How To Trade Ranging Markets: 1. General Information
How To Trade Ranging Markets: 1. General Information
Abstract: A trend trading system works great if the market is trending but you
will give back a great deal of the pips earned in lower time of volatility. This
system will give you rules on how to classify the market in either trending or
ranging and how to behave in these situations. The entry rules are 100%
mechanical and will grow your account if followed strictly.
1. General information:
First we will go over the indicators and terms used in this system.
A successful executed trade follows this pattern:
Classify the market state Check for entry conditions Wait for the SL or TP to
be hit.
Indicators:
To move along please download the indicators and template found in the first post
over at http://www.forexfactory.com/showthread.php?t=559211
Indicators
Daily Range Peter
ADX Crossing_v.2.0 MX 1 Alert
dijj-bb-alert
Scripts
ChgTF-All
ChangeTemplate-All
Sounds
ADX
BBdown
BBup
Templates
! ADX
Chart setup:
After applying the template your chart should look like this. Please be aware of the
similar but different abbreviations of ADX, ADXr and ADR.
The market is trending if both of the following criteria are met. If one of the
conditions is not true we are in a ranging market.
Once we are in a trending market and all additional entry conditions are met we
immediately enter into the trade. We don't wait for the bar to close for confirmation.
If you miss an entry wait for the next trade.
The SL is the low of the candle we entered minus 10% of the 30 day ATR value.
To prevent whipsawing all following short entries (red dots) are invalidated until the
SL - Level of the last entry is breached.
Stop and reverse? Do we now immediately enter a trade in the opposite
direction if the sl is broken?
The sl of the newest trade will be the reference level which needs to be broken before
a trade in the opposite direction can be taken.
Is this correct? e.g. If we enter the trade on the 2nd blue dot and we get a new sl
after this breach we can enter short? When do we invalidate the stop and
reverse level? Once we completely scaled out of our long position or when a new
trading day starts?
A quote of yours: Candle one is your anchor candle. You will only take any kind
of buy when the extreme point( in this case the high of your initial signal candle)
is broken by a distance of 10% of the 30 day ATR of the pair in question. So in that
8 bar sequence you stay short the entire way. No longs.
The Average True Range? That is something different than the Average Daily Range
which can be found in the upper left corner.
Are we talking about the ATR here?
If we also work with a fixed value this means that no matter at what time frame we
enter the sl will always be the same level which might make the system really harsh
to trade in lower time frames. You might want to mention that and suggest a time
frame of 1h+.
Taking Profit:
We partially scale out of our position whenever the ADX goes flat.
Correct me if I am wrong
Ranging Entry
Once we are in a ranging market the dmi crosses loose their predictive power and we
start to look for a violation of the boolinger bands. Simply do as the pictures indicate.
SL
..?
Exits:
Do we have a special way to exit the trades? If the middle of the band is teached? If
the adx increases?
3. Moneymanagement
Despite the fact that the entries are 100% mechanical money management plays a far
greater role in trading than pinpointing individual trades.