Globalization or Europeanization: Evidence On The European Economy Since 1980
Globalization or Europeanization: Evidence On The European Economy Since 1980
Globalization or Europeanization: Evidence On The European Economy Since 1980
Neil Fligstein
Department of Sociology
University of California
May 1999
Introduction
70% of the exports from the countries that make up the EU are to
at home.
This makes them firm supporters of free trade and the monetary
Europe and their sense that their jobs depend on Europe is much
states, there are two images that are juxtaposed. First, there
are many scholars who support the view that eventually there will
firms from one society figure out the most efficient way to
engaging in too much taxation of firms, will over time lose firms
little evidence that they are true (for reviews, see Fligstein
and Freeland, 1995; Pauly and Reich, 1997; Wade, 1996). Studies
typically show that governments continue to sponsor a great
There is little evidence that there has been a race to the bottom
years down the road, when the evidence is examined, this claim
persist, one is left to wonder about where the truth really lies.
elites want to try and defend their privileges. This means that
they may like trade if they are "winning", but they do not want
Europe.
look for how it has changed across society and industrial sector.
the United States. But, they have been moving some of the
discussion.
Economic exchange ranges from infrequent and unstructured to
exist for the production and sale of some good or service and
While they may benefit from the exchange, their ultimate survival
capitalism.
produces a dominate frame for the market and the others firms
fall in line. This does not imply that the partners to any given
Sellers vie for customers and customers may switch suppliers. The
higher end, higher value added products. The newer firms were
and buyers meet. But, for sellers and buyers to exist, a product
to purchase the product. But, the sellers' firms and their status
what the market is about and their relations define the local
first movers can often reap huge rewards. But, as other economic
actors realize this, they enter into the market, and prices begin
producers.
particular market.
the first place and others have to do with insuring the stability
Property rights are rules that define who has claims on the
profits of firms (akin to what agency theorists call "residual
claims" on the free cash flow of firms (Jensen and Meckling 1974;
Fama 1980)). This leaves open the issues of the different legal
the legal and illegal forms of how firms can control competition.
They take two forms: (1) laws and (2) informal institutional
draw the boundaries of the firm. So, for instance, firms can
or trade secrets, they are likely to run afoul of the law. They
Rules of exchange define who can transact with whom and the
conditions under which transactions are carried out. Rules must
in another country.
bought and sold will work the way they are intended.
Making these rules has become even more important for trade
but the U.S., which is often held up as a single market does not
have a single set of rules defining property rights and there are
some differences in rules of exchange. These are caused by the
reality fragmented.
rules, allow free exchange, and have participants from around the
the next chapter, I will show that Europe now has fairly free
and between Europe and the rest of the world over time.
(ie. North America, Japan, and Western Europe) was roughly 65% in
shares of imports and exports for nonJapan Asia over the period
as these increased from about 10% to about 18%. The real losers
in world trade over time were the C.I.S., Eastern Europe, and the
were the developing countries of Asia while the real losers were
Europe account for almost half of world trade and about 70% of
Europeanization.
and Asia, examines what they trade in, and looks more closely at
mining. Asia (about 28% of world exports) produces way over its
Asia.
they begin to tell a more subtle story. So, while the Asian
Asia and to a lesser degree the U.S. Europe imported about $42
the U.S. were $71.2 billion. Thus, even with the high production
Europe.
GDP was accounted for by exports over the period. Exports started
at the higher end of that range, declined until the early 1990s,
societies were not becoming more trade dependent over the period,
but they were increasingly turning that trade towards the other
members of the EU. This is evidence that the Single Market had
of Europe.
across countries between 1980 and 1995. We see that the U.S.
than they were in 1980. Second, both France and Italy became more
1995, the four largest European economies were all about equally
trade is too broad. In fact, what has been going on in the world
the expense of the less developed world. They have produced huge
largest trade zone in the world with almost half of world trade
with each other, and less with the rest of the world. Taken
One can imagine that firms engaged in export would pursue one of
This would mean that they would make investment in plant capacity
over time. Unfortunately, data of this sort just does not exist.
So, instead, I will rely on available data and try and examine
time.
similar size and with similar aspirations. Thus, we can see the
degree to which European firms are like or not like the
that the ratio of non European firms sales and investment are
roughly the same at home, and overseas. This suggests that they
the other hand, have not made those investments as much and are
"Europeanized".
between European and non European firms into more categories. The
products. The link between those products has been the subject of
1970).
either for products that already exist or products that spin off
lines was a way to insure the survival of the firm. After the
firms are producing products in more than one major industry, and
that the main industry does not account for more than 90% of
were cases where there was no obvious link between products being
production.
world.
depend on Europe for less than 25% of their sales. Almost 60% of
EU firms, depend on the nonhome European market for more than 25%
assets than sales at home versus those with fewer assets and
multinationals.
investments are made in the home country for the European market.
They are driven by opportunity, but also the fact that the home
snapshot in time. There have been three events since this data
have been gathered that might make it obsolete. First, firms were
are lower.
Unfortunately, there currently exists no data replicating
what I will try to show, the data show mostly continuity, but
venture with other firms. This suggests continuity with the 1987
data.
market and the European market. Many European firms have entered
into mergers with firms from the U.S. They have taken advantage
investment in Asia and that their trade and investment with Japan
is very low. To the degree that there has been any change, and
drawing closer together and Asian and Japanese firms are less
involved.
also worth noting that the Japanese challenge in Europe has been
the EU. The top of the table shows that in the run up to the
the EU. This began to drop off by 1992 and the U.S. assumed its
market, but this tailed off at the end of the period as well.
investment was in the EU, while about 40% was somewhere else.
without knowing how much investment was made in the home country
market) and 1990). Merger activity peaked in 1989 and fell off
1989 as well.
mergers were within national borders. But as the merger wave grew
once again and EU mergers dropped off. The number of mergers with
non-EU firms fluctuated over the period. This table shows that it
Still even at its peak, the largest European firms were engaged
cross border joint ventures and joint ventures with nonEU firms.
By the time the single market project was done in 1992, the
joint ventures with home country firms, and nonEU firms. Roughly
category by the end of the period. The most dramatic increase was
cross border mergers and engaged in more joint ventures with both
with home country firms and joint ventures with EU or nonEU firms
Conclusion
to be consequential.
How can this be? I would argue that one of the main reasons
around the world. Thus, while they are big European traders, they
than they had previously done. But, it is also clear that even
these firms primarily engage in mergers with firms from their own
single market.
So, the Single Market and the Euro are now economic facts
abroad.
Table 1: Percentage of world merchandise exports by region, 1980,
North America
Exports 14.4 16.0 15.4 15.9
Imports 15.5 21.7 18.4 18.7
Latin America
(with Mexico)
Exports 5.4 5.6 4.3 4.6
Imports 5.9 4.2 3.6 4.9
Western Europe
Exports 40.2 40.1 48.3 44.8
Imports 44.8 39.6 44.7 43.5
Eastern Europe
(with C.I.S)
Exports 7.8 8.1 3.1 3.1
Imports 7.5 7.4 3.3 2.9
Africa
Exports 5.9 4.2 3.0 2.1
Imports 4.7 3.5 2.7 2.4
Middle East
Exports 10.6 5.3 4.0 2.9
Imports 5.0 4.5 2.8 2.6
Japan
Exports 6.4 9.1 8.5 9.1
Imports 6.8 6.5 6.8 6.7
Asia
Exports 9.2 11.7 13.3 17.5
Imports 9.9 12.3 14.5 18.3
Destination of Trade
Origins of
Trade
Destinations
Origin
EU
Agric 196.7 76.7 4.2 5.0 14.1
Mining 110.6 78.4 8.4 4.0 9.2
Manuf 1162.7 67.1 8.7 9.9 14.3
Office/ 102.1 71.4 9.8 9.3 9.5
Telecom.
Equip.
North America
Agric 85.6 16.2 25.6 37.7 20.5
Mining 43.2 15.0 51.6 21.9 11.5
Manu 371.3 19.0 43.4 21.0 16.3
Office/ 71.2 27.2 23.6 35.8 13.1
Telecom.
Equip.
Asia
Agric 83.5 15.6 11.6 61.0 21.8
Mining 69.8 6.7 4.6 83.2 5.5
Manug 589.1 18.0 28.0 44.1 9.9
Office/ 193.1 21.6 37.0 36.0 5.4
Telecom.
Equip.
% of World Exports
Agric 44.9 19.5 19.1 16.5
Mining 25.5 9.9 16.1 49.5
Manu 50.8 16.2 25.9 7.1
Office/ 26.7 19.3 50.8 3.2
Telecom. Equip.
Percentage of
Assets in Europe, 19.0 17.3 n.s.
Not Home (95) (143)
Country
Strategy in
Percentages
Percentage of firms
with various levels
of EU Sales
Percentage of
Firms with More 84.6 56.2
Assets than
Sales at Home
Percentage of Firms
with fewer Assets than 15.4 43.8
Sales at Home
Strategy coded as: Dominant: Firms main products account for 90%
of sales; Related: firms products are related by virtue of common
inputs or products; Unrelated: Firms produce substantial products
(more than 10%) unrelated to main products.
Table 7: Comparison of the world's largest multinationals broken
down by country of origin, 1987 (Source: Stafford and Purkis).
Great
Britain 47.2 17.2 56.6 10.7 59
Rest of
Europe 26.7 33.3 53.3 29.7 47
Great
Britain 66.4 67.2
Other
Europe 72.1 83.1
Rest of
World 16.7 13.8
Table 7: Foreign Direct Investment EU per year, 1984-1993
Country/Region
1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993
EFTA
27 32 46 30 47 30 34 33 18 17
U.S. 48 31 37 18 14 35 28 26 52 43
Japan 6 13 7 12 14 16 17 8 8 8
Other 19 24 10 40 25 19 21 33 23 32
Country/Region
1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993
EFTA 5 5 -1 6 8 6 16 9 15 18
U.S. 66 67 81 78 70 72 35 35 37 47
Japan 2 0 0 0 1 2 4 1 2 -5
Other 27 28 19 16 21 20 45 55 45 40
Total 73.6
Sales
Region/Country Year
North
America 67.8 60.1 26.1 19.2 40.3 62.9 74.1 81.41
Total US
Mergers 222.1 108.2 71.2 96.7 176.4 226.7 356.0 495.0
(%) (31%) (56%) (37%)(20%)(23%) (28%) (21%) (17%)
Developing Countries
1.9 18.2 10.7 32.1 48.7 70.0 52.7 83.4
Purchases
Region/Country
Year
1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996
North America
27.1 26.2 15.7 26.4 44.7 52.1 80.4 87.5
Region/Country
Year
1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996
EU 40 38 45 47 32 30 32 28
North America
55 38 31 16 25 32 31 30
Rest of Developed World
3 16 11 19 13 8 15 12
Developing Countries
2 11 13 17 30 36 22 30
Purchases
Region/Country
Year
1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996
EU 50 57 59 41 46 38 42 42
North America
22 16 18 22 28 27 34 25
Rest of Developed World
18 18 12 14 8 9 10 8
Developing Countries
4 5 6 18 17 16 10 12
Region/Country
Year
1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996