CSRC was
appointed as the sole overseer of the two exchanges in Shanghai and
Shenzhen. This was a drastic departure from previous practices,
because the local and municipal governments were in effect removed
from the decision-making path. Further, with the passage of the Secu-
rities Law, the CSRC seemed to possess the dual power of overseeing
and managing the securities market and of standardizing existing laws
and regulations within a unified legal framework. In terms of the listing
process, the CSRC reformed numerous aspects of the system. For
example, the administrative approval system was revamped to abolish
the right of local government to recommend stock listings. Instead, a
set of listing criteria was set up and a central committee was created to
review and evaluate the legitimacy of the potential listing companies.
As compared to the CSRCs record of rejections under the local rec-
ommendation scheme, the record following the passage of the Securi-
ties Law was much more impressive40 percent of applications have
been rejected. Furthermore, the CSRC is currently promoting the use
of internationally accredited law and accounting firms for the due-
diligence process for potential listing firms. This, coupled with the
demands of the WTO entry, seems to be promising for the establish-
ment of a credible monitoring and enforcement system in the securi-
ties market.
In delivering new regulations, the CSRC has made an effort to
improve compliance by reducing the discretion that companies have in
interpreting laws. Templates have been provided for dealing with
profit warnings, connected party transactions, ownership changes, and
other important events. The Shanghai Stock Exchange now requires
that companies issue warnings by January 30 if their profits will drop
by more than 50 percent from the previous year or if they will report
losses in the year.
According to statistics, the CSRC unveiled 51 laws and regulations
from early 2001, when Laura Cha (the vice chair of the CSRC) first took
office, to the end of the year. So far, the CSRC has established a basic
framework of regulatory rules. During that period of time, more than
80 listed companies and 10 brokerages were publicly criticized, penal-
ized according to administrative rules, and even put under judicial
investigation (Hu et al., 2002). The CSRC has also delisted three com-
Governance 223
panies and revoked the securities licenses of five local accounting firms
that had been involved in the improper preparation of listed-company
financial reports.
However, academics are at times skeptical of the long-term effec-
tiveness of the CSRC. In terms of enforcement, new cases of delisting
and other crackdowns seem to have subsided. While the establishment
of a coherent regulatory framework and the continued disincentiviza-
tion of corruption in the listing process is commendable, the real power
that the CSRC holdsin enforcing the regulations and acting as a
governing body independent of the central governmentis in serious
question.
Independent Directors
Box 6.3.3
Although the recent Enron case proves that even in the United States
directors do not always fulfill their duties, China is still far behind in
the basic understanding of the role that independent directors play.
224 Chapter 6
China is also behind on the manpower required for the future needs of
the listed companies. In August 2001, the CSRC issued detailed guide-
lines regarding independent directors, mandating that companies have
three independent board members by 2003 and including strict board
meeting attendance requirements. A sample of all 314 directors listed
at 204 listed companies showed that nearly half were university acad-
emics (The Chinese Entrepreneurs Magazine; Zhang, 2002b). With 1,000
listed companies, this means there will be a need for at least 3,000 inde-
pendent board members next year. The short supply of qualified direc-
tors will continue to be a challenge for companies needing to meet the
CSRCs requirements.
Sophistication of Investors
Chinese investors are for the most part unsophisticated. They operate
on a hearsay basis and are usually in the market for short-term
gains. In China, large-cap stocks account for a very small fraction of
total market turnover (Neoh, 2002). In more developed and less
speculative markets, large-cap stocks usually account for a larger
percentage of turnover, and investors maintain a longer investment
horizon.
Retail Investors
Table 6.3.1
Successfully removing the ST stigma and staying listed
Institutional Investors
Data compiled at the end of 2000 show that the capitalization of the
U.S. stock market stood at U.S.$17.2 trillion, of which individual
investors accounted for $6.6 trillion, or 38 percent, and institutional
investors $10.6 trillion, or 62 percent. Clearly, institutional investors
(including mutual funds, pension funds, and insurance companies)
dominate the U.S. stock market and are critical for a well-functioning
market. But things are different in China.
226 Chapter 6
4. According to a report produced by Credit Lyonnais, the average length of time money
is invested by international players like Merrill Lynch and Smith Barney in emerging
markets is only one-sixteenth of the time spent investing in developed markets.
5. Tdcstrade.com, Hong Kong Trade and Development Council, 2001.
6. Hong Kong was most active in Asia in 2000 and fourth most active in the world in
terms of new capital raised. A recent Stock Exchange survey indicated that trading by
overseas investors, mostly institutions from the U.S and the U.K, accounted for about
one-third of the total turnover in 1999. Moreover, the implementation of the Mandatory
Provident Fund (MPF) scheme in December 2000 also provides the Hong Kong securi-
ties market with a large-scale domestic institutional investor. It is estimated that the MPF
scheme will inject an extra HK$3040 billion a year of retirement funds for the next 30
to 40 years until the system matures.
Governance 227
With China rapidly developing its securities market and tightening its
regulations, many people feel that it is inevitable that the domestic
marketespecially Shanghai, with its close proximity to Beijingwill
one day take over Hong Kong as Chinas premier financial market.
According to a recent (2002) report in the Economist, if Shanghai con-
tinues to grow at the rate of the past decade, its GDP will match Hong
Kongs in 15 years. In addition, Shanghai enjoys a range of advan-
tages over Hong Kong, including close political ties to Beijing, access
to relatively cheap and well-educated mainland labor, and substantial
government spending on infrastructure. However, as the article also
points out, Shanghais close ties to Beijing are also its main dis-
advantage. Entangled with mainland Chinas murky political system,
Shanghais property market and financial system are ill-regulated and
chaotic, and its legal system is arbitrary. Shanghais skyline might
rival that of any financial center in the world. But to become an inter-
national financial center, China has to build confidence and credibility,
not more skyscrapers.
Box 6.3.4
HKSE chief executive Kwong Ki-chi said he was not unduly concerned
by the possibility of mainland companies listing on the domestic markets
in Shanghai or Shenzhen instead of Hong Kong: For the companies
which want to raise funds in Hong Kong dollars or for those which want
to have a wider access to international investors, Hong Kong will be their
first choice, he said.
(Lowtax.net 2002)
228 Chapter 6
Figure 6.3.2
Corporatization and privatization in China.
Table 6.3.2
Selected mean performance statistics of listed SOEs
Year 0
Year -1 (IPO) Year 1 Year 2 Year 6
Table 6.3.3
Examples of Chinese companies making guarantees
Guaranteed
Company amount (Rmb m) Guaranteed amounts/Equity
While the Wang data set is robust given the firms that have listed to
date, it is not necessarily a good representation of the average SOE that
will be listed in the future. Historically, the Chinese quota system for
determining listed SOEs was politically driven and administered geo-
graphically. First, the quota system for listing SOEs did not prevent
poorly performing SOEs from being listed. Indeed, local governments
often bundled poorly performing SOEs with better-performing SOEs
before taking them to the market in the practice of packaging dis-
cussed earlier.
Second, abuse of listed firms is probably commonplace. If each
province only receives one opportunity to access the public markets
through a listed firm, the umbrella of political influence becomes even
more imposing. Use of funds is not going toward productive invest-
ments in the listed firm but instead serves as payback to the commu-
nity. Contrary to the goals of improving independence and corporate
governance, listed SOEs that come through a political quota system can
234 Chapter 6
were also suggested, as was the ability for companies to buy back their
shares if their stock prices become too low (China Online, 2002).
In agreement with statements from Zhu Ronji, Anthony Neoh7 thinks
the central governments primary motivation for selling state shares is
to raise cash to fund social obligations and government budgets. In that
case, creating confidence and stability in the stock market is a driving
force in the decision of exactly how to dispose of state shares and dilute
ownership in SOEs. Failed experiments began in 1999, with the attempt
to sell a portion of state-owned shares in 10 firms of various sizes and
industries. The original plan was complicated and tentative, providing
an unclear timeline and unclear quantities and trading restrictions for
institutional investors.8
Neoh believes that a proposal to create a closed-end mutual fund of
state shares in SOEs will deliver a number of benefits for investors and
for the state. Creating a diversified index allows the state to monetize
a large amount of shares in a wide variety of firms. Investors have the
opportunity to limit their risk by investing in the broader market
instead of investing in individual firms.
Other proposals include allocating shares directly to the social secu-
rity fund, which then has the ability to sell shares as cash is needed
to fund obligations. Chen Zhiwu, professor of finance at the Yale
University School of Management, proposed this solution (China
Online, 2001).
Much of the reform in the banking industry in China since 1978 has
been driven by the need to recapitalize the SOEs. Past lending prac-
tices that were entirely based on political considerations, coupled with
poor performance of the SOEs, have left Chinese banks with a large
amount of bad loans. Against the backdrop of Chinas entry into the
WTO and further penetration of the foreign banks, the state-owned
banks and private banks are all struggling for independence and
profitability.
In recent years, China has seen some dramatic growth in the real
sector, and private enterprises contributed 30 percent of total GDP in
1999. However, only 1 percent of private enterprises financing comes
from bank lending and only 1 percent of listed companies on Shanghai
and Shenzhen exchanges are private enterprises (Langlois, 2001).
Furthermore, given the disciplinary effect of banks profitability and
good corporate governance in the companies to which they lend, the
banks should be a contributor to Chinas economic growth and not
become an impediment to the growth.
It is therefore important to look at both drivers of the banking indus-
try going forward: the legacy problems of the nonperforming loans
(NPLs) and the future reforms of banking. Two key questions are:
1. How successfully will the Chinese banks deal with NPLs? NPLs
have been the result of poor corporate governance both in the SOE
debtors and within the banks themselves. The following discussion
analyzes the recent efforts by the government to reduce NPLs.
2. How fast can the Chinese government further deregulate the
banking industry? It is clear that further reform measures will be
needed to ensure: a) healthy development of the private banking
sector; b) true competition among the big four state-owned com-
mercial banks and c) efficient allocation of capital in the economy. (See
box 6.3.5.)
240 Chapter 6
Box 6.3.5
1999 to absorb the four state commercial banks NPLs with AMC bonds
swapped at full value
Disclosing loan-defaulting companies in the interbank computer
9. RMB1.3 trillion of loans were transferred from the banks balance sheet to the Asset
Management Companies (UBS Warburg, 2001).
Governance 241
Table 6.3.4
Estimated size of NPLs, 2000
Outstanding
NPLs
transfer to Remaining NPLs as
RMB (billions) loans AMS NPLs % of total
par into direct equity holdings in the defaulting borrower, namely large
SOEs). However, the SOEs chosen for this swap are selected by the
State Economic and Trade Commission (SETC) and not the AMCs
themselves. The AMCs also have no power to change the management
of the banks or to perform any kind of restructuring of the banks. They
also do not take any control of the board. Without power as share-
holders and without political independence, the hope for successful
loan recovery lies in the specific methods AMCs will apply. However,
evidence shows that after the debt-equity conversion of the assets are
transferred to AMCs, the governance structure of the banks remains
unchanged, and thus the physical restructuring of the enterprises
remains unchanged. After almost two years in operation, AMCs had
only disposed RMB $90 billion in assets (7 percent of total transferred
assets), and the recovery rates for the disposed portion did not even
exceed 10 percent.
On the other hand, according to UBS Warburg, the growth of new
NPLs in the last two years appears to be very low. The banks said that
new NPLs should be below 5 percent of total loans, or even as low as
13 percent. According to the report, the improvement is mainly due
to tightened credit risk control procedures. For example, the Bank of
China has established credit evaluation committees within the bank to
approve individual credit applications. If the banks can continue to
slow the growth of new bad loans, then the existing NPL problem can
be isolated and slowly absorbed by the banks. UBS Warburg suggested
242 Chapter 6
that for the past two years, however, the new low NPL figure is mainly
due to more personal-mortgage lending and long-term infrastructure
projects lending. According to Chinas accounting standard, these loans
will not be considered nonperforming until maturity. Many experts
also suspect that there is still a lot of policy lending masked by the com-
mercial banks, which understates the ratio of NPLs to total loans.
Because relationship-based lending continues to dominate, and com-
mercial banks are taking on infrastructure lending, the NPL issue is not
likely to be relieved soon. Therefore, it still remains to be seen whether
the banks have really become more efficient at capital lending. (See box
6.3.6.)
Box 6.3.6
Chinas big four banks need at least 10 years to deal with their problem
loans and the cost of the necessary write-offs could equal US$518
billion, according to S&P. Consequently, they are unlikely to meet the
target set by the central bankto cut their nonperforming loans to 15%
of total loans within 5 years, said S&P director of financial services Terry
Chan at a press briefing in Hong Kong on May 9, 2002. S&Ps assessment
of Chinas banks comes a day after economists at the Asian Development
Banks annual meeting in Shanghai called for urgent action on the bad
loans problem.
Chinese central banker Dai Xianglong said that the NPLs of the Big
Four could stand at 30 percent of their total loans, revising earlier, lower
estimates. But S&P said on May 9, 2002, that the real figure is likely to
be even higher.
The write-offs required are almost half of Chinas estimated gross
domestic product of RMB1.1 trillion last year, or US$518 billion, said S&P.
The rate of NPL reduction desired by the authorities will almost cer-
tainly need some form of government intervention, possibly through
injections of fresh capital and through further transfers of NPLs to asset
management companies owned by the Ministry of Finance, S&P said.
Fresh equity could also take the form of a public listing of the banks,
and S&P says it is more likely that the Big Four will tap the domestic
market. Thirty percent NPLs is too high a risk for the appetites of inter-
national investors. Technically, these banks are insolvent, said Mr. Chan.
The banks will have to balance the write-offs and provisioning against
scaring potential investors off, so the rate of write-offs will be slow, said
Mr. Chan. But he said that compared with Japan, China has bitten the
bullet and is taking steps to reform the banking sector. They need to do
more, but at least they have acknowledged they have a problem.
The Business Times, May 10, 2002
Governance 243
For example, at the Bank of China, Liu has set up checks and balances
so that no official, himself included, can make policy loans. Due
244 Chapter 6
In the meantime, however, the banks are trying to become more com-
petitive by becoming corporatizedmore shareholding banks as well
as the Bank of China are trying to get a public listing on Chinas stock
exchange.10 It is believed that going public can help support the capital
expansion needed by the banks. Mergers, reorganizations, and busi-
ness combinations will also improve banks economies of scale, thereby
increasing banks capabilities for resisting risk and enhancing their
competitiveness as a whole. However, will corporatization work?
Listing banks is a step in the right direction, but without the necessary
foundation (discussed above) and given the still underdeveloped
securities market, the impact of listing on banks profitability is still
unclear.
Conclusion
10. China currently has four listed banks: Minsheng Bank, Pudong Development Bank,
Shenzhen Development Bank, and China Merchants Bank.
Governance 247
The student research team would like to thank Professor Stewart Myers
for his guidance and contributions to this work as our project advisor.
Our research was conducted through a combination of primary and
secondary research, including interviews on location in Hong Kong,
Shanghai, and Beijing in early 2002. We would like to thank each of the
following people for their contributions to our understanding of the
background and challenges of financial reform and corporate gover-
nance in China: Laurence Franklin and T. J. Wong, Hong Kong
University of Science and Technology; Leslie Young, Chinese Univer-
sity, Hong Kong; Earl Yen, Ascend Ventures, Hong Kong; Marjorie
Yang, Esquel Group, Hong Kong; Laura Cha and Anthony Neoh,
CSRC, Beijing; Lawrence Li, Hong Kong Securities and Futures Com-
mission; Jaime Allen, Asian Corporate Governance Association, Hong
Kong; Victor Fung, Chang Ka Mun, and Chin Wai Man, Li & Fung,
Hong Kong; Joe Zhang, UBS Warburg, Hong Kong; Dr. Yuan Cheng
and Zili Shao, Linklaters, Hong Kong; Fang Xinghai, Shanghai Stock
Exchange; Lu Wei, Fudan University, Shanghai; Yibing Wu, McKinsey
248 Chapter 6
& Co., Beijing; Wang Yi, China Development Bank, Beijing; Jin Shuping
and Wei Shenghong, Minsheng Bank, Beijing; Chen Taotao, Tsinghua
University, Beijing; Colin Xu, World Bank, Washington, D.C.; Stoyan
Tenev, Shidan Derakhshani, Jun Zhang, and Mike Lubrano, Interna-
tional Finance Corporation, Washington DC; Mengfei Wu, CNOOC,
Hong Kong; Edward Steinfeld, MIT, Cambridge; Dean Alan White,
MIT Sloan, Cambridge. Of course, many comments were made in con-
fidence, so we are unable to attribute every statement from these
sources. Special thanks are extended to Laurence Franklin, Marjorie
Yang, and Laura Cha, whose insights and referrals to other sources of
information in Hong Kong and Beijing were most appreciated. Dean
Allen White of MIT Sloan was also extremely helpful in establishing
contacts for our team in China.
References
Caprio, Gerard, Jr., and Ross Levine. 2002. Corporate Governance of Banks: Concepts
and International Observations, April 25, 2002.
China Online. 1999. Ten Chinese Firms Chosen to Sell Government Equity. November
30.
China Online. 2001. Zhu Rongji says sell-off of state shares must resume. December
19.
China Online. 2002. Worries over state-share sales trigger stock slump. January 28.
Cull, Robert, and Lixin Colin Xu. 2000. Bureaucrats, State Banks and the Efficiency
of Credit Allocation: The Experience of Chinese State-Owned Enterprises. Journal of
Comparative Economics 28: 131.
HSBC Securities (Asia) Limited, Banks / Financial Research. 2002. Form Command to
Demand in Financial ServicesEntering the China Century, February 2001.
Hu Shuli, Wei Fuhua, and Niu Wenxin. 2002. An interview with Laura Cha, CSRC vice
chair.
Langlois, John D., Jr. 2001. Chinas Financial System and the Private Sector, presenta-
tion at American Enterprisse Institute, May 3, 2001.
Lin, Cyril. 2000. Public Vices in Public Places: Challenges in Corporate Governance
Development in China. OECD Development Centre. Draft.
Nakagane, Katsuji. 2000. SOE Reform and Privatization in China: A Note on Several
Theoretical and Empirical Issues. University of Tokyo.
Governance 249
Neoh, Anthony. 2000. Chinas domestic capital markets in the new millennium,
Chinaonline.com
Neoh, Anthony. 2002. Corporate Governance in China. Talk at China Harvard Review
conference, April 13.
Peoples Daily. 2002. Detailed Bank Rules on Foreign Banks Take Effect, February 2,
2002.
Wang, Xiaozu, Lixin Colin Xu, and Tian Zhu. 2001. Is Public Listing a Way Out for
State-Owned Enterprises? The Case of China.
Zhang, Chunlin, and Stoyan Tenev. 2002a. Corporate Governance and Enterprise Reform
in China: Building the Institutions of Modern Markets. The World Bank. April.
Zhang, Joe. 2002b. Chinas Corporate Governance: A steep learning curve. UBS Warburg,
January 17.
The Economist. 2002. Special Report Hong Kong and Shanghai: Rivals More Than Ever.
March 30.
Tdcstrade.com. 2001 Profile of Hong Kong Major Service Industries: Securities. Hong
Kong Trade Development Council, June 12.
http://www.tdctrade.com/main/si/ spsect.htm
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6.4 Governance Panel
Discussion
Professor Stewart Myers, Dr. Rolf Breuer, and Dr. Victor Fung all com-
mented on the factors driving greater interest in corporate governance.
Aside from the obvious issue of U.S. corporate scandals, changes
in Asia and Europe are highlighting the importance of corporate
governance.
In particular, the rising use of equity financing and outside share-
holders in both Europe and China bring up the issues of greater trans-
parency and shareholder rights.
Dr. Rolf Breuer, chairman of Deutsche Bank, described the European
view of corporate governance. In describing the current situation, he
noted the troublesome issue of unifying the 35 different corporate
codes of conduct and regulatory frameworks in the European Union.
This is a microcosm of the larger global problem of unified standards
and the thorny issue of balancing global needs against local needs.
Breuer warned that the European Union should avoid choosing the
lowest common denominator when creating a common framework. It
is important to use the commonality among the 35 frameworks but also
to keep local laws where they serve local purposes.
Looking at the world stage, Breuer lamented the lack of convergence
between U.S. international accounting standards bodies. For example,
when Deutsche Bank listed on the NYSE, the bank was forced to switch
to U.S. GAAP. The switch caused much consternation and confusion
among the banks European and world shareholders. And, although
Breuer had no qualms about signing the U.S.-mandated CEO and CFO
certifications, some heads of dual-listed European companies have
objected to this recently mandated practice because they see it as a sov-
ereignty issue: whether American watchdogs should oversee European
companies or vice versa. To improve communication with sharehold-
ers and provide greater transparency, Breuer recommended using
252 Chapter 6
simple cashiering role, because the state made all the lending and
investment decisions. In theory, the banks now have the responsibility
for local lending decisions. Unfortunately, the banks have neither the
personnel nor the expertise necessary to recycle all the capital socked
away in savings accounts. Until the banks learn to lendor consumers
learn to invest in equitiesChina will suffer from inefficient allocation
of capital.
Regarding his own company, Dr. Fung noted its efforts to promote
ethical practices among Li & Fungs global network of trading part-
ners. Although not mandated by any government edict, Li & Fung
created a Compliance Officer position in the company. Li & Fung
knows that its own reputation as a trading company is a function of
the reputations of all the companies with which it does business. The
Compliance Officer ensures that trading partners live up to high stan-
dards. Dr. Fung noted that although his company created this position
simply because they believed in it, the practice has created a barrier to
entry for Li & Fung competitors. Li & Fung can form tighter relation-
ships with the better suppliers, leaving less ethical alternatives to its
competitors.
Commenting on the Bank of China, Dr. Fung described how going
public brings greater discipline to a company. Many believe that pri-
vately held companies have an advantage in being able to make better
strategic decisions than do their publicly traded counterparts. Yet going
public in Hong Kong forced the Bank of China to create better gover-
nance and reporting structures for the Hong Kong side of the bank. The
bank learned much from the process and intends to transfer that learn-
ing back to the mainland and then take the remainder of the bank
public.
Another issue being debated in Asia is whether companies should
move to quarterly reporting. (Currently, companies report semi-
annually.) Dr. Fung pointed out that the practice of quarterly reporting
can actually reduce transparency. This view is in contrast to the argu-
ment that the longer reporting cycles of companies in places like
Europe and Hong Kong mean a lack of transparencythat investors
lack timely updates on affairs of the company. First, he pointed out that
shorter reporting cycles tend to amplify the normal noise of business,
having fewer months over which to average the ebb and flow of
revenue and cost events. Thus, companies on shorter reporting cycles
have more incentive to manage earnings, shifting costs and revenues
using accounting sleight-of-hand to reach the magical 1 cent over
254 Chapter 6
General Trends
e Life
S c ienc Scie
on nces
for mati
In
Nanotechnology
Figure 7.1.1
Information Technology
Look how far weve come! In the last 15 years, information technology
and computer science have brought us into the Information Age with
pocket telephones, e-mail, automobiles that talk to us, laptopsa
panoply of technical innovations that we take for granted but which
were unheard of 10 years ago. New developments promise to continue
at an aggressive pace. We can look forward to persistent computing
and ubiquitous networks that sense conditions in our environment,
control variable factors, analyze huge stores of information, and even
predict the future. In a later section we focus on the impact of perva-
sive computing, but we offer highlights of a few compelling technolo-
gies here.
Network Grids
Neural Networks
Quantum Computing
Life Sciences
We are in the midst of one of the most remarkable revolutions in the history
of mankind. The revolution was sparked by scientific curiosity about life,
but its consequences will be so far-reaching as to touch every aspect of
society. It is an information revolution, unlocking databases of human
heredity and evolutionary history. It is a medical revolution, holding the
prospect that our childrens children will never die of cancer. And it is an
intellectual revolution that may reshapefor better or for worseour
notions of human potential.
I refer, of course, to the revolution in Genetics and Genomics.
Dr. Eric S. Lander
Director of the Whitehead Center of Genome Research
Professor of Biology at MIT
Millennium Evening at the White House, October 12, 1999
Technology 263
tory affiliated with MIT, was one of the leading contributors to the
recent mapping of the human genome. Current work includes projects
exploring molecular genetics, cancer genetics, neurobiology, infectious
diseases, X-ray crystallography, biomedical engineering, and cell and
developmental biology.
DNA microarray techniques now test hundreds of thousands of com-
pounds against a target field in a matter of weeks instead of the many
months it used take to analyze only a few hundred. More and better
information is now available in a fraction of the time, raising hopes for
the discovery of many new drugs.
Will we someday be able to determine the genomic sequence of an
individual while they wait in a doctors office? Paul Matsudaira, pro-
fessor of biology and bioengineering and a member of the Whitehead
Institute for Biomedical Research, is creating hand-held bioanalytic
devices designed to identify human disease genes. Other forms include
disposable, plastic lab-on-a chip platforms that can analyze a tiny
amount of body fluid (e.g., blood or saliva) for biomarkers to deter-
mine the health of an individual or the status of a disease process.
Many promising drug therapies fail clinical trials owing to high
Much of the most interesting work at MIT today focuses on the science
of the smallon machines, materials, and processes constructed at
very small scales. Broadly, this work can be divided into two: into
264 Chapter 7
Micromachines
Nanotechnology
tion of the weight and cost may revolutionize many consumer goods
and manufacturing processes.
Nanoparticles called quantum dots reflect different waves of light
depending on their size. They are used as biological markers and
potentially as food coloring.
Non-invasive diagnostics may be able to detect a tumor only a few
Diving Deeper
Pervasive Computing
Devices
E21s will interpret presence and activity in open spaces and facilitate
seamless communication among people and the central network
through microphones, cameras, and computational interfaces. Human
communication with E21s will be as simple as a voice command or a
waving arm gesture.
Mobile handheld devices called H21s will provide the personal
link for users to communicate with the E21 platform. They will also
provide functions like telephone service, Internet access, streaming
video, and voice recognition. The network and communication path-
ways used by the H21s will be dynamic and self-changing, because the
devices will determine their function and choose the device or network
interfaces that are most appropriate to meet the needs of a particular
user in a particular time or place. For example, your verbal request to
see budget spreadsheets you created last week would prompt your H21
to connect to the company intranet, conduct a search for the appropri-
ate files, and display them in a logical order.
Networks
E21s, H21s, and N21s will not reach their full potential without the
move from an information source that requires human interpretation
to one that embeds meaning within the data itself, so that machines can
navigate and solve problems independently. The evolution of our
current World Wide Web to this kind of Semantic Web is the vision
of its inventor, Tim Berners-Lee, and represents a critical component of
Oxygen.
The Semantic Web will provide a structural framework that will
define data and guide automated processing by identifying the data
270 Chapter 7
Advances in Medicine
The right medicine for the right patient at the right dose at the right
time. Current research in genetics and in materials technology has the
potential to dramatically improve the range and effectiveness of exist-
Technology 271
Figure 7.1.2
Pharmacy-on-a-chip. Photograph courtesy of Dr. Robert S. Langer.
Tissue Engineering
Dr. Langer is also a pioneer in tissue engineering, developing methods
for synthesizing artificial cartilage, skin, liver, nerves, and blood vessels
for human transplant. (See figures 7.1.3 and 7.1.4.) Langers method is to
build biodegradeable polymer matrices in an appropriate shape and
infuse them with biomolecules, often cells from the patients own body,
to create replacement tissue. This approach provides tremendous flexi-
bility in design and application and can be applied to a wide variety of
structural requirements. Langer entered the tissue engineering field
upon learning about a boy who was born without external ears. After
preparing the matrix in the approximate dimensions, the ear was
implanted on the ear of a rabbit for incubation and grown to the appro-
priate size for the child.
274 Chapter 7
Figure 7.1.3
Ear growing in rabbit. Photograph courtesy of Dr. Robert S. Langer.
Figure 7.1.4
Cartilage tissue engineering. Photo courtesy of Dr. Robert S. Langer.
Technology 275
chlorine residue
Locally available and appropriateparts and systems from accept-
able materials that can be easily distributed, especially to rural areas
Simple to usetransferable to illiterate users
NO ELECTRICITY REQUIRED!3
Figure 7.1.5
Making water filtration units.
Figure 7.1.6
Water filtration units.
Technology 279
Figure 7.1.7
Arsenic removal system.
Low-Cost Eyeglasses
Saul Griffith, doctoral candidate in the MIT Media Lab and technology
history buff, solved a nagging problem using technology that is over 140
years old. While on a volunteer mission to provide people with free
glasses in Guyana, Central America, Griffith and his colleagues felt with
increasing frustration that their efforts werent really solving the pro-
blem. We could determine the right prescription using portable diag-
nostic equipment and that was okay. But then we had to search through
boxes of donated glasses to find something close to the solution.
Previous attempts to solve this problem had focused on creating
water-filled lens that are pressurized to achieve the desired refraction,
but these proved unsatisfactory because of the high manufacturing
complexity and weight of each pair of glasses, as well as the fact that
the multiple interfaces led to many internal reflections in certain light-
ing conditions. The range of correction was also limited and would not
correct for astigmatic error. Griffith reversed the standard approach
such that the complex flexible surface became the mold, not the final
product. By modifying this technique, he was also able to produce arbi-
trary mold surfaces programmatically that included astigmatic and
even progressive lenses. All of this was fitted into a portable device that
produces a plastic lens of uncompromised quality to specification in
about 10 minutes.
Technology 281
no one can predict. The innovative networks that we see now between
the public and private sectors and between large and smaller firms are
likely to become increasingly important and increasingly pervasive.
Making decisions as to which technologies to invest in internally, which
externally, and which to simply watch will become increasingly
costly and increasingly important.
The returns to managing technology strategically, to being fully
aware of what is likely to happen, and to having thought through how
the organization will respond to the future while simultaneously main-
taining the ability to run conventional businesses continuously in an
appropriate way will be enormous.
Some organizations are already experimenting with the appointment
of a Chief Innovation Officer and with integrating technology much
more closely into the strategy of the firm. These are clearly important
steps and we expect that they will become commonplace. However, we
suspect that they may not be enough. Twenty years from now sophis-
ticated technological literacy will be as central to the CEOs job as finan-
cial literacy is now, and technology will have transformed the world in
ways in which we have not even begun to imagine.
Sources
http://oxygen.lcs.mit.edu
http://web.mit.edu/lms/www/research.shtml
http://web.mit.edu/tdp/www
http://web.mit.edu/cheme/langerlab/langer.html
MIT News, 28 March 2002
MIT Tech Talk, 17 July 2002
http://therics.com/
Scientific American, Special Issue, September 2001
Technology Review, May 2002
7.2 Technology Panel
Discussion
that separate the far-flung cultures of the human race. Finally, the fun-
damental fact that the constituencies are broadening speaks to the
reality that leaders of every local culture, corporation, or academic
department must connect with a broadening array of others.
One issue becoming more pressing and prevalent is about how to take
the fruits of technology and make them relevant to people who are not as
fortunate as we are. Henderson said: In the next ten years, there will be
an increasing effort to link our enormous resources to help those who
dont have enough food to eat or clean water to drink. Inventions such
as MIT Professor Susan Murcotts water cleansing solutions demon-
strate how technology can help solve such world problems.
Technology also has an important role to play in the fight against
world hunger and disease. For example, Professor Susan Lindquist
described work to add vitamin A to rice. Thousands of preschool
children in developing countries go blind from vitamin A deficiency, a
problem that could be averted if common staple crops were nutrition-
ally more complete. Although genetically modified foods have their
own ethical issues, the potential to improve nutrition or reduce hunger
(by improving yields) should not be ignored.
The idea of adding vitamin A to rice prompted the question whether
a scientific advancement, like the addition of Vitamin A to rice, can be
distributed to the world when it was created by a for-profit company.
Lindquist addressed this point, and the related notion of whether com-
panies should be able to get patents for genetic discoveries. Lindquist
said that until recently she was against patents. But then she talked
with drug companies and learned that they were not developing a new
discovery because the discovery was in the public domain. Because it
was in the public domain, it presented no competitive advantage for a
drug company to develop it. Lindquist said that new incentive pro-
grams were needed to get the best minds working on these pressing
problems. There must be other ways than just a small number of
individuals making millions while the others are left in the dust,
Professor Lindquist said. Creating consortiums of companies was one
suggestion. Another was to develop a profit motive that would work
in the third world.
Professor Lindquist also described the sheer joy and intellectual
exuberance of figuring out how life works. Hundreds of millions of
years of biological evolution have created some amazing materials.
Nature allows for flexibility, and a diversity of new structures can be
invented which will profoundly affect our lives, Professor Lindquist
Technology 289
that alleviates the need to make a tough trade-off between the rights
of two constituencies.
Professor Rodney Brookss Project Oxygen is pushing the forefront
of computing. At the same time, computing professor Brooks is
working with management professor Rebecca Henderson to identify
viable business models for the new technology concepts being
developed.
In discussing Project Oxygen, Brooks emphasized the shift to people-
centered computing. Under Project Oxygen, the computer has the intel-
ligence and the software to focus on the person using it rather than the
current paradigm that forces the person to focus on the computer. The
intent is that people can spend less time on the technology and more
time achieving their goals.
Yet as we give technology the power to serve us better, we also give
technology more information about us. Core components of Project
Oxygen track the locations of people so that these people have any
needed files or software wherever they go. Such advances are a real
boon to virtual workers and highly dynamic work and home environ-
ments. But data on where a person is and whether he or she is working
or doing something else could be used in unethical or undesirable
ways. So too can the personal robots under development that can do
a variety of household chores and monitor people as well as physical
environments. Technology provides the power, but it does not provide
the wisdom to wield that power.
The panel members agreed that the key to dealing with these issues
and getting the maximum benefit out of new technologies is to get
managers involved early in the development process. Management
must have a deeper understanding of the technology and the potential
of the technology for returning value to the corporation and to society
as a whole. New technologies often raise ethical issues. These issues
should not be left to science alone. Rather, discussions with business
and with society as a whole need to take place, to position the tech-
nology within the context of the larger world.
Postscript: Moving
Forward
We believe the vision for the future of management practice and edu-
cation laid out in the previous chapters is compelling. The challenge
now lies in continuing the dialogue begun here, in developing this
vision, and in translating it into concrete actions. We invite you to join
us in this process.
Starting in fall 2003, we plan to organize a range of forums and work-
shops each term for MIT Sloan students and faculty to engage the
issues and themes addressed in this book directly with practitioners
who are dealing with these issues in industry and society. We invite
you to join in these discussions and add your comments and experi-
ences to the learning process. For more information on how to partic-
ipate in these sessions on-line, in person, or by having Sloan students
study how these issues are being addressed in your organization, send
us an e-mail to the address we have set up for this purpose, manage-
ment@mit.edu, and you will receive information on upcoming forums,
workshops, and other opportunities for participating in these discus-
sions as it becomes available.
In the meantime, if you have comments on the issues raised in the
book or would like to share your experiences in dealing with them,
please send them to us at the e-mail address above. We will summa-
rize the comments received and post them back to you and bring them
to the attention of our students when we discuss them on campus.
We look forward to continuing the stimulating dialogue begun here.
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Contributors
Yahoo!Health, 153
Yanzhou Coal, 233
Yatra.net, 133
Young, Andrew, 53