FV 1000 1 2 3 C 10% Fvofcf E.Y. 10% PV OF CF 90.909090909 82.6446281 826.446281 T 3 Price FV C E.Y. T Price FV C E.Y. T Price

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FV 1000 1 2 3

C 10% FV OF CF 100 100 1100


E.Y. 10% PV OF CF 90.909090909 82.6446281 826.446281 1000
T 3
Price ($1,000.00)

FV 1000 1000 1000 1000 1000 1000 1000


C 10% 11% 12% 13% 14% 15% 16%
E.Y. 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10%
T 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
Price ($1,000.00) ($1,024.87) ($1,049.74) ($1,074.61) ($1,099.47) ($1,124.34) ($1,149.21)

FV 1000 1000 1000 1000 1000 1000 1000


C 12% 12% 12% 12% 12% 12% 12%
E.Y. 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10%
T 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Price ($1,122.89) ($1,129.90) ($1,136.27) ($1,142.07) ($1,147.33) ($1,152.12) ($1,156.47)
($122.89) ($105.03) ($86.54) ($67.46) ($47.86) ($27.78) ($7.26)
Scalar 6 1
Mat A 2 5 14 35 2
5 7 35 49 4
5
12 30 -10 -25
30 42 -25 -35

Addition and Subtraction 174 270


14 35 270 444
35 49
174 270
10 25 270 444
25 35

Multiplication 174 270 11886 19320


270 444 19320 31206

Transpose 174 270


270 444

Inverse 0.101928 -0.061983


-0.061983 0.039945
2 8 9 20 2 3 -3
5 3 0 2 10 2 -2
4 2 7 3 2 40 9
2 1 6 -3 -2 9 33

MULTIPLICATION 21 20 408 362


59 60 136 11
73 38 163 229
89 20 113 188

TRANSPOSE 21 59 73 89
20 60 38 20
408 136 163 113
362 11 229 188

MINVERSE -0.000397 -0.008649 0.004097 -0.001355


0.00446 0.004262 0.003937 -0.004931
-0.019779 0.043202 -0.01142 0.011632
0.024596 -0.03622 0.00579 -0.005952
Assumptions
Tax Rate 25%
Discount Rate 12%
Perpetural Growth Rate 3%
EV/EBITDA Mulltiple 7.0x
Transaction Date 12/31/2017
Fiscal Year End 6/30/2018
Current Price 25.00
Shares Outstanding 20,000
Debt 30,000
Cash 239,550
Capex 15,000

Date 12/31/2017 6/30/2018 6/30/2019 6/30/2020 6/30/2021 6/30/2022


EBIT
Less: Cash Taxes
Plus: D&A
Less: Capex
Less: Changes in NWC
Unlevered FCF
(Entry)/Exit
Transaction CF
Intrinsic Value Market Value
Enterprise Value 489,747 Market Cap 500000
Plus: Cash 239,550 Plus: Debt 30000
Less: Debt 30,000 Less: Cash 239549.5
Equity Value 699,297 Enterprise Value 290450.5

Equity Value/Share 34.96 Equity Value/Share 25

9.96
Rate of Return
39.86% Target Price Upside 39.86%
Internal Rate of Return (IRR) 0.263478

6/30/2022 Market Value vs Intrinsic Value


Market Value 25
Upside 9.964825
Intrinsic Value 34.96483
Expected Return Risk Free Rate StdDev Sharpe Ratio
10% 3% 0.1% 70 Sharpe R
10% 3% 1% 7.00 80
10% 3% 2.00% 3.50
70
10% 3% 3.00% 2.33
10% 3% 4.00% 1.75 60
10% 3% 5.00% 1.40
10% 3% 6.00% 1.17 50
10% 3% 7.00% 1.00 40
10% 3% 8.00% 0.88
10% 3% 9.00% 0.78 30
10% 3% 10.00% 0.70
20
10% 3% 11.00% 0.64
10% 3% 12.00% 0.58 10

0
0.0% 2.0% 4.0% 6.0%
Sharpe Ratio

2.0% 4.0% 6.0% 8.0% 10.0% 12.0% 14.0%


Dicounted Cash Flow Valuation
INDO RAMA SYNTHETICS (INDIA) LTD

Initial Cash Flow (Rs Cr) (1,392) (31,687)


813
Years 1-5 6-10 -3896%
FCF Growth Rate 15% 12%
Discount Rate 12%
Terminal Growth Rate 2%

Net Debt Level (Rs Cr) (4,044)

Year FCF Growth Present Value


1 (1,601) 15% (1,429)
2 (1,841) 15% (1,468)
3 (2,117) 15% (1,507)
4 (2,435) 15% (1,547)
5 (2,800) 15% (1,589)
6 (3,136) 12% (1,589)
7 (3,512) 12% (1,589)
8 (3,933) 12% (1,589)
9 (4,405) 12% (1,589)
10 (4,934) 12% (1,589)

Final Calculations
Terminal Year (5,033) -5033
PV of Year 1-10 Cash Flows (15,483) (15,483)
Terminal Value (16,204) -16204.06
Total PV of Cash Flows (31,687) (31,687)
Current Market Cap (Rs Cr) 813

Note: See explanation of DCF here


aluation
IA) LTD

DCF Value (As calculated in cell B29)


Current Market Cap
DCF as % of Current Mkt Cap

(1,600.75)
(1,840.86)
(2,117)
(2,435)
(2,800)
(3,136)
(3,512)
(3,933)
(4,405)
(4,934)

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