Projected P&L and BS

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Financial Statements of Matrix Ltd.

Statement of Profit and Loss


Year 1 Ratios Year 2
Net sales 180 11.11% 200 14.50%
Income from Marketable securities
Non-operating Income
Total Income 180 200

Cost of Goods sold 100 0.55555556 105 0.525


Selling and General Administration expense 30 0.16666667 35 0.175
Depreciation 12 15 0.1
Interest Expense 12 15 0.15
Total Cost and Expenses 154 170

PBT 26 30
Taxes 8 0.30769231 9 0.3
PAT 18 21
Dividend 11 12
Retained Earnings 7 9

BALANCE SHEET
Equity Capital 60 90
Reserves& Surplus 40 49
Debt 100 0.19 119 0.12605
Total 200 258

Fixed Assets 150 0.16666667 175 0.085714


Investment 20
Net current assets 50 0.26 63 0.111111
Total 200 258

Free cash flow forecast for Matrix Limited for the exiplicit forecast period
Profit Before tax (1) 26 30
Interest Expenses (2) 12 15
Interest Income (3)
Non-operating income (4)
EBIT (A) (1+2-3-4) 38 45
Tax Provision on income statement 8 9
Tax Shield on interest expense 4.8 6
Tax on Interest incme
Tax on non-operating income
Taxes on EBIT: (B) (5+6-7-8) 12.8 15
NOPLAT (C= A-B) 25.2 30
Net investment (D) 38
Free cash flow (F= C-D) -8
ROIC (G=C/D) 15.00%
Growth Rate (H=D/Invested capital) 19.00%

Continuing value FCF9/(WACC-g) FCF9= FCF8*(1+g)

Value of operations
PV (FCF) $1.75 $3.85 $6.07 $7.70
PV (CV)
Value of operations

Enterprise value value of operations + value of investments


295.22+25 (Invt in 3rd year or present value of investme
$320.22
Equity value Enterprise value-value of non-equity claims
322.19-134 (value of Debt in 3rd year or present value of debt at the be
$186.22

Other DCF Models


1. Equity DCF Models
a. Dividend Discount Model
b. Free Cash Flow to Equity Model

b. Free Cash Flow to Equity Model


FCFE= (Profit after tax - Preference Dividend) -
(Change in Capital expenditure) -
(Change in net working capital) +
(Change in debt) +
( Change in preference share capital) -
(Change in investment in marketable securities)
FCFE

Equity Value y3 pv formula - Cost of equity or r=18% as per the question


We assume that FCF TO Equity will grow at a constant rate of 10% per year after the explicit forecast period

Equity Value Y3

2. Adjusted Present Value Model


Unlevered Equity Free Cash Flow =
NOPLAT+
Depreciation-
Change in Capital Expenditure-
Change in net working Capital
Unlevered Equity Free Cash Flow =

Present value Y3 of unlevered equity free cash flow


Interest
Tax Rate

IXT
Present value Y3 of Interest Tax shield
Present value of cash flow during the planning period

Terminal value of the firm at the end of the planning period =


Free cash flow in year 9 = FCF8 X (1+g) (Here, FCF 8 is the total of unlevered free cash flow + interest tax shield)
Terminal value of the firm at the end of the planning period = FCF to firm 9 (1+g)/ WACC-g

Present values of cash flows during the planning period and terminal value
Present value of terminal value
Present values of cash flows during the planning period and terminal value

3. Economic Profit Model


Free cash flow forecast for Matrix Limited for the exiplicit forecast period
Invested Capital (Consider the value of Beginning of the year for 200
computations) = Total assets-ivestments
238
NOPLAT (C= A-B) 25.2 30
Net investment (D) 38
WACC(%) 14 14
Capital Charge (IC X WACC)
Economic Profit (NOPLAT-Capital Charge)
Growth Rate (D/Invested capital)

Present value of cash flow during the planning period


Economic profit at the year 9
Present value of cash flow for the Continuing period
Present value of EP Stream
Invested capital in year 4 (beginning value of year 4)
Enterprise Value Invested capital in year 4 + Present value of EP Stream
Year 3 Avg ratio Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8
229 3.40% 0.128055556 1.185555556 271 322 382 452 536
3 0 0
8
240 271 322 382 452 536

125 0.54585153 0.542135695 147 174 207 245 291


45 0.19650655 0.179391072 49 58 68 81 96
18 0.10285714 0.101428571 19 22 24 28 31
16 0.13445378 0.142226891 19 22 26 30 34
204 234 276 325 384 452

36 37 46 56 69 84
12 0.33333333 0.3 11 14 17 21 25
24 26 32 39 48 59
12
12

90 90 90 90 90 90
61 ? 52 69 90 113 139
134 0.15802521 1.15802521 155 180 208 241 279
285 297 339 388 444 508

190 0.12619048 1.126190476 214 241 271 306 344


25
70 0.18555556 1.185555556 83 98 117 138 164
285 297 339 388 444 508
14.28% 14.34% 14.40% 14.47%

36 37 46 56 69 84
16 19 22 26 30 34
3
8
41 56 68 82 98 118
12 11 14 17 21 25
6.4 6 7 8 9 10
1.2
3.2
14 17 20 25 30 36
27 39 48 57 69 83
22 37 42 49 56 64
5 2 5 9 13 19
11.34% 15.17% 16.01% 16.88% 17.76% 18.66%
9.24% 14.22% 14.28% 14.34% 14.40% 14.47%

(Here r=g, hence DCF can not be applied. Thus, consider


the normal scenario/ or last year's growth rate, i.e.,
9.24% and the future growth rate is 14%. So the safer
Growth rate=10% side we consider growth rate g = 10%)
20 512.1160359

$9.87 Total $29.24


$265.98
$295.22

investments
present value of investment at the beginning of fourth year)

or present value of debt at the beginning of fourth year)

Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8


26 32 39 48 59
24 27 30 34 39
13 15 18 22 26
21 25 28 33 38

-25
35 14 19 25 33

uity or r=18% as per the question $29.92 $10.21 $11.63 $13.00 $14.30
forecast period FCF/ r-g X 1/ (1+r)5
PV

Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8


39 48 57 69 83
19 22 24 28 31
24 27 30 34 39
13 15 18 22 26
22 27 33 41 50

$18.42 $19.29 $20.12 $20.92 $21.69


19 22 26 30 34
30% 30% 30% 30% 30%
5.72 6.62 7.67 8.88 10.28
$5.06 $5.19 $5.31 $5.45 $5.58

interest tax shield) 59.90

260 297 339 388 444 508


27 39.43 47.55 57.28 68.92 82.85
22 36.97 42.40 48.67 55.89 64.23
14 14% 14% 14% 14% 14%
36.40 41.58 47.51 54.32 62.15
3.03 5.97 9.76 14.59 20.70
14.22% 14.28% 14.34% 14.40% 14.47%

$2.66 $4.60 $6.59 $8.64 $10.75


22.77
569.292669

lue of EP Stream
cagr MVA Reg equation
180
200 0.111111
229 0.145 0.12805555555556
320 248.236 258.77
360 346.88 361.6
400 390.24 406.8
440 433.6 452
-
-
+
+
-

$79.06
$35.98
449.783079 $196.60
$275.66

+
-
-

$100.43

$26.59
$127.02

yr 9

65.89 Where FCF to firm in year 9 = FCF8 X(1+g). G=10% (already calculated earlier)
1647.371734

$720.08
$847.10

$33.24

$295.67
$328.91
260.00
$588.91

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