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    Forecasting Problem

    Uploaded by

    Samdeesh Singh
    The document shows annual passenger vehicle sales data from 2004 to 2017 which trends upward over time from just over 1 million vehicles sold in 2004 to over 3 million vehicles sold in 2017. It also includes monthly air passenger movement data from January 2010 to December 2017 which ranges from around 100 to 400 million passengers per month. Overall both passenger vehicle sales and air passenger travel have increased substantially over the past 15-20 years.

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    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as XLSX, PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd

    Forecasting Problem

    Uploaded by

    Samdeesh Singh
    34 views5 pages
    The document shows annual passenger vehicle sales data from 2004 to 2017 which trends upward over time from just over 1 million vehicles sold in 2004 to over 3 million vehicles sold in 2017. It also includes monthly air passenger movement data from January 2010 to December 2017 which ranges from around 100 to 400 million passengers per month. Overall both passenger vehicle sales and air passenger travel have increased substantially over the past 15-20 years.

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    The document shows annual passenger vehicle sales data from 2004 to 2017 which trends upward over time from just over 1 million vehicles sold in 2004 to over 3 million vehicles sold in 2017. It also includes monthly air passenger movement data from January 2010 to December 2017 which ranges from around 100 to 400 million passengers per month. Overall both passenger vehicle sales and air passenger travel have increased substantially over the past 15-20 years.

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as XLSX, PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Download as xlsx, pdf, or txt
    34 views5 pages

    Forecasting Problem

    Uploaded by

    Samdeesh Singh
    The document shows annual passenger vehicle sales data from 2004 to 2017 which trends upward over time from just over 1 million vehicles sold in 2004 to over 3 million vehicles sold in 2017. It also includes monthly air passenger movement data from January 2010 to December 2017 which ranges from around 100 to 400 million passengers per month. Overall both passenger vehicle sales and air passenger travel have increased substantially over the past 15-20 years.

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as XLSX, PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Download as xlsx, pdf, or txt
    of 5

    Year Passenger Vehicle Sales

    2004 1061572
    2005 1143076
    2006 1379979
    2007 1549882
    2008 1552703
    2009 1951333
    2010 2501542
    2011 2629839
    2012 2665015
    2013 2503509
    2014 2601111
    2015 2789678
    2016 3047582
    2017 3287965
    Air pessanger
    Sr no Year Month
    movments (in Lakhs)

    1 Jan-10 112
    2 Feb-10 118
    3 Mar-10 132
    4 Apr-10 129
    5 May-10 121
    6 Jun-10 135
    2010
    7 Jul-10 148
    8 Aug-10 148
    9 Sep-10 136
    10 Oct-10 119
    11 Nov-10 104
    12 Dec-10 118
    13 Jan-11 115
    14 Feb-11 126
    15 Mar-11 141
    16 Apr-11 135
    17 May-11 125
    18 Jun-11 149
    2011
    19 Jul-11 170
    20 Aug-11 170
    21 Sep-11 158
    22 Oct-11 133
    23 Nov-11 114
    24 Dec-11 140
    25 Jan-12 145
    26 Feb-12 150
    27 Mar-12 178
    28 Apr-12 163
    29 May-12 172
    30 Jun-12 178
    2012
    31 Jul-12 199
    32 Aug-12 199
    33 Sep-12 184
    34 Oct-12 162
    35 Nov-12 146
    36 Dec-12 166
    37 Jan-13 171
    38 Feb-13 180
    39 Mar-13 193
    40 Apr-13 181
    41 May-13 183
    42 Jun-13 218
    2013
    43 Jul-13 230
    44 Aug-13 242
    45 Sep-13 209
    46 Oct-13 191
    47 Nov-13 172
    48 Dec-13 194
    49 Jan-14 196
    50 Feb-14 196
    51 Mar-14 236
    52 Apr-14 235
    53 May-14 229
    54 Jun-14 243
    2014
    55 Jul-14 264
    56 Aug-14 272
    57 Sep-14 237
    58 Oct-14 211
    59 Nov-14 180
    60 Dec-14 201
    61 Jan-15 204
    62 Feb-15 188
    63 Mar-15 235
    64 Apr-15 227
    65 May-15 234
    66 Jun-15 264
    2015
    67 Jul-15 302
    68 Aug-15 293
    69 Sep-15 259
    70 Oct-15 229
    71 Nov-15 203
    72 Dec-15 229
    73 Jan-16 242
    74 Feb-16 233
    75 Mar-16 267
    76 Apr-16 269
    77 May-16 270
    78 Jun-16 315
    2016
    79 Jul-16 364
    80 Aug-16 347
    81 Sep-16 312
    82 Oct-16 274
    83 Nov-16 237
    84 Dec-16 278
    85 Jan-17 284
    86 Feb-17 277
    87 Mar-17 317
    88 Apr-17 313
    89 May-17 318
    90 Jun-17 374
    2017
    91 Jul-17 413
    92 Aug-17 405
    93 Sep-17 355
    94 Oct-17 306
    95 Nov-17 271
    96 Dec-17 306
    x y SUMMARY OUTPUT
    1 26
    2 28 Regression Statistics
    3 29 Multiple R 0.989074
    4 31 R Square 0.978267
    5 32 Adjusted R 0.972834
    6 35 Standard E 0.525538
    Observatio 6

    ANOVA
    df SS MS
    Regression 1 49.72857 49.72857
    Residual 4 1.104762 0.27619
    Total 5 50.83333

    Coefficients
    Standard Error t Stat
    Intercept 24.26667 0.48925 49.59978
    x 1.685714 0.125628 13.41834

    RESIDUAL OUTPUT

    ObservationPredicted y Residuals
    1 25.95238 0.047619
    2 27.6381 0.361905
    3 29.32381 -0.32381
    4 31.00952 -0.00952
    5 32.69524 -0.69524
    6 34.38095 0.619048
    x Line Fit Plot
    40
    30
    20 y
    Predicted y

    y
    10
    0
    0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
    x

    F Significance F
    180.0517 0.000178

    P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%


    Lower 95.0%
    Upper 95.0%
    9.89E-07 22.90829 25.62504 22.90829 25.62504
    0.000178 1.336916 2.034513 1.336916 2.034513

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