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ACKNOWLEDGEMENT
Reviewed by
Dinesh Pant
B.E, LLB, PGDM, MBA, AIII, FIAI
G – Block, Plot No. C-46, Bandra Kurla Complex, Bandra (E), Mumbai – 400 051.
Actuarial Aspects of Product Development
IC-92
The course is purely meant for the purpose of study of the subject by the
students appearing for the examinations of Insurance Institute of India and is
based on prevailing best industry practices. It is not intended to give
interpretations or solutions in case of disputes or matters involving legal
arguments.
This is only indicative study material. Please note that the questions in the
examination shall not be confined to this study material.
This course mainly deals with the product design from actuarial perspective and
also various actuarial assumption & parameters including expense, mortality
and profitability.
Product development is one of the key functions of any insurer and creates and
builds the company’s competitiveness in the market place. This course is
designed to introduce the students to concept and process involved in designing
insurance products and also setting assumptions.
Though the course material is designed to meet the needs of the students who
are appearing Institute’s examination, this would also be useful for the general
readers who wish to know how insurance products are developed
Pricing of Products
Types of Insurance Products
Premium Bases – Interest Rate, Mortality / Morbidity Rates, Persistency /
Withdrawal Rates, margin and expenses
Reinsurance Support
Financial Viability – Profit Margin and Solvency Margin
Although the course covers the syllabus prescribed for the examination, it is
desirable that candidates should read additional material to further enrich their
knowledge of the subject.
CONTENTS
Chapter no. Title Page no.
1 Insurance Product 1
3 Pricing of Products – I 42
14 Glossary 312
CHAPTER 1
INSURANCE PRODUCT
Chapter Introduction
Learning Outcomes
A. History of Insurance
B. Definition and characteristics of insurance products
C. Parties involved in insurance product transactions
If risk is like a smoldering coal that may start a fire at any moment, then
insurance is our fire extinguisher.
Insurance is a method of distributing the risk. The Chinese were among the first
ones to employ methods of risk distribution. The Chinese traders would
redistribute their wares across many ships to limit the losses caused as a result
of a single ship capsizing.
The first written insurance policy was found on a Babylonian obelisk monument
along with the code of King Hammurabi carved on it. The insurance product
then was basic in nature, and offered that for a small additional payment on the
loan, the debtor did not have to pay back his loan(s) if some personal
catastrophe made it impossible.
Insurance products have evolved a great deal since then, and we will be
examining the nature and attributes of modern insurance products.
The story of insurance is probably as old as the story of mankind. The same
instinct that prompts modern businessmen today to secure themselves against
loss and disaster existed in primitive men also. They too sought to avert the evil
consequences of fire and flood and loss of life and were willing to make some
sort of sacrifice in order to achieve security. Though the concept of insurance is
largely a development of the recent past, particularly after the industrial era –
past few centuries – yet its beginnings date back almost 6000 years.
Life Insurance in its modern form came to India from England in the year 1818.
Oriental Life Insurance Company started by Europeans in Calcutta was the first
life insurance company on Indian Soil. All the insurance companies established
during that period were brought up with the purpose of looking after the needs
of European community and Indian natives were not being insured by these
companies. However, later with the efforts of eminent people like Babu
Muttylal Seal, the foreign life insurance companies started insuring Indian lives.
But Indian lives were being treated as sub-standard lives and heavy extra
premiums were being charged on them. Bombay Mutual Life Assurance Society
heralded the birth of first Indian life insurance company in the year 1870, and
covered Indian lives at normal rates. Starting as Indian enterprise with highly
patriotic motives, insurance companies came into existence to carry the
message of insurance and social security through insurance to various sectors of
society. Bharat Insurance Company (1896) was also one of such companies
inspired by nationalism. The Swadeshi movement of 1905-1907 gave rise to
more insurance companies. The United India in Madras, National Indian and
National Insurance in Calcutta and the Co-operative Assurance at Lahore were
established in 1906. In 1907, Hindustan Co-operative Insurance Company took its
birth in one of the rooms of the Jorasanko, house of the great poet
Rabindranath Tagore, in Calcutta. The Indian Mercantile, General Assurance and
Swadeshi Life (later Bombay Life) were some of the companies established
during the same period. Prior to 1912 India had no legislation to regulate
insurance business. In the year 1912, the Life Insurance Companies Act, and the
Provident Fund Act were passed. The Life Insurance Companies Act, 1912 made
it necessary that the premium rate tables and periodical valuations of
companies should be certified by an actuary. But the Act discriminated between
foreign and Indian companies on many accounts, putting the Indian companies
at a disadvantage.
The first two decades of the twentieth century saw lot of growth in insurance
business. From 44 companies with total business-in-force as Rs.22.44 crore, it
rose to 176 companies with total business-in-force as Rs.298 crore in 1938.
During the mushrooming of insurance companies many financially unsound
concerns were also floated which failed miserably.
The Insurance Act 1938 was the first legislation governing not only life insurance
but also non-life insurance to provide strict state control over insurance
IC-92 Actuarial Aspects of Product Development 3
business. The demand for nationalization of life insurance industry was made
repeatedly in the past but it gathered momentum in 1944 when a bill to amend
the Life Insurance Act 1938 was introduced in the Legislative Assembly.
However, it was much later on the 19th of January, 1956, that life insurance in
India was nationalized. About 154 Indian insurance companies, 16 non-Indian
companies and 75 provident were operating in India at the time of
nationalization. Nationalization was accomplished in two stages; initially the
management of the companies was taken over by means of an Ordinance, and
later, the ownership too by means of a comprehensive bill. The Parliament of
India passed the Life Insurance Corporation Act on the 19th of June 1956, and
the Life Insurance Corporation of India was created on 1st September, 1956,
with the objective of spreading life insurance much more widely and in
particular to the rural areas with a view to reach all insurable persons in the
country, providing them adequate financial cover at a reasonable cost.
Some of the important milestones in the life insurance business in India are:
1818: Oriental Life Insurance Company, the first life insurance company on
Indian soil started functioning.
1870: Bombay Mutual Life Assurance Society, the first Indian life insurance
company started its business.
1912: The Indian Life Assurance Companies Act enacted as the first statute to
regulate the life insurance business.
1928: The Indian Insurance Companies Act enacted to enable the government to
collect statistical information about both life and non-life insurance businesses.
1938: Earlier legislation consolidated and amended to by the Insurance Act with
the objective of protecting the interests of the insuring public.
1956: 245 Indian and foreign insurers and provident societies are taken over by
the central government and nationalised. LIC formed by an Act of Parliament,
viz. LIC Act, 1956, with a capital contribution of Rs. 5 crore from the
Government of India.
2000: Indian insurance industry privatised and several private players including
banks came into life insurance sector. E.g. ICICI prudential, HDFC Standard life,
Birla Sun life etc. 26% of foreign stake was allowed.
Definition
An insurance product is a finished good (or service) designed to meet the needs
of a customer. Mobile, for instance, is a consumable product, because it meets
the communication needs of a customer.
We observe that certain products are consumed for day-to-day use, such as
tooth brush, tooth paste, bath soap, water, food, etc. Certain products are used
to produce some utility such as happiness, entertainment, security (financial or
otherwise), travel, etc. Some are used temporarily to satisfy a specific need and
are of perishable nature, such as a banana, apple, cooked food items, petrol,
diesel, kerosene, etc.
All products are designed to meet the need and/or wants of a person. Thus,
every product has some utility.
While nature produces certain products (plants, trees, animals, etc.), some
products are made by man for consumption, to meet the necessities of life.
Manufactured products require some resources, which are either from nature or
made from nature. For instance, ‘cement’ is a product used in constructions of
buildings. For manufacture of cement, raw materials are needed such as water,
stone, etc.
3. Attributes of a product
Just like a bus ticket gives the holder right to do the particular journey on
that bus, an insurance product is a legal document which gives the holder of
Most of the products start giving benefit as soon as they are purchased. For
example, Television, which can be used to satisfy entertainment needs can
be used from the day it is purchased. However, the price can be paid in
lumpsum or as EMI every month if available. These products can have a long
life like fixed assets or short life such as orange.
Life insurance products are just opposite to this. Price or premiums start
much before the payment of actual benefit. Even it is not known when the
benefit will be paid for e.g death benefit. It is a very long term contract
which requires commitment to pay the premiums on time to get the benefit.
One exception to this is the immediate annuity contracts, where the benefit
starts as soon as the single premium is paid.
In general insurance products, even the premium is paid every year, there is
no certainty of benefit payment. E.g. motor insurance paying on accident.
c) Utility of product
Every insurance product has utility, similar to any goods, such as pizza,
which is useful to satisfy hunger. People buy insurance products to meet
their need for financial security of their family or of themselves in their old
age. Money is needed to meet basic needs of life, even while a person is
unable to earn it.
A man feels financially secure if he could satisfy his basic and other needs of
life. A person earns income (money) not only to satisfy his needs/wants, but
also to meet the needs of his dependants who cannot earn or do not have
any resource.
Table 1.1
Occurrence of event in the case of a life assured – and the financial problem
Accident which a) As in item 1, but there could be legal expenses too since
causes death accident may involve litigation.
a) Flow of regular income gets stopped - it is necessary to
have financial support to take care of old age needs.
Old Age b) Funeral expenses to be paid in case of death due to old
age.
c) Higher chances of falling ill needing money for treatment
Sickness As in item (2)
Such events are not covered per se, but provided by insurers
by offering monetary benefits at certain intervals during the
period of contract (called Survival Benefits, Partial
Other Financial
Withdrawals/ Surrenders to provide some liquidity to a
Needs
customer) so that these could meet certain needs such as (a)
Education Expenses for children (b) Marriage Expenses (c)
Purchase of certain capital items needed for family, etc.
Every product has five types of utility. Insurance product also provides all
these utilities.
The social power granted by a product refers to its political utility e.g. a
costly car may improve the social acceptance of the owner.
The social benefit granted by a product refers to its social utility e.g. a
solar panel providing electricity to an entire village is of great social
utility.
The social morality decides the philosophical utility of the product e.g. a
bottle of wine has less philosophical utility as compared to a religious
book.
v. Aesthetic utility
Test Yourself 1
I. A senior citizen
II. A person above 18 years of age
III. A person below 18 years of age
IV. An unmarried woman
A life insurance contract is a contract between the proposer and the insurer
over the life of the assured. The insurer, proposer and life assured are all bound
by certain conditions as per the contract of insurance.
When the proposer and the insurer enter into a life insurance contract, the
following scenarios can occur:
Life assured can be an individual on whose life insurance cover is being granted.
Life (lives) assured can be of a group of individuals. There can be more than one
life assured – e.g. two lives – husband and wife, individual A and individual B, a
family consisting of husband, wife and children, employees of an employer.
An insurer would ensure ‘insurable interest’ between proposer and life assured,
otherwise, he might end up dealing with financial frauds and disputes.
Insurable interest means that the proposer (or the life assureds’ family
members - could be referred to as ‘beneficiary’) could face financial problems
in the event of death of the life assured since the beneficiary is dependent on
the earning of life assured.
A wife has insurable interest in her husband and vice versa. An employer has an
insurable interest in his employees. A lender has an insurable interest in his
borrowers to the extent of outstanding loan amount. An individual has insurable
interest in his/her life to the extent of financial support to his/her family or to
himself/herself in old age.
Most insurance contracts are individual contracts (only one life assured is
involved) and group contracts (where more than one life assured is involved.
Example
Mr. George is aged 40 and gets a salary of Rs.10 lakhs p.a. He has dependents
i.e. his wife and two children. He takes a policy on his life to protect his family
from the financial hardships arising in the event of his death.
Mr. George has insurable interest in his life so he can buy a policy on his life. If
he dies, insurance proceeds go to his wife who would take care of the family. If
he survives the maturity date, insurance proceeds go to him which would take
care of his old age.
a) In the case of contracts where policyholder and life assured are the
same, the beneficiary is usually the policyholder on maturity, and in
case of death before the expiry of the contract, it is the nominee or
legal heir.
c) An assignor has a right over the policy monies to the extent of his/her
interest [assignors would be usually banks, housing loan companies,
insurers, and lenders who wish to have security against the loan granted
to the policyholder] and this right can be exercised only if assignment is
registered as endorsement in the insurance contract.
Insurance products are rarely purchased...these are sold in the market through
soliciting by distributors (agents, brokers, insurer’s sales men). Distributors
need to convince customers to purchase insurance products by explaining the
importance of ‘protection’ as well as saving.
This is different from other basic products which are needed every day for
consumption, such as tooth-paste, soap, cloth, houses, milk, transport, etc. An
individual is forced to come to a shop or a store to purchase the basic product.
12 IC-92 Actuarial Aspects of Product Development
Life insurance products are generally not given priority by individuals. Reasons
for this could be:
b) Even though they are aware, priorities are different in view of limited
savings and financial capabilities.
f) People may not have trust in insurers and the products designed by
insurers.
h) Facilities for purchase of contract not easily available– [no sales counters
in the offices of insurers, no distribution person (agent) available to
render advice etc. However, this not the major issue now because of
plenty of information and sale on internet.
Table 1.2
Deferred Annuity
Old age income or to meet funeral
Single Persons Contracts, Immediate
expenses.
Annuity Contracts
Test Yourself 2
c) Only persons of sound mind, majority age and those permitted by law can
enter into an insurance contract.
d) Insurable interest ensures that the proposer does not gain undue financial
advantage by effecting a contract of insurance.
e) Insurance products are mostly sold and rarely purchased mainly because of
lack of awareness and several other factors.
Answer 1
Answer 2
A person has no direct insurable interest in his friend and hence cannot buy
insurance for his friend.
Self-Examination Questions
Question 1
Question 3
Look at the two statements above and choose the correct option:
Question 4
Economic utility refers to ____________.
I. Usefulness in terms of money
II. Usefulness in terms of power
III. Usefulness in terms of society
IV. Usefulness in terms of beauty
Question 5
Which of the below statement is correct with regards to who can enter into an
insurance contract?
I. A person whose is age is at least 18 years
II. A person who has at least passed 12th Standard from any board
III. A person who known at least the national language
IV. Any person can enter into an insurance contract without any terms and
condition
Chapter Introduction
Learning Outcomes
Insurance companies throughout the world are constantly looking for new areas
/ opportunities to sell insurance. Having an excellent product design is an
important factor in achieving consistent and organic growth in revenue and is
being practised by most companies today.
Various guarantees, choices and options offered to the customer also come
under the preview of product design. One of the examples of guarantee offered
in a product is the guarantee that maturity benefit will not be less than some
percentage of total premiums paid. This percentage can be 100%, making sure
that at least premiums paid are returned. These guarantees are common in unit
linked design, making it a marketable product. Examples of options and choices
are surrender options, policy loan, switching of funds for unit linked insurance,
premium discontinuance etc.
The question that arises now is why is new product design required at all?
In the market place all firms are trying to get more and more customers and
thereby targeting more and more profits. This leads to an introspection of their
own products and finding out what is lacking or what could have been better.
This introspection could lead to the following reason of looking at product
design:
Primary and most important factor affecting the product design is the customer
needs. Product design acts as a bridge between the creativity and customer
needs. Customers desire various features in the products, which is then made
possible by innovation in terms of product design. Other important factors
affecting product design are:
Apart from above important factors, in order to achieve higher sales, the
product design should also consider the following factors:
One of the main issues associated with product design is proper communication
to a lay customer. In addition, there are other issues to be considered such as
concerns of shareholders and regulators. These are explained later.
1. Target Population
It is important to identify the target market and the needs and demands of the
target market. This is needed in order to identify groups of potential customers
who have similar needs. E.g. the needs of persons living in rural areas will be
different from the needs of the urban population. An insurer should keep this
factor in mind before designing insurance products. This would assist the
actuary in applying proper mortality rates.
2. Eligibility to buy
a) Age
Insurance companies offer plans right from childhood to old age. In some
plans the insurance company may specify a minimum age after which
insurance may be given. For example an insurance company may say, to
avail a term insurance plan the minimum entry age is 18 years. In case of
some plans the insurance company may specify a maximum entry age after
which an individual may not be able to buy that plan. For example an
insurance company may say the maximum entry age for a particular
b) Income
A person seeking insurance should be able to pay for the premiums in the
long term. The insurance should be affordable as per his /her income. E.g.
the person seeking insurance should earn a specified income per month or
annual income as may be determined by the insurer. The insurer may ask
income proof wherever necessary based on declarations and amount of
insurance cover asked for by the customer.
c) Health
3. Other Conditions
Example
The policy could state that the cover should be for at least 5 years, but not
exceeding 25 years.
4. Provision of benefits
a) Death
If the life assured dies during the tenure of the insurance contract, the sum
assured is payable. Death might be due to any reason. However, this benefit
is not be payable if death is on account of suicide during the first year of the
policy.
b) Maturity
If the life assured survives till the date of maturity (expiry of policy term),
the sum assured with bonuses or guaranteed additions is payable.
c) Early Termination
If the insurance contract is terminated due to any reason, the benefits that
would be payable would depend upon the applicable terms and conditions
related to the termination.
5. Beneficiaries
Beneficiary is the person named in the insurance contract. Usually, the person
nominated by the policy holder is entitled to receive the benefits. If there is a
dispute, the legal heirs would be entitled to receive the benefits.
a) Non-payment of premiums
b) Suppression of information
d) Consumer grievances
e) Assignment facility
f) Loan facility
Insurer might offer loan facility with certain terms and conditions.
b) Fine print
c) Complex design
There should not be too many conditions in granting a benefit. Too many
riders in a product cause confusion and hence, should be avoided.
d) Definitions
Example
A terrorist attack might not be called accident. The death of a driver caused
due to hitting a tree might not be called accident.
e) Use of paper
Which of the following does not qualify as eligibility criteria to buy insurance
products?
I. Age
II. Gender
III. Health
IV. Marital status
Selling insurance products depends upon several factors. A few of these are:
a) Distribution network
This has an impact on the sale of insurance products. The wider the network
of distributors, the better is the market reach. However, it is not merely
the number of distributors; it is their productivity that impacts the sale of
insurance products.
This is one of the most essential considerations for any financial services
company. Efficiency can be measured as reduction in turnaround time by:
Test Yourself 2
I Distribution network
II Marketing and advertising
III Efficiency of administrative staff
IV All of the above
Each country is unique and therefore insurance regulations vary from country to
country. Little regulation means more freedom for companies to innovate while
designing insurance products and perhaps a more competitive market. More
regulation may restrict innovation but could possibly prevent insurance
companies from making critical mistakes.
1. Regulatory systems
A file and use document is prepared and filed with regulator which
explains the features of products apart from all other technical details
such as:
Along with the application form and file and use document, the insurer
would need to enclose the following while filing the proposal:
The regulators may check out technical analysis in order to ensure that
products benefit the common man in terms of affordability.
Under this system, insurers can introduce the product in the market
after it is designed. Later on, the product can be filed with the
regulator.
If, after passage of time, the regulator feels that the product is no
longer in the interest of public, it may require the insurer to stop selling
the product henceforth.
c. Free system
Under the ‘free’ system, insurers design products and sell these without
any intervention from the regulator. This may be regarded as ‘freedom
with responsibility’. The regulator may monitor the insurer through
‘solvency test’, ‘asset-liability matching’ test, etc. However, the
regulator may require the insurer to stop new sales, if he thinks that the
insurer’s operations are not in the interest of the public.
This system ensures survival of the fittest. The philosophy behind this
method is that the insurers in the market could offer products for sale at
prices determined by the market. However, this system could create
issues for the regulator if the solvency of insurer is not monitored by the
regulator at regular intervals.
In all the above methods, the main focus lies on the customer. Customers
should be able to choose amongst a wide range of products that should be
affordable. In India currently “File and Use” method is prevalent. However,
there are some discussions about “Use and file” system also for some simple
product, which is not yet launched.
Which of the following is / are the main purposes of the file and use system?
Apart from above, in India there are two product regulation, Linked product
regulations and Non linked product regulations, issued by regulator in year
2013. These regulations directly or indirectly impact the product design:
Some of the provisions of these regulations impacting product design are listed
below:
Minimum policy term and premium paying term: To ensure that the products
remain fairly long term to protect the interest of policyholders, regulation
stipulated minimum policy term and premium paying term for insurance
products.
At the most generic level, the asset share for a life insurance policy is the
accumulation of monies in less monies out in respect of that policy. In other
words, the accumulated cashflow in respect of a policy.
All these provision as mentioned above are discussed in details in the pricing
chapters.
1. Policyholders
Policyholders expect good consumer education before and after they purchase
the insurance contract. Such education could relate to:
2. Distributors
Certain issues may arise due to distributors sharing their commission with
customers, wrong selling, wrong advice, etc. These problems may persist even
after providing training and education.
3. Insurers’ Associations
Commission scales
Sales illustrations
Poaching and
Other bad practices
4. Consumer Forums
These forums protect the interest of the beneficiaries against insurer’s actions
in settlement of claims and other customer services related issues. These
forums might suggest changes in the language used in the insurance contracts so
that the interpretation would be easy and there is no ambiguity in the terms
and conditions that lead to problems for customers later. In general, the
industry faces problems with regard to glossary of terms used in insurance
contracts, definition of events in the contract, etc. An efficient product design
should consider this so as to avoid litigation later on.
Test Yourself 4
Which of the following is the main reason for considering consumer forums as
stakeholders?
c) There are various factors affecting product design, most important being
profitability and its sensitivity, marketability and competitiveness, level of
risk, administration system, consistency with other products and regulation.
Answer 1
Answer 2
The main purposes of the file and use system are to safeguard the interest of
the public and to ensure solvency of the insurers.
Answer 3
Consumer forums protect the interest of the beneficiaries hence they are
considered as stakeholders.
Question 1
If the life assured dies during the tenure of the simple insurance contract,
which of the following is payable?
I. Sum assured
II. Sum assured with premiums paid
III. Sum assured with guaranteed additions
IV. Sum assured after appropriate deductions
Question 2
The term ‘freedom with restrictions’ best describes which of the following
regulatory systems?
Question 3
Question 4
I. Profit sharing
II. Interest
III. Commission
IV. Percentage of sales revenue
Answer 1
If the life assured dies during the tenure of the insurance contract, the sum
assured is payable.
Answer 2
Use and file systems provide an opportunity to the insurer for innovation in the
product design.
Answer 3
Answer 4
PRICING OF PRODUCTS – I
Chapter Introduction
For prospective customers apart from other important factors that play an
important role in taking decision to buy an insurance product, price of the
product also plays a very important role. As a result, right and competitive
pricing of insurance products is the need of the hour. Competitive pricing helps
insurers to gain an edge in today’s competitive market. Pricing of insurance
products is technical and requires complicated calculations.
Learning Outcomes
The team carried out an extensive research and found that more than 70% of
the buyers purchased insurance based on price/premium considerations.
The pricing of insurance products is unique and largely differs from pricing of
tangible products and services, where input-costs are known. From the
perspective of the insured, pricing is a major differentiating factor while
purchasing insurance.
1. Price
Definition
Price is expressed in terms of money at which one can exchange for goods or
services.
Pricing of products is directly linked to revenue levels and hence setting prices
is an important task for any commercial company.
Pricing, therefore, needs to meet both the company's financial and marketing
aspirations.
2. Premium
Definition
In the insurance market, ‘premium’ is exchanged for future benefits which are
paid on happening of events mentioned in the insurance contract.
However, this is true for traditional insurance products mainly non participating
where benefits are fixed.
For unit linked products, pricing has much wider meaning. For example, when
sum assured and premiums are not fixed and customer can choose both, pricing
will be used to find out charges that will be deducted from premium or from
fund. Hence, in this case charges rather than premium are determined by
pricing.
In unit linked products, normally premiums are chosen by the policyholders and
sum assured benefit is a fixed multiple of that premium. It is the level and
frequency of charges which separates the products of two different companies
and two different products within one company.
For example, one company can have sum assured of 10 times of premium with
expected bonus rate of say 3% per annum, while other company can have sum
assured of 15 times of premium, with bonus rates of say 1.4% of sum assured per
annum.
For example, premium can be set at 1/12th of sum assured chosen or vice versa,
guaranteed additions being dependent on premium payment term, policy term
and premium size.
Example
Mr. X has taken an insurance policy for a sum assured of Rs.100,000 which is
payable on death if it happens any time after the date of commencement of
policy. For this benefit, he is required to pay premium of Rs. 1,000 on 1st
January every year.
In case he dies in the second year of the policy term, his beneficiary is entitled
to receive Rs. 100,000.
Test Yourself 1
An equation of value which equates inflows and outflows is used to price the
insurance products.
In the case of any product, the equation of value can be expressed as:
Price = Benefit (attached to the product) + Expenses (to be incurred for sale and
service)+ profit margin
In the case of insurance products, the equation of value can be expressed as:
This is the basic rule of determination of price. As discussed above this price
can be premium or charges or bonus of guaranteed additions.
In case of premiums, goal will be to calculate, left hand side of the equation
while keeping right hand side fixed. However, if the premiums are not
competitive or too low, right hand side also will be altered and premiums
recalculated, till the time they are at desired level.
In the case of charges, guaranteed addition and bonus, it will be the profit
margin that will be targeted while keeping premium fixed. Charges and
benefits will vary to ensure desired level of profits.
This equation of value can be solved using two different methods known as
method of pricing:
1. Formula method
This method cannot be used to price products with diverse and complex
benefits like unit linked product. For such type of product cash flow method is
used as described below.
In the cash flow method, expected incomes and outflows are projected into the
future, and the best premium rate or charges or other variables are
Earlier, there were less computational power and hence formula method was
used. With the ever increasing speed of computational power cash flow method
of pricing has gained remarkable popularity. Now complex models and tools are
available which can project all the cash flows of the product for all future
years. As a results formula method is not used now and where it is used it is
used just as an indicator of premium to start with. Then the resultant premium
is profit tested using cashflow model and using the discount rate as risk discount
rate to see if it satisfies the profit criteria.
Example
Let’s assume that the company issues 2000 such contracts. The insurance cover
for each contract is Rs. 1000 per life. Ignoring all expenses and investment
earnings and assuming 2 deaths in a year per 1000 such lives,
Present value of premiums (for all 2000 contracts) should be equal to Rs. 4000.
Hence the premium required per contract is Rs. 2 per 1000 insurance cover (Rs
4,000 divided by 2000 contracts).
This is a simple example since it is assumed that there are 2 deaths per 1000
lives in a year. Additionally, it is also assumed that there are no expenses and
no investment income. Time value of money in not considered in the example.
If expenses and investment income are considered, the premium per 1000
insurance cover will be different.
Rs.
Opening fund 4,000
Outgo (4,000)
Closing fund NIL
Test Yourself 2
Cost of benefits
Cost of benefit is the pure premium that meets just the amount of benefits, as
explained in the above example.
For traditional products benefit can be simple fixed sum assured or periodic
guaranteed additions or periodic bonus. Hence, present value of each of the
component will be required to calculate cost of benefits.
These assets earn less than what is required by the shareholders, for example, if
assets are earning 9% per annum and risk discount rate is 12% per annum then
there is a cost of holding reserve for shareholders. This cost will be 3% return
lost as a result of holding the reserve. This cost should also be considered while
deciding the price.
For unit linked products there is one additional dimension of change in reserve.
Since, charges are deducted from the funds; change in funds will reflect the
amount of charges deducted from the fund. This will be a key variable when
other components such and premiums are known in advance.
Cost of expenses
iii. Resolving doubts posed by the policyholder (this would include payment
of salaries to staff employed by the insurer)
Test Yourself 3
I. Administrative expenses
II. Legal expenses
III. Miscellaneous expenses
IV. Procurement expenses
While pricing products, a new insurer would find it difficult to estimate the
expenses that would be incurred at present and also in future. In such
situations, the new insurer would depend upon the experience of the insurance
industry and reinsurer.
Premiums
Let us discuss how expenses could be related to premium, sum assured and per
policy.
Mr. Pawar purchased an insurance policy for a period of 10 years for a sum
assured of Rs. 100,000 from Delta Life Insurance Company. For this purpose, he
paid Rs. 80,000 as single premium.
The commission paid is 2% of the single premium amount i.e. Rs.1600. The
commission payment is made to compensate the intermediary for procurement
of business.
In this case, the number of premium payments is more than one but limited
to two or more annual premiums. However, the premium payments cease
much before the expiry of contract.
Example
Assuming in the above example, Mr. Pawar chose to pay premiums for three
years, amounting to Rs. 30,000 annually.
Year 1 2 3
Commission (Rs.) 9,000 2,250 2,250
In this case, the number of premium payments is more than one. These
payments cease just before the date of expiry of contract.
Example
In the above example, the term of premium payment is the same as that of the
policy term. Mr. Pawar would be required to pay premium for ten years
52 IC-92 ACTUARIAL ASPECTS OF PRODUCT DEVELOPMENT
amounting to Rs. 10,000 annually. The commission payment structure is as
follows:
The initial fixed expenses incurred to procure business would be very high.
Examples of such expenses are transport expenses, media expenses, salary and
other expenses for underwriting.
These expenses can be expressed as a flat amount e.g. Rs. 1400 per policy. If
policies are issued with small premiums, such policies would cause loss. Such
loss may need to be compensated by higher premium policies. The reason for
this loss is that the initial expense could be over 100% of premium. In addition,
the insurer would have to wait for about 2 to 3 years (or more) to get initial
expenses recovered by way of premium income. This is also an important reason
why insurers are reluctant to sell small premium policies. This will be discussed
later.
The expenses incurred in the first year, related to collection and notices of
premiums, preparation and maintenance of records and so on are expressed as a
percentage of premiums, say 60%.
If the premium income in the first year is Rs. 10,000, the expenses in the first
year could be Rs. 6000.
3. Stamp duty
Stamp duty is the cost of stamps which are required to be affixed on the policy
bond (Insurance Contract) and this is levied by Government. This is usually Re.
0.20 every 1000 sum assured or part thereof. This means that for a contract of
Rs. 10,000, it is necessary to affix stamps of value of Rs. 2.
4. Medical expenses
Medical expenses are borne by the insurers to assess the mortality risk of the
life assured. A life assured may need to undergo medical examination as
required by the insurer. For this purpose, certain medical reports, such as ECG,
TMT, Echo, etc. may also be required.
Some insurers determine this expense as Rs. 4 per 1000 sum assured. Depending
upon medical requirements, medical expenses could be more or less for a
contract.
In the long run, the medical expenses would be included in the initial expenses.
A high sum assured case assumes importance because the insurer has to incur
higher outgo in case of adverse claim experience. Lives aged 40 or over could be
subject to medical examination because their health would affect mortality
risk.
Shareholders finance this cost at the outset, in the first few years of life of a
new insurer. This cost is recovered by them in the form of dividends on their
equity. Later on the existing business would help in recovering this cost
perhaps, after 10 or 15 years.
54 IC-92 ACTUARIAL ASPECTS OF PRODUCT DEVELOPMENT
For new companies, it is necessary to advertise about their commitment to the
market. Advertisement costs could be more than the premium income in the
first few years.
5. Claim expenses
Claim expenses include costs involved in settling claims by maturity and death
of life assured. If there are legal cases against insurers, these costs could
increase on account of court expenses and fees paid to lawyers.
a) Where the life assured did not disclose at the time of buying insurance
that he suffered from diabetes, cancer, or heart ailment, the claims are
not genuine. If this would have been disclosed, the insurer would have
either declined insurance cover or granted the cover at a different
premium cost.
b) Claims in cases where the age of the life assured is misstated are also
not genuine.
c) If the insurable interest did not exist with regard to evidence of income,
the insurer could possibly have granted lower insurance cover had he
known about the income levels. However such cases are rare.
d) Where the insured did not disclose income and the insurance cover and
the income do not match, the claim is not genuine. (E.g. An insurance
cover of Rs. 1Cr, for a life whose income is Rs. 10000 p.a.)
Though the resisted claims are few, some fraud-claims could have been settled.
Courts could give decisions against insurers which could lead the insurer to incur
higher claim expenses. In view of these, the insurers would exercise lot of
caution in designing various documents.
E = FE + RE
RE = Renewal expenses
Example
An insurer incurs expenses in the first year, per policy, of Rs. 400. The insurer
would not be willing to issue a contract that fetches him an annual premium of
Rs. 100 as such contracts would eat other policyholders’ monies.
For smaller premium policies, the volume of business required should be large
enough which might not be easy. If volumes do not support the insurer, he
might stop selling the product, as it would not fetch him the desired returns.
Insurers consider the following while determining the minimum and optimum
size of policy (generally in terms of premium and also in terms of sum assured):
Competitors’ rates
Availability of similar products
Age and income profile of people
56 IC-92 ACTUARIAL ASPECTS OF PRODUCT DEVELOPMENT
Competency of distribution channels and sales staff to sell the
product
i. Design of product
If the event is not well defined, sales volumes would reduce. For instance,
the event ‘accident’ definition might be ambiguous. Too many riders and
too many options for bonus payments could also lead to ambiguous product
design.
If the minimum limits are not appropriately fixed, it might deter buyers
from buying the product.
Example
Suppose the minimum sum assured is Rs. 10 lakhs and/or the minimum premium
p.a. is Rs. 1 lakh, only a few customers would be able to afford the premium.
If an insurer does not have competent team, it would be difficult for him to
withstand competitive pressures. Provision of prompt services by insurers
would not only help in increasing sales in the long run but also helps in
getting repeat business.
Test Yourself 4
In which of the following cases would insurers insist on medical examination and
reports?
In the product design chapters we discussed about the three regulators systems:
Apart from these, in India there are two product regulation, Linked product
regulations and Non linked product regulations, issued by regulator in year
2013. All the provisions of regulation must be adhered to when pricing any
product. These regulations directly or indirectly impact the product pricing.
Under the par products, the bonus accruals during the term shall be as
follows:
Linked and Non linked variable insurance products are also allowed and can
be offered in any of the following manner:
These products look more like bank accounts where there are regular
interest credits.
For all modes of premium payment (viz., single premium, annual, half-
yearly, quarterly and monthly) the bonus with respect to the par products
shall be declared once a year immediately after the annual actuarial
valuation i.e., as on March 31st of each year, with respect to the par
products.
Policy account Value: Every variable non-linked insurance policy shall have
a corresponding policy account whose balance shall depict the accrual to the
policyholder. The policy account shall be credited with premium net of
charges as applicable to variable insurance products. The additional interest
rate shall be applicable to the balance of the policy account.
The policy account value shall comply with the maximum reduction in yield
requirements as discussed later.
Table 1:
S. Type of Age of the life assured
N product less than 45 years 45 years and above
1 Single Highest of 125% of the Highest of 110% of the single
premium single premium or premium or minimum
products minimum guaranteed sum guaranteed sum assured on
assured on maturity or maturity or any absolute
any absolute amount amount assured to be paid on
assured to be paid on death.
death.
2 Other Non participating products
than Highest of, 5 times the annualized premium or 105% of all
single premiums paid as on date of death or minimum guaranteed
premium sum assured on maturity or any absolute amount assured to
product be paid on death.
where Participating products
the Highest of, 5 times the annualized premium or 105% of all
policy premiums paid as on date of death or minimum guaranteed
term is sum assured on maturity or any absolute amount assured to
less than be paid on death.
10 years
3 Other Non participating products
than Highest of, 10 times the Highest of, 7 times the
single annualized premium or annualized premium or 105% of
premium 105% of all premiums all premiums paid as on date
product paid as on date of death of death or minimum
where or minimum guaranteed guaranteed sum assured on
the sum assured on maturity maturity or any absolute
policy or any absolute amount amount assured to be paid on
term is assured to be paid on death.
equal to death.
or more Participating products
than 10 Highest of, 7 times the Highest of, 7 times the
years annualized premium or annualized premium or 105% of
105% of all premiums all premiums paid as on date
paid as on date of death of death or minimum
or minimum guaranteed guaranteed sum assured on
sum assured on maturity maturity or any absolute
or any absolute amount amount assured to be paid on
assured to be paid on death.
death.
IC-92 ACTUARIAL ASPECTS OF PRODUCT DEVELOPMENT 61
For the participating products, in addition to the minimum sum assured on
death as stipulated in table 1, the bonus/additional benefit, if any, as specified
in the policy and accrued till the date of death shall become payable on death,
if not paid earlier. However, for other than single premium products, the
minimum death benefit shall be at least 105% of all the premiums paid as on
death.
The provision for minimum sum assured on death shall not be applicable to
reduced paid up policies, pension products, all types of immediate annuity
products and decreasing cover term insurance products. However, for non
linked individual pension products, the minimum death benefit payable on
death shall not be less than 105% of all premiums paid as on death.
For linked insurance products, the minimum sum assured shall be at least equal
to as listed in table 2 below:
T is Policy Term chosen by the policyholder for any product except for whole
life products.
Table 2:
Type of Products Minimum Sum assured Minimum Sum assured
for age at entry below 45 for age at entry of 45
years years and above
Life Single Premium (SP) 125 percent of single 110 percent of single
Products premium. premium.
Life Regular Premium 10 times the annualized 7 times the annualized
(RP) including Limited premiums or (0.5 X T X premiums or (0.25 X T X
Premium Paying (LPP) annualized premium) annualized premium)
Products whichever is higher. whichever is higher.
Health Regular Premium 5 times the annualized 5 times the annualized
(RP) including Limited premium or Rs.100,000 premium or Rs.100,000
Premium Paying (LPP) per annum whichever is per annum whichever is
products higher. higher.
Except for single premium payment products, the premium payment term
for all other individual products shall not be less than 5 years.
Table 3:
Premium Maximum Commission or remuneration in any form as % of
paying terms premium
1st year 2 and 3 years Subsequent years
5 15 7.5 / 5 (*) 5
6 18 7.5 / 5 (*) 5
7 21 7.5 / 5 (*) 5
8 24 7.5 / 5 (*) 5
9 27 7.5 / 5 (*) 5
10 30 7.5 / 5 (*) 5
11 33 / 30 (*) 7.5 / 5 (*) 5
12 33 / 30 (*) 7.5 / 5 (*) 5
(B). For all distribution channels, except direct marketing, the maximum
commission or remuneration in any form with respect to fund based group
products with respect to all premium payment modes, shall be:
i) 2 per cent of the premiums paid during the year with a ceiling of rupees on
lakhs per scheme for the entire year.
ii) At subsequent renewal 2 per cent of the premiums paid during the year with
a ceiling of rupees one lakh per schemes for the entire year.
(C). For single premium group term insurance and single premium Group Credit
insurance with long term, the maximum commission or remuneration in any
form shall be 2 per cent of premium with a ceiling of Rs.200000/ per scheme.
(D). For one year renewable group term insurance and One year Group Health
Insurance, the maximum commission or remuneration in any form shall be 2 per
cent of premiums paid during the first year and 2 per cent of premium paid
during the subsequent renewals with a ceiling of Rs.50000/- per scheme in each
year.
(E). Where the policies are procured by Direct marketing, no commission shall
be payable.
ii) Subject to (iii), 50% of the total premiums paid less any
survival benefits already paid, if surrendered between the fourth
year and seventh year of the policy, both inclusive.
iii) 90% of the total premiums paid less any survival benefits
already paid, if surrendered during the last two years of the
policy, if the term of the policy is less than 7 years.
iv) The surrender value beyond the seventh year shall be filed by
the insurer under the File and Use for clearance. Such surrender
value shall consider the premiums already paid and the possible
asset shares on such products.
i) 70% of the total premiums paid less any survival benefits already
paid, if surrendered any time within third policy year.
ii) Subject to (iii), 90% of the total premiums paid less any survival
benefits already paid, if surrendered in the fourth policy year.
iii) 90% of the total premiums paid less any survival benefits already
paid, if surrendered during the last two years of the policy, if the
term of the policy is less than 7 years.
The special surrender value shall represent the asset share in case of the par
policies, where the asset share shall be determined in accordance with the
guidance or practice standards issued by the Institute of Actuaries of India. For
non-par policies the special surrender value shall reflect the experience of the
insurer and shall be determined as per the proxy asset share in accordance with
the guidance or practice standards issued by the Institute of Actuaries of India.
The special surrender value shall be filed with the Authority under File and Use.
The fund based group non-linked products may levy a surrender charge not
exceeding 0.05 per cent of the fund, with a maximum of Rs. 500, 000/-, if the
policy is surrendered within the third renewal of the policy.
In case of surrender of the group policy, other than fund based group policies,
the insurer shall give an option to the individual members of the group, on such
surrender, to continue the policy as an individual policy and the
insurer/intermediary if any, shall continue to be responsible to serve such
members till their coverage is terminated.
Table 4:
Where the For annual premium policies
policy is Maximum Discontinuance Maximum Discontinuance
discontinued Charges for the policies having Charges for the policies having
during the annualized premium / single annualized premium / single
policy year premium up to Rs.25,000/- premium above Rs.25,000/-
1 Lower of 20% * (AP or FV/policy Lower of 6% * (AP or FV/policy
account value) subject to a account value) subject to a
maximum of Rs. 3000 maximum of Rs. 6000
2 Lower of 15% * (AP or FV/policy Lower of 4% * (AP or FV/policy
account value) subject to a account value) subject to a
maximum of Rs. 2000 maximum of Rs. 5000
Level premiums:
• Except for group products, the premium chosen at the outset shall
become payable throughout the premium paying term of the policy
and shall not be altered during the term of the policy. Such premium
shall be level / uniform and shall not vary over the term of the
policy.
• The insurer shall not accept any amounts less than the due stipulated
regular premium payable as stated in the policy.
• Any additional payments made on ad hoc basis shall be considered as
top-up premium and treated as single premium for the purpose of
providing insurance cover.
• Service tax, if any, shall not be included in the contractual premium
and shall be collected from the policyholder separately as over and
above such premium.
• The maturity benefits shall closely reflect the asset share in case of
par products.
At the most generic level, the asset share for a life insurance policy
is the accumulation of monies in less monies out in respect of that
policy. In other words, the accumulated cashflow in respect of a
policy.
The insurer shall discuss with the Authority, the product design concept of
the proposed innovative product along with:
i) Market research inputs which identify the specific needs of customer
or meeting the existing needs in innovative manner through the
proposed product design.
ii) A separate note on how such new product will enhance the
satisfaction of customer and of any other stakeholder.
Insurer shall also see whether any such products are available elsewhere
in other markets. If available, the general structure of such products,
the valuation requirements, market conducts and specific regulations on
such products should be disclosed.
Revival period: This is the period of two consecutive years from the
date of discontinuance of the policy, during which period the
policyholder is entitled to revive the policy which was discontinued due
to the non-payment of premium.
Charges:
a. The life insurers shall use uniform definitions for charges under all the
linked products in accordance with this regulation.
b. Except for the single premium product in all other products overall
charges, in all linked products, in an even fashion during the lock-in
period such that the:
i) premium allocation charge and policy administration charge
shall be spread evenly during first 5 years of the policy contract,
without wide fluctuations;
c. For the purpose of this Regulation, the unit fund shall be read as the
policy account, In case of variable insurance products and the charges
shall be levied to the policy account, wherever applicable.
c. Guarantee Charge:
This charge shall represent the expenses other than those covered by
premium allocation charges and the fund management expenses.
This is a charge which may be expressed as a fixed amount or a
percentage of the premium or a percentage of sum assured.
i) For unit fund, this charge is levied at the beginning of each policy
month from the unit fund by canceling units for equivalent amount.
ii) For variable insurance products, this charge is levied at the beginning
of each policy month from the policy account value.
iii) This charge could be flat throughout the policy term or vary at a pre-
determined rate, subject to an upper limit. The pre-determined rate
shall preferably be say an x% per annum, where x shall not exceed 5.
f. Switching Charge:
h. Rider charge:
This is the rider charge which is exclusive of expense loadings and levied
separately to cover the cost of rider cover. The rider charge, if any,
shall be levied by cancellation of units. This charge is levied at the
beginning of each policy month from the fund.
i) The rider charge table shall be form part of the policy document.
For unit linked products, this is a charge levied on the unit fund at the
time of part withdrawal of the fund during the contract period.
j. Miscellaneous charge:
i) This is a charge levied for any alterations within the contract, such as,
increase in sum assured, premium redirection, change in policy term etc.
The charge is expressed as a fiat amount. For unit linked products, this
shall be levied by cancellation of units.
All the charges other than premium allocation charge and mortality
charge shall have an upper limit, if any, specified in all the promotional
material and policy document.
All the charges, where upper limit is allowed, may be modified with
supporting data within the upper limits with prior clearance from the
Authority.
The maximum reduction in yield for policies from the fifth policy
anniversary shall be in accordance with the Table 5 below:
Table 5:
Number of years elapsed Maximum Reduction in Yield (Difference
since inception between Gross and Net
Yield (% p.a.))
5 4.00%
6 3.75%
7 3.50%
8 3.30%
9 3.15%
10 3.00%
11 and 12 2.75%
13 and 14 2.50%
15 and thereafter 2.25%
In the process to comply with the reduction in yield, the insurer may arrive
at specific non-negative additions, if any, to be added to the unit
fund/policy account value, as applicable, at various durations of time after
the first five years. In case of unit linked products, such specific non-
negative additions shall be called non-negative claw-back additions and
shall be filed in the file and use procedure for approval.
c. The net yield shall be calculated based on the projection of end fund on
monthly basis at a specified gross rate of return assuming the mortality and
morbidity charges as zero throughout the term of the contract and
premiums are paid as and when due.
The equation of value concerning the gross premium paid by the
policyholder and the maturity fund value shall give the effective net yield
per annum expected to be earned on the contract at the point of sale.
d) Cost of benefit is the pure premium that meets just the amount of benefits
plus reserving cost.
Answer 1
The correct option is II.
Answer 2
The correct option is II.
Answer 3
The correct option is III.
Answer 4
The correct option is III.
Both I and II are cases when insurers would insist on medical examination and
reports.
Question 1
The creation of an image of trust and good market standing by the insurer
depends upon which of the following factors?
Question 2
I. It is a regulatory requirement
II. Insurers are committed towards promoting best health practices
III. Insurers are interested in assessing the chances that the life assured will not
survive
IV. Health check-ups reduce the premium income for insurers
Question 3
For insurers who have completed 10 years since registration as an insurer, the
commission payment on premium receivable in the first year shall not exceed
________
I. 40%
II. 30%
III. 45%
IV. 35%
Question 4
Answer 1
Answer 2
The correct option is III.
Answer 4
The correct option is III.
Under limited premium payments, the number of premium payments is more
than one but limited to two or more annual premiums
A life insurance policy could offer pure protection while another variant could
offer protection as well as investment returns. In India, life insurance has been
used more for investment purposes than for protection in one’s overall financial
planning. However, the scenario is changing rapidly in favor of protection plans
because of availability of cheap online term insurance plans and increased
awareness of need for life insurance. In this chapter we will try to understand
various life insurance products offered by insurers.
There is a difference between the insured and the policy owner, although the
owner and the insured are often the same person.
For example, if Rohan buys a policy on his own life, he is both the owner and
the insured. But if Riya, his wife, buys a policy on Rohan's life, she is the owner
and he is the insured. The policy owner is the guarantor and he will be the
person to pay for the policy. The insured is a participant in the contract, but
not necessarily a party to it.
Annuity/Pension Contracts:
Learning Outcomes
Mr. Phillip is very confused about the type of insurance products available in the
market. He meets an insurance advisor to enquire about the different products.
Insurance legislation in each country defines the term “life insurance business”
(also known as long term business).
Accident insurance
Sickness or disability insurance
Health insurance
Annuity-certain and capital redemption
It also could mean ‘linked business’, which means some benefits are either
wholly or partly linked to the performance of specified investments.
It is therefore essential for the insurers to know the exact purview of the life
insurance business as per the Insurance Legislation governing the insurance
business in that country.
‘Long Term Insurance Business’, that is to say, the business of entering into or
maintaining contracts of assurance on human lives, such contracts including
contracts whereby the payment of money is assured on death or on the
happening of any contingency dependent on human life, and contracts which
are subject to payment of premium for a term dependent on human life, and
such contracts being deemed to comprise.
i. Life insurance: A protection against the loss of income that would result if
the insured passed away. The named beneficiary receives the proceeds and
is thereby safeguarded from the financial impact of the death of the
insured. These are usually referred to as traditional products.
ii. Unit Linked Contracts: Unit linked contracts have benefits that are directly
linked to the value of the underlying investments. The benefits payable
depends on the performance of the underlying assets.
iii. Inflation Linked: Inflation linked contracts have benefits which increase in
value with respect to a inflation index or a constant inflation value.
Therefore, the insurer has to comply with local laws in that country while
designing the products.
Test Yourself 1
Life Insurances
Annuities
Life insurance business can include some indemnity type contracts too with sum
upper limit, such as:
Health insurance
Accident insurance
Sickness insurance
Investment linked contracts
1. Life insurance
A life insurance product is a one which provides benefit in the event of death,
besides other benefits, if any. It can be classified into two sub-groups:
These include death benefit only, if death occurs; otherwise the product
does not offer any benefit at all. (Known as ‘Term Assurances’) These are of
two types:
Term insurance policy covers only the risk of dying. A premium is paid year
on year or as a single premium to the insurance company and in the event of
death, the insurance amount, called the Sum Assured, is paid out to the
nominees. And in case there is no death, nothing is paid, and the yearly
premium is retained by the insurance company
For example: Mr. Mohan whose age is 25 years has taken an insurance policy
with sum assured of Rs. 1,000,000 which will be payable on his death during
the period of 10 years that is if he dies between ages 25 and 35. Premium of
Rs. 7,000 per annum is payable for 10 years.
The simplest life insurance contract is the whole life insurance. The benefit
amount (sum assured) under such a contract will be paid on the
policyholder’s death to the beneficiary under the contract.
Whole life insurance contracts are plans that provide cover throughout the
life. A policy holder is given an option to pay premiums till a certain age,
post which he has an option to continue the cover till death without paying
any premium. The intention of this contract is to provide a lump sum
payment to family members in the event of death of the life assured.
Protection policies like these are designed to provide a benefit in the event
of specified event, typically a lump sum payment.
The whole life or term insurance doesn’t meet all the needs of the
policyholder as these policies do not provide survival benefits. People also
want secure future for themselves or family when they are alive. This desire
brought Endowment Insurance in the market, which are discussed below in
this chapter.
For example: Mr. Sunil whose age is 25 years has taken an insurance policy
with sum assured of Rs. 1,000,000 which will be payable on his death during
his life. Premium of Rs. 10,000 per annum is payable for 10 years.
These contracts are cheap and provide high value to family members.
Example:
Death in Policy Year: Death Benefit (Rs.)
1 100,000
2 110,000
3 120,000
4 130,000
5 140,000
6 and later 150,000
Example:
Death Benefit (Rs.) [Outstanding
Death in Policy Year:
Loan]
1 100,000
2 70,000
3 50,000
4 30,000
5 10,000
6 and later 0
i. Pure endowments
A pure endowment contract provides a sum assured at the end of the fixed
term, provided the policyholder is then alive.
Example
Mr. Sam buys a pure endowment contract for a sum assured of Rs. 100,000 with
a single premium of Rs. 90,000 for 10 years. If Sam dies at any time during the
period of contract, no benefit is payable and Rs. 90,000/- would be foregone.
On the other hand, if he survives the period of contract, he would be entitled to
receive Rs. 100,000.
Example
Mr. Mohan whose age is 25 years has taken an insurance policy with sum assured
of Rs. 1,000,000 which will be payable either on his death during 10 years or on
his survival for the period of 10 years that is if he is alive at the age of 35.
Premium of Rs. 20,000 per annum is payable for 10 years.
IC-92 ACTUARIAL ASPECTS OF PRODUCT DEVELOPMENT 87
iii. Money back insurance
There is a death benefit (full Sum Assured) during the period of contract and
survival benefits at fixed dates during the period of contract.
Example
Mr. Sam buys a money back insurance contract for a sum assured of Rs. 100,000
with a single premium of Rs. 101,000 for 15 years. If Sam dies at any time
during the period of contract, Rs. 100,000 would be payable to his nominee. But
if he survives at the end of 5 years, he would be entitled to receive Rs. 30,000,
and if he survives at the end of 10 years, he would be entitled to receive
another Rs. 30,000. If he survives at the end of 15 years, he would be entitled
to receive the balance, i.e. Rs. 40,000.
Suppose he dies in the 12th policy year, total benefit payment would be Rs.
30000 + 30000 + 100000 = 160,000.
There is death benefit during the period of contract, and a survival benefit
(which is equal to twice the amount of death benefit) at the date of
maturity.
Example
Mr. Sam buys a double endowment insurance contract for a sum assured of Rs.
100,000 with a single premium of Rs. 150,000 for 10 years. If Sam dies at any
time during the period of contract, Rs. 100,000 would be payable to his
nominee; and if he survives the period of contract, he would be entitled to
receive Rs. 200,000.
There is death benefit (which is equal to twice the amount of the survival
benefit) during the period of contract, and a survival benefit at the date of
maturity.
Mr. Sam buys a double cover endowment insurance contract for a sum assured
of Rs. 100,000 with a single premium of Rs. 96,000 for 10 years. If Sam dies at
any time during the period of contract, Rs. 200,000 would be payable to his
nominee; and if he survives the period of contract, he would be entitled to
receive Rs. 100,000.
In fact, and in practice, there would be many combinations of death benefit and
survival benefit. As a bait to policyholders, insurers would also offer ‘bonuses’
along with benefits which are payable on the happening of specified events or
every year. Such contracts are referred to as ‘With-profit contracts’, which we
will understand in detail later.
A lot more innovative product combinations can be designed using the basic
structure as discussed above.
Three more category of insurance which are relatively new and innovative
includes:
A convertible term assurance allows the insured to convert the term assurance
into another type of contracts, such as a whole life. Conversion may be allowed
on only one date, on any of several dates or at any time during the original term
assurance contract.
A particular contract may offer the renewal and conversion option, only the
renewal option or only the conversion option.
Typical critical illness insurance products refer to policies where the insurer
pays the insured a pre-determined lump sum cash payment if the policyholder is
diagnosed with a critical illness listed in the policy. However, alternative forms
of critical illness cover provide direct payment to health providers to cover the
high medical costs in treating critical illnesses such as cancer, cardiovascular
procedures and organ transplants. The maximum amount is set out in the
insurance policy and defined per episode of treatment.
These critical illness insurance products generally pay hospitals directly to avoid
policyholder’s incurring out of pocket expenses and lengthy reimbursement
processes. In most instances of this alternative to the lump sum critical illness
insurance, policyholders may decide where they will receive treatment among a
pre-selected group of hospitals.
Generally a number of diseases are listed in a policy and the benefit may be
available on a whole life or a term basis. These critical illness insurance
policies directly pay health providers for the treatment costs of critical and life-
threatening illnesses covered by the policyholder’s insurance policy, including
the fee of specialists and procedures at a select group of high-ranking hospitals
up to a certain amount per episode of treatment as set out in the policy.
For example: Mr. Ankit whose age is 30 years has taken a critical illness
assurance policy with sum assured of Rs. 200,000 for whole life. Single premium
of Rs. 40,000 is payable at inception. This sum assured will be payable if he is
diagnosed as suffering from a particular disease.
Deferred Assurances:
Deferred whole life assurance is a contract under which the death benefit (sum
assured) is payable if death occurs after some specified years in the contract.
The policyholder may pay limited, regular or single premiums up to the end of
the deferred period.
A deferred whole life assurance is useful as a means of satisfying the protection
need of the policyholder. Normally, a surrender value would also be payable.
For example: Mr. Sumit whose age is 25 years has taken an insurance policy with
sum assured of Rs. 1,000,000 which will be payable on his death, provided it
occurs after 10 years that is if he dies after age 35. 10 years is referred to as
deferred period. Premium of Rs. 10,000 per annum is payable for 10 years i.e.
during deferred period.
Table 2.1
Type of
Features
Assurance
Term Assurance
Benefit payment on death only during a specified policy term.
Pure Term E.g. On Mr. Tom’s death during the policy term of 10 years, Ms.
Assurance Sam is entitled to Rs. 100,000/-. If Mr. A dies on or after the
policy term, the insurer is not required to pay anything at all to
Ms. Sam.
Benefit payment on death only during a specified policy term
which is 24 months or less.
Temporary
Term E.g. On Mr. Tom’s death during the policy term of 12 months,
Assurance Ms. Sam is entitled to Rs. 100,000/-. If Mr. Tom dies on or after
the policy term, the insurer is not required to pay anything at all
to Ms. Sam.
Benefit payment on death only during a specified policy term,
and return of premiums paid (with or without interest) on the
date of maturity
Term
Assurance
E.g. On Mr. Tom’s death during the policy term of 10 years, Ms.
with Return
Sam is entitled for Rs. 100,000/-. If Mr. Tom dies on or after the
of Premium
policy term, the insurer is not required to pay anything at all to
Ms. Sam. If Mr. Tom survives the policy term, then he is entitled
to receive the premium paid by him. (say, Rs. 1000/-)
Increasing E.g. Policy term is 5 years; Sum Assured increases every year by
Term Rs.20000/-. If Mr. Tom dies in the first policy year, the death
Assurance benefit would be Rs. 100,000/-. If he dies in the second policy
year, the death benefit would be Rs. 120,000 etc. If he dies in
the 5th policy year, the death benefit would be Rs. 180,000/- . If
Mr. Tom dies at the end of or after the policy term, the insurer
is not required to pay anything at all to Ms. Sam.
Whole Life Assurance
On the death of Mr. Tom during the policy term of 10 years, Ms.
Endowment
Sam is entitled to Rs. 100,000/-. If Mr. Tom survives the policy
Assurance
term, he is entitled to Rs. 100000/-. [In this contract, Rs.
100,000 was assured by the insurer, so that the policyholder
would get something substantial. These contracts are the most
popular throughout the world]
‘Maturity’ means survival of the life assured on the exact date of maturity i.e.
date of expiry of contract. Discharge voucher duly signed by the life assured
would be enough for the insurer to verify the event. There are also other
events, such as ‘death due to accident’, ‘disability’, ‘sickness’, etc., which
would be defined by the insurer for application of the event. These will be
discussed later.
2. Annuities
Deferred annuity
The policyholder may pay regular or single premiums up to the end of the
deferred period. Annuity payments may be made in advance or in arrears
after the end of the deferred period.
Surrender benefit is not normally available after the end of the deferred
period but may be payable during the deferred period.
For example: Mr. Anil whose age is 60 years purchases an annuity by paying
Rs. 10,000 per annum for 5 years (deferred period). The annuity amount is
Rs. 5,000 per month. The insurance company will start paying this amount
every month after 5 years which is the deferred period, provided he is alive
after 5 years and in subsequent years.
Example
Temporary annuities
Temporary Annuity is a contract under which level payments are made until
the survival of the policyholder for a specified period in return of a single
advance payment. These are same as the immediate annuities with a limited
period rather than whole life.
For example: Mr. Mohan whose age is 55 years purchases an annuity for 10
years by paying Rs. 80,000 at inception. The annuity amount is Rs. 6,000 per
IC-92 ACTUARIAL ASPECTS OF PRODUCT DEVELOPMENT 95
month. The insurance company will pay this amount every month for 10
years, provided that he is alive during this period.
A fixed sum is paid in case of deferred annuity policies (the fixed sum
could be an absolute amount or return of premium(s) with or without
interest).
For example (Increasing life annuity): Mr. Sunil whose age is 50 years purchases
an annuity by paying Rs. 90,000 at inception. The first annuity payment is Rs.
5,000 and then subsequently increasing by Rs. 500 every month. The insurance
company will pay the increasing amount every month as long as he is alive.
For example (Increasing temporary annuity): Mr. Sunil whose age is 50 years
purchases an annuity for 10 years by paying Rs. 90,000 at inception. The first
annuity payment is Rs. 5,000 and then subsequently increasing by Rs. 500 every
month. The insurance company will pay the increasing amount every month for
10 years, provided he is alive during this period.
An Annuity policy can be for life or for a fixed number of years, whichever is
longer - it is known as annuity-certain and for life thereafter. Annuity policy can
also be on two lives (i.e. for a couple):
Where annuity is payable as long as both are alive and ceases to exist on the
death of any of the two.
Where on the death of the first person, the annuity payment would start to
the other, and it would be payable from the death of the first person till the
death of the second.
Here, annuity payments are made till the death of the second person and
the annuity payment to the second life would be x% of the annuity payment
to the first life (x% can be 100%, 75%, or 50%).
Table 2.2
Type of deferred
Features
annuities
Table 2.3
Type of immediate
Features
annuities
Immediate annuity
with ROC
Same as in #1 above, except that there would be death
[ROC: Return of
benefit which is payable on death of annuitant.
Corpus or Purchase
Price]
a) Last survivor annuity (LSA) for both, the member and his spouse for Rs.
500/- p.m.
b) Single life annuity (SLA) for the member for Rs. 500/- p.m.
As long as the member is alive, Rs. 1000/- p.m. is received (Rs. 500 from LSA
and Rs. 500 from SLA). On the member’s death, SLA would cease, and Rs. 500
would be payable to the spouse from LSA as long as the spouse is alive.
If the spouse dies before the member’s death, the member would receive Rs.
1000/- from LSA and SLA as long as he is alive, and both contracts get
terminated on his death.
Test Yourself 2
I. Deferred Assurance
II. Money Back Assurance
III. Pure Endowment Assurance
IV. Pure Term Assurance
‘Riders’ or ‘Add-ons’ are additional benefits which are optional for the
policyholder and could be attached to the main contract.
d) The option can only be cancelled at any time when the main contract is
in force
The following is the list of riders, usually offered along with the main contract:
There could be many more riders that could be attached to the main contract
to provide additional benefits.
Also Rider Sum Assured cannot exceed the Sum Assured of Basic Life Insurance
Benefit.
Test Yourself 3
1. Options
Some contracts could offer the facility of options to convert the existing policy
into a different type of policy, or to alter the terms and conditions of the
existing policy. Such options would have a limited period of offer, and the
option would be required to be exercised during this period only.
a) Convertible Term insurance plan: offers insurance cover in the first five
policy years and at the end of 5 years, the policy can be either
converted into an Endowment contract for a period of 15, 20 or 25 years
(however, the age at the expiry of the contract should not be over 65) or
into a Whole Life Assurance Plan.
b) Increase in insurance cover (for instance, from Rs. 50,000 to Rs. 75,000)
without medical examination during the period of contract.
c) Maturity proceeds could be used to buy any other plan without medical
examination or to receive the sum in 10 half-yearly installments.
e) Paid-up option (This means the policy would be made in-force for a
reduced sum assured with no further future premiums)
f) Changing the ownership of the policy (not the life assured) / nominee
l) Grace period i.e. allowing the policyholder to pay premiums late, this is
usually a policy condition; however, some insurers accept premiums
beyond the grace period with no or minimal charges.
IC-92 ACTUARIAL ASPECTS OF PRODUCT DEVELOPMENT 103
m) Free look cancellation where the policyholder is allowed to cancel the
policy within 15 days of its issuance if he/she is not satisfied with the
policy provided. Some specified charges such as medical charges, are
deducted and remaining premium is paid back.
Options can either enhance the value of the policy in monetary terms or provide
some non-monetary facilities (e.g. change in nominee, change in ownership).
2. Alterations
Insurers permit certain alterations which would not impact the financial
features of the product, while some permit alterations which could change the
main structure of the product too. These are:
c) Increase in sum assured (say, from Rs. 50,000 to Rs. 75,000), usually,
with medical examination
d) Change from whole life plan to endowment plan (these are rare, but
insurers do permit)
Alterations are not free; the insurer would collect charges for alterations from
the policyholder.
Test Yourself 4
Table 2.4
These are usually related to the sum assured and are payable in
the event of death or maturity.
Guaranteed
For instance, 2% of sum assured p.a. is guaranteed in addition if
Additions
the life assured dies in the 7th policy year, 14% of sum assured
would be payable in addition to basic sum assured, as an
additional guaranteed benefit.
Guaranteed
Amount of benefit on the date of maturity is made known
Maturity
before, fixed (usually), and guaranteed.
Benefit
There could be some other guarantees too; for instance, increasing death
benefit by a fixed amount after some specified period.
Cost of guarantee and options (if any) are loaded in the premium for traditional
products or charged separately in unit linked products. Hence, more the
guarantee expensive will be the product.
Test Yourself 5
I. Rs.1,50,000
II. Rs.1,05,000
III. Rs.50,000
IV. Rs.1,00,000
Premium of participating product is more than non participating policy for same
level of basic guaranteed benefit.
The additional premium received is usually invested in high return asset classes
to provide higher expected return to policyholder in the longer term.
Example
Mr. X buys an Endowment Assurance contract with profits for a sum assured of
Rs. 100,000 Policy term is of 20 years.
Insurer’s bonus declarations were (for this contract) per 1000 Sum Assured:
= 100,000 + 29,000
= Rs.129,000
In the above example (F1), the insurer declared a bonus @ Rs. 40 per 1000 SA
(SA: Sum Assured). This means for every 1000 SA, Rs. 40 is attached (vested).
We will not go into the details of how profits would be arrived at here, and how
profits would be distributed to different types of policies with different policy
terms. We only understand what ‘bonus’ is and how it gets ‘vested’ and
payable. Insurers may also put conditions for payment of bonus, such that the
policy must be in force for a minimum number of five policy years or the vested
bonuses could only be payable on death or maturity but not on termination of
contract etc. It is necessary to understand what we mean by a ‘with-profit’
contract.
Bonuses are usually declared annually and once added to the sum assured these
becomes guaranteed benefits. Generally with profits policies are smoothed – so
in good years some surplus is kept back to still give a positive return in bad
years. This is known as smoothing.
A reversionary bonus (or annual bonus) is paid at the end of each year, say, x%.
This does not mean that an insurance company is actually distributing cash to
the policyholders rather it is promising that an amount of sum assured paid on
death or maturity (end of the term) will be x% greater than the previous sum
assured i.e. it is used to increase the sum assured.
The terminal bonus is payable when a policy matures or on the death of the life
assured. It is sometimes referred to as the final bonus. The terminal bonus
represents the policyholder’s entitlement to a proportion of the fund that has
been held back for the purpose of smoothing or for earning higher expected
return.
The insurance company has some freedom to decide what mix of bonuses to
pay. An insurance company may decide to pay low annual bonuses and a high
terminal bonus. Such a policy will protect the insurance company from falls in
the investment markets because annual bonuses cannot be taken away once
given. This also allows the insurer to choose investments that are expected to
be more profitable in the long term.
Simple Bonus
Compound Bonus
Super Compound Bonus
Cash Bonus
Paid-up Additions
First three are the example of ways in which bonus is calculated or represented.
Last three are the different ways of payment of bonus.
Under this method, bonus is declared as x% of Sum Assured (Face Value of basic
contract) (or x% of Premiums).
For instance, SRB is 4% of SA; this means Rs. 40 per 1000 SA.
For instance, if Rs. 40 per 1000 was declared as the vested bonus for a policy
year, then the vested bonus (CRB) for the current year is Rs. 44 per 1000/- (40
x (1.10) = 44) (which is the succeeding year).
Two bonus rates are declared every year; one applying to the original sum
assured and one to the bonuses previously added.
Consider a 15-year policy with the initial sum assured of Rs. 10,000. The
methods of allocating bonus are as follows:
The sum assured at the end of year 1 and 2 in each case is:
Simple:
Compound:
Under this method, the policyholder is entitled to receive cash as bonus for a
policy year. (This is just like a cash dividend in a manufacturing company).
For instance, Rs. 100 is PA; and this is the additional sum assured which is
payable on the happening of the events specified in the contract (death or
maturity).
6. Discount in premium
This is the same as the cash bonus method, except that the policyholder would
not receive any cash, only a premium notice which stipulates premium for the
current year. If P is the due premium as per the contract, the policyholder can
pay P - A, (where A is the discount allowed by the insurer). Suppose the
premium P is Rs. 1000/-. Discount is declared in the year 10. Then the
policyholder can pay Rs. 990/- instead Rs. 1000/-, as premium for that year.
7. Other
There could be other ways, for instance, a combination and simple and
compound reversionary bonus. Bonus could be related to premiums; and a paid-
up policy is also allowed to participate in profits.
8. Future bonuses
Future bonuses are never guaranteed in advance, as they will not be known. But
a policyholder could expect that the future bonus would not be less than the
current year’s bonus. This is merely an expectation; there is no guarantee.
Premiums for participating contracts would be higher than those for non-
participating contracts; the difference is the bonus element.
b) Bonus vests only if policy has been kept in force for, say, 5 years (this
condition would not apply in case of claims by death).
c) Vested bonuses are attached to and payable along with the Sum Assured.
d) Bonus would be declared only if there are profits i.e. surplus available
for distribution after payment of taxes.
Recently, because of the tight regulations and lower profitability on unit linked
contracts, companies are shifting focus to participating contracts and non-
participating contracts.
Test Yourself 6
Traditionally, insurance contracts bear various risks which are borne by the
insurer, particularly, fluctuating interest rates, claim experience etc. Promised
benefits are fixed in advance (at the time of purchase of the contract) and are
paid on specified events (death or survival).
Unit linked contracts are now offered by insurers with savings element, for
which investment risk is borne by the purchasers of contracts. Such contracts
provide insurance benefits as well as savings benefits.
The savings benefit is linked with the market index (SENSEX) or with the
underlying value of assets. Some insurers offer assured benefits in respect of
the savings portion too, by offering some growth rate (say 5%) of the
policyholders’ savings.
In unit account, units are allocated at a specified price known as ‘Net Asset
Value’ (NAV). Portion of the premium that is allocated to unit account is
referred to as ‘allocated amount’ and the rate is ‘allocation rate’.
For instance, out of Rs. 100,000 premium p.a., in the first policy year, the
allocation rate could be 85% (that is, Rs. 85,000 is put into unit account) and in
the second and subsequent policy years, the allocation rate could be 95% or
97.5% or 98% (in some cases, it could even be 100%). The allocated amount is
used to buy x units at the prevailing unit price (NAV). So the unit account has x
units.
Rest of the money is paid into non-unit accounts and is used to meet charges
and commission. These charges meet the expenses of administration, mortality
and rider benefits, and other contingencies. The Charges in the unit linked
contracts are further explained in Pricing Chapter.
There are different funds which are offered ranging from secured funds who
only invest in secured government securities to risky high return funds investing
mostly in equities. Switching between different funds is also allowed. Some
switches are free during the year post which nominal fee is charged.
Top up premium payment is also allowed in the fund subject to condition such
as additional death benefit as specified in the regulations.
Surrenders are allowed post few years of the policy inception as per regulation.
As per current regulation this is 5 years. If policy lapses before 5 years
surrender penalty will be levied. After 5 years there is no surrender charge.
Test Yourself 7
I. Investment Benefits
II. Saving benefits
III. Both I and II
IV. None of the above
a) Insurance and annuity products satisfy the protection and investment needs
of the policyholders.
e) ‘Riders’ or ‘Add-ons’ are additional benefits which are optional for the
policyholder and could be attached to the main contract.
f) Some contracts give the facility of option to convert the existing policy into
a different type of policy, or to alter the terms and conditions of the
existing policy.
Answer 1
Answer 2
Answer 3
The option cannot be cancelled when the main contract is in force is incorrect.
The option can be cancelled only when the main contract is in force.
Answer 4
Answer 5
Rs.105000
‘t’ is number of premiums paid and ‘n’ is the number of premiums payable.
Answer 7
Both I and II
Self-Examination Questions
Question 1
Mr. Sam buys an Endowment Assurance contract with profits for a Sum assured
of Rs. 200,000/- and a policy term of 10 years.
He dies in the 5th policy year (i.e. after payment of 5 annual premiums).
Total vested bonus for 5 years is Rs.32,000/-. What is the benefit payable on his
death?
I. Rs.32,000
II. Rs.2,00,000
III. Rs.2,32,000
IV. Rs.1,68,000
Question 2
Bonus declared in the last year was 3% of SA. In the current year, it is 10% of
the amount of bonus declared in the last year. If Sum Assured (SA) is Rs 1000,
what would be the Compound Reversionary Bonus (CRB) for the current year?
I. Rs 33
II. Rs 100
III. Rs 36
IV. Rs 30
Question 4
Question 5
If Mr. Sam became permanently disabled due to an accident, which rider will
provide him additional benefits?
Answer 1
Rs.2,32,000
= Rs.2,00,000 + Rs.32,000
= Rs.2,32,000
IC-92 ACTUARIAL ASPECTS OF PRODUCT DEVELOPMENT 117
Answer 2
Rs 33
If Rs. 30 per 1000 was declared as the vested bonus for a policy year, then the
vested bonus (CRB) for the current year is Rs. 33 per 1000/- (30 x (1.10) = 33)
Answer 3
Answer 4
As long as the member is alive, Rs. 2000/- p.m. is received (Rs. 1000 from LSA
and Rs. 1000 from SLA). On the member’s death, SLA would cease, and Rs. 1000
would be payable to the spouse from LSA as long as the spouse is alive. If the
spouse dies before the member’s death, the member would receive Rs. 2000/-
from LSA and SLA as long as he is alive, and both contracts get terminated on
his death.
Answer 5
PRICING OF PRODUCTS – 2
Chapter Introduction
Learning Outcomes
Mr. Sam has bought a life insurance policy recently, from a wide choice of life
insurance products explained to him. He is wondering how all these products
were priced and what all calculations were done to price these products. He
refers to this book as told by his agent. Now, in this chapter, Mr. Sam will get
answers to all his queries.
1. Formula method
In the cash flow method, expected incomes and outflows are projected into the
future, and the best premium rate or charges or other variables are
determined. This method is best suited for complex product and where
premium is not the only desired variable.
Life table
For instance, the starting age is 15. We assume a radix of a fixed number of
lives, say 100,000 and at the end age, say 100. The number of lives would be
zero, as there would be no survivors.
Table 1.1
The above life table shows the estimated number of deaths at every age. The
table is used to determine the premium rates.
Example
An insurer wants to sell 5-year temporary assurance products to lives aged 40,
and he uses the above life table in respect of mortality experience. If we ignore
all expenses of the insurer, the pure net premiums would be determined for a
sum assured of Rs. 1000 in the following way:
Equation of Value:
Present value of Single Premium = Present Value of Benefits (we ignore rate of
discount)
If we receive single premium from each of l40 lives, the total premium receipt
should be equal to total death benefits.
The formula for SP would be = 1000 x [d40 v + d41 v2 + d42 v3+ d43 v4+ d44 v5] / l40
Where ‘v’ is 1/1.10 and the death benefit is payable at the end of policy year in
which death took place.
If we receive single premium from each of l40 lives, and earn a return of 10%
p.a. on single premium, the total premium receipt should be equal to total
death benefits.
Table 1.2
Notes:
You would observe that the money accumulated at the end of each policy year
is more than the claim amount, and in the 5th policy year, total fund is just
enough to meet the claim.
We can calculate the Annual Premium too in this contract. The present value of
annual premiums should be equal to the single premium received at the outset:
If receive annual premiums from all lives at ages 40, 41, 42, 43, and 44 the
total premium receipt should be equal to the total value of benefits payable on
death.
Test Yourself 1
In actuarial formulae, commutation functions are used which would take into
account of probability of death (survival) and discount rates. This presumes use
of a life table with single or multiple decrements.
X = Age
lx = Number of survivors at age x
dx = Number of deaths from exact age x to exact age x+1
(Mortality rates used are based on past experience and are standardized for the
purpose of determination of reliable realistic premium rates; ‘qx’ is the symbol
used to denote the probability of a life aged x would die before attaining age
x+1.)
1. Formulae are:
Obviously, total deaths in a life table must be equal to the number of lives at
the start age.
Dx = vx x lx
Cx = vx+1 x dx
Nx = Dx + Dx+1 + Dx+2 +...........
Sx = Nx + Nx+1 + Nx+2 +...........
Mx = Cx + Cx+1 + Cx+2 +...........
Rx = Mx + Mx+1 + Mx+2 +...........
Where v is 1 / (1 + i); i is the rate of interest used.
Ax = Mx / Dx ;
äx = Nx / Dx ;
ax = Nx+1 / Dx
Ax: nך = (Mx - Mx+n + Dx+n) / Dx
äx:nך = (Nx - Nx+n ) / Dx
ax: nך =(Nx+1 - Nx+n+1 ) / Dx
1
A x: nך = (Mx - Mx+n ) / Dx
1
Ax: nך = Dx+n / Dx
Is the present value of 1 payable every year to a life aged x as long the
äx life is alive (the first payment of 1 is paid at the commencement of
contract).
Is the present value of 1 payable every year to a life aged x as long the
äx:nך life is alive before age x+n (the first payment of 1 is paid at the
commencement of contract).
Is the present value of 1 payable every year to a life aged x as long the
ax life is alive (the first payment of 1 is paid at the end of year 1 from
commencement of contract)
Is the present value of 1 payable every year to a life aged x as long the
ax:nך life is alive before age x+n (the first payment of 1 is paid at the end of
year 1 from commencement of contract).
IC-92 ACTUARIAL ASPECTS OF PRODUCT DEVELOPMENT 125
3. Various types of contracts that can be entered into are as follows:
Px = Ax / äx
Suppose the premiums are payable for a limited period of n years in this
contract, then
Px = Ax / äx: nך
Suppose the premium is payable only once as lump sum at the beginning of
the contract as Single Premium in this contract, then
SP = Ax
Suppose the premium is payable only once as lump sum at the beginning of
the contract as Single Premium in this contract, then
SP = A1x: nך
Suppose the premium is payable only once as lump sum at the beginning of
the contract as Single Premium in this contract, then
SP = Ax: nך1
Where premiums (each P x:n) ךare payable every year for t years, then:
P x:n = ךAx: nך/ äx:tך
Suppose the premium is payable only once as lump sum at the beginning of
the contract as Single Premium in this contract, then
SP = Ax: nך
126 IC-92 ACTUARIAL ASPECTS OF PRODUCT DEVELOPMENT
e) Annuity contracts
Where premiums (each P x) are payable every year for t years, then:
P x = (Ax: nך1 x ax+n)/ äx:tך
Suppose the premium is payable only once as lump sum at the beginning of
the contract as Single Premium in this contract, then
Here, first part represents the survival payment at the end of n years and
second part represents annuity payments whole life after year n.
The premium is payable only once as lump sum at the beginning of the
contract as Single Premium in this contract, then
SP = ax
Note: In all the above we have ignored expenses such as commission to agents,
and insurer’s administration expenses at inception and later in the first year,
and every year during the period of contract, and settlement costs that may be
incurred to pay benefits.
4. Limitations
a) Formulae are very rigid and do not consider other risks while calculating
premium.
b) Formulae are constant for many years; various economic changes are not
considered while framing the formulae.
c) This method cannot be used to price products with diverse and complex
benefits like unit linked product. For such type of product cash flow
method is used as described below.
There are more limitations of formula method which are also the strength of
cash flow method which is discussed later in the course.
Test Yourself 2
Determine the notation that is used for the present value of 1 payable every
year to a life aged x as long the life is alive before age x+n (the first payment of
1 is paid at the end of year 1 from commencement of contract).
I. Ax: nך
II. äx
III. äx:nך
IV. ax:nך
1. Office premiums
When we load expenses in the premium calculations, such premiums are called
Office Premiums. Suppose we wish to calculate Office single premium for an
Endowment assurance product, then this is:
If sum assured is 1,
AP = Ax: n ך+ 0.40 AP + I + K Ax: n ך+ c ax: n-1 ך+(0 .01 r AP) ax: n-1ך
AP is Annual premium;
2. Commission
Every insurer would have a predetermined set of commission scales which are
paid to agents and other intermediaries.
For such a determination, the insurer might refer to legislation on insurance and
to industry practices.
Where premiums (each P x) are payable every year for n years, then:
Suppose the premium is payable only once as lump sum at the beginning of the
contract as Single Premium in this contract, then
C = 0.01 r Px
3. Initial expenses
Every insurer would incur expenses to procure business. These are fees paid to
medical examiners, fees to labs for reports, expenses for making
advertisements, expenses for underwriting and other administration costs
(preparation of policy document, issue of first premium receipt cum acceptance
letter, stationery, postage, premium notices and cost of collection of premiums,
if any, in the first year etc.), etc.
Initial expenses are broadly represented as fixed per policy expenses, premium
based or sum assured based. Since these are incurred at time of sale of policy
present value is equal to expense itself.
4. Renewal expenses
5. Claim expenses
Every insurer would incur expenses to settle claims. In case of early claims,
there would be investigation expenses to verify the genuineness of claim.
130 IC-92 ACTUARIAL ASPECTS OF PRODUCT DEVELOPMENT
In some cases, the insurer has to bear litigation costs (lawyer’s fee, court fees,
etc.).
All these expenses present value together with the desired profit present value
is also equated with premium along with cost of benefit.
General Comments
Any change in insurance legislation, or in tax laws, or in any other law, could
have effect on insurer’s expenses. In case of with profit contracts, it would be
not unreasonable to load margins for profits for shareholders.
i. Premium is assumed, say, P1, (an arbitrary figure per 1000 SA) at a given
age x, for a given policy term.
ii. Life table is assumed (as explained above) in order to know expected
premium income and expected claim amounts.
iii. A set of commission rates (usually related to premium)
iv. Initial expenses
v. Renewal Expenses
vi. Investment returns
vii. Other assumtions
f) Item (e) is calculated for a base scenario (based on the best estimates of
assumptions); an optimistic scenario (based on the most favorable
assumptions—all growth), a pessimistic scenario (based on the most
unfavorable assumptions – all adverse).
Hence, two interest rates are used, one is pricing interest rate used as
investment return on the assets and other is risk discount rate used to discount
the cashflows.
It was discussed in previous chapter on pricing that it is not only finding the
premiums as is generally understood. Pricing involves determining all of these
variables:
Premiums, guaranteed additions and bonuses – traditional products
Charges – Unit linked
Others variables, as per product design
These assets earn less than what is required by the shareholders, for example, if
assets are earning 9% per annum and risk discount rate is 12% per annum then
there is a cost of holding reserve for shareholders. This cost will be 3% return
lost as a result of holding the reserve. This cost should also be considered while
deciding the price.
Similar to the cost of reserve there is one component of cost of capital that will
be tied up because of policy being inforce. That capital will also earn lower
amount ten risk discount rate and hence will be a cost. This capital needs to
support the solvency of the company and is required as per the IRDAI
regulations. There are also investment restrictions for the investment of this
capital.
Profit Criteria:
A profit criterion is often a single figure that tries to summarize the relative
efficiency of contracts with different net cash flow streams. By applying a profit
criterion to different contracts with different profit signatures and ranking the
results in order, it may be possible to say with confidence which contract makes
most efficient use of a company’s capital.
The net cash flow stream of a contract is the sequence of net cash flows (profit)
over time from inception to termination. You would normally present it
graphically. It is also known as profit signature. This is itself is the “definitive
guide” to a product’s profitability but is unwieldy to use (especially when
comparing different products), and to present.
Discounting the profit signature at the risk discount rate produces a “net
present value”. Given a choice between the future cashflows from two different
investments, economic theory states that an investor should choose the one
with the higher net present value. This choice is optimal, and cannot be
bettered. Another way to put this is that the first priority for the managers of
any company is to maximize the net present worth of the company.
This implies that net present value is the best profit criterion to use, and that if
any other profit criterion disagrees with it a company should go with the net
present value.
One approach is to express net present values in a way that reflects the effort
that would be expended on selling a policy. One such measure is the amount of
initial commission that rewards the salesperson.
However, the market for any insurance product is finite, and any one company
can probably capture only a small share of that total market. The policyholder
measures the cost of insurance in terms of the premiums that he or she pays,
and industry trade associations often measure the size of market in terms of the
premium income of insurance companies, among other things. So another useful
measure of profit is in terms of the premium income, since this relates to the
size of the market.
The net present value can, therefore, be expressed as a percentage of the
present value of the premiums that will be paid under the policy. This is usually
This is defined as the rate of return at which the discounted value of the
cashflows is zero. All other things being equal, a company should prefer a
contract that has a higher internal rate of return. However, the internal rate of
return does not always agree with net present value.
Some of the limitations of using IRR and advantages of using NPV are:
o If there is more than one change of sign in the stream of profits in the
profit signature, the internal rate of return will not usually be unique.
o The net present value can be related to useful indicators of the policy's
worth to the company, in terms of sales effort or market share. There is
no way to do this with the internal rate of return.
o If a policy makes profits from the outset then the internal rate of return
may not even exist. The net present value always exists, however.
The discounted payback period is the policy duration at which the profits which
have emerged so far have present value zero, ie it is the time it takes for the
company to recover its initial investment with interest at the risk discount rate.
A company with limited capital might prefer to sell contracts with as short
payback periods as possible.
Decision making?
Of the three criteria examined, the net present value is the most frequently
used. Its advantages over the internal rate of return have already been
mentioned. The discounted payback period does not by itself contain much
information.
A common approach would be to use the net present value (expressed in terms
of present value of premium) as the prime criterion, and also to make reference
to the discounted payback period. Hence, for a given net present value, you
would choose the product design which had the shortest discounted payback
period. The discounted payback period is therefore more use as a criterion in
product design than in product pricing, though in practice the two things (ie
design and pricing) would very often be performed at the same time, using the
same models.
Cashflow method has the following advantages which makes this method the
best choice of industry:
3. Limitations
There is a saying in the world of finance: "Garbage in; garbage out." That is,
the data you put into a financial model must be reliable in order for the
data output to be useful. In other words, the cash flow model is only as good
as the analyst building it.
One cannot generalise the premium rates of all insurance products, which is
possible in formula method.
Test Yourself 3
Many types of expenses are taken into consideration, like initial expenses,
commission expenses, renewal expenses etc.
P = Premium
S = Sum assured
E(t)= Expense incurred in year t
d) Profit criteria used are net present value, Internal rate of return and
discounted pay back period.
e) Both methods have limitations and advantages but, cashflow method is now
mostly used.
Answer 1
Answer 2
Answer 3
Self-Examination Questions
Question 1
In life insurance product pricing, deaths are determined using a set of ________
I. Morbidity rates
II. Mortality rates
III. Combination of morbidity rates and mortality rates
IV. 50% morbidity rates and 50% mortality rates
Answer 1
In life insurance product pricing, deaths are determined using a set of mortality
rates
Group insurance products are distinct in many aspects when compared to other
insurance products. This chapter discusses the types of group insurance
products and their distinctive features.
Learning Outcomes
The company representative was asked to share his views about the company’s
success in group insurance category. He mentioned that group insurance
products are distinct in nature as they pay specific attention to the
requirements of a group of individuals and customised accordingly. He added by
saying, the need for such products stems from the fact that the common needs
of individuals can be addressed collectively by such products. These products
are also preferred by the insurers as they contribute to profitability and sales.
In this chapter we will learn about the features of group schemes and the types
of group schemes offered by insurers in the market. We will also touch upon the
pricing of group products.
a) Employer-employee groups
b) Professionals
c) Cooperatives
d) Weaker sections of society
e) Creditor – debtor group etc
A few of the key features why group insurance schemes are more advantageous
are:
Low rates of payable premium that are based upon the ages,
combinations of members, occupations and working conditions.
Simple insurability conditions such as employees not being absent from
duty owing to ill health at the commencement of the policy period.
Easy administration since a single master policy is issued to cover all the
employee members.
The most important conditions for granting a group insurance policy that matter
to the insurance corporation are a requisite minimum group size and a minimum
participation number. As long as the "group" was not formed for the purpose of
obtaining insurance, almost any kind of group qualifies for group coverage.
Group insurance plans have low premiums. Such plans are particularly beneficial
to those for whom other regular policies are a costlier proposition. Group
insurance plans extend cover to large segments of the population including
those who cannot afford individual insurance. As such the premia you need to
Insurers are able to provide relatively low-cost group coverage because of the
expense savings inherent in the operation of group insurance policies. These
savings result from the fact that the expenses an insurer incurs in administering
a group insurance policy are much lower than those incurred in administering
individual polices. Of course, the cost of administering one group insurance
policy is usually higher than the cost of administering one individual policy, but
the cost of administering one group insurance policy covering 50 people is lower
than the cost of administering 50 individual policies. For example, underwriting
and policy issue costs are generally lower for group insurance because the
insurer usually underwrites the group as a whole rather than each individual
member, and it issues a master policy rather than many individual policies. In
addition, sales costs are much lower for one group policy than for a number of
individual policies. Expenses are also lower because the group policyholder
often handles many of the clerical duties that the insurer must perform for each
individual policy.
The most common contracts are group insurance contracts under which a death
benefit is paid. Others are
iii. Savings linked insurance schemes: Where both insurance and savings
benefits are provided to members.
Many Group Schemes for the employer-employee groups are taken out by the
employers to meet their statutory and other liabilities, such as, employees'
gratuity benefits, pension benefits and benefits under EDLIS (Employees' Deposit
Linked Insurance Scheme in connection with PF).
Test Yourself 1
Which of the following can be treated as groups for the purpose of insurance
contract?
I. Options 1 and 4
II. Options 2 and 3
III. Options 1 and 2
IV. Options 3 and 4
Definition
Example
There can be any other group contract designed either by insurer or by the
group policyholder.
In an insured group contract, the contract is basically between the insurer and
group policyholder. All the terms, conditions, and rates offered by insurer are
between the insurer and the group policyholder. The insured individual member
is not a party to the contract; he is only a life assured on whose life insurance is
taken by the group policyholder. Insurer does not deal with individual members,
and he only deals with the group policyholder, legally speaking. However, under
new regulation group saving linked contract is like a collection of individual
policies under a single master policy wherein individual member can enter
their individual policy on exist from master policy or enclosure of master policy.
Test Yourself 2
The concept of insurance lies in spreading the risk. In Individual pure term
policies, the policyholder pays the premium for given sum coverage (sum
assured) and Insurer agrees to pay the sum assured in case the event happens as
per policy terms and conditions. In individual policies individual contracts
(containing the policy schedule, policy terms and conditions and other
documents) are issued. The group insurance is also not different. The
difference is that in group policies, a group of people are covered under a single
policy. This single policy is known as master policy and policy schedule and
master policy terms and conditions are not agreed with each member of the
group. Instead the master policy contract is between Insurer and master policy
holder. Thus the main attraction of group insurance is the ability to cover large
number of individuals in a cost efficient manner. Group insurance is cost
efficient because of the reasons- proportionally lower commissions to sales
intermediaries, lower acquisition expenses, by its nature pre-empts the need
for individual underwriting, makes use of a single contract with the plan sponsor
instead of having to issue individual policies to each member. In group business,
premiums are collected efficiently through payroll deductions or a single
payment from the employer. The insurance cover also has relatively simple data
requirements e.g. there are no cash values per employee and there is no need
for seriatim valuation (individual member wise valuation of liabilities).
The basic concept of group insurance is same for employer-employee group, non
employer employee group, voluntary group or group covered under Government
scheme(s). Other groups, such as multi-level sales associations, students’ group
or parents of students group, members of clubs or other organizations,
purchasers of certain items such as cars, credit cards also do exist. Post
liberalisation of insurance in India in 2000, the group insurance business has
become very complex. Following is the description for standard groups, however
fundamental remains the same for other groups.
Various Groups:
In later years the group insurance developed in India as solution provided by LIC
of India to various government schemes. Now private life insurance companies
have also joined their hands in line of LIC Of India or more options provided.
LIC of India provided group insurance solution to Act Employees deposit linked
insurance or covering outstanding loans provided by the employers to their
146 IC-92 ACTUARIAL ASPECTS OF PRODUCT DEVELOPMENT
employees or used it as a tool to offer coverage to employees’ superannuation
schemes and group gratuity schemes. In whatever form the group insurance
solution is provided, the fundamentals of group insurance remain same.
Since group insurance was adopted first for employer –employee groups. The
concepts for group insurance in following section has been explained for
employer-employee group however as mentioned earlier these concepts would
be applicable for all types of group insurance- be it creditor-debtor groups,
professional group, voluntary groups or government sponsored groups, etc.
Employer-Employee Group
The subject is vast and so all the aspects may not be explained in depth
however fundamentals have been explained which may be applied to any group
and any variation in operation of group insurance business may be explained
using the fundamentals given. Group life insurance, within certain restrictions
and conditions, provides insurance to members of a group without requiring
evidence of insurability from majority of the members. There is a single policy,
called the master policy or master contract, a contract between the insurer and
the plan sponsor. Individual group members may also be provided with
“certificates of insurance” that outline the detail of the insurance cover. Other
variation in employer employee group may be of multiple employers, however
such group do not exist in India.
Some terms associated with Group Insurance have been explained below:
Also as per the above regulations the CI rider premium cannot exceed 100% of
basic premium and 30% of basic premium for other riders.
Free Cover Limit (FCL)- One of the main defining characteristics of employer-
employee group insurance is that there is no need, up to a certain level of
cover, for individual evidence of insurability except as defined above evidence
of insurability. Free cover limit is also known as No Evidence Limit or Automatic
Acceptance Limit. There are multiple reasons to allow for this feature;
FCL helps in reduction in significant cost and is time saving feature. The
reinsurers have helped Indian market to offer very high free cover limits
however the problem associated with FCL is that it invites anti-selection and
thus careful consideration must be given in setting these limits. In theory, the
FCL could be set at the point where the cost of asking for evidence of
insurability is less than the overall increase in mortality rates.
This is difficult to determine in practice since the higher the FCL, the more
there is potential for selection against the insurer. The most significant
parameters in selecting the FCL are the number of employees that will be
covered under the life scheme and the average level of benefits among the
employees. Therefore, the insurer may try to vary the FCL by size of group and
the average benefit level amongst members of a group. Small groups will have a
lower FCL because the decision to obtain group insurance coverage, and
perhaps even the levels of coverage, may be influenced by top employees (e.g.
Directors and CEO) who may possibly be in higher age bracket and some may be
in poorer health. That is, the smaller the group, the more there is anti-
selection.
Employees who wish to avail themselves of cover above the FCL will have to
provide evidence of insurability. The insurer generally underwrite for the
amount exceeding the FCL, not the entire coverage amount including the FCL.
As such, the insurer may develop age and amount related underwriting evidence
requirements. For modest amounts above the FCL at younger ages, only a health
declaration or short questionnaire may be required; for larger amounts and for
older ages, the underwriting requirements may progressively become
comprehensive and eventually may include full medical and financial
underwriting. If a member is found to be substandard, the rating only applies to
the amount exceeding the FCL.
The advantage of participating plans however is that they help discharging the
cost of insurance, and thus may provide coverage better suited to employees’
needs. The higher sums assured to higher salaried personnel may also be
offered. Employee contributions are normally automatically deducted from
payroll.
In India salary savings schemes are also popular for employer and employee
groups however the individual contracts are issued to individual members and as
in individual cases the plan may also differ. The only difference is that
contributions are deducted monthly by the employers and remitted to the
insurance office.
One of the basic requirements is that the group should not be formed to
obtain the group insurance. In other words insurance must be incidental
to the existence of the group. This is clearly the case for employer-
employee relationships.
The determination of benefits per member should not be at the
discretion of the employer or employee. That is, there should be an
automatic basis to determine the level of coverage per employee. The
level of cover may be the same for all employees or may be a function of
employee rank (e.g. Worker, Manager, Senior management), salary,
years of employment, or a combination of these. The objective is to
avoid anti-selection by less healthy employees who would choose higher
levels of coverage given the chance to select the cover. Various scheme
designs can be discussed with employers to determine the more suitable
option. If benefits were linked to a variable, for example salary or years
of employment, an annual re-determination of the insurance cover may
be carried out.
The extra eligibility conditions may also apply such as not having been
absent from work due to sickness for more than say 3 weeks per year
during the previous 2 years (that is, the employee should have been
working the normal hours required by the employer).
Age restrictions may also apply, requiring that the employee be younger
than retirement age say 60 years and have been with employer’s service
for minimum period say at least 5 years of continuous service.
The pricing is a technical subject and better be left to the Actuaries. However
basic knowledge would be required for students of this subject that how a group
term plan comes to the fore.
Target Market,
The file and use asks to provide the results of financial projections
asking new business strain in each of projection years for next five years,
ROI (Return on investment) or profit margin giving basis to calculate
profit margin, profit test conducted, if any, the assumptions and results
for sensitivity analysis, proposal form and sales literature, policy bond*,
premium table (including rider premium tables) and certification from
Appointed Actuary and CEO & MD.
*IRDAI has in later years discontinue to submit the policy terms and
conditions to the IRDAI but again the insurers have been asked to submit
the terms and conditions of the policy to IRDA of India.
Some of replies to above questions may be Not Applicable for group term
product e.g. Bonus rate assumptions;
Though different Insurers may define different occupation classes and different
designations therein. However following table would give fair idea of different
category of people in different classes;
Occupational
Types of occupation
Class
Premium Calculations
Step 1 - Calculate the pure risk premium (expected claim cost) for the group.
This would be sum assured * expected mortality rate. The different classes
would experience different mortality rate and hence premium table would
differ by classes and by age.
Once the expected claim costs have been determined, the gross premium will
be the total expected claim cost loaded for expenses, commissions, taxes,
required risk and profit margin, and may include a discount for investment
income on reserves or cash flow.
Tax - Stamp duty need to be accounted for. This duty, currently is 20 paise per
thousand (per mille) of sum assured for most of states and is payable only at
inception of the plan and thereafter on increased sum assured. The approach
may be:
- to fully and explicitly or spread over within a reasonable period (as a separate
item) charge the amount at inception of the plan and not charge it upon
renewal;
-the other approach may be to amortize the charge over 3 to 5 years, assuming
the plan will remain with the company for that time. This helps Insurer to be
competitive. In case Insurer pays the tax, then the insurer pays the full tax in
the year of plan inception. This approach helps insurer to quote a lower rate at
the inception or renewal of the group scheme, but there is the risk associated
that the group will not renew, and thus that the unamortised charge be paid by
persisting groups. IRDAI has allowed to quote at lower price than file and use
premium rates for OYRGTA plans. Insurers may also price on an after corporate
tax basis.
Finally, a risk and profit load will be required. The risk to the company
essentially is due to mortality mis-estimation. Actual deaths are higher than
expected. Some of this risk will have been taken into account when estimating
the claims cost by adding margin for adverse deviation but not all. Expenses
also might be inappropriately priced or estimated. Groups in a loss position may
not renew with the insurer, and this forms a sort of lapse risk where the insurer
is no longer able to recover these losses. All of these risks are difficult to
quantify, but should somehow be reflected in the final rate.
It will depend in part on the amount of required solvency that is taken up by the
group business. IRDAI has prescribed required solvency margin factors which are
given in IRDA (Actuarial Report and Abstract) Regulations, 2000 and
subsequently revised (Form K). The first factor applies on mathematical reserve
and second on sum at risk. The factor for reserve is higher than factor of sum
at risk.
Group life insurance rates on an annual renewable basis are not usually
guaranteed for more than a single year. The reason being for example a two-
year rate guarantee is given and the first year of insurance has elapsed. If the
group had good experience, it could always seek a new insurer which possibly
offering lower rates. If the group had poor experience, it would remain with the
insurer at the guaranteed rate. Therefore, an appropriate loading need to be
placed on any guarantees, and this loading may vary by the nature and length of
the guarantee, the size of the group, and the risk characteristics of the group.
Rate guarantees are generally less of a concern for groups have demonstrably
stable experience and where the risk of mortality mis-estimation is small.
However this would depend how long the group scheme has been with the
Insurer or with the reinsurer with whom the insurer has reinsurance
arrangement and to which extent reinsurer is open to divulge the information
to the Insurer, since reinsurer may have more than one insurer competing for
the scheme.
When estimating claims’ costs and determining the gross premium, the actuary
may want to either (or both) reflect the past experience of a particular group or
provide the group with the benefit of good and occasionally the poor future
experience.
There are many valid reasons why participating group insurance is attractive to
both the insured group and the insurer. Among these reasons are the following:
A particular group may consider that it is obtaining better value for the
premium it is paying. That is, in the event of good experience, a portion
of the excess surplus is returned to the client. In the case of poor
experience, the client has received more than it has paid for.
The variance in claims distribution is lower for with-profit plans than for
without-profit plans having equivalent expected profitability; this would
reduce the insurer’s variations in annual profitability. IRDA of India has
issued a circular relating to profit sharing calculation given below
prescribing minimum mortality rate at which group has been priced and
minimum size. The advantages of longer review periods include the
following:
They increase the number of life-years of exposure, and thus the
credibility of the group’s experience;
They allow the insurer a better chance of discerning and
absorbing any negative trends in the developing experience;
In the absence of any rate guarantees, they allow the insurer to
revise rates if the initial underwriting had not incorporated
certain information that was either ignored or unknown before
any profit is distributed.
An example how the profit sharing may be carried out subject to regulations,
has been given below;
Example:
Premiums paid
+ Investment income (though less as reserve including rate stabilization reserve,
if any, is lower)
- Cost of conversion charge, if any
- Risk and expense charge
- Allocated claims including incurred but unpaid claims
- Change in IBNR reserve
= Year-end gain/loss,
If we subtract the Change in reserve including rate stabilization reserve would
give total year-end gain. If this figure is positive then a percentage of this year
end gain shall be year-end gain to the client.
The actuary computes the credibility of the group's own experience. And with
this exercise the file and use rate for similar groups is adjusted. The credibility
factor is denoted by Z. Which lies between 0 and 1. The formula for expected
claim cost is given by;
Premiums
The premiums are paid in advance by the group client over the year and thus
there may be some interest credit on net premium basis.
Group renewals pose specific challenges to an Insurer. The primary objective for
insurer is to retain the group on mutually acceptable terms. It is preferable to
pre-empt the scheme sponsor from seeking an open market quote by being
proactive, but of course this cannot always be avoided. The group market has
been very competitive in India and remains same. Sometime prior to the
renewal date, a representative of the insurer contacts the employer to discuss
the renewal process. It is important to obtain the employer’s views as to the
quality of the insurer’s service and to discuss/propose any modifications to the
group scheme. In fact, the group renewal process build upon the usual
procedures for quoting for a new group. The group department personnel
reviews the group policy. He or she gets a thorough knowledge of the scheme.
In this process one need to know the answer to many questions e.g. correctness
of initial information correct, usefulness of the past information, new available
information. The employer would have informed the insurer about all details
that have changed within the previous year and the insurer should ensure that it
has been notified relating to exit members from the scheme, changes in cover
for the existing scheme members, lists of new members with all relevant
information, individual employees’ health declaration where necessary or
detailed information for all claims that occurred during the previous year; etc.
The insurer need to be aware of the demographics of the scheme in addition to
occupational class, age, and gender, final participation rates; distribution of
benefit levels. It also need to take into account whether group membership has
been steady, increasing, or declining and thus ascertain how have the
demographics of the group changed? And thus the aim of insurer lastly would be
to ascertain any change in the group in previous year.
It need to analyse the exposure and claims experience of the group and the size
of the group determines the level of the depth and degree of analysis. The
larger the group, the more analysis is required to fine-tune the renewal rate. As
indicated earlier the analysis of claims experience would be inclusive of
reported but unpaid claims and IBNR claims’ reserves. The claims and exposures
The employer may anticipate upward premium revision by the insurer but not
too high in case adverse mortality experience of the group. Hence group
personnel to ponder upon whether to allow past adverse experience in a single
year or spread over a number of years in future years. The group personnel
should be very careful when quoting first time since it becomes very difficult to
convince the group sponsor that the original underwriting was based on overly
optimistic claims assumptions or marginal administrative costs. In case the
group scheme sponsor wishes to discuss changes in the design of the scheme,
e.g. profit-participation or additional benefits or changes in benefits, the
representatives of the insurers should be prepared to discuss these options and
offer their terms. In absence of this insurer might lose the scheme. The insurer
should also consider if employer has budget constraints and thus there may be
a need to introduce a voluntary plan or, if the plan is already voluntary, to
increase employee cost sharing. However this need to be kept in mind that
existing regulations allow such changes. Similarly, in existing schemes there is
demand for higher FCLs or additional rider coverage. The insurer is expected to
handle these requests. On gaining experience the insurer on their own modify
group underwriting guidelines or introduce riders. Such changes might be
brought to the knowledge of group scheme sponsor.
The renewal of scheme permits insurer to review its internal processes, e.g.
employees were properly distributed in various classes, undue prudence in
selecting the rate table, underwriting guidelines not properly applied and that
administrative procedures are efficient.
While determining the extent to which the premium rate could be reduced or
increased to reflect the new claim experience of the concerned group, which of
the following combination of factors are considered by actuaries?
I. Options 1 and 4
II. Options 1 and 2
III. Options 2 and 4
IV. Options 3 and 4
d) The main attraction of group insurance is the ability to cover large number
of individuals in a cost efficient manner.
e) FCL helps in reduction in significant cost and is time saving feature.
f) Group life insurance rates on an annual renewable basis are not usually
guaranteed for more than a single year.
g) Retrospective experience rating refers to allowing the group to participate
in the good or adverse claims’ experience it will have at the end of the
insurance term. Retrospective experience rating is carried out at the end of
the period of coverage and is often referred to as profit sharing.
h) Profit sharing is an incentive offered to group policyholders in which there
would be refund of premium in cash to group policyholder.
i) The main reason to offer prospective experience rating is to quote a more
accurate insurance premium for the group.
j) Group renewals pose specific challenges to an Insurer. The primary
objective for insurer is to retain the group on mutually acceptable terms. It
is preferable to pre-empt the scheme sponsor from seeking an open market
quote by being proactive, but of course this cannot always be avoided.
Answer 1
A trade union of taxi drivers in a city and members of a professional group can
be treated as groups for the purpose of insurance contract
Answer 2
Answer 3
Factors 2 and 3 are not relevant for the purpose of determining the increase /
decrease in premium rate.
Question 1
In which of the following type of group contracts will the additional benefit i.e.
the accumulated amount of contributions be payable?
Question 2
Which of the following is not a type of insurance contract under which a death
benefit is paid?
I. Gratuity scheme
II. Superannuation scheme
III. Group insurance contract
IV. Savings linked investment schemes
Answer 1
This is one of the features of the Group Savings Linked Insurance Contracts.
Answer 2
Savings linked insurance schemes involve payment of death benefits, not savings
linked investment schemes.
CHAPTER 7
Mortality covers health and age and has the biggest effect on premiums for
protection type of plans. While interest rates have a significant impact on how
much new policyholders pay as premium in case of saving type of products.
Persistency impact will depend upon how surrender terms are defined in the
product. Expenses usually impact premiums equally for most type of contracts.
The cost of insurance rises as people age (i.e. as they get older), but payments
are the same (level) from year to year. So, technically, you’re paying more for
insurance when you’re healthier and less as you age.
As it’s unlikely that your policy will be paid out when you’re young, those
premiums are invested mostly in fixed income products such as bonds and
mortgages.
Insurance companies invest one’s money so they’ll have enough money to pay
out when one dies, and also to make profits for their shareholders.
Learning Outcomes
Interest Rates
Mortality Rates
Persistency rates
Commission Rates
Other Expenses
The word assumption means the values which are assigned to parameters used
for pricing or valuing an insurance contract. Basis refers to a set of assumptions
used for pricing or valuing an insurance contract.
This process usually requires the actuary to make fairly long-term assumptions
for each parameter in the assumption set. In this and following few chapters we
explain how the actuary can decide on what is a suitable assumption for each
parameter. The key part of the process is the determination of what future
experience is expected. A second aspect is what other factors may need
consideration: for instance, the extent to which margins against adverse future
experience are required. What these other factors are will depend greatly on
the application, or purpose, of the basis. Here we deal with pricing aspect of
assumption setting. Since, reserving is also a part of pricing process we will
touch upon that also briefly in later chapters
The process as explained above is a general process which is modified for the
purpose for which assumptions are set.
For example, for a new company where historical data would not be available,
consultants or reinsurers can help in deriving assumptions which should be used
for pricing.
Conventional method of pricing always had single rate for investment as well as
discounting. Since, there were less computational power and hence formula
method was used. With the ever increasing speed of computational power cash
flow method of pricing has gained remarkable popularity. Now complex models
and tools are available which can project all the cash flows of the product for
all future years. As a results formula method is not used now and where it is
used it is used just as an indicator of premium to start with. Then the resultant
premium is profit tested using cashflow model and using the discount rate as
risk discount rate as discussed earlier in pricing chapters. Hence, interest rate
earned on investment will be different from risk discount rate used to discount
the cashflows to ensure a profit criterion is met. We will disuses more about risk
discount rate in the margin chapter.
Here also we will discuss about the interest rate as investment return rather
than as a discount rate.
d) More so for saving contracts this assumption plays a crucial role in deciding
the premium since, for those contracts investment income is a major
portion of overall income earned in the product. Other income such as
mortality profit is insignificant portion of saving contract.
Present value is determined using a risk discount rate suitable to the entity
(insurer).
Test Yourself 1
If interest rates fall, what would be the impact on the premium rates assuming
all other same?
Interest rate is the rate that would be earned on investments in future and also
the rate that would be earned on re-investments.
Rate of interest offered by government paper is the risk free rate of interest.
Return earned on equities is usually higher than the risk free rate of interest.
(Perhaps, the difference is on account of risk which arises in equities, where
dividend flow could be zero and shares might not be sold at the desired price.)
Test Yourself 2
a) What is the risk free rate of interest prevalent in the market (where the
insurer would earn without any problems and he is sure of earning it)?
d) What is the past experience and whether this could be used as a guide to
the future?
Factors explained
The value assigned to interest rate parameter will be affected by the extent to
which the cash flows of the product are impacted by interest rate risk. The
level and impact of interest rate risk and hence the value assigned to this
parameter will be dependent on all the factors above. They are discussed in
details below:
● Nature and term of liabilities in respect of benefits and expenses, this will
depend upon type of product:
Longer the term of the liabilities, higher will be the risk and vice versa. Nature
refers to the type of liabilities. If it is guaranteed then there is a risk of fall in
returns and hence more cautions will be required. For liabilities which are not
guaranteed assets which yield higher can be chosen. This factor will impact
directly the type of assets which will be used for investment and hence will
impact interest rate assumption.
This will depend upon country to country. In a country where equity market is
not liquid and developed, it will be too risky to invest in equities. Also, for
matching perspective suitable bonds of longer duration might not be available.
This will impact the asset chosen, level of mismatching and therefore interest
rates.
● Past experiences of rates of interest in the economy for each investment type
This past experience will affect the future yields to be earned in future and
hence interest rate assumptions.
These should be expressed as percentage and deducted from the best estimate
rates. Alternatively it can be ignored here and can be taken in projection as a
separate cashflow. Nevertheless the investment expense of different asset
classes will impact the type of assets to be purchased and therefore interest
rate assumption.
Taxation on different investment income will impact the net of tax return
earned on investment and will therefore impact the type of assets to be
invested and interest rate to be assumed. Tax is usually considered as a
separate cashflow rather than netting off from best estimate interest rate.
Tight or loose monetary policy will impact current and future interest rate
scenario. Any known changes in the monetary policy in future should also be
considered.
High inflation will increase inflation risk premium of interest rates and will
therefore lead to higher interest rates. High inflation will also lead to tight
monetary policy because of its impact on economy again leading to high interest
rates. Opposite will be true for lower interest rates. This will also impact the
type of assets to be used.
This is essentially credit risk. This is a major factor to look at risk adjusted
return. This will impact the type of asset and therefore the interest rates to be
assumed.
● The significance of the assumption for the profitability of the contract, which
will depend on the level of reserves built up and the investment guarantees
given.
Level of reserve build up will depend upon the benefits provided by the
product. A protection product say term insurance, with no maturity benefit will
have much lesser reserve than a saving product say endowment with significant
maturity benefit. Reserve for term insurance with no maturity benefit will
increase and then will fall as maturity nears while for endowment product
reserve is usually maximum near maturity. This is the case because for an
endowment product maximum funds are required at the end to pay the maturity
benefit while for term insurance very less funds are required near maturity
since maturity benefit is nil.
The extent of the investment guarantee given under the contract – this will
affect the types of assets in which the premiums from the contract will be
invested.
The more onerous the guarantee, the more cautious the life company should be
in its asset selection. This caution should then be reflected in the investment
return assumption (because the expected return will differ according to the
assets selected).
This point is also important when it comes to considering the size of the margins
required for the investment assumption. However, the first step in considering
what the investment assumption should be is to establish how important the
assumption is for the results of the modelling we are performing. If, for
example, there is very little sensitivity to the investment assumption, then the
actual value chosen for the parameter would not be critical.
Hence, the two key factors which lead to sensitivity to the investment
assumption are the size of the reserves built up (relative to the cashflow, for
example), and the investment guarantees given. The larger the reserves, the
greater the proportion of total cashflow (and profit) that arises from investment
income, and hence the greater will be the sensitivity to changes in the
investment return. The higher the investment guarantee the greater the care
needed over setting the level of the assumption.
● The extent of any reinvestment risk and the extent to which this can be
reduced by a suitable choice of assets – the less important the reinvestment risk
the less account needs to be taken of future investment yields.
Reinvestment risk refers to the uncertainty of the return which can be obtained
from investment in the future. The best estimate of the return available from
future investment may well differ from the best estimate of the return
available from investment now, and may also differ according to how far into
the future the investment is made. The overall best estimate investment
assumption will reflect the expected balance between the expected future and
current investment yields
If the real cashflow is positive over a future period, then the company will need
to buy assets. The more that such future investment is expected to occur, the
more the investment assumption should reflect the expected future investment
returns. For example in a regular premium product where the annual premiums
are received over a 30 year period it is expected that real cash flow will be
positive in the future. In that case there would be a need to buy assets at many
point in future. Those assets would yield more or less depending upon the
investment conditions at that point of time.
Of course, when you are pricing a new contract then all investment is to be
made in the future. Nevertheless you will have a much better idea of what
investment returns are likely to be at the point of sale of the contracts you are
pricing (which will take place in the near future) as compared to much later in
the terms of those contracts. The expected time between changes to the
company’s pricing basis for a contract will therefore also be important in
establishing the best estimate investment assumption to use.
● The intended investment mix for the contract, as affected by the above, the
current return on the investments within that mix and, where appropriate, the
likely future return.
This is, of course, a very important point: consider the likely mix of assets
which will back the contract in the future, investigate the returns that such
assets are yielding now (and in the past), and attempt to predict the returns
that will be obtained from the future asset mix bearing in mind the impact of
future changes to the economic environment, in particular.
The intended investment mix for the contract will not be derived from looking
at the contract in isolation, as it will be affected by the level of free assets or
capital available to the company to support writing the business. Capital is
required in writing new business because insurance contract usually have new
business strain. New business strain is excess of outflow as compared to inflows
as soon as a contract is sold. Requirement to hold reserve is also an outflow for
the policy since investment would be required for that amount. Hence, usually
because of requirement to hold higher prudent reserves there is a new business
strain.
Also, the extent of matching necessary to control the investment risk will be
less when there are more free assets, hence affecting the mix of assets used.
More the free assets more will be cushion against the bad experience and more
risky investment strategy can be supported. Where the free assets are less
matching is required to ensure that free assets are not wiped out by less than
required returns.
The estimation of likely future return requires the use of interest rate models
and equity pricing models. Complex stochastic models are also used to ensure
precise estimation for interest sensitive products. A very simple approach which
can be taken as a starting point is explained in the next section using a simple
example.
Test Yourself 3
ABC is an insurance company in India working for last 10 years. It has number of
products ranging from traditional non participating, traditional participating and
unit linked plans. Based on the recent regulatory changes and stock market
performance a need is felt to launch a product with higher guarantees on
maturity and death in the traditional non participating plat form. Product
committee has asked the actuarial department to work on the required product.
It is decided that product will have a design where guarantees would keep on
adding year after year starting from 6th policy anniversary. To keep the risk
lower this product would be offered in a limited premium payment term. The
product should have higher guarantees to have an edge over the guaranteed
products as available in the market.
Investment department is of the view that these asset classes would earn the
following returns on a 7-10 year time horizon. This time horizon is consistent
with the premium payment term.
Since, the product will have significant guarantees it has been decided to invest
major potion in bonds with small exposure to equities to provide higher returns.
Also to have some liquidity for withdrawing or claim policies a small portion
would be invested in recurring deposits. Investment mix expected for the
product as decided in discussion with investment team is given below:
Best estimate rate in this case is 7.4%. This would be further reduced by
margins to ensure extra cushion for the company. Margins are discussed later in
the course.
The method use above is a very simple method. In practice much complex
methods are applied. The decision on both estimation of expected returns of
asset classes and investment mix are done after brain storming various
sensitivities generated through complex projection models. There are factors
such as competitiveness of the premiums which might force company to change
this assumption.
This refers to earning less or more return then expected while pricing the
product. This could lead to huge losses if product is interest rate sensitive.
Interest rate risk is an important concern for life insurance firms. Insurers issue
products for which the amount and timings of benefits payment are unknown at
time of policy issuance because of future uncertainty and invest the premiums
to maximize the return. The asset cash flow is composed of investment income
and principal repayments while the liability cash flow in any future time is
defined as the sum of the policy claims, policy surrenders and expenses minus
the premium income expected to occur in that time period.
When interest rates fall as the net cash flows are positive, the net flows will
have to be reinvested at rates lower than the initial rates. The reinvestment
risk emerges. On the other hand, negative net cash flows mean shortages of
cash needed to meet liability obligations. A cash shortage requires the
liquidation of assets or borrowing. If interest rates rise when the net cash flows
are negative, capital losses can occur as a result of liquidation of bonds and
other fixed-income securities whose values have fallen. And the price risk
occurs.
In developed economies where interest rate is too low, Insurers realize that
high fixed interest products are too costly to issue but low fixed-interest rate
products won’t be attractive to potential buyers. With the sale pressure,
insurance companies start to issue unit-linked products as well as interest
sensitive products to attract buyers.
Disintermediation Risk
This is the risk that a policy owner will withdraw funds that are locked in at a
low rate to instead invest at a higher new money rate. In developed economies,
during the high interest rate days of the late ’70s and early ’80s, many clients
with old whole life policies and guaranteed low loan rates borrowed the
maximum loans and invested the monies in higher yielding money market
accounts.
The importance of interest rate risk to life insurance firms can be summarized
as
3) for insurers whose duration of assets exceeds that of their liabilities, rising
interest rates erode the value of surplus, leading to increased leverage and
a greater probability of ruin;
4) for insurers whose duration of assets is less than that of their liabilities,
falling interest rates erode the value of surplus, leading to increased
leverage and a greater probability of ruin;
Duration and convexity, has long been developed to manage traditional life
products such as fixed interest rate whole life or term life products. Further
Duration is the weighted average duration of any asset or liability where the
weights are present value of cash flows of those assets and liabilities. Duration
represents the rate of change of value of asset or liability with the change in
interest rate. Convexity is the rate of change of duration with the change in
interest rate.
a) Life insurance premiums are calculated based mainly on five factors, namely
mortality, persistency, interest rates, expenses and commission.
c) Interest rate assumption is very important for product with more saving
element or more guarantees.
Answer 1
Life insurers invest premiums in the bond market and when interest rates fall,
the amount available to pay benefits declines - premiums rise to compensate.
Answer 2
Factors that would be considered while estimating interest rates include past
experiences of rates of interest in the economy for each type of investment,
investment charges that would be incurred, trends of inflation
Answer 3
Question 1
I. Mortality rate
II. Interest rates
III. Corporate expenses
IV. All of the above
Question 2
In which of the following products would the policyholders expect the highest
returns?
I. With profit contracts
II. Without profit contracts
III. Both of the above
IV. None of the above
Answer 1
Life insurance premiums are calculated based on mortality rates, interest rates,
corporate expenses etc.
Answer 2
In with profit contracts, the investment should provide higher returns to meet
the expectations of policyholders, such as in the case of equity or property,
where capital appreciation is possible.
Mortality rate is typically expressed in units of deaths per 1000 individuals per
year - thus, a mortality rate of 9.5 (out of 1000) in a population of 1,000 would
mean 9.5 deaths per year in that entire population.
Mortality rate is distinct from morbidity rate, which refers to the number of
individuals in poor health during a given time period (the prevalence rate) or
the number of newly appearing cases of a disease per unit of time (incidence
rate).
Learning Outcomes
Mr. Sam asks his insurance agent how the insurance company decides on the
amount of premium to be charged.
The agent tells him that one of the important factors used to decide premium is
mortality or morbidity rates. Now Mr. Sam is confused as to what these rates
are and how they are calculated.
Example
An insurance company sells 1000 policies and expects 2 claims. The amount of 2
claims is Rs. 100,000/-. The company has to use this amount for deciding the
premium rates. It is obvious from this that if the period of cover is one year, the
insurer should have Rs. 100,000/- from 1000 policies to meet these claims, so
that the total income is equal to total outgo. Suppose the insurer thinks there
would be 10 claims, then the premium the company has to charge from
policyholders would be high.
So the higher the expected claim experience, the higher is the premium. This is
similar in the case of morbidity.
However, in some of the products benefit is only payable if there is any health
problem not leading to death, such as some stand alone critical illness products.
In these types of products there is a survival period after the onset of critical
illness, which has to pass to become eligible for claim. In these types of policies
higher mortality rate would mean lower benefit and therefore lower premium.
For annuity plans also since benefit is payable on survival, higher mortality
means lower benefit and therefore lower premium.
An insurance company sells 1000 policies and it expects 5 claims. The total
amount of claims is Rs. 2,50,000/-. If the period of cover is one year and if the
company wants its total income to be equal to the total outgo, what premium
should the company charge from each of those 1000 policyholders?
I. Rs.250/-
II. Rs.500/-
III. Rs.100/-
IV. Rs.2500/-
Mortality and morbidity rate is used to find the expected number of events of
claims. This is related to the rate that would be expected in the number of
claims in future. That would also be based on past experience and
improvements that would have taken place at present.
Definition
Morbidity rate refers to the number of individuals in poor health during a given
time period (the prevalence rate) or the number of newly appearing cases of a
disease per unit of time (incidence rate).
Definition
Rate of mortality used by insurers would also depend upon the selection of lives
to be insured by the insurer. A strict medical underwriting process would ensure
better mortality experience. Rate of mortality used would also depend upon
what classes of lives are going to be targeted by insurers:
Life table below shows the death rates and also the number of survivors at each
age. Such tables are constructed to estimate the premium rates.
c) the underwriting controls applied (or not applied) and associated costs
Test Yourself 2
I. Life table
II. Underwriting expenses
III. Classes of individuals
IV. Color of skin
If things fail and do not work out properly, it would be the shareholders who
have to bear the burden of meeting expenses and claims.
3. What is the past experience and could this be used as a guide to the future?
Factors Explained:
The values assigned to mortality or morbidity rates should reflect the expected
future experience of the lives who will take out the contract being priced. The
importance placed to this parameter would be dependent on the extent of
mortality or morbidity risk of the product.
The target market for the contract: – for example, is it rural or urban
population? The target market would be dependent on the distribution
channel involved or vice versa. For instance, if distribution channel is
bank then it is expected that people targeted would be financially
affluent people with aces to medical facilities. In that case better
mortality experience is expected. While if distribution channel is a
broker in rural area, mortality experience is expected to be bad because
of rural target population having less access to medical facilities.
Underwriting controls are also dependent upon the type of product. Unit
linked product with death benefit of maximum of sum assured and fund
value will have low and reducing sum at risk with time, thus requiring
lower underwriting controls. At the same time a term insurance contract
with benefit payable only on death would need very strict underwriting
because of high sum assured per rupee of premium.
The expected change in the experience overtime: that is since the time
of the last historical investigation to the point in time at which the
assumption will on average apply (typically you would be looking about
ten to fifteen years into the future).
Even a company with a very large body of suitable experience would probably
not construct its own tables, but would use the mortality data to adjust a
standard table. This is both to save resources, and to protect against the errors
which might easily arise with an inappropriate smoothing (especially for ages
where there is little data)
The data would relate to an appropriate period of years, such that the volume
of data is adequate but at the same time a very old data not relevant today
should be avoided.
There is a conflict here between the desire to have a large pool of data, and a
requirement not to look at significantly different generations of lives. A
“generation” in this context could be just five or ten years. If the data include
lives who enjoy different mortality because of different generations then the
mortality implied by the data may be misleading. This will be so if differently
aged lives have seen different mortality improvements from one generation to
the next. So mortality investigations are normally based on three or four years
of data.
The analysis would classify the data into similar groups to maintain the quality
of analysis. For example male and female or smoker and non smoker might be
separated because of different mortality experience.
It can be argued that the class of lives concerned is almost always going to have
a different experience from that underlying the data, just due to the influence
of time.
Other consideration:
Consideration should be paid to the expected changes in rates over time. This is
a particular issue for annuities where increased longevity is a risk.
Similarly, for contracts that pay significant death benefits such as term
contracts, any expectation of increasing mortality (eg due to AIDS or deadly
viruses) should be included in the basis. If this estimation is not done and
adequate allowance is not made, mortality rates can lead to under pricing.
However, for some contacts future expected mortality changes can be ignored
where mortality risk is insignificant financially, such as unit linked saving
contracts.
For all the above discussion, we assume the “ideal case” of an actuary having
complete freedom to decide on the most appropriate assumption. However, it
will often be the case that the regulatory authorities will constrain, perhaps
severely, this choice in a pricing context. There are competitive considerations
also which can impact the mortality rates used for calculating premium or
mortality charges.
Test Yourself 3
Here we will look at the first step of assumptions setting process of analyzing
the past experience.
This experience can also be monitored for already priced and launched product
to see the financial impact of any divergence.
o profitable products
o profitable sales channels or agents
o profitable markets
o efficient sections of the business
o successful investment strategies.
Consistent refers to data of similar form, from similar source, grouped based of
same criteria and same in terms of reliability.
- For one analysis age is date last birthday and for another it is age
nearest birth day
Grouping of data:
Once the appropriate and relevant data is available, it should then be divided
into similar groups based of similar risk characteristics. These groups should be
reasonably homogenous.
These groups should remain stable over time. Otherwise, this grouping itself
may result into change in mortality experience within groups (just because of
grouping mix change), leading to wrong conclusion that experience has
changed. For example, if two groups having different source of business is
combined, experience can change because of different population now. It
should not be inferred as actual change in experience.
Period of data:
One of the key decisions in conducting any investigation is the time period to be
analyzed. In order to have reasonably sized data, interval as long as possible is
desired, and normally greater than, say, one year. However, we want to
investigate recent experience, not an average of recent and ancient; so this will
place an upper limit on the time interval. This upper limit will depend on what
we are investigating; for instance an expense investigation would normally be
confined to twelve months, whereas mortality investigations would often be
based on a three or four year span.
We will now discuss about the experience analysis for mortality or morbidity.
1. collection of data,
2. grouping of data,
3. calculation of expected experience and
4. calculation of actual experience.
1. Collection of data:
Period should not be too large or too small. The time interval needs to
be large enough to ensure that there is a sizeable amount of data, and
that seasonal influences do not affect the data. For instance a study of
annuitants’ mortality over a hard winter would give rather misleading
results.
Best source would be the actual policy data maintained in the policy
administration system. Data should be checked properly with other
sources such as data if kept separately by any other department.
The data (both actual claims and expected claims) would ideally be
analyzed, where relevant, by
- type of contract
- age
- sex
- Region: rural, urban etc
- duration from entry
- distribution channel
- Occupation
- Level of underwriting
- smoker / non-smoker status
- medical / non-medical status
- Sum assured bands: high vs low
This is done for both number of claims and amount of claims separately.
Credibility analysis:
It was discussed earlier that company adjust standard table rates depending
upon its own experience and its own estimation of future conditions. This
adjustment along with the name of standard table is what is referred to as
mortality or morbidity assumption in practice. For example, it is represented as
90% of LIC 2006 – 08 mortality tables.
This adjustment factor is a mix of own experience and its own estimation of
future conditions. Own experience is “Actual vs Expected” as calculated above.
Own estimation will depend upon lot of factors as discussed earlier in this
chapter.
So, with Z at 100% adjustment factor will be equal to actual experience. And
with Z at 0%, adjustment factor will constitute of only estimated experience
XYZ is an insurance company in India working for last 10 years. It has number of
products ranging from traditional non participating (including term), traditional
participating and unit linked plans. Board of directors in their meeting has
asked the chief actuary to conduct a review of the pricing assumptions to
ensure that these are appropriate. This will also be helpful for all new products
to be priced in coming year. These results are required quickly so there is no
time for policy by policy calculation. Grouping which can be considered is broad
product types.
Based on this data actuary has looked up the mortality rate from as standard
table and calculated expected number of deaths:
Apart from this actuary has also calculated estimated experience using factors
such as target market, underwriting industry data etc, which comes out to be
90% of standard table for non term business and 70% of standard table for term
business.
Based on above information the adjustment factors for all product types are
calculated as shown in table below:
It should be noted here that the example which we have considered is very
simple to explain the basic concept. In practice much more complex method is
applied with calculation done policy by policy using a lot more groups.
Reinsurer’s knowledge is also very useful for this estimation when the company
has less experience in these issues.
Mortality risk refers to the risk of actual experience being different from what
was assumed in pricing and the financial significance of that a variance.
- “model” risk that the model, used to estimate future mortality, etc,
may not be appropriate or may contain errors;
- “parameter” risk that the parameters used with the model may not
adequately reflect the future experience of the class of lives insured or
to be insured, even though the underlying model may be appropriate.
For example, mix of healthy vs non healthy life used in model may be
incorrect.
- “random fluctuations” risk that the actual future experience may not
correspond with the model and parameters adopted, even though these
adequately reflect the class of lives insured or to be insured
The risk here is that mortality or morbidity turns out to be more adverse than
assumed in the models we have used for decision-making. The three types of
risk listed above help us to understand the various ways in which the risk can
arise. This in turn can help us to devise suitable means of controlling the risk. In
other words, if we know the risk then only we can control it.
Parameter risk can arise from incorrect or inadequate data also, if that data is
used to derive the parameters. Hence, data risk gives rise to parameter risk in
that case.
Even if the past data is good, the possibility of new diseases or sudden advances
in medical treatments can never be ruled out. In other words, there will always
be this risk of uncertain future.
The “random fluctuations” risk is most likely to arise if the data is not large
enough for the “law of large numbers” to apply and to be statistically
significant. Smaller the data larger will be fluctuation. For example of there
208 IC-92 ACTUARIAL ASPECTS OF PRODUCT DEVELOPMENT
are just 100 policies, few deaths may look like a worsening experience in
percentage terms, even if it is not likely to be sustainable.
This will be mainly dependent on the benefit structure and product design. The
larger the death benefit as a percentage total benefit paid; larger will be the
financial impact of this risk. This will also be dependent on the guarantees on
death embedded in a product.
Pure term insurance where the benefit is only payable on death will have
maximum financial impact. This is because the death benefit is the only benefit
payable so will be impacted by this risk.
Having said all that, in an established market there is likely to be good data on
which to base assumptions. Also, population mortality has been reasonably
stable, or at least subject to steady trends, in developed countries. So there
should be low model and parameter risk.
Even so, the possibility of a new disease represents a risk that is difficult to
quantify.
Controlling risk:
Underwriting and reinsurance are the most important ways of controlling this
risk. Other ways are to ensure that appropriate data and model is used and is
completely validated before use.
Underwriting:
Financial underwriting makes sure that person will be able to afford the policy
financially. It also helps in detection of fraud where a person who is aware
about his health goes for life policy much beyond his/her financial capacity.
Reinsurance:
There is usually a credit risk of default or non timely payment associated with
reinsurance, which is considered while deciding the terms and conditions of
reinsurance.
d) Most important factors which are important in choosing a rate are mortality
or morbidity risk, target market, underwriting, liability profile and past
experience.
f) Company adjusts standard table rates depending upon its own experience
and its own estimation of future conditions.
h) Data used for experience studies should be appropriate and correct and
should be grouped based on relevance.
Answer 1
Answer 2
Color of skin does not affect the premium. All other mentioned factors help us
to determine the rates of premium.
Answer 3
Question 1
Poor health raises the rates for life insurance because ________
Question 2
I. Census rate
II. Past rates of mortality in the economy
III. Birth rate
IV. Reinsurers’ rates
Answer 1
As there is a risk of dying during the policy period due to poor health, the
company is required to pay the claim early, and it also decreases the number of
years one is likely to pay premiums.
Answer 2
Chapter Introduction
Withdrawal is a policy option and excludes exits such as death and maturities.
It takes into account voluntary lapse or surrenders, partial withdrawal from the
unit fund, making the policy paid up with reduced benefits etc.
Learning Outcomes
Mr. Yank asks his insurance agent about the term “persistency” and what its
role in deciding the premium should be.
The agent tells him that one of the important factors used to decide premium is
withdrawal rate which is opposite of persistency. Now Mr. Sam is confused as to
what these rates are and how they are calculated.
Withdrawal rates are used for deriving the premium that should be paid for a
particular product.
Withdrawal rates impact profits and therefore the premium to be charged for the
product.
Asset share of the policy is the amount accumulated for the policy till date.
Amount of profit earned on the contract is excess of asset share over the
surrender value at the time of withdrawal. But this policy will not give any profits in
the future, which it would have been given had it not been withdrawn.
If the actual profit is less than the total profit without withdrawal assumption
(expected profit), then this will lead to negative impact on intended profit margin.
Conversely, if withdrawal terms are such that it recoups all the profit to be earned
in future for the policy and still give some more profit then the withdrawal rates will
increase the profit margin.
In the 1st scenario, profit earned by contract at withdrawal is Rs. 3,000, which is
calculated as asset share minus surrender value. Because of the withdrawal,
company will be losing Rs. 2,000 as future profits from this policy. The expected
profit from this policy, had it continued from inception till end, would have been
Rs. 5000. This profit is calculated by taking withdrawal rates assumption as zero.
Hence, in this case impact of withdrawal on profit is the reduction of Rs. 2,000,
which is expected profit minus actual profits (5000 minus 3000).
In the 2nd scenario, profit earned by contract at withdrawal is Rs. 5,000, which is
calculated as asset share minus surrender value. Future profits lost and expected
profit is same as scenario 1. In this scenario, the surrender terms are such that it
is able to recoup the profit lost in future as well. Hence, in this case impact of
withdrawal on profit is the NIL, which is expected profit minus actual profits (5000
minus 5000).
The excess of asset share over surrender value will be dependent on the duration
of withdrawal and the actual asset share earned during that time point. Both asset
share and surrender value increase with time.
However, any withdrawal terms have to follow the regulations and regulations in
India provide specific guidelines on how to frame the withdrawal terms. Any terms
which seems unfair to the policyholder will not be approved. Hence, it is most
likely that in Indian scenario withdrawal leads to a negative impact on intended
profit margin.
Test Yourself 1
If actual profits from withdrawal are more than the expected profit without
withdrawals, then this policy will impact profit…..
I. Negatively
II. Positively
III. No impact
IV. Any impact is possible
Withdrawal rate is used to find the expected number withdrawals from the
policies inforce at the start of the month or year. This is related to the rate that
would be expected in future. That would also be based on past experience and
change in conditions that would have taken place at present.
Definition
Withdrawal rate refers to the probability that a policyholder not pays the
premium or withdraws from the policy fully or partially willingly before the
maturity date.
We start from 100 annual premium policies that have paid the 1st year premium.
20% policies from 100 policies, that is 20, will not pay 2nd premium due in 13th
month. Out of remaining 80 policies, 10%, that is 8, will not pay next premium
due in 25th month. Then out of remaining, 72 policies, 5% that is 3.6 policies,
will not pay 4th premium due in 37th month and so on.
The policies are in fractions because these work like probabilities and are
applied to each single policy in fractions only.
The example given above is the example of lapse rates where policyholder waits
till the time premium is due and then do not pay the premium.
Same concept applies to surrender rates also, where the policy can be
surrendered at any point of time in between the premium payment terms also.
Usually for few initial years surrender is not allowed, after which policyholder
can come any day and surrender the policy in return for surrender value.
Accordingly, surrender rates are applicable for full year rather than at any
specific month. In this case for modeling purpose it is assumed that a small
portion will surrender every month with effect being given for seasonality for
any higher surrender in a particular month (for example in month when
premium is due).
a) Withdrawal risk
c) Type of product
d) Premium frequency
e) Size of premium
j) Rural vs urban:
Test Yourself 2
I. Life table
II. Underwriting expenses
III. Financial knowledge of the client
IV. Color of skin
If things fail and do not work out properly, it would be the shareholders who
have to bear the burden of meeting expenses and claims.
1. What is the best estimate rate of withdrawal prevalent in the market where
the insurer operates?
2. What is the estimated future condition that will impact the withdrawal
rates?
3. What is the past experience and could this be used as a guide to the future?
Factors Explained:
The withdrawal rate assumptions should reflect the expected future experience
in respect of the contracts that will be taken out.
Ideally, this should relate to the contract being priced, but if no such
experience exists or the available data are inadequate, then the experience
under any similar contracts would be analyzed.
If the company does not itself have adequate data, there may be industry wide
experience that it could use.
If the rates are to apply to a class of lives that is expected to have a different
experience from that to which the analyzed data relates, then adjustments may
ne ed to be made.
This situation could arise due to a change in the benefits being offered or target
market or distribution channel.
Type of product:
Premium frequency:
Size of premium:
The results of each analysis should be assessed to see if they have been
affected by special factors such as an adverse economic situation in the
country. Withdrawal rates are dependent on the state of economy. Any
deterioration in the economic condition is most likely to increase the
withdrawal rates but it is dependent on the type of contract.
● whether people can still afford to keep the policy going, and
IC-92 ACTUARIAL ASPECTS OF PRODUCT DEVELOPMENT 221
● whether they would get any cash from surrendering the policy.
The premiums are fairly low so there should be very few policyholders
who now find themselves unable to continue paying premiums.
Need based selling vs forced selling: The sales practice may be different:
for example, where clients have been put under more sales pressure to
buy a policy, or to take a larger policy, then withdrawal rates are likely
to be higher than where sales have been more strictly based on need.
Target market
Financial knowledge
Rural vs urban:
Longer term policies usually have high withdrawal rates when compared
to short term policies because there is more opportunity to withdraw for
the former.
1. collection of data,
2. grouping of data, and
3. calculation of persistency and withdrawal rates.
1. Collection of data:
Period should not be too large or too small. The time interval needs to
be large enough to ensure that there is a sizeable amount of data, and
that abnormal influences do not affect the data. For example,
withdrawal rates increased significantly during the financial crisis of year
2008.
Best source would be the actual policy data maintained in the policy
administration system. Data should be checked properly with other
sources such as data if kept separately by any other department.
2. Grouping of data:
The data (both actual infore and expected inforce ) would ideally be
analyzed, where relevant, by
- type of contract –;
IC-92 ACTUARIAL ASPECTS OF PRODUCT DEVELOPMENT 225
- duration in force – withdrawal rates are generally higher near the
start of a contract;
- sales method used and target market –
- frequency and size of premium –;
- premium payment method –
- original term of contract;
Note that these are the factors by which withdrawal experience could be
analyzed. In practice, often only the first three factors will be
considered, in order not to end up with statistically insignificant data.
This is done for both count of policies and amount premium separately.
As the results are examined, it will be clear that for some groups there is
little difference (for instance the difference in withdrawal rates for
policies of duration eight years compared with those of duration nine
years), and intuitively a difference would not be expected. For some
groups the differences emerging might seem to be statistically weird
because of small data. As a result of these considerations, the actuary
would regroup the data and recalculate withdrawal rates for these
broader groups.
Along with the past experience, expected future experience also is also
estimated based on the industry data and factors above.
ABC is an insurance company in India working for last 10 years. It has number of
products ranging from traditional non participating (including term), traditional
participating and unit linked plans. Board of directors in their meeting has
asked the chief actuary to conduct a review of the persistency assumptions used
in pricing to ensure that these are appropriate. This will also be helpful for all
new products to be priced in coming year. These results are required quickly so
they are interested only in 13th month persistency. Grouping which can be
considered is broad product types.
The difference between 1st and 2nd column above is because of death as also
lapses and surrender during the previous year after the policies are issued.
Number of policies inforce at the end of the year having paid the premium
excludes any new business or revival during the year. Hence, it is remaining
policies from the policies inforce at the start.
Based on this data actuary needs to calculate exposure and actual for 13th
month persistency.
Exposure will be number of policies inforce at the start of this year excluding
from it the deaths happened during the year before premium payment.
Actual will be actual policies inforce during the year having paid the premium at
13th month out of policies inforce at start.
Actuary has also done the credibility analysis and has calculated 80% credibility
for traditional term and endowment and 90% credibility for Unit linked and
participating business.
Apart from this actuary has also calculated estimated 13th month withdrawal
rate using factors such as target market, industry data etc, which comes out to
be 30% for non linked business and 10% for the linked business.
Based on above information the withdrawal rate assumption for all product
types are calculated as shown in table below:
It should be noted here that the example which we have considered is very
simple to explain the basic concept. In practice much more complex method is
applied with calculation done policy by policy using a lot more groups.
Consultant’s knowledge is also very useful for this estimation when the company
has less experience in these issues.
Withdrawal risk refers to the risk of actual experience being different from
what was assumed in pricing and the financial significance of that a variance.
For estimating withdrawal rates to use, models are used which are linked to
future scenarios of investment return. There is a risk that this model might not
be appropriate and gives inconsistent results. This will be model risk associated
with withdrawal model.
If the data is not large enough, there can be random fluctuations risk affecting
withdrawals.
Similarly, future per policy expense to be used in the model will be dependent
on the number of policies remaining. Hence, if withdrawal assumption is wrong,
expense per policy will also be wrong. Higher than expected withdrawals mean
that fixed costs have to be spread over fewer policies. This may produce higher
per-policy expenses than the company had allowed for in its pricing.
This will also impact the level of charges that company is expecting to receive
in unit linked contracts since some charges are linked to total number of
policies.
This will be mainly dependent on the benefit structure and product design. As
discussed earlier also, this will be dependent on the respective values of asset
share and surrender value.
d) Profit will depend upon the asset share vs. surrender value at the time of
withdrawal.
i) Withdrawal risk refers to the risk of actual experience being different from
what was assumed in pricing and the financial significance of that a
variance.
Answer 1
Actual profit more than expected profits will impact profits positively.
Answer 2
Self-Examination Questions
Question 1
I. True
II. False
Question 2
I. Mortality rate
II. Per policy expense
III. Profit of the company
IV. None
Answer 1
The correct answer is II.
Credibility analysis is used to derive mortality assumption. Hence, statement is
false
Answer 2
“None” is the correct answer. All choices are dependent on withdrawal rates.
Learning Outcomes
i. Interest Rate
ii. Mortality Rate
iii. Withdrawal rate
iv. Commission Rate
v. Expenses
A major portion of 1st year premium goes into initial commission. Hence, the
commission rate set for the product impact significantly the premium to be
charged.
Depending upon the channel, there are maximum limit on the commission to be
for the product. These limits are for the protection of customer to ensure
premium charged is reasonable.
It is always said that insurance is never bought and is always sold. This is
because of the choices available to customers to invest in other competitive
investments such as mutual funds, banks etc. Insurance is not the preferred way
of saving money.
Further, the insurance products are not simple to understand when compared to
simple products like fixed deposits.
All of the above means that for doing business company needs someone who can
bridge the gap between customer and company. This gap is filled by distribution
channels. Distribution channels can be classified as under:
Agents: They have the license of the company to sell their products.
They represent company but are not their employees. They receive
commission from the company for the business they do. These are
individuals or corporate. In case of corporate, they are known as
corporate agents.
Brokers: They can sell more than one insurance products and represents
customers. They are paid by customers as advice fee or charge from
insurance company as well.
Hence, commission is given to every distributor, agent for instance, for the
distribution he/she does on behalf of the insurer.
Test Yourself 1
In which of the following ways can an insurance agent receive his commission?
I. Costly gifts
II. Sponsored trips
III. Gift vouchers
IV. All of the above
a) Nature and the terms of payment of premium of various products i.e. the
product design.
g) Claw-back terms
h) Persistency target
Usually, the first year commission would be higher than the rest, approximately
ranging from 30% - 35%. This is known as initial commission. Renewal
commission (2nd year onwards) would generally be lower; for instance, in the
second year 7.5%, in the third policy year @ 5% and so on. Commission is
expressed as a percentage of premiums.
Distributor has to thus incur expenses for providing the above services; and
since the policyholder does not pay directly, the insurer has to pay way of
commission.
Test Yourself 2
Which of the following is not a factor that is used to arrive at the commission
rate?
I. Financial status of the customer
II. Regulations
III. Commission rates of competitors
IV. Product design
It is imperative for the insurance companies to make the best possible estimates
of commission rates.
Thus, an actuary has to take into account numerous factors and then arrive at
the scales of commission rates payable to the insurance distributors.
The pros and cons of each and every factor as discussed above would be looked
at by the actuary to decide the scale of commission. The factors are detailed
below:
a) Nature and the terms of payment of premium of various products i.e. the
product design
Rates are also dependent upon if the contract is a long term contract or a
short term contract. Usually higher commissions are paid if the contract
is a long term contract.
Higher the commission rate higher will be the level of premium. Higher
level of premium will not be liked by prospective policyholders who will
shift to other companies. However, higher commission will be liked by
distributors who can bring more business. Overall impact will depend
upon the financial knowledge of the customers and the ability of
distributors to sell even the expensive product.
In the long term, lower commission, lower premium and higher sales is
usually beneficial for all the stakeholders.
Company wants to bring new customers but not at the expense of losing
current policyholders. If the existing policyholders has paid inbuilt higher
commission and higher premium rates and a new product is launched with
significantly lower inbuilt commission and premium rates, then existing
policyholders can lapse their policy and shift to other insurers. Hence,
commission should be consistent with existing product commissions.
g) Claw-back terms
h) Persistency target
Test Yourself 3
I. Political approach
II. Conservative approach
III. Liberal approach
IV. Open end approach
Answer 1
Answer 2
Financial status of the customer is not a factor that is used to arrive at the
commission rate. Other factors are taken into consideration to arrive at
commission rates.
Answer 3
Question 1
Question 2
Answer 1
Answer 2
Chapter Introduction
Learning Outcomes
A. Margins
B. Risk discount rate
C. Reserving
He is confused and wants to understand more about this. He decides to visit the
actuarial department of the company to learn more about margins.
A. Margins
Margins can be defined as extra cushion used by the company in pricing and
reserving exercise to minimize the impact of risk from adverse future
experience.
It was discussed in the previous chapter that estimated assumptions are loaded
with margins to ensure the risk from adverse future experience is allowed for.
There are various ways for allowing for margins. Especially when cash flow
approach is used for pricing.
Where a cashflow model is being used to price a life insurance contract, the risk
to the company from adverse future experience may be allowed for using the
three approaches:
If a formula model is being used for pricing, only the first method can be used
because of its limitation. Hence, the risk of adverse future experience would be
allowed for by taking margins in the assumptions. However, such a model does
not help the actuary to quantify what these margins might be and hence he or
she must use judgment based on past experience.
The important point from the above is that, by including a margin or margins
somewhere in the basis, the risk from adverse future experience is reduced.
The basis actually chosen for pricing, inclusive of margins, will fix the level of
risk the company will be subject to once the product is issued at that price.
Under the first approach, all margins could be incorporated in the assumptions
for each individual parameter; and the risk discount rate would then (in theory)
be the risk-free rate.
Pricing assumption for the future investment return might be written as:
Pricing investment return (Ip) = best estimate investment return (Ib) minus
margin (Im)
Once the product is in issue, the company risks making less profit than it
anticipated if i (the actual rate of return achieved) is lower than Ip. So, the
larger the value of the margin Im, the lower the probability that Ip < i and the
lower the risk of making a particular loss.
For example, if Ib is 8.5% and margin required is 1.5%, Ip will be 7%. Company
needs to ensure that investment strategy is such that it earns at least 7%
returns, while targeting higher returns for higher profits.
Lower the Ip higher will be the premium. Hence a balance needs to be struck
between the desire of having competitive premium and degree of risk taken.
Similarly for other assumptions also margins are taken to reduce the risk of
adverse future experience.
Mortality assumption:
For term or endowment product or unit linked products with high death benefit:
Margin works in opposite direction for annuity or some health type of products
where the lower mortality is a risk, since payment only needs to be made if
person is alive.
Company will make a loss if actual number of deaths is less than 72% of
standard table.
Expense assumption:
This assumption impact all type of products in same direction. Higher expense
than best estimate would be required to reduce the risk of adverse future
experience.
Hence, if Ep is Rs.500 per policy and 20% per premium and margin required is
10% then Ep will be Rs. 550 per policy and 22% per premium based.
Company will make a loss if actual expenses are more than Rs. 550 per policy or
more than 22% of premium.
Similar approach is used for expense inflation which is increased by the margin.
Persistency assumption:
So for example where high withdrawal rate is a risk and Wb is 30% for initial
duration and margin required is 20% then Wp will be 36%.
Company will make a loss if actual withdrawals are more than 36%.
Under the second approach, we would assume best estimates for the
parameters and a risk-free discount rate. At least one of these parameters
would take a range of values from a probability distribution, rather than a
constant value, and so the pricing process would give a range of possible
charges or premiums. The company could choose which price from this range of
possibilities it would actually charge (eg the 70th percentile). The risk to the
company will be that the actual experience is in line with one of the more
extreme outcomes of the distribution.
This approach can only be applied where there are probability distributions for
the parameters concerned. For example, mortality, investment return and
expense inflation can be modeled using the stochastic approach using
appropriate probability distribution, while expense and withdrawal may not
have any appropriate probability distribution and hence has to be taken at best
estimate or using the first approach.
Under the third approach pricing is done assuming best estimates for the
individual parameters, and including margins for risk by assuming a higher risk
discount rate. The company will now make less profit than it requires if actual
investment return, i, is sufficiently low that the return on capital is less than
the required rate of return.
Hence, instead of allowing for risk separately under each parameter risk is
allowed by choosing appropriate risk discount rate. Ideally, different risk
discount rate should be used for different products depending upon the risk
involved. For example, in a high guarantee non participating product, a higher
risk discount rate can be used then say for a unit linked product with Low
guarantees.
These alternatives can lead to the same result (in effect, the same premium),
but they are just different ways of expressing the margin and the resulting risk.
In each case the risk of loss occurs once the margin is “used up”, whether that
be the margin in the individual parameter assumption, the percentile chosen, or
the risk premium in the risk discount rate.
For instance, looking at the issue of risk in the context of the mortality rate for
pricing a term assurance contract:
The extent of the margins depends heavily on the purpose of the basis
concerned. Here we are concerned with pricing, so the margins will also be
influenced by the need to have competitive premiums. Nevertheless, the
margins must reflect the risks involved, and hence the size of the margins must
crucially depend on:
All the things we have discussed in earlier chapters about risk should therefore
be brought to a consideration of the margins required for pricing (or, in general,
for other purposes for which a basis is required, such as reserving).
Remember that the same principles will apply whether we are allowing for the
margins through the risk premium in the risk discount rate (which would be the
normal approach when pricing), or through adjustment to the individual
parameter assumptions (which would be the approach when reserving and
pricing as well).
The approaches as discussed above are used in a blended way in the practical
world. For pricing purpose, first the parameters are adjusted for risks and then
risk discount rate is used to discount cash flows. Hence, a blend of first and last
approach as discussed above.
Second approach is also being used for risks where the probability distribution is
well defined. The use of this approach has increased particularly because of
advance in technology making it possible to run many scenarios in minutes.
Test Yourself 1
The approach not used for allowing for margins in cashflow approach is__
I. Using margins in the expected values
II. Using a stochastic approach
III. Using absolute amount addition of margin in each policy
IV. Using the risk element of the risk discount rate
In this section derivation of a suitable risk discount rate to use in our pricing
models is discussed.
A key aspect of the risk discount rate will be the return required by the
shareholders on the capital they invest in the insurance company.
Investors will demand an expected rate of return equal to the risk-free rate plus
a risk premium.
Hence, risk discount rate can be defined as the rate of return required by the
investor to take on the risk in question.
Now, the question is what risk premium is appropriate to compensate for the
risks of investing in a life insurance company? This can be answered by looking
at the almost universal model of valuing risk in the asset, capital asset pricing
model (CAPM).
The Capital Asset Pricing Model has been widely used by stock market investors
to answer exactly this sort of question. The idea behind CAPM is that a well-
diversified portfolio of shares cancels out the risks of investing in individual
shares and leaves only the unavoidable risks of investing in the stock exchange.
This means, only the systematic or non specific risks are considered not taking
into account the risks which are specific and can be diversified away.
The bonds here are just one example of an asset which is almost risk free.
Alternatives are government deposits, or long-dated inflation-proof government
bonds. It will be impossible to find any assets that are perfectly risk free.
The question can then be asked as to how risky a particular company’s shares
are compared with the diversified portfolio. The result of the CAPM is that the
proper risk premium for any particular share is in proportion to its Beta.
If the market and the investors satisfy certain conditions, such as a perfect
market with perfect information, the CAPM will explain, amongst other things,
the relationship between risk and return. It is possible to derive the following
formula which expresses the expected return on any asset in terms of the
market return.
where:
So this equation specifies the relationship between the risk premium for an
asset (the risk premium is {Ei – rf}) as proportional to the market risk premium
{Em – rf}. The factor of proportionality is bi .
The beta factor bi can be thought of as a measure of the riskiness of the asset
relative to that of the market. A value greater than 1 implies, when the market
is rising, that the asset’s value will increase more than the market average; and
This beta factor can be estimated by analyzing the historic returns on the asset
in question in conjunction with market returns. However, the beta that is
correct “now” or in the future will not necessarily be equal to that of some
recent period.
This process identifies the systematic risk, or market risk, of the asset. It takes
no account of the specific risk – eg in the case of equities, the risk specific to
the issuing company which can be eliminated by sufficient diversification.
It might seem almost counter-intuitive that we are taking account of just the
systematic risk, not the specific risk. Why is the (significant) risk of investing in
a specific company not allowed for? The reason is that the life company’s shares
are assumed to be just a small fraction of the investor’s portfolio and hence will
get diversification benefit – the CAPM does not reward specific risk. So the
CAPM will quantify just the systematic risk.
Note that the shareholders’ required return on capital is also a function of the
availability of capital.
The harder it is for the company to raise capital, the greater will be the returns
the company will have to offer in order to raise the amount required, and the
greater the returns will have to be to keep the shareholders happy.
The CAPM is just one example of how the market might assess the shares of a
company. The point to note is that it is not up to the actuary alone to decide
what an appropriate rate of return is for shareholders. The actuary will need to
make some assumptions, but the market is the final judge.
So what does an actuary actually do in order to determine the risk discount rate
to use in a particular pricing model for a particular product?
So far it is the CAPM, which can give the value of Ei : the rate of return that
shareholders expect from investing in company to compensate for the risk
involved. However we cannot simply use this overall rate as the risk discount
rate in our pricing models. Why not?
The reason is that not all projects are equally risky. The life company should
view itself as an investor like any other when it considers the riskiness of a new
A change in the mix of business, for example away from old and safe contracts
towards new and innovative contracts, would change the market’s evaluation of
the company’s riskiness.
In other words, the risk discount rate used needs to be higher, and basically the
higher the risk, the higher the risk discount rate we should use.
The following are among the features that can make a product design riskier,
viewed as an investment:
high guarantees
policyholder options
Options if not priced properly can be very dangerous as far as the profits
of the company are concerned. If option goes in the money and everyone
exercise the option it can convert probable profits into huge losses.
overhead costs
High overhead cost carry the uncertainty of not recouping them because
of lower sales or low persistency, making the product riskier.
complexity of design
Complex design increases the risk of product not being understood and
not being sold enough again making it risky.
For an insurance company perspective, risk discount rate should be different for
different products taking into account the risk inherent in each product. So one
way to derive the risk discount rate would simply be to take the “risk-free” rate
(which we can assess by looking at the yields on short-term government bonds)
plus an allowance for the riskiness of the product being sold. It is not easy to
assess these risks, and it is even harder to say what effect they should have on
the risk discount rate.
Practically, risk discount rate is assumed same for all the products taking
allowance for risk separately while arriving at assumptions to use for pricing. It
is argued that risk of investing in a company as a whole is same taking into
account the risk faced by company, allowing any difference in product risk
through specific assumptions.
In reality, the assessment of the risk, and the conversion of that into a risk
discount rate, is a very inexact science. The most important points to remember
are that:
The risk discount rate must be higher than the risk-free rate, hence
changes in market rates of interest should cause risk discount rates to
change.
The margin between the risk-free rate and the risk discount rate should
attempt to reflect all sources of risk in the product.
The risk discount rates used for pricing different products should reflect
the relative risk of those products.
Profit criteria
It is necessary to decide on the profit criteria that need to be met by the price
charged for a product, given all of the preceding assumptions. These have
already been discussed earlier, but it should be noted that the chosen profit
criterion is one of the assumptions that defines a particular pricing basis.
IC92 Actuarial Aspects of Product Development 257
Test Yourself 2
I. Ei
II. rf
III. bi
IV. Si
This section is included to briefly discuss about the method and assumptions
used for reserving.
Method:
In India, gross premium valuation method is used to calculate the reserve of life
insurance liabilities. This method is specified by regulations.
In this method reserve is calculated by taking present values of net cash outflow
which is calculated as cash outflow minus cash inflow.
Cash outflow includes benefit payments, expenses and commissions. Cash inflow
includes premiums.
Cash flows are projected forward till the end of the policy term and is then
discounted using valuation interest rate.
Only future cashflows are considered for reserving. For example, if a policy is 4
years old, total term of the policy is 10 year and reserve is required at the end
of 4th year, cashflows only from year 5 to year 10 will be considered.
The above method is used for the non-linked liabilities and non-unit liabilities of
unit linked policies. For fund related liabilities, full unit fund is kept as reserve
and is known as unit reserve.
Negative reserves are not allowed as per the regulations, hence any negative
reserve has to be zeroised.
The reserve should take into account all the reasonable cashflows specifically
guaranteed outflows.
Basic concept of assumptions used for reserving exercise is same as for pricing
exercise. Only difference is the margins used. For reserving the margins used
are much more prudent as compared to pricing. The high prudence is required
to ensure that the liabilities are honored with high degree of confidence even in
adverse future conditions.
As per the regulations the margins used for reserving is known as “Margin for
adverse deviation” (MAD).
Use of MAD for the assumptions is mandatory as per regulation issued by IRDAI
and actuarial practice standards (APS) issued by Institute of Actuaries of India.
Both these APS provides guidance on method, parameters and MAD used
for reserving.
Actuary should keep in mind all the above APS, regulation and company practice
for setting up the reserving assumptions used to calculate reserving cost in
pricing models.
a) Margins can be defined as extra cushion used by the company in pricing and
reserving exercise to minimize the impact of risk from adverse future
experience.
b) Where a cashflow model is being used to price a life insurance contract, the
risk to the company from adverse future experience may be allowed for
using the three approaches:
c) A key aspect of the risk discount rate will be the return required by the
shareholders on the capital they invest in the insurance company.
f) For reserving the margins used are much more prudent as compared to
pricing.
g) The high prudence is required to ensure that the liabilities are honored with
high degree of confidence even in adverse future conditions.
Answer 1
Using absolute amount addition of margin in each policy is not used, other three
are used.
Answer 2
Question 1
Application of margin will result into ___ investment return assumption than
best estimate?
I. Higher
II. Lower
III. Both
IV. None
Question 2
Which of the following APS defines the minimum MAD to be used for reserving?
I. APS - 1
I. APS - 2
II. APS - 7
III. APS - 6
Answer 1
Application of margin will result into lower investment return assumption than
best estimate.
Answer 2
In this chapter, we will understand the role of expense rates in determining the
premium for an insurance policy.
Learning Outcomes
Newly set-up, ABC Life Insurance Company has just begun insurance operations.
As an insurer, the company will be incurring various expenses related to its
insurance business, like acquisition of land, office premises, furniture, fixtures,
IT system, employing insurance agents, their commissions Etc.
The company will recover these expenses from the customers, by determining
the expense rate as well as determining which expenses can be passed on to the
customers.
This chapter will help ABC Life Insurance Company to tackle these expense
related queries.
Premiums which are charged for a product should cover both the policy benefits
as well as the expenses to be incurred on the policy. After taking out both these
profit is earned.
Even if the expenses are over estimated, there is a risk of high premiums not
being competitive. This can cause lower sales than expected. Each policy’s
share of expense is dependent on expected total expense to be incurred and
expected total policies to be sold. Lower than expected sales will cause another
issue of not covering the total expected expenses, hence leading to losses.
An insurer should know what would be the fixed expenses and what would be
the variable expenses that he has to incur at the outset, and also subsequently.
Similarly the company should also know all possible semi variable expenses. A
semi-variable expense is an expense which contains both a fixed-cost
component and a variable-cost component. The fixed cost element shall be a
part of the cost that needs to be paid irrespective of the level of activity
achieved by the entity. On the other hand the variable component of the cost is
payable proportionate to the level of activity.
Of course, all the expenses have to be passed on to the policyholders, but the
initial expenses for the company setup have to be borne by the insurer’s
promoters (shareholders) at the outset. Unless a proper estimate is made for
use in the premium base, the insurer as well as the policyholders would suffer
financially. This is the most difficult exercise as some expenses cannot be
estimated with ease—such as tax rates, inflation, stamp duties, etc.
While pricing the product the fixed expenses is also referred to those expenses
which are incurred irrespective of premium size of the policy. For example,
same policy printing cost is incurred even if policy is Rs 1 policy or Rs. 1 lakh
policy. But when the policy is not sold, this amount is nil. Hence, fixed cost
covers both marginal (additional) and non marginal costs.
Marginal cost is that cost which is incurred only when there is a new policy sold.
While non marginal cost has already been incurred, hence is independent of any
new policy sold. Example of non marginal cost is initial set up cost of the
company.
This non marginal cost is also referred to as the fixed overheads. Hence, to be
profitable, the fixed expenses to be charged in premium must cover the
marginal cost and should also cover some of the non marginal cost o contribute
to the fixed overhead of the company. Hence, in this way the initial set up is
recovered from the policyholders in future years as mentioned above.
Variable expenses are normally the marginal (additional) expenses which are
incurred as the additional policy is sold. Without the policy this expense is nil.
The expenses are also split between initial expenses, renewal expenses,
investment expenses and terminal expenses depending upon the life of the
policy.
Initial expenses are the expenses which are incurred at the outset or at the
point of sales. Initial expenses are also referred to as acquisition expenses.
Renewal expenses are incurred throughout the term of the policy. These
expenses are also referred to as maintenance expenses.
Investment expenses are incurred initially as well as during the term of the
contract.
Expense assumptions:
At the outset, promoters of the insurer would bring in capital to carry on the
insurance business. Capital is meant for creating initial assets (offices,
infrastructure, and employing human resources—skilled and semi-skilled
manpower). It is used to bring in insurance business which should in turn bring
in good returns for the promoters/shareholders.
It is the scale of operation that matters most for use of capital which could be
on account of:
Number of offices
Number of agents
Number of employees
Number of products and expected size of premium income and
Infrastructure to meet the above
a) How many people would be fit to be insured, knowing the details of their
incomes, habits and culture, and attitudes towards insurance
b) The level of the banking network in the country for collection and
receipt of premiums, and payment of benefits
Test Yourself 2
What is the best estimate prevalent in the market? The actuary needs to
consider all the above factors regarding the determination of rates specifically
the type of product such as:
The parameter values for expenses should reflect the expected expenses to be
incurred in processing and subsequently maintaining the business to be written
under the product being priced.
The values will be determined after analysing the company’s recent experience
for the type of business concerned. The result of this analysis will be a division
of the expenses by function, as appropriate, and possibly by whether the level
of expense is expected to be proportional to the level of premium or benefit, or
can be expressed as an amount per contract.
More commonly, the expected expenses would be derived from the construction
of a suitable expense model. This will simply be a projection of the staff
structure and associated overheads, such as buildings, systems etc. The output
from that will be taken in conjunction with expected new business volumes and
expected inforce policies after persistency assumptions to give suitable per-
policy or per-premium costs. Hence, as was discussed in earlier chapter as well,
if persistency assumption is wrong, it can in validate expense assumption
because of this dependence.
These estimates are then adjusted based on other remaining factors such as
competition, industry practice etc. The exercise is usually subjective and is
dependent on the circumstances of each company.
IC92 Actuarial Aspects of Product Development 271
Variations of this technique will be used for studying (in order of complexity):
new product launches,
new distribution channels (or major extensions to existing channels, or
major new sales campaigns), and
new life insurance companies.
One of the major factors in the expense assumption is the extent of expense
risk. This refers to the risk of incurring more expense than expected and its
impact of profit. The impact of this risk is dependent on the product design,
which can be designed in a way to have minor impact of this risk. For example,
in a product design where the expense loading is insignificant portion of overall
premium, some divergence from expected expenses will have minor impact on
the profit. Expense risk will be discussed separately in specific section.
This will be useful in estimating the total expenses that will be incurred
in future. This will be one of the major inputs to the expense model as
described above.
Consultants support is helpful when the company is new and has less
experience in building of expense model and thus expense assumption.
Consultants have a view of overall industry and thus can help greatly in
expense projections.
Competitors rates
In the context of expense assumptions, the words fixed and flat are used rather
loosely. They refer to expenses that do not vary by premium size but they are
not necessarily fixed or flat in the full sense of the word. For example, future
administration expenses should increase with inflation. Hence, expense inflation
is one of the major aspects of expense assumption. This is significant enough to
deserve a category of a separate assumption altogether rather than being
merged in expense assumption. Accordingly it will be described separately in a
specific section.
However, rent cost or property maintenance cost, which are also usually
significant, will be dependent on price inflation.
Initial expenses are incurred at the outset and hence the expenses are more
certain. But when pricing a contract we have to consider two distinct aspects
of expense inflation:
The inflation of expenses during the term of a future new policy, from
the issue date to its termination date
The inflation of all expenses between “now” (the date at which you are
setting premium rates to be used in future) and the dates at which the
future new policies are actually issued.
As an example of the second point, you might set your per-policy initial expense
assumption at Rs. 1500, but for a policy issued in one year’s time it perhaps
ought to be Rs. 1600, for one issued in two years’ time it should be Rs. 2000,
and so on.
In the case above, for example, if we expected our basis to apply for the next
four years, say, we might fix our initial expense assumption at Rs. 2500, for all
policies to be issued over the four-year period.
Hence, it is also important to estimate the time period for which this new
product will be sold in the market.
Here, the inflation impact is given in the expense assumption itself for the
initial expenses. In case of renewal expenses, expense inflation is explicitly
assumed as a percentage per annum.
Current rates of inflation, both for prices and earnings: This information
will be available freely.
Expense analysis refers to the process of analyzing the past expenses of the
company to fit the desired purpose.
Expense analysis is usually done for different purposes such as pricing, asset
share, estimating overall profits etc. Here we will discuss about the expense
analysis done for pricing purpose.
On the other hand, the company would not just look at its most recent year’s
expenses in isolation. It would also need to look at, say, the most recent 3-5
years of expense experience, to identify and if necessary allow for unusual or
“random” influences, and to identify trends that could be occurring over time.
When looking over several years it would be necessary to adjust the figures for
inflation, so that each years’ costs could be compared in current money terms,
for example.
Total expenses of the past are split between each expense item such as
underwriting, electricity etc. This will usually be based on an analysis of the
expenses by department or function. Each of the expense items is then further
subdivided into following categories:
Initial expenses, renewal expenses and termination expenses are further split
according to whether the expense is driven by and proportional to:
The subdivision will vary across companies depending upon the types and
volumes of business written and what are the requirements of the analysis. The
subdivision chosen should not be so small that the analysis becomes unreliable.
One of the possible approaches which can be used is given below. Here we are
assuming that analysis is done for three main fund types of traditional, unit
linked and group business. The main items of expenses and their analysis are
provided below.
Salaries expenses
(i) staff whose work comes entirely within a single subgroup of the
analysis: For example, some staff only working on selling of group
business. This can be directly allocated to the appropriate
subgroup.
(ii) staff whose work comes within more than one subgroup: For
example, staff working in selling of traditional and unit linked
individual business. For this group staff timesheets can be used to
split their salaries etc between the appropriate subgroups.
(iii) other staff: For example salary of support staff like valuation
actuary or finance department. The work of this group staff will
straddle both all funds and will also be both new business and
renewal. The split between the two is likely to be made
pragmatically. Time sheet of this group will be used to decide the
split.
This rent, plus property taxes, heating costs etc, can be split, for
example, by floor space occupied, between departments and then
allocated in accordance to salaries.
Computer costs
Exceptional items, which are not likely to recur, would be excluded completely
from the analysis.
Expense analysis for the whole company has the following results:
Expense risk refers to the risk of incurring more expense than expected and its
impact of profit.
There is therefore a “parameter” risk that the parameter values used in model
is incorrect. In addition, there will be a “model” risk if stochastic model is
being used in estimating inflation.
They may be deducted from premiums (eg by allocating less than 100% of the
premiums to units) or from the fund (eg a regular policy fee paid for by unit
cancellation).
There is, therefore, a risk that the charges accruing to the company in a year
will not cover the actual expenses of the company in that year.
2. Checking and controlling the model used and parameters used in the
model to ensure that these are appropriate to minimize model and
parameter risk
c) The expenses are also split between initial expenses, renewal expenses,
investment expenses and terminal expenses depending upon the life of the
policy.
g) The parameter values for expenses should reflect the expected expenses to
be incurred in processing and subsequently maintaining the business to be
written under the product being priced.
i) Expense analysis refers to the process of analyzing the past expenses of the
company to fit the desired purpose
j) Expense risk refers to the risk of incurring more expense than expected and
its impact of profit.
Answer 1
Insurance expenses can be primarily classified into fixed and variable expenses.
Answer 2
Answer 3
Competitor’s rates affect the expense rates and not the competitor’s range of
products.
Question 1
I. Nature of product
II. Volume of sales
III. Inflation rate
IV. Competitor’s rate
Question 2
Which of the following expense will be borne by the insurer himself initially?
Answer 1
Answer 2
REINSURANCE SUPPORT
Chapter Introduction
Why does an insurer need reinsurance at all? The insurer could simply decide to
insure only those risks that it is able to accept, within the insurer’s own defined
limits. However, if this happens, then the following issues could arise:
Learning Outcomes
This goes to show how reinsurance can save insurers from grave consequences
as a result of significant depletion of capital caused due to unexpectedly high
catastrophe claims.
1. Meaning of reinsurance
Definition
Example
An insurer, X grants cover of Rs. 1 Cr. under an insurance policy. X can pass on a
substantial portion of the risk (not necessarily the whole risk) to a re-insurer Y’.
This means that Y has to bear the risk to the extent of the amount of cover
agreed with X.
Here, certain terms need to be understood. The amount retained by the direct
insurer is called ‘retention amount (X)’,
The excess of the total amount of cover (T) over the retention amount (X)
would be passed on to the re-insurer.
If the total amount of cover (T) exceeds the amount of Facultative Limit (F),
then the re-insurer would examine and underwrite before the insurer is allowed
to grant cover to the policyholder.
If the insurance cover per life is below F, the re-insurer would automatically
accept without any question. However, the re-insurer would retain the right to
examine and inspect offices of the insurer in this regard to assess the
underwriting practices within the company.
For every life that is reinsured, the excess of T over X is referred to as cession
amount/cover. The re-insurer might also specify a condition of minimum
IC92 Actuarial Aspects of Product Development 287
cession amount stating that such amount should be of a specified minimum
amount, say Y. If T-X happens to be less than Y, the re-insurer may not agree to
reinsure. The details with regard to amount of cover would be discussed in
detail in treaty.
There would be also terms when the reinsurance treaty is terminated (there
could be some penalty for early closure).
The terms would mention adjudication where and when disputes could be
resolved. These could arise with regard to settlement of claim, where insurer
fails to provide the requisite information called for by the re-insurer.
f) It backs the strength and stability of insurer and the insurance industry
as a whole.
For an insurer, one of the main ways in which reinsurance can help
reduce risk is by reducing the variance of the insurer’s claim costs.
For reason (a), the methods of reinsurance that could be used would be
either the original terms (coinsurance) method or the risk premium
method, usually on an individual surplus basis. We will discuss these
types later in the chapter.
Example
To illustrate how this might work, imagine a young company selling a
twenty-year endowment assurance policy. Suppose that initial expenses
are 120% of the first year’s premium, renewal expenses are 5% of
subsequent premiums, and that statutory reserves amount to 85% of all
premiums paid (ignore interest).
The cash flow on writing a Rs.1,000 premium policy is:
Year 1 – Rs.1,050
Years 2+ Rs.100
The capital strain from this is too great for a young company to be able
to write significant amounts of new business without a huge amount of
capital to finance the new business strain.
If the company were to cede 50% of business on this basis, the net cash
flow would become:
Gross Monies to Change in Net
cash flow reinsurer reserves cashflow
where for instance in year 1 the company cedes Rs.500 of premium, and
so “passes” Rs.500 – 150% × Rs.500 = – Rs.250 to the reinsurer and the
company now has to establish reserves equal to only 85% × Rs.500 =
Rs.425.
It should be clear from this example that, with this arrangement, the
new business strain is greatly reduced, although at the expense of future
profits.
Here we will discuss the considerations that should be kept in mind before
reinsuring:
1. Cost of reinsurance
The reinsurer intends to make a profit as well as meet its cost of capital and
expenses. These costs will reduce the expected absolute level of profit for the
insurer.
However, the risk reduction caused by reinsurance may leverage up the return
or risk-adjusted return on capital.
General factors to take into account when setting the retention limit include:
The average benefit level for the product and the expected distribution
of the benefit
The company’s insurance risk appetite
The level of the company’s free assets and the importance attached to
stability of its free asset ratio
The terms on which reinsurance can be obtained and the dependence of
such terms on the retention limit
The level of familiarity of the company with underwriting the type of
business involved
The effect on the company’s regulatory capital requirements of
increasing or reducing the retention limit
The existence of a profit-sharing arrangement in the reinsurance treaty
The company’s retention on its other products
The nature of any future increases in sums assured.
There are a number of different possible approaches that an insurer can use to
determine the level at which the insurer should set its retention limit. The key
decision is to set the limit at a level where the expected profit is highest after
taking into account all the risk.
3. Counterparty risk
The insurer retains liability to the policyholder for the benefits even if the
reinsurer becomes insolvent and can’t meet claim payments as they become
due. This is an example of what is known as a counterparty risk. The amount of
exposure to the reinsurer is known as credit risk.
4. Legal risk
Due to the risks involved and impact of disputes where contracts have not been
finalized, regulators around the world are increasingly focused on ensuring
reinsurance treaties are complete and signed.
For example, there are risks that reinsurance premiums will be calculated
incorrectly or that recoverable claims will not be identified correctly.
If one side fails on its administration then remedies may be specified in the
treaty or may have to be negotiated between the parties.
Reinsurance can also mean the creation of additional data records for reinsured
lives, and it is important that all records are managed consistently.
6. Type of reinsurance
Test Yourself 1
In a reinsurance contract, the excess of the total amount of cover (T) over the
retention amount (X) would be ________.
The insurer will provide the reinsurance company with the premium
rates (known as retail rates) it is using for the particular class of
business it wishes to reinsure.
In this method the reinsurer supplies the insurer with a set of premium
rates upon which the insurer can load its costs and profit test against the
intended retail rates.
In effect, the reinsurer will decide upon a level premium rate for the
risk, which it will use to charge the insurer for reinsurance. The insurer
will then price its product in the knowledge of the reinsurance terms it
will be able to obtain. Reinsurance commission is likely to be much less
significant with this variation, as the reinsurance premium will probably
have smaller margins than the retail rates.
The insurer reinsures part of the sum assured or the sum at risk, ie the
excess of the benefit payable over the reserve, on the reinsurer’s risk
premium basis, which can be annually renewable or guaranteed
The main types of excess of loss reinsurance used in life assurance are
catastrophe and stop loss reinsurance.
Catastrophe reinsurance
Stop loss reinsurance means the reinsurer pays the aggregate net loss
over the predetermined retention for a portfolio over a given time
period, usually a year. In this way the portfolio’s loss to the insurer in
any period is capped.
e) Financial reinsurance
Depending upon the obligation of various parties, there are two types of
reinsurance namely Facultative and obligatory reinsurance.
facultative/facultative
facultative/obligatory
obligatory/obligatory
There are two ways in which the amount to be reinsured can be specified
Example
The reinsurance premium can be charged on the basis of the original premium
(charged by insurer) or different from the original premium (reinsurance
premium can be higher or lower).
b) Surplus arrangement
In this arrangement, the re-insurer shares only the sum at risk which is
calculated by the re-insurer. Under this method, the sum at risk decreases
every year. The sum at risk is the sum assured minus reserve (where reserve is
calculated by a specified method).
The reinsurance premium shall be the sum at risk multiplied by mortality charge
per 1000. The mortality charge is determined by the re-insurer according to a
pre-determined method.
Due to certain reasons, the insurer would bear very low retention (may be 5% or
a specified amount whichever is lower).
Test Yourself 2
IRDAI has issued regulation on reinsurance in year 2000 and now has updated it
again in 2013. Some of the important points of regulations which can impact
pricing (because it can impact overall reinsurance cost and benefit) are
highlighted below:
a) Every insurer shall reinsure with Indian reinsurers such percentage of the
sum assured on each policy as may be specified by the Authority by
notification.
b) Provided that no percentage so specified shall exceed thirty percent of
the sum assured on such policy.
c) Different percentages may be specified for different classes of insurance
d) Specify the proportions in which the said percentage shall be allocated
among Indian reinsurers.
Retention Policy
a) Every insurer shall build the retention capacity within the company and
formulate suitable retention policy for each type of product/risk on an
ongoing basis and justify on an ongoing basis such retention policy in
accordance with the emerging claims experience, financial standing,
underwriting capacity etc. in the annual reinsurance programme
submitted to the Authority.
a) Insurers shall place their reinsurance business outside India with only
those reinsurers who have over a period of the past five years counting
from the year preceding for which the business has to be placed,
enjoyed a credit rating of at least BBB (with Standard & Poor) or
equivalent rating of any other international rating agency.
b) Provided that placement of business by the insurer with any other
reinsurer shall be with the prior approval of the Authority.
c) Provided further that no programme of reinsurance shall be on original
premium basis.
d) Provided further that no life insurer shall have reinsurance treaty
arrangement with its promoter company or its associate/group company,
except on terms which are commercially competitive in the market and
with the prior approval of the Authority, which shall be final and
binding.
e) The life insurers shall, before placing the business with the reinsurers,
consider past claims performance of the reinsurers, as available, while
accepting their participation in the reinsurance programme.
(1) These regulations may be called the Insurance Regulatory and Development
Authority of India (Registration and Operations of Branch Offices of Foreign
Reinsurers other than Lloyd’s) (First Amendment) Regulations, 2016.
(2) They shall come into force on the date of their notification in the Official
Gazette.
3. In Regulations 12, 13, 15 and 16 wherever the words “Chairperson of the” are
appearing, they shall be omitted.
4. In Regulation 16(g) the words “to the extent possible” after the words “in its
operations” shall be omitted.
“Every Indian Insurer shall obtain best terms for their facultative and treaty
surpluses from Indian reinsurer(s) having a minimum credit rating which is
having atleast good financial security characteristics from any of the
internationally renowned credit rating agencies for the previous three years and
also from atleast three entities which have been granted certificate of
registration under Regulation 4(a) of these regulations. The Indian insurer shall
then offer the best terms for participation in the following order of preference;
(a) To the Indian re-insurer(s) having a minimum credit rating as given above
and thereafter to those granted certificate of registration under regulation 4 (a)
of these Regulations.
(c) To the branch offices of foreign reinsurers set up in Special Economic Zone,
only after having offered to all entities in (a) and (b) above
(d) The balance, if any, may thereafter be offered to Indian Insurers and
overseas reinsurers Explanation - The Authority will undertake a review of the
working of these regulations and in particular operation of Regulation 28(9) –
order of preference for cessions by Indian insurers after a period of one year
based on the reporting’s made to it.
f) Depending upon the obligation of various parties, there are two types of
reinsurance namely Facultative and obligatory reinsurance.
g) Insurer’s actuary would determine the best retention limits after considering
various factors.
Answer 1
The retention amount is the amount of cover retained by the direct insurer. The
excess of the total amount of cover (T) over the retention amount (X) would be
passed on to the re-insurer.
Answer 2
Self-Examination Questions
Question 1
Question 2
Retention limits would be lower for high risk plans and higher for low risk plans.
High risks would be on account of which of the following?
I. Standard lives
II. Sub-standard lives
III. Savings plans
IV. None of the above
Answer 1
Both the factors: (a) time period for which insurer has been in insurance
business and (b) solvency requirements with regard to reinsurance would be
considered by the insurer while choosing retention limits.
Answer 2
High risks would be on account of sub-standard lives. The other options are
incorrect.
Chapter Introduction
Financial stability and strength of the insurer are major considerations taken
into account by a customer when purchasing an insurance plan. The reason for
this is that the insurer will be insolvent if its assets are not adequate or cannot
be disposed of in time to pay the claims of the policyholders.
Solvency margins enable insurers to avert crisis by keeping extra capital that
can take care of problems that are usually not anticipated. This chapter aims at
creating an understanding about the different types of financial viability for
insurers.
Learning Outcome
A. Solvency margin
B. Profit margin
Till 1970s, there was only one requirement to be satisfied by a life insurance
company. The requirement was that, the value of the insurer’s assets should
not be less than the value of liabilities (after distribution of surplus, if any).
In 1970, ‘Solvency Margin’ norms were introduced. These norms stipulated that
the value of assets of an insurer should exceed the value of liabilities by a
specified margin. This margin was known as the Solvency Margin.
1. Solvency margin
Definitions
The Required Solvency Margin (RSM) is the additional amount of capital required
to be kept by the insurance as buffer over and above the reserves of the
policies.
ASM should be greater than or equal to RSM. If this is so, the insurer is said to
have maintained the RSM.
In India, there is a requirement to keep ASM higher than RSM by 1.5 times.
2. Calculation of RSM:
For linked life business, with guarantees products first factor is 1.8% and
second factor is 0.2%, without guarantees products first factor is 0.8%
and second factor is 0.2%.
Example
If the formulae produce a figure of Rs. 20 Cr, the RSM should be taken as
Rs. 50 Cr. Suppose the formulae produce a figure of Rs. 80 Cr., then the
RSM is Rs. 80 Cr.
a) Interest risk (insurer may not earn what has been assumed in the
pricing) and
b) Mortality risk (insurer may incur more claims than what has been
assumed)
To get around this issue and to have better risk measurement risk based
capital approach is now becoming popular.
Since RSM does not take into account, operational risks such as frauds in
the business which could be fraudulent claims, defaults on investments,
escalation of expenses, etc, this is gradually abandoned.
3. Calculation of ASM:
In India, liabilities are prudently valued and most assets are values at amortized
book value. Equities are valued at market value. For ASM calculations, some of
the assets are assumed to have zero value:
4. Solvency ratio
Test Yourself 1
Definition
Net cash flow at the end of every policy year is the excess of income over outgo
(can be negative). Assumptions are made in respect of expected income and
outgo. Expected income is the expected receipt of premiums and the
investment income. Expected outgo is the expected expenses that would be
incurred to meet claims, commission, and other management expenses. Along
with this there is strain because of requirement to keep reserves and required
capital. These are also outflows when policy is sold. New business strain is net
negative cashflow because of above when the policy is sold.
Usually a cash flow method is used to determine profit margins and premium
rate. An advantage of this method is that it enables the shareholders to
determine premium rates for a given level of profit margin.
Exact profit is known when the last policyholder goes out of the portfolio. Since
this is not known as it could take place after a number of years, an estimate is
made. This estimate is usually referred to as surplus, which is distributed to
policyholders.
Initial commission
Profit margins are used as profit criteria to price new or existing products.
b) Computation of RSM would address the interest rate risk and mortality risk
inherent in the business of insurance.
c) The Actual Solvency Margin (ASM) is the excess of assets over liabilities.
d) Solvency ratio can be calculated as ASM divided by RSM. This ratio acts as a
trigger point to take action against insurers. It is also an indicator of early
warning signal about insurer’s solvency.
e) Risk Based Capital (RBC) tests whether an insurer has enough capital
resources to meet various risks he assumes in his business.
Answer 1
Self-Examination Questions
Question 1
Computation of which of the following would address the interest rate risk and
mortality risk inherent in the business of insurance?
Question 2
Required Solvency Margin (RSM) does not take into account, which of the
following risks?
I. Defaults on investments
II. Defaults on premium payments
III. Default on solvency margin requirements
IV. All of the above
Answer 1
Computation of RSM would address the interest rate risk and mortality risk
inherent in the business of insurance.
Answer 2
GLOSSARY
Chapter Introduction
This chapter compiles some of the key definitions from various regulations
governing Indian insurance industry as well as general terms knowledge of which
is a key requirement to work in insurance industry.
Learning Outcome
A. Regulations definitions
B. General terms
1. Death benefit:
Death benefit means the benefit, agreed at the inception of the contract, which
is payable on death as specified in the policy document.
2. Discontinuance:
4. Grace period:
Grace Period means the time granted by the insurer from the due date for the
payment of premium, without any penalty/late fee, during which time the
policy is considered to be in-force with the risk cover without any interruption
as per the terms of the policy. (this period is normally 15 days for monthly
policy and 30 days for other policies.
Limited premium payment products means the non linked insurance products
where the premium payment period is limited/shorter compared to the policy
term and are paid at regular intervals like yearly, half-yearly etc.
6. Lock-in-period:
Lock-in-period means the period of five consecutive years from the date of
commencement of the policy, during which period the proceeds of the
discontinued policies cannot be paid by the insurer to the policyholder or to the
insured, as the case may be, except in the case of death or upon the happening
of any other contingency covered under the policy. This is applicable to linked
products.
Maturity benefit means the benefit, which is payable on maturity i.e. at the end
of the term, as specified in the policy document and is stated at the inception
of the contract.
Net Asset Value (NAV) means the price per unit of the Segregated Fund.
9. Partial Withdrawals:
Regular Premium Products means non linked insurance products where the
premium payment is throughout the term of the product and are paid in regular
intervals like yearly, half-yearly etc.
Revival of a policy means restoration of the policy, which was discontinued due
to the non-payment of premium, by the insurer with all the benefits mentioned
in the policy document, with or without rider benefits if any, upon the receipt
of all the premiums due and other charges/late fee if any, as per the terms and
conditions of the policy, upon being satisfied as to the continued insurability of
the insured/policyholder on the basis of the information, documents and reports
furnished by the policyholder, in accordance with their Board approved
Underwriting guidelines.
Revival Period means the period of two consecutive years from the date of
discontinuance of the policy, during which period the policyholder is entitled to
revive the policy which was discontinued due to the non-payment of premium.
Single premium products means non linked insurance products, where the
premium payment is made by a single payment at the inception of the policy.
17. Surrender:
19. Switches:
Non-linked or linked Whole Life products means non linked or linked insurance
products respectively which do not have a definite policy term and the policy
terminates on death of the life assured.
Top-up premium means an additional amount (s) of premium paid, if any, over
and above the contractual basic premiums stipulated in the terms and
conditions, at irregular intervals during the period of contract.
22. Units:
Units means a specific portion or part of the underlying segregated unit linked
fund which is representative of the policyholder's entitlement in such funds.
1. Accident
2. Accident Benefit
3. Age Limits
Stipulated minimum and maximum ages below and above which the
company will not accept applications or may not renew policies.
4. Agent
5. Annuity Plans
These plans provide for a "pension" (or a mix of a lumpsum amount and a
pension ) to be paid to the policy holder or his spouse. In the event of death
of both of them during the policy period, a lumpsum amount annuity is
provided for the next of kin.
6. Application Form
7. Assignment
9. Business Insurance
A mix of "whole life policy" and "endowment policy", it provides for very low
insurance premiums with maximum risk cover while the life assured is just
beginning his working career, and the possibility of converting the policy to
an "endowment" policy after five years of commencement.
11. Coverage
14. Exclusions
Specific conditions or circumstances for which the policy will not provide
benefits.
A condition in which the person applying for insurance and the person who is
to receive the policy benefit will suffer an emotional or financial loss, if any
specified event occurs. Without insurable interest, an insurance contract is
invalid.
18. Insurability
19. Insurance
20. Insured
The person whose life is insured by an individual life policy is called life
assured.
24. Maturity
The date upon which the face amount of a life insurance policy, if not
previously invoked due to the contingency covered (death), is paid to the
policyholder.
The Payment to the policy holder at the end of the stipulated term of the
policy is called maturity claim.
26. Misrepresentation
Unlike endowment plans, in money back policies, the policy holder gets
periodic "survivance payments" during the term of the policy and a lumpsum
amount on surviving its term. In the event of death during the term of the
policy, the beneficiary gets the full sum assured, without any deductions for
the amounts paid till date, and no further premiums are required to be paid.
These type of policies are very popular, since they can be tailored to get
large amounts at specific periods as per the needs of the policy holder.
Risk depends on the need for insurance, state of health, personal habits
standard of living and income of insured person. Moral hazard is the risk
factors that affect the decision of the insurance company to accept the risk.
Moral hazard is a situation in which one party gets involved in a risky event
knowing that it is protected against the risk and the other party will incur
the cost.
Example: You have not insured your house from any future damages. It
implies that a loss will be completely borne by you at the time of a
mishappening like fire or burglary. Hence you will show extra care and
attentiveness. You will install high tech burglar alarms and hire watchmen
to avoid any unforeseen event.
29. Nomination
An act by which the policy holders authorises another person to receive the
policy money. The person so authorised is called Nominee.
Such policies stay in effect regardless of whatever that might happen and as
long as the premium is paid from time to time
31. Premium
The payment, or one of the regular periodic payments, that a policy holder
makes to an insurer in exchange for the insurer's obligation to pay benefits
upon the occurrence of the contractually-specified contingency (e.g.,
death).
These provide for refund of all the premiums paid, in the event of th life
assured surviving to the end of the policy term. The total sum assured is
paid to the beneficiaries in the event death occurs during the policy term.