Regression Statistics

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SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.9382783273
R Square 0.8803662195
Adjusted R Square 0.8733289382
Standard Error 1445.3761852172
Observations 19

ANOVA
df SS MS F
Regression 1 261348645.5619261348646 125.1003325485
Residual 17 35514909.38548 2089112
Total 18 296863554.9474

Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value


Intercept 47206.2255842837 1853.244692637 25.472203 5.5662354185E-15
12000 1.1413612003 0.1020455035 11.184826 2.9288702294E-09

RESIDUAL OUTPUT

Observation Predicted 56000 Residuals Standard Residuals


1 62614.6017886822 -184.601788682 -0.131422
2 61758.5808884378 -908.580888438 -0.646836
3 61587.3767083889 -287.376708389 -0.204589
4 64155.439409122 1669.560590878 1.1885928
5 64554.915829236 1799.084170764 1.2808031
6 65182.6644894152 77.3355105848 0.0550567
7 66381.0937497573 2416.906250243 1.7206427
8 68264.3397302949 2205.660269705 1.5702526
9 67636.5910701157 -2436.59107012 -1.734657
10 68036.0674902298 -36.0674902298 -0.025677
11 66015.8581656531 -1815.85816565 -1.292745
12 67180.0465899854 -1880.04658999 -1.338442
13 69531.2506626566 30.7493373434 0.0218911
14 68892.0883904741 -142.088390474 -0.101155
15 70547.0621309466 -291.062130947 -0.207213
16 73058.0567716633 -707.056771663 -0.503368
17 71631.3552712561 -1344.35527126 -0.957073
18 73343.3970717448 220.6029282552 0.1570515
19 74028.2137919403 1613.78620806 1.1488859
12000 Residual Plot
3000
2000 12000 Line Fit Plot
1000

Residuals
80,000
0
-1000 60,000 Normal Probab
12,00014,00016,00018,00020,00022,00024,00026
-2000 40,000 C

56000
80000
-3000 P
20,000 60000
0 12000
40000

56000
Significance F 10,00020000
15,000 20,000 25,000
2.92887022939256E-09 12000
0
0 20 40
Sample Per

Lower 95% Upper 95%


Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
43296.2210622211 51116.23 43296.22 51116.23
0.9260640074 1.356658 0.926064 1.356658

PROBABILITY OUTPUT

Percentile 56000
2.6315789474 60850
7.8947368421 61300
13.1578947368 62430
18.4210526316 64200
23.6842105263 65200
28.9473684211 65260
34.2105263158 65300
39.4736842105 65825
44.7368421053 66354
50 68000
55.2631578947 68750
60.5263157895 68798
65.7894736842 69562
71.0526315789 70256
76.3157894737 70287
81.5789473684 70470
86.8421052632 72351
92.1052631579 73564
97.3684210526 75642
Residual Plot
12000 Line Fit Plot
Normal Probability Plot
,00018,00020,00022,00024,00026,000
Column C
80000
Predicted 56000
60000
12000
40000
00020000
15,000 20,000 25,000
12000
0
0 20 40 60 80 100 120
Sample Percentile
no biaya promosi volume penjualan
1 12,000 56,000
2 13,500 62,430
3 12,750 60,850
4 12,600 61,300
5 14,850 65,825
6 15,200 66,354
7 15,750 65,260
8 16,800 68,798
9 18,450 70,470
10 17,900 65,200
11 18,250 68,000
12 16,480 64,200
13 17,500 65,300
14 19,560 69,562
15 19,000 68,750
16 20,450 70,256
17 22,650 72,351
18 21,400 70,287
19 22,900 73,564
20 23,500 75,642
21
22
23
SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics 12000


Multiple R 0.938278 3000
R Square 0.880366 2000
1000

Residuals
Adjusted R 0.873329
0
Standard E 1445.376
-1000
12000 14000 16
Observatio 19 -2000
-3000
ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 2.61E+08 2.61E+08 125.1003 2.93E-09
Residual 17 35514909 2089112
Total 18 2.97E+08

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%
Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
Intercept 47206.23 1853.245 25.4722 5.57E-15 43296.22 51116.23 43296.22 51116.23
12000 1.141361 0.102046 11.18483 2.93E-09 0.926064 1.356658 0.926064 1.356658

RESIDUAL OUTPUT PROBABILITY OUTPUT

Observation
Predicted 56000
Residuals
Standard Residuals Percentile 56000
1 62614.6 -184.602 -0.13142 2.631579 60850
2 61758.58 -908.581 -0.64684 7.894737 61300
3 61587.38 -287.377 -0.20459 13.15789 62430
4 64155.44 1669.561 1.188593 18.42105 64200
5 64554.92 1799.084 1.280803 23.68421 65200
6 65182.66 77.33551 0.055057 28.94737 65260
7 66381.09 2416.906 1.720643 34.21053 65300
8 68264.34 2205.66 1.570253 39.47368 65825
9 67636.59 -2436.59 -1.73466 44.73684 66354
10 68036.07 -36.0675 -0.02568 50 68000
11 66015.86 -1815.86 -1.29274 55.26316 68750
12 67180.05 -1880.05 -1.33844 60.52632 68798
13 69531.25 30.74934 0.021891 65.78947 69562
14 68892.09 -142.088 -0.10116 71.05263 70256
15 70547.06 -291.062 -0.20721 76.31579 70287
16 73058.06 -707.057 -0.50337 81.57895 70470
17 71631.36 -1344.36 -0.95707 86.84211 72351
18 73343.4 220.6029 0.157052 92.10526 73564
19 74028.21 1613.786 1.148886 97.36842 75642
12000 Residual Plot
3000
2000 12000 Line Fit Plot
1000
Residuals

80000
80000
0 70000
-1000 60000
12000 14000 16000 18000 20000 22000 24000 26000
-2000 60000
40000 Column C
56000

-3000 50000 Predicted 56000


20000
40000
0 12000
10000 15000 20000 25000
30000
20000 12000
10000
0
0 20 40 60 80 100 120
SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.938278327
R Square 0.880366219
Adjusted R S 0.873328938
Standard Erro1445.376185
Observations 19

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 261348645.562 2.61E+08 125.1003325485 2.93E-09
Residual 17 35514909.3855 2089112
Total 18 296863554.947

Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%


Lower 95.0%
Intercept 47206.22558 1853.24469264 25.4722 5.5662354185E-15 43296.22 51116.23 43296.22
X Variable 1 1.1413612 0.1020455035 11.18483 2.9288702294E-09 0.926064 1.356658 0.926064

RESIDUAL OUTPUT PROBABILITY OUTPUT

ObservationPredicted 56000 ResidualsStandard Residuals Percentile 56000


1 62614.60179 -184.601788682 -0.13142 2.631579 60850
2 61758.58089 -908.580888438 -0.64684 7.894737 61300
3 61587.37671 -287.376708389 -0.20459 13.15789 62430
4 64155.43941 1669.56059088 1.188593 18.42105 64200
5 64554.91583 1799.08417076 1.280803 23.68421 65200
6 65182.66449 77.3355105848 0.055057 28.94737 65260
7 66381.09375 2416.90625024 1.720643 34.21053 65300
8 68264.33973 2205.66026971 1.570253 39.47368 65825
9 67636.59107 -2436.59107012 -1.73466 44.73684 66354
10 68036.06749 -36.0674902298 -0.02568 50 68000
11 66015.85817 -1815.85816565 -1.29274 55.26316 68750
12 67180.04659 -1880.04658999 -1.33844 60.52632 68798
13 69531.25066 30.7493373434 0.021891 65.78947 69562
14 68892.08839 -142.088390474 -0.10116 71.05263 70256
15 70547.06213 -291.062130947 -0.20721 76.31579 70287
16 73058.05677 -707.056771663 -0.50337 81.57895 70470
17 71631.35527 -1344.35527126 -0.95707 86.84211 72351
18 73343.39707 220.602928255 0.157052 92.10526 73564
19 74028.21379 1613.78620806 1.148886 97.36842 75642
12000 Residual Plot
3000
2000 12000 Line Fit Plot
Residuals 1000
80000
0
-1000
Normal Probability Plot
60000 16000 18000 20000 22000 24000 26000
12000 14000
-2000 40000 Column C
56000
80000
-3000 Predicted 56000
20000 60000
0 12000
40000

56000
10000 20000
15000 20000 25000
12000
0
0 20 40 60 80 100 120
Sample Percentile

Upper 95.0%
51116.23
1.356658
No Biaya Produksi (X) Volume Penjualan (Y) xy X2 Y2
1 12000 56000 672000000 144000000 3136000000
2 13500 62430 842805000 182250000 3897504900
3 12750 60850 775837500 162562500 3702722500
4 12600 61300 772380000 158760000 3757690000
5 14850 65825 977501250 220522500 4332930625
6 15200 66354 1008580800 231040000 4402853316
7 15750 65260 1027845000 248062500 4258867600
8 16800 68798 1155806400 282240000 4733164804
9 18450 70470 1300171500 340402500 4966020900
10 17900 65200 1167080000 320410000 4251040000
11 18250 68000 1241000000 333062500 4624000000
12 16480 64200 1058016000 271590400 4121640000
13 17500 65300 1142750000 306250000 4264090000
14 19560 69562 1360632720 382593600 4838871844
15 19000 68750 1306250000 361000000 4726562500
16 20450 70256 1436735200 418202500 4935905536
17 22650 72351 1638750150 513022500 5234667201
18 21400 70287 1504141800 457960000 4940262369
19 22900 73564 1684615600 524410000 5411662096
20 23500 75642 1777587000 552250000 5721712164
Total 351490 1340399 23850485920 6410591500 90258168355
No

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