Payback Period

Download as pdf or txt
Download as pdf or txt
You are on page 1of 2

Payback Period

At first glance, payback is a simple investment appraisal technique, but it can quickly become complex.

What It Measures
How long it will take to earn back the money invested in a project.

Why It Is Important
The straight payback period method is the simplest way of determining the investment potential of a major
project. Expressed in time, it tells a management how many months or years it will take to recover the
original cash cost of the project—always a vital consideration, and especially so for managements evaluating
several projects at once.
This evaluation becomes even more important if it includes an examination of what the present value of
future revenues will be.

How It Works in Practice


The straight payback period formula is:
Payback period = Cost of project ÷ Annual cash revenues
Thus, if a project costs $100,000 and is expected to generate $28,000 annually, the payback period would
be:
100,000 ÷ 28,000 = 3.57 years
If the revenues generated by the project are expected to vary from year to year, add the revenues expected
for each succeeding year until you arrive at the total cost of the project.
For example, say the revenues expected to be generated by the $100,000 project are:

Year Revenue Total


Year 1 $19,000 $19,000
Year 2 $25,000 $44,000
Year 3 $30,000 $74,000
Year 4 $30,000 $104,000
Year 5 $30,000 $134,000

Thus, the project would be fully paid for in Year 4, since it is in that year that the total revenue reaches the
initial cost of $100,000.
The picture becomes complex when the time value of money principle is introduced into the calculations.
Some experts insist this is essential to determine the most accurate payback period. Accordingly, present
value tables or computers (now the norm) must be used, and the annual revenues have to be discounted by
the applicable interest rate, 10% in this example. Doing so produces significantly different results:

Year Revenue Present value Total


Year 1 $19,000 $17,271 $17,271
Year 2 $25,000 $20,650 $37,921
Year 3 $30,000 $22,530 $60,451
Year 4 $30,000 $20,490 $80,941
Year 5 $30,000 $18,630 $99,571

Payback Period 1 of 2
www.qfinance.com
This method shows that payback would not occur even after five years.

Tricks of the Trade


• Clearly, a main defect of the straight payback period method is that it ignores the time value of money
principle, which, in turn, can produce unrealistic expectations.
• A second drawback is that it ignores any benefits generated after the payback period, and thus a
project that would return $1 million after, say, six years might be ranked lower than a project with a
three-year payback that returns only $100,000 thereafter.
• Another alternative to calculating by payback period is to develop an internal rate of return.
• Under most analyses, projects with shorter payback periods rank higher than those with longer
paybacks, even if the latter promise higher returns. Longer paybacks can be affected by such factors
as market changes, changes in interest rates, and economic shifts. Shorter cash paybacks also enable
companies to recoup an investment sooner and put it to work elsewhere.
• Generally, a payback period of three years or less is desirable; if a project’s payback period is less than
a year, some contend it should be judged essential.

To see this article on-line, please visit


http://www.qfinance.com/business-strategy-calculations/payback-period

Payback Period 2 of 2
www.qfinance.com

You might also like

pFad - Phonifier reborn

Pfad - The Proxy pFad of © 2024 Garber Painting. All rights reserved.

Note: This service is not intended for secure transactions such as banking, social media, email, or purchasing. Use at your own risk. We assume no liability whatsoever for broken pages.


Alternative Proxies:

Alternative Proxy

pFad Proxy

pFad v3 Proxy

pFad v4 Proxy